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Narrative based information: is it the facts or their packaging that matters? 基于叙述的信息:重要的是事实还是它们的包装?
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2021-08
S. Heap, Karadimitropoulou Aikaterini, Levi Eugenio
People typically do not acquire new information about the facts of the economy through consulting official statistics; they read or listen to mediatype reports/stories on the economy where the facts are packaged in a story. This paper tests with an experiment whether the explanatory style used in such media-type stories affects individual decision making. We also compare this particular narrative influence with that of the actual facts contained in the story. Our subjects receive a media-type story about the economy before they play a minimum effort game. The media story has either good or bad background facts about the economy and we use the psychological theory of explanatory styles to present these facts in a narrative style designed to engender either optimism or pessimism. We find evidence that the explanatory style matters more than facts in the sense that optimistic styles support higher equilibria than pessimistic ones while the influence of the facts itself is weaker.
人们通常不会通过查阅官方统计数据来获取有关经济事实的新信息;他们阅读或收听媒体类型的经济报道/故事,这些报道将事实包装在故事中。本文通过实验检验了这类媒体类型故事的解释风格是否会影响个人的决策。我们还将这种特殊的叙事影响与故事中包含的实际事实的影响进行比较。我们的实验对象在玩最小努力游戏之前,会收到一个关于经济的媒体故事。媒体报道有好的或坏的经济背景事实,我们使用解释风格的心理学理论,以一种叙事风格来呈现这些事实,旨在产生乐观或悲观。我们发现证据表明,解释风格比事实更重要,因为乐观风格比悲观风格支持更高的均衡,而事实本身的影响更弱。
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引用次数: 24
Expected Transport Accessibility Improvement and House Prices: Evidence from the Construction of the World’s Longest Undersea Road Tunnel 预期交通可达性改善与房价:来自世界最长海底公路隧道建设的证据
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2022-05
Mikula Štěpán, Molnár Péter
This paper studies the impact of expected transport accessibility improvement on house prices. We identify the effect exploiting a quasi-natural experiment created by the approval and construction of the Ryfast tunnel system in Rogaland, Norway, which shortened the travelling time to the affected municipality from 62 to 24 minutes. Estimates of a repeated sales model in a difference-indifferences framework show that the expectation of improvement in transport accessibility connected with the construction of the tunnel system led to an increase in house prices by 10.1–12.8% on average. That effect grew as the opening of the tunnel drew closer and was driven by less valuable houses.
本文研究了交通可达性预期改善对房价的影响。我们利用准自然实验来确定效果,该实验是由挪威罗加兰的Ryfast隧道系统的批准和建设创造的,该系统将到受影响城市的旅行时间从62分钟缩短到24分钟。在差异-无差异框架下的重复销售模型估计表明,与隧道系统建设相关的交通可达性改善的预期导致房价平均上涨10.1-12.8%。随着隧道的开通越来越近,以及价值较低的房屋的推动,这种影响越来越大。
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引用次数: 15
Attitudes towards migrants and preferences for asylum and refugee policies before and during Russian invasion of Ukraine: The case of Slovakia 在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰之前和期间对移民的态度和对庇护和难民政策的偏好:斯洛伐克的案例
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2023-01
Adamus Magdalena, Grežo Matúš
Extant literature shows that well-being is one of the key drivers of attitudes towards migrants as well as preferences for asylum and refugee policies. To investigate the underpinnings of these relationships, two studies on representative samples of 600 Slovaks each were conducted before the Russian invasion of Ukraine and during its initial phase. The results show that well-being had a stable positive relationship with attitudes towards migrants across the studies, albeit not with preferences for asylum and refugee policies. During the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the negative feelings elicited by the war predicted preferences for asylum and refugee policies beyond well-being. The divergence between the attitudes towards migrants and the preferences urges that there is a need to extend the traditional focus on general attitudes towards migrants. Finally, the results indicate that incorporating psychological factors, such as well-being and emotional responses to the looming threat of war, may considerably inform the debate surrounding the support for inclusive asylum and refugee policies.
现有文献表明,福祉是对移民的态度以及对庇护和难民政策的偏好的关键驱动因素之一。为了调查这些关系的基础,在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰之前和最初阶段,分别对600名斯洛伐克人的代表性样本进行了两项研究。结果表明,在所有研究中,幸福感与对移民的态度存在稳定的正相关关系,尽管与对庇护和难民政策的偏好无关。在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰期间,战争引发的负面情绪预示着人们对庇护和难民政策的偏好超越了福祉。对移徙者的态度和偏好之间的分歧促使有必要扩大对移徙者的一般态度的传统重点。最后,结果表明,纳入心理因素,如福祉和对迫在眉睫的战争威胁的情绪反应,可能会在很大程度上为围绕支持包容性庇护和难民政策的辩论提供信息。
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引用次数: 7
Malaria and Economic Development in the Short-term: Plasmodium falciparum vs Plasmodium vivax 短期内疟疾与经济发展:恶性疟原虫与间日疟原虫
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2022-03
Kecskésová Michaela, Mikula Štěpán
Malaria – a disease caused by parasitic microorganisms of the Plasmodium genus – has been shown to impede economic growth and socioeconomic development in the long-term. In this paper we use annual regional data from India to show that malaria outbreaks are associated with an immediate decline in economic development approximated by night light intensity. We find the association to be significant for outbreaks of both the globally most prevalent Plasmodium species: Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax. The estimated associations are quite sizeable. Severe outbreaks correlate with night light reductions of 5% of the standard deviation for P. falciparum and 4% for P. vivax.
疟疾——一种由疟原虫属寄生微生物引起的疾病——已被证明会长期阻碍经济增长和社会经济发展。在本文中,我们使用来自印度的年度区域数据来表明,疟疾暴发与夜间灯光强度近似的经济发展的直接下降有关。我们发现这种关联对于全球最流行的两种疟原虫(恶性疟原虫和间日疟原虫)的暴发具有重要意义。估计的关联相当大。恶性疟原虫和间日疟原虫的夜间光照分别减少了标准偏差的5%和4%。
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引用次数: 16
Individual Differences in Behavioural Responses to the Financial Threat Posed by the COVID-19 Pandemic 应对COVID-19大流行金融威胁的行为差异
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2021-09
Adamus Magdalena, Grežo Matúš
Using a representative sample of 400 Slovaks, the study investigated the mediating role of subjective perception of financial threat to the relation between psychological resources and behavioural responses in the adaptation to financial stress posed by the COVID-19. The results showed that greater neuroticism and uncertainty intolerance were positively related to aggravated perception of financial threat. This led to greater willingness to change consumption patterns and use of mostly problem-focused coping strategies. The model remained robust after controlling for chronic financial hardship moderators, including the absence of savings and indebtedness. In contrast, acute financial hardship caused by the deterioration of one’s financial situation during the pandemic showed to significantly moderate the relation between one’s psychological resources and perceived financial threat.
该研究使用400名斯洛伐克人的代表性样本,调查了对财务威胁的主观感知对心理资源与行为反应之间关系的中介作用,以适应COVID-19带来的财务压力。结果表明,较高的神经质和不确定性不耐受与财务威胁感知的加重正相关。这使得人们更愿意改变消费模式,并采用以问题为中心的应对策略。在控制了长期财务困难调节因子(包括缺乏储蓄和负债)后,该模型仍然稳健。相比之下,大流行期间因个人财务状况恶化而造成的严重财务困难,大大缓和了个人心理资源与感知到的财务威胁之间的关系。
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引用次数: 2
The Impact of COVID-19 on Access to Mental Healthcare Services COVID-19对获得精神卫生保健服务的影响
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2023-05
Benjamin Harrell, Luca Fumarco, Patrick Button, David J. Schwegman, Kyla Denwood
The COVID-19 pandemic increased the rate of mental health disorders, as well as demand for mental health services. It remains unclear, however, the extent to which the pandemic impacted access to mental health services. Using data from an audit field experiment, we examine the impact of COVID-19 on access to mental health care appointments in the United States. This experiment ran from January to May 2020 and overlapped with the initial onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that increased intensity of COVID-19—measured by daily cases, daily fatalities, and weekly excess deaths—is associated with decreased access to mental health care appointments.
2019冠状病毒病大流行增加了精神健康障碍的发病率,也增加了对精神卫生服务的需求。然而,目前尚不清楚大流行病对获得精神卫生服务的影响程度。利用审计现场实验的数据,我们研究了COVID-19对美国精神卫生保健预约的影响。该实验于2020年1月至5月进行,与COVID-19大流行的初始发病时间重叠。我们发现,covid -19的强度增加(以每日病例、每日死亡人数和每周超额死亡人数衡量)与获得精神卫生保健预约的机会减少有关。
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引用次数: 3
Understanding the Origins of Populist Political Parties and the Role of External Shocks 理解民粹主义政党的起源与外部冲击的作用
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2021-10
Levi Eugeni, Sin Isabelle, Stillman Steven
We use electoral survey data to examine the impact that two large external shocks had on the development of New Zealand First (NZF), one of the oldest populist parties in the OECD. We find that structural reforms, which led to large negative impacts on particular locations, and immigration reforms, which led to large spatially concentrated increases in skilled migration, both increased voting for NZF in its first years of existence. These shocks led to changes in political attitudes and policy preferences and had persistent effects on voting for NZF even twenty years later. Overall, they play an important role in explaining the rise of populism in NZ. Understanding how these shocks led to the development of NZF is particularly relevant for thinking about how populism has been extending its reach in the 2010s.
我们使用选举调查数据来检验两个大的外部冲击对新西兰优先(NZF)发展的影响,NZF是经合组织中最古老的民粹主义政党之一。我们发现,结构性改革(对特定地区产生了巨大的负面影响)和移民改革(导致技术移民在空间上大幅集中增长)在新西兰移民基金成立的头几年都增加了对它的投票。这些冲击导致了政治态度和政策偏好的变化,甚至在20年后对新西兰国民阵线的投票产生了持续的影响。总的来说,他们在解释民粹主义在新西兰的兴起方面发挥了重要作用。理解这些冲击是如何导致NZF发展的,对于思考民粹主义在2010年代是如何扩大其影响范围的,尤为重要。
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引用次数: 1
A Competitive Audit Selection Mechanism with Incomplete Information 不完全信息下的竞争性审计选择机制
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2019-08
Fišar Miloš, Krčál Ondřej, Jiří Špalek Rostislav, Tremewan James
The experimental tax and regulatory compliance literature has shown the effectiveness of competitive audit selection mechanisms (ASMs) based on declarations and a signal of the taxpayers’ actual income. However, collecting information about actual income prior to audit selection is costly. In this article, we test the effectiveness of an endogenous ASM based solely on declared income. We show theoretically and in a laboratory experiment that this new endogenous ASM significantly increases compliance in comparison with an ASM where all taxpayers face audit with equal probability. However, a further consequence of conditioning solely on declared income is that poorer taxpayers are audited more frequently, reducing the effectiveness of this ASM in generating revenue and reducing inequality. We further compare the new mechanism with an ASM that also uses a noisy signal of actual income and show that it is a significant improvement over the other two ASMs in terms of compliance, revenue, and inequality. Our results suggest that ASMs that condition only on reported income can increase compliance but should be implemented with caution, and investing in acquiring information before audit selection can have substantial benefits.
税收和监管合规的实验文献表明,竞争性审计选择机制(asm)的有效性基于申报和纳税人的实际收入的信号。然而,在审计选择之前收集有关实际收入的信息是昂贵的。在本文中,我们仅基于申报收入来检验内生ASM的有效性。我们在理论和实验室实验中表明,与所有纳税人面临同等审计概率的ASM相比,这种新的内生ASM显著提高了合规。然而,仅以申报收入为条件的进一步后果是,较贫穷的纳税人受到更频繁的审计,从而降低了这种ASM在创造收入和减少不平等方面的有效性。我们进一步将新机制与ASM进行比较,后者也使用了实际收入的噪声信号,并表明它在合规性、收入和不平等方面比其他两种ASM有显著改进。我们的研究结果表明,仅以报告收入为条件的asm可以增加合规性,但应该谨慎实施,并且在审计选择之前投资获取信息可以带来实质性的好处。
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引用次数: 1
Effects of Sociodemographic Variables on Electronic Word of Mouth: Evidence from Emerging Economies 社会人口变量对电子口碑的影响:来自新兴经济体的证据
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2022-02
Mladenović Dušan, Rrustemi Visar, Martin Sebastian, Kalia Prateek, Chawdhary Rahul
Electronic Word of Mouth (eWOM) engagement on social networking sites (SNSs) is influenced by social relationship factors and this influence is assumed to be consistent. This study investigates the effects of social relationship variables in the context of emerging economies. It also observes the mediating role of social relationship variables in the relationship between conformity and eWOM. We hypothesized a moderating role of age, gender, and country of residence. The results revealed that social ties, trust, and interpersonal influence exert consistent impact and that conformity exerts positive indirect influence on eWOM engagement via social ties, trust, social capital, and interpersonal influence. It was found that age, gender moderate the observed relationship, while country plays no moderating role. The theoretical and practical implications of these findings are discussed.
社交网站(sns)的电子口碑(eom)参与度受到社会关系因素的影响,这种影响被认为是一致的。本研究探讨了新兴经济体背景下社会关系变量的影响。社会关系变量在从众与eWOM关系中的中介作用。我们假设年龄、性别和居住国有调节作用。结果表明,社会关系、信任和人际影响对员工敬业度的影响是一致的,从众通过社会关系、信任、社会资本和人际影响对员工敬业度产生正向的间接影响。研究发现,年龄、性别调节了观察到的关系,而国家没有调节作用。讨论了这些发现的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 19
The Gates Effect in Public Goods Experiments: How Donations Flow to the Recipients Favored by the Wealthy 公共物品实验中的盖茨效应:捐赠如何流向富人青睐的接受者
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/wp_muni_econ_2021-13
Corazzini Luca, Cotton Christopher, Longo Enrico, Reggiani Tommaso
Experiments involving multiple public goods with contribution thresholds capture many features of charitable giving environments in which donors try to coordinate their contributions across various potential recipients. We present results from a laboratory experiment that introduces endowment and preference differences into such a framework to explore the impact of donor heterogeneity on public good success and payoffs. We observe that wealthier donors tend to provide larger contributions to the public goods, and that the contributions of all other donors are most likely directed to the public good preferred by the wealthiest donor as other group members try to coordinate their donations to ensure public good success. We refer to this collective focus on the preferred good of the wealthiest as the Gates Effect. The Gates Effect can reduce inequality among donors groups that succeed in funding a public good; however, it also affects the philanthropic agenda, reducing the variety of public goods that receive funding.
涉及多个具有捐赠阈值的公共产品的实验捕捉到了慈善捐赠环境的许多特征,在这些环境中,捐赠者试图在不同的潜在接受者之间协调他们的捐赠。我们提出了一项实验室实验的结果,该实验将捐赠和偏好差异引入该框架,以探索捐赠者异质性对公共产品成功和回报的影响。我们观察到,更富有的捐赠者倾向于为公共物品提供更大的捐款,而所有其他捐赠者的捐款最有可能指向最富有的捐赠者所偏好的公共物品,因为其他团体成员试图协调他们的捐款,以确保公共物品的成功。我们把这种集体关注最富有的人的首选商品的现象称为“盖茨效应”。盖茨效应可以减少成功资助公共产品的捐赠团体之间的不平等;然而,它也影响了慈善议程,减少了接受资助的公共产品的种类。
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引用次数: 20
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MUNI ECON Working Papers
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