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Interbank Liquidity Risk Transmission to Emerging Markets Amidst Financial Crises 金融危机中银行间流动性风险向新兴市场的传导
Pub Date : 2021-07-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3702117
I. Sifat, A. Zarei
We construct synthetic spreads representing funding liquidity risk in BRICS economies and examine whether stress in the interbank and financial markets in the US spread to emerging markets during the Global Financial Crisis, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, and COVID-19 pandemic. We rely on a time-varying-parameter model with shrinkage priors on daily data of varied lengths and reach two conclusions: the stock market and corporate debt channels in BRICS economies are not risk transmitters, and (b) government debt (local and sovereign) channels are regular vectors of funding liquidity risk. Deeper analysis of the results’ temporal patterns shows key central banking decisions to precede or coincide with spillover attenuation, which, too, progressively waned with each crisis. In fact, with the understandable exception of China, spillover phenomenon is inert during the COVID-19 pandemic.
我们构建了代表金砖国家经济体资金流动性风险的综合利差,并研究了在全球金融危机、欧洲主权债务危机和2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,美国银行间和金融市场的压力是否会蔓延到新兴市场。我们依靠一个对不同长度的日常数据具有收缩先验的时变参数模型,得出两个结论:金砖国家经济体的股票市场和公司债务渠道不是风险传递器,以及(b)政府债务(地方和主权)渠道是资金流动性风险的常规向量。对结果的时间模式进行更深入的分析表明,央行的关键决策在溢出效应衰减之前或同时发生,而溢出效应衰减也会随着每次危机而逐渐减弱。事实上,在新冠肺炎大流行期间,除了中国之外,溢出现象是惰性的。
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引用次数: 1
Ownership Structure, Corporate Governance Reform and Firm Performance in Kuwait 科威特股权结构、公司治理改革与公司绩效
Pub Date : 2021-07-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3884662
Abdullah Alajmi, A. Worthington
This paper examines the link between ownership structure and firm performance in Kuwaiti firms in the context of recent corporate governance reform. Panel data robust regressions of firm performance against ownership structure specify variously the former using the returns on assets and equity, the debt to equity ratio, leverage, and Tobin’s Q and the latter as family, government and local and foreign institutional ownership. We find family ownership has the most influence on firm performance followed by government ownership, but disproportionately to their actual shares of ownership. Importantly, corporate governance reform appears to have had little effect in moving to a first voluntary then compulsory corporate governance code and guidelines, suggesting many firms had either adopted good governance principles under market pressure or exited the industry in anticipation of the more stringent regulatory controls.
本文考察了在最近的公司治理改革背景下科威特公司的股权结构和公司绩效之间的联系。公司绩效对所有权结构的面板数据稳健回归不同地说明了前者使用资产和股本回报率、债务与股本比率、杠杆率和托宾Q,后者使用家庭、政府、本地和外国机构所有权。我们发现家族所有权对企业绩效的影响最大,其次是政府所有权,但与他们的实际所有权比例不成比例。重要的是,公司治理改革在转向先自愿后强制的公司治理准则和指导方针方面似乎收效甚微,这表明许多公司要么在市场压力下采用了良好的治理原则,要么在预期更严格的监管控制时退出了该行业。
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引用次数: 1
Financial Inclusion Strategy and Access to Credit by Micro Small and Medium Scale Enterprise (MSMEs) in Nigeria 金融包容性战略与尼日利亚中小微企业(MSMEs)获得信贷的途径
Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3902043
Uju Akpunonu
Financial inclusion avails all economic units the opportunity to access financial services needed to boost economic activities. One of the objectives of financial inclusion is to provide access to finance for the poor majority who initially do not use formal financial services. The MSMEs requirement for funds is hampered by their limited access to the financial market. This study however investigated the effect of financial inclusion strategies on access to credit by micro, small and medium scale enterprises (MSMEs) in Nigeria. Data for the study were collected from the CBN Statistical bulletin for the period of 1991 to 2019. The explanatory variables used to develop a multiple regression model captured the market capitalization, pension account, insurance account, microfinance account and e-banking as strategies to financial inclusion. The Autoregressive Distributive Lag model was developed and analyzed for long and short-run dynamics of financial inclusion on access to loan and advances by the MSMEs in Nigeria. The bound test showed that financial inclusion strategies had a long-run relationship with loan and advances of the MSMEs. The coefficient of determination explained 99% of access to loans and advances by the MSMEs in Nigeria. The coefficients of regression revealed that lags of Loan and Advances to MSMEs had adverse endogenous effects on the model. More so, activities in the capital market (MKTC) and pension accounts (PA) at lag 1 have positive and significant effects on credit to MSMEs (LA) in Nigeria; but insurance accounts (IA), microfinance account (MFA) and e-banking innovations (EBDUM) creates unstable significant effects on credit to MSMEs in Nigeria. The study posits that financial inclusion strategies have a long-run impact on MSMEs with the capital market and pension funds the major enhancers of MSME funding.
普惠金融使所有经济单位都有机会获得促进经济活动所需的金融服务。普惠金融的目标之一是为最初不使用正规金融服务的大多数贫困人口提供融资渠道。中小微企业对资金的需求受到其进入金融市场的限制。然而,本研究调查了金融包容性战略对尼日利亚中小微企业(MSMEs)获得信贷的影响。该研究的数据收集于1991年至2019年期间的CBN统计公报。用于开发多元回归模型的解释变量捕获了市场资本化,养老金账户,保险账户,小额信贷账户和电子银行作为金融包容性策略。针对尼日利亚中小微企业获得贷款和预付款的金融包容性的长期和短期动态,开发并分析了自回归分配滞后模型。约束检验表明,普惠金融策略与中小微企业的贷款和预付款之间存在长期关系。决定系数解释了尼日利亚99%的中小微企业获得贷款和预付款的原因。回归系数表明,中小微企业贷款和预付款的滞后性对模型具有不利的内生效应。更重要的是,滞后1的资本市场(MKTC)和养老金账户(PA)的活动对尼日利亚中小微企业(LA)的信贷具有积极和显著的影响;但保险账户(IA)、小额信贷账户(MFA)和电子银行创新(EBDUM)对尼日利亚中小微企业的信贷产生了不稳定的显著影响。研究认为,普惠金融战略对中小微企业具有长期影响,资本市场和养老基金是中小微企业融资的主要增强者。
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引用次数: 1
Comparative Study of NPA’s of Private and Public Sectors Banks in Nepal 尼泊尔私营和公共部门银行不良资产的比较研究
Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3883156
Sandesh Bohora, Eliza Sapkota
Non-Performing assets have become a significant issue for the banking and financial sector in Nepal. The asset quality of the bank has become crucial for the development of the banking sector. The motive of the study is to compare the NPA of public and private banks of Nepal as well as to study the relationship between NPA and the profitability of the selected banks. This study is based on secondary data, which are collected from annual reports and official websites of the banks. The study covers the period of 2016 to now in which three government-owned banks and three private banks are taken for the sample of the study. It is found that the NPA of private sector banks is relatively low than the public banks. In recent times the NPA of private sector banks is raising due to several factors like Covid-19 and an economic crisis but the NPA of public banks seems fine and not much affected.
不良资产已成为尼泊尔银行和金融部门的一个重大问题。银行的资产质量已经成为银行业发展的关键。本研究的动机是比较尼泊尔公共银行和私人银行的不良资产负债表,以及研究不良资产负债表与所选银行盈利能力之间的关系。本研究基于二手数据,这些数据收集自银行的年报和官方网站。研究时间为2016年至今,选取了三家国有银行和三家民营银行作为研究样本。研究发现,民营银行的不良资产负债率相对较低。最近,受新冠肺炎疫情和经济危机等因素的影响,民间银行的不良资产比率正在上升,但公共银行的不良资产比率似乎没有受到太大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Performance Analysis of Mobile Banking During the COVID-19 Pandemic Period Comparing with the Pre-Pandemic Period of COVID-19: An Empirical Study on Bangladesh COVID-19大流行期间与疫情前的手机银行绩效分析——基于孟加拉国的实证研究
Pub Date : 2021-06-29 DOI: 10.35609/afr.2021.6.1(2)
Md. Ruhul Amin, M. Nahiduzzaman
Objective - Mobile banking is a growing activity to engage the non-banking people in the banking system in Bangladesh, so researchers of this paper try to find out how much it is affected by the Coronavirus (COVID-19). Basically, this study is developed to assess the performance of mobile banking during the COVID-19 pandemic period comparing with the pre-pandemic period.Methodology/Technique - Authors use descriptive statistics to evaluate the performance of mobile bank during the study period from 2014 to August 2020.Findings - This paper finds that during the COVID period the average change of monthly number of active accounts & registered clients have increased, on the other hand the average change of monthly number of agents have decreased at the same time. Except cash in & cash out, all other types of transactions proportion of mobile banking have increased during the COVID-19 period.Novelty - As the mobile banking is a key resource for banking people as well as non-banking people to transact financial things at setting at the house, so this paper will be beneficial for mobile banking service provider organization to assess the whole things of mobile banking at this ongoing period, and they can take necessary action.Type of Paper - Empirical.Keywords: Mobile Banking, COVID-19, Financial Performance, Bangladesh.JEL Classification: G21, G22.URI: http://gatrenterprise.com/GATRJournals/AFR/vol6.1_2.htmlDOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/afr.2021.6.1(2)Pages 54 – 68
目标-移动银行是一项日益增长的活动,使非银行人员参与孟加拉国的银行系统,因此本文的研究人员试图找出受冠状病毒(COVID-19)影响的程度。基本上,本研究旨在评估手机银行在COVID-19大流行期间与大流行前期间的表现。方法/技术-作者使用描述性统计来评估2014年至2020年8月研究期间移动银行的表现。研究结果-本文发现,在COVID期间,每月活跃账户和注册客户数量的平均变化有所增加,另一方面,每月代理数量的平均变化有所减少。在新冠肺炎疫情期间,除现金进出外,手机银行所有其他类型的交易比例均有所增加。新颖性-由于手机银行是银行人员以及非银行人员在家中进行金融交易的关键资源,因此本文将有利于手机银行服务提供商组织在这一持续时期评估手机银行的整体情况,并采取必要的行动。论文类型-经验性。关键词:手机银行,COVID-19,财务绩效,孟加拉国JEL分类:G21、G22。URI: http://gatrenterprise.com/GATRJournals/AFR/vol6.1_2.htmlDOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/afr.2021.6.1(2)Pages 54 - 68
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引用次数: 0
Not All Bonds Are Created Equal - As Benchmarks for Corporate Bonds 并非所有债券都是平等的——作为公司债券的基准
Pub Date : 2021-06-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3872425
Keqi Chen, Yi Huang, Kathy Yuan, Hao Zhou
We find among government and quasi-government bonds, municipal corporate bonds (MCB) act as regional benchmarks and improve the quality of the nascent but fast-growing corporate bond market in China by facilitating price discovery and expanding investment opportunity sets. The benchmark effects of MCBs are more pronounced in corporate bonds with similar maturity, from the same region, in industries directly affected by government spending or traded on the exchange market. Furthermore, we find the supply of long-term MCBs encourages local corporations to issue long term bonds, indicating the possibility of complementarity between government and corporate bonds when bond market quality is poor.
我们发现,在政府债券和准政府债券中,市政公司债券(MCB)作为区域基准,通过促进价格发现和扩大投资机会集,提高了中国新兴但快速增长的公司债券市场的质量。在期限相近、来自同一地区、直接受政府支出影响的行业或在交易所市场交易的公司债券中,mcb的基准效应更为明显。此外,我们发现长期中小企业的供应鼓励地方企业发行长期债券,这表明在债券市场质量较差的情况下,政府和公司债券之间存在互补的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Government Policies, Financial Scopes and Technological Usages for Agricultural Development and Post-Harvest Loss Reduction in Algeria 阿尔及利亚农业发展和减少收获后损失的政府政策、财政范围和技术使用
Pub Date : 2021-06-20 DOI: 10.1504/ijpti.2020.10032958
Tria Djihad, Abdelkader Alghorbany, Md. Mahmudul Alam, Azim Izzuddin Bin Muhamad
Agriculture is considered to be a vital aspect of Algeria’s national economy and rural development. Achieving sustainable agricultural production, generating employment, reducing imports and minimising post-harvest crops losses are the major objectives of the Algerian government. However, based on the evaluation of existing policies, this study found that poor governance is hampering the agriculture sector, particularly in terms of management of financial resources, where most financial investments are made only for short-term gains. The lack of awareness about the importance of post-harvest practices and lack of using modern technology threaten the growth of this sector. Adopting sound post-harvest methods can reduce food losses and wastage in every stage of the food supply chain, and integration of modern techniques, skilled labour, and education training systems are very important if agriculture in Algeria is to progress.
农业被认为是阿尔及利亚国民经济和农村发展的一个重要方面。实现可持续农业生产、创造就业、减少进口和尽量减少收获后作物损失是阿尔及利亚政府的主要目标。然而,根据对现有政策的评价,本研究发现,治理不善正在阻碍农业部门的发展,特别是在财政资源管理方面,大多数财政投资只是为了短期收益。缺乏对收获后做法重要性的认识和缺乏使用现代技术威胁着这一部门的增长。采用合理的收获后方法可以减少粮食供应链各个阶段的粮食损失和浪费,如果阿尔及利亚的农业要取得进展,整合现代技术、熟练劳动力和教育培训系统非常重要。
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引用次数: 2
¿Exuberancia de los precios de la vivienda en Colombia? (Exuberance of Housing Prices in Colombia?) 哥伦比亚房价的繁荣?(哥伦比亚房价的繁荣?)
Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3873532
Juan Camilo Pardo Niño
Spanish Abstract: El presente documento evidencia la existencia de burbujas en el precio de la vivienda en Colombia (a nivel nacional y de ciudades) entre el periodo 1995-2019. Para comprobar su presencia se utiliza la prueba de detección de burbujas propuesta por Phillips et al. (2015) al ratio precio-renta y a una medida del componente no fundamental del precio de la vivienda, encontrando varios periodos de comportamiento exuberante. Además, se demuestra la existencia de migración de burbujas desde Medellín hacia siete ciudades receptoras (entre nueve posibles), cuyas intensidades son cambiantes en el tiempo. Los resultados tienen importantes implicaciones para el diseño de políticas publicas dado que utiliza un mecanismo de detección en tiempo real.

English Abstract: This document report evidence of the existence of house price bubbles in Colombia (as a country and several cities) between 1995-2019. To verify its presence, I apply the bubble detection test proposed by Phillips et al. (2015) to the price-to-rent ratio and a measure of the non-fundamental component of housing prices, finding several episodes of exuberant behavior. In addition, I show evidence of the existence of bubble migration from Medellín to seven cities (out of nine possible) whose intensities are time-varying. The results have important implications for the design of public policies since it uses a real-time detection mechanism.
摘要:本文证明了1995-2019年期间哥伦比亚(国家和城市)房价泡沫的存在。为了验证其存在,我们使用了Phillips等人(2015)提出的价格-租金比率泡沫检测测试和房价的非基本成分的测量,发现了繁荣行为的几个时期。本研究的目的是分析在medellin和medellin之间的城市中存在的泡沫,以及在medellin和medellin之间的城市中存在的泡沫。这一结果对公共政策设计具有重要意义,因为它使用了实时检测机制。摘要:本文件报告了1995-2019年哥伦比亚(作为一个国家和几个城市)存在房价泡沫的证据。为了验证其存在,我将Phillips等人(2015)提出的泡沫检测检验应用于房价的租金比和房价的非基本组成部分的测量,发现了繁荣行为的几个插值。此外,我还提供了从medellin向七个城市(九个可能城市中的七个)迁移的证据,这些城市的迁移强度随时间而变化。由于采用了实时检测机制,其结果对公共政策的设计具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 1
Влияние информации в пресс-релизах на финансовые показатели российских компаний (Impact of Information in Press Releases on the Financial Performance of Russian Companies)
Pub Date : 2021-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3901932
E. Fedorova, N. Lapshina, Mikhail L. Lazarev, A. Borodin
Russian Abstract:При публикации пресс-релизов о доходах компания может как достоверно раскрывать дополнительную информацию, так и вводить в заблуждение инвестора, скрывая или, наоборот,приукрашивая факты. В работе оценивается влияние тональности пресс-релизов на финансовые показатели компании. Эмпирическая база включает поквартальные финансовые показатели отечественных компаний и ежеквартальные пресс-релизы (на русском и английском языках) за 2015–2019 годы. В рамках исследования для оценки влияния раскрытия в пресс-релизах перспектив деятельности компании на финансовые результаты авторами исследования создан словарь, окончательный вариант которого состоит из 373 слов. Позитивная и негативная тональности текста на английском языке оценивались по двум словарям: Loughran-McDonald Financial Dictionary и словарю Национального научно-исследовательского совета Канады (National Research Council), на русском языке — по словарю для экономических и финансовых текстов EcSentiThemeLex, сложность текста рассчитывалась через Bog Index. Для выявления влияния финансовых и текстовых факторов на финансовые показатели компании применялась панельная регрессия. Было выявлено, что в рассматриваемый период пресс-релизы становились длиннее и сопровождались более подробными комментариями менеджеров. Этот результат является значимым и для менеджеров, и для инвесторов.Отечественные менеджеры в пресс-релизах довольно правдиво описывают положение дел в компании и не манипулируют информацией. Инвесторы доверяют заявлениям менеджеров и пресс-релизам о будущих результатах компании и склонны положительно реагировать на позитивную тональность публикаций English Abstract:When publishing press releases on earnings, a company can either reliably disclose additional information, or mislead the investor, hiding or, conversely, embellishing the facts. In this study, the authors assess the impact of the press release tone on a company’s financial performance. The empirical base of the study includes quarterly financial indicators of Russian companies as well as semantic, linguistic and substantive features of quarterly press releases (in English and Russian)for 2015–2019. As part of this work, to assess the impact of disclosing a company’s prospects in press releases on its financial results, an authors’ dictionary was created, designed as a library in the R environment; the final list consists of 373 words. The positive and negative coloring of the text in English was assessed by two dictionaries, namely Loughran and McDonald (LM), and Mohammad and Turney (NRC); the assessment of the sentiment of press releases in Russian was assessed by EcSentiThemeLex dictionary for assessing economic and financial texts; and complexity of the text was graded via the Bog Index. Panel regression was used to assess the impact of financial and textual factors on a company’s financial performance. It was found that press releases are getting longer, accompanied by comments from managers and, in general,
俄罗斯Abstract:在收入新闻稿发布时,公司可以通过隐瞒或夸大事实来误导投资者,从而提供更多信息和误导投资者。这份工作评估了新闻稿对公司财务表现的影响。经验框架包括2015年至2019年国内公司季度财务指标和季度新闻发布(俄语和英语)。作为一项研究的一部分,为了评估公司对财务结果的影响,出版了一本字典,最终版本由373个字组成。英语文本的正音和负音被分为两个字典:加拿大国家研究委员会(国家研究委员会)和俄罗斯国家研究委员会(ecsentiemelex)字典,复杂性由Bog Index计算。为了检测金融和短信因素对公司财务表现的影响,使用了面板退化。有报道称,在这段时间里,新闻发布时间变长了,经理们发表了更详细的评论。这一结果对经理和投资者都很重要。国内新闻发布会上的经理们对公司的情况非常诚实,不会篡改信息。投资者相信经理和新闻稿的结果,并倾向于积极回应英式广告的正面影响:当新闻发布的时候,当出版的时候,当公司可以选择出版的时候,或者公司可以选择选择的时候。在这个工作室里,试图保护媒体对公司财务表现的影响。在2015年至2019年期间,俄罗斯公司的帝国基础是英语、英语和次级别的媒体体验。作为这首作品的一部分,是《金融危机》杂志上的一篇社论,是《金融危机》中的一篇社论;373个单词的最后列表。英国有两种不同的颜色,namely Loughran和McDonald (LM), Mohammad和Turney (NRC);俄罗斯媒体相关的内容是由经济和金融技术的环境影响决定的;text的完整是通过Bog Index。Panel regression是一家公司金融和技术工厂的安全漏洞。这是媒体对长时间的关注,由管理人员组成,在将军中,比以往任何时候都多。作为一名管理人员,多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特·多米特,多米特·多米特·多米特,多米特·多米特,多米特·多米特,多米特·多米特。这是对公司未来影响的投资,也是对公众影响的承诺,也是对公司未来分裂的承诺。
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引用次数: 2
Reaction of The Indian Stock Market to Corona Pandemic and Lockdown 印度股市对冠状病毒大流行和封锁的反应
Pub Date : 2021-06-10 DOI: 10.5958/0973-9343.2020.00028.9
Dhananjay Ashri, B. P. Sahoo
Purpose: The present paper tries to probe the COVID-19 breakout effect on the stock markets by drawing shreds of evidence from India Design/methodology/approach: Secondary data has been used and retrieved from the BSE and NSE portal in this study The study covered the period July 1, 2019, to March 11, 2020, as "pre-COVID period" and March 12, 2020, to July 9, 2020, as "post-COVID period" Welch's t-test, popularly known as unequal variance t-test, and non parametric Mann-Whitney U test are used to compare the opening, highest, lowest, and closing prices across the two periods of the major stock indices;Nifty 50, Nifty 500, Nifty 100, Nifty Midcap 150, S&P BSE Sensex, S&P BSE 500, S&P BSE Midcap, and S&P BSE All Cap We further extended our study by employing a multiple regression model for the post-COVID period to identify the repercussions of the spread of the virus and lockdown on the stock indices' prices Findings: Both Welch's t-test and Mann-Whitney U-test indicated a significant (I% significance level) negative impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the Indian stock market Multiple regression model confirmed a significant (significant at I%) positive effect of a rise in the COVID-19 cases on the stock market, and COVID-19 related deaths do not significantly impact even at 10% level Furthermore, the results revealed a significant (at I% level of significance) fall in the prices due to an increase in the lockdown days Originality/value: These outcomes contribute to the literature by looking at Coronavirus's economic consequences by drawing evidence from the Indian stock market This study provides insights into the policymakers and corporates into the economic repercussions of COVID-19
目的:本文试图通过收集来自印度的证据碎片来探讨COVID-19爆发对股票市场的影响。辅助数据从疯牛病已经使用和检索,分析了无门户在这项研究中研究了7月1日,2019年3月11日,2020年,随着“pre-COVID期”和3月12日,2020年7月9日,2020年,作为“post-COVID期”韦尔奇t,俗称不平等的t检验、方差和非参数Mann-Whitney U测试是用来比较开放,最高,最低,和收盘价的两个时期主要股票指数;漂亮的50,500年漂亮的,漂亮的100年,俏皮中市值150,标准普尔BSE Sensex指数、标准普尔BSE 500指数、标准普尔BSE中型股指数和标准普尔BSE All Cap指数。我们进一步扩展了我们的研究,采用了后covid时期的多元回归模型,以确定病毒传播和封锁对股指价格的影响。Welch’st检验和Mann-Whitney u检验均表明,Covid-19大流行对印度股市的负面影响显著(显著性水平为I%)。多元回归模型证实,Covid-19病例的增加对股市的正面影响显著(显著性水平为I%),而Covid-19相关死亡即使在10%的水平上也不显著。结果显示,由于封锁天数的增加,价格显著(在1%的显著性水平上)下跌。原创性/价值:通过从印度股市获取证据,研究冠状病毒的经济后果,这些结果为文献做出了贡献。这项研究为政策制定者和企业提供了对COVID-19经济影响的见解
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Emerging Markets: Finance eJournal
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