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Trace Elements in Arctic Ocean Aerosols: Contemporary Status and Decadal Variability 北冰洋气溶胶中的微量元素:当代现状和年代际变化
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD045561
Wenkai Guan, Musheng Lan, Ying Ping Lee, Yulong Huang, Hui Lin, Mengli Chen, Jianfang Chen, Ruifeng Zhang

Aerosol trace element (TE) transport serves as a critical driver of marine TE biogeochemical cycles and climate feedback systems. In the rapidly warming Arctic Ocean (AO), however, the contemporary distribution patterns and decadal variability of aerosol TE deposition remain poorly constrained, representing a critical gap in our understanding of current and future Arctic environmental changes. Here, we present extensive shipboard observations of 13 aerosol TEs across the AO during summer 2024. TE concentrations and the enrichment levels of these anthropogenic TEs rank among the lowest globally observed in the AO. The comparable or even elevated mineral- dominated TE concentrations and deposition fluxes (Al, Fe) in the Central AO than Peripheral AO challenge current dust models, potential influenced by sea ice/snow resuspension. Coal combustion (As, Se), non-exhaust vehicular emissions (Ni, Cr), and metallurgical activities (Zn) emerged as primary anthropogenic sources, with detectable anthropogenic imprint even in mineral-dominated TEs (e.g., Fe, Mn). Decadal comparisons with historical records revealed a near ten-fold reduction in Pb and Cd enrichment, contrasting with a near-doubling of V enrichment driven by intensified Arctic shipping. Moreover, the distinct aerosol Fe/Al fractionation between this study and historical observations likely arises from mixing inputs of anthropogenic Fe-rich particles and permafrost-derived Fe-depleted weathering products, which amplify uncertainties in Fe flux estimations derived from dust proxy approaches. This study provides advance understanding of aerosol TE dynamics in the warming Arctic and provide critical constraints for polar biogeochemical cycles.

气溶胶微量元素(TE)运输是海洋TE生物地球化学循环和气候反馈系统的重要驱动因素。然而,在快速变暖的北冰洋(AO)中,气溶胶TE沉积的当代分布模式和年代际变化仍然缺乏限制,这代表了我们对当前和未来北极环境变化的理解的一个关键空白。在这里,我们展示了2024年夏季横跨AO的13个气溶胶te的广泛船载观测。TE浓度和这些人为TE的富集水平在AO中属于全球观测到的最低水平。与周边地区相比,中部地区以矿物为主的TE浓度和沉积通量(Al, Fe)相当甚至更高,这可能受到海冰/雪再悬浮的影响,挑战了当前的沙尘模型。煤炭燃烧(As, Se),非尾气车辆排放(Ni, Cr)和冶金活动(Zn)成为主要的人为来源,即使在矿物主导的TEs(如Fe, Mn)中也有可检测到的人为印记。与历史记录的年代际比较显示,Pb和Cd的富集减少了近10倍,而由于北极航运加剧,V的富集几乎增加了一倍。此外,本研究与历史观测结果之间明显的气溶胶Fe/Al分异可能源于人为富铁颗粒和永久冻土产生的缺铁风化产物的混合输入,这增加了由沙尘替代方法得出的铁通量估算的不确定性。这项研究提供了对北极变暖中气溶胶TE动力学的深入了解,并为极地生物地球化学循环提供了关键的约束条件。
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引用次数: 0
The Characteristics of Pekeris Modes Revealed by Long-Term Reanalysis Data JAWARA Covering the Entire Middle Atmosphere 覆盖整个中部大气的JAWARA长期再分析资料揭示的Pekeris模态特征
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD045099
Hiroto Sekido, Kaoru Sato

The characteristics of Pekeris modes as well as Lamb modes are investigated using the new reanalysis data set JAWARA, which spans over 19 years and covers the entire middle atmosphere. Pekeris modes are a class of global normal modes whose energy is trapped in two height regions that is, around the stratopause and the surface, while the energy of Lamb mode is trapped only at the surface. Statistically significant spectral peaks corresponding to both Pekeris and Lamb modes are detected for seven normal modes. The vertical structures closely match theoretical expectations for most modes. Notably, the geopotential height amplitudes of the Pekeris modes are comparable to or greater than those of the Lamb modes in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere, suggesting an important role for Pekeris modes in the dynamics of this region. On the other hand, the Lamb modes are dominant in the stratosphere.

利用JAWARA再分析数据集,研究了跨度超过19年、覆盖整个中部大气的Pekeris模态和Lamb模态的特征。Pekeris模态是一类全局正态模态,其能量被捕获在平流层顶周围和地表两个高度区域,而Lamb模态的能量只被捕获在地表。在7个正常模态中检测到Pekeris模态和Lamb模态对应的统计显著的光谱峰。垂直结构与大多数模态的理论期望值非常接近。值得注意的是,在中间层和低层热层中,Pekeris模态的位势高度幅值与Lamb模态相当或大于Lamb模态,这表明Pekeris模态在该地区的动力学中起着重要作用。另一方面,兰姆模态在平流层占主导地位。
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引用次数: 0
Non-Ideal Treatment of Organic Aerosol Reveals Its Missing Sources and Improves PM2.5 Prediction 有机气溶胶的非理想处理揭示其缺失源,提高PM2.5预测
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD044333
Xiaoxi Zhao, Xiujuan Zhao, Zirui Liu, Long Jia, Bo Hu

Organic aerosols (OAs) exhibit non-ideal behaviors that challenge conventional models assuming ideal equilibrium partitioning. This study integrates a unified kinetic framework into WRF-Chem model to handle non-ideal evolution of OAs with considering kinetic mass transfer process with multidirectional interactions (particle surface area, volume, molecular weight) governed by Fick's second law. Simulations in winter of the North China Plain (NCP) reveal that non-ideal treatment enhances condensation of organics species and water vapor, amplifies interactions between OA, aerosol liquid water content (ALWC), and secondary inorganic aerosols (SIA, pSO42−, pNO3 and pNH4+). The revised framework reduces mean bias in OA and SIA predictions from normalized mean bias (NMB) of −18.4% to −2.9%, −33.4% to −23.0%, −2.0% to −0.3%, and −35.4% to −30.2%, respectively, achieves better performance in reproducing ALWC with better correlation (from 0.81 to 0.88), and improves PM2.5 modeling accuracy (NMB from −18.0% to −9.5%) in “2 + 26” city cluster among the NCP. The framework enhances predictions without modifying chemical mechanisms and suggests a potential reductions in direct radiative forcing estimation (−0.77 W/m2 among the NCP). The findings advocate urgent integrating non-ideal behavior of OA into air quality models to advance aerosol prediction.

有机气溶胶(OAs)表现出非理想的行为,挑战了假设理想平衡分配的传统模型。本研究将统一的动力学框架整合到WRF-Chem模型中,考虑Fick第二定律下多向相互作用(粒子表面积、体积、分子量)的动力学传质过程,处理OAs的非理想演化。在华北平原冬季的模拟结果表明,非理想处理增强了有机物和水蒸气的凝结,放大了OA、气溶胶液态水含量(ALWC)和二次无机气溶胶(SIA、pSO42−、pNO3−和pNH4+)之间的相互作用。修正后的框架将OA和SIA预测的平均偏差(NMB)分别从- 18.4%降至- 2.9%、- 33.4%降至- 23.0%、- 2.0%降至- 0.3%和- 35.4%降至- 30.2%,在重现ALWC方面取得了更好的效果,相关性从0.81降至0.88,并提高了NCP“2 + 26”城市群的PM2.5建模精度(NMB从- 18.0%降至- 9.5%)。该框架在不修改化学机制的情况下增强了预测,并表明直接辐射强迫估计可能会减少(在NCP中为- 0.77 W/m2)。研究结果表明,迫切需要将OA的非理想行为整合到空气质量模型中,以推进气溶胶预测。
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引用次数: 0
Distinct Impacts of Aerosol Size on Aerosol-Cloud Interactions Over Ocean and Land Regions in Eastern China 中国东部海洋和陆地气溶胶大小对气溶胶-云相互作用的显著影响
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD045635
Yongen Liang, Chuanfeng Zhao, Yikun Yang, Xin Zhao, Jiefeng Li, Annan Chen

Representation of aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI) remains one of the largest uncertainties in climate models and our understanding of climate change. Using multisource cloud, aerosol, and meteorology data during summer of 2015–2024, this study investigates ACI from the perspective of aerosol size (denoted by Ångström exponent, AE) over the ocean and land in eastern China. Our findings reveal that at a fixed cloud water path, the cloud droplet effective radius (CER) increases with the aerosol index (AI) under high-AE conditions (fine-mode aerosols), while CER decreases with increasing AI when AE is below 1.4 (coarse-mode aerosols) in both regions. We interpret the opposite correlations as arising from aerosol size-dependent regulation of cloud-nucleating ability, which leads to distinct dominant cloud microphysical processes. Over land, smaller aerosols with lower cloud-nucleating ability lead to weaker competition for water vapor and the collision-coalescence process becomes dominant due to the enhanced turbulence as aerosols increase. Conversely, activation efficiency is significantly stronger for coarse-mode aerosols over the ocean and the competition effect becomes the dominant process. In addition, the dominant aerosol size decreases as cloud top pressure increases over land, leading to a transition in the CER-AI relationships from negative to positive. The link between lower cloud tops and finer aerosols is consistent with the enhanced radiative stabilization induced by a higher proportion of fine aerosols (often light-absorbing). In contrast, AE values over the ocean remain consistently low, resulting in persistent negative correlations. Despite variations in meteorological conditions, the opposite correlations under dominant coarse- and fine-mode aerosol conditions still exist.

气溶胶-云相互作用(ACI)的表示仍然是气候模式和我们对气候变化的理解中最大的不确定性之一。利用2015-2024年夏季的多源云、气溶胶和气象资料,从气溶胶大小(以Ångström指数表示,AE)的角度研究了中国东部海洋和陆地的ACI。结果表明:在固定云水路径下,高AE条件下(细模式气溶胶)云滴有效半径(CER)随气溶胶指数(AI)增大而增大,而AE < 1.4时(粗模式气溶胶)云滴有效半径(CER)随AI增大而减小。我们将相反的相关性解释为气溶胶大小对云成核能力的依赖调节,这导致了明显的主导云微物理过程。在陆地上,较小的气溶胶和较低的云成核能力导致对水蒸气的竞争减弱,随着气溶胶的增加,湍流增强,碰撞-合并过程成为主导。相反,海洋上空的粗态气溶胶的活化效率显著增强,竞争效应成为主导过程。此外,随着陆地上云顶压的增加,主导气溶胶大小减小,导致CER-AI关系由负向正转变。较低的云顶与较细的气溶胶之间的联系与较高比例的细气溶胶(通常是吸收光的)所引起的增强的辐射稳定性是一致的。相比之下,海洋上的声发射值一直很低,导致持续的负相关。尽管气象条件有所变化,但在主要的粗模和细模气溶胶条件下,相反的相关性仍然存在。
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引用次数: 0
A Helicity-Based Analysis of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex Evolution 基于螺旋度的平流层极涡演化分析
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD043817
Niklas Dusch, Victor Avsarkisov

The Arctic atmosphere in the winter months of the Northern Hemisphere is influenced by a stratospheric polar vortex, characterized by strong westerly circumpolar winds and extremely low temperatures. These vortices impact surface weather in various ways, and their dynamics may be affected by recent anthropogenic climate change. However, key aspects of these dynamics, such as the processes of energy and helicity cascading, remain unclear. In this study, we propose a novel approach to studying polar vortex dynamics that considers kinetic helicity. Mainly using ERA5 reanalysis data but also Aeolus Level 2C wind data, we examine the evolution of kinetic helicity in the stratosphere over the Arctic region during winter 2022/23. Our focus is on the formation and stability of the polar vortex, as well as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). We find that the polar vortex is strongly helical, with the sign of kinetic helicity depending on the evolutionary stage of the vortex. Our analysis of the kinetic energy and kinetic helicity spectra reveals the presence of dual cascades during vortex formation. The spectral properties of the stratosphere over the Arctic change seasonally and as a function of the magnitude of the kinetic energy and helicity, with spectra being steeper during polar vortex activity. Similar correlations are absent for the spectra in the troposphere. Finally, we found that the evolution of kinetic enstrophy and helicity can predict the occurrence of SSWs with an accuracy of approximately 8 days.

北半球冬季的北极大气受到平流层极地涡旋的影响,其特征是强烈的西风绕极风和极低的温度。这些涡旋以各种方式影响地表天气,它们的动态可能受到最近人为气候变化的影响。然而,这些动力学的关键方面,如能量和螺旋级联的过程,仍然不清楚。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种新的方法来研究极地涡旋动力学,考虑动力学螺旋度。利用ERA5再分析资料和Aeolus Level 2C风资料,研究了2022/23年冬季北极地区平流层动力学螺旋度的演变。我们的重点是极地涡旋的形成和稳定性,以及平流层突然变暖(SSWs)。我们发现极地涡旋是强螺旋的,并根据涡旋的演化阶段表现出动力螺旋的特征。我们对涡旋动能和涡度谱的分析揭示了涡旋形成过程中双级联的存在。北极上空平流层的光谱特性随季节变化,并作为动能和螺旋度大小的函数,在极地涡旋活动期间光谱更陡峭。对流层的光谱没有类似的相关性。最后,我们发现动力熵和螺旋度的演变可以预测SSWs的发生,精度约为8天。
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引用次数: 0
Assimilation of 0–20 cm Soil Moisture Effectively Prompts Soil Profile and Land Surface Flux Simulation 0-20 cm土壤水分同化有效促进土壤剖面和地表通量模拟
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD045249
Heng Zhou, Long Zhao, Jianhong Zhou, Suping Nie, Jinyan Chen

Satellite remotely sensed (RS) soil moisture (SM) is commonly assimilated to leverage land surface modeling. However, the improvement in deep soil simulation remains challenging as limited by the relative shallow penetration depth (< 5 cm). With advancements in satellite RS technologies like P-band sensors, retrieving deeper SM has become increasingly feasible. Here, we demonstrate the potentially added value of enriched deep soil moisture information in land surface data assimilation (DA) by using ground-based SM observations from a dense monitoring network in the central Tibetan Plateau. Specifically, a cost function-based multi-layer SM DA framework is developed to optimize soil texture profiles and organic matter content. A series of DA experiments were conducted to explore the optimal assimilation and optimization depths. The results suggest that assimilation of top 20 cm SM is adequate to reasonably optimize key soil parameters for all soil layers, and thereby improves SM estimates to the depth of 40 cm. This improvement can further propagate into soil temperature profiles and surface flux (e.g., evapotranspiration) estimates. Besides, the performance of deep SM DA is found insensitive to assimilation frequency varying up to 5 days, highlighting the promise and feasibility of regional land DA with 0–20 cm SM products, which are readily accessible from future satellite missions.

卫星遥感(RS)土壤湿度(SM)通常被同化以利用地表模拟。然而,由于相对较浅的穿透深度(< 5 cm)的限制,深层土壤模拟的改进仍然具有挑战性。随着p波段传感器等卫星RS技术的进步,获取更深层的SM已变得越来越可行。本文利用青藏高原中部密集监测网络的地面SM观测数据,论证了丰富的深层土壤水分信息在地表数据同化(DA)中的潜在附加价值。在此基础上,建立了基于成本函数的多层SM数据分析框架,对土壤质地剖面和有机质含量进行优化。为了探索最优同化和最优深度,进行了一系列数据分析实验。结果表明,20 cm表层土壤同化足以合理优化各土层的关键土壤参数,从而提高40 cm深度的土壤同化估算值。这种改进可以进一步推广到土壤温度剖面和地表通量(如蒸散发)估算中。此外,深度SM数据的性能对同化频率变化不敏感,这突出了0-20 cm SM产品的区域陆地数据的前景和可行性,这些产品很容易从未来的卫星任务中获得。
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引用次数: 0
Global Atmospheric Release of Methoxyphenols From Wildfires 全球大气中野火释放的甲氧基酚
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD045402
Yechao Shen, Minghui Zheng, Guorui Liu

Wildfires burn surface vegetation and release lignin-derived compounds, such as methoxyphenols. Methoxyphenols in the atmosphere are pivotal in modulating climate change, secondary particle pollution, and human health risks. However, the quantity of methoxyphenol emissions from vegetation due to wildfires and their spatiotemporal trends remain unclear on a global scale. Here, we established a global atmospheric emission inventory of methoxyphenol due to wildfires at 0.25° × 0.25° resolution from 2001 to 2020, and clarified their global spatial distribution and seasonal variations. The annual emissions of methoxyphenol released by wildfires globally range from 798.6 to 1385.3 Gg, with Africa being the region with the highest emissions. Among the cumulative emissions of methoxyphenols, the emission of methyl syringol is the highest, reaching 2809.6 Gg. Simultaneously, alkyl and ketone substituents have higher emissions than those of acid substances. For land cover types, the proportion of methoxyphenols emitted from the burning of deciduous broadleaf forests is the highest, possibly because the fallen leaves provide ample fuel for the fire. These findings depict the global methoxyphenol pollution caused by wildfires, providing a foundation for further exploration of the methoxyphenols-mediated environmental, climate, and health effects from wildfires.

野火燃烧地表植被并释放木质素衍生化合物,如甲氧基酚。大气中的甲氧基酚在调节气候变化、二次颗粒污染和人类健康风险方面发挥着关键作用。然而,在全球尺度上,森林火灾造成的植被甲氧基酚排放量及其时空变化趋势尚不清楚。在此基础上,建立了2001 - 2020年全球森林大火造成的甲氧基酚排放清查表,并在0.25°× 0.25°分辨率下对其全球空间分布和季节变化进行了分析。全球野火释放的甲氧基苯酚年排放量在798.6 ~ 1385.3 Gg之间,其中非洲是排放量最高的地区。在甲氧基酚类的累积排放量中,甲基丁香醇的排放量最高,达到2809.6 Gg,同时烷基和酮类取代基的排放量高于酸性物质。就土地覆盖类型而言,落叶阔叶林燃烧释放的甲氧基酚的比例最高,这可能是因为落叶为火灾提供了充足的燃料。这些发现描述了全球野火造成的甲氧基酚污染,为进一步探索野火对甲氧基酚介导的环境、气候和健康影响奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Offshore Wind and Turbulence Prediction for the Northeast US Using a Three-Dimensional PBL Parameterization in the WRF Model at Gray Zone Resolution 灰色区域分辨率WRF模式中三维PBL参数化对美国东北部近海风和湍流预报的评价
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD044765
T. Zaman, T. W. Juliano, B. Kosovic, M. Astitha

Offshore wind power plays a vital role in the expanding renewable energy landscape of the Northeast US. Accurate prediction of wind and turbulence is essential for optimizing the efficiency and reliability of offshore wind farms; however, boundary layer flows in the offshore environment can be complex. To address this challenge, our study uses an advanced three-dimensional planetary boundary-layer (PBL) scheme within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to predict hub-height wind and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) for the Northeast US offshore region. We conducted a comprehensive evaluation of sub-kilometric, gray-zone mesoscale WRF simulations with measurements of hub-height wind and TKE, buoyancy and wind shear taken at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution's Air-sea Interaction Tower (ASIT). Our evaluation for different synoptic forcings, clustered based on self-organizing map analysis, revealed a good agreement between the predicted and observed hub-height wind speed, while the hub-height TKE evaluation had mixed performance. TKE was generally overpredicted in stable conditions, especially for strongly forced nodes with predominant southerly flow. In contrast, the model performed well in weakly forced, northerly flow regimes, regardless of stability. The overprediction of TKE under stable conditions was linked to misclassification of atmospheric stability, a known limitation in stable boundary layer parameterizations.

海上风电在美国东北部不断扩大的可再生能源版图中扮演着至关重要的角色。准确预测风力和湍流对于优化海上风电场的效率和可靠性至关重要;然而,海上环境中的边界层流动可能是复杂的。为了应对这一挑战,我们的研究在天气研究与预报(WRF)模型中使用了先进的三维行星边界层(PBL)方案来预测美国东北部近海地区的中心高度风和湍流动能(TKE)。我们利用伍兹霍尔海洋研究所的海气相互作用塔(ASIT)测量的中心高度风和TKE、浮力和风切变数据,对亚公里、灰色地带中尺度WRF模拟进行了综合评估。我们对不同天气强迫的评价,基于自组织图分析聚类,显示预报和观测的中心高度风速具有较好的一致性,而中心高度TKE评价的结果则好坏参半。在稳定条件下,TKE通常被高估,特别是在以南风为主的强强迫节点。相比之下,该模型在弱强迫、偏北气流状态下表现良好,而不考虑稳定性。稳定条件下TKE的高估与大气稳定性的错误分类有关,这是稳定边界层参数化的一个已知限制。
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引用次数: 0
The Memories of Soil Moisture and Soil Temperature Anomalies in Subsequent Soil Moisture and Soil Temperature in China 中国土壤湿度和土壤温度异常在后续土壤湿度和土壤温度中的记忆
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1029/2025JD044117
Yaoming Song, Haishan Chen, Lin Wang, Anning Huang, Wei Gu

The memories of soil moisture (SM) and soil temperature (ST) modulate the effect of land surface on climate prediction on monthly and longer timescales. Based on a Lagrangian-based understanding of SM and ST memories, this study explores the characteristics of SM and ST memories using ERA5-Land reanalysis data, observations, land surface model and WRF model. The results show that SM and ST memories are longer in North China, Northeast China, Northwest China and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau than in other regions of China, even exceeding 10 months. In the southern part of China, memories are short, approximately 0–6 months. SM memories have similar spatial distributions at different soil depths over 12 months, as do ST memories. The WRF-simulated memories show generally consistent spatial patterns with ERA5-Land but are lower in some regions. Moreover, SM and ST anomalies mainly persist in the form of subsequent SM and ST anomalies, respectively. The relationships between the memories and land surface fluxes exhibit distinct characteristics in arid and wet regions. The memories of SM anomalies are longer in frozen soil, non-flood season and the arid-humid transition zone. Additionally, SM and ST memories are characterized with clear monthly and decadal variations, which may be related to some oceanic and atmospheric patterns. This study advances the understanding of critical processes linking land conditions before a certain time to atmosphere thereafter.

土壤湿度(SM)和土壤温度(ST)的记忆调节了月尺度和更长时间尺度上陆地表面对气候预测的影响。基于拉格朗日理论,利用ERA5-Land再分析数据、观测数据、陆面模型和WRF模型,探讨了SM和ST记忆的特征。结果表明,华北、东北、西北和青藏高原地区的SM和ST记忆时间较长,甚至超过10个月。在中国南方,记忆很短,大约0-6个月。在12个月内,SM记忆在不同土壤深度具有相似的空间分布,ST记忆也是如此。wrf模拟的记忆与ERA5-Land的空间模式基本一致,但在某些区域较低。此外,SM和ST异常主要分别以后续SM和ST异常的形式持续存在。在干湿地区,记忆与地表通量之间的关系表现出明显的特征。冻土区、非汛期和干湿过渡带对SM异常的记忆较长。此外,SM和ST记忆具有明显的月代际变化特征,这可能与某些海洋和大气模式有关。这项研究促进了对特定时间之前的陆地条件与之后的大气条件之间联系的关键过程的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Employing Machine Learning for New Particle Formation Identification and Mechanistic Analysis: Insights From a Six-Year Observational Study in the Southern Great Plains 利用机器学习进行新粒子形成识别和机制分析:来自南部大平原6年观测研究的见解
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1029/2024JD043116
Weixing Hao, Manisha Mehra, Gaurav Budhwani, T. C. Chakraborty, Fan Mei, Yang Wang

We present a supervised machine learning (ML) framework to automatically identify new particle formation (NPF) events and analyze key atmospheric factors associated with their occurrence and growth. We applied ML to detect NPF events using start time and particle concentrations across size ranges, while identifying atmospheric variables including ambient temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation intensity (SRI), wind speed, wind direction, boundary layer height, total organics, sulfate, nitrate, total surface area concentration, sulfur dioxide, and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). We analyzed a 6-year data set from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, USA. Using long-term ground-based measurements, we identified NPF events and applied Random Forest Classifiers, which achieved 90%–95% prediction accuracy. Feature importance analysis highlighted SRI, relative humidity, and ambient temperature as the most influential variables, contributing normalized importances of 28%, 17%, and 10%. Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs) indicated that higher SRI and lower relative humidity were critical in promoting NPF formation at SGP. Seasonally, NPF events were more frequent in winter (42.1%) and spring (35.5%), and least in summer (4.0%). Particle growth rates also exhibited a seasonal variation, with the lowest in winter (below 2 nm hr−1) and highest in late spring and early summer (exceeding 5 nm hr−1). Temperature, turbulent kinetic energy, and aerosol properties were the primary factors of growth rate variability. This study advances predictive modeling of NPF, offers insights for future campaign deployments, and demonstrates the effectiveness of ML in understanding the formation and growth of atmospheric aerosols.

我们提出了一个有监督的机器学习(ML)框架,用于自动识别新粒子形成(NPF)事件,并分析与其发生和增长相关的关键大气因子。我们使用ML来检测NPF事件,使用开始时间和颗粒浓度在不同尺寸范围内,同时识别大气变量,包括环境温度、相对湿度、太阳辐射强度(SRI)、风速、风向、边界层高度、总有机物、硫酸盐、硝酸盐、总表面积浓度、二氧化硫和湍流动能(TKE)。我们分析了美国俄克拉荷马州南部大平原(SGP)站点6年的大气辐射测量数据集。通过长期地面测量,我们识别了NPF事件并应用随机森林分类器,预测准确率达到90%-95%。特征重要性分析强调,SRI、相对湿度和环境温度是最具影响力的变量,其标准化重要性分别为28%、17%和10%。偏相关图(pdp)表明,较高的SRI和较低的相对湿度对SGP NPF的形成至关重要。从季节上看,NPF事件在冬季(42.1%)和春季(35.5%)最为频繁,夏季最少(4.0%)。颗粒生长速率也存在季节变化,冬季最低(低于2 nm hr−1),春末夏初最高(超过5 nm hr−1)。温度、湍流动能和气溶胶性质是影响生长速率变率的主要因素。这项研究推进了NPF的预测建模,为未来的战役部署提供了见解,并证明了ML在理解大气气溶胶形成和增长方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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