Libo Yan, Man Yuan, Mao Su, Kunping Cui, Xiangnan Teng, Fang Yuan, Lang Bai
Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a life-threatening condition with high short-term mortality, making early prognosis crucial. The liver-to-spleen volume ratio (LSVR) provides important prognostic information but is not included in current tools. This study evaluated the link between LSVR from computed tomography and short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. The study included 278 patients, divided into five groups based on LSVR quintiles. The main outcome was 28-day mortality, with a secondary focus on 90-day mortality. Multivariable Cox regression and restricted cubic splines were used to analyse the LSVR-mortality relationship. Participants had a mean age of 48 years, 82.7% were male, with 28- and 90-day mortality rates of 23.4% and 31.3%, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, the risk of 28-day mortality was elevated by 553% (OR 6.53, 95% CI 1.86–23) in the highest quintile of LSVR (Q5 ≥ 3.6) and by 343% (OR 4.43, 95% CI 1.14–17.16) in the lowest quintile (Q1 ≤ 1.6), as compared to the reference quintile (Q3 2.4–2.9). The curve-fitting results showed a U-shaped relationship between LSVR and the risk of 28-day mortality and 90-day mortality, with an infection point of 2.7. There is a U-shaped relationship between LSVR and mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Higher or lower LSVR is associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients.
乙型肝炎病毒相关的急性慢性肝衰竭(HBV-ACLF)是一种危及生命的疾病,短期死亡率高,因此早期预后至关重要。肝脾体积比(LSVR)提供了重要的预后信息,但目前的工具没有包括在内。本研究评估了计算机断层扫描的LSVR与HBV-ACLF患者短期死亡率之间的联系。该研究包括278名患者,根据LSVR五分位数分为五组。主要结局是28天死亡率,其次是90天死亡率。采用多变量Cox回归和限制三次样条分析lsvr与死亡率的关系。参与者的平均年龄为48岁,82.7%为男性,28天和90天死亡率分别为23.4%和31.3%。调整协变量后,与参考五分位数(Q3 2.4-2.9)相比,LSVR最高五分位数(Q5≥3.6)28天死亡风险增加了553% (OR 6.53, 95% CI 1.86-23),最低五分位数(Q1≤1.6)28天死亡风险增加了343% (OR 4.43, 95% CI 1.14-17.16)。曲线拟合结果显示,LSVR与28天死亡率和90天死亡率风险呈u型关系,感染点为2.7。HBV-ACLF患者LSVR与死亡率呈u型关系。较高或较低的LSVR与HBV-ACLF患者短期死亡风险增加相关。
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