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Optimal Conditions for Treating Acid Mine Drainage by Bentonite-Steel Slag Composites 膨润土-钢渣复合材料处理酸性矿井水的最佳工艺条件
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.025
Liping Xiao, W. Bin, Jichi Bai, Liu Zhe
The Acid Mine Drainage has characteristics of low pH, high concentrations of heavy metal ions, such as Fe 2+ , Mn 2+ , Cu 2+ and Zn 2+ . In this paper, the composite particles that consisted of bentonite and steel slags were used to dispose the Acid Mine Drainage. Bentonite is the mineral materials and can adsorb heavy metal ions excellently. The steel slags are alkaline and industrial solid waste for the treatment of the Acid Mine Drainage. The main influencing factors, such as adsorbent dosages, shaking rates, concentrations of heavy metal ions, temperatures, adsorption time and pH value were studied by the static experiment. Increasing the adsorbent dosages and the concentrations of the heavy metal ions, speeding up the shaking rates, raising the temperatures, extending the adsorption time and improving pH would improve the removal efficiencies of heavy metal ions. Through considering the removal efficiencies and the treatment costs, the optimum reaction conditions for the four kinds of heavy metal ions were obtained. The adsorbent dosage 21 mg/L, the rotational speed 120 r / min, the temperature 25℃, adsorption time 100 min and the initial wastewater pH 7. The four kinds of heavy metal ions existed independently in the simulated mine wastewater. The highest initial concentrations of Fe 2+ , Mn 2+ , Cu 2+ and Zn 2+ were 150 mg/L, 100 mg/L, 170 mg/L and 140 mg/L respectively. The removal rates were 93.42%, 92.64%, 93.86% and 95.17% respectively. The determination of the particles’ SEM-EDS Microscopic characterization showed the composite particles could play a part in neutralizing, absorbing and the chemical precipitation. The acidity decreased notably and the heavy metal ions of Fe 2+ , Mn 2+ , Cu 2+ and Zn 2+ were adsorbed and precipitated effectively. The research results can extend the practical engineering application of the composite particles.
酸性矿山水具有pH值低、重金属离子(Fe 2+、Mn 2+、Cu 2+、Zn 2+)浓度高的特点。本文采用膨润土与钢渣复合颗粒处理酸性矿山废水。膨润土是一种矿物材料,对重金属离子有很好的吸附作用。钢渣是酸性矿山废水处理的碱性工业固体废物。通过静态实验研究了吸附剂用量、摇摇速率、重金属离子浓度、温度、吸附时间和pH值等主要影响因素。增加吸附剂投加量和重金属离子浓度、加快振荡速度、提高吸附温度、延长吸附时间和改善pH值可以提高重金属离子的去除效率。通过对去除率和处理成本的综合考虑,得出了四种重金属离子的最佳反应条件。吸附剂用量21 mg/L,转速120 r / min,温度25℃,吸附时间100 min,初始废水pH为7。四种重金属离子在模拟矿山废水中独立存在。Fe 2+、Mn 2+、Cu 2+和Zn 2+的最高初始浓度分别为150 mg/L、100 mg/L、170 mg/L和140 mg/L。去除率分别为93.42%、92.64%、93.86%和95.17%。粒子的SEM-EDS表征表明复合粒子具有中和、吸收和化学沉淀的作用。酸度明显降低,Fe 2+、Mn 2+、Cu 2+、Zn 2+等重金属离子被有效吸附和沉淀。研究结果可拓展复合颗粒的实际工程应用。
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引用次数: 0
Application of Three-Dimensional Geological Modelling in Coal Mining 三维地质建模在煤矿开采中的应用
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.040
Ren Liyan, Huayang Dai, Li Yingcheng, Wang En-quan
Three-dimensional geological modelling of coal mines is critical to the sustainable development of the mining industry. On the basis of comprehensively analyzing 3D geological modelling methods, according to the available data of mine such as geological terrain maps, cross-sections and boreholes, we present a 3D modelling method by integrating ArcGIS and 3D GeoModeller. Our motivation is to integrate the advantages of both software modules in processing, converting, integrating and transferring geological information. Special attention has been given to the data structure and processing flow. We build a 3D geological model of the Xieqiao coal mine and successfully extract the geological framework of the strata in the 11118 workface, which is consistent with that of the actual explored geology.
煤矿三维地质建模是煤矿可持续发展的关键。在综合分析三维地质建模方法的基础上,根据矿山现有的地质地形图、剖面、钻孔等数据,提出了一种将ArcGIS与3D GeoModeller相结合的三维地质建模方法。我们的动机是整合两个软件模块在处理、转换、整合和传递地质信息方面的优势。特别注意了数据结构和处理流程。建立了谢桥煤矿三维地质模型,成功提取了11118工作面地层的地质格架,与实际勘查地质相吻合。
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引用次数: 1
A Review on Integrated Mineral Carbonation Process in Ultramafic Mine Deposit 超镁铁质矿床综合矿物碳酸化过程研究进展
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.027
Jiajie Li, M. Hitch
Dramatical increase in the CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere has led to the climate change, which poses a significant threat to human life on Earth. CO 2 sequestration via mineral carbonation is the one of the most effective method for mitigating global warming, and is the only way that could store CO 2 permanently. In recent years, integrating mineral carbonation via ultramafic mine deposit has received significant attention due to its high potentiality towards commercial application. This review compiles the work conducted by various researchers over the last few years on integrated mineral carbonation processes in mining industry, which use the mine waste materials as CO 2 feedstock for mineral carbonation. This paper initially introduces the basic theory of mineral carbonation, with a brief description of various techniques that enhance the rate of mineral carbonation. The enhanced mineral carbonation strategies include pre-treatment of feedstock by thermal, chemical and mechanical activation, and carbonation in a direct or indirect carbonation routes under gas/solid phase or aqueous phase. This paper then introduces the scope of application of integrated mineral carbonation. This includes the types of mine suitable for integrated mineral carbonation, the properties of mine waste materials preferable for CO 2 sequestration, and the worldwide locations potentially viable for integrated mineral carbonation. Moreover, this paper critically reviews and discusses the integrated mineral carbonation process in mining industry. The integrated mineral carbonation processes include modified passive carbonation techniques at tailing dams, and ex-situ carbonation routes using fresh tailings. The focus of the discussions is the role of reaction condition on the carbonation efficiency of mine waste with various mineralogy, and the drawback of each integrated mineral carbonation process. All the discussions lead to the suggestions on the technology improvement in the integrated mineral carbonation process. Finally, this paper reviews the economical assessments on the existing integrated mineral carbonation process. Literature to date indicates that the value-add by-products (i.e. recovered metals, valuable carbonated products) play an important role in commercialization of an integrated mineral carbonation process.
大气中二氧化碳浓度的急剧增加导致了气候变化,这对地球上的人类生活构成了重大威胁。通过矿物碳酸化封存二氧化碳是减缓全球变暖最有效的方法之一,也是唯一能永久封存二氧化碳的方法。近年来,超镁铁质矿床整合矿物碳酸化因其具有巨大的商业应用潜力而受到广泛关注。本综述汇编了过去几年来各种研究人员在采矿业综合矿物碳酸化过程中所做的工作,这些过程使用矿山废料作为矿物碳酸化的二氧化碳原料。本文首先介绍了矿物碳酸化的基本理论,并简要介绍了提高矿物碳酸化率的各种技术。强化矿物碳化策略包括通过热、化学和机械活化对原料进行预处理,以及在气/固相或水相下直接或间接碳化。然后介绍了综合矿物碳酸化的应用范围。这包括适合进行综合矿物碳酸化的矿山类型、适于封存二氧化碳的矿山废料的性质以及世界范围内可能可行的综合矿物碳酸化地点。此外,本文还对采矿业的综合矿物碳酸化过程进行了批判性的回顾和讨论。综合矿物碳酸化工艺包括改良的尾矿坝被动碳酸化技术和利用新鲜尾矿的非原位碳酸化路线。重点讨论了反应条件对不同矿物学的矿山废弃物碳酸化效率的影响,以及各种综合矿物碳酸化工艺的缺点。通过讨论,提出了综合矿物碳酸化工艺改进的建议。最后,对现有综合矿物碳酸化工艺的经济评价进行了综述。迄今为止的文献表明,增值副产品(即回收的金属,有价值的碳酸化产品)在综合矿物碳酸化过程的商业化中起着重要作用。
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引用次数: 8
Preparation of High Purity Manganese Sulphate from Low-Grade Rhodochrosite 低品位菱锰矿制备高纯硫酸锰
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.042
Chen-Li Zefang, Ma Laijun, M. Lei, Lian Fang
In our work, the preparation technique of high pure manganese sulfate directly from low-grade rhodochrosite ore (MnCO 3 ) was studied and improved intensively, including the effective leaching process and the short purifying process. Based on the same ion effect, the repeated leaching of rhodochrosite with sulfuric acid is proposed to improve the solubility of Mn 2+ and inhibit the dissolution of the impurities Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ . Moreover, the repeated leaching process could make full use of rhodochrosite and lower the dosage of sulfuric acidas raw material. With the aid of theoretical calculation, Ba(OH) 2 was chose to adjust the pH value of manganese sulfate solution, and BaF 2 to remove Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ completely in the process of purifying. The results demonstrate that the extraction ratio and the recovery ratio of manganese reached 94.3% and 92.7%, respectively, which shows the prospect of industrial application. In manganese sulfate production, the heavy metal impurities have been decreased to less than 1ppm. Moreover, the content of calcium, magnesium and sodium has been decreased to less than 20ppm, which meets the standards of high pure reagent for energy and electronic materials. Our study enlightens an approach to the sustainable application of low-grade rhodochrosite.
本文对低品位红锰矿(mnco3)直接制备高纯硫酸锰的工艺进行了深入研究和改进,包括有效浸出工艺和短时间提纯工艺。基于相同的离子效应,提出用硫酸重复浸出菱锰矿,以提高Mn 2+的溶解度,抑制杂质Ca 2+和Mg 2+的溶解。重复浸出工艺可以充分利用菱锰矿,降低硫酸原料用量。通过理论计算,选择Ba(OH) 2来调节硫酸锰溶液的pH值,选择BaF 2来完全去除净化过程中的ca2 +和mg2 +。结果表明,该工艺对锰的提取率和回收率分别达到94.3%和92.7%,具有工业应用前景。在硫酸锰生产中,重金属杂质已降至1ppm以下。此外,钙、镁、钠的含量已降至20ppm以下,符合能源、电子材料高纯试剂标准。本研究为低品位菱锰矿的可持续利用开辟了一条途径。
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引用次数: 0
Coal Mine Based Circular Economy Park: A Case Study 基于煤矿的循环经济园区案例研究
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.002
Zhen Wei, Dan Xu, Zhihe Wang, G. Song
With decades of development and exploitation of coal resources, the first batch of coal-based cities in China are faced with the challenge of economic shrinkage and environment deterioration due to the rapid resource exhaustion and single industrial structure. Nowadays, as a policy instrument for sustainable development, a nationwide circular economy mode has been implemented during the design and planning of new coal mines to address the challenges arising from economic depression, energy shortage and environmental pollution. It should be mentioned that several national coal bases and most of constructing and planning coal mines are located in the underdeveloped areas in the Midwest of China which means that the distance between supply source for energy resources and the demand market is significantly increased. Moreover, the eco-environment vulnerability in these rural areas should be taken into serious consideration. Therefore, after comparison and analysis with several successful coals based and diversified circular industry chains, this paper presents a case study on the circular economy park (CEP) in the northwest of Shanxi Province. Through discussion and evaluation of ‘1+3’ mode in the CEP, this paper aims to enhance the understanding of coal mine sustainable development and shed light on the relationship between resources exploitation and local economic development.
经过几十年的煤炭资源开发利用,中国第一批煤炭城市由于资源枯竭速度快、产业结构单一,面临着经济萎缩和环境恶化的挑战。当前,作为可持续发展的政策工具,全国范围内的循环经济模式已在新建煤矿的设计规划中得到实施,以应对经济萧条、能源短缺和环境污染带来的挑战。需要指出的是,几个国家级煤炭基地和大部分在建和规划煤矿都位于中国中西部欠发达地区,这意味着能源供应来源与需求市场之间的距离大大增加。此外,还应重视农村生态环境的脆弱性。因此,本文通过对几个成功的以煤炭为基础的多元化循环产业链的比较分析,以晋西北循环经济园区为例进行了研究。本文旨在通过对CEP中“1+3”模式的探讨和评价,加深对煤矿可持续发展的认识,并阐明资源开发与地方经济发展的关系。
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引用次数: 1
Complex Network Model for Characterizing Hazards and Risks Associated with Mine-tailings Facility 尾矿设施危害与风险表征的复杂网络模型
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.019
Shuang Gao, Z. Zhen, Zhongxue Li, Yiqing Zhao, Xuan Qin
If not well-managed, a mine-tailings facility may become a major source of risks, endangering the community and environment, and damaging the reputation of the minerals industry regarding sustainability. Identifying, characterizing, and mitigating the hazards and risks associated with tailings facilities have been critical to the maintenance of community-safe and environmentally sound mine-tailings facilities. Herein, a complex network model for characterizing the hazards and risks associated with the lifecycle of tailings facilities is presented. In this approach, the hazards are modeled as vertices of the complex network, and the interactions among the hazards are modeled as edges of the complex network. The complex network for modeling the hazard and risk spreading of mine-tailings impoundments is analyzed and characterized by using network metrics such as the network density, geometrical characteristics, characteristic path length, network efficiency, and clustering coefficient. The degree distribution of the network obeys a power-law distribution, indicating that the network for characterizing the risk spreading associated with a tailings facility is scale-free. According to the results of calculations and existing research results, the network is ultrasmall-world. By analyzing the change of the global network efficiency under four kinds of different methods to remove network nodes and edges, network nodes with higher between centrality (BC) are identified as critical. The removal of those critical nodes helps mitigate risks associated with a tailings facility and reveals the vulnerabilities to BC attacks.
如果管理不善,尾矿设施可能成为危险的主要来源,危及社区和环境,并损害矿物工业在可持续性方面的声誉。确定、描述和减轻与尾矿设施有关的危害和风险对维持社区安全和无害环境的尾矿设施至关重要。在此基础上,建立了一个复杂的网络模型,用于表征尾矿设施生命周期相关的危害和风险。在这种方法中,危险被建模为复杂网络的顶点,危险之间的相互作用被建模为复杂网络的边。利用网络密度、几何特征、特征路径长度、网络效率和聚类系数等网络指标,对尾矿库危害与风险扩散建模的复杂网络进行了分析和表征。网络的度分布服从幂律分布,表明表征尾矿库风险扩散的网络是无标度的。根据计算结果和已有的研究成果,网络是超小世界的。通过分析四种不同的网络节点和边缘去除方法对全局网络效率的影响,将中间度(BC)较高的网络节点识别为关键节点。移除这些关键节点有助于降低与尾矿设施相关的风险,并揭示了对BC攻击的脆弱性。
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引用次数: 3
Pathways to Shrink CO2 Emissions in China's Coal Industry 减少中国煤炭行业二氧化碳排放的途径
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.026
Jinke Li, Fenghua Wang
While coal fueling China's economic growth it has already been causing severe pollution and amounts of CO 2 emission. How to make deep reductions in carbon emission is not only a huge challenge for the greatest consumer of coal, but also a revolution for China’s coal industry. The paper explores how to shrink CO 2 emissions during the lifetime of coal. The paper points out that increase of coal mine efficiency and productivity, green mining, utilization of coal mine methane and environment-friendly disposal of coal gangue can reduce CO 2 during coal mining; coal preparation and coal by wire can decrease CO 2 during coal preparation and transportation; improving combustion efficiency, CO 2 capture and storage (CCS) and coal transformation can lessen CO 2 during coal utilization. The paper also points out that Circular Economy Park is a practical way to develop a low carbon economy for coal industry. An econometric model for total coal industry and each sector are constructed to measure carbon emissions based on CO 2 equivalent emissions, then with detailed calculations, based on potential greenhouse-gas emission's reduction, a most likely low carbon roadmap of China's coal industry is depicted with scenario analysis method.
煤炭在推动中国经济增长的同时,也造成了严重的污染和大量的二氧化碳排放。如何大幅减少碳排放,不仅是中国这个最大的煤炭消费国面临的巨大挑战,也是中国煤炭行业的一场革命。本文探讨了如何在煤炭全寿命期内减少二氧化碳的排放。指出提高煤矿效率和生产力、绿色开采、煤层气利用和煤矸石环保处理是减少煤矿开采过程中CO 2的有效途径;选煤和电煤都能减少选煤和运输过程中的CO 2;提高燃烧效率、二氧化碳捕集与封存(CCS)和煤炭改造可以在煤炭利用过程中减少CO 2。指出循环经济园区是煤炭工业发展低碳经济的一条切实可行的途径。构建了煤炭行业总量和各行业碳排放计量模型,以co2当量排放量为基础进行碳排放测算,并通过详细计算,以潜在的温室气体减排量为基础,运用情景分析法描绘了中国煤炭行业最可能的低碳路线图。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Participatory Environmental Monitoring Committees in Mining Regions in Peru 参与性环境监测委员会在秘鲁矿区的作用
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.032
A. Xavier, A. León, A. Carlier, Manuel Bernales, B. Klein
Mining companies and governments at both the local and national levels recognize that Participatory Environmental Monitoring and Surveillance Committees (PEMSC) are necessary mechanisms for meaningful engagement at the community level. In many cases, PEMSCs are established as volunteer initiatives by mining companies or by the mining communities themselves. In Peru however, they can also be recommended by the government as way to address social conflict. Most PEMSCs are launched while a mine is in operation and have the objective of monitoring both water quality and quantity. Many established committees are currently evolving and adopting a more comprehensive approach, as well as expanding their initial scope from a river or micro-basin focus and watchdog agenda, to a broader regional integrated resources management view. This paper examines the origins of Participatory Environmental Monitoring and Surveillance Committees in Peru. It also discusses the typology of these committees, and the scope of their work. Furthermore, it looks at the challenges faced by these committees, as well as existing opportunities for mining companies, governments, and civil society. Finally, this study presents a governance model that could contribute to the long-term existence of these committees. This discussion is further informed by the results of a national workshop that took place in October 2016 in Peru, in which over 200 representatives from 22 monitoring committees, government and mining companies participated.
地方和国家各级的矿业公司和政府都认识到,参与性环境监测和监督委员会是社区一级进行有意义参与的必要机制。在许多情况下,pemsc是由矿业公司或矿业社区自己作为自愿倡议建立的。然而,在秘鲁,它们也可以被政府推荐为解决社会冲突的一种方式。大多数pemsc是在矿井作业时启动的,其目的是监测水质和水量。许多已成立的委员会目前正在发展和采用更全面的办法,并将其最初的范围从河流或微流域重点和监督议程扩大到更广泛的区域综合资源管理观点。本文考察了参与式环境监测和监督委员会在秘鲁的起源。它还讨论了这些委员会的类型,以及他们的工作范围。此外,它还着眼于这些委员会面临的挑战,以及矿业公司、政府和民间社会的现有机会。最后,本研究提出了一个有助于这些委员会长期存在的治理模型。2016年10月在秘鲁举行的全国研讨会的结果进一步为本次讨论提供了信息,来自22个监测委员会、政府和矿业公司的200多名代表参加了该研讨会。
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引用次数: 7
Blue Mining – Today’s Mine Planning for Future Mines 蓝色采矿-今天的矿山规划为未来的矿山
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.001
O. Langefeld, A. Binder
The future of mining will be characterized not only by the application of modern technology, but also by the harmonization of economic, environmental and social issues. These areas set major future challenges which are complex and demand extensive knowledge. As an example, mining of highly complex orebodies for the supply of often critical raw materials, needs to consider technically demanding and cost-intensive extraction issues. The amount of tailings, which need to be stored, increases with the amount of ore mined. Therefore, the negative impact on environment and society increases. Hence mining becomes expensive with regard to all three aspects: economy, environment and society. In view of a sustainable mining practice this challenge should be used as an opportunity. The positive impact should be maximized for present and future generations. The objective is to create and use the mining openings in an optimum way related to sustainability. The approach of Blue Mining, which focuses on energy and ergonomics in the field of Sustainable Development, enhances the closure planning by recommending subsequent usage of such openings for energy storage. The approach fosters among others the implementation of the 7th Goal for Sustainable Development defined by the United Nations with the assurance of access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all. The usage of underground storage increases the stability of solar and water power usage, which are otherwise unreliable. Blue Mining embeds these issues in the main planning effort long before groundbreaking. This approach involves experience from past and current projects. This paper introduces the concept of Blue Mining with respect to post-mining utilization of a mine for energy storage. Methods and perspectives are presented with examples covering best-practices and lessons-learned.
采矿的未来将不仅以现代技术的应用为特点,而且以经济、环境和社会问题的协调为特点。这些领域对未来构成了重大挑战,这些挑战既复杂又需要广泛的知识。例如,开采高度复杂的矿体以供应往往至关重要的原料,需要考虑技术要求高和成本高的开采问题。尾矿的储存量随着矿石开采量的增加而增加。因此,对环境和社会的负面影响增加。因此,采矿在经济、环境和社会三个方面都变得昂贵。鉴于可持续的采矿做法,这一挑战应作为一个机会加以利用。应该为今世后代最大限度地发挥积极影响。目标是以与可持续性相关的最佳方式创建和使用采矿开口。Blue Mining的方法侧重于可持续发展领域的能源和人体工程学,通过建议随后使用这些开口进行能源储存,加强了封闭规划。这一方针除其他外,促进落实联合国确定的第七个可持续发展目标,确保所有人都能获得负担得起的、可靠的、可持续的现代能源。地下储存的使用增加了太阳能和水力发电的稳定性,否则这些都是不可靠的。Blue Mining早在动工前就将这些问题纳入了主要规划工作。这种方法涉及过去和当前项目的经验。本文从矿山开采后储能利用的角度,介绍了蓝色开采的概念。方法和观点与涵盖最佳实践和经验教训的示例一起呈现。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic and Political Determinants of Resource Nationalism 资源民族主义的宏观经济和政治决定因素
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15273/GREE.2017.02.003
Wenhua Li, T. Adachi
Resource nationalism is essentially mandatory government intervention in natural resources businesses by political or economic means in order to benefit the nation and the people. It is attacking the mining industry more and more rampantly by all kinds of means since the twenty-first century. Poor countries who count on a resource-led economic growth usually find themselves trapped into “resource curse”. The harmfulness of resource nationalism for investors is that one event can quickly escalate and lead to a chain of events which make projects commercially unavailable. In spite of historical and theoretical social investigations in the causes of resource nationalism, rare studies engaged in quantification of dominant parameters of it. The objective of this study is to find significant factors that dominate the occurrence of resource nationalism for important metal and energy resources producing countries and quantify their marginal effects. The study applies binary choice logit model for panel data using pooled method. One feature of the research is that binary data set of occurrence of resource nationalism are sorted out by authors referencing U.S. Geological Survey’s reports. The results indicate that high-technology export (% manufactured export), ores and metals exports (% merchandise exports), rule of law (world governance indicator), trade (% GDP), and natural resource rent except forest (% GDP ) dominant the occurrence of resource nationalism for high and upper middle income group countries; government effectiveness (world governance indicator), policy perception index (The Fraser Institute), high-technology export (% manufactured export), and mineral rent (% GDP) dominant the occurrence of resource nationalism for lower middle and low income countries. According to our model, probability of occurrence of resource nationalism in 90 countries are predicted. Top 10 risky countries in 2012 are estimated to be North Korea, India, Honduras, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Burkina Faso, Mongolia, Cuba, Bolivia, and Peru. The study is a primary trial of researching on resource nationalism and provides some insights for theoretical building and simulation on the issue.
资源民族主义本质上是政府为了国家和人民的利益,通过政治或经济手段对自然资源企业进行强制性干预。进入21世纪以来,它通过各种手段对采矿业的攻击越来越猖獗。依赖资源导向型经济增长的贫穷国家通常发现自己陷入了“资源诅咒”。资源民族主义对投资者的危害在于,一个事件可能迅速升级,并导致一系列事件,使项目无法商业化。尽管对资源民族主义成因进行了历史和理论的社会调查,但很少有研究对其主要参数进行量化。本研究的目的是寻找主导重要金属和能源生产国资源民族主义发生的重要因素,并量化其边际效应。本研究采用二元选择logit模型对面板数据采用池化方法。该研究的一个特点是,作者参考美国地质调查局的报告整理出资源民族主义发生的二进制数据集。结果表明,高科技出口(制成品出口百分比)、矿石和金属出口(商品出口百分比)、法治(世界治理指标)、贸易(GDP百分比)和除森林外的自然资源租金(GDP百分比)主导了中高收入国家资源民族主义的发生;政府有效性(世界治理指标)、政策感知指数(弗雷泽研究所)、高科技出口(制成品出口百分比)和矿产租金(GDP百分比)主导了中低收入国家资源民族主义的发生。根据我们的模型,预测了90个国家发生资源民族主义的概率。2012年的十大危险国家是朝鲜、印度、洪都拉斯、印度尼西亚、哈萨克斯坦、布基纳法索、蒙古、古巴、玻利维亚、秘鲁。本研究是资源民族主义研究的初步尝试,为资源民族主义的理论建构和仿真研究提供了一些启示。
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引用次数: 0
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