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Consistency of Pecking Order Theory: Evidence from Indonesia Capital Market 啄序一致性理论:来自印尼资本市场的证据
Pub Date : 2021-03-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3801506
Ruswiati Suryasaputra Indahwati
Financial crisis in some developing country have affected Indonesia as a developing country as well. It changes business climate that force firms finds additional funding sources. Improper capital structure policy will give negative signal to investors about firm’s financial performance and future prospect, which in turn affects stock price of the firm. Pecking Order Theory states that firms has defined yet the target debt ratio and that companies prefer to use internal financing first, then debt, and finally new equity. This research aims to test consistency of pecking order theory in term of flexibility of capital structure policy of listed companies in Indonesian Capital Market in the crisis circumstances. And analyze testing the influence on the value of the firm. Research population is taken from public listed company in Indonesia capital market since 2015-2018 with assets worth 1 thousand million. Data analyzing technique to answer the research question and analyze the research hypothesis uses factor analysis and simple linear regression. The result shows that is proved that there is consistency of influence POT/pecking order theory policy on the value of the firm in Indonesian Capital Market since 2015 to 2018.
一些发展中国家的金融危机也影响到印尼这个发展中国家。它改变了商业环境,迫使公司寻找额外的资金来源。不当的资本结构政策会向投资者发出有关企业财务业绩和未来前景的负面信号,进而影响企业股价。Pecking Order理论指出,公司已经确定了目标负债率,公司倾向于首先使用内部融资,然后是债务,最后是新股本。本研究旨在检验在危机环境下印尼资本市场上市公司资本结构政策灵活性的啄序理论的一致性。并分析测试对公司价值的影响。研究对象为2015-2018年印尼资本市场上市公司,总资产10亿元。数据分析技术采用因子分析和简单线性回归来回答研究问题和分析研究假设。结果表明,2015 - 2018年印尼资本市场上POT/啄食序理论政策对企业价值的影响存在一致性。
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引用次数: 0
Literature Survey and Research Agenda of Risk Determinants in Indian Equities and Machine Learning 印度股票和机器学习风险决定因素的文献调查和研究议程
Pub Date : 2021-03-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3805394
Pradeep Kumar Rangi, P. Aithal
Notwithstanding the financial slowdown and severity of the Coronavirus pandemic during 2020, several retail investors ventures directly to the secondary equities market, setting off gigantic purchasing. A review of SEBI data indicates that over 6 million new dematerialization accounts between April and September 2020 are about 125 percent growth on year on year basis. At the same time, data reported by AMFI shows net outflows from equity funds by retail investors. These data points indicate that retail investors may have opted to invest using direct stock investments instead of relying on the equity mutual fund manager. Equity Investment is a dynamic process requiring and require considering different variables in selecting and, more importantly, avoiding stocks. The cornerstone of wealth creation is to invest in stores at a price considerably smaller than their intrinsic value. The very foundation of creating long-term wealth using equities is deeply embedded. One is buying businesses at a price substantially below its intrinsic value (intrinsic value indicates the entity's future cash flows after estimating the number of accounting risk, macro-economic, managerial, and behavioral risk determinants). This Literature review, therefore, is organized to cover Behavioral, Accounting, Macro-economic, Volatility, and Management theories and Forecasting and ML techniques for clustering, predictions, and classification to support risk decisions using different models, e.g., ARIMA, LSTM, VAR, Facebook Prophet, ARCH and GARCH family models, etc. The literature review also establishes that the concept of risk is highly subjective and is perceived by different investors differently; it is not always entirely objective and outside the beliefs, cognitive and socio-cultural considerations requiring careful assessment before making investment decisions. However, examining the critical risk indicators would allow investors to make a more informed decision. The research gap and identified agenda for further review were defined and assessed using valuable ABCD and SWOT management frameworks. Consequently, the literature investigation findings are analyzed by offering recommendations for creating a comprehensive research agenda pertinent to long-term equity investors in the Indian Equity market.
尽管2020年期间金融放缓,冠状病毒大流行严重,但一些散户投资者直接进入二级股票市场,引发了巨额购买。对SEBI数据的审查表明,2020年4月至9月期间,超过600万个新的非物质化账户同比增长约125%。与此同时,AMFI报告的数据显示,散户投资者净流出股票基金。这些数据表明,散户投资者可能选择直接投资股票,而不是依靠股票共同基金经理进行投资。股权投资是一个动态的过程,在选择股票时需要考虑不同的变量,更重要的是要避免股票。创造财富的基石是以远低于其内在价值的价格投资商店。利用股票创造长期财富的基础是根深蒂固的。一种是以大大低于其内在价值的价格购买企业(内在价值指的是企业在估计了会计风险、宏观经济、管理和行为风险决定因素之后的未来现金流量)。因此,本文献综述将涵盖行为学、会计学、宏观经济、波动性和管理理论,以及预测和ML技术,用于聚类、预测和分类,以支持使用不同模型的风险决策,例如ARIMA、LSTM、VAR、Facebook Prophet、ARCH和GARCH家族模型等。文献综述还表明,风险的概念是高度主观的,不同的投资者对风险的感知也不同;它并不总是完全客观的,在做出投资决策之前需要仔细评估的信仰、认知和社会文化因素之外。然而,检查关键风险指标将使投资者做出更明智的决定。使用有价值的ABCD和SWOT管理框架定义和评估了研究差距和确定的进一步审查议程。因此,通过提供建议来分析文献调查结果,以便为印度股票市场的长期股票投资者创建一个全面的研究议程。
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引用次数: 14
The Impact of OJK Regulation No. 48/POJK.03/2020 on the Quality of Credit and Risk Management of Banking Credit OJK规例第48/POJK的影响。03/2020《信贷质量与银行信贷风险管理
Pub Date : 2021-03-04 DOI: 10.31014/AIOR.1992.04.01.332
Christanto Arief Wahyudi, Evi Aryati Arbay
The COVID-19 pandemic, which is spreading rapidly throughout the world, has seriously harmed many countries, including Indonesia. Many things have been detrimental due to COVID-19, one of which is the economic aspect. This pandemic made it difficult for many debtors to fulfil their credit obligations that led the government to issue a countercyclical policy to provide a stimulus to the national economy. This study aims to determine the impact of OJK Regulation No.48 of 2020 on credit quality and control of banking credit risk in Indonesia. The research method used is descriptive qualitative with a literature approach using secondary data. This OJK regulation regulates economic stimulus through credit restructuring and regulates the implementation of credit risk management in banks. The existence of this regulation can maintain the stability of banking performance by keeping the Non-Performing Loan (NPL) number below 5% and providing a reference for banks in risk management with a model that is relevant to economic conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic.
新冠肺炎疫情正在全球迅速蔓延,给包括印尼在内的许多国家造成严重损害。由于新冠肺炎疫情,许多事情都受到了损害,其中之一就是经济方面。这场大流行使许多债务人难以履行其信贷义务,导致政府出台反周期政策,以刺激国民经济。本研究旨在确定2020年OJK第48号法规对印度尼西亚信贷质量和银行信贷风险控制的影响。使用的研究方法是描述性定性与文献方法使用二手数据。这项OJK法规通过信贷重组来规范经济刺激,并规范银行实施信贷风险管理。这一规定的存在可以保持银行业绩的稳定,将不良贷款(NPL)数量控制在5%以下,并为银行风险管理提供与新冠疫情期间经济状况相关的模型参考。
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引用次数: 5
Adoption of Internet Banking in Bosnia and Herzegovina 波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那采用网上银行
Pub Date : 2021-03-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3501455
Admel Husejinovic, Mirela Husejinović
In this study we investigate the level of adoption of internet banking in Bosnia and Herzegovina across gender, age group and education levels. Data is collected true the google forms questioner. We use descriptive statistics and inferential statistics to test out hypothesis in SPSS 22. We find out that some of the main reasons of not adopting internet in providing some of the banking services are security issue and that clients do not find reason for use of internet banking. Study suggests that significantly lower transaction cost and faster transaction process are important reason for increase in internet banking adoption by clients in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Also, we find out that null hypothesis regarding distribution of internet banking adoption across gender, age group and education level cannot be rejected.
在这项研究中,我们调查了波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那跨性别、年龄组和教育水平采用网上银行的水平。数据收集真实的谷歌形式的问题。在SPSS 22中,我们使用描述性统计和推理统计来检验假设。我们发现,不采用互联网提供某些银行服务的主要原因是安全问题,以及客户没有理由使用互联网银行。研究表明,较低的交易成本和更快的交易流程是波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那客户采用网上银行的重要原因。此外,我们发现关于互联网银行采用在性别,年龄组和教育水平之间分布的零假设不能被拒绝。
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引用次数: 6
The Effect of Debt to Asset Ratio, Return on Equity, and Current Ratio on Stock Prices of Pharmaceutical Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2016-2019 Period 资产负债率、净资产收益率和流动比率对2016-2019年印尼证券交易所上市制药公司股价的影响
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.29138/prd.v3i2.366
Ade Onny Siagian, H. Wijoyo, Y. Cahyono
This research aims to determine: The influence of Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR), and Return on Equity (ROE) either partially or simultaneously on Stock Price of pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) 2016-2019 period. Data were taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) website. Analysis prerequisite test including normality test, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation. Data analysis  technique used is multiple linear regression analysis. Statistical results also show that the current ratio (X1) and return on equity (X3) partially have a positive and significant effect on stock prices (Y). Debt to asset ratio (X2) partially does not have a significant effect on stock prices (Y). Simultaneously current ratio (X1), debt to asset ratio (X2), and return on equity (X3) have a positive and significant effect on stock prices (Y).
本研究旨在确定:流动比率(CR),资产负债率(DAR)和净资产收益率(ROE)部分或同时对2016-2019年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的制药公司股价的影响。数据来自印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)网站。分析前提检验包括正态性检验、多重共线性检验、异方差检验和自相关检验。使用的数据分析技术是多元线性回归分析。统计结果还表明,流动比率(X1)和净资产收益率(X3)对股票价格(Y)有部分正显著影响,资产负债率(X2)对股票价格(Y)有部分不显著影响,同时流动比率(X1)、资产负债率(X2)和净资产收益率(X3)对股票价格(Y)有显著正显著影响。
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引用次数: 2
Auditing the Fair Value 公允价值审计
Pub Date : 2021-02-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3794430
Tim Sovaniski, Badruldeen Mohd Ali, Alisha Kumar
This paper introduces the private notions of accounting at fair value in terms of concepts, measurement and disclosure, and highlights the most important challenges facing the external auditor in auditing accounting estimates for the fair value according to the International Accounting Standards (IAS).

The tools of analyzing had been applied in order to identify priority challenges facing the external auditor through the analysis of the views of the external auditors for a number of offices and Iraqi audit firms mathematically by using the methodology of specific steps.

The paper aims through using statics to identify the most important challenges impact on the external auditor for the purpose of directing attention to them and not to direct the attention to the dispersion of other challenges may not have direct and influence strongly.
本文从概念、计量和披露三个方面介绍了公允价值会计的私人概念,并强调了外部审计师在根据国际会计准则(IAS)审计公允价值会计估计时面临的最重要挑战。为了确定外聘审计员所面临的优先挑战,使用了分析工具,通过使用具体步骤的方法从数学上分析若干办事处和伊拉克审计公司的外聘审计员的意见。本文旨在通过使用静态数据来识别影响外部审计师的最重要的挑战,目的是将注意力引向它们,而不是将注意力引向分散的其他挑战,这些挑战可能不会产生直接和强烈的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Financial Structural Factors in Retail Rate Adjustment: Evidence From Sri Lanka 金融结构因素在零售利率调整中的作用:来自斯里兰卡的证据
Pub Date : 2021-02-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3791076
A. Fernando
This paper examines the interest rate channel of monetary policy transmission. It assesses the impact of banking structural factors on commercial bank pricing decisions and their pass-through in Sri Lanka. The empirical analysis uses aggregate monthly interest rates data from January 2008 to December 2018, a total of 132 observations. The findings suggest that the interest rate pass-through is significant overall, but incomplete. The credit quality, operational efficiency and excess liquidity play essential roles in explaining the adjustments of the bank lending and deposit rates. Non-performing loans increase the lending rate, and this result is robust to different combinations of the control variables. This suggests that banks with higher proportions of non-performing loans attempt to pass their credit losses on to customers. Further, bank inefficiency is passed on to customers in the form of lower deposit rates and excess liquidity in the banking system, both of which have a negative effect on the interest rate adjustments of both lending and deposit rates. A puzzling negative relationship is observed between the lending rate and operational inefficiency. The findings of this paper support the claim that banks in Sri Lanka take into consideration their structural factors as well as the monetary policy rates when setting the lending and deposit rates.
本文考察了货币政策传导的利率渠道。它评估了银行结构因素对斯里兰卡商业银行定价决策及其传递的影响。实证分析使用2008年1月至2018年12月的月度总利率数据,共132次观察。研究结果表明,利率传递总体上是显著的,但不完整。信贷质量、经营效率和流动性过剩是解释银行存贷款利率调整的重要因素。不良贷款增加了贷款率,这一结果对不同控制变量的组合具有鲁棒性。这表明,不良贷款比例较高的银行试图将信贷损失转嫁给客户。此外,银行的低效率以较低的存款利率和银行体系流动性过剩的形式传递给客户,这两者都对贷款和存款利率的利率调整产生负面影响。在贷款利率和经营效率低下之间观察到令人费解的负相关关系。本文的研究结果支持了斯里兰卡银行在设定贷款和存款利率时考虑其结构性因素以及货币政策利率的主张。
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引用次数: 0
Segmentation of the Chinese Stock Market: A Review 中国股票市场分割研究述评
Pub Date : 2021-02-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3788878
Zhe Peng, Kainan Xiong, Yahui Yang
The Chinese stock market is segmented in threefold. First, firms may have multiple issues that are denominated in different currencies. Due to difficulties in arbitrage, stocks listed on the domestic segment usually trade at a premium over those on the foreign segment. Second, stocks are traded on different market segments. Each segment imposes different listing requirements on firms and varying entry restrictions on investors. Third, a predominant portion of shares used to be nontradable. This split-share structure, while largely dismantled by the 2005 reform, is not yet fully eliminated. In this paper, we provide a detailed account of the literature on the three aspects and emphasize how market segmentation affects the stock pricing of Chinese firms. We also offer critical comments on the caveats of the extant studies and propose some topics for future research.
中国股市分为三部分。首先,公司可能有多种以不同货币计价的债券。由于套利困难,在国内上市的股票通常比在国外上市的股票溢价。第二,股票在不同的细分市场上交易。每个细分市场对公司有不同的上市要求,对投资者也有不同的进入限制。第三,很大一部分股票过去是不可交易的。这种股权分置结构虽然在2005年的改革中基本被废除,但尚未完全消除。在本文中,我们详细介绍了这三个方面的文献,并强调了市场细分如何影响中国公司的股票定价。我们还对现有研究的警告提出了批评意见,并提出了未来研究的一些主题。
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引用次数: 0
IPO Suspensions and Venture Capital Activity IPO停牌和风险投资活动
Pub Date : 2021-02-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3788720
Jo‐Ann Suchard, M. Humphery‐Jenner, Zhiyi Qiu
The potential to exit companies through Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) is argued to be critical to the existence of an active venture capital (VC) market. However, this can be difficult to test due to endogeneity concerns. We use the suspension of China’s IPO market as an exogenous shock. We analyse the impact of IPO suspensions on VC investment, exit mechanisms and fundraising. We find that contemporaneous VC investment decreases. VCs are more likely to invest in high tech and less likely to invest in late stage and syndicated deals. Companies that received investment during an IPO suspension are less likely to be exited and take longer to exit. IPO suspensions significantly increase the likelihood of an exit via takeover and international IPO markets. Further, both the number of new funds raising capital and fund target amounts decrease. The results suggest that lack of access to public markets dampens VC activity.
通过首次公开募股(ipo)退出公司的潜力被认为对活跃的风险资本(VC)市场的存在至关重要。然而,由于内生性问题,这可能很难测试。我们把中国IPO市场的暂停作为外生冲击。我们分析了IPO暂停对风险投资、退出机制和融资的影响。我们发现同期风险投资减少。风投更有可能投资于高科技,而不太可能投资于后期和银团交易。在IPO暂停期间获得投资的公司退出的可能性较小,退出的时间也更长。IPO暂停显著增加了通过收购和国际IPO市场退出的可能性。此外,新基金募集资金数量和基金目标金额均有所减少。结果表明,缺乏进入公开市场的渠道抑制了风险投资活动。
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引用次数: 3
Insignificance of Stock Market Investment Among College Teachers Working in the Jurisdiction of Mangalore University 芒格洛尔大学辖区高校教师股票市场投资的不显著性
Pub Date : 2021-02-19 DOI: 10.29121/GRANTHAALAYAH.V9.I2.2021.3242
Yathish Kumar, Abhinandan
The competency of a teacher is a major determinant of the quality of the education. Teacher’s professional advancement is decided by many factors. One of the main factors which strongly influence the efficiency of teacher is his quality of life. The quality of one’s life is closely related to the level consumption, savings and investment. Investments in stock market indicate high quality of life. But many research found that most of the teachers not investing in stock market. Much research done related to investment pattern of teaching faculty and investment behaviour of teaching faculty. These researches found out that teachers preferred to invest in banking investment avenues. But a less number of researches did to identify the reason for not investing in stock market avenues. Therefore this paper tries to identify the reasons for insignificance of stock market among teaching faculty. To this paper both primary data and secondary data were used. Primary data were collected through structured questionnaire and for secondary data referred various online journals and websites.
教师的能力是教育质量的主要决定因素。教师的专业进步是由多种因素决定的。影响教师工作效率的主要因素之一是教师的生活质量。一个人的生活质量与消费、储蓄和投资水平密切相关。投资股市表明生活质量高。但许多研究发现,大多数教师不投资股票市场。对教师投资模式和教师投资行为的研究较多。这些研究发现,教师更倾向于通过银行投资途径进行投资。但很少有研究指出不投资股市的原因。因此,本文试图找出股票市场在教师中不重要的原因。本文采用了一手资料和第二手资料。主要数据通过结构化问卷收集,次要数据参考各种在线期刊和网站。
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引用次数: 1
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Emerging Markets: Finance eJournal
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