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Expectancy-disconfirmation and consumer satisfaction: A meta-analysis 期望-不确认与消费者满意度:一项元分析
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01078-x
Tom Schiebler, Nick Lee, Felix C. Brodbeck

Expectancy-disconfirmation has been the dominant paradigm to explain the formation of consumer satisfaction for over 40 years. Within this paradigm, it is possible for expectations to have opposing effects on consumer satisfaction depending on the underlying psychological processes presupposed. In general, assimilation processes predict positive effects, while contrast processes predict negative effects. A comprehensive assessment of the empirical evidence for these positions is missing. Hence, we provide a meta-analysis of expectancy-disconfirmation research, using 150 records (N = 58,597), to test the direct effects of perceived performance and performance expectations on consumer satisfaction, while also including disconfirmation as a mediator in each path (using meta-analytical path analysis). We found evidence for an overall positive relationship between expectations and consumer satisfaction (r = .29 [0.24, 0.34]) and no evidence supporting contrast effects. Moderator analyses revealed that the positive correlation between performance expectations and consumer satisfaction was significantly stronger for predictive (vs. normative) expectations, for services (vs. goods), and for cross-sectional (vs. longitudinal and experimental) studies. Furthermore, we found an unexpected downward publication bias, which suggests that the true correlation between disconfirmation and consumer satisfaction is higher than the (already high) estimate we found. We discuss how future research can empirically scrutinize popular practitioner views and promote the development of causal explanations, account for non-linear effects, and elucidate the anomalous publication bias found here. 

40多年来,期望-不确认一直是解释消费者满意度形成的主要范式。在这个范例中,期望有可能对消费者满意度产生相反的影响,这取决于预先假定的潜在心理过程。一般来说,同化过程预测积极的影响,而对比过程预测消极的影响。缺乏对这些立场的经验证据的全面评估。因此,我们使用150条记录(N = 58,597)对期望-失证研究进行了元分析,以测试感知绩效和绩效期望对消费者满意度的直接影响,同时还将失证作为每个路径的中介(使用元分析路径分析)。我们发现了期望值与消费者满意度之间总体正相关的证据(r =。29[0.24, 0.34]),没有证据支持对比效应。调节分析显示,在预测性(相对于规范性)期望、服务(相对于商品)和横断面(相对于纵向和实验)研究中,绩效期望与消费者满意度之间的正相关关系明显更强。此外,我们发现了一个意想不到的向下发表偏差,这表明不确认和消费者满意度之间的真实相关性高于我们发现的(已经很高的)估计。我们讨论了未来的研究如何通过经验审查流行的从业者观点,促进因果解释的发展,解释非线性效应,并阐明这里发现的异常发表偏倚。
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引用次数: 0
Influencer marketing unlocked: Understanding the value chains driving the creator economy 网红营销解锁:理解驱动创造者经济的价值链
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01073-2
Barak Libai, Ana Babić Rosario, Maximilian Beichert, Bas Donkers, Michael Haenlein, Reto Hofstetter, P. K. Kannan, Ralf van der Lans, Andreas Lanz, H. Alice Li, Dina Mayzlin, Eitan Muller, Daniel Shapira, Jeremy Yang, Lingling Zhang

As influencer marketing evolves into a dominant force in the marketing landscape, it necessitates a deeper theoretical exploration to understand its strategic implementations and impacts. This article examines the dynamics of influencer marketing within the growing creator economy, emphasizing the interactions among firms, influencers, followers, and digital platforms. We introduce a novel, equity-driven framework that analyzes how influencers contribute to customer equity, how influencers manage and leverage the value from their followers, and how platforms maximize the value from their users. We detail the complex relationships and value exchanges within the influencer marketing ecosystem, highlighting the challenges of measuring the return on investment and influencers’ strategic use of content to maintain authenticity and influence. By synthesizing diverse academic literature and current industry practices, this manuscript provides a comprehensive overview of the mechanisms of value creation and exchange in influencer marketing, offers strategic implications for marketers aiming to optimize their influencer engagements, and outlines future work in the form of the eleven “INFLUENCERS” research directions.

随着网红营销发展成为营销领域的主导力量,有必要对其战略实施和影响进行更深入的理论探索。本文考察了在不断增长的创造者经济中影响者营销的动态,强调了公司、影响者、追随者和数字平台之间的互动。我们引入了一个新颖的、权益驱动的框架,分析影响者如何为客户权益做出贡献,影响者如何管理和利用其追随者的价值,以及平台如何最大化其用户的价值。我们详细介绍了网红营销生态系统中的复杂关系和价值交换,强调了衡量投资回报和网红战略性使用内容以保持真实性和影响力的挑战。通过综合不同的学术文献和当前的行业实践,本文全面概述了网红营销中价值创造和交换的机制,为旨在优化其网红参与的营销人员提供了战略建议,并以11个“网红”研究方向的形式概述了未来的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Assortment management strategies that people see: Insights from a meta-analysis of experimental research on perceived assortment variety 人们看到的分类管理策略:来自感知分类多样性实验研究的元分析的见解
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01075-0
Victor D. Mejía

Assortment “variety” is a major factor influencing consumer attraction. Brands and firms use five assortment management strategies to improve consumers’ perception of variety (size, composition, arrangement, visual layout, and textual information). This paper breaks down Perceived Assortment Variety (PAV) into its constituent parts (numerosity and diversity) and investigates the effect of each strategy on each component of PAV through meta-regressions on experimental studies (61 papers, 135 studies, cumulative N = 66,638). Assortment size increase has a linear positive effect on perceived numerosity, but a positive and marginally decreasing effect on perceived diversity. In contrast, arrangement and visual layout have a negative and marginally increasing effect on perceived diversity, and a stronger effect than assortment size increase on diversity perception above 38 and 58 items respectively. These findings have practical and theoretical implications for assortment management. A supplementary analysis on 44 non-experimental papers extends the results for PAV to behavioral outcomes.

品类的“多样性”是影响消费者吸引力的主要因素。品牌和公司使用五种分类管理策略来提高消费者对品种的感知(大小、组成、排列、视觉布局和文本信息)。本文将感知分类多样性(PAV)分解为其组成部分(数量和多样性),并通过实验研究(61篇论文,135项研究,累积N = 66,638)的元回归研究了每种策略对PAV各组成部分的影响。分类大小的增加对感知数量有线性正影响,但对感知多样性有正影响。在38项和58项以上,排列和视觉布局对多样性感知的影响均为负向和微幅增加,对多样性感知的影响强于分类大小增加。这些发现对分类管理具有实践和理论意义。对44篇非实验论文的补充分析将PAV的结果扩展到行为结果。
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引用次数: 0
Breaking bad news: How frontline employees cope with bad news disclosure to customers 突发坏消息:一线员工如何应对向客户披露的坏消息
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01079-w
Cécile Delcourt, Dwayne D. Gremler, Dominique A. Greer

Disclosing bad news to customers during service encounters is an unavoidable, demanding task that can generate significant stress for frontline employees (FLEs). Despite the pervasiveness of bad news disclosure in service contexts, prior research has not explicitly examined how FLEs prepare for or optimize the delivery of bad news, whether to reduce their own work stress or to mitigate its negative impact on customers. Using multidisciplinary literature and depth interviews pertaining to 192 bad news disclosures, this research (1) delineates the concept of bad news disclosure and the types of bad news disclosed in service settings; (2) draws on coping theory to develop an integrative framework of how bad news disclosure unfolds in service encounters and how it affects customer-, employee-, and organization-related outcomes; (3) offers a protocol that FLEs can use to prepare for bad news disclosure and soften the blow for customers; and (4) proposes a research agenda to clarify how service organizations and FLEs should manage bad news disclosure.

在服务过程中向客户披露坏消息是一项不可避免的、要求很高的任务,会给一线员工带来巨大的压力。尽管坏消息披露在服务环境中普遍存在,但之前的研究并没有明确地研究企业员工如何准备或优化坏消息的传递,是否减少他们自己的工作压力或减轻其对客户的负面影响。利用多学科文献和对192个坏消息披露的深度访谈,本研究(1)描述了坏消息披露的概念和在服务环境中披露的坏消息类型;(2)借鉴应对理论,构建了一个综合框架,阐述了坏消息披露在服务遭遇中是如何展开的,以及它如何影响与顾客、员工和组织相关的结果;(3)提供一种协议,使企业可以利用该协议为坏消息披露做准备,减轻对客户的打击;(4)提出了一个研究议程,以明确服务机构和企业应如何管理坏消息披露。
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引用次数: 0
How generative AI Is shaping the future of marketing 生成式人工智能如何塑造营销的未来
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01064-3
Dhruv Grewal, Cinthia B. Satornino, Thomas Davenport, Abhijit Guha

Generative AI (Gen AI) is shaping the future of marketing. In the next decade, Gen AI will influence how marketers interact and communicate with customers, help create and deliver marketing content (text, images, and video), and inform methods for researching and developing new products and services. In both service and sales settings, Gen AI will affect customers directly and significantly. Therefore, marketers, researchers, and public policy makers require a clear understanding of Gen AI and its potential, as well as its limitations. To assist marketers in thinking through the adoption and implementation of Gen AI, the current article presents a four-quadrant organizing framework that highlights trade-offs in both the nature of Gen AI inputs and the extent of human augmentation needed to deliver Gen AI–generated outputs. This framework provides guidance for the selection and implementation of Gen AI tools, as well as recommendations for further research.

生成式人工智能(Gen AI)正在塑造营销的未来。在未来十年,新一代人工智能将影响营销人员与客户互动和沟通的方式,帮助创建和传递营销内容(文本、图像和视频),并为研究和开发新产品和服务的方法提供信息。在服务和销售环境中,新一代人工智能将直接而显著地影响客户。因此,营销人员、研究人员和公共政策制定者需要清楚地了解新一代人工智能及其潜力,以及它的局限性。为了帮助营销人员思考新一代人工智能的采用和实施,本文提出了一个四象限的组织框架,强调了新一代人工智能输入的性质和提供新一代人工智能生成输出所需的人类增强程度的权衡。该框架为人工智能工具的选择和实施提供了指导,并为进一步研究提供了建议。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of analyst stock recommendations on firms’ relative exploration orientation 分析师股票推荐对企业相对探索取向的影响
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01070-5
Xinchun Wang, Anna Shaojie Cui

To better understand the impact of financial analysts on firm innovation, we examine an often-overlooked relationship between stock recommendations and firms’ strategic emphasis on exploration over exploitation. In contrast to studies suggesting that firms respond to earnings forecasts in a myopic manner that reduces R&D spending and hurts innovation, we show that low stock recommendations motivate firms to emphasize exploration despite the risks. The degree to which firms’ responses follow this behavioral-theory-based prediction is contingent on CEOs’ motivation and ability in strategic decision-making. Governance mechanisms, including equity compensation and institutional ownership, align CEOs’ personal interest with firm interest and motivate them to choose the predicted response. Marketing department power enhances CEOs’ ability to choose the predicted response because it enables the use of market knowledge to evaluate benefits and risks of exploration and exploitation. The findings contribute to research on financial analysts, the role of marketing, and exploration/exploration strategy.

为了更好地理解金融分析师对企业创新的影响,我们研究了股票推荐与企业战略重点探索(而非开发)之间经常被忽视的关系。研究表明,公司对收益预测的反应是短视的,这会减少研发支出,损害创新。与此相反,我们表明,低股票建议激励公司不顾风险强调探索。企业的反应遵循这种基于行为理论的预测的程度取决于ceo在战略决策中的动机和能力。包括股权补偿和机构所有权在内的治理机制使ceo的个人利益与公司利益保持一致,并激励他们选择预期的回应。市场营销部门的权力增强了ceo选择预期反应的能力,因为它可以利用市场知识来评估勘探和开发的收益和风险。这些发现有助于对金融分析师、市场营销的作用和勘探/勘探战略的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Shifting perspectives: How communicating user innovations’ self-focus enhances adoption 转变观点:如何沟通用户创新的自我关注提高采用
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01068-z
Helen Si Wang, Chi Kin (Bennett) Yim

Each year, millions of user inventors spend billions of dollars creating innovations for their own use and to satisfy their own needs. Many user entrepreneurs also commercialize their user innovations to the mass market to benefit others and generate financial return. However, because user innovations are inherently self-focused, they often fail to achieve adoption in the mass market, leading to significant social welfare losses. Extant research suggests deploying customer-focused design modifications to improve the diffusion of user innovations. As an alternative to this customer-focused perspective, the authors propose a novel communication strategy that evokes adopters’ creativity to increase adoption. In particular, presenting user innovations’ self-focused goals and related key attributes in a sequence that mismatches adopters’ default innovation learning sequences can evoke adopters’ creative thinking regarding the self-relevance of the user innovations, and in turn enhances adoption. Furthermore, deploying self-focused, user inventor solo (vs. customer-focused, open customer participation) enhancement strategy sustains (vs. attenuates) the proposed effects.

每年,数以百万计的用户发明家花费数十亿美元为自己的使用和满足自己的需求创造创新。许多用户企业家还将他们的用户创新商业化到大众市场,以造福他人并产生经济回报。然而,由于用户创新本质上是以自我为中心的,它们往往无法在大众市场上被采用,从而导致重大的社会福利损失。现有的研究建议采用以客户为中心的设计修改,以改善用户创新的传播。作为这种以客户为中心的观点的替代方案,作者提出了一种新的沟通策略,可以唤起采用者的创造力来增加采用者。特别是,以与采用者默认的创新学习序列不匹配的顺序呈现用户创新的自我中心目标和相关关键属性,可以唤起采用者对用户创新的自我关联的创造性思维,从而提高采用者的采用程度。此外,部署以自我为中心的、单独的用户发明者(相对于以客户为中心的、开放的客户参与)增强策略可以维持(相对于减弱)所提出的效果。
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引用次数: 0
There is business like show business! What marketing scholars and managers can learn from 40 years of entertainment science research 有生意就有演艺圈!营销学者和管理者可以从 40 年的娱乐科学研究中学到什么
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01057-2
Ronny Behrens, Ann-Kristin Kupfer, Thorsten Hennig-Thurau

For over four decades, scholars have developed the field of entertainment science, establishing a thorough understanding of the business behind filmed, recorded, written, and programmed media products and services, encompassing consumer behavior and strategic decision-making. Building on six foundational characteristics that jointly define entertainment offerings (i.e., their hedonic, narrative, cultural, creative, innovative, and digital nature), we synthesize key findings from entertainment science research. Since each of these characteristics can be found individually in various industries, this review offers substantial potential for learning beyond the entertainment world. Leveraging the entertainment industry’s pioneering role in major cross-industry trends, including virtual worlds and generative AI, we then provide best practices for adapting to these developments. We conclude by proposing a comprehensive agenda for future research on each of the foundational entertainment characteristics within the field of entertainment science and beyond.

四十多年来,学者们开发了娱乐科学领域,建立了对电影、录音、文字和编程媒体产品与服务背后的商业的透彻理解,其中包括消费者行为和战略决策。基于共同定义娱乐产品的六个基本特征(即享乐性、叙事性、文化性、创造性、创新性和数字化),我们综合了娱乐科学研究的主要发现。由于这些特征中的每一个都可以在各行各业中找到,因此本综述为娱乐界以外的学习提供了巨大的潜力。利用娱乐业在虚拟世界和生成式人工智能等主要跨行业趋势中的先驱作用,我们随后提供了适应这些发展的最佳实践。最后,我们提出了在娱乐科学领域内外对每种基本娱乐特征进行未来研究的综合议程。
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引用次数: 0
Expressions of customer rumination in online posts and firm responses 客户在网络帖子中的反刍表达和公司的回应
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01061-6
Hai-Anh Tran, Yuliya Strizhakova, Bach Nguyen, Samuel G. B. Johnson

When faced with service failures, customers tend to ruminate, i.e., engage in repetitive negative thoughts about service failures and their causes/consequences. Some customers express these ruminative thoughts in online posts, making the internal cognitive process of rumination publicly visible to prospective customers who read the posts. This research proposes a novel conceptualization and operationalization of customer expressions of rumination as the repetitive use of words related to (a) service failure aspects and (b) service failure causes/consequences. Across two field studies, one survey, and two experiments, this research demonstrates that rumination expressions in online posts about service failures are linked to lower sales, weaker prospective customers’ purchase intention, and more “likes” of the post. Responses expressing empathetic apologies are more effective in handling rumination expressions about service failure aspects, whereas responses mentioning compensation are more effective in handling rumination expressions about service failure causes/consequences. We urge managers to recognize the visibility and harmfulness of rumination expressions in digital outlets and provide solutions to minimize their damage.

当遇到服务故障时,客户往往会反刍,即反复思考服务故障及其原因/后果。有些客户会在网上发帖表达这些反刍想法,从而让阅读帖子的潜在客户看到反刍的内部认知过程。本研究提出了一种新的概念化和可操作化的顾客反刍表达方式,即重复使用与(a)服务故障方面和(b)服务故障原因/后果相关的词语。通过两项实地研究、一项调查和两项实验,本研究表明,在有关服务失败的网上帖子中,反刍的表达与销售额下降、潜在客户购买意向减弱以及帖子获得更多 "赞 "有关。表示同情歉意的回复能更有效地处理有关服务故障方面的谣传表达,而提及赔偿的回复则能更有效地处理有关服务故障原因/后果的谣传表达。我们敦促管理者认识到谣言表达在数字渠道中的可见性和危害性,并提供解决方案将其危害降至最低。
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引用次数: 0
The paradox of product scarcity: Catalyzing the speed of innovation diffusion 产品稀缺的悖论:催化创新传播的速度
IF 18.2 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01060-7
Surya Pathak, P. V. Sundar Balakrishnan

Product shortages are known to slow down the diffusion process. However, we counterintuitively theorize and empirically demonstrate that under specific conditions of social influence, the diffusion process may be accelerated by early product scarcity. Using an Agent-Based framework and Genetic Algorithm-based estimation, we analyzed 20 product categories to identify the critical trade-off influencing diffusion: the interplay of the social influence ratio of waiting customers to adopters, the external influence, and level of product scarcity. Strategic managerial actions can accelerate the adoption of products. For example, in the case of fitness trackers, we were able to simulate speed-up by up to two years compared to the standard Bass model. Importantly, we introduce a novel framework to study competition dynamics, analyzing how the timing of market entry and the production capacity of competitors, along with the initial installed capacity of the pioneering firm affect diffusion speed. This acceleration, whether due to managerial foresight or serendipity, necessitates careful orchestration to harness the enthusiasm of waiting customers and strategically allocate marketing spending on social media platforms, thereby differentially amplifying the influence of adopters and potential customers.

众所周知,产品短缺会减缓传播过程。然而,我们反直觉地提出理论并通过实证证明,在特定的社会影响条件下,早期产品稀缺可能会加速扩散过程。利用基于代理的框架和基于遗传算法的估算,我们分析了 20 个产品类别,找出了影响扩散的关键权衡因素:等待客户与采用者的社会影响力比率、外部影响力和产品稀缺程度之间的相互作用。战略性管理行动可以加速产品的采用。例如,在健身追踪器的案例中,与标准巴斯模型相比,我们能够模拟出长达两年的加速度。重要的是,我们引入了一个研究竞争动态的新框架,分析了市场进入的时机、竞争对手的生产能力以及先驱企业的初始装机容量如何影响传播速度。无论是由于管理者的远见还是偶然性,这种加速都需要精心策划,以利用等待客户的热情,并战略性地分配社交媒体平台上的营销支出,从而有区别地放大采用者和潜在客户的影响力。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science
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