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Emotions of protest in times of crisis: representation, dislocation and remedy in the Greek ‘squares movement’ 危机时期的抗议情绪:希腊“广场运动”中的再现、错位和补救
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2022.2035192
Giorgos Katsambekis, Christos Iliadis, Ioannis Balampanidis, Evthymios Papataxiarchis
ABSTRACT This paper focuses on the 2011 ‘squares movement’ in Greece to enquire into the importance of (popular) sovereignty for mobilized individuals in relation to representation and crisis. We draw on tools of political theory and discourse analysis, adopt a ‘bottom up’ ethnographic perspective, and incorporate insights from social movement studies and the sociology of emotions. The aim is to reconstruct the key narratives and frames used by individuals to make sense of their motivations and aspirations, but also to trace the movement’s legacy. Our data is drawn from archival research in media outlets and semi-structured interviews with individuals that participated in or observed the ‘squares movement’. Our findings highlight the importance of the moment of dislocation and its destabilizing effect on individuals, while stressing the positive/productive aspect of crisis. Using emotions as a thread that runs through the mobilization and links it to subsequent ones, we highlight the explanatory value of our analysis for understanding the radical realignment of the political system and the rise of anti-establishment parties, and show how a cycle of tensions at the heart of representation that opened up in 2010 seems to have now closed.
本文聚焦于2011年希腊的“广场运动”,探讨(人民)主权对于动员起来的个人在代表性和危机方面的重要性。我们利用政治理论和话语分析的工具,采用“自下而上”的民族志视角,并结合社会运动研究和情感社会学的见解。其目的是重建个人使用的关键叙事和框架,以理解他们的动机和愿望,同时也追溯运动的遗产。我们的数据来自媒体的档案研究和对参与或观察“广场运动”的个人的半结构化采访。我们的研究结果强调了错位时刻的重要性及其对个人的不稳定影响,同时强调了危机的积极/富有成效的方面。我们将情绪作为贯穿整个动员过程并将其与后续动员联系起来的线索,强调了我们的分析对于理解政治体系的激进重组和反建制政党的崛起的解释价值,并展示了2010年开始的代表核心的紧张循环现在似乎已经关闭。
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引用次数: 0
The relationship between level of education and household income in the justification of political violence in the EU. the moderating effect of poverty at the country level 教育水平与家庭收入之间的关系是欧盟政治暴力的正当理由。贫困在国家一级的调节作用
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2022.2031233
Gabriel Zohar, J. Domènech-Abella, Free De Backer, Koen Lombaerts
ABSTRACT Several studies show that political violence justification (PVJ) is associated with unfavourable social and economic characteristics such as poor education, low income, and poverty at the national level. However, the mechanisms by which these factors interact remain unclear. This study aims to find out whether poverty at the country level (contextual poverty) moderates the relationship between individuals’ educational level and household income, and PVJ in the European Union (EU). We perform an analysis using a dataset of 15.347 individuals from twelve EU countries who participated in the European Values Survey, 2017. Logistic regressions models with interaction terms were used to analyze factors related to PVJ. Our findings are twofold. First, we find no evidence of educational level and PVJ's relationship in countries with medium levels of contextual poverty. In contrast, in countries with low levels of contextual poverty, individuals with medium educational level were associated with higher PVJ. Second, individuals living in countries with lower levels of contextual poverty and higher household income were associated with higher PVJ. We conclude that more individuals tend to justify political violence in countries with lower contextual poverty levels—individuals with medium educational level and higher household income. To our knowledge, this is the first study to find evidence that education and socioeconomic status may amplify PVJ in the EU.
一些研究表明,政治暴力辩护(PVJ)与不利的社会和经济特征有关,如教育程度低、收入低和国家层面的贫困。然而,这些因素相互作用的机制尚不清楚。本研究旨在发现国家层面的贫困(情境贫困)是否调节了欧盟(EU)个人教育水平、家庭收入和PVJ之间的关系。我们使用来自12个欧盟国家的15.347人的数据集进行了分析,这些人参加了2017年的欧洲价值观调查。采用带交互项的Logistic回归模型分析影响PVJ的因素。我们的发现是双重的。首先,我们没有发现中等背景贫困国家的教育水平和PVJ关系的证据。相比之下,在背景贫困水平较低的国家,中等教育水平的个体与较高的PVJ相关。其次,生活在背景贫困水平较低和家庭收入较高的国家的个人与较高的PVJ相关。我们得出的结论是,在背景贫困水平较低的国家,更多的人倾向于为政治暴力辩护——中等教育水平和较高家庭收入的人。据我们所知,这是第一个发现教育和社会经济地位可能会放大欧盟PVJ的证据的研究。
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引用次数: 1
Dictionary-based and machine learning classification approaches: a comparison for tonality and frame detection on Twitter data 基于字典和机器学习的分类方法:对Twitter数据的调性和帧检测的比较
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2022.2029217
M. Reveilhac, D. Morselli
ABSTRACT Automated text analysis methods have made it possible to classify large corpora of text by measures such as frames and tonality, with a growing popularity in social, political and psychological science. These methods often demand a training dataset of sufficient size to generate accurate models that can be applied to unseen texts. In practice, however, there are no clear recommendations about how big the training samples should be. This issue becomes especially acute when dealing with texts skewed toward categories and when researchers cannot afford large samples of annotated texts. Leveraging on the case of support for democracy, we provide a guide to help researchers navigate decisions when producing measures of tonality and frames from a small sample of annotated social media posts. We find that supervised machine learning algorithms outperform dictionaries for tonality classification tasks. However, custom dictionaries are useful complements of these algorithms when identifying latent democracy dimensions in social media messages, especially as the method of elaborating these dictionaries is guided by word embedding techniques and human validation. Therefore, we provide easily implementable recommendations to increase estimation accuracy under non-optimal condition.
自动文本分析方法使得通过框架和调性等措施对大型文本语料库进行分类成为可能,在社会、政治和心理科学中越来越受欢迎。这些方法通常需要一个足够大的训练数据集来生成准确的模型,这些模型可以应用于未见过的文本。然而,在实践中,对于训练样本应该有多大并没有明确的建议。当处理偏向于分类的文本时,当研究人员无法负担大量注释文本的样本时,这个问题变得特别尖锐。利用支持民主的案例,我们提供了一个指南,帮助研究人员在从一小部分带注释的社交媒体帖子中产生调性和框架度量时做出决策。我们发现监督机器学习算法在调性分类任务上优于字典。然而,在识别社交媒体信息中潜在的民主维度时,自定义词典是这些算法的有用补充,特别是在精心设计这些词典的方法由词嵌入技术和人工验证指导的情况下。因此,我们提供了易于实现的建议,以提高非最优条件下的估计精度。
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引用次数: 3
Yelling from the sidelines? How German parties employ populist and crisis-related messages on Facebook 在场边大喊大叫?德国政党如何在Facebook上使用民粹主义和危机相关信息
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-07 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.2021095
Benjamin Schürmann, Johann Gründl
ABSTRACT The possibilities of unfiltered communication in social media provide the perfect opportunity structure for spreading populist ideas. Generally, populist communication features an antagonistic worldview that blames elites for betraying the people and promises to reverse a ‘downward societal trend’ by bringing the people's ‘real’ interests back into politics. Although populist success is often attributed to crisis-induced dissatisfaction, research remains unclear on whether and how political actors foster such negative societal perceptions. Building on the German case, our paper accomplishes two things: It explores the use of populist social media communication and relates it to the exploitation of crisis-related messages among political parties. Conducting a manual content analysis of 3,500 Facebook posts by German parties and leading politicians, we find that the outsider parties AfD and the Left use and combine populist and crisis-related messages by far the most. Insider parties also spread crisis-related content to some extent. However, like the government parties, they are very reluctant to communicate in a populist way. By explaining the communicative output with their relative position in the party system, we deepen the understanding of parties’ social media behaviour. Overall, this study offers more in-depth insights into how politicians influence perceptions of the societal state.
社交媒体中未经过滤的交流的可能性为传播民粹主义思想提供了完美的机会结构。一般来说,民粹主义传播的特点是一种对立的世界观,指责精英背叛了人民,并承诺通过将人民的“真正”利益重新纳入政治来扭转“社会下行趋势”。虽然民粹主义的成功通常归因于危机引发的不满,但关于政治行为者是否以及如何助长这种负面的社会观念,研究仍不清楚。在德国案例的基础上,我们的论文完成了两件事:它探讨了民粹主义社交媒体传播的使用,并将其与政党之间危机相关信息的利用联系起来。我们对德国各政党和主要政界人士在Facebook上发布的3500条帖子进行了手工内容分析,发现到目前为止,外部政党德国新选择党和左翼使用和结合民粹主义和危机相关信息最多。内部人士也在一定程度上传播了与危机相关的内容。然而,就像政府政党一样,他们非常不愿意以民粹主义的方式进行沟通。通过解释交际输出与他们在政党系统中的相对地位,我们加深了对政党社会媒体行为的理解。总的来说,这项研究为政治家如何影响对社会状态的看法提供了更深入的见解。
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引用次数: 1
The lure of populism: a conjoint experiment examining the interplay between demand and supply side factors 民粹主义的诱惑:检验需求侧和供给侧因素之间相互作用的联合实验
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-02-17 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2022.2109493
Henrik Serup Christensen, I. Saikkonen
ABSTRACT Several studies have examined the success of populist leaders in recent decades. These studies focus on both supply side factors that concern the traits of populist actors and demand side factors in the form of characteristics of the supporters. However, we still lack a solid understanding of how these supply and demand side factors interact to explain the support of populist leaders. We contribute to this literature by examining the interplay of two central supply side factors, people-centeredness and anti-immigration policies, and two demand side factors, political dissatisfaction and generational differences, in determining populist support. We test these explanations by leveraging a choice-based conjoint analysis embedded in a representative sample of the Finnish population (n = 1030). The results show that while people-centeredness enhance the favourability of prospective political leaders among the general population, only anti-immigration policies appeal to the politically dissatisfied. In contrast to recent studies, we find no evidence that populist leader traits would be more favoured by younger generations. These results indicate that the interplay between supply and demand may well be more intricate than what previous studies suggest.
近几十年来,有几项研究考察了民粹主义领导人的成功。这些研究既关注民粹主义行为者特征的供给侧因素,也关注支持者特征的需求侧因素。然而,对于这些供给侧和需求侧因素如何相互作用来解释民粹主义领导人的支持,我们仍然缺乏扎实的理解。我们通过研究两个核心供给侧因素(以人为本和反移民政策)和两个需求侧因素(政治不满和代际差异)在决定民粹主义支持方面的相互作用,为这一文献做出了贡献。我们利用芬兰人口代表性样本(n = 1030)中的基于选择的联合分析来检验这些解释。结果显示,虽然以人为本提高了未来政治领导人在普通民众中的好感度,但只有反移民政策才能吸引政治上不满意的人。与最近的研究相反,我们没有发现证据表明民粹主义领导人的特质会更受年轻一代的青睐。这些结果表明,供需之间的相互作用可能比以前的研究表明的更为复杂。
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引用次数: 0
Beliefs in conspiracy theories (CT): the role of country context 阴谋论中的信仰:国家背景的作用
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.1949358
Bernd Schlipphak, M. Bollwerk, M. Back
ABSTRACT While there is an increasing body of research on the individual predispositions affecting conspiracy beliefs, little research has to date analysed potential effects on the context level. In this research note, we develop the argument that socialization and communication factors on the context level may directly affect aggregate levels of generic conspiracy beliefs. Second, we analyse whether these context level factors also interact with specific characteristics of the conspiracy theory – in our case, the actors involved in the CT. Running survey experiments in Germany, Poland, and Jordan (total N = 4,113), we find evidence for aggregate level differences between countries and for interactions between country-specific heuristics and characteristics of the CT. These findings are in line with expectations based on context level socialization and communication mechanisms. In closing, we discuss remaining limitations and outline promising avenues for future research.
虽然对影响阴谋信念的个人倾向的研究越来越多,但迄今为止,很少有研究分析在情境层面上的潜在影响。在本研究报告中,我们提出了社会化和交际因素在情境层面上可能直接影响一般阴谋信念的总体水平的论点。其次,我们分析这些背景层面的因素是否也与阴谋论的特定特征相互作用——在我们的案例中,是参与CT的行动者。在德国、波兰和约旦进行调查实验(总N = 4,113),我们发现了国家之间总体水平差异的证据,以及国家特定启发式与CT特征之间的相互作用。这些发现符合基于情境层面社会化和沟通机制的预期。最后,我们讨论了仍然存在的局限性,并概述了未来研究的有希望的途径。
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引用次数: 7
The Brexit learning effect? Brexit negotiations and attitudes towards leaving the EU beyond the UK 英国脱欧的学习效应?英国脱欧谈判和脱欧态度
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.1932533
A. Reinl, Geoffrey Evans
ABSTRACT Britain’s decision to leave the EU did not go unnoticed by the remaining EU states. Previous studies have shown that the assessment of the Brexit decision shortly after the referendum took place influenced the voting behaviour of citizens in a hypothetical EU referendum held in their country. This research note goes one step further by examining whether citizens’ willingness to leave the EU changed during the following three years of prolonged Brexit negotiations. To this end, Eurobarometer and ESS data are used to descriptively trace public votes in hypothetical referendums on EU membership over time. In addition, a cross-sectional analysis of Eurobarometer data collected two years after the referendum finds that citizens’ assessment of the British Brexit experience is strongly associated with attitudes towards EU membership. If Brexit is seen as the right decision for Britain, withdrawal of one’s own country from the EU is seen as more attractive although reassuringly for the EU, most people in the EU do not hold this belief.
摘要英国脱欧的决定并没有被剩下的欧盟国家忽视。先前的研究表明,公投后不久对英国脱欧决定的评估影响了公民在本国举行的假想欧盟公投中的投票行为。这份研究报告更进一步,考察了在接下来的三年漫长的脱欧谈判中,公民脱欧意愿是否发生了变化。为此,欧洲晴雨表和ESS数据被用来描述一段时间内关于欧盟成员国身份的假设公投中的公众投票。此外,对公投两年后收集的欧洲晴雨表数据进行的横断面分析发现,公民对英国脱欧经历的评估与对欧盟成员国身份的态度密切相关。如果英国脱欧被视为英国的正确决定,那么自己的国家退出欧盟被视为更有吸引力,尽管让欧盟放心的是,大多数欧盟成员国并不持有这种信念。
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引用次数: 2
A new Iberian exceptionalism? Comparing the populist radical right electorate in Portugal and Spain 新的伊比利亚例外论?葡萄牙和西班牙民粹主义激进右翼选民的比较
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.1989985
Lea Heyne, Luca Manucci
ABSTRACT Since their transition to democracy in the 1970s, Spain and Portugal have been ‘immune’ to the success of populist radical right (PRR) parties. This exceptional situation, however, came to an end: Chega’s leader, André Ventura, was elected in the Portuguese parliament, while VOX has become the third most voted political party of Spain. Using new online survey data from the Spanish and Portuguese national elections in 2019, we find that the Iberian PRR electorate is mostly in line with the characteristics of the PRR electorate in Western Europe when it comes to socio-demographics, political dissatisfaction, media diet, and the rejection of immigration and feminism. Interestingly, however, the support for Chega and VOX does not come from economic losers of globalization. Finally, both parties capitalize on country-specific issues —national unity in Spain and welfare in Portugal— but PRR parties might struggle to establish themselves within the party system of the two Iberian countries.
自20世纪70年代向民主过渡以来,西班牙和葡萄牙一直“免疫”民粹主义激进右翼(PRR)政党的成功。然而,这种特殊的情况结束了:Chega的领导人andr文图拉当选为葡萄牙议会议员,而VOX成为西班牙第三大得票最多的政党。利用2019年西班牙和葡萄牙全国大选的新在线调查数据,我们发现伊比利亚PRR选民在社会人口统计学、政治不满、媒体饮食、拒绝移民和女权主义等方面与西欧PRR选民的特征基本一致。然而,有趣的是,对Chega和VOX的支持并非来自全球化的经济输家。最后,两党都利用了本国的具体问题——西班牙的民族团结和葡萄牙的福利——但PRR政党可能难以在这两个伊比利亚国家的政党体系中站稳脚跟。
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引用次数: 5
The art of non-decision in Israel: religion, business, and the day of rest 以色列的非决定艺术:宗教、商业和休息日
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.1942087
Michal Neubauer-Shani, Omri Shamir
ABSTRACT Non-decision making, as a worldwide public policy pattern, has been gathering attention in the research field of late. In Israel, we are witnessing various issues in which the status quo is, in effect, maintained, often with the intention and design of the interested players. In the absence of a constitutional separation between religion and state, and the lack of a comprehensive law articulating exactly what the public sphere should look like on the day of rest (Shabbat), this issue has continued to preoccupy the State of Israel since its foundation. This article argues that the issue of opening businesses on Shabbat in the State of Israel represents a case demonstrating how policymakers operate to maintain the status-quo by adopting a policy of non-decision making. Th is a result of two structural factors in Israeli politics: the consociational model and the multiplicity of political parties. The article elaborates upon the multiple tactics used by the policymakers to carry out the non-decision making policy and characterizes this process.
非决策作为一种世界性的公共政策模式,近年来受到学术界的广泛关注。在以色列,我们正在目睹各种问题,在这些问题中,现状实际上得到了维持,而且往往是出于有关参与者的意图和设计。由于在宪法上没有将宗教与国家分开,也没有一项全面的法律明确说明公共领域在休息日(安息日)应该是什么样子,这个问题自以色列国成立以来一直是以色列国关注的问题。本文认为,以色列国在安息日开放企业的问题代表了一个案例,展示了政策制定者如何通过采取非决策政策来维持现状。这是以色列政治中两个结构性因素的结果:联合模式和政党的多样性。本文阐述了决策者在实施非决策性政策时所采用的多种策略,并对这一过程进行了表征。
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引用次数: 0
Dealing with the epistemic-democratic tension in policy-making. Institutional design choices for multi-layered democratic innovations 处理政策制定中的认知-民主张力。多层次民主创新的制度设计选择
IF 2.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.1893608
Eva Krick
ABSTRACT This study analyses a particularly auspicious and seemingly thriving kind of democratic innovation in terms of its potential to deal with epistemic and democratic demands to policy-making at the same time. In focus are highly complex, multi-layered arrangements of policy deliberation, consultation and advice that combine an array of input channels and actor groups in a shared quest for a joint, consensual solution to a policy problem. The study asks under which conditions these democratic innovations manage to deal with the double challenge of delivering reliable expertise and providing for substantive participation of all affected viewpoints. Two cases from the German environmental policy context are analyzed in-depth, i.e. the committee on the final storage of nuclear waste and the dialogue on the government’s climate action plan. The comparative case analysis is guided by an assessment framework that builds on input-oriented democratic theory, participatory governance research as well as sociological and epistemological debates of expertise and knowledge in the policy context. Based on the case analyses, the study traces favourable institutional design conditions for striking a balance between the multiple normative demands at play.
本研究分析了一种特别吉祥且看似蓬勃发展的民主创新,它同时处理认知和民主对决策的需求的潜力。重点是高度复杂的、多层次的政策审议、协商和建议安排,将一系列输入渠道和行动者群体结合起来,共同寻求共同的、协商一致的政策问题解决方案。该研究提出,在何种条件下,这些民主创新能够应对提供可靠的专业知识和为所有受影响的观点提供实质性参与的双重挑战。深入分析了德国环境政策背景下的两个案例,即核废料最终储存委员会和政府气候行动计划对话。比较案例分析以一个评估框架为指导,该框架建立在以投入为导向的民主理论、参与式治理研究以及政策背景下专业知识和知识的社会学和认识论辩论的基础上。在案例分析的基础上,本研究追溯了在多重规范需求之间取得平衡的有利制度设计条件。
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引用次数: 2
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Political Research Exchange
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