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An Inference Engine for Estimating Outside States of Clinical Test Items 一种估计临床试验项目外部状态的推理引擎
Pub Date : 2013-10-01 DOI: 10.1145/2517084
Masato Sakata, Zeynep Yücel, K. Shinozawa, N. Hagita, M. Imai, M. Furutani, R. Matsuoka
Common periodical health check-ups include several clinical test items with affordable cost. However, these standard tests do not directly indicate signs of most lifestyle diseases. In order to detect such diseases, a number of additional specific clinical tests are required, which increase the cost of the health check-up. This study aims to enrich our understanding of the common health check-ups and proposes a way to estimate the signs of several lifestyle diseases based on the standard tests in common examinations without performing any additional specific tests. In this manner, we enable a diagnostic process, where the physician may prefer to perform or avoid a costly test according to the estimation carried out through a set of common affordable tests. To that end, the relation between standard and specific test results is modeled with a multivariate kernel density estimate. The condition of the patient regarding a specific test is assessed following a Bayesian framework. Our results indicate that the proposed method achieves an overall estimation accuracy of 84%. In addition, an outstanding estimation accuracy is achieved for a subset of high-cost tests. Moreover, comparison with standard artificial intelligence methods suggests that our algorithm outperforms the conventional methods. Our contributions are as follows: (i) promotion of affordable health check-ups, (ii) high estimation accuracy in certain tests, (iii) generalization capability due to ease of implementation on different platforms and institutions, (iv) flexibility to apply to various tests and potential to improve early detection rates.
常见的定期健康检查包括几种临床检查项目,费用负担得起。然而,这些标准测试并不能直接显示大多数生活方式疾病的迹象。为了发现这些疾病,需要进行一些额外的具体临床检查,这增加了健康检查的费用。本研究旨在丰富我们对常见健康检查的认识,并提出一种基于常见检查的标准测试来估计几种生活方式疾病迹象的方法,而无需进行任何额外的特定测试。通过这种方式,我们实现了一个诊断过程,在这个过程中,医生可能更愿意根据通过一组常见的负担得起的测试进行的估计进行或避免昂贵的测试。为此,用多元核密度估计对标准测试结果和特定测试结果之间的关系进行建模。根据贝叶斯框架评估患者关于特定测试的情况。结果表明,该方法的总体估计精度为84%。此外,对于高成本测试的子集实现了出色的估计准确性。此外,与标准人工智能方法的比较表明,我们的算法优于传统方法。我们的贡献如下:(i)促进负担得起的健康检查,(ii)某些测试的估计准确性高,(iii)由于易于在不同平台和机构上实施而具有泛化能力,(iv)适用于各种测试的灵活性和提高早期检出率的潜力。
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引用次数: 1
Accurate and Efficient Algorithms that Adapt to Privacy-Enhanced Video for Improved Assistive Monitoring 准确和有效的算法,适应隐私增强视频改进辅助监控
Pub Date : 2013-10-01 DOI: 10.1145/2523025.2523026
Alex D. Edgcomb, F. Vahid
Automated monitoring algorithms operating on live video streamed from a home can effectively aid in several assistive monitoring goals, such as detecting falls or estimating daily energy expenditure. Use of video raises obvious privacy concerns. Several privacy enhancements have been proposed such as modifying a person in video by introducing blur, silhouette, or bounding-box. Person extraction is fundamental in video-based assistive monitoring and degraded in the presence of privacy enhancements; however, privacy enhancements have characteristics that can opportunistically be adapted to. We propose two adaptive algorithms for improving assistive monitoring goal performance with privacy-enhanced video: specific-color hunter and edge-void filler. A nonadaptive algorithm, foregrounding, is used as the default algorithm for the adaptive algorithms. We compare nonadaptive and adaptive algorithms with 5 common privacy enhancements on the effectiveness of 8 automated monitoring goals. The nonadaptive algorithm performance on privacy-enhanced video is degraded from raw video. However, adaptive algorithms can compensate for the degradation. Energy estimation accuracy in our tests degraded from 90.9% to 83.9%, but the adaptive algorithms significantly compensated by bringing the accuracy up to 87.1%. Similarly, fall detection accuracy degraded from 1.0 sensitivity to 0.86 and from 1.0 specificity to 0.79, but the adaptive algorithms compensated accuracy back to 0.92 sensitivity and 0.90 specificity. Additionally, the adaptive algorithms were computationally more efficient than the nonadaptive algorithm, averaging 1.7% more frames processed per second.
自动监控算法在家庭直播视频流上运行,可以有效地帮助实现几个辅助监控目标,例如检测跌倒或估计每日能源消耗。视频的使用引起了明显的隐私问题。已经提出了一些隐私增强功能,例如通过引入模糊、剪影或边界框来修改视频中的人物。人员提取是基于视频的辅助监控的基础,在隐私增强的情况下会降低;然而,隐私增强具有一些可以因机制宜地加以适应的特性。我们提出了两种自适应算法来提高隐私增强视频的辅助监控目标性能:特定颜色猎人和边缘空白填充。一种非自适应算法,前景,被用作自适应算法的默认算法。我们比较了具有5种常见隐私增强的非自适应算法和自适应算法对8个自动监控目标的有效性。对于原始视频,非自适应算法在隐私增强视频上的性能下降。然而,自适应算法可以弥补退化。在我们的测试中,能量估计精度从90.9%下降到83.9%,但自适应算法显著补偿,使精度达到87.1%。同样,跌落检测的准确性从1.0的灵敏度下降到0.86,从1.0的特异性下降到0.79,但自适应算法将准确性补偿回0.92的灵敏度和0.90的特异性。此外,自适应算法比非自适应算法计算效率更高,平均每秒多处理1.7%的帧。
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引用次数: 3
The “Mail-Order-Bride” (MOB) Phenomenon in the Cyberworld: An Interpretive Investigation 网络世界中的“邮购新娘”(MOB)现象:一项解释性调查
Pub Date : 2013-10-01 DOI: 10.1145/2524263
Suprateek Sarker, Suranjan Chakraborty, P. Tansuhaj, M. Mulder, Kivilcim Dogerlioglu-Demir
Information technology (IT) is often an enabler in bringing people together. In the context of this study, IT helps connect matchmaking service providers with those looking for love, particularly when a male seeks to meet and possibly marry a female from another country: a process which results in over 16,500 such ‘mail-order-bride’ (MOB) marriages a year in the United States alone. Past research in business disciplines has been largely silent about the way in which this process unfolds, the perspectives of the participants at different points of time, and the role of IT underlying the MOB matchmaking service. Adopting an interpretivist stance, and utilizing some of the methodological guidelines associated with the Grounded Theory Methodology (GTM), we develop a process model which highlights: a) the key states of the process through which the relationship between the MOB seeker (the man) and the MOB (the woman) unfolds, b) the transitions between states, and c) the triggering conditions for the transitions from one state to another. This study also highlights key motivations of the individuals participating in the MOB process, the effect of power and the role it plays in the dynamics of the relationships, the status of women and how their status evolves during the MOB process, and the unique affordance provided by IT as the relationships evolve.
信息技术(IT)通常是将人们聚集在一起的推动者。在这项研究的背景下,IT有助于将婚介服务提供者与寻找爱情的人联系起来,特别是当男性寻求与来自另一个国家的女性见面并可能结婚时:这一过程仅在美国每年就导致超过16500例这样的“邮购新娘”(MOB)婚姻。过去的商业学科研究在很大程度上对这一过程的展开方式、参与者在不同时间点的观点以及IT在MOB撮合服务中的作用保持沉默。采用解释主义的立场,并利用与扎根理论方法论(GTM)相关的一些方法指导,我们开发了一个过程模型,该模型突出了:a)过程的关键状态,通过这些状态,MOB探索者(男人)和MOB(女人)之间的关系得以展开,b)状态之间的转换,以及c)从一种状态过渡到另一种状态的触发条件。本研究还强调了个人参与MOB过程的主要动机,权力的影响及其在关系动态中的作用,女性的地位及其在MOB过程中的地位如何演变,以及it在关系演变过程中提供的独特支持。
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引用次数: 9
Distributed Privacy-Preserving Decision Support System for Highly Imbalanced Clinical Data 高度不平衡临床数据的分布式隐私保护决策支持系统
Pub Date : 2013-10-01 DOI: 10.1145/2517310
George Mathew, Z. Obradovic
When a medical practitioner encounters a patient with rare symptoms that translates to rare occurrences in the local database, it is quite valuable to draw conclusions collectively from such occurrences in other hospitals. However, for such rare conditions, there will be a huge imbalance in classes among the relevant base population. Due to regulations and privacy concerns, collecting data from other hospitals will be problematic. Consequently, distributed decision support systems that can use just the statistics of data from multiple hospitals are valuable. We present a system that can collectively build a distributed classification model dynamically without the need of patient data from each site in the case of imbalanced data. The system uses a voting ensemble of experts for the decision model. The imbalance condition and number of experts can be determined by the system. Since only statistics of the data and no raw data are required by the system, patient privacy issues are addressed. We demonstrate the outlined principles using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database. Results of experiments conducted on 7,810,762 patients from 1050 hospitals show improvement of 13.68% to 24.46% in balanced prediction accuracy using our model over the baseline model, illustrating the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.
当一名医生遇到一名症状罕见的病人,这些病人的症状在当地数据库中是罕见的,从其他医院的这种情况中集体得出结论是非常有价值的。然而,对于这种罕见的情况,相关基础人口中的阶级将存在巨大的不平衡。由于法规和隐私方面的考虑,从其他医院收集数据将会有问题。因此,能够仅使用来自多家医院的统计数据的分布式决策支持系统是有价值的。在数据不平衡的情况下,我们提出了一个可以动态地集体构建分布式分类模型的系统,而不需要来自每个站点的患者数据。该系统使用专家投票集合作为决策模型。系统可以确定不平衡条件和专家人数。由于系统只需要统计数据而不需要原始数据,因此解决了患者隐私问题。我们使用全国住院患者样本(NIS)数据库演示概述的原则。对来自1050家医院的7,810,762名患者进行的实验结果表明,使用我们的模型比基线模型在平衡预测精度上提高了13.68%至24.46%,说明了所提出方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 14
Does Knowledge Management Matter? The Empirical Evidence from Market-Based Valuation 知识管理重要吗?基于市场价值的实证研究
Pub Date : 2013-08-01 DOI: 10.1145/2500750
Jiming Wu, C. Holsapple
Information technology is inseparable from contemporary knowledge management (KM). Although anecdotal evidence and individual case studies suggest that effective knowledge management initiatives contribute to superior firm performance, other kinds of empirical investigations are scarce, and more to the point, most of them are based on perceptions of survey participants embedded in the firms being studied. Moreover, studies analyzing the question of whether superior KM performance can predict superior market-based valuation appear to be virtually nonexistent. Findings of such studies would be of value to those who champion and direct a firm’s KM efforts, and to the firm’s strategists, planners, and operational managers. Here, we empirically examine the relationship between KM performance and firm valuation; the former is assessed by international panels of independent KM experts and the latter is evaluated in terms of market-based measures. Based on data spanning eight years, the results show that superior KM performance has a statistically significant positive association with firm valuation in terms of Tobin’s q, price-to-book ratio, and price-to-sales ratio. This study contributes to the management literature by using independent expert judges and archival data to substantiate the notion that KM competencies are an important ingredient in a firm’s performance as indicated by market-based valuation.
信息技术与当代知识管理(KM)密不可分。尽管轶事证据和个别案例研究表明,有效的知识管理举措有助于提高企业绩效,但其他类型的实证调查很少,而且更重要的是,大多数调查都是基于被调查企业中嵌入的调查参与者的看法。此外,分析卓越的知识管理绩效是否可以预测卓越的市场价值的研究似乎几乎不存在。这些研究的发现对于那些拥护和指导企业知识管理工作的人,以及企业的战略家、计划者和运营经理都是有价值的。本文对知识管理绩效与企业估值之间的关系进行了实证研究;前者由独立的知识管理专家组成的国际小组进行评估,后者则根据基于市场的措施进行评估。基于8年的数据,结果表明,卓越的管理绩效与公司估值在托宾q、市净率和市销率方面具有统计学上显著的正相关。本研究通过使用独立的专家判断和档案数据来证实知识管理能力是市场估值所表明的公司绩效的重要组成部分,从而为管理文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 11
Detecting Deceptive Chat-Based Communication Using Typing Behavior and Message Cues 使用打字行为和消息线索检测欺骗性聊天通信
Pub Date : 2013-08-01 DOI: 10.1145/2499962.2499967
D. Derrick, Thomas O. Meservy, Jeffrey L. Jenkins, J. Burgoon, J. Nunamaker
Computer-mediated deception is prevalent and may have serious consequences for individuals, organizations, and society. This article investigates several metrics as predictors of deception in synchronous chat-based environments, where participants must often spontaneously formulate deceptive responses. Based on cognitive load theory, we hypothesize that deception influences response time, word count, lexical diversity, and the number of times a chat message is edited. Using a custom chatbot to conduct interviews in an experiment, we collected 1,572 deceitful and 1,590 truthful chat-based responses. The results of the experiment confirm that deception is positively correlated with response time and the number of edits and negatively correlated to word count. Contrary to our prediction, we found that deception is not significantly correlated with lexical diversity. Furthermore, the age of the participant moderates the influence of deception on response time. Our results have implications for understanding deceit in chat-based communication and building deception-detection decision aids in chat-based systems.
以计算机为媒介的欺骗很普遍,可能对个人、组织和社会造成严重后果。本文研究了同步聊天环境中作为欺骗预测指标的几个指标,在这种环境中,参与者必须经常自发地制定欺骗性的反应。基于认知负荷理论,我们假设欺骗会影响响应时间、字数、词汇多样性和聊天信息的编辑次数。在一项实验中,我们使用自定义聊天机器人进行访谈,收集了1572个虚假和1590个真实的聊天回答。实验结果证实,欺骗与反应时间和编辑次数正相关,与字数负相关。与我们的预测相反,我们发现欺骗与词汇多样性并没有显著相关。此外,年龄对欺骗对反应时间的影响有调节作用。我们的研究结果对理解基于聊天的通信中的欺骗行为以及在基于聊天的系统中构建欺骗检测决策辅助工具具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 46
Bayesian Inference in Trust Networks 信任网络中的贝叶斯推理
Pub Date : 2013-08-01 DOI: 10.1145/2489790
L. Orman
Trust has emerged as a major impediment to the success of electronic markets and communities where interaction with the strangers is the norm. Social Networks and Online Communities enable interaction with complete strangers, and open up new commercial, political, and social possibilities. But those promises are rarely achieved because it is difficult to trust the online contacts. A common approach to remedy this problem is to compute trust values for the new contacts from the existing trust values in the network. There are two main methods: aggregation and transitivity. Yet, neither method provides satisfactory results because trust networks are sparse and transitivity may not hold. This article develops a Bayesian formulation of the problem, where trust is defined as a conditional probability, and a Bayesian Network analysis is employed to compute the unknown trust values in terms of the known trust values. The algorithms used to propagate conditional probabilities through the network are theoretically sound and based on a long-standing literature on probability propagation in Bayesian networks. Moreover, the context information that is typically ignored in trust literature is included here as a major factor in computing new trust values. These changes have led to significant improvements over existing approaches in the accuracy of computed trust, and with some modifications to the algorithm, in its reach. Real data acquired from Advogato network is used to do extensive testing, and the results confirm the practical value of a theoretically sound Bayesian approach.
在与陌生人互动已成为常态的电子市场和社区中,信任已成为取得成功的主要障碍。社交网络和在线社区使人们能够与完全陌生的人互动,并开辟了新的商业、政治和社会可能性。但这些承诺很少实现,因为很难信任在线联系人。解决此问题的一种常用方法是根据网络中现有的信任值计算新联系人的信任值。有两种主要方法:聚合和传递性。然而,这两种方法都不能提供令人满意的结果,因为信任网络是稀疏的,传递性可能不成立。本文发展了该问题的贝叶斯公式,其中将信任定义为条件概率,并使用贝叶斯网络分析根据已知信任值计算未知信任值。用于通过网络传播条件概率的算法在理论上是合理的,并且基于贝叶斯网络中概率传播的长期文献。此外,在信任文献中通常被忽略的上下文信息被包括在内,作为计算新信任值的主要因素。这些变化大大提高了计算信任的准确性,并对算法进行了一些修改。利用从Advogato网络获取的真实数据进行了大量的测试,结果证实了理论上合理的贝叶斯方法的实用价值。
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引用次数: 20
A Random Walk Model for Item Recommendation in Social Tagging Systems 社会标签系统中项目推荐的随机游走模型
Pub Date : 2013-08-01 DOI: 10.1145/2490860
Zhu Zhang, D. Zeng, A. Abbasi, Jing Peng, Xiaolong Zheng
Social tagging, as a novel approach to information organization and discovery, has been widely adopted in many Web 2.0 applications. Tags contributed by users to annotate a variety of Web resources or items provide a new type of information that can be exploited by recommender systems. Nevertheless, the sparsity of the ternary interaction data among users, items, and tags limits the performance of tag-based recommendation algorithms. In this article, we propose to deal with the sparsity problem in social tagging by applying random walks on ternary interaction graphs to explore transitive associations between users and items. The transitive associations in this article refer to the path of the link between any two nodes whose length is greater than one. Taking advantage of these transitive associations can allow more accurate measurement of the relevance between two entities (e.g., user-item, user-user, and item-item). A PageRank-like algorithm has been developed to explore these transitive associations by spreading users’ preferences on an item similarity graph and spreading items’ influences on a user similarity graph. Empirical evaluation on three real-world datasets demonstrates that our approach can effectively alleviate the sparsity problem and improve the quality of item recommendation.
社会标记作为一种新的信息组织和发现方法,已在许多Web 2.0应用程序中广泛采用。由用户贡献的用于注释各种Web资源或项目的标签提供了一种可以被推荐系统利用的新型信息。然而,用户、项目和标签之间三元交互数据的稀疏性限制了基于标签的推荐算法的性能。在本文中,我们提出通过在三元交互图上应用随机漫步来探索用户和项目之间的传递关联来处理社会标签中的稀疏性问题。本文中的传递关联是指长度大于1的任意两个节点之间的链接路径。利用这些传递关联可以更精确地度量两个实体(例如,user-item、user-user和item-item)之间的相关性。一种类似pagerank的算法通过在项目相似图上传播用户偏好和在用户相似图上传播项目影响来探索这些传递关联。对三个真实数据集的实证评估表明,我们的方法可以有效地缓解稀疏性问题,提高项目推荐的质量。
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引用次数: 47
The Impact of SOA Implementation on IT-Business Alignment: A System Dynamics Approach SOA实现对it -业务一致性的影响:系统动力学方法
Pub Date : 2013-04-01 DOI: 10.1145/2445560.2445563
Jae Choi, D. Nazareth, H. Jain
With firms facing intense rivalry, globalization, and time-to-market pressures, the need for organizational agility assumes greater importance. One of the primary vehicles for achieving organizational agility is the use of agile information systems [IS] and the close alignment of information technologies [IT] with business. However, IS is often viewed as an impediment to organization agility. Recently, service-oriented architecture [SOA] has emerged as a prominent IS agility-enhancing technology. The fundamental question of how SOA can enhance organization agility and foster closer alignment between IT and business has not been adequately addressed. The dynamic interaction among external business environmental factors, organizational agility, and IS architecture makes the process of keeping IT and business aligned more complex. This study uses a design science approach to build a system dynamics model to examine the effect of employing alternative SOA implementation strategies in various organizational and external business environments on the IT business alignment and IS cost. The results provide insights into the shaping of IT-business alignment. Additionally, the system dynamics model serves as a tool for supporting managerial decisions related to SOA implementation.
随着公司面临激烈的竞争、全球化和进入市场的时间压力,对组织敏捷性的需求变得更加重要。实现组织敏捷性的主要手段之一是使用敏捷信息系统(is)以及将信息技术(IT)与业务紧密结合。然而,信息系统通常被视为组织敏捷性的障碍。最近,面向服务的体系结构[SOA]已经成为一种突出的IS敏捷性增强技术。SOA如何增强组织敏捷性和促进IT和业务之间更紧密的一致性这一基本问题还没有得到充分解决。外部业务环境因素、组织敏捷性和IS体系结构之间的动态交互使得保持IT和业务一致的过程更加复杂。本研究使用设计科学方法来构建系统动力学模型,以检查在各种组织和外部业务环境中采用备选SOA实现策略对IT业务一致性和IS成本的影响。结果提供了对it -业务一致性形成的见解。此外,系统动力学模型还可以作为支持与SOA实现相关的管理决策的工具。
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引用次数: 32
Network Effects in Health Information Exchange Growth 健康信息交换增长中的网络效应
Pub Date : 2013-04-01 DOI: 10.1145/2445560.2445561
Niam Yaraghi, Anna Ye Du, R. Sharman, R. Gopal, R. Ramesh
The importance of the Healthcare Information Exchange (HIE) in increasing healthcare quality and reducing risks and costs has led to greater interest in identifying factors that enhance adoption and meaningful use of HIE by healthcare providers. In this research we study the interlinked network effects between two different groups of physicians -- primary care physicians and specialists -- as significant factors in increasing the growth of each group in an exchange. An analytical model of interlinked and intragroup influences on adoption is developed using the Bass diffusion model as a basis. Adoption data on 1,060 different primary and secondary care physicians over 32 consecutive months was used to test the model. The results indicate not only the presence of interlinked effects, but also that their influence is stronger than that of the intragroup. Further, the influence of primary care physicians on specialists is stronger than that of specialists on primary care physicians. We also provide statistical evidence that the new model performs better than the conventional Bass model, and the assumptions of diffusion symmetry in the market are statistically valid. Together, the findings provide important guidelines on triggers that enhance the overall growth of HIE and potential marketing strategies for HIE services.
由于医疗保健信息交换(HIE)在提高医疗保健质量和降低风险和成本方面的重要性,人们对确定能够促进医疗保健提供者采用和有意义地使用HIE的因素更感兴趣。在这项研究中,我们研究了两个不同的医生群体——初级保健医生和专家——之间的相互联系的网络效应,这是促进交流中每个群体增长的重要因素。以Bass扩散模型为基础,建立了一个相互联系和群体内部影响对采用的分析模型。对1060名不同的初级和二级保健医生连续32个月的采用数据用于测试该模型。结果表明,不仅存在相互关联的影响,而且它们的影响比群体内部的影响更强。此外,初级保健医生对专科医生的影响大于专科医生对初级保健医生的影响。我们还提供了统计证据,表明新模型优于传统的Bass模型,并且市场中扩散对称的假设在统计上是有效的。总之,这些发现为促进HIE整体增长的触发因素和HIE服务的潜在营销策略提供了重要指导。
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引用次数: 24
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