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AAE volume 54 issue 4 Cover and Front matter AAE第54卷第4期封面和封面问题
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2023.5
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引用次数: 0
Do Extreme CIT Position Changes Move Prices in Grain Futures Markets? CIT仓位的极端变化会影响谷物期货市场的价格吗?
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.40
Jiarui Li, S. Irwin, Xiaoli L. Etienne
Abstract Most previous studies reject the basic tenet of the Masters Hypothesis that the influx of financial index investments has pressured agricultural futures prices upwards substantially. However, the impact of index investment activities may be more complicated and nuanced than can be detected by the relatively simple linear Granger causality tests used in many previous studies. Our study applies a new cross-quantilogram (CQ) test to weekly index trader positions and returns in four agricultural futures markets. Overall, we find limited support for a significant relationship between extreme index trader position changes and returns, and even less support that increased index trading activities have pushed commodity prices higher.
以往的大多数研究都否定了马斯特斯假设的基本原则,即金融指数投资的涌入大幅推高了农产品期货价格。然而,指数投资活动的影响可能比许多先前研究中使用的相对简单的线性格兰杰因果检验所能检测到的更为复杂和微妙。我们的研究应用了一种新的交叉量化图(CQ)检验,对四个农产品期货市场的周指数交易者头寸和回报进行了检验。总体而言,我们发现极端指数交易者头寸变化与回报之间的显著关系支持有限,指数交易活动增加推高商品价格的支持更少。
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引用次数: 0
Does Rice Quality Matter? Understanding Consumer Preferences for Rice in Nigeria 大米质量重要吗?了解尼日利亚消费者对大米的偏好
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.38
Bailey Peterson-Wilhelm, L. Nalley, Alvaro Durand‐Morat, Aaron M. Shew
Abstract Rice is a staple crop in Nigeria. Even with a push to increase domestic production, little is known about the functionality of Nigeria’s open bag markets and the preferences of consumers for specific rice attributes. Our study uses a hedonic price model to identify quality attribute preferences of consumers and potential market failures. Our results indicate that Nigerian consumers prefer rice with homogenous long slender kernels and a low presence of broken rice and are indifferent to chalkiness. The findings are useful as they can inform future strategies for rice breeders, domestic policy makers, and rice exporters.
摘要水稻是尼日利亚的主要作物。即使推动了国内产量的增加,人们对尼日利亚开放式袋装市场的功能以及消费者对特定大米特性的偏好也知之甚少。我们的研究使用享乐价格模型来识别消费者的质量属性偏好和潜在的市场失灵。我们的研究结果表明,尼日利亚消费者更喜欢粒径细长、碎米含量低的大米,对垩白度漠不关心。这些发现很有用,因为它们可以为水稻育种家、国内政策制定者和水稻出口商的未来战略提供信息。
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引用次数: 1
The Impact of Fundamentals on Volatility Measures of Agricultural Substitutes 基本面的影响对农业替代品波动率的影响
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.37
A. Goswami, Berna Karali
This study builds upon the existing literature on the Working curve and backwardation to explore the impact of storage regimes on the volatility measures of substitute agricultural commodity markets. We investigate the impact of commodity fundamentals (storage regime and stocks-to-use ratio), commodity-specific financial variables (options hedging pressure-long and -short), world economic activity, market-wide volatility index, seasonality, and time-to-maturity on nearby and deferred implied volatility (IV) series of selected commodity pairs of corn-soybean and winter wheat-spring wheat. Our work confirms that, in some cases, grain and oilseed IV derived from options premia respond to shocks in commodity (and substitute commodity) fundamentals which are in line with the behaviour of volatility in futures markets. Own-storage regime effects on price variability are stronger in the selected markets, while spillover effects from substitute commodity storage regimes show a modest impact on volatilities. We also find some evidence for the stocks-to-use ratio of both corn and soybean to impact both their own and each other’s IV, while options hedging pressure has some impact only on wheat IVs.
本研究建立在现有文献的工作曲线和现货溢价的基础上,探讨储存制度对替代农产品市场波动指标的影响。我们研究了商品基本面(储存制度和库存使用比)、商品特定金融变量(期权对冲压力多空)、世界经济活动、市场波动指数、季节性和到期时间对玉米-大豆和冬小麦-春小麦商品对的近期和递延隐含波动率(IV)系列的影响。我们的研究证实,在某些情况下,来自期权溢价的谷物和油籽IV会对商品(和替代商品)基本面的冲击做出反应,这与期货市场的波动行为是一致的。在选定的市场中,自有储存制度对价格波动的影响更大,而替代商品储存制度的溢出效应对波动性的影响较小。我们还发现一些证据表明玉米和大豆的库存量与利用量比对其自身和彼此的IV都有影响,而期权对冲压力仅对小麦的IV有一定影响。
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引用次数: 0
Trips to Food Services, Food Retailers, and their Relationship with the Healthfulness of Food Purchases – CORRIGENDUM 食品服务、食品零售商之旅及其与食品购买健康的关系-勘误表
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.39
Jackie Yenerall, Wen You, J. Hill
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引用次数: 1
Economic Enfranchisement, Goal Setting, and Rural Development 经济权利、目标设定和农村发展
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.31
S. Hackett, Philip Watson
Abstract This analysis introduces a conceptual framework for economic enfranchisement and studies its effect on an individual’s likelihood to set strong financial goals. A conceptual and empirical model is developed to investigate how economic enfranchisement influences an individual’s likelihood to set a goal and the strength of that goal. The empirical analysis employs an ordered probit to account for the two-stage goal-setting and goal strength decision process. Results show that economic enfranchisement has a significant effect on an individual’s likelihood to set financial goals where more enfranchised individuals are more likely to set strong goals than their disenfranchised counterparts.
摘要本分析介绍了经济选举权的概念框架,并研究了其对个人设定强大财务目标的可能性的影响。开发了一个概念和经验模型,以研究经济授予权如何影响个人设定目标的可能性以及该目标的强度。实证分析采用有序probit来解释两阶段的目标设定和目标强度决策过程。结果表明,经济选举权对个人设定财务目标的可能性有显著影响,而更多被选举权的个人比被剥夺选举权的人更有可能设定强有力的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Economics of Smaller Aberdeen-Derived Beef Cows 小型阿伯丁产肉牛的经济学
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.35
E. DeVuyst, Me Munson, B. Brorsen, D. Lalman, L. Hanna, K. Swanson, K. Ringwall
Abstract We investigate differences in profitability of three Aberdeen-influenced breeds, Angus, Red Angus, and American Aberdeen. Using data from North Dakota, we measure differences in birth weights, calving intervals, weaning weights, cow weights, and profitability. Weaning weights differ between breeds, setting up a trade-off between lower feed costs for smaller cows and higher revenue for larger cows. American Aberdeen-influenced cows bred to Red Angus bulls have $1–$6 per acre higher returns than Angus or Red Angus-influenced cows. Aberdeen sires have the lowest returning calves.
摘要我们调查了三个受阿伯丁影响的品种,安格斯、红安格斯和美国阿伯丁的盈利能力差异。利用北达科他州的数据,我们测量了出生体重、产仔间隔、断奶体重、奶牛体重和盈利能力的差异。不同品种的断奶重量不同,在较小奶牛的饲料成本较低和较大奶牛的收入较高之间进行了权衡。用红安格斯公牛饲养的受阿伯丁影响的美国奶牛每英亩的回报比安格斯或受红安格斯影响的奶牛高1至6美元。阿伯丁父系的幼仔繁殖率最低。
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引用次数: 1
Valuation of Genomic-Enhanced Expected Progeny Differences in Bull Purchasing 公牛采购中基因组增强期望后代差异的评估
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-10-20 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.36
Taylor Thompson, C. Boyer, Charles C. Martinez, T. Rowan, J. Rhinehart
Abstract We estimate a hedonic pricing model to determine producers’ value for bull expected progeny differences (EPDs), genomic-enhanced EPDs, and phenotypic traits. Birth weight EPD, ribeye area EPD, sale weight, age, frame score, and other factors had a statistically significant impact on bull prices. GE-EPDs were not associated with a change in the bull sales prices expect for weaned calf value and birth weight EPDs. Including weaned calf value and GE-EPDs in a bull hedonic pricing model provides a unique contribution. The results from this work will inform educational programming for bull purchasers on using new economic selection indices and GE-EPDs.
摘要我们估计了一个特征定价模型,以确定生产者对公牛期望后代差异(EPDs)、基因组增强EPDs和表型性状的价值。出生体重EPD、里贝耶地区EPD、销售体重、年龄、体格得分和其他因素对牛市有统计学显著影响。通用电气EPD与断奶小牛价值和出生体重EPD预期的公牛销售价格变化无关。将断奶小牛价值和通用电气EPD纳入牛市享乐定价模型提供了独特的贡献。这项工作的结果将为牛市购买者使用新的经济选择指数和通用电气EPD的教育规划提供信息。
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引用次数: 1
Benefits of Preconditioning Cattle under Stochastic Feedlot Performance 随机饲养条件下预处理牛的效益
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-10-10 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.32
L. V. Verteramo Chiu, L. Tauer, K. Kaniyamattam, G. Lhermie, Y. Gröhn
Abstract Preconditioning cattle, a management practice of preparing cattle for feedlots as well as following a vaccination protocol for common diseases, has been shown to add value to cattle by reducing disease incidence and severity, yet it is not universally adopted. We estimated the benefits to a beef system of preconditioning weaned calves versus not preconditioning under stochastic returns. Purchasing preconditioned calves makes economic sense, but market efficiency requires complete information of the health status of the cattle, feedlot performance, along with the right market mechanisms, which may not be available in all markets.
预调理牛是一种管理实践,为牛在饲养场做好准备,并遵循常见疾病的疫苗接种方案,已被证明可以通过降低疾病发病率和严重程度来增加牛的价值,但它并没有被普遍采用。我们估计了在随机回报下,对断奶小牛进行预处理与不进行预处理对牛肉系统的好处。购买经过预处理的小牛在经济上是有意义的,但市场效率需要牛的健康状况、饲养场表现的完整信息,以及正确的市场机制,而这些可能不是所有市场都能提供的。
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引用次数: 0
Outstanding in the Field: Impacts of Public Small Grains Breeding in Virginia 在该领域表现突出:弗吉尼亚州公共小谷物育种的影响
IF 1.9 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-10-10 DOI: 10.1017/aae.2022.33
Ben Garber, J. Alwang, G. Norton
Abstract New production from public and exclusive varieties released by the small grains breeding program at Virginia Tech generated cumulative discounted benefits of $41 million from 2000 to 2018. Fitted yields from field trials were combined with acreage estimates to generate weighted average yields based on adoption of new varieties. Benefits were estimated as the value of additional production from the release and adoption of improved varieties. Public varieties were responsible for most program benefits. The program was found to have a significant impact in Virginia and out-of-state, with much of these benefits due to public-private collaboration.
摘要从2000年到2018年,弗吉尼亚理工大学小谷物育种项目发布的公共和独家品种的新产品产生了4100万美元的累计折扣效益。将田间试验的拟合产量与面积估计相结合,根据新品种的采用产生加权平均产量。效益被估计为释放和采用改良品种带来的额外生产价值。公共品种是大多数项目收益的来源。该计划被发现在弗吉尼亚州和州外产生了重大影响,其中大部分好处都归功于公私合作。
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Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics
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