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Journal of the royal statistical society series b-methodological最新文献

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Semiparametric additive regression 半参数加性回归
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01455.X
J. Cuzick
A simple estimator for β is proposed for the model y=x'β+g(1)+error, g smooth but unknown. The approach is to approximate the estimating equation obtained from a semiparametric likelihood and in the simplest case reduces to minimizing the distance between the pseudoresiduals y-x'β and a local linear cross-validated estimate of them. When the errors are independent with finite variance, the bias and variance of the estimate are computed and compared against the least squares estimate with g known
对于模型y=x′β+g(1)+误差,g光滑但未知,提出了一个简单的β估计量。该方法是近似由半参数似然得到的估计方程,在最简单的情况下,将假残差y-x′β与它们的局部线性交叉验证估计之间的距离减小到最小。当误差与有限方差无关时,计算估计的偏差和方差,并与已知g的最小二乘估计进行比较
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引用次数: 91
Practical Use of Higher Order Asymptotics for Multiparameter Exponential Families 多参数指数族高阶渐近的实际应用
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01445.X
D. Pierce, Dawn Peters
Recently developed asymptotics based on saddlepoint methods provide important practical methods for multiparameter exponential families, especially in generalized linear models. The aim here is to clarify and explore these. Attention is restricted to tests and confidence intervals regarding a single parametric function which can be represented as a natural parameter of a full rank exponential family. Excellent approximations to exact conditional inferences are often available, in terms of simple adjustments to the signed square root of the likelihood ratio statistic
近年来基于鞍点方法的渐近研究为多参数指数族,特别是广义线性模型的渐近研究提供了重要的实用方法。本文的目的是澄清和探讨这些问题。注意仅限于检验和置信区间关于一个单参数函数,可以表示为一个全秩指数族的自然参数。通过对似然比统计量的带符号平方根的简单调整,通常可以获得精确条件推断的极好近似
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引用次数: 152
Multivariate Mean Parameter Estimation by Using a Partly Exponential Model 基于部分指数模型的多元均值参数估计
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01453.X
L. Zhao, R. Prentice, S. Self
SUMMARY A class of partly exponential models is proposed for the regression analysis of multivariate response data. The class is parameterized in terms of the response mean and a general shape parameter. It includes the generalized linear error model and exponential dispersion models as special cases. Maximum likelihood equations for mean parameters are shown to be of the same form as certain generalized estimating equations, and maximum likelihood estimates of mean and shape parameters are asymptotically independent. Some results are given on the efficiency of the estimating equation procedure under misspecification of the response covariance matrix.
提出了一类用于多变量响应数据回归分析的部分指数模型。用响应均值和一般形状参数对该类进行参数化。它包括广义线性误差模型和作为特例的指数色散模型。证明了平均参数的极大似然方程与某些广义估计方程具有相同的形式,并且平均参数和形状参数的极大似然估计是渐近独立的。给出了响应协方差矩阵不规范情况下估计方程方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 107
Identifying Multiple Outliers in Multivariate Data 识别多变量数据中的多个异常值
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01449.X
A. Hadi
SUMMARY We propose a procedure for the detection of multiple outliers in multivariate data. Let Xbe an n x p data matrix representing n observations onp variates. We first order the n observations, using an appropriately chosen robust measure of outlyingness, then divide the data set into two initial subsets: a 'basic' subset which containsp + 1 'good' observations and a 'nonbasic' subset which contains the remaining n -p - 1 observations. Second, we compute the relative distance from each point in the data set to the centre of the basic subset, relative to the (possibly singular) covariance matrix of the basic subset. Third, we rearrange the n observations in ascending order accordingly, then divide the data set into two subsets: a basic subset which contains the first p +2 observations and a non-basic subset which contains the remaining n -p -2 observations. This process is repeated until an appropriately chosen stopping criterion is met. The final non-basic subset of observations is declared an outlying subset. The procedure proposed is illustrated and compared with existing methods by using several data sets. The procedure is simple, computationally inexpensive, suitable for automation, computable with widely available software packages, effective in dealing with masking and swamping problems and, most importantly, successful in identifying multivariate outliers.
我们提出了一种在多变量数据中检测多个异常值的方法。设x是一个n × p的数据矩阵,表示n个观测值和p个变量。我们首先对n个观测值进行排序,使用适当选择的鲁棒性度量,然后将数据集分为两个初始子集:包含p + 1个“良好”观测值的“基本”子集和包含剩余n -p - 1个观测值的“非基本”子集。其次,我们计算数据集中每个点到基本子集中心的相对距离,相对于基本子集的协方差矩阵(可能是奇异的)。第三,我们将n个观测值按升序重新排列,然后将数据集划分为两个子集:包含前p +2个观测值的基本子集和包含剩余n -p -2个观测值的非基本子集。这个过程不断重复,直到满足适当选择的停止标准。最后的非基本子集被声明为外围子集。通过几个数据集,说明了所提出的方法,并与现有方法进行了比较。该过程简单,计算成本低,适合自动化,可使用广泛可用的软件包计算,有效地处理掩蔽和淹没问题,最重要的是,成功地识别多变量异常值。
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引用次数: 816
Confidence sets having the shape of a half-space 具有半空间形状的置信度集
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01456.X
François Perron
For the problem of estimating the mean of a p-dimensional normal distribution, p1, confidence regions based on half-spaces bounded by a hyperplane having the vector of observations as normal are proposed. Confidence regions with exact probability of coverage are constructed. Tables are provided
对于p维正态分布p1均值的估计问题,提出了基于以观测向量为正态的超平面为界的半空间置信区域。构造了具有精确覆盖概率的置信区域。提供表格
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引用次数: 0
Exact and Approximate Posterior Moments for a Normal Location Parameter 正常位置参数的精确和近似后验矩
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01452.X
L. Pericchi, Adrian F. M. Smith
The forms of first and second posterior moments for a normal location parameter are identified for a rather general class of prior distributions. Exact and approximate illustrations are given where the prior distribution is double exponential or Student t respectively
对于一类相当一般的先验分布,确定了正态位置参数的第一和第二后验矩的形式。分别给出了先验分布为双指数分布和学生t分布的精确和近似说明
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引用次数: 82
A Goodness‐Of‐Fit Test for Time Series with Long Range Dependence 具有长期相关性的时间序列的拟合优度检验
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01448.X
J. Beran
We propose a test statistic for goodness of fit in time series with slowly decaying serial correlations. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic, originally proposed by Milhoj for time series with smooth spectra, turns out to be the same, under the null hypothesis, even if the spectrum has a pole at 0. In particular, the test is suitable to detect lack of independence in the observations, or estimated residuals, if the first few correlations are small but the decay of the correlations is slow
我们提出了一个检验统计量,用于序列相关性缓慢衰减的时间序列的拟合优度。Milhoj最初提出的光滑谱时间序列的检验统计量的渐近分布在零假设下是相同的,即使谱在0处有极点。特别是,如果前几个相关性很小,但相关性衰减缓慢,则该测试适用于检测观测值或估计残差中缺乏独立性
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引用次数: 89
A New Method of Prediction for Spatial Regression Models with Correlated Errors 具有相关误差的空间回归模型预测新方法
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01454.X
A. V. Vecchia
SUMMARY This paper deals with minimum mean-squared error, unbiased linear interpolation of a continuous domain spatial process based on a sparse set of irregularly spaced observations. The process is assumed to be governed by a linear regression model with errors that follow a second-order stationary Gaussian random field. A new method of prediction is developed that is compatible with the parameter estimation procedures of Vecchia. The result is a new likelihood-based method for joint parameter estimation and prediction that can be applied to large or small data sets with irregularly spaced data. Simulated and observed data sets are analysed to illustrate the methods.
本文研究了基于不规则观测值稀疏集的连续域空间过程的最小均方误差无偏线性插值问题。假设该过程由线性回归模型控制,其误差遵循二阶平稳高斯随机场。提出了一种新的预测方法,该方法与维契亚参数估计程序兼容。结果是一种新的基于似然的联合参数估计和预测方法,可以应用于不规则数据间隔的大数据集或小数据集。通过对模拟和观测数据集的分析来说明该方法。
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引用次数: 25
Testing exponentiality based on Kullback-Leibler information 基于Kullback-Leibler信息的指数性检验
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01447.X
N. Ebrahimi, M. Habibullah, E. Soofi
In this paper a test of fit for exponentiality based on the estimated Kullback-Leibler information is proposed. The procedure is applicable when the exponential parameter is or is not specified under the null hypothesis. The test uses the Vasicek entropy estimate, so to compute it a window size m must first be fixed. A procedure for choosing m for various sample sizes is proposed and corresponding critical values are computed by Monte Carlo simulations
本文提出了一种基于估计的Kullback-Leibler信息的指数拟合检验方法。当在零假设下指定或不指定指数参数时,该过程适用。该测试使用Vasicek熵估计,因此要计算它,窗口大小m必须首先是固定的。提出了在不同样本量下选择m的方法,并通过蒙特卡罗模拟计算了相应的临界值
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引用次数: 183
Diagnostics in categorical data analysis 分类数据分析中的诊断
Pub Date : 1992-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1992.TB01451.X
E. Andersen
Diagnostics as measures of model deviations and of the influence of particular data sets are used extensively in modern regression analysis. For contingency tables, and more generally for the parametric multinomial distribution, it is not the influence of individual observations which is of interest, but rather the contribution to a lack of model fit or to the values of the parameter estimates from a single cell in the table, which must be evaluated. Hence diagnostics for contingency tables take somewhat different forms
诊断作为模型偏差和特定数据集影响的度量,在现代回归分析中被广泛使用。对于列联表,更一般地说,对于参数多项分布,我们感兴趣的不是单个观测值的影响,而是对缺乏模型拟合的贡献或对表中单个单元的参数估计值的贡献,这一点必须进行评估。因此列联表的诊断采用了不同的形式
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引用次数: 37
期刊
Journal of the royal statistical society series b-methodological
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