Pub Date : 2023-12-23DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01685-4
Fatma Selcen Sakar, Gürcan Güleryüz
In this study, we investigated how tree species affect N mineralization in connection to some soil properties and seconder metabolite levels of litter, in the soil of the oldest native forest communities. In the oldest pure communities of Pinus nigra (PN), Fagus orientalis (FO), and Abies bornmuelleriana (AB) in the mountain range of Mount Uludağ, Bursa, Turkey, annual net yield and N mineralization in the 0–5- and 5–20-cm soil layers were determined in a field incubation study over 1 year. Sampling locations were chosen from 1300 to 1600 m a.s.l., and moisture content (%), pH, water-holding capacity (%), organic C, total N, and C/N ratio, and annual net mineral N yield of the soil and hydrolyzed tannic acid and total phenolic compounds in litter were compared for these forest communities. F. orientalis had the highest annual net Nmin yield (43.9 ± 4.8 kg ha–1 a–1), P. nigra the lowest (30.5 ± 4.2 kg ha–1 a–1). Our findings show that in the oldest forest ecosystems, the seasonal soil moisture content and tree species play an essential role in N cycling and that hydrolyzed tannic acids and total phenolic compounds effectively control N turnover. Tannic acid and total phenolics in the litter were found to inhibit nitrification, but total phenolics were found to stimulate ammonification.
在这项研究中,我们调查了在最古老的原生森林群落的土壤中,树种如何影响氮的矿化,以及氮的矿化与一些土壤特性和枯落物的次级代谢物水平之间的关系。在土耳其布尔萨乌卢达山山脉最古老的黑松(PN)、东方落叶松(FO)和北美桤木(AB)纯群落中,通过为期一年的田间培育研究测定了 0-5 厘米和 5-20 厘米土层的年净产量和氮矿化度。取样地点选在海拔 1300 米至 1600 米之间,比较了这些森林群落的土壤含水量(%)、pH 值、持水率(%)、有机碳、总氮、碳/氮比、年净矿物氮产量、水解单宁酸和枯落物中的总酚类化合物。F. orientalis 的年净矿物氮产量最高(43.9 ± 4.8 kg ha-1 a-1),P. nigra 的最低(30.5 ± 4.2 kg ha-1 a-1)。我们的研究结果表明,在最古老的森林生态系统中,季节性土壤含水量和树种在氮循环中起着至关重要的作用,水解单宁酸和总酚类化合物能有效控制氮周转。研究发现,枯落物中的单宁酸和总酚类化合物能抑制硝化作用,但总酚类化合物能促进氨化作用。
{"title":"Nitrogen mineralization in the oldest climax communities in the eastern Mediterranean region","authors":"Fatma Selcen Sakar, Gürcan Güleryüz","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01685-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01685-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this study, we investigated how tree species affect N mineralization in connection to some soil properties and seconder metabolite levels of litter, in the soil of the oldest native forest communities. In the oldest pure communities of <i>Pinus nigra</i> (PN), <i>Fagus orientalis</i> (FO), and <i>Abies bornmuelleriana</i> (AB) in the mountain range of Mount Uludağ, Bursa, Turkey, annual net yield and N mineralization in the 0–5- and 5–20-cm soil layers were determined in a field incubation study over 1 year. Sampling locations were chosen from 1300 to 1600 m a.s.l., and moisture content (%), pH, water-holding capacity (%), organic C, total N, and C/N ratio, and annual net mineral N yield of the soil and hydrolyzed tannic acid and total phenolic compounds in litter were compared for these forest communities. <i>F. orientalis</i> had the highest annual net Nmin yield (43.9 ± 4.8 kg ha<sup>–1</sup> a<sup>–1</sup>), <i>P. nigra</i> the lowest (30.5 ± 4.2 kg ha<sup>–1</sup> a<sup>–1</sup>). Our findings show that in the oldest forest ecosystems, the seasonal soil moisture content and tree species play an essential role in N cycling and that hydrolyzed tannic acids and total phenolic compounds effectively control N turnover. Tannic acid and total phenolics in the litter were found to inhibit nitrification, but total phenolics were found to stimulate ammonification.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139017900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-23DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01679-2
Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa, Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir, Xinyan Huang, Luqman Chuah Abdullah, Mohamad Syazaruddin Md Said, Muhammad Firdaus Sulaiman
Tropical peat comprises decomposed dead plant material and acts like a sponge to absorb water, making it fully saturated. However, drought periods dry it readily and increases its vulnerability to fire. Peat fires emit greenhouse gases and particles contributing to haze, and prevention by constructing fire-break canals to reduce fire spread into forest reserves is crucial. This paper aims to determine peat physical and chemical properties near a fire-break canal at different fire frequency areas. Peat sampling was conducted at two forest reserves in Malaysia which represent low fire frequency and high fire frequency areas. The results show that peat properties were not affected by the construction of a fire-break canal, however lignin and cellulose content increased significantly from the distance of the canal in both areas. The study concluded that fire frequency did not significantly influence peat properties except for porosity. The higher fibre content in the high frequency area did not influence moisture content nor the ability to regain moisture. Thus, fire frequency might contribute differently to changes in physical and chemical properties, hence management efforts to construct fire- break canals and restoration efforts should protect peatlands from further degradation. These findings will benefit future management and planning for forest reserves.
{"title":"Peat properties of a tropical forest reserve adjacent to a fire-break canal","authors":"Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa, Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir, Xinyan Huang, Luqman Chuah Abdullah, Mohamad Syazaruddin Md Said, Muhammad Firdaus Sulaiman","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01679-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01679-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tropical peat comprises decomposed dead plant material and acts like a sponge to absorb water, making it fully saturated. However, drought periods dry it readily and increases its vulnerability to fire. Peat fires emit greenhouse gases and particles contributing to haze, and prevention by constructing fire-break canals to reduce fire spread into forest reserves is crucial. This paper aims to determine peat physical and chemical properties near a fire-break canal at different fire frequency areas. Peat sampling was conducted at two forest reserves in Malaysia which represent low fire frequency and high fire frequency areas. The results show that peat properties were not affected by the construction of a fire-break canal, however lignin and cellulose content increased significantly from the distance of the canal in both areas. The study concluded that fire frequency did not significantly influence peat properties except for porosity. The higher fibre content in the high frequency area did not influence moisture content nor the ability to regain moisture. Thus, fire frequency might contribute differently to changes in physical and chemical properties, hence management efforts to construct fire- break canals and restoration efforts should protect peatlands from further degradation. These findings will benefit future management and planning for forest reserves.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139017929","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-23DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01684-5
Xiaoxu Wei, Jianfeng Peng, Jinbao Li, Jinkuan Li, Meng Peng, Xuan Li, Yameng Liu, Jiaxin Li
Abstract
A set of standard chronologies for tree-ring width (TRW), earlywood width (EWW) and latewood width (LWW) in Pinus tabuliformis Carr. along an altitudinal gradient (1450, 1400, and 1350 m a.s.l.) on Baiyunshan Mountain, Central China to analyze the effect of varying temperature and precipitation on growth along the gradient. Correlation analyses showed that at all three altitudes and the TRW and EWW chronologies generally had significant negative correlations with mean and maximum temperatures in the current April and May and with minimum temperatures in the prior July and August, but significant positive correlations with precipitation in the current May. Correlations were generally significantly negative between LWW chronologies and all temperatures in the prior July and August, indicating that the prior summer temperature had a strong lag effect on the growth of P. tabuliformis that increased with altitude. The correlation with the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) confirmed that wet conditions in the current May promoted growth of TR and EW at all altitudes. Significant altitudinal differences were also found; at 1400 m, there were significant positive correlations between EWW chronologies and SPEI in the current April and significant negative correlations between LWW chronologies and SPEI in the current September, but these correlations were not significant at 1450 m. At 1350 m, there were also significant negative correlations between the TRW and the EWW chronologies and SPEI in the prior October and the current July and between LWW chronology and SPEI in the current August, but these correlations were not significant at 1400 m. Moving correlation results showed a stable response of EWW in relation to the SPEI in the current May at all three altitudes and of LWW to maximum temperature in the prior July–August at 1400 m from 2002 to 2018. The EWW chronology at 1400 m and the LWW chronology at 1450 m were identified as more suitable for climate reconstruction. These results provide a strong scientific basis for forest management decisions and climate reconstructions in Central China.
{"title":"Climate-growth relationships of Pinus tabuliformis along an altitudinal gradient on Baiyunshan Mountain, Central China","authors":"Xiaoxu Wei, Jianfeng Peng, Jinbao Li, Jinkuan Li, Meng Peng, Xuan Li, Yameng Liu, Jiaxin Li","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01684-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01684-5","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Abstract</h3> <p>A set of standard chronologies for tree-ring width (TRW), earlywood width (EWW) and latewood width (LWW) in <em>Pinus tabuliformis</em> Carr. along an altitudinal gradient (1450, 1400, and 1350 m a.s.l.) on Baiyunshan Mountain, Central China to analyze the effect of varying temperature and precipitation on growth along the gradient. Correlation analyses showed that at all three altitudes and the TRW and EWW chronologies generally had significant negative correlations with mean and maximum temperatures in the current April and May and with minimum temperatures in the prior July and August, but significant positive correlations with precipitation in the current May. Correlations were generally significantly negative between LWW chronologies and all temperatures in the prior July and August, indicating that the prior summer temperature had a strong lag effect on the growth of <em>P. tabuliformis</em> that increased with altitude. The correlation with the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) confirmed that wet conditions in the current May promoted growth of TR and EW at all altitudes. Significant altitudinal differences were also found; at 1400 m, there were significant positive correlations between EWW chronologies and SPEI in the current April and significant negative correlations between LWW chronologies and SPEI in the current September, but these correlations were not significant at 1450 m. At 1350 m, there were also significant negative correlations between the TRW and the EWW chronologies and SPEI in the prior October and the current July and between LWW chronology and SPEI in the current August, but these correlations were not significant at 1400 m. Moving correlation results showed a stable response of EWW in relation to the SPEI in the current May at all three altitudes and of LWW to maximum temperature in the prior July–August at 1400 m from 2002 to 2018. The EWW chronology at 1400 m and the LWW chronology at 1450 m were identified as more suitable for climate reconstruction. These results provide a strong scientific basis for forest management decisions and climate reconstructions in Central China.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139018035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-22DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01658-7
Jianfeng Peng, Jiayue Cui, Jinbao Li, Meng Peng, Yongtao Ma, Xiaoxu Wei, Jinkuan Li, Xuan Li, Yamen Liu, Jiaxin Li
{"title":"Microenvironmental effects on growth response of Pinus massoniana to climate at its northern boundary in the Tongbai Mountains, Central China","authors":"Jianfeng Peng, Jiayue Cui, Jinbao Li, Meng Peng, Yongtao Ma, Xiaoxu Wei, Jinkuan Li, Xuan Li, Yamen Liu, Jiaxin Li","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01658-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01658-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"1 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138944940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-20DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01673-8
Suresh Chandra Subedi, Seth Drake, Binaya Adhikari, Mark V. Coggeshall
Quercus arkansana (Arkansas oak) is at risk of becoming endangered, as the total known population size is represented by a few isolated populations. The potential impact of climate change on this species in the near future is high, yet knowledge of its predicted effects is limited. Our study utilized the biomod2 R package to develop habitat suitability ensemble models based on bioclimatic and topographic environmental variables and the known locations of current distribution of Q. arkansana. We predicted suitable habitats across three climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) for 2050, 2070, and 2090. Our findings reveal that the current suitable habitat for Q. arkansana is approximately 127,881 km2 across seven states (Texas, Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, and Florida); approximately 9.5% is encompassed within state and federally managed protected areas. Our models predict that all current suitable habitats will disappear by 2050 due to climate change, resulting in a northward shift into new regions such as Tennessee and Kentucky. The large extent of suitable habitat outside protected areas suggests that a species-specific action plan incorporating protected areas and other areas may be crucial for its conservation. Moreover, protection of Q. arkansana habitat against climate change may require locally and regionally focused conservation policies, adaptive management strategies, and educational outreach among local people.
{"title":"Climate-change habitat shifts for the vulnerable endemic oak species (Quercus arkansana Sarg.)","authors":"Suresh Chandra Subedi, Seth Drake, Binaya Adhikari, Mark V. Coggeshall","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01673-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01673-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><i>Quercus arkansana</i> (Arkansas oak) is at risk of becoming endangered, as the total known population size is represented by a few isolated populations. The potential impact of climate change on this species in the near future is high, yet knowledge of its predicted effects is limited. Our study utilized the biomod2 R package to develop habitat suitability ensemble models based on bioclimatic and topographic environmental variables and the known locations of current distribution of <i>Q. arkansana</i>. We predicted suitable habitats across three climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) for 2050, 2070, and 2090. Our findings reveal that the current suitable habitat for <i>Q. arkansana</i> is approximately 127,881 km<sup>2</sup> across seven states (Texas, Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, and Florida); approximately 9.5% is encompassed within state and federally managed protected areas. Our models predict that all current suitable habitats will disappear by 2050 due to climate change, resulting in a northward shift into new regions such as Tennessee and Kentucky. The large extent of suitable habitat outside protected areas suggests that a species-specific action plan incorporating protected areas and other areas may be crucial for its conservation. Moreover, protection of <i>Q. arkansana</i> habitat against climate change may require locally and regionally focused conservation policies, adaptive management strategies, and educational outreach among local people.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138819322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-20DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01656-9
Antônio Carlos Vargas Motta, Shizuo Maeda, Valdécio dos Santos dos Santos Rodrigues, Tamires Maiara Ercole, Stephen Arthur Prior, Ana Elisa Lyra Brumat, Amanda Pacheco Cardoso Moura, Julierme Zimmer Barbosa, João Bosco Vasconcellos Gomes
Needle chlorosis (NC) in Pinus taeda L. systems in Brazil becomes more frequent after second and third harvest rotation cycles. In a study to identify factors contributing to yellowing needle chorosis (YNC), trees were grown in soils originating from contrasting parent materials, and soils and needles (whole, green and chlorotic portions) from 1- and 2-year-old branches and the first and second needle flush release at four sites with YNC on P. taeda were analyzed for various elements and properties. All soils had very low base levels (Ca2+, Mg2+ and K+) and P, suggesting a possible lack of multiple elements. YNC symptoms started at needle tips, then extended toward the needle base with time. First flush needles had longer portions with YNC than second flush needles did. Needles from the lower crown also had more symptoms along their length than those higher in the canopy. Symptoms were similar to those reported for Mg. In chlorotic portions, Mg and Ca concentrations were well below critical values; in particular, Mg levels were only one third of the critical value of 0.3 g kg−1. Collectively, results suggest that Mg deficiency is the primary reason for NC of P. taeda in various parent soils in Brazil.
{"title":"Is magnesium deficiency the major cause of needle chlorosis of Pinus taeda in Brazil?","authors":"Antônio Carlos Vargas Motta, Shizuo Maeda, Valdécio dos Santos dos Santos Rodrigues, Tamires Maiara Ercole, Stephen Arthur Prior, Ana Elisa Lyra Brumat, Amanda Pacheco Cardoso Moura, Julierme Zimmer Barbosa, João Bosco Vasconcellos Gomes","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01656-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01656-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Needle chlorosis (NC) in <i>Pinus taeda</i> L. systems in Brazil becomes more frequent after second and third harvest rotation cycles. In a study to identify factors contributing to yellowing needle chorosis (YNC), trees were grown in soils originating from contrasting parent materials, and soils and needles (whole, green and chlorotic portions) from 1- and 2-year-old branches and the first and second needle flush release at four sites with YNC on <i>P. taeda</i> were analyzed for various elements and properties. All soils had very low base levels (Ca<sup>2+</sup>, Mg<sup>2+</sup> and K<sup>+</sup>) and P, suggesting a possible lack of multiple elements. YNC symptoms started at needle tips, then extended toward the needle base with time. First flush needles had longer portions with YNC than second flush needles did. Needles from the lower crown also had more symptoms along their length than those higher in the canopy. Symptoms were similar to those reported for Mg. In chlorotic portions, Mg and Ca concentrations were well below critical values; in particular, Mg levels were only one third of the critical value of 0.3 g kg<sup>−1</sup>. Collectively, results suggest that Mg deficiency is the primary reason for NC of <i>P. taeda</i> in various parent soils in Brazil.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"46 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138819111","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-19DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01680-9
Abstract
On an agrosilvopastoral farm in central Italy where Maremmana cattle graze in Turkey oak forests, we evaluated the impact of different livestock densities on stand structure, tree diversity and natural regeneration in four types of grazed areas based on the grazing regime adopted: calf-grazed, high-intensity-grazed, low-intensity-grazed, ungrazed control. For each area, we set up three permanent circular plots (radius of 15 m) to survey the structural and dasometric characteristics of the overstorey, understorey, and regeneration layer. The results showed that grazing negatively affected the complexity of the forest structure and its potential to regenerate and maintain a high level of biodiversity. The differences in stand structure observed between the grazing areas were closely related to livestock density. The most sensitive components of the system were the understorey and the regeneration layers. Contrarily, the current grazing management did not affect the dominant tree structure or its composition. Our findings identified medium-term monitoring and regeneration management as the two significant aspects to consider when assessing sustainable livestock. New forests can be established by excluding grazing for about 20–25 years.
{"title":"Impact of cattle density on the structure and natural regeneration of a turkey oak stand on an agrosilvopastoral farm in central Italy","authors":"","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01680-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01680-9","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Abstract</h3> <p>On an agrosilvopastoral farm in central Italy where Maremmana cattle graze in Turkey oak forests, we evaluated the impact of different livestock densities on stand structure, tree diversity and natural regeneration in four types of grazed areas based on the grazing regime adopted: calf-grazed, high-intensity-grazed, low-intensity-grazed, ungrazed control. For each area, we set up three permanent circular plots (radius of 15 m) to survey the structural and dasometric characteristics of the overstorey, understorey, and regeneration layer. The results showed that grazing negatively affected the complexity of the forest structure and its potential to regenerate and maintain a high level of biodiversity. The differences in stand structure observed between the grazing areas were closely related to livestock density. The most sensitive components of the system were the understorey and the regeneration layers. Contrarily, the current grazing management did not affect the dominant tree structure or its composition. Our findings identified medium-term monitoring and regeneration management as the two significant aspects to consider when assessing sustainable livestock. New forests can be established by excluding grazing for about 20–25 years.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138742930","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-16DOI: 10.1007/s11676-023-01663-w
Bo Gao, Yanlong Shan, Xiangyu Liu, Sainan Yin, Bo Yu, Chenxi Cui, Lili Cao
Forest fires are natural disasters that can occur suddenly and can be very damaging, burning thousands of square kilometers. Prevention is better than suppression and prediction models of forest fire occurrence have developed from the logistic regression model, the geographical weighted logistic regression model, the Lasso regression model, the random forest model, and the support vector machine model based on historical forest fire data from 2000 to 2019 in Jilin Province. The models, along with a distribution map are presented in this paper to provide a theoretical basis for forest fire management in this area. Existing studies show that the prediction accuracies of the two machine learning models are higher than those of the three generalized linear regression models. The accuracies of the random forest model, the support vector machine model, geographical weighted logistic regression model, the Lasso regression model, and logistic model were 88.7%, 87.7%, 86.0%, 85.0% and 84.6%, respectively. Weather is the main factor affecting forest fires, while the impacts of topography factors, human and social-economic factors on fire occurrence were similar.
{"title":"Prediction and driving factors of forest fire occurrence in Jilin Province, China","authors":"Bo Gao, Yanlong Shan, Xiangyu Liu, Sainan Yin, Bo Yu, Chenxi Cui, Lili Cao","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01663-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01663-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Forest fires are natural disasters that can occur suddenly and can be very damaging, burning thousands of square kilometers. Prevention is better than suppression and prediction models of forest fire occurrence have developed from the logistic regression model, the geographical weighted logistic regression model, the Lasso regression model, the random forest model, and the support vector machine model based on historical forest fire data from 2000 to 2019 in Jilin Province. The models, along with a distribution map are presented in this paper to provide a theoretical basis for forest fire management in this area. Existing studies show that the prediction accuracies of the two machine learning models are higher than those of the three generalized linear regression models. The accuracies of the random forest model, the support vector machine model, geographical weighted logistic regression model, the Lasso regression model, and logistic model were 88.7%, 87.7%, 86.0%, 85.0% and 84.6%, respectively. Weather is the main factor affecting forest fires, while the impacts of topography factors, human and social-economic factors on fire occurrence were similar.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"91 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138687521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tree-ring chronologies were developed for Sabina saltuaria and Abies faxoniana in mixed forests in the Qionglai Mountains of the eastern Tibetan Plateau. Climate-growth relationship analysis indicated that the two co-existing species reponded similarly to climate factors, although S. saltuaria was more sensitive than A. faxoniana. The strongest correlation was between S. saltuaria chronology and regional mean temperatures from June to November. Based on this relationship, a regional mean temperature from June to November for the period 1605–2016 was constructed. Reconstruction explained 37.3% of the temperature variance during th period 1961–2016. Six major warm periods and five major cold periods were identified. Spectral analysis detected significant interannual and multi-decadal cycles. Reconstruction also revealed the influence of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, confirming its importance on climate change on the eastern Tibetan Plateau.
{"title":"Dendroclimatological study of Sabina saltuaria and Abies faxoniana in the mixed forests of the Qionglai Mountains, eastern Tibetan Plateau","authors":"Teng Li, Jianfeng Peng, Tsun Fung Au, Jingru Li, Jinbao Li, Yue Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s11676-023-01664-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-023-01664-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tree-ring chronologies were developed for <i>Sabina saltuaria</i> and <i>Abies faxoniana</i> in mixed forests in the Qionglai Mountains of the eastern Tibetan Plateau. Climate-growth relationship analysis indicated that the two co-existing species reponded similarly to climate factors, although <i>S. saltuaria</i> was more sensitive than <i>A. faxoniana.</i> The strongest correlation was between <i>S. saltuaria</i> chronology and regional mean temperatures from June to November. Based on this relationship, a regional mean temperature from June to November for the period 1605–2016 was constructed. Reconstruction explained 37.3% of the temperature variance during th period 1961–2016. Six major warm periods and five major cold periods were identified. Spectral analysis detected significant interannual and multi-decadal cycles. Reconstruction also revealed the influence of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, confirming its importance on climate change on the eastern Tibetan Plateau.</p>","PeriodicalId":15830,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forestry Research","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138561927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}