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Campaigns and Elections in a Changing Media Landscape 不断变化的媒体环境中的竞选和选举
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.16
Michael X. Delli Carpini, B. A. Williams
The media landscape of countries across the globe is changing in profound ways that are of relevance to the study and practice of political campaigns and elections. This chapter uses the concept of media regimes to put these changes in historical context and describe the major drivers that lead to a regime’s formation, institutionalization, and dissolution. It then turns to a more detailed examination of the causes and qualities of what is arguably a new media regime that has formed in the United States; the extent to which this phenomenon has or is occurring (albeit in different ways) elsewhere; and how the conduct of campaigns and elections are changing as a result. The chapter concludes with thoughts on the implications of the changing media landscape for the study and practice of campaigns and elections specifically, and democratic politics more generally.
全球各国的媒体格局正在发生深刻的变化,这与政治竞选和选举的研究和实践有关。本章使用媒体制度的概念将这些变化置于历史背景中,并描述导致一个制度形成、制度化和解体的主要驱动因素。然后,它转向更详细地考察了在美国形成的一种可以说是新的媒体制度的原因和性质;这种现象在其他地方已经或正在发生的程度(尽管以不同的方式);以及竞选和选举的行为如何因此发生变化。这一章的结尾思考了不断变化的媒体景观对竞选和选举的研究和实践的影响,以及更普遍的民主政治。
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引用次数: 1
Online Versus Offline Strategies in Comparative Perspective 比较视角下的线上与线下策略
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.43
Tiago Silva
The Internet has undoubtedly become, in this last decade, an important new arena for political communication. Nonetheless, during electoral campaigns, the use of this medium poses both challenges and advantages for the institutional communication made by political parties and candidates. An often-overlooked advantage is the possibility, particularly on social media, for parties and candidates to bypass journalists and communicate directly to a large and varied audience. This aspect is particularly relevant since the literature has been noting, in the last decades, a decline in the salience of substantive political information in the mainstream news coverage of political events. By comparing the political actors’ campaigns on social media with press news coverage of those campaigns, this chapter examines the role and impact of the Internet on modern political communication. An extensive content analysis of four electoral campaigns in four different countries (United States, Italy, Brazil, and Portugal) shows that candidates’ and parties’ online campaigns, compared to news articles in the press, tend to be more frequently framed in terms of substantive political issues. Even though there are differences between political actors and the social media platforms used (Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube), the results suggest that, overall, candidates and parties do actually try to convey substantive political information when communicating directly to the electorate. Furthermore, compared to articles in the press, social media campaigns also tend to be less frequently framed in terms of conflict, political scandals, and strategy aspects.
毫无疑问,在过去的十年里,互联网已经成为政治交流的一个重要的新舞台。然而,在竞选期间,这种媒介的使用对政党和候选人的机构沟通构成了挑战和优势。一个经常被忽视的优势是,政党和候选人有可能绕过记者,直接与大量不同的受众进行沟通,尤其是在社交媒体上。这方面是特别相关的,因为在过去的几十年里,文献已经注意到,在政治事件的主流新闻报道中,实质性政治信息的重要性有所下降。通过比较政治行动者在社交媒体上的竞选活动与这些活动的新闻报道,本章研究了互联网对现代政治传播的作用和影响。对四个不同国家(美国、意大利、巴西和葡萄牙)的四次竞选活动进行的广泛内容分析表明,与媒体上的新闻文章相比,候选人和政党的在线竞选活动往往更频繁地以实质性政治问题为框架。尽管政治行为者和使用的社交媒体平台(Twitter、Facebook和YouTube)之间存在差异,但结果表明,总体而言,候选人和政党在直接与选民沟通时确实试图传达实质性的政治信息。此外,与媒体上的文章相比,社交媒体活动也往往不那么频繁地涉及冲突、政治丑闻和战略方面。
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引用次数: 0
Persuasion and Issue Voting 说服与议题投票
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.8
B. Grofman
This article examines neo-Downsian models of party competition and voter choice, with a special emphasis on Riker’s notion of heresthetics. It argues that platform location is only one way in which parties or candidates compete to motivate voters to support them, with the neo-Downsian literature having moved well beyond the “classic comic book” version of Downs as simply predicting convergence to the views of the median voter when elections involve two-party contests held under plurality rules in single seat constituencies. The article considers a variety of models, including ones that emphasize the importance of changes in the location of the status quo, models with assimilation and contrast effects, models that look at differential issue salience and persuasion about the importance weights to be attached to different issue dimensions, and models that involve the introduction of new dimensions of political competition.
本文考察了新唐斯主义的政党竞争和选民选择模式,特别强调了瑞克的异端美学概念。它认为,平台位置只是政党或候选人竞争激励选民支持他们的一种方式,新唐斯文学已经远远超越了唐斯的“经典漫画书”版本,即当选举涉及两党在单一席位选区的多数原则下进行竞争时,简单地预测中间选民的观点会趋同。本文考虑了各种模型,包括强调现状位置变化重要性的模型、具有同化和对比效应的模型、关注不同问题显著性的模型和关于不同问题维度的重要性权重的说服模型,以及涉及引入政治竞争新维度的模型。
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引用次数: 0
Social Network Effects in Developing Countries 发展中国家的社会网络效应
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.20
Cesi Cruz, Horacio Larreguy, J. Marshall
How do social networks influence and moderate electoral persuasion in developing countries? An extensive literature shows that social networks are important for understanding electoral persuasion in established democracies. At the same time, these theories might not necessarily apply to democracies in the developing world, particularly when they are characterized by clientelism, coercion, and other modes of political engagement outside of formal democratic institutions. In such contexts, networks can matter for politics in different, and sometimes unexpected, ways. In surveying the literature, this chapter dentifies three general functions of networks that are important for understanding electoral persuasion behavior in developing countries: (i) information diffusion; (ii) social persuasion; and (iii) coordination and enforcement. The chapter explores the implications of these network mechanisms by exploring the roles of both voter and politician networks.
社会网络如何影响和缓和发展中国家的选举说服?大量的文献表明,社会网络对于理解成熟民主国家的选举说服非常重要。与此同时,这些理论可能并不一定适用于发展中国家的民主国家,特别是当它们的特点是裙带关系、胁迫和其他正式民主制度之外的政治参与模式时。在这种情况下,网络会以不同的、有时是意想不到的方式对政治产生影响。在调查文献时,本章确定了网络的三个一般功能,这些功能对于理解发展中国家的选举说服行为很重要:(i)信息扩散;(二)社会说服;(三)协调和执行。本章通过探讨选民和政治家网络的作用来探讨这些网络机制的含义。
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引用次数: 0
Appealing to Diverse Electorates in the United States 在美国吸引不同的选民
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.34
Dave Searle, Marisa A. Abrajano
As electorates around the world become increasingly diverse, addressing how electoral persuasion emerges is a major concern. Focusing on the United States, this chapter explores the campaign strategies used by candidates to persuade, mobilize, and target diverse voters. It begins by conducting an exhaustive review of the existing research. After doing so, the chapter concludes that there is still much to be done and highlights particular aspects ripe for future research. In particular, scant attention has been paid to the ways candidates, political parties, and outside groups target African Americans and the extent to which they are persuaded or mobilized by these efforts. A similar need exists with respect to the campaign strategies used to target Asian Americans. Critically, it is important to know whether the electoral tactics, long proven effective for white Americans also work in the same way for voters with distinct political experiences and socialization processes. The remainder of the chapter offers future avenues and directions for scholars wishing to better understand how electoral persuasion operates in diverse electorates.
随着世界各地的选民变得越来越多样化,解决选举说服是如何产生的是一个主要问题。本章以美国为重点,探讨了候选人用来说服、动员和瞄准不同选民的竞选策略。它首先对现有的研究进行详尽的回顾。在这样做之后,本章得出结论,仍有许多工作要做,并强调了未来研究成熟的特定方面。特别是,很少有人关注候选人、政党和外部团体针对非洲裔美国人的方式,以及这些努力在多大程度上说服或动员了他们。针对亚裔美国人的竞选策略也存在类似的需求。至关重要的是,我们必须知道,长期以来被证明对美国白人有效的选举策略,是否也同样适用于具有不同政治经历和社会化过程的选民。本章的其余部分为希望更好地理解选举说服如何在不同选民中运作的学者提供了未来的途径和方向。
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引用次数: 2
Interest Groups and Elections 利益团体与选举
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.31
J. Berry
The relationships between interest groups, political parties, and elections have always been dynamic, but in recent years change has accelerated in ways that have favored some interests over others. This chapter considers these developments as the result of a variety of factors, the most critical of which are the growth of polarization, a new legal landscape for campaign finance, and new organizational forms. The chapter goes on to suggest, that as bipartisanship has ebbed, elections have become winner-take-all affairs and interest groups are pushed to choose sides. The chapter further suggests that the rise of super PACs is especially notable as wealthy individuals have become increasingly important, single sources of campaign money, supplanting in part traditional interest groups, especially conventional PACs. It concludes that even as sums spent by super PACs and other interest groups have skyrocketed, the impact of their direct spending on persuading voters remains uncertain.
利益集团、政党和选举之间的关系一直是动态的,但近年来,变化以有利于某些利益集团而不是其他利益集团的方式加速。本章认为这些发展是多种因素的结果,其中最关键的是两极分化的增长,竞选资金的新法律环境和新的组织形式。这一章继续指出,随着两党合作的消退,选举变成了赢家通吃的事情,利益集团被迫选择立场。这一章进一步表明,超级政治行动委员会的崛起尤其引人注目,因为富有的个人变得越来越重要,成为竞选资金的单一来源,在一定程度上取代了传统的利益集团,尤其是传统的政治行动委员会。报告的结论是,尽管超级政治行动委员会和其他利益集团的支出激增,但它们在说服选民方面的直接支出的影响仍不确定。
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引用次数: 2
The Utility and Content of Traditional Ads 传统广告的效用和内容
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.30
Michael M. Franz
This chapter focuses on traditional political ads in US elections, in particular those most often airing on broadcast television stations, investigating three key questions: Have traditional political ads reached a tipping point, as new technologies and voter targeting opportunities shift the resource allocation of campaigns? Do traditional political ads work in changing minds and mobilizing voters, and how might those opportunities for persuasion and mobilization change as media engagement diversifies? Finally, what is the issue content of traditional political ads, and how does the content vary across platforms? All told, despite fast-developing change in opportunities for political actors to reach voters, television advertising remains a critically important strategy for campaigns and their political allies.
本章主要关注美国选举中的传统政治广告,特别是那些最常在广播电视台播出的广告,调查三个关键问题:随着新技术和选民定位机会改变竞选资源分配,传统政治广告是否达到了临界点?传统的政治广告在改变思想和动员选民方面起作用吗?随着媒体参与的多样化,这些说服和动员的机会会如何变化?最后,传统政治广告的议题内容是什么,不同平台的内容又有什么不同?总而言之,尽管政治人物接触选民的机会发生了迅速变化,但电视广告仍然是竞选及其政治盟友的一项至关重要的战略。
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引用次数: 0
How Electoral Spending Relates to Political Persuasion 选举支出与政治说服有何关系
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.41
David B. Magleby
A necessary element of electoral campaigns in mass democracies is money to fund candidate or party campaigns. This is especially true in the United States with its largely privately funded campaigns and primary elections, which determine party nominees. Campaigns expend these funds to persuade voters to turn out and vote for their preferred candidate. Factors such as competitiveness, electoral size, and type of election influence the importance and effectiveness of campaign spending. Since one marker of candidate viability is early fundraising efforts, called the “money primary,” candidates in privately funded systems must first persuade individuals and groups to contribute to their campaigns or spend independently on their behalf. What, if any, limits are placed on who and how much can be contributed to campaigns also play a large role in US elections. Since 2010, there has been a movement away from limiting what individuals and groups, including unions and corporations, can contribute and spend independently on races. These finances fund persuasion efforts, which have largely been on paid television advertising, but have increasingly been spent on database development for individual voter contacts and on social media. These persuasion efforts have changed in recent elections, as the Obama presidential campaigns made innovative use of email and social media, and the Trump campaign of 2016 expanded the use of Facebook and other social media compared to prior campaigns. In all cases, spending on electoral persuasion is used to mobilize or demobilize voters or motivate donors.
在大众民主国家,竞选活动的一个必要因素是为候选人或政党竞选提供资金。这在美国尤其如此,因为美国的竞选活动和初选基本上是私人资助的,初选决定了政党的候选人。竞选活动用这些资金来说服选民投票给他们喜欢的候选人。竞争、选举规模和选举类型等因素影响竞选支出的重要性和有效性。由于候选人生存能力的一个标志是早期的筹款努力,称为“金钱初选”,因此私人资助系统中的候选人必须首先说服个人和团体为他们的竞选活动捐款或代表他们独立支出。对竞选活动的捐款对象和捐款金额的限制(如果有的话)也在美国大选中发挥着重要作用。自2010年以来,出现了一种运动,不再限制包括工会和公司在内的个人和团体在竞选上的独立捐款和支出。这些资金为说服工作提供了资金,这些努力主要是在付费电视广告上,但越来越多地用于开发个人选民联系数据库和社交媒体。这些说服工作在最近的选举中发生了变化,因为奥巴马的总统竞选活动创新地使用了电子邮件和社交媒体,而2016年的特朗普竞选活动与之前的竞选活动相比,扩大了对Facebook和其他社交媒体的使用。在所有情况下,选举说服的开支都用于动员或遣散选民或激励捐助者。
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引用次数: 0
The Strategic Adaptation of the Populist Radical Right in Western Europe 西欧民粹主义极右翼的战略适应
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.56
Elie Michel
Populist radical right parties have long been considered to mobilize their voters on specific issues, which they are deemed to “own.” Voters support these parties largely because of their “nativist” agenda, and more precisely because of their stance against immigration. In fact, research had established a “winning formula” of electoral persuasion for radical right parties, referring to a combination of “economically neoliberal” and “authoritarian” appeals that would jointly explain the strong electoral support. However, populist radical right parties have transformed their positions, through “second order messages,” by investing in a socioeconomic issue agenda. These parties can increase their electoral support by siding with their working class voters on redistributive issues, particularly through a welfare chauvinist frame. This chapter argues that populist radical right parties have strategically shifted on this latter dimension in order to adapt to their voters’ preferences. It shows that, in view of increased electoral persuasion, populist radical right parties modify some of their positions to tailor them to their working-class core electoral clientele.
长期以来,民粹主义极右政党一直被认为是在特定问题上动员选民,因为他们认为这些问题是他们“拥有的”。选民支持这些政党主要是因为他们的“本土主义”议程,更确切地说,是因为他们反对移民的立场。事实上,研究已经为激进右翼政党建立了一个选举说服的“获胜公式”,指的是“经济新自由主义”和“威权主义”呼吁的结合,这将共同解释强大的选举支持。然而,民粹主义极右翼政党通过投资于社会经济问题议程,通过“二阶信息”改变了他们的立场。这些政党可以通过在再分配问题上与工人阶级选民站在一起,特别是通过福利沙文主义框架,来增加他们的选举支持。本章认为,民粹主义极右翼政党在战略上转向了后一个维度,以适应选民的偏好。它表明,鉴于选举说服力的增强,民粹主义极右翼政党修改了一些立场,使其适合工人阶级的核心选举客户。
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引用次数: 3
The Emotional Aspects of Political Persuasion 政治说服的情感方面
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190860806.013.6
B. Albertson, Lindsay Dun, S. Gadarian
Political persuasion relies on emotion. Emotions grab people’s attention and can be a starting point for changing minds. Positive emotions tend to reinforce standing dispositions and encourage us to proceed as usual, but often politics and political science research involve negative emotions such as anxiety, anger, disgust, and shame. Where anxiety leads people to consider new information, most research suggests that anger does not facilitate this process of reconsideration and thus can make persuasion more difficult. Emotions like anger, shame, and enthusiasm all underlie the decision to participate in politics and can motivate voting while hatred can lead to support for violence. The chapter ends by considering how different research designs can uncover the effects of multiple, competing emotions, how emotions matter in small group discussion and how emotions color the acceptance of news.
政治说服依赖于情感。情绪抓住人们的注意力,可以成为改变想法的起点。积极的情绪往往会加强我们的立场,鼓励我们像往常一样行事,但政治和政治科学研究往往涉及负面情绪,如焦虑、愤怒、厌恶和羞耻。焦虑会导致人们考虑新的信息,而大多数研究表明,愤怒并不能促进这个重新考虑的过程,因此会使说服变得更加困难。愤怒、羞耻和热情等情绪都是参与政治的决定的基础,可以激发投票,而仇恨可能导致支持暴力。本章最后考虑了不同的研究设计如何揭示多重竞争情绪的影响,情绪在小组讨论中如何重要,以及情绪如何影响新闻的接受。
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引用次数: 4
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The Oxford Handbook of Electoral Persuasion
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