Eajaz A. Dar, Joseph Iboyi, Dereje A. Birhan, Lakesh Sharma, Hardeep Singh
Decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) provides a robust platform for evaluating long-term management effects. A CROPGRO Cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) model (a component of DSSAT) was calibrated using 92 data points and evaluated using 232 data points to assess its performance in simulating phenology, growth, nitrogen (N) content, seed cotton yield (SCY), and nitrogen use efficiency (NUE). The calibrated model was then used to analyze the long-term (2003–2023) effects of three planting windows (May 15–30 [planting date 1, PD1], June 1–15 [PD2], and June 15–30 [PD3]), two irrigation strategies (rainfed and rule-based irrigation), and six N rates (0, 50, 101, 151, 202, and 252 kg ha−1) on SCY, NUE, and N leaching. The calibrated and evaluated model showed a good agreement between simulated and observed data. Long-term seasonal analysis indicated that median SCY in PD1 was 21% and 46% higher than in PD2 and PD3, respectively. Delayed planting reduced NUE by 37% and increased N leaching by 85%. Irrigated cotton resulted in 38% and 29% higher SCY and NUE, respectively, than rainfed cotton, without significantly increasing N leaching. NUE declined by 19%–33% with each N rate increment from 0 to 252 kg N ha−1, while N leaching increased by 45% at 252 kg N ha−1 compared to 0 kg N ha−1. However, leaching increased significantly only when N application exceeded 151 kg N ha−1. These findings emphasize the importance of adjusting N rates based on PD and irrigation strategy to maximize yield and NUE while minimizing leaching losses.
农业技术转让决策支持系统(DSSAT)为评估长期管理效果提供了一个强大的平台。采用92个数点对CROPGRO棉花(Gossypium hirsutum L.)模型(DSSAT的一个组成部分)进行了校准,并使用232个数点对其模拟物候、生长、氮(N)含量、籽棉产量(SCY)和氮利用效率(NUE)的性能进行了评估。利用校正后的模型,分析了3个种植窗口(5月15日至30日[种植日期1,PD1]、6月1日至15日[PD2]和6月15日至30日[PD3])、2种灌溉策略(雨灌和规则灌溉)和6种氮素水平(0、50、101、151、202和252 kg ha-1)对土壤水分、氮素利用效率和氮淋溶的长期(2003-2023)影响。经校正和评估的模型显示,模拟数据与观测数据吻合良好。长期季节性分析表明,PD1的中位SCY分别比PD2和PD3高21%和46%。延迟种植减少了37%的氮肥利用效率,增加了85%的氮淋失。灌溉棉花的SCY和NUE分别比雨养棉花高38%和29%,但氮淋失没有显著增加。在0 ~ 252 kg N ha-1施氮量范围内,氮素利用效率随施氮量的增加而下降19% ~ 33%,而在252 kg N ha-1施氮量时,氮淋溶比0 kg N ha-1施氮量增加45%。然而,只有当施氮量超过151 kg N ha-1时,淋溶才显著增加。这些发现强调了根据PD和灌溉策略调整施氮量的重要性,以最大限度地提高产量和氮肥利用率,同时尽量减少淋失损失。
{"title":"Impacts of planting date, irrigation, and nitrogen on yield and nitrate leaching in Florida cotton","authors":"Eajaz A. Dar, Joseph Iboyi, Dereje A. Birhan, Lakesh Sharma, Hardeep Singh","doi":"10.1002/jeq2.70131","DOIUrl":"10.1002/jeq2.70131","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) provides a robust platform for evaluating long-term management effects. A CROPGRO Cotton (<i>Gossypium hirsutum</i> L.) model (a component of DSSAT) was calibrated using 92 data points and evaluated using 232 data points to assess its performance in simulating phenology, growth, nitrogen (N) content, seed cotton yield (SCY), and nitrogen use efficiency (NUE). The calibrated model was then used to analyze the long-term (2003–2023) effects of three planting windows (May 15–30 [planting date 1, PD1], June 1–15 [PD2], and June 15–30 [PD3]), two irrigation strategies (rainfed and rule-based irrigation), and six N rates (0, 50, 101, 151, 202, and 252 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>) on SCY, NUE, and N leaching. The calibrated and evaluated model showed a good agreement between simulated and observed data. Long-term seasonal analysis indicated that median SCY in PD1 was 21% and 46% higher than in PD2 and PD3, respectively. Delayed planting reduced NUE by 37% and increased N leaching by 85%. Irrigated cotton resulted in 38% and 29% higher SCY and NUE, respectively, than rainfed cotton, without significantly increasing N leaching. NUE declined by 19%–33% with each N rate increment from 0 to 252 kg N ha<sup>−1</sup>, while N leaching increased by 45% at 252 kg N ha<sup>−1</sup> compared to 0 kg N ha<sup>−1</sup>. However, leaching increased significantly only when N application exceeded 151 kg N ha<sup>−1</sup>. These findings emphasize the importance of adjusting N rates based on PD and irrigation strategy to maximize yield and NUE while minimizing leaching losses.</p>","PeriodicalId":15732,"journal":{"name":"Journal of environmental quality","volume":"55 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145781276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study develops a micro-level Ricardian model to assess how long-run climate patterns affect agricultural land values across the urban–rural gradient in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Using an 8-km gridded dataset that combines farmland prices, high-resolution climate data, and urban land cover, the analysis shows that seasonal temperature and precipitation affect land values nonlinearly, and urbanization significantly moderates the effects of precipitation. A climate simulation suggests heterogeneous impacts across urban grids. Our findings highlight the critical role of urban land cover in shaping climate adaptation strategies, offering new insights into how transitional urban-agricultural regions respond to climate stress. These results provide actionable guidance for policymakers seeking to enhance agricultural resilience in the face of continued urban expansion.
{"title":"The effect of urban climate shifts on land values in the Chesapeake Bay area","authors":"Junyi Hua, H. Allen Klaiber, Douglas H. Wrenn","doi":"10.1002/jeq2.70125","DOIUrl":"10.1002/jeq2.70125","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study develops a micro-level Ricardian model to assess how long-run climate patterns affect agricultural land values across the urban–rural gradient in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Using an 8-km gridded dataset that combines farmland prices, high-resolution climate data, and urban land cover, the analysis shows that seasonal temperature and precipitation affect land values nonlinearly, and urbanization significantly moderates the effects of precipitation. A climate simulation suggests heterogeneous impacts across urban grids. Our findings highlight the critical role of urban land cover in shaping climate adaptation strategies, offering new insights into how transitional urban-agricultural regions respond to climate stress. These results provide actionable guidance for policymakers seeking to enhance agricultural resilience in the face of continued urban expansion.</p>","PeriodicalId":15732,"journal":{"name":"Journal of environmental quality","volume":"55 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145781321","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Facundo Lussich, Ryan Ackett, Jashanjeet Kaur Dhaliwal, Hao Gan, Debasish Saha
Accurate prediction of N2O emissions in agricultural systems is essential for developing effective climate-smart practices. This study introduces a novel ensemble approach, termed the “Class-Swap” machine learning model, which employs two independent Random Forest (RF) models trained separately on background and hot-moment emissions. A statistical anomaly detection algorithm first classifies each flux observation, and the model then swaps between the two RF models accordingly, enabling emission-specific predictions based on distinct biogeochemical drivers. The objective was to evaluate the performance of this approach against traditional RF modeling in predicting N2O fluxes from a long-term continuous cotton crop rotation in west Tennessee, which includes different tillage, N fertilization, and cover cropping treatments. The Class-Swap approach consistently outperformed traditional RF models on an independent unseen holdout dataset, achieving higher R2 values (0.33–0.34 vs. 0.08–0.25) and lower root mean square error (9.8–9.9 vs. 10.5–11.6 g N2O-N ha−1 day−1), while accurately capturing the magnitude and temporal dynamics of emissions—something traditional RF models failed to replicate. Key predictors varied by emission type: in the background emission model, moderate to high soil moisture (0.45–0.70 WFPS), soil