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2023 IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)最新文献

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Local Energy Marketplace Agents-based Analysis 基于本地能源市场主体的分析
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131139
A. Boumaiza, A. Sanfilippo
Establishment of distributed energy generation through the home and commercial PV applications contributed to the emergence of the energy prosumer role, eliminating the distinction between energy producers and consumers. Blockchain technology provides a different and secure energy-trading solution by automating direct energy transactions within a distributed database architecture. It leverages cryptographic hashing and consensus-based verification. This study aims to implement a versatile Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) simulation framework for electricity exchange to assess the capability of Blockchain technology in household power usage prediction (see Fig. 1). A robust multi-agent structure was created and simulated for Transactive Energy (TE) Distributed Energy Resources (DER) within the ECCH microgrid, using Blockchain technology. The study found that Blockchain-based Local Energy Markets (LEMs) rely on precise short-term forecasts of individual households' energy production and consumption, which are often overlooked. The study initially assessed the accuracy of energy forecasting techniques for specific households to test this assumption. The second step analyzed prediction errors under three different supply scenarios in the market. The results showed low forecasting errors in an LSTM model, which was then integrated into a LEM built on a Blockchain. The research highlights the importance of accurate time series estimation of smart meter data1.
通过家庭和商业光伏应用建立分布式能源发电有助于能源生产消费者角色的出现,消除了能源生产者和消费者之间的区别。区块链技术通过在分布式数据库架构中自动化直接能源交易,提供了一种不同的安全能源交易解决方案。它利用了加密散列和基于共识的验证。本研究旨在为电力交换实现一个通用的基于代理的建模(ABM)仿真框架,以评估区块链技术在家庭用电量预测中的能力(见图1)。使用区块链技术,为ECCH微电网内的交易能源(TE)分布式能源(DER)创建并模拟了一个强大的多代理结构。该研究发现,基于区块链的本地能源市场(LEMs)依赖于对单个家庭能源生产和消费的精确短期预测,而这一点往往被忽视。该研究最初评估了特定家庭能源预测技术的准确性,以验证这一假设。第二步分析了三种不同市场供应情景下的预测误差。结果显示,LSTM模型的预测误差很低,然后将其集成到基于区块链的LEM中。该研究强调了对智能电表数据进行准确时间序列估计的重要性。
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引用次数: 2
Design Structure Matrix For Design Assurance and Management: The Case of CubeSats 面向设计保证与管理的设计结构矩阵:以立方体卫星为例
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131105
N. Chitsaz, M. Efatmaneshnik
Systems engineering is suitably applied to space programming due to the multidisciplinary and complex nature of space missions where systematic design methods are commonly utilized. For designing a spacecraft, knowledge and expertise from different disciplines are required and numerous projects and subprojects need to work simultaneously and in close coordination. The purpose of this article is to analyze the system design process for a CubeSat using a design structure matrix. Considering the characteristics of the design structure matrix method is a powerful design tool that assists in managing the complexity of system design with many parameters. The design structure matrix method offers advantages to address these deficiencies in the design process of a satellite because it considers multiple factors that exist in the design process. The design structure matrix method helps reduce repetitions in the process. This method has been used to show the interdependent relationships between the different components of CubeSat and present the design process at the system level. In this study, 4 main components and their effect on each other have been demonstrated. The process was identified in the form of a matrix. This study aimed to capture the issues, activities, challenges, and opportunities for improving the conception, design, manufacture, testing, launch and operation of small satellite missions and identify lessons learned for process improvements of future missions.
系统工程适合应用于空间规划,因为空间任务的多学科和复杂的性质,系统设计方法通常被使用。为了设计航天器,需要不同学科的知识和专门知识,许多项目和子项目需要同时进行并密切协调。本文的目的是利用设计结构矩阵分析立方体卫星的系统设计过程。考虑到设计结构的特点,矩阵法是一种强大的设计工具,可以帮助管理多参数系统设计的复杂性。设计结构矩阵法考虑了卫星设计过程中存在的多种因素,为解决卫星设计过程中的这些不足提供了优势。设计结构矩阵法有助于减少过程中的重复。该方法已被用于显示立方体卫星不同组件之间的相互依赖关系,并在系统级呈现设计过程。本研究对4个主要成分及其相互作用进行了论证。该过程以矩阵的形式确定。本研究旨在了解改进小卫星任务的概念、设计、制造、测试、发射和操作的问题、活动、挑战和机会,并确定改进未来任务过程的经验教训。
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引用次数: 0
Distributed Disaggregated Communications via Reinforcement Learning and Backpressure (D2CRaB) 基于强化学习和背压的分布式分类通信(D2CRaB)
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131166
Mu-Cheng Wang, P. Hershey
This is a practitioner paper focused on the real problem of effectively communicating within distributed and disaggregated multi-domain battlespace operational environments. To do so, communications systems must be adaptive in response to ever-changing on-mission events such as, network congestion (e.g., degraded comms links and excessive network traffic), enemy interference (e.g., jamming, cyber-attacks), line of Sight degradation (e.g., weather conditions). These challenges cause networks to drop packets, and presently they do so according to pre-specified Quality of Service (QoS) policies. However, these QoS policies alone do not actually mitigate the congestion problem because if the impacted streams employ the reliable communication protocols, such as TCP, packets being dropped will be retransmitted over the same route. Thus, this approach can make the congestion problem even worse and waste the valuable bandwidth.The approach presented here introduces the novel Distributed Disaggregated Communications via Reinforcement Learning (RL) and Backpressure (D2CRaB) scheme to address the above stated problem. D2CRaB accomplishes this in two ways: (1) by bridging route selection and congestion control via the backpressure scheme and (2) by leveraging RL to enable the dynamic and continuous adaptation of network situation.
这是一篇实践性的论文,关注在分布式和分解的多域战场空间作战环境中有效通信的实际问题。为此,通信系统必须适应不断变化的任务事件,如网络拥塞(例如,通信链路退化和过度网络流量)、敌人干扰(例如,干扰、网络攻击)、视线退化(例如,天气条件)。这些挑战导致网络丢弃数据包,目前它们根据预先指定的服务质量(QoS)策略这样做。然而,这些QoS策略本身并不能真正缓解拥塞问题,因为如果受影响的流采用可靠的通信协议(如TCP),被丢弃的数据包将通过相同的路由重新传输。因此,这种方法会使拥塞问题更加严重,并浪费宝贵的带宽。本文提出的方法引入了基于强化学习(RL)和背压(D2CRaB)方案的新型分布式分解通信来解决上述问题。D2CRaB通过两种方式实现这一目标:(1)通过背压方案桥接路由选择和拥塞控制;(2)利用RL实现对网络情况的动态和连续适应。
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引用次数: 0
Open-source CubeSat MBSE Approach to Address Traceability: Power Subsystem 地址可追溯性的开源CubeSat MBSE方法:电源子系统
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131054
Charlotte Strobbe, Sophia Salas Cordero, R. Vingerhoeds
The benefits of using Model-based System Engineering (MBSE) approaches for the development of projects go beyond just replacing document-centric methods. MBSE is expected to aid in the ability to manage complexity and capture knowledge. By using MBSE approaches on CubeSats this paper aims to address notions of traceability and how system models can be used to verify the fulfillment of requirements. This work is carried out in Papyrus, an open-source model-based engineering tool, and builds on existing studies regarding CubeSats system models. The development of these sorts of models can benefit future CubeSat developers by reducing design time and cost. These models can also be used in an academic setting to facilitate learning about CubeSats and their design process. In this paper, a CubeSat power subsystem SysML model is presented, while the notion of traceability is introduced by the creation of a specific profile for model assumptions and a java code that allows visualizing the impacts of the change of one or more parameters of the CubeSat model. The model proposed in this paper contains key information about a system, such as requirements, structure, behavior, and analysis. This model-based approach for CubeSat subsystems helps to visualize and understand what is needed for the design of a CubeSat power subsystem, while guaranteeing that the designers are clearly aware of which requirements are being met and which are not.
使用基于模型的系统工程(MBSE)方法进行项目开发的好处不仅仅是取代以文档为中心的方法。预计MBSE将有助于管理复杂性和获取知识的能力。通过在CubeSats上使用MBSE方法,本文旨在解决可追溯性的概念,以及如何使用系统模型来验证需求的实现。这项工作是在Papyrus中进行的,这是一个基于开源模型的工程工具,并建立在关于CubeSats系统模型的现有研究基础上。这些模型的开发可以减少设计时间和成本,从而使未来的立方体卫星开发者受益。这些模型也可以在学术环境中使用,以促进对立方体卫星及其设计过程的学习。在本文中,提出了一个CubeSat电源子系统SysML模型,同时通过为模型假设创建一个特定的概要文件和一个java代码引入了可追溯性的概念,该代码允许可视化CubeSat模型的一个或多个参数变化的影响。本文提出的模型包含了关于系统的关键信息,如需求、结构、行为和分析。这种基于模型的CubeSat子系统方法有助于可视化和理解CubeSat电源子系统的设计需要什么,同时保证设计人员清楚地知道哪些需求得到了满足,哪些没有得到满足。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting of Stock Prices Using Machine Learning Models 使用机器学习模型预测股票价格
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131091
Albert Wong, Juan Figini, A. Raheem, Gaétan Hains, Y. Khmelevsky, Pak Chun Chu
Stock price prediction with machine learning is an oft-studied area where numerous unsolved problems still abound owing to the high complexity and volatility that technical-factors and sentiment-analysis models are trying to capture. Nearly all areas of machine learning (ML) have been tested as solutions to generate a truly accurate predictive model. The accuracy of most models hovers around 50%, highlighting the need for further increases in precision, data handling, forecasting, and ultimately prediction.In this paper we present the result of our work on high-frequency (every fifteen minutes) stock-price prediction using technical data with a number of exogenous variables. These variables are carefully chosen to reflect the conventional wisdom in a traditional stock analysis on historical trend, general stock market condition, and interest rate movement. Several simple machine learning (ML) algorithms were developed to test the premise that with the appropriate variables, even a simple ML model could produce reasonable prediction of stock prices. Therefore, the originality of our approach is a rational selection of relevant and useful features and also on-the-fly model re-training taking advantage of the human time scale of inference (price prediction) and moderate size of the models. Moreover we do not mix any trading strategy with our stock-price prediction experiments, to ensure that conclusions are not context-dependent.Systems that integrate and test sentiment and technical analysis are considered the best candidates for an eventual generalized trading algorithm that can be applied to any stock, future, or traded commodity. However, much work remains to be done in applying natural language processing and the choice of text sources to find the most effective mixture of sentiment and technical analysis. Work on this area will be included in the next phase of our research project and here we have summarized some of the most relevant existing works in this direction.
利用机器学习进行股票价格预测是一个经常被研究的领域,由于技术因素和情绪分析模型试图捕捉的高度复杂性和波动性,许多尚未解决的问题仍然存在。机器学习(ML)的几乎所有领域都已经作为生成真正准确的预测模型的解决方案进行了测试。大多数模型的准确性徘徊在50%左右,这突出了进一步提高精度、数据处理、预测和最终预测的必要性。在本文中,我们提出了我们的高频(每十五分钟)的股票价格预测工作的结果,使用技术数据与一些外生变量。这些变量是精心挑选的,以反映传统股票分析中对历史趋势,一般股票市场状况和利率变动的传统智慧。开发了几个简单的机器学习(ML)算法来测试一个前提,即在适当的变量下,即使是一个简单的ML模型也可以产生合理的股票价格预测。因此,我们方法的独创性在于合理选择相关和有用的特征,以及利用人类推理的时间尺度(价格预测)和模型的适度大小进行实时模型再训练。此外,我们没有将任何交易策略与我们的股价预测实验混合,以确保结论不依赖于上下文。整合和测试情绪和技术分析的系统被认为是最终通用交易算法的最佳候选者,该算法可以应用于任何股票、期货或交易商品。然而,在应用自然语言处理和文本源的选择来找到最有效的情感和技术分析的混合方面,还有很多工作要做。这方面的工作将包括在我们的研究项目的下一阶段,在这里我们总结了一些最相关的现有工作在这一方向。
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引用次数: 2
Identifying Integration Readiness Levels oriented work packages to establish Earned Readiness Management 识别面向工作包的集成准备水平,以建立赢得准备管理
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131071
M. F. C. Júnior, Gabriel T. Jesus, Irineu S. Yassuda, Marcos Nóbrega, Feliciano Silva, P. M. Sousa, Hugo F. L. Santos
The dynamics of innovation in complex products and systems (CoPS) differs from the mass production industries. Integration Readiness Levels (IRL) represent technology maturity related to the integration of two or more technological elements in a system, addressing Technology Readiness Levels (TRL) application challenges. Earned readiness management (ERM) is a method for scheduling, monitoring, and evaluating the development of complex product systems. ERM could incorporate IRL advances, practitioners are adopting IRL and understanding its differences from TRL, and it is relevant to approach technology development projects in a system for value delivery in CoPS. The objective is to identify IRL-oriented work packages to establish ERM for space systems aiming at the application of ERM in CoPS technology development projects. This paper used NASA WBS standards for space flight and for research and technology projects to identify which work package elements could relate to IRL and compose ERM, and used ISO/IEC/IEEE 15288 life cycle process definitions to support the analysis. The results could be expanded to other CoPS sectors as they used broad systems engineering concepts and standards.
复杂产品和系统(CoPS)的创新动态不同于大规模生产行业。集成准备水平(IRL)表示与系统中两个或多个技术元素集成相关的技术成熟度,处理技术准备水平(TRL)应用挑战。获得准备管理(ERM)是一种用于调度、监视和评估复杂产品系统开发的方法。ERM可以结合IRL的进步,从业者正在采用IRL并理解其与TRL的区别,并且它与cop中价值交付系统中的技术开发项目有关。目标是确定面向irl的工作包,以便为空间系统建立ERM,目的是在cop技术发展项目中应用ERM。本文使用NASA WBS标准用于航天飞行和研究与技术项目,以确定哪些工作包元素可能与IRL相关并组成ERM,并使用ISO/IEC/IEEE 15288生命周期过程定义来支持分析。结果可以扩展到其他cop部门,因为它们使用了广泛的系统工程概念和标准。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Architecting Strategy for Partially Developed Products: Challenges and Solutions 部分开发产品的最优架构策略:挑战和解决方案
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131213
Haifeng Zhu, A. McDermott
Functional/logical architecture development using Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) brings in benefits of efficient and less error-prone development for complex products. However, today many enterprises’ existing infrastructures, such as requirements and processes, are not compatible with MBSE technologies. During migration from such a non-MBSE environment to an MBSE paradigm, many challenges arise and cause significant modeling difficulties. Dealing with them incorrectly, beyond errors and usability problems, will at least cause prohibitive costs that likely lead to program failures and prevent the adoption of MBSE. In this paper, these severe challenges are described, and the methods and strategies for functional/logical architecture development for a partially built product are developed. Specifically, an algorithm is devised to find the minimum number of requirements to support the modeling of a specific safety case, a functional element or a system component. In addition, a strategy is developed to architect the functional/logic architecture in an optimal way. With results from a study case of an airplane electrical power system, it is shown that the speed of modeling is significantly improved, some at approximately 5 times. This largely increases the chances of meeting Preliminary Design Review and avoiding program failures, which can enable further motivations of migrating towards MBSE in the enterprise.
使用基于模型的系统工程(MBSE)进行功能/逻辑体系结构开发,可以为复杂产品带来高效且不易出错的开发优势。然而,今天许多企业现有的基础设施,例如需求和流程,都与MBSE技术不兼容。在从这种非MBSE环境迁移到MBSE范式的过程中,会出现许多挑战并导致重大的建模困难。不正确地处理它们,除了错误和可用性问题之外,至少会导致令人望而却步的成本,这可能导致程序失败并阻止MBSE的采用。本文描述了这些严峻的挑战,并为部分构建的产品开发功能/逻辑体系结构的方法和策略。具体来说,设计了一种算法,以找到支持特定安全案例、功能元素或系统组件建模的最小需求数量。此外,还开发了以最佳方式构建功能/逻辑体系结构的策略。以某型飞机电力系统为例,结果表明,该方法的建模速度有了显著提高,有的可提高5倍左右。这在很大程度上增加了满足初步设计审查和避免程序失败的机会,这可以进一步推动企业向MBSE迁移。
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引用次数: 0
Auction-based solution for the ordering problem in robotic self-assembly 基于拍卖的机器人自组装排序问题求解方法
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131207
Kléber M. Cabral, Jefferson Silveira, P. Jardine, S. Givigi
Autonomous construction is a process that uses robots to build structures. In those, the self-assembly denotes the robotic construction solutions where the robots are used as the structure parts. A common problem in self-assembly strategies is that given a homogeneous group of robots (a swarm), how the next robot to assemble a structure can be selected. Such selection can be even more complex if there are multiple structures being assembled simultaneously by the same group of robots. In this paper, we model the selection of robots as a task assignment problem, and we propose an auction-based method to compute an order of which robots will move to structures being assembled. Our algorithms are validated using mathematical proofs and simulations. The analysis of the results shows that our algorithms outperform a baseline selection method while guaranteeing communication between robots in the swarm. Moreover, our solution is shown to be power efficient, reducing battery consumption while the robot is in an idle state, waiting to be assigned.
自主建造是一个使用机器人建造结构的过程。其中,自组装表示机器人作为结构部件使用的机器人施工解决方案。自组装策略中的一个常见问题是给定一组同质机器人(蜂群),如何选择下一个组装结构的机器人。如果同一组机器人同时组装多个结构,这种选择可能会更加复杂。在本文中,我们将机器人的选择建模为任务分配问题,并提出了一种基于拍卖的方法来计算机器人将移动到正在组装的结构中的顺序。我们的算法通过数学证明和模拟得到验证。结果分析表明,我们的算法在保证群体中机器人之间通信的同时,优于基线选择方法。此外,我们的解决方案被证明是节能的,在机器人处于空闲状态等待分配时减少了电池消耗。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the Effectiveness of Modern Technologies on Training Retention and Satisfaction 了解现代技术对培训保留和满意度的有效性
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/SysCon53073.2023.10131103
Andressa Camacho Ortiz, L. D. Otero, Juan C. Avendano, M. Gaal
E-learning has become a very common and useful tool for skill development. After the COVID-19 pandemic, the necessity and adaptability of this method increased drastically. Hence, various studies focused on understanding the effectiveness of this method. The academic literature highlights the need to explore alternative solutions that can increase a learner's content retention and satisfaction when learning online. Modern technologies can be a great solution for this need with the correct application and development. This paper focuses on analyzing the effects of content retention and satisfaction through three technologies: online platform, virtual reality (VR), and hologram display. A quantitative and qualitative pilot study was developed to analyze the impact of the three different methods. Based on the results of the study, the online platform had the highest average score on content retention, and the hologram display had the highest satisfaction rate among all the groups.
电子学习已经成为一种非常普遍和有用的技能发展工具。新冠肺炎疫情发生后,这种方法的必要性和适应性急剧增加。因此,各种研究都集中在了解这种方法的有效性上。学术文献强调了探索替代解决方案的必要性,这些解决方案可以增加学习者在线学习时的内容保留和满意度。通过正确的应用和开发,现代技术可以很好地解决这一需求。本文重点分析了在线平台、虚拟现实(VR)和全息显示三种技术对内容保留和满意度的影响。开展了一项定量和定性的试点研究,以分析这三种不同方法的影响。根据研究结果,在线平台在内容保留上的平均得分最高,全息显示在所有组中满意度最高。
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引用次数: 0
Architecture Design of the Anti-Aircraft System Based on Architecture Framework* 基于体系结构框架的防空系统体系结构设计*
Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1109/syscon53073.2023.10131083
Qingsong Zhao, Qihong Chen, Qunyou Qian, Han Zhao
The anti-aircraft system is a higher level of system consists of many types of systems and plays an irreplaceable role in modern combat. Starting from the design of anti-aircraft system architecture, based on the architecture framework, the anti-aircraft system architecture framework is built from the perspectives of operations, capabilities, systems, equipment, etc., the various view products and the development process of the anti-aircraft system architecture are given. The anti-aircraft system architecture and the development process provides theoretical support and technical reference for the planning, demonstration and design evaluation of the anti-aircraft system.
防空系统是由多种类型的系统组成的更高层次的系统,在现代作战中具有不可替代的作用。从防空系统体系结构设计出发,在体系结构框架的基础上,从作战、能力、系统、装备等角度构建了防空系统体系结构框架,给出了防空系统体系结构的各种视图产品和开发过程。防空系统的体系结构和研制过程为防空系统的规划、论证和设计评价提供了理论支持和技术参考。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2023 IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)
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