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A comparative study of argon plasma coagulation and electrosurgical knife on postoperative complications after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. 氩等离子凝血与电刀治疗肝癌根治性切除术后并发症的比较研究。
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03929-9
Taozhu Ye, Rui Yu, Youzhuang Wu, Junjie Du, Xinghua Huang, Huanzhang Hu

Purpose: This study aimed to compare the impact of argon plasma coagulation (APC) and electrosurgical knife (EK) in sealing the hepatic transection surface of patients undergoing curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods: This single-center retrospective study was performed in the department of hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgery of 900th Hospital at the Joint Logistics Support Force of the Chinese People's Liberation Army between January 2013 and January 2018. 319 patients who underwent surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma were analysed ; and categorized into the two groups according to usage of argon plasma coagulation and the electrosurgical monopolar knife as secondary hemostatic surgical instruments. After 1:1 propensity score matching analysis, differences between two groups were assessed in terms of postoperative clinical outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent factors associated with postoperative complications.

Results: After propensity score matching analysis, the group in which argon plasma coagulation was used for secondary hemostasis had a significantly lower postoperative complication rate compared to the group that used electrosurgical monopolar knife (p:0.033).A lower rate of complications graded according to Clavien-Dindo classification (grade III-V) was also seen in APC group (p:0.030). Moreover, the APC group had significantly less seen complications of bile leakage (p:0.015), ascites (p:0.011), and intra-abdominal infection (p:0.030). Multivariate analysis revealed the use of APC as an independent factor effective on postoperative complications (OR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.21-0.84).

Conclusion: The use of APC during curative resection of HCC decreased the incidence of postoperative complications in comparison with EK.

目的:比较氩等离子凝血(APC)和电刀(EK)在肝切面密封治疗性肝癌(HCC)患者中的作用。方法:本研究于2013年1月至2018年1月在中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第900医院肝胆胰外科进行单中心回顾性研究。对319例肝细胞癌手术患者进行了分析;并根据氩等离子凝血和电刀作为二次止血手术器械的使用情况分为两组。经1:1倾向评分匹配分析,评估两组患者术后临床结果的差异。进行多因素logistic回归分析以确定与术后并发症相关的独立因素。结果:经倾向评分匹配分析,氩气等离子体二次止血组术后并发症发生率明显低于电刀组(p:0.033)。APC组并发症发生率低于Clavien-Dindo分级(III-V级)(p:0.030)。此外,APC组胆漏(p:0.015)、腹水(p:0.011)和腹腔感染(p:0.030)的并发症明显减少。多因素分析显示,APC的使用是影响术后并发症的独立因素(OR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.21-0.84)。结论:与EK相比,APC在HCC根治性切除术中的应用减少了术后并发症的发生率。
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引用次数: 0
Extended-view totally extraperitoneal repair for ventral hernias: a retrospective analysis of perioperative outcomes and the role of ASA score. 腹疝全腹膜外扩视野修补术:围手术期疗效及ASA评分作用的回顾性分析
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03914-2
Imke Emma Hannig, Nader El-Sourani, Maximilian Bockhorn, Asem Al-Salemi, Fadl Alfarawan

Purpose: Ventral hernias are frequently encountered in general surgery. In recent years, minimally invasive techniques, including the Extended View Totally Extraperitoneal Repair (eTEP), have gained popularity. Meta-analyses suggest that eTEP may offer both intraoperative and postoperative advantages over alternative approaches. This retrospective study aimed to evaluate intra- and postoperative complications, length of hospital stay, and the potential association between American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) Physical Status Classification and complication rates in patients who underwent eTEP. The findings may inform preoperative risk stratification and surgical planning based on ASA score.

Methods: A monocentric, retrospective study of 95 patients who underwent eTEP for ventral hernia repair between January 2019 and December 2021 was conducted. Descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the association between the ASA score and perioperative complications.

Results: Intraoperative complications occurred in 2.1% (n = 2), and postoperative complications were observed in 7.4% (n = 7). The median length of hospital stay was three days (IQR = 1). Logistic regression analysis did not identify a statistically significant association between the ASA score and the occurrence of either intra- or postoperative complications. Nonetheless, all observed complications arose in patients with ASA scores of ≥ II.

Conclusion: eTEP repair was associated with a low complication rate and short hospitalization. While ASA classification was not a statistically significant predictor of perioperative complications in this cohort, the absence of complications in ASA I patients suggests potential relevance. These findings highlight the need for larger, prospective studies to further evaluate the role of ASA classification in risk assessment for eTEP procedures.

目的:腹疝在普通外科手术中较为常见。近年来,包括扩展视野全腹膜外修复(eTEP)在内的微创技术得到了广泛的应用。荟萃分析表明,与其他方法相比,eTEP可能在术中和术后都具有优势。本回顾性研究旨在评估行eTEP患者的术中和术后并发症、住院时间以及美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)身体状态分类与并发症发生率之间的潜在关联。这些发现可能为术前风险分层和基于ASA评分的手术计划提供信息。方法:对2019年1月至2021年12月期间接受eTEP进行腹疝修补术的95例患者进行单中心回顾性研究。采用描述性统计和二元logistic回归分析探讨ASA评分与围手术期并发症的关系。结果:术中并发症发生率为2.1% (n = 2),术后并发症发生率为7.4% (n = 7)。中位住院时间为3天(IQR = 1)。Logistic回归分析未发现ASA评分与术中或术后并发症发生之间有统计学意义的关联。然而,所有观察到的并发症都出现在ASA评分≥II的患者中。结论:eTEP修复术并发症发生率低,住院时间短。虽然ASA分级在该队列中并不是围手术期并发症的统计学显著预测因素,但ASA I级患者中没有并发症表明可能存在相关性。这些发现强调需要进行更大规模的前瞻性研究,以进一步评估ASA分类在eTEP手术风险评估中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Transperitoneal versus retroperitoneal laparoscopic nephroureterectomy: a meta-analysis of technical approaches for upper tract urothelial carcinoma. 经腹膜与后腹膜腹腔镜肾输尿管切除术:上尿路上皮癌技术入路的荟萃分析。
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03905-3
Dan Li, Zhuowei Ruan, Feng Lin, Gang Wang, Jiadong Xu, Tianbo Luo, Tianqi Chen

Objective: It was to compare perioperative outcomes between transperitoneal (TLNU) and retroperitoneal (RLNU) approaches for laparoscopic nephroureterectomy in UTUC.

Methods: Literature pertaining to "TLNU", "RLNU", and "upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC)" was systematically retrieved from databases, covering the period from January 2000 to July 2024. Quality and risk of bias were assessed utilizing Cochrane Handbook, and extracted basic information and outcome data. Meta-analysis (MA) was conducted utilizing Review Manager 5.3.

Results: The study included a total of 11 articles. The analysis revealed no significant differences between the RLNU and TLNU groups in terms of surgical duration (mean difference (MD) = 2.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): -29.40 to 35.07, Z = 0.17, P = 0.86 > 0.05), time to bowel function recovery (MD = -0.28, 95% CI: -0.81 to 0.25, Z = 1.03, P = 0.30 > 0.05), length of hospital stay (MD = 0.70, 95% CI: -0.51 to 1.91, Z = 1.14, P = 0.26 > 0.05), incidence of complications (MD = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.43 to 2.41, Z = 0.05, P = 0.96 > 0.05), recurrence rate (MD = 1.25, 95% CI: 0.94 to 1.66, Z = 1.55, P = 0.12 > 0.05), and overall survival (OS) rate (MD = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.18, Z = 1.49, P = 0.14 > 0.05). However, a significant difference was observed in intraoperative blood loss (BL) between the RLNU and TLNU groups (MD = 6.78, 95% CI: 2.44 to 11.13, Z = 3.06, P = 0.002 < 0.05).

Conclusion: Perioperative outcomes between RLNU and TLNU show significant differences in operative time, bowel recovery, hospital stay, complications, recurrence, and OS. However, RLNU had significantly higher intraoperative blood loss (P < 0.05), though its clinical relevance remains uncertain. This analysis focused on perioperative metrics; long-term oncologic efficacy requires further investigation.

目的:比较经腹膜(TLNU)入路与后腹膜(RLNU)入路在UTUC腹腔镜肾输尿管切除术中的围手术期疗效。方法:系统检索数据库中有关“TLNU”、“RLNU”和“上路尿路上皮癌(UTUC)”的文献,检索时间为2000年1月至2024年7月。利用Cochrane手册评估偏倚质量和风险,提取基本信息和结局数据。采用Review Manager 5.3进行meta分析(MA)。结果:本研究共纳入11篇文献。分析显示RLNU和TLNU组之间没有显著差异的手术时间(平均差(MD) = 2.83, 95%可信区间(CI): -29.40到35.07,Z = 0.17, P = 0.86 > 0.05),肠功能恢复时间(MD = -0.28, 95%置信区间CI: -0.81 - 0.25, Z = 1.03, P = 0.30 > 0.05),住院时间(MD = 0.70, 95%置信区间CI: -0.51 - 1.91, Z = 1.14, P = 0.26 > 0.05),并发症发生率(MD = 1.02, 95%置信区间CI:0.43到2.41,Z = 0.05, P = 0.96 > 0.05),复发率(MD = 1.25, 95%置信区间CI: 0.94 - 1.66, Z = 1.55, P = 0.12 > 0.05),和总生存期(OS)率(MD = 1.07, 95%置信区间CI: 0.98 - 1.18, Z = 1.49, P = 0.14 > 0.05)。RLNU组与TLNU组术中出血量(BL)差异有统计学意义(MD = 6.78, 95% CI: 2.44 ~ 11.13, Z = 3.06, P = 0.002)。结论:RLNU组与TLNU组围手术期结果在手术时间、肠道恢复、住院时间、并发症、复发、OS等方面差异有统计学意义。RLNU组术中出血量明显高于RLNU组(P
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引用次数: 0
The impact of body mass index on short-term surgical outcomes after robotic liver surgery: a propensity-score matched analysis at a high-volume center in Denmark. 体重指数对机器人肝脏手术后短期手术结果的影响:丹麦一个大容量中心的倾向评分匹配分析。
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03921-3
Fukumori Daisuke, Takashi Hamada, Christoph Tschuor, Jens Hillingsø, Peter Nørgaard Larsen

Background: Surgeons may experience technical complexity and negative outcomes related to robotic liver surgery (RLS) in obese patients. However, evidence regarding the impact of obesity on perioperative outcomes in RLS is limited.

Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed on patients who underwent RLS between 2019 and 2024. Obesity was defined as a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, and postoperative complication rate and risk factors were evaluated for complications. Short-term perioperative outcomes were compared using propensity score matching (PSM) analysis at a 1:1 ratio.

Results: A total of 205 RLS procedures were performed at a high-volume hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) center in Denmark. After 1:1 propensity score matching, 41 patients in each group were included. In the obese group, the rate of comorbid diabetes (p = 0.037) and the rate of steatosis (p = 0.035) were significantly higher in the obese group; standard liver volumes were also significantly larger (p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in the rate of major complications or the rate of all complications between the two groups. In multivariate binary logistic regression analysis using the nine factors selected in univariate analysis, only the IWATE criteria (≥ 7) showed a nearly significant p-value [p = 0.056], potentially suggesting an association with major postoperative complications.

Conclusions: The results of our single-center experience demonstrated that RLS in patients with a BMI of 30 or more did not impact postoperative surgical complications or other short-term outcomes. Therefore, RLS appears safe and feasible for obese patients in experienced centers.

背景:外科医生可能会遇到与肥胖患者机器人肝脏手术(RLS)相关的技术复杂性和负面结果。然而,关于肥胖对RLS患者围手术期预后影响的证据有限。方法:回顾性分析2019年至2024年间发生RLS的患者。肥胖定义为BMI≥30 kg/m2,并评估术后并发症发生率和危险因素。短期围手术期结果采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)分析,以1:1的比例进行比较。结果:在丹麦一家大容量肝胆胰(HPB)中心共进行了205例RLS手术。经1:1倾向评分匹配,每组41例。肥胖组糖尿病合并率(p = 0.037)、脂肪变性率(p = 0.035)显著高于肥胖组;结论:我们的单中心研究结果表明,BMI≥30的RLS患者不会影响术后手术并发症或其他短期预后。因此,在经验丰富的中心,对于肥胖患者,RLS似乎是安全可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to: AI-based body composition score predicts survival after liver transplantation. 修正:基于人工智能的身体成分评分预测肝移植后的生存。
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03930-2
Eugen Malamutmann, Friederike Roehrborn, Ksenia Vershinina, Sven Koitka, Derar Jaradat, Sophia M Schmitz, Johannes Haubold, Ulf P Neumann, Felix Nensa, Arzu Oezcelik
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引用次数: 0
Fistula formation in recurrent sigmoid diverticulitis - a domain of laparoscopic surgery? 复发性乙状结肠憩室炎的瘘管形成——腹腔镜手术的一个领域?
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03924-0
Lennart Zimniak, Stephan Gretschel, Hendrik Christian Albrecht, Kjell Sonnenberg, Christoph Wullstein, Attila Dubecz, Michael Karg, Joerg-Peter Ritz

Introduction: Chronic sigmoid diverticulitis is the most common benign cause of sigmoid-bladder fistulas (SBF) and sigmoid-vaginal fistulas (SVF). This multicenter retrospective comparative study analyzed the perioperative and postoperative outcomes between laparoscopic and open surgical procedures.

Methods: The study included 101 patients from four German hospitals who underwent elective sigmoid resection for SBF, SVF, or combined fistulas between January 2010 and July 2024. Patient data were retrospectively analyzed, comparing outcomes based on the surgical approach.

Results: Of the 101 patients, 70 (69.3%) had a sigmoid-bladder fistula, 29 (28.7%) had a sigmoid-vaginal fistula, and 2 (2%) had a combined fistula. Fifty-seven patients (56.4%) underwent open surgery, while 44 (43.6%) had laparoscopic surgery. The median hospital stay was significantly shorter in the laparoscopic group (11 days vs. 16 days, p = 0.016). The laparoscopic group also showed earlier removal of drains (4 days vs. 5.5 days, p = 0.044), shorter intensive care unit (ICU) stays (0.5 days vs. 1.5 days, p = 0.026) and earlier return of bowel function (3 days vs. 5 days, p < 0.001). No significant differences were observed in anastomotic leakage rates (1 in the laparoscopic group vs. 7 in the open group, p = 0.066), mortality rates (1 in the laparoscopic group vs. 4 in the open group, p = 0.384), wound infection rates (7 in the laparoscopic group vs. 15 in the open group, p = 0.234) and operating time (206 min in the laparoscopic group vs. 159 min in the open group p = 0.133).

Conclusion: Laparoscopic procedures, if technical possible, potentially demonstrate superior postoperative outcomes compared to open surgery for the treatment of fistulizing sigmoid diverticulitis in several parameters without increasing risk or operating time.

慢性乙状结肠憩室炎是乙状结肠膀胱瘘(SBF)和乙状结肠阴道瘘(SVF)最常见的良性病因。本多中心回顾性比较研究分析了腹腔镜和开放手术的围手术期和术后结果。方法:该研究纳入了2010年1月至2024年7月期间来自德国四家医院的101例选择性乙状结肠切除术治疗SBF、SVF或合并瘘的患者。回顾性分析患者资料,比较基于手术入路的结果。结果:101例患者中,乙状结肠膀胱瘘70例(69.3%),乙状结肠阴道瘘29例(28.7%),乙状结肠阴道瘘2例(2%)。57例(56.4%)行开放手术,44例(43.6%)行腹腔镜手术。腹腔镜组的住院时间中位数明显缩短(11天比16天,p = 0.016)。腹腔镜组也表现出更早的引流管清除(4天对5.5天,p = 0.044),更短的重症监护病房(ICU)住院时间(0.5天对1.5天,p = 0.026)和更早的肠功能恢复(3天对5天,p)结论:如果技术允许,腹腔镜手术在几个参数上比开放手术治疗瘘管性乙状窦憩室炎具有潜在的更好的术后结果,而不增加风险或手术时间。
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引用次数: 0
Development and validation of a machine learning-based prognostic model for gastric cancer: a multicenter retrospective study. 基于机器学习的胃癌预后模型的开发和验证:一项多中心回顾性研究。
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03883-6
Xiao Guan, Jinsong Liu, Lei Xu, Chengfeng Wang

Background: Machine learning has emerged as a promising tool for survival prediction in various diseases; however, its application and external validation in real-world gastric cancer populations remain limited.

Methods: Clinical data of patients diagnosed with gastric cancer between 2000 and 2018 were obtained from the SEER database, supplemented with data from two Chinese medical centers (2005-2018). Three feature selection methods and four modeling algorithms-including Cox, RSF, CoxBoost, and Deepsurv_Cox-were employed to construct prediction models for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Model performance was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS), and mean area under the curve (AUC). The two best-performing base models were subsequently integrated into a stacked model and compared against the traditional TNM staging system using decision curve analysis (DCA) and time-dependent ROC curves at 3, 5, and 10 years.

Results: A total of 21,559 patients from the SEER database and 3,805 patients from two Chinese centers were included. In independent testing, the integrated model achieved a C-index/IBS/mean AUC of 0.693/0.158/0.829 for OS and 0.719/0.171/0.819 for CSS. For 3-, 5-, and 10-year survival prediction, the AUCs were 0.705/0.747/0.851 for OS and 0.734/0.779/0.830 for CSS, outperforming the TNM staging system across all metrics. Superior calibration and clinical utility of the integrated model were further confirmed by calibration curves and DCA.

Conclusion: The integrated machine learning model outperformed both traditional TNM staging and deep learning approaches, offering improved predictive accuracy for survival outcomes in patients with gastric cancer.

背景:机器学习已经成为一种很有前途的预测各种疾病生存的工具;然而,其在实际胃癌人群中的应用和外部验证仍然有限。​采用Cox、RSF、Cox boost、deepsurv_cox等3种特征选择方法和4种建模算法构建总生存期(OS)和肿瘤特异性生存期(CSS)预测模型。采用一致性指数(C-index)、综合Brier评分(IBS)和平均曲线下面积(AUC)评价模型的性能。两个表现最好的基础模型随后被整合到一个堆叠模型中,并使用决策曲线分析(DCA)和3年、5年和10年的随时间变化的ROC曲线与传统的TNM分期系统进行比较。​在独立测试中,集成模型的C-index/IBS/mean AUC对OS为0.693/0.158/0.829,对CSS为0.719/0.171/0.819。对于3、5和10年的生存预测,OS的auc为0.705/0.747/0.851,CSS的auc为0.734/0.779/0.830,在所有指标上都优于TNM分期系统。通过标定曲线和DCA进一步证实了综合模型的良好标定性和临床实用性。结论:综合机器学习模型优于传统的TNM分期和深度学习方法,提高了胃癌患者生存结局的预测准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Surgical management of longstanding overt ventriculomegaly in adults: evaluating the role of endoscopic third ventriculostomy. 成人长期公开性脑室肿大的手术治疗:评估内镜下第三脑室造口术的作用。
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03777-7
Mahrukh Afreen, Haysum Khan, Hasnain Ali, Mubashara Waheed Siddiqui, Syed Vaqar Hussain, Hussain Mustafa, Javeria Afreen, Sahibzada Abrar

Background: Longstanding Overt Ventriculomegaly in Adults (LOVA) and Obstructive Hydrocephalus (o-HCP) is the abnormal accumulation of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), leading to increased intracranial pressure, and associated neurological symptoms. Endoscopic Third Ventriculostomy (ETV) is a minimally invasive surgical treatment for these conditions. ETV has demonstrated effectiveness in pediatric populations, its efficacy in adult patients remains ambigous. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate the outcomes of ETV in adult patients with LOVA and o-HCP.

Methods: A systematic review along with meta-analysis were carried out following the PRISMA guidelines. Studies were identified through PubMed, Cochrane, Scopus, and CINAHL databases using relevant MeSH terms and BOOLEAN operators. The inclusion criteria followed the PICO model, focusing on adult patients (> 18 years) undergoing ETV. Data on postoperative complications, symptom improvement, and successful treatment outcomes were extracted. Statistical analysis, including sensitivity analyses, was performed using R Studio, with odds ratios (OR) and heterogeneity (I²) calculated. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was employed to assess for risk of bias.

Results: A total of 8 studies comprising 200 patients were included. The overall odds ratio for successful treatment following ETV was 4.59 (95% CI: 2.74-7.67) with moderate heterogeneity (I² = 53%). Sensitivity analysis reduced the heterogeneity to 0%, increasing the OR to 5.56 (95% CI: 3.80-8.13). Significant improvements were noted in specific symptoms, including headache (OR 9.47, 95% CI: 4.31-20.81, I² = 0%), balance (OR 10.78, 95% CI: 4.00-29.03, I² = 35%), and memory (OR 6.64, 95% CI: 1.38-31.86, I² = 61%). A low risk of bias was observed across all studies included.

Conclusions: ETV is an effective treatment for patients with LOVA and o-HCP, demonstrating significant symptom improvement and a high success rate. Low heterogenicity of outcomes with robust findings confirmed sensitivity analyses. However, patient-specific factors, such as age and duration of symptoms, should be considered for ETV.

背景:成人长期公开性脑室肿大(LOVA)和阻塞性脑积水(o-HCP)是脑脊液(CSF)的异常积聚,导致颅内压升高和相关神经系统症状。内镜下第三脑室造口术(ETV)是一种微创手术治疗这些疾病。ETV已证明在儿科人群中有效,但其在成人患者中的有效性仍不明确。本系统综述和荟萃分析旨在评估成人LOVA和o-HCP患者的ETV结果。方法:根据PRISMA指南进行系统评价和荟萃分析。研究通过PubMed, Cochrane, Scopus和CINAHL数据库使用相关的MeSH术语和布尔运算符进行识别。纳入标准遵循PICO模型,重点是接受ETV的成人患者(bb0 - 18岁)。提取了术后并发症、症状改善和成功治疗结果的数据。使用R Studio进行统计分析,包括敏感性分析,并计算优势比(OR)和异质性(I²)。采用纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表评估偏倚风险。结果:共纳入8项研究,共纳入200例患者。ETV后成功治疗的总优势比为4.59 (95% CI: 2.74-7.67),异质性中等(I²= 53%)。敏感性分析将异质性降低至0%,OR提高至5.56 (95% CI: 3.80-8.13)。特定症状有显著改善,包括头痛(OR 9.47, 95% CI: 4.31-20.81, I²= 0%)、平衡(OR 10.78, 95% CI: 4.00-29.03, I²= 35%)和记忆(OR 6.64, 95% CI: 1.38-31.86, I²= 61%)。纳入的所有研究均观察到低偏倚风险。结论:ETV治疗LOVA合并o-HCP有效,症状改善明显,成功率高。结果的低异质性与稳健的发现证实了敏感性分析。然而,患者特异性因素,如年龄和症状持续时间,应考虑到ETV。
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引用次数: 0
A standardized robot-assisted technique for giant paraesophageal hernia repair: the relationship between surgical details and low recurrence rate in long-term follow-up. 一种标准化的机器人辅助巨大食管旁疝修复技术:手术细节与长期随访低复发率的关系
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03925-z
Graziano Ceccarelli, Pasquale Avella, Gaetano Poillucci, Fausto Catena, Brian Wca Tian, Fabio Rondelli, Alessandro Spaziani, Pajtim Emini, Andrea Scacchi, Germano Guerra, Michele de Rosa, Aldo Rocca
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the timing of LC after PTGBD in elderly patients with acute cholecystitis: a machine learning approach with a web-based calculator. 预测老年急性胆囊炎患者PTGBD后LC的时间:基于网络计算器的机器学习方法
IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-025-03886-3
Wei Zhang, Baitong Che, Yingmei Li, Cheng Yang, Weibin Zhang
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Transcutaneous transhepatic gallbladder drainage (PTGBD) has shown significant efficacy in the treatment of elderly patients with acute cholecystitis. The goal of this study is to develop a machine learning-based web calculator aimed at predicting the optimal timing for cholecystectomy (LC) after PTGBD in elderly patients with acute cholecystitis (AC) to achieve precise personalized medicine.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective analysis of 979 elderly patients with acute cholecystitis admitted to Jinzhou Central Hospital and the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinzhou Medical University from 2013 to 2024 was performed, and a total of 680 patients were included in the model development. Patients were divided into delayed (347 cases, surgery > 6 weeks post-PTGBD) and non-delayed (333 cases) groups based on the interval between PTGBD and LC. Minimal Absolute Contraction and Selection Operator (LASSO) and logistic analysis were used to determine the predictors of postponement of LC in elderly patients with AC after PTGBD. Next, we used eight ML algorithms, namely Logistic Regression (LR), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Extreme gradient boosting (XGB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), K-nearest Neighbor (KNN), Gaussian Naive Bayes (GNB), to train and develop ML models using a 10x cross-validation method. The performance of the model was evaluated by a variety of indicators, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, decision curve, PR curve, and confusion matrix. In addition, model interpretation is performed through Shapley Additive Interpretation (SHAP) analysis to clarify the importance of each feature of the model and its basis for decision-making. Finally, we chose to use the best model to develop a web-based calculator that could be used to predict the likelihood of delaying LC after PTGBD in elderly AC patients.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In multivariate logistic regression analysis, age, sex, gallbladder wall thickness, time between onset and PTGBD, white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were identified as independent predictors of delayed LC in elderly patients with AC after PTGBD. In the training set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for these models ranged from 0.808 to 0.914, with the random forest (RF) model showing the highest AUC value. Through the evaluation of decision curve analysis (DCA), precision-recall (PR) curve and calibration curve, the RF model showed superior clinical decision support and prediction performance compared with the other seven models. Finally, we used the RF model to build an online network calculator, which aims to accurately assist doctors in making more informed and accurate clinical decisions and promote the wide application of the model in clinical practice ( https://zw17786325639
背景:经皮经肝胆囊引流术(PTGBD)治疗老年急性胆囊炎疗效显著。本研究的目的是开发一个基于机器学习的网络计算器,旨在预测老年急性胆囊炎(AC)患者PTGBD后胆囊切除术(LC)的最佳时机,以实现精确的个性化医疗。方法:回顾性分析2013 - 2024年锦州中心医院及锦州医科大学第一附属医院住院的979例老年急性胆囊炎患者,共纳入680例患者进行模型开发。根据PTGBD与LC之间的时间间隔,将患者分为延迟(347例,手术后6周)和非延迟(333例)组。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)和logistic分析来确定老年AC患者PTGBD后LC延迟的预测因素。接下来,我们使用8种机器学习算法,即逻辑回归(LR)、决策树(DT)、随机森林(RF)、极端梯度增强(XGB)、支持向量机(SVM)、多层感知器(MLP)、k近邻(KNN)、高斯朴素贝叶斯(GNB),使用10倍交叉验证方法训练和开发机器学习模型。通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积、校准曲线、决策曲线、PR曲线、混淆矩阵等指标评价模型的性能。此外,通过Shapley加性解释(SHAP)分析对模型进行解释,阐明模型各特征的重要性及其决策依据。最后,我们选择使用最好的模型来开发基于网络的计算器,该计算器可用于预测老年AC患者PTGBD后延迟LC的可能性。结果:在多因素logistic回归分析中,年龄、性别、胆囊壁厚度、发病与PTGBD之间的时间、白细胞计数(WBC)、c反应蛋白(CRP)和中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)被确定为PTGBD后老年AC患者延迟LC的独立预测因素。在训练集中,这些模型的接收者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)值在0.808 ~ 0.914之间,其中随机森林(RF)模型的AUC值最高。通过对决策曲线分析(DCA)、精确召回率(PR)曲线和校准曲线的评价,RF模型比其他7种模型具有更好的临床决策支持和预测性能。最后,我们利用RF模型构建了一个在线网络计算器,旨在准确地帮助医生做出更明智、准确的临床决策,促进该模型在临床实践中的广泛应用(https://zw17786325639.shinyapps.io/Postpone/)。结论:本研究基于临床指标信息开发并验证了RF模型网络计算器,用于评估老年急性胆囊炎患者PTGBD后延迟LC的可能性。该工具有望帮助医生为患者做出更合适的临床决策。
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Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery
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