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Analisis Return, Risk dan VaR Portofolio Saham JII dengan Metode SIM, MAD dan DD
Pub Date : 2022-06-27 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.93-110
Rohiman Atja, Indupurnahayu, Renea Shinta Aminda
Before pandemic, Islamic stocks performance (ISSI, JII70, JII) contracted. During pandemic, outperformed JCI and LQ45. JII prospect is good this year, increase 5.81% early 2021, exceeded JCI (4.66%) and LQ45 (4.75%) ytd. This study uses 4 investment scenarios aimed at analyzing and exploring the Return and Risk of the selected JII Portfolio using SIM, MAD, and DD Methods; perform calculations and analyze VaR of the selected JII Portfolio; calculate and analyze the relationship between Return and Risk of the selected JII Portfolio using SIM, MAD, and DD Methods; calculate and analyze the differences in Return and Risk of the selected JII Portfolio using the SIM, MAD, and DD Methods. The research methods are SIM, MAD, DD, VaR, Correlation-Test and Difference-Test. The results of the study of the highest return of each method resulted in scenario 2, the highest risk of each method resulted in a scenario of 33.3% investment proportion, the highest VaR resulted in scenario 2. Test-correlation method in calculating returns: there is no significant relationship between the SIM-MAD and DD-MAD methods, there is a significant positive relationship between the SIM-DD method.
疫情前,伊斯兰股表现(ISSI、JII70、JII)有所收缩。在大流行期间,表现优于JCI和LQ45。JII今年前景良好,2021年初增长5.81%,超过JCI(4.66%)和LQ45(4.75%)。本研究采用4种投资情景,运用SIM、MAD和DD方法对所选JII投资组合的收益和风险进行分析和探索;计算并分析所选JII投资组合的VaR;运用SIM法、MAD法和DD法计算和分析所选JII投资组合的收益与风险关系;使用SIM、MAD和DD方法计算和分析所选JII投资组合的收益和风险差异。研究方法有SIM、MAD、DD、VaR、相关检验和差异检验。研究结果表明,每种方法的最高收益导致情景2,每种方法的最高风险导致情景投资比例为33.3%,VaR最高导致情景2。检验相关法在计算收益方面:SIM-MAD与DD-MAD方法之间不存在显著相关关系,SIM-DD方法之间存在显著正相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Analysis of Murabahah and Mudharabah Financing Risk from Islamic Microfinance Institutions Perspective 伊斯兰小额信贷机构视角下Murabahah与Mudharabah融资风险比较分析
Pub Date : 2022-06-27 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.79-92
Azhar Alam, Raditya Sukmana, Bayu Arie Fianto, Azzam Izzuddin
The most frequently used financing contracts in Islamic financial institutions are murabahah and mudharabah. This study aims to reveal the phenomenon in the field about the description of the risk comparison between murabahah financing and mudharabah financing from the BMT side. This study uses descriptive qualitative research methods through data collection methods with in-depth interviews with nine respondents who have experience handling the risks of murabahah financing and mudharabah financing at BMT. This study shows that the risk of mudharabah financing is greater than the risk of murabahah financing. In practice, mudharabah financing tends to be relatively high due to asymmetric information and moral hazard. The inherent risk in murabahah financing is the risk of member default due to default or member negligence in returning installments. This study also identifies risk factors such as trust risk and sharia legal risk for murabahah financing with wakalah contracts. This study shows that BMT applies the precautionary principle and is appropriate to maintain the institution's health to minimize the risks that occur. This research is expected to be a reference in managing the risk of murabahah financing and mudharabah financing with innovative strategies. The BMT Islamic Microfinance Institution needs to stimulate and educate to reduce the risk of mudharabah financing so that it can become a top priority for financing.
伊斯兰金融机构最常用的融资合同是murabahah和mudharabah。本研究旨在揭示从BMT方面描述murabahah融资与mudharabah融资风险比较的现象。本研究采用描述性定性研究方法,通过数据收集方法,与9位在BMT有处理murabahah融资和mudharabah融资风险经验的受访者进行深度访谈。本研究表明,慕达拉巴融资的风险大于慕达拉巴融资的风险。在实践中,由于信息不对称和道德风险,mudharabah融资往往相对较高。murabahah融资的内在风险是成员因违约或疏忽归还分期付款而违约的风险。本研究还确定了使用wakalah合同进行murabahah融资的风险因素,如信托风险和伊斯兰法律风险。本研究表明,BMT应用了预防原则,适合于维持机构的健康,以尽量减少发生的风险。本研究可望对城市融资风险管理及城市融资创新策略提供参考。BMT伊斯兰小额信贷机构需要刺激和教育,以减少mudharabah融资的风险,使其成为融资的重中之重。
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引用次数: 2
Analisis Rencana Elektronifikasi Keuangan Daerah dalam Memperluas Kontribusi Zakat dengan Pendekatan Fishbone Diagram Analysis 区域财务计划的电子分析,通过鱼骨分析图分析方法扩大Zakat的贡献
Pub Date : 2022-06-26 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.1-17
O. Saputri, Nurul Huda, Mulawarman Hannase
This study aims to identify the root cause in planning of the implementation digital transformation of local government financial transactions to expand the role of zakat. This study modify the element of zakat as an instrument in regional fiscal financial policy. Government policies that impose restrictions on social interaction among the spread of the Covid-19 outbreak have convinced people to switch to the trend of digital transactions. The electronification activity for each transaction is one of the government's strategies in achieving the financial inclusion level target in 2024 of 90%. This study used a qualitative descriptive analysis using the Fishbone Diagram Analysis method with the 4M approach, there are Method, Manpower, Material, and Machine. Based on the analysis and mapping of the problems, it is concluded that there are still areas that need to be strengthened the plan of the regional government financial transaction electronification program in expanding the contribution of zakat, there are in the areas of government’s policy and regulation, human resources, infrastructure as well as synergy and coordination.
本研究旨在找出规划实施地方政府金融交易数字化转型的根本原因,以扩大天课的作用。本研究修正了天课作为区域财政政策工具的要素。在新冠肺炎疫情蔓延的背景下,政府出台了限制社交活动的政策,促使人们转向数字交易的趋势。每笔交易的电子化活动是政府在2024年实现90%的金融包容性水平目标的战略之一。本研究采用鱼骨图分析法和4M方法进行定性描述分析,分为方法、人力、材料和机器。通过对问题的分析和映射,得出区域政府金融交易电子化计划在扩大天课贡献方面仍有需要加强的地方,有政府政策法规、人力资源、基础设施以及协同协调等方面。
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引用次数: 2
The Influence of Religiosity and Transparency on Production Factors of Sharecrops and Sharecropping Contract in East Java 宗教信仰和透明度对东爪哇佃农生产要素和佃农契约的影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-26 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.19-32
Suyoto Arief, A. Susilo, Achmad Fajaruddin
This paper seeks the relations between the religiosity and the transparency to the production factors usage in the land crops cultivation as well as the effect of production factor to the sharecropping contract in East Java. The method employs in this study is Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) with the respondent of the research is 400 farmers from the 8 counties in East Java. The result shows that religiosity and transparency have positives and significant effect to the production factors usage in the cultivation of the land crops in East Java with the p-value respectively 0.008 for religiosity to production factors and 0.001 for transparency to production factors. Meanwhile, the influence of production factors to the sharecropping contract is positive and significant with p-value about 0.001. Furthermore, the R-square of production factors is about 0.907 which mean 90.7% of production factors variable is explained by religiosity and transparency variables while the rest of it is explained by other variables out of this research. Meanwhile, the sharecropping contracts R-square is about 0.629 which means 62.9% of sharecropping contracts variable is explained by production factors variable while the rest of it about 37.1% is explained by other variables out of this research.
本文探讨了东爪哇土地作物种植中生产要素使用透明度与宗教信仰度之间的关系,以及生产要素对土地作物承包合同的影响。本研究采用的方法是结构方程模型(SEM),研究对象是来自东爪哇8个县的400名农民。结果表明,宗教虔诚度和透明度对东爪哇土地作物生产要素的使用有显著的正向影响,宗教虔诚度对生产要素的p值分别为0.008和0.001。同时,生产要素对承包合同的影响为显著正相关,p值约为0.001。此外,生产要素的r平方约为0.907,这意味着90.7%的生产要素变量是由宗教信仰和透明度变量解释的,其余的是由其他变量解释的。同时,分成合同的r平方约为0.629,这意味着62.9%的分成合同变量被生产要素变量解释,其余约37.1%的分成合同变量被其他变量解释。
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引用次数: 2
How National Zakat Board of Republic Indonesia (BAZNAS) Could Raise Zakat Funds: Riau Province Evidence 印尼共和国国家天课委员会(BAZNAS)如何筹集天课资金:廖内省证据
Pub Date : 2022-06-26 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.47-57
Ika Febriana, Idqan Fahmi, M. Santoso
As a province in Indonesia with a majority Muslim population of 87.58%, Riau has a very large potential, reaching Rp 8.4 trillion but the highest realization that was collected by National Zakat Board (BAZNAS) of Riau Province was only Rp 12.15 billion in 2019. This zakat management organization (ZMO) has made various efforts in order to increase the zakat funds. This study analyzed the performance of this institution according to muzakki and recommended strategies to increase the number of muzakki and zakat funds. Using the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) method, according to muzakki, BAZNAS of Riau Province has good transparency, accountability, socialization, and service quality. However, muzakki prefer to pay zakat in mosques and directly to mustahik. Therefore, this study recommended to increase collaboration with mosque administrators, increase numbers of Zakat Collecting Unit (ZCU) as fund collectors and also distributors, update websites regularly, and increase socialization with materials on procedures for paying zakat and the benefits of paying zakat through ZMO.
作为印尼穆斯林人口占87.58%的省份,廖内省具有非常大的潜力,达到8.4万亿印尼盾,但廖内省国家天课委员会(BAZNAS)在2019年收集的最高实现仅为121.5亿印尼盾。这个天课管理组织(ZMO)为增加天课资金做了各种努力。本研究根据muzakki分析了该机构的绩效,并推荐了增加muzakki和zakat基金数量的策略。muzakki表示,利用结构方程模型(SEM)方法,廖内省BAZNAS具有良好的透明度、问责性、社会化和服务质量。然而,穆扎基更喜欢在清真寺和直接向穆斯塔希克支付天课。因此,本研究建议加强与清真寺管理者的合作,增加天课收集单位(ZCU)作为资金收集者和分发者的数量,定期更新网站,并通过ZMO提供支付天课的程序和支付天课的好处的材料来增加社会化。
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Ketahanan UMKM Makanan dan Minuman Bersertifikat Halal saat Pandemi COVID-19 di Kota Banda Aceh 在班达亚齐市的COVID-19大流行期间,分析影响犹太食品和饮料耐受性的因素
Pub Date : 2022-06-26 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.33-45
Wahyu Viariani, Deni Lubis, Marhamah Muthohharoh
The existence of the COVID-19 pandemic has implications for the global economic sector, including in Indonesia. The decline in economic performance is not only felt by large multinational and national companies, but also by MSME players. This research aims to examine the factors of resilience of MSMEs during the COVID-19 pandemic, so that the results of this research can be a survival strategy for MSMEs, especially during the pandemic. The research data was collected through an interview process with 100 food and beverage MSME actors who have halal certification and who do not have halal certification in Banda Aceh City. After that, MSMEs will be grouped into MSMEs that have resilience and do not have resilience for further analysis. The analysis method used in this research is descriptive analysis and logistic regression analysis. Based on the research results, the factors that positively and significantly affect the resilience of MSMEs during the COVID-19 pandemic are the characteristics of entrepreneurship and government support.
COVID-19大流行的存在对包括印度尼西亚在内的全球经济部门产生了影响。不仅大型跨国公司和国内公司感受到了经济表现的下滑,中小微企业也感受到了。本研究旨在研究中小微企业在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的复原力因素,以便本研究结果可以成为中小微企业的生存策略,特别是在大流行期间。研究数据是通过对班达亚齐市100名获得清真认证和未获得清真认证的食品和饮料中小微企业参与者的访谈过程收集的。之后,将中小微企业分为具有弹性和不具有弹性的中小微企业进行进一步分析。本研究使用的分析方法是描述性分析和逻辑回归分析。研究结果表明,创业特征和政府支持是影响中小微企业抗疫能力的正向显著因素。
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引用次数: 0
Hal-Hal yang Memengaruhi Keputusan Wakif untuk Berwakaf Uang di Kabupaten Purworejo 这影响了Wakif在普沃尤区管理资金的决定
Pub Date : 2022-06-26 DOI: 10.29244/jam.10.1.59-78
Meilinia Rositanti, Neneng Hasanah
Cash waqf is a form of waqf innovation that is more flexible in management because it can be invested into the real and financial sectors. Cash waqf has an important role as a multiplier effect in the economy. Potential of cash waqf in Purworejo Districtis is very large. However, this potential has yet to be realized. The low accumulation of cash waqf that has not yet reached the potential is influenced by the community, especially waqif. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the factors affecting waqif’s decision to donate cash waqf at Purworejo District. Data collection is done by the questionnaires given to 60 waqif at Purworejo District. Descriptive analysis and logistic regression are used as research method in this study. The result shows that waqif’s decision to donate cash waqf is affected by their income and knowledge on cash waqf and the age of the waqif has a significant negative effect on the waqif's decision to cash waqf.
现金waqf是一种waqf创新形式,因为它可以投资于实体和金融部门,因此在管理上更加灵活。现金流在经济中具有乘数效应的重要作用。Purworejo地区的现金流潜力非常大。然而,这种潜力尚未实现。尚未达到潜力的现金waqf的低积累受到社会特别是waqf的影响。因此,本研究旨在分析在Purworejo地区waqif捐赠现金决定的影响因素。数据收集是通过向Purworejo区的60名waqif发放问卷来完成的。本研究采用描述性分析和逻辑回归作为研究方法。结果表明,waqif捐赠现金waf的决定受其收入和现金waf知识的影响,年龄对waqif捐赠现金waf的决定有显著的负向影响。
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引用次数: 1
Cash Waqf Model for Social Enterprise to Achieve Sustainable Development Goals in Indonesia 印尼社会企业实现可持续发展目标的现金Waqf模式
Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.29244/jam.specialissue2022.95-105
Najim Nur Fauziah, Salina Kassim
Social enterprises are expected to bring significant positive impact on Indonesia's economy and may help to meet the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Social enterprises empower minorities by providing more opportunities for a sustainable means of livelihood, especially for low-income and disadvantaged groups. However, despite its potential, financial issues remain a significant barrier for the viability of social enterprises in Indonesia. Cash waqf is one of the Islamic social finance vehicles that can be used to invest and manage funds to address a variety of social issues related to the SDGs. Hence, this study aims to propose cash waqf model for social enterprise in achieving the SDGs in Indonesia and to assesses the potentials and opportunities of developing the proposed model in Indonesia. This study employs a qualitative research approach, with primary data gathered from interviews of relevant stakeholders. This study finds that, the cash waqf can solve a multitude of financial issues faced by many social enterprises in Indonesia by enlarging their pool of financing support. The possibilities and opportunities of developing the cash waqf model for social enterprise include alternative funding for social enterprise, alternative waqf for waqif, an increase in nazhir, and more effective contribution to the SDGs.
社会企业有望为印尼经济带来显著的积极影响,并可能有助于实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)。社会企业为少数群体,特别是低收入和处境不利群体,提供更多获得可持续生计手段的机会,从而赋予少数群体权力。然而,尽管有潜力,财政问题仍然是印度尼西亚社会企业生存的重大障碍。现金waqf是伊斯兰社会融资工具之一,可用于投资和管理资金,以解决与可持续发展目标相关的各种社会问题。因此,本研究旨在为社会企业在印度尼西亚实现可持续发展目标提出现金流模型,并评估在印度尼西亚发展所提出模型的潜力和机会。本研究采用定性研究方法,主要数据收集自相关利益相关者的访谈。本研究发现,现金流可以解决印尼社会企业面临的众多财务问题,扩大其融资支持池。为社会企业发展现金waqf模式的可能性和机会包括:为社会企业提供替代资金、为waqif提供替代waqf、增加nazhir,以及为可持续发展目标做出更有效的贡献。
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引用次数: 6
Assessing the Islamic Bank Financing During Economic Recession: The Role of Stimulus Regulation POJK Number 11/POJK.03/2020 经济衰退时期对伊斯兰银行融资的评估:刺激政策的作用[j] . vol . 11/POJK.03/2020
Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.29244/jam.specialissue2022.57-75
Ririn Riani, Ries Wulandari
This study examines the role of the POJK stimulus policy No. 11/POJK.03/2020 on the decision of financing in Indonesia Islamic banking. Furthermore, the study aims to be able to assess the financing behavior of Islamic banks. Accordingly, we design a quantitative approach with panel data analysis method. With case studies on 12 Islamic Commercial Banks with a time period from quarter 1-2017 to quarter 4-2020. We found that the total financing of Islamic banks experience significant changes after the period of economic recession that hit Indonesia. Then, the study found that the role of stimulus regulation has a positive and significant effect on the distribution of total bank financing. This shows that the stimulus regulation through financing relaxation or financing restructuring does not prevent banks from continuing to channel financing to the public. This study also found that Islamic banks do not behave pro-cyclicality behavior towards the business cycle.
本研究考察了11号/POJK刺激政策的作用。2020年3月关于印尼伊斯兰银行融资的决定。此外,本研究的目的是能够评估伊斯兰银行的融资行为。据此,我们设计了一种采用面板数据分析方法的定量方法。对12家伊斯兰商业银行进行了案例研究,时间跨度为2017年第1季度至2020年第4季度。我们发现,在印尼经济衰退后,伊斯兰银行的融资总量发生了显著变化。研究发现,刺激性调控的作用对银行融资总量的分布具有显著的正向影响。这表明,通过融资放松或融资重组的刺激性监管并没有阻止银行继续向公众提供融资。这项研究还发现,伊斯兰银行对商业周期的行为并不顺周期。
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引用次数: 3
Rethinking Human Development Based on Ar Ra’d Verse 11: How Can Preferences Influence Human Development? 从《圣经》第11节重新思考人类发展:偏好如何影响人类发展?
Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.29244/jam.specialissue2022.17-29
An'im Kafabih, Muhammad Dandy Alif Wildana
As human is the centre of development process, it is important to consider preferences of human behavior whether they prefer to change themselves or not. This explanation is inspired by Qur’an surah Ar Ra’d verse 11 that can be interpreted as the set of preferences which might influence someone’s state of condition. However, human development index which is widely used indicator for development study do not consider preference as the main factor of development. Therefore aim of this study is to examine interpretation of that surah whether set of preferences that consist of trust, altruism, patience, risk taking, and negative reciprocity, can influence the state of human development. This research Uses Linear Probability Model (LPM) which is estimated by OLS with 76 countries as observation. The result shows that altruism, patience and risk taking can influence human development significantly, whereas trust and negative reciprocity are not significant. Trust is not significant because there might be a condition of distrust economic activities, rather than trust, that signaled by complete contractual arrangement, whereas non significant of negative reciprocity might because the costly punishment opportunity to punish someone as the form of negative reciprocity, therefore people that think rationally will not take the revenge to others.
由于人是发展过程的中心,因此考虑人的行为偏好是否倾向于改变自己是很重要的。这种解释是受《古兰经》第11节的启发,这节经文可以解释为可能影响某人状态的一系列偏好。然而,作为发展研究中广泛使用的指标,人类发展指数并没有将偏好作为发展的主要因素。因此,本研究的目的是检验对这一篇章的解释,即由信任、利他主义、耐心、冒险和消极互惠组成的一组偏好是否会影响人类发展的状态。本研究使用线性概率模型(LPM),该模型是由OLS估计的,以76个国家为观察对象。结果表明,利他主义、耐心和冒险对人类发展有显著影响,而信任和负互惠对人类发展的影响不显著。信任之所以不重要,是因为经济活动可能存在不信任的条件,而不是信任,这是由完全的契约安排发出的信号,而负互惠的不重要可能是因为代价高昂的惩罚机会惩罚某人作为负互惠的形式,因此理性思考的人不会对他人采取报复。
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引用次数: 0
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