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When are Profitable Earnings Low Enough to Trigger a Liquidation Option? 什么时候盈利低到足以触发平仓期权?
Pub Date : 2000-07-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.237129
Oliver Schnusenberg
The objective of this study is threefold. Our primary objective is to determine the point at which earnings become low enough to trigger a liquidation (abandonment) option during the 1998 fiscal year on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq. Second, we investigate whether that earnings level is intertemporally stable by investigating the valuation significance of earnings and book value during two pooled time periods from 1994 to 1998 and from 1989 to 1998. Third, we seek to determine whether the decreased valuation significance in earnings is associated with a simultaneous increase in the valuation significance of book value during all three time periods examined. Key Words: Earnings; Book value of equity; Valuation; Abandonment option
这项研究的目的有三个方面。我们的主要目标是确定在1998财政年度,纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克的收益低到足以触发清算(放弃)期权的点。其次,我们通过调查1994年至1998年和1989年至1998年两个合并时期的收益和账面价值的估值意义来研究该盈余水平是否具有跨期稳定。第三,我们试图确定在所有三个被检查的时间段内,收益估值显著性的降低是否与账面价值估值显著性的同时增加有关。关键词:收益;权益的账面价值;估值;放弃选择
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引用次数: 1
Investor and (Value Line) Analyst Underreaction to Information About Future Earnings: The Corrective Role of Non-Earnings-Surprise Information 投资者和(价值线)分析师对未来收益信息反应不足:非盈余意外信息的纠正作用
Pub Date : 2000-07-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.271916
P. Brous, Philip B. Shane
type="main" xml:lang="en"> Prior research suggests that financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and stock prices underreact to earnings news. This paper provides evidence that analysts and investors correct this underreaction in response to the next earnings announcement and to other (non-earnings-surprise) information available between earnings announcements. Our evidence also suggests that analysts and investors underreact to information reflected in analysts’ earnings forecast revisions and that non-earnings-surprise information helps correct this underreaction as well. Controlling for corrective non-earnings-surprise information significantly increases estimates of the degree to which analysts’ forecasting behavior can explain drifts in returns following both earnings announcements and analysts’ earnings forecast revisions.
先前的研究表明,金融分析师的盈利预测和股价对盈利消息的反应不足。本文提供的证据表明,分析师和投资者会根据下一次收益公告以及在收益公告之间可获得的其他(非盈余意外)信息纠正这种反应不足。我们的证据还表明,分析师和投资者对分析师收益预测修正中反映的信息反应不足,而非盈利意外信息也有助于纠正这种反应不足。控制纠正性非盈余意外信息显著增加了对分析师预测行为可以解释收益公告和分析师收益预测修正后收益漂移的程度的估计。
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引用次数: 96
An Option Pricing Approach to Asset Sale 资产出售的期权定价方法
Pub Date : 2000-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.237368
J. Song, Shumei Gao
This paper presents a model of asset sale under uncertainty and derives an optimal scrapping rule. It shows that under certain conditions an asset should be scrapped when its operating profit first reaches a critical level. A testable equation based on the model is suggested. The model may be applied to voluntary liquidations, plant closures, sell-off, spin-off and the examination of takeover premiums.
提出了一个不确定条件下的资产出售模型,并推导出一个最优报废规则。说明在一定条件下,当资产的营业利润首次达到临界水平时,资产就应该报废。在此基础上提出了一个可检验的方程。该模式可适用于自愿清算、工厂关闭、出售、分拆和收购溢价的审查。
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引用次数: 1
Organizational Design and Management Accounting Change 组织设计与管理会计变革
Pub Date : 2000-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.246943
M. Matějka, Anja M. B. De Waegenaere
Changing management accounting systems requires more than appropriate implementation.It is argued that structural characteristics of an organization, centralization in particular, should also be taken into account when deciding on a change.Centralization implies higher costs of communication because the decision-maker has to obtain information from organizational participants who have incentives to inffluence the decision.A limit on communication reduces inffluence costs but at the same time it also lowers the quality of the decision.As a result of that, centralized organizations (i) will implement changes in their accounting systems less often than decentralized ones (ii) will more often implement top-down, i.e. ignore local information.
改变管理会计制度需要的不仅仅是适当的实施。有人认为,在决定变革时,还应考虑到组织的结构特征,特别是集中化。集中化意味着更高的沟通成本,因为决策者必须从有动机影响决策的组织参与者那里获得信息。对沟通的限制降低了影响成本,但同时也降低了决策的质量。因此,集中式组织(i)将比分散式组织(ii)更少地实施自上而下的会计系统变更,即忽略当地信息。
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引用次数: 14
Disclosure Interactions: Accounting Policy Choice and Voluntary Disclosure Effects on the Cost of Capital 披露互动:会计政策选择与自愿披露对资本成本的影响
Pub Date : 2000-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.236439
M. Gietzmann, Marco Trombetta
In this research we consider how disclosure of accounting policy interacts with subsequent choice over voluntary disclosure of a non-financial performance metric. We compare and contrast regimes. In the first, firms are free to choose between a conservative or an aggressive accounting policy before they decide whether to make additional voluntary disclosures. In the other regime, all firms either voluntarily or via mandation use the same accounting policy. We then investigate the cost of capital for firms under the two regimes. We show that communication via voluntary disclosure need not be a simple substitute for communication via accounting policy choice. Key Words: Voluntary disclosure; Accounting policy choice; Cost of capital
在本研究中,我们考虑会计政策披露如何与非财务绩效指标自愿披露的后续选择相互作用。我们比较和对比制度。在第一种情况下,公司在决定是否进行额外的自愿披露之前,可以自由选择保守或激进的会计政策。在另一种制度下,所有公司自愿或被强制使用相同的会计政策。然后,我们研究了两种制度下企业的资本成本。我们表明,通过自愿披露的沟通不一定是通过会计政策选择的沟通的简单替代品。关键词:自愿披露;会计政策选择;资金成本
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引用次数: 10
The International Audit Firms as New Entrants - an Empirical Analysis of Auditor Selection in Greece, 1993 to 1997 国际审计事务所的新进入者——1993 - 1997年希腊审计师选择的实证分析
Pub Date : 2000-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.233635
Gikas Manalis, D. Citron
This paper investigates auditor choice in Greece in the five years subsequent to the 1992 liberalization of the audit market. We analyze auditor choices by 205 companies which, by 1997, represented almost 90% of the companies listed on the Athens Stock Exchange. We find that the level of shareholdings by foreign shareholders is positively associated with choice of a Big Six versus any other auditor both immediately after liberalization in 1993 and still in 1997, indicative of the role of the Big Six in providing audit credibility in the eyes of international investors. In addition, Big Six auditors strengthened their position in the finance sector and, outside the finance sector, among larger companies over the period studied. We also find that in both 1993 and 1997 Big Six firms were distinguished specifically from the second-tier international firms, consistent with the view that, in post-liberalization Greece, companies by their choice of auditor appear to be distinguishing Big Six firms from all others but not between second-tier international firms and local auditors. These findings shed light on the hitherto unresearched area of which companies Big Six auditors target in order to gain market share when they are new entrants in an environment radically changed by regulatory reform. In addition the research extends the auditor brand name reputation debate by its finding that, in post-liberalization Greece, second-tier international firms appear to be distinguished from the Big Six but not from the local audit firms.
本文研究了1992年审计市场开放后的五年间希腊的审计师选择。我们分析了205家公司的审计师选择,到1997年,这些公司几乎占雅典证券交易所上市公司的90%。我们发现,无论是在1993年自由化之后,还是在1997年,外国股东的持股水平都与选择六大审计机构与其他审计机构呈正相关,这表明六大审计机构在国际投资者眼中提供审计可信度方面的作用。此外,在研究期间,六大会计师事务所在金融行业以及金融行业以外的大型企业中的地位都有所加强。我们还发现,在1993年和1997年,六大会计师事务所与二级国际会计师事务所有明显的区别,这与以下观点是一致的:在自由化后的希腊,公司在审计师的选择上似乎将六大会计师事务所与其他所有事务所区分开来,而不是将二级国际会计师事务所与当地审计师区分开来。这些发现揭示了一个迄今未被研究过的领域。在一个因监管改革而发生根本性变化的环境中,作为新进入者的公司,六大会计师事务所的目标是获得市场份额。此外,该研究还发现,在自由化后的希腊,二线国际会计师事务所似乎与六大会计师事务所有所区别,但与当地审计事务所却没有区别,从而扩大了审计师品牌声誉的争论。
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引用次数: 7
Revenue Recognition in a Multiperiod Agency Setting 多时期机构环境下的收入确认
Pub Date : 2000-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.231128
S. Dutta, Xiao-Jun Zhang
The principles that govern the recognition of revenues (and expenses) are the key determinants of the properties of accrual accounting information. This paper studies the revenue recognition question from a stewardship perspective. Our results show that it is optimal to carry products at their historical costs until revenues are realized. Revenues are considered realized when the amount of associated cash flows can be measured in an objective and verifiable fashion. In contrast, we demonstrate that mark-to-market accounting, although sensible from an equity valuation perspective, generally does not provide efficient aggregation of raw information to solve the stewardship problems. In particular, mark-to-market accounting based on anticipated performance of the manager does not necessarily induce the manager to actually deliver such performance. Our analysis also identifies situations where the realization principle needs to be modified with the asset valuation rule of lower-of-cost-or-market. Such results highlight that conservatism may be a desirable feature of accounting measurements for managerial performance evaluation purposes.
管理收入(和费用)确认的原则是权责发生制会计信息属性的关键决定因素。本文从管理的角度研究收入确认问题。我们的结果表明,在实现收入之前,以其历史成本持有产品是最优的。当相关的现金流量能够以客观和可核实的方式计量时,收入被认为是已实现的。相比之下,我们证明,虽然从股权估值的角度来看,按市值计价会计是明智的,但通常不能提供有效的原始信息聚合来解决管理问题。特别是,基于经理预期绩效的按市值计价会计并不一定会促使经理实际交付这种绩效。我们的分析还确定了需要用成本或市场较低的资产评估规则修改实现原则的情况。这样的结果强调,稳健性可能是一个理想的特征,会计计量管理绩效评价的目的。
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引用次数: 65
The Relation between Investor Uncertainty and Market Reactions to Earnings Announcements: Evidence from the Property-Casualty Insurance Industry 投资者不确定性与市场对收益公告反应的关系:来自财险行业的证据
Pub Date : 2000-05-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.230751
Theodore E. Christensen, Jennifer J. Gaver, Pamela S. Stuerke
This paper examines the association between pre-disclosure uncertainty and investor reliance on reported earnings. Our study is unique because it incorporates both context-specific and forecast-based measures of uncertainty. The analysis is based on data for 118 publicly-traded property and casualty insurers for the period 1989 through 1998. We find significantly positive correlations among loss exposure, our context-based measure of uncertainty, and more general measures of uncertainty based on analysts' forecasts. Further, each uncertainty measure considered individually is significantly associated with the magnitude of abnormal returns around subsequent earnings announcements. However, the relation between loss exposure and abnormal returns is nonlinear. Although the market response to earnings generally increases with the firm's exposure to losses in the prior period, that effect is attenuated when the loss is very large. Simultaneous consideration of contextual and forecast-based measures of uncertainty indicates that, once forecast-based measures are taken into account, our contextual measure of uncertainty provides little incremental explanatory power for abnormal returns. The fact that generalized uncertainty measures based on analysts' forecasts apparently outperform a context-specific variable is good news for empirical researchers confronted with samples drawn from diverse industry settings. Taken together, our results provide compelling support for the view that investor reliance on reported earnings increases in periods of heightened uncertainty about the firm's prospects.
本文考察了披露前的不确定性与投资者对报告收益的依赖之间的关系。我们的研究是独特的,因为它结合了具体情况和基于预测的不确定性措施。该分析基于1989年至1998年118家公开交易的财产和意外保险公司的数据。我们发现损失敞口、基于情境的不确定性度量和基于分析师预测的更一般的不确定性度量之间存在显著的正相关。此外,单独考虑的每个不确定性指标与随后的收益公告周围的异常回报幅度显著相关。然而,损失暴露与异常收益之间的关系是非线性的。虽然市场对收益的反应通常随着公司在前一时期遭受的损失而增加,但当损失非常大时,这种影响就会减弱。同时考虑上下文和基于预测的不确定性度量表明,一旦考虑到基于预测的度量,我们的上下文不确定性度量对异常收益提供了很少的增量解释力。事实上,基于分析师预测的广义不确定性度量明显优于情境特定变量,这对于面对来自不同行业环境的样本的实证研究人员来说是个好消息。综上所述,我们的研究结果为以下观点提供了强有力的支持:在公司前景不确定性加剧的时期,投资者对报告收益的依赖会增加。
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引用次数: 3
CEO Stock Option Awards and Corporate Voluntary Disclosures CEO股票期权奖励与公司自愿披露
Pub Date : 2000-05-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.144589
David Aboody, Ron Kasznik
We investigate whether CEOs manage the timing of their voluntary disclosures around stock option awards. We conjecture that CEOs manage investors' expectations around award dates by delaying good news and rushing forward bad news. For a sample of 2,039 CEO option awards by 572 firms with fixed award schedules, we document changes in share prices and analyst earnings forecasts around option awards that are consistent with our conjecture. We also provide more direct evidence based on management earnings forecasts issued prior to award dates. Our findings suggest that CEOs make opportunistic voluntary disclosure decisions that maximize their stock option compensation.
我们调查了ceo是否管理他们关于股票期权奖励的自愿披露的时机。我们推测,ceo们通过推迟好消息、提前坏消息来管理投资者对奖励日期的预期。对于572家拥有固定奖励时间表的公司的2039个CEO期权奖励样本,我们记录了股票价格和分析师收益预测的变化,这些变化与我们的猜想一致。我们还根据管理层在奖励日期之前发布的盈利预测提供更直接的证据。我们的研究结果表明,ceo会做出机会性自愿披露决策,从而使其股票期权薪酬最大化。
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引用次数: 42
The Ethics of Creative Accounting: Some Spanish Evidence 创造性会计的伦理:一些西班牙的证据
Pub Date : 2000-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.230872
Oriol Amat, J. Blake, Ester Oliveras
'Creative accounting' involves accountants in making accounting policy choices or manipulating transactions in such a way as to give the impression in the accounts that they prefer. While regarded as unethical by most observers, a defence of creative accounting can be based on the ability of the users of accounts to identify bias in accounting policy choices and make appropriate adjustments. In this paper we take the example of the Barcelona Football Club where the club management made three key accounting policy choices that presented a favourable position, and a supporters' club presented an alternative report choosing three alternative accounting policies that presented an unfavourable position. We presented each of these financial reports to one of two groups of Spanish bank loan offices, with supporting notes making the impact of the accounting policy choices clear. We found that the more favourable set of accounts was significantly more likely to attract a positive response to a loan request. This result undermines the defence for creative accounting, based on the ability of users to identify manipulation.
“创造性会计”指的是会计人员做出会计政策选择或操纵交易,以便在账目中给人留下他们喜欢的印象。虽然大多数观察家认为创造性会计是不道德的,但可以基于账户使用者识别会计政策选择中的偏见并做出适当调整的能力来为创造性会计辩护。在本文中,我们以巴塞罗那足球俱乐部为例,俱乐部管理层做出了三个关键的会计政策选择,这些选择都是有利的,而支持者俱乐部提出了一份替代报告,选择了三个替代会计政策,这些政策都是不利的。我们将这些财务报告分别提交给两组西班牙银行贷款办公室中的一组,并附有附注,使会计政策选择的影响清晰可见。我们发现,更有利的账户组更有可能吸引对贷款请求的积极回应。这一结果削弱了基于用户识别操纵能力的创造性会计的辩护。
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引用次数: 28
期刊
Journal of Accounting Abstracts
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