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Very Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Using a Hybrid LSTMMarkov Model Based on Corrected Wind Speed 基于修正风速的混合LSTMMarkov模型的极短期风电预测
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.347
A. Nuttapat Jittratorn, B. Chao-Ming Huang, C. Hong-Tzer Yang
A Markov chain (MC) model is a statistical method of predicting future outcomes using past experience. This study proposes a hybrid method that uses a long short-term memory (LSTM) and a MC method to produce very accurate short-term (10-min) forecasts for the power output from a wind turbine (WT). The proposed method has three stages. The first stage uses kmeans clustering to partition the wind power data into several clusters. The second stage uses LSTM models to initially predict the wind power output for each cluster. The final stage uses a MC method to construct the transition probability matrix for every 10- mimute time period. Using the transition probability matrices, the final predicted value for the WT power output is estimated using the prediction results for each cluster in the LSTM. This article also suggests a wind speed correction approach to enhance the forecasted wind speed result achieved by applying the weather research and forecasting model in order to generate more accurate wind power forecasting results. The proposed method is tested using a 3.6 MW WT power generation system that is located in Changhua, Taiwan. The effectiveness of the proposed model is compared with support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), LSTM and bidirectional gated recurrent unit (Bi-GRU) methods.
马尔可夫链(MC)模型是一种利用过去经验预测未来结果的统计方法。本研究提出了一种混合方法,该方法使用长短期记忆(LSTM)和MC方法对风力涡轮机(WT)的功率输出产生非常准确的短期(10分钟)预测。该方法分为三个阶段。第一阶段采用kmeans聚类方法将风电数据划分为多个聚类。第二阶段使用LSTM模型对每个集群的风电输出进行初步预测。最后用MC方法构造每10分钟时间段的转移概率矩阵。使用转移概率矩阵,使用LSTM中每个簇的预测结果估计WT功率输出的最终预测值。本文还提出了一种风速校正方法,以提高应用气象研究预报模型预测的风速结果,从而获得更准确的风电预报结果。该方法在台湾彰化的3.6 MW WT发电系统上进行了测试。将该模型的有效性与支持向量回归(SVR)、随机森林(RF)、LSTM和双向门控循环单元(Bi-GRU)方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
An Equivalent Voltage Index to Quantify the Impact of Harmonics on Shunt Capacitors 用等效电压指数量化谐波对并联电容器的影响
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.223
Tian Yu, Jing Yong, Wilsun Xu
Harmonic distortions are known to affect the normal operation and life of power equipment. Shunt capacitor is one piece of equipment that is very sensitive to harmonics. Although limits have been established to limit the harmonic distortions experienced by a capacitor, methods to quantify the harmonic impact with easy-to-understand indices are still at large. This paper aims to address the above gap by proposing an equivalent voltage index. This index is to represent the impact of harmonic voltages and their features (such as peak value) into an equivalent increase in the fundamental frequency voltage otherwise experienced by the capacitor. The main advantage of such an equivalence is that PQ and non-PQ engineers can easily relate the impact to the general capacitor loading concept. The index is especially helpful to understand the impact of harmonics on capacitor and thus to justify harmonic mitigation projects.
谐波失真影响电力设备的正常运行和使用寿命。并联电容器是一种对谐波非常敏感的设备。虽然已经建立了限制电容器所经历的谐波畸变的限制,但用易于理解的指标量化谐波影响的方法仍然很大。本文旨在通过提出等效电压指数来解决上述差距。该指标表示谐波电压及其特征(如峰值)对电容器所经历的基频电压的等效增加的影响。这种等效的主要优点是,PQ和非PQ工程师可以很容易地将影响与一般电容器负载概念联系起来。该指数特别有助于了解谐波对电容器的影响,从而证明谐波缓解项目的合理性。
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引用次数: 0
Technical evaluation of hybrid super capacitor technologies for local energy communities 地方能源社区混合超级电容器技术评价
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.393
L. Vargas, R. Rengel, J. Caparrós, D. Tejada-Guzmán, E. López
Renewable energy sources have demonstrated in recent years their ability to reduce the dependence on fossil fuels, contribute to the security of energy supply and play an important role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. To benefit from the local use of renewable sources and energy efficiency in distributed systems, the concept of local energy communities is established. In local energy communities, new innovative technologies are combined, highlighting the role of energy storage, to provide greater autonomy to communities that adopt this model. Among energy storage, the use of batteries stands out, while lithium batteries are currently the most widely used for domestic and residential applications, as well as in local energy communities. This work describes the experimental evaluation of an innovative energy storage system for energy communities based on hybrid supercapacitors (HSC), focused on local energy communities, and its comparison with other well established storage technologies, such as lithium-ion batteries.
近年来,可再生能源已证明有能力减少对化石燃料的依赖,有助于能源供应的安全,并在减少温室气体排放方面发挥重要作用。为了从可再生能源的本地使用和分布式系统的能源效率中获益,建立了本地能源社区的概念。在当地的能源社区,新的创新技术被结合起来,突出了能源储存的作用,为采用这种模式的社区提供了更大的自主权。在能源存储中,电池的使用最为突出,而锂电池目前在家庭和住宅应用以及当地能源社区中应用最为广泛。这项工作描述了基于混合超级电容器(HSC)的能源社区创新储能系统的实验评估,重点关注当地能源社区,并将其与其他成熟的储能技术(如锂离子电池)进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
Design, Modelling and Simulation of Hybrid Vibration Energy Harvesting System using Integration of Piezoelectricity and ElectroMagnetism 压电与电磁集成混合振动能量收集系统的设计、建模与仿真
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.425
R. Embuldeniya, A. Merabet
In this paper, a hybrid vibration energy harvesting system based on piezoelectricity and electro-magnetic devices is modelled and simulated in a software environment. The integrated system includes harvesting devices, power electronics and the load. The converter is controlled to maintain proper voltage and current at the load side. Simulation results are provided to show the operation of each device in the integrated harvesting system.
本文对一种基于压电和电磁器件的混合振动能量收集系统进行了建模和仿真。集成系统包括采集设备、电力电子设备和负载。控制转换器以保持负载侧适当的电压和电流。仿真结果显示了综合采收系统中各设备的运行情况。
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引用次数: 0
IoT-Internet of Things in Floating Solar Photovoltaic Systems 漂浮式太阳能光伏系统中的物联网
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.459
P. Vargas, A. Valente
New technical solutions are beginning to emerge, of which the Floating Solar Photovoltaic (FSPV) systems, is a promising new technology growing rapidly in the recent years. Portugal is a good example in Europe with several facilities of this type. For a correct management of these systems, and to have significant data, it is necessary to have a reliable communication system, based on a Global System for Mobile Communications, adequate protocols to communicate and save the data for later analyses. This study aims to develop a climate data acquisition system to be placed next to an FSPV system installed on a farm next to the Douro River. This system is installed in a box over the water surface. To allow comparison of temperature variations over the water surface with the temperature (offshore) another box with similar sensors is placed on land (onshore). With the data collected by these two systems is possible to compare the temperature data in two boxes, installed in these different locations, to analyse the influence of the water mirror on the photovoltaic cell efficiency.
新的技术解决方案开始出现,其中浮动太阳能光伏(FSPV)系统是近年来发展迅速的一项有前途的新技术。葡萄牙在欧洲是一个很好的例子,有几家这种类型的设施。为了正确管理这些系统,并获得重要的数据,必须有一个可靠的通信系统,以全球移动通信系统为基础,有足够的协议来通信和保存数据以供以后分析。这项研究的目的是开发一个气候数据采集系统,该系统将安装在杜罗河附近的农场上的FSPV系统旁边。这个系统安装在水面上方的一个盒子里。为了比较水面和海上的温度变化,在陆地上放置了另一个装有类似传感器的盒子。通过这两个系统收集的数据,可以比较安装在这些不同位置的两个盒子中的温度数据,以分析水镜对光伏电池效率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Uncertainty Quantification on Small Signal Stability of Power System 不确定性量化对电力系统小信号稳定性的影响
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.210
Suravi Thakur, N. Senroy
The statistical uncertainty quantification of the injected uncertainties into a power system has been done to study the response of the power system to such injected randomness. The dominant electromechanical modes have been analysed and the frequency spectrum of the trajectories obtained for various state variables has been used to measure the impact of injected randomness on the system. The idea of Statistical Distance between the point of input perturbations and output measurement data has been explored. The simulation results indicate that there is a direct relationship between the input uncertainty and output measurement variable and is greatly affected by the magnitude and location of random injection. The above framework has been validated using Kundur's two area system and IEEE 14 Bus system.
对电力系统中注入的不确定性进行了统计不确定性量化,以研究电力系统对这种注入的随机性的响应。分析了主要的机电模式,并利用各种状态变量的轨迹频谱来测量注入的随机性对系统的影响。探讨了输入扰动点与输出测量数据之间的统计距离的概念。仿真结果表明,输入不确定性与输出测量变量之间存在直接关系,且受随机注入的大小和位置的影响较大。上述框架已在Kundur的双区域系统和IEEE 14总线系统上进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Power Management Control of photovoltaic/Batteries/Fuel cells System 光伏/电池/燃料电池系统电源管理控制
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.344
Djamila Rekioua, F. Zaouche, Z. Mokrani, T. Rekioua
A study of a stand-alone photovoltaic./batteries/fuel cell power system has been presented in this paper to produce energy continuously. A management control circuit (PMC) has been designed to obtain the different control signals that allow supervising power flow of the hybrid system. The application has been made to a stand-alone system for four days at Bejaia region. Fuzzy logic Control (FLC) is used to optimize power The structures PV/Battery/Fuel cells system have been investigated. A modelisation of each component has been made. A supervisor control circuit has been designed to obtain the various control signals needed to control the overall system. A simulation study has been done in Matlab. The different results are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed strategy
独立光伏发电的研究。本文提出了一种可连续发电的/电池/燃料电池动力系统。设计了一种管理控制电路(PMC)来获取不同的控制信号,从而实现对混合动力系统功率流的监控。该应用程序已在贝加亚地区的一个独立系统上进行了四天。采用模糊逻辑控制(FLC)对光伏/电池/燃料电池系统的结构进行了研究。已经对每个组件进行了建模。设计了一个监控电路来获取控制整个系统所需的各种控制信号。在Matlab中进行了仿真研究。给出了不同的结果来证明所提出策略的有效性
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Placement of Heat Exchangers in a Carbon Capture-Based Ventilation System 基于碳捕集的通风系统中热交换器的优化配置
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.325
J. P. Harrouz, K. Ghali, N. Ghaddar
Achieving acceptable air quality levels in indoor spaces by regulating the concentrations of H2O and CO2 is important for occupant health. Conventional techniques rely on supplying dehumidified outdoor air to dilute these species to within their healthy ranges. Typically, the outdoor air dehumidification is conducted using vapor compression cooling either as standalone systems or integrated with desiccant dehumidifiers. These methods are known to be energy intensive, especially in hot and humid climates. Ventilation systems using indoor air with adsorption-based CO2 capture are thus proposed. These systems use adsorbent packed beds to dehumidify and decarbonize the indoor air before it is sensibly cooled and supplied to the space. For energy efficient operation of these systems, heat recovery units are necessary. In this work, heat and mass balance models were developed and used to determine the optimal placement location of the heat recovery units. It was found that a heat exchanger preceding the decarbonization bed increased the MOFs capacity, resulting in 33 % lower mass requirements. This was accompanied by a reduction in the thermal and electrical energy consumption by 43.5 % and 25 %, respectively, with respect to the configuration where the heat exchanger was placed after both air treatment systems.
通过调节水和二氧化碳的浓度来达到可接受的室内空气质量水平对居住者的健康很重要。传统的技术依赖于提供除湿的室外空气来稀释这些物种到它们的健康范围内。通常,室外空气除湿是使用蒸汽压缩冷却作为独立系统或与干燥剂除湿机集成。众所周知,这些方法是能源密集型的,特别是在炎热潮湿的气候下。因此,提出了利用室内空气进行吸附式二氧化碳捕获的通风系统。这些系统使用吸附剂填充床对室内空气进行除湿和脱碳,然后将其合理冷却并供应给空间。为了这些系统的节能运行,热回收装置是必要的。在这项工作中,开发了热和质量平衡模型,并用于确定热回收装置的最佳放置位置。研究发现,在脱碳床前加一个热交换器可以提高mof的容量,使质量要求降低33%。与热交换器放置在两个空气处理系统之后的配置相比,这同时减少了43.5%和25%的热能和电能消耗。
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引用次数: 0
A method to assess the performance of small wind turbines 一种评估小型风力涡轮机性能的方法
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.436
W. Früh
While large wind farms are well monitored, with a wealth of data provided through a SCADA system, the only information about the behaviour of small wind turbines is often only through the metered electricity production. Given the variable electricity output, it is difficult to ascertain whether a particular electricity production in a metering period is the result of the turbine operating normally, or if a fault is resulting in a production less than possible. This paper presents a method to correlate metered electricity output from a set of 5 kW wind turbines with weather information from a weather station some distance from the turbine. That correlation will then be classified into ‘expected’ and ‘unusual’ performance using Principal Component Analysis.
虽然大型风力发电场得到了良好的监测,并通过SCADA系统提供了丰富的数据,但关于小型风力涡轮机行为的唯一信息往往只能通过计量的发电量获得。由于电力输出是可变的,因此很难确定在一个计量周期内的某一特定发电量是由于涡轮机正常运行的结果,还是由于故障导致的发电量低于可能的水平。本文提出了一种将一组5千瓦风力发电机的计量输出与距离风力发电机一定距离的气象站的天气信息相关联的方法。然后使用主成分分析将这种相关性分类为“预期”和“异常”性能。
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引用次数: 0
Technology S-curves in wind energy: a comparative analysis 风能技术s曲线:比较分析
Q4 Energy Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.24084/repqj21.250
Fernando Estévez Garcia, Jeanne-Marie Dalbavie
The use of a mathematical tool such as the logistic curve to analyze the performance of wind energy and public investment in R&D by different countries throughout the history of the technology has allowed this study to draw conclusions on how the different countries studied have dealt with the problem of technological obsolescence.
使用逻辑曲线等数学工具来分析风能的性能和不同国家在该技术历史上的公共研发投资,使本研究能够得出关于不同研究国家如何处理技术过时问题的结论。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Renewable Energy and Power Quality Journal
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