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Surrogate-Based Prediction and Optimization of Multilateral Inflow Control Valve Flow Performance with Production Data 基于代理的多边流入控制阀流量性能预测与优化
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.2118/200884-pa
M. Aljubran, R. Horne
Smart completions enable physical measurements over space and time, which provides large volumes of information at unprecedented rates. However, optimizing inflow control valve (ICV) settings of smart multilateral wells is a challenging task. Traditionally, ICV field tests, evaluating well performance at different ICV settings, are conducted to observe flow behavior and configure ICVs; however, this is often suboptimal. This study investigated a surrogate-based optimization algorithm that minimizes the number of ICV field tests required, predicts well performance of all unseen combination of ICV settings, and determines the optimal ICV setting and net present value (NPV). A numerical model of a real offshore field in Saudi Arabia was used to generate scenarios involving a two-phase (oil and water) reservoir with trilateral producers. Multiple scenarios were examined with variations in design parameters, mainly well count, placement, and configuration. Eight discrete settings were assumed to match the commonly installed ICV technology, where all possible scenarios were simulated to establish ground truth. The investigation considered three major algorithmic components: sampling, machine learning, and optimization. The sampling strategy compared physics-based initialization, space-filling sampling, and triangulation-based adaptive sampling. A cross-validated neural network was used to fit a surrogate (in this case, machine learning algorithm) dynamically, whereas enumeration was adopted for optimization to avoid errors arising from using common optimizers. This study evaluated two sampling techniques: space-filling and adaptive sampling. The latter was found superior in capturing reservoir behavior with the smallest number of simulation runs (i.e., ICV field tests). Algorithm performance was evaluated based on the number of ICV field tests required to exceed an R2 threshold of 90% on all unseen scenarios and match the optimal ICV settings and NPV. Surface and downhole flow profile prediction and optimization were achieved successfully using this approach. To determine the diminishing value of additional ICV field tests, the triangulation sampling loss was used as a stoppage criterion. When running the algorithm on a single producer for both surface and downhole oil and water flow prediction, the algorithm required only 6 and 11 ICV field tests to achieve 80% and 90% R2 across the different cases of this real reservoir model. Fishbone wellbore configurations were found to pose a more challenging task because changes in any ICV pressure decrease affects multiple laterals simultaneously, which increases the level of interdependence. The resultant surrogate was used to decide on the optimal settings of ICV devices and effectively predict the NPV. Surrogates, in this approach, are statistical proxies of the targeted ground-truth production function. Further improvement was accomplished through adaptively sampling and fitting surrogates to predict NP
智能完井能够在空间和时间上进行物理测量,从而以前所未有的速度提供大量信息。然而,优化智能多边井的流入控制阀(ICV)设置是一项具有挑战性的任务。传统上,进行ICV现场测试,评估不同ICV设置下的井性能,以观察流动行为并配置ICV;然而,这通常是次优的。本研究研究了一种基于代理的优化算法,该算法可以最大限度地减少所需的ICV现场测试次数,预测所有看不见的ICV设置组合的良好性能,并确定最佳ICV设置和净现值(NPV)。沙特阿拉伯真实海上油田的数值模型被用于生成涉及具有三边生产商的两相(石油和水)油藏的场景。在设计参数变化的情况下,对多个场景进行了检查,主要是井数、位置和配置。假设八个离散设置与通常安装的ICV技术相匹配,在该技术中模拟所有可能的场景以确定地面实况。该调查考虑了三个主要的算法组成部分:采样、机器学习和优化。采样策略比较了基于物理的初始化、空间填充采样和基于三角测量的自适应采样。交叉验证的神经网络用于动态拟合代理(在本例中为机器学习算法),而枚举用于优化,以避免使用常见优化器时出现错误。本研究评估了两种采样技术:空间填充和自适应采样。后者在模拟运行次数最少(即ICV现场测试)的情况下捕捉储层动态方面表现出色。算法性能是根据在所有看不见的场景中超过90%的R2阈值并匹配最佳ICV设置和NPV所需的ICV现场测试次数进行评估的。该方法成功地实现了地面和井下流动剖面的预测和优化。为了确定附加ICV现场测试的递减值,使用三角测量采样损失作为停止标准。当在单个生产商上运行该算法用于地表和井下油水流预测时,该算法只需要6次和11次ICV现场测试,就可以在该真实储层模型的不同情况下实现80%和90%的R2。鱼骨井眼配置被发现是一项更具挑战性的任务,因为任何ICV压力下降的变化都会同时影响多个分支,这会增加相互依赖的程度。由此产生的代理用于决定ICV设备的最佳设置并有效预测NPV。在这种方法中,代理是目标地面实况生成函数的统计代理。通过自适应采样和拟合替代物来明确预测NPV,实现了进一步的改进,其中在仅进行10次ICV现场测试的情况下,NPV预测产生了近95%的R2。事实证明,使用自适应采样和机器学习在预测地表和井下流量剖面以及优化智能井方面是有效的。该方法还允许在强化学习设置中动态优化现场策略,其中连续使用生产数据来进一步提高预测性能。
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引用次数: 3
Detecting Phase-Inversion Region of Surfactant-Stabilized Oil/Water Emulsions Using Differential Dielectric Sensors 用差分介质传感器检测表面活性剂稳定油/水乳液的相反转区
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2118/205018-PA
Kurniawan S. Suminar, I. Gavrielatos, Ramin Dabirian, R. Mohan, O. Shoham
An experimental and theoretical investigation of surfactant-stabilized oil/water emulsion characteristics was carried out under water sweep (WS) and oil sweep (OS) conditions. Both hydrophilic and hydrophobic surfactants were used, with concentrations less than and more than the critical micelle concentration (CMC). Experimental data were acquired for detection of the phase-inversion region, which was measured simultaneously by several independent methods. These include a circular differential dielectric sensor (C-DDS), a rectangular differential dielectric sensor (R-DDS) (both sensors accurately detect the phase-inversion region), a pressure transducer, and a mass flowmeter. The addition of an emulsifier surfactant to an oil/water mixture generated a stable emulsion, which resulted in a phase-inversion delay. For water-continuous to oil-continuous flow, a hydrophilic surfactant was a better emulsifier, while for oil-continuous to water-continuous flow, a hydrophobic surfactant was a better emulsifier for creating more stable emulsions. The surfactant/oil/water emulsion resulted in an increase of the dispersed-phase volume fraction required for phase inversion, as compared to the case of oil/water dispersions without surfactant. For emulsions with surfactant concentrations above CMC, the presence of micelles contributed to further delay of the phase inversion, as compared to those with surfactant concentrations below CMC. The phase-inversion region exhibits a hysteresis between the OS and WS runs, below CMC and above CMC, which was due to the difference in droplet sizes caused by different breakup and coalescence processes for oil-continuous and water-continuous flow. This research shows that the DDS is an efficient instrumentation that can be used to detect the region where the emulsion phase inversion is expected to occur. Moreover, the experimental results and the pertinent analysis and discussion provide useful insights for a more informed design of surface facilities (including emulsion separators) in oil and gas production operations.
在水驱(WS)和油驱(OS)条件下,对表面活性剂稳定的油水乳液特性进行了实验和理论研究。使用亲水性和疏水性表面活性剂,其浓度小于或大于临界胶束浓度(CMC)。通过几种独立的方法同时测量相位反转区域,获得了用于检测相位反转区域的实验数据。其中包括圆形差分介电传感器(C-DDS)、矩形差分介电感知器(R-DDS)(两个传感器都能精确检测反相区域)、压力传感器和质量流量计。向油/水混合物中添加乳化剂-表面活性剂产生稳定的乳液,这导致相转化延迟。对于水-油连续流动,亲水性表面活性剂是更好的乳化剂,而对于油-水连续流动,疏水性表面活性素是更好的乳化剂,可以产生更稳定的乳液。与不含表面活性剂的油/水分散体的情况相比,表面活性剂/油/水乳液导致相转化所需的分散相体积分数增加。对于表面活性剂浓度高于CMC的乳液,与表面活性剂含量低于CMC的乳液相比,胶束的存在有助于进一步延迟相转化。相反转区域在低于CMC和高于CMC的OS和WS运行之间表现出滞后,这是由于油连续流和水连续流的不同破碎和聚结过程引起的液滴尺寸的差异。这项研究表明,DDS是一种有效的仪器,可用于检测预计发生乳液相反转的区域。此外,实验结果以及相关的分析和讨论为石油和天然气生产操作中更明智的地面设施(包括乳液分离器)设计提供了有用的见解。
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引用次数: 1
Reviewing Cyclonic Low-Shear Choke and Control Valve Field Experiences 回顾旋风低剪切节流阀和控制阀的应用经验
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2118/205016-PA
T. Husveg, R. Husveg, Niels van Teeffelen, R. Verwey, Peter Guinee
In hydrocarbon production and processing, choke and control valves mix and emulsify petroleum phases. The consequence is often that the efficiency of separation processes is affected and finally that the quality of oil and water phases is degraded. Over the last few years, low-shear valves targeting petroleum processes have emerged on the market. This paper presents four separate live-fluid experiences from low-shear valve installations, each surveyed and documented by an independent third party. Three of the installations refer to choke valves, whereas the fourth installation refers to a control valve. For each installation, standard choke and control valves were used as reference valves. In terms of downstream separation efficiency, the low-shear choke valves reduced oil-in-water concentrations respectively by 70, 45, and 60%, by total average. In the control valve application, the low-shear valve, which was located between the hydrocyclones and a compact flotation unit, reduced the oil-in-water concentration by 23%. In sum, the field installations have demonstrated that low-shear valves significantly and consistently reduce oil-in-water concentrations and thus improve the produced water quality. The results signify that low-shear valves may be used in debottlenecking separation and produced water treatment processes, reducing the environmental influence from produced water discharges. Because the low-shear technology enables processing of petroleum phases with less effort, energy, and chemicals, it also reduces emissions to air.
在碳氢化合物生产和加工中,节流阀和控制阀混合和乳化石油相。其结果往往是分离过程的效率受到影响,并最终导致油相和水相的质量下降。在过去的几年里,市场上出现了针对石油工艺的低剪切阀。本文介绍了低剪切阀装置的四种不同的活流体体验,每种体验都由独立的第三方进行调查和记录。其中三个装置涉及节流阀,而第四个装置涉及控制阀。对于每个安装,都使用标准节流阀和控制阀作为参考阀。就下游分离效率而言,低剪切节流阀将水包油浓度分别平均降低了70%、45%和60%。在控制阀应用中,位于水力旋流器和紧凑型浮选装置之间的低剪切阀将水包油浓度降低了23%。总之,现场装置已经证明,低剪切阀显著且持续地降低了水中的油浓度,从而改善了采出水的质量。结果表明,低剪切阀可用于脱瓶颈分离和采出水处理过程,减少了采出水排放对环境的影响。由于低剪切技术能够以更少的精力、能源和化学品处理石油相,因此它还减少了对空气的排放。
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引用次数: 1
Use of Inline Spinner for Determination of Zonal Flow Rates in Vertical and Moderately Deviated Wells 直井和中等斜度井中层间流量的测定
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2118/205021-PA
M. El-Sheikh, Ahmed H. El-Banbi
Accurate zonal flow rate determination is necessary for better reservoir behavior understanding and for making important decisions that can improve well productivity. Knowledge of the capabilities of different reservoir zones in the same well also has significant importance in reservoir performance monitoring and selection of perforation intervals in development wells. Conventional production log analysis techniques can usually yield good results only if the fullbore spinner readings are reliable. However, the fullbore spinner measurement may not be available in some wells. Examples include cases in which the fullbore spinner cannot access the well due to mechanical obstruction, or when the casing is not clean enough, causing potential plugging of fullbore spinner blades. In these situations, the fullbore flow-rate readings may not be available or at least unclear or confusing, which may lead to incorrect decisions. In many of these situations, inline spinner (ILS) data may be readily available. The ILS is often used for qualitative interpretation (i.e., determining which zones are producing), but there is not a specific method to use the ILS for a quantitative solution in the absence of surface measurements of rates. In this paper, we introduce a new method to calculate the volumetric zonal flow rate using ILS data with high accuracy. Approximately 40 oil wells are used to develop an empirical correlation to compute zonal flow rates from ILS data in casing strings. The new method was used to quantitatively interpret eight oil wells for validation. In these wells, fullbore and ILS data were significantly different. The new method for interpretation of ILS data provided results consistent with surface production tests and led to decisions that contributed to increasing production rates.
准确的层带流速测定对于更好地理解储层动态和做出能够提高井产能的重要决策是必要的。了解同一口井中不同储层带的能力对于储层性能监测和开发井射孔层段的选择也具有重要意义。传统的生产测井分析技术通常只有在全径旋转器读数可靠的情况下才能产生良好的结果。但是,在某些油井中可能无法使用全径旋转器测量。例如,由于机械阻碍,或套管不够干净,导致全径旋转器叶片可能堵塞,全径旋转机无法进入油井。在这些情况下,全径流量读数可能不可用,或者至少不清楚或令人困惑,这可能导致错误的决定。在许多这样的情况下,内联微调器(ILS)数据可能很容易获得。ILS通常用于定性解释(即确定产生的区域),但在没有速率表面测量的情况下,没有具体的方法将ILS用于定量解决方案。本文介绍了一种利用ILS数据高精度计算体积纬向流速的新方法。大约有40口油井用于开发经验相关性,以根据套管柱中的ILS数据计算区域流速。该新方法用于对8口油井进行定量解释以进行验证。在这些井中,全井眼和ILS数据存在显著差异。ILS数据解释的新方法提供了与地面生产测试一致的结果,并导致了有助于提高生产率的决策。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of Inlet Flow Rates and Slenderness Ratio on the Separation Performance of a Horizontal Three-Phase Separator 进口流量和细长比对卧式三相分离器分离性能的影响
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-01-04 DOI: 10.2118/205517-pa
T. Ahmed, P. Russell, F. Hamad, S. Gooneratne, N. Makwashi
In the first part of this work, the development of a capital cost optimization model for sizing three-phase separators was described. The developed model uses generalized reduced gradient nonlinear algorithms to determine the minimum cost associated with the construction of horizontal separators subject to four sets of constraints. In the second part, an experimental test rig was designed and used to investigate the effect of gas flow rate, liquid flow rate, and slenderness ratio (L/D) on the separation performance of horizontal three-phase separators. The results indicated an inverse relationship between an increase in gas and liquid flow rate and the separator outlet quality. It also indicated a direct relationship between an increase in slenderness ratio and separator outlet quality. The results also showed that the gradient change of the percentage of water in the oil outlet with respect to slenderness ratio decreased to ratios of 6:1. Hence, the separation rate increased. At ratios greater than 6:1, the separation still increases, but the gradient change in separation drops off, implying that the benefit in terms of separation is diminishing beyond this point. Therefore, the optimal slenderness ratio for technical reasons is 6:1.
在这项工作的第一部分中,描述了用于确定三相分离器尺寸的资本成本优化模型的开发。所开发的模型使用广义降阶非线性算法来确定与受四组约束的水平分离器的建造相关的最小成本。第二部分设计并使用实验台研究了气体流量、液体流量和长细比(L/D)对卧式三相分离器分离性能的影响。结果表明,气体和液体流速的增加与分离器出口质量之间呈反比关系。它还表明长细比的增加与分离器出口质量之间存在直接关系。结果还表明,出油口含水率相对于长细比的梯度变化减小到6:1。因此,分离率增加。在大于6:1的比率下,分离度仍然增加,但分离度的梯度变化下降,这意味着分离的好处在这一点之后正在减少。因此,出于技术原因,最佳长细比为6:1。
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引用次数: 0
An Efficient Interpretation Method for Matrix Acidizing Evaluation and Optimization in Long Heterogeneous Carbonate Reservoirs 长非均质碳酸盐岩储层基质酸化评价与优选的有效解释方法
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2118/203411-PA
H. Panjalizadeh, Alireza Safari, M. Kamani
Since its discovery in 1971, numerous matrix stimulations have been performed in South Pars field. However, there are still various challenges surrounding stimulation job design and evaluation methods. To tackle these issues, 16 matrix operations were selected to be analyzed from different phases of the development project of the reservoir. The objective of this study is to introduce an efficient interpretation method to determine optimum treatment volume (gal/ft), compare the effectiveness of diverters, calculate stimulation ratio (SR), and forecast post-acid production behavior from surface treatingdata.The modified inverse injectivity (Iinv) method, which is fully discussed by Safari et al. (2020), is used in this study. The obtained data were analyzed in terms of Iinv decreasing trend, Iinv humps, and pre-/post-acid Iinv during the stimulation process. In addition, pre-/post-stimulation surface testing data are gathered and analyzed. These data are coupled with post-acid Iinv to find a correlation to predict production behavior of treated wells. SR is defined as the ratio of pre-acid Iinv to post-acid Iinv of a treated well. Finally, SR values are validated with available production logging tool (PLT) data from two stimulation operations.First, the obtained results indicated that optimum treatment volume (gal/ft) of acid depends on well conditions. It means that wells with high initial formation damage require more volumes of stimulation fluids. In this regard, wells treated with 27/27 gal/ft treatment volume design [27 gal/ft 28% hydrochloric acid (HCl) and 27 gal/ft 15% viscoelastic surfactant (VES)] were understimulated. Although treatment volume design of 53/53 gal/ft seems to be adequate for low-skin wells, higher treatment volume (gal/ft) would further enhance productivity of highly damaged wells. This result was confirmed by stimulation of a damaged well with treatment volume of 60/60 gal/ft. Finally, the most reliable design applied in the field so far is the 70/70 gal/ft treatment volume. Second, Iinv analyses depicted that better diversion is observed in wells with lower injectivity and higher damage. At the next step, the calculated SR values showed an average deviation of less than 10% from downhole PLT data. Ultimately, the produced results demonstrated that there is a direct relation between the post-acid Iinv and surface drawdown in this field. Therefore, production behavior of treated wells can be correlated by having access to post-acid Iinv.The novelty of this work pertains to use of surface treating data recorded during a stimulation operation to generate Iinv and its associated analysis curves to evaluate performance of matrix stimulation operations. By applying this method, optimum volume of acid and diverter, diversion effectiveness, SR, and an estimation of post-acid surface drawdown can be obtained from the simple surface treating data. The secondary-produced data could lead to a better understanding of carbonate reser
自1971年发现South Pars油田以来,已经进行了大量的基质增产作业。然而,围绕增产作业设计和评价方法仍存在诸多挑战。为了解决这些问题,选择了16个矩阵作业,从油藏开发项目的不同阶段进行分析。本研究的目的是引入一种有效的解释方法,以确定最佳处理量(加仑/英尺),比较暂堵剂的有效性,计算增产比(SR),并根据地面处理数据预测产酸后的行为。本文采用Safari等人(2020)详细讨论过的修正逆注入率(Iinv)方法。对获得的数据进行了分析,分析了增产过程中Iinv的下降趋势、Iinv的峰值以及酸化前后的Iinv。此外,还收集和分析了增产前后的地面测试数据。这些数据与酸处理后的i - inv相结合,以找到预测处理井生产行为的相关性。SR定义为酸化前的Iinv与酸化后的Iinv之比。最后,利用两次增产作业的生产测井工具(PLT)数据验证SR值。首先,得到的结果表明,酸的最佳处理量(加仑/英尺)取决于井况。这意味着初始地层损伤较大的井需要更多的增产液。在这方面,采用27/27加仑/英尺处理容积设计(27加仑/英尺28%盐酸(HCl)和27加仑/英尺15%粘弹性表面活性剂(VES))处理的井未得到充分增产。虽然53/53加仑/英尺的处理量设计似乎适合低表皮井,但更高的处理量(加仑/英尺)将进一步提高严重受损井的产能。这一结果通过对一口受损井进行增产处理得到了证实,处理容积为60/60加仑/英尺。最后,目前在该领域应用的最可靠的设计是70/70加仑/英尺的处理量。其次,inv分析表明,在注入能力较低、损害较大的井中,可以观察到更好的导流效果。在接下来的步骤中,计算出的SR值与井下PLT数据的平均偏差小于10%。最终,得出的结果表明,酸后Iinv与该油田的地表压降之间存在直接关系。因此,可以通过酸后井的生产动态进行对比。这项工作的新颖之处在于使用增产作业期间记录的地面处理数据来生成Iinv及其相关分析曲线,以评估基质增产作业的性能。通过应用该方法,可以从简单的地面处理数据中获得酸和暂堵剂的最佳用量、导流效果、SR以及酸后地面压降的估计。在South Pars油田等基质改造过程中,二次采出的数据可以帮助我们更好地了解碳酸盐岩储层的行为。
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引用次数: 3
Complete Simulation and Fault Diagnosis of Sucker-Rod Pumping (includes associated comment) 有杆抽油杆完全仿真与故障诊断(含相关评论)
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2118/204215-PA
Bin Zhang, Xian-wen Gao, Xiangyu Li
In this paper, we study the simulation and fault diagnosis of a conventional pumping unit under balanced conditions. As the energy input of sucker-rod pumping (SRP), the motor power contains abundant information about the whole pumping cycle under SRP. It is an important step in oilfield information construction to establish a computer-aided system that is based on motor power diagnosis. Hence, we propose an SRP simulation model for generating motor power. By analyzing the working conditions of six oil wells that contain normal or insufficient liquid supply, gas lock, traveling valve leakage, standing valve leakage, and parting rod, we simulate the motor power of the six wells. In addition, we verify the simulation model using a test well with favorable performance and establish the motor power template set (MPTS) using this simulation model. To allow for computer-aided diagnosis, we propose the use of the area proportion method to extract motor power features. We establish a diagnosis model of oilwell conditions that is based on oblique decision tree and train the diagnosis model using the MPTS. Through the verification of six oil wells in the actual production of the oil field, the diagnosis model shows a favorable response. The test results show that the methods of establishing MPTS and oilwell working-condition diagnosis are feasible.
本文对某型常规抽油机在平衡工况下的仿真与故障诊断进行了研究。电动机功率作为抽油杆抽油的能量输入,包含了抽油杆抽油整个抽油周期的丰富信息。建立基于电机功率诊断的计算机辅助系统是油田信息化建设的重要环节。因此,我们提出了一个发电电机功率的SRP仿真模型。通过对6口油井供液正常或不足、气锁、行走阀泄漏、站立阀泄漏、分油杆等工况的分析,对6口油井的电机功率进行了仿真。此外,我们用性能良好的测试井验证了仿真模型,并利用该仿真模型建立了电机功率模板集(MPTS)。为了允许计算机辅助诊断,我们建议使用面积比例法来提取电机功率特征。建立了基于斜决策树的油井工况诊断模型,并用MPTS对诊断模型进行训练。通过该油田实际生产中6口油井的验证,该诊断模型显示出良好的响应效果。试验结果表明,建立MPTS和油井工况诊断方法是可行的。
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引用次数: 4
A Semianalytical Modeling Approach for Hydraulic Fracture Initiation and Orientation from Perforated Wells 射孔井水力裂缝起裂与定向半解析建模方法
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2118/204480-PA
Andreas Michael, I. Gupta
Accurate prediction of fracture initiation pressure and orientation is paramount to the design of a hydraulic fracture stimulation treatment and is a major factor in the treatment's eventual success. In this study, closed-form analytical approximations of the fracturing stresses are used to develop orientation criteria for relative-to-the-wellbore (longitudinal or transverse) fracture initiation from perforated wells. These criteria were assessed numerically and found to overestimate the occurrence of transverse fracture initiation, which only takes place under a narrow range of conditions in which the tensile strength of the rock formation is lower than a critical value, and the breakdown pressure falls within a “window.” For a case study performed on the Barnett Shale, transverse fracture initiation is shown to take place for breakdown pressures below 4,762 psi, provided that the formation's tensile strength is below 2,482 psi. A robust 3D finite volume numerical model is used to evaluate solutions for the longitudinal and transverse fracturing stresses for a variable wellbore pressure, hence developing correction factors for the existing closed-form approximations. Geomechanical inputs from the Barnett Shale are considered for a horizontal well aligned parallel to the direction of the least compressive horizontal principal stress. The corrected numerically derived expressions can predict initiation pressures for a specific orientation of fracture initiation. Similarly, at known breakdown pressures, the corrected expressions are used to predict the orientation of fracture initiation. Besides wellbore trajectory, the results depend on the perforation direction. For the Barnett Shale case study, which is under a normal faulting stress regime, the perforations on the side of the borehole yield a wider breakdown pressure window by 71% and higher critical tensile strength by 32.5%, compared to perforations on top of the borehole, implying better promotion of transverse fracture initiation. Leakage of fracturing fluid around the wellbore, between the cemented casing and the surrounding rock, reduces the breakdown pressure window by 11% and the critical tensile strength by 65%. Dimensionless plots are employed to present the range of in-situ stress states in which longitudinal or transverse hydraulic fracture initiation is promoted. This is useful for completion engineers; when targeting low permeability formations such as shale reservoirs, multiple transverse fractures must be induced from the horizontal wells, as opposed to longitudinal fracture initiation, which is desired in higher permeability reservoirs or “frac-and-pack” operations.
裂缝起裂压力和裂缝方位的准确预测对于水力压裂增产措施的设计至关重要,也是压裂措施最终成功的主要因素。在这项研究中,压裂应力的封闭形式解析近似用于制定射孔井相对于井筒(纵向或横向)裂缝起裂的定向标准。对这些标准进行了数值评估,发现高估了横向裂缝起裂的发生率,横向裂缝起裂只发生在岩层抗拉强度低于临界值且破裂压力落在“窗口”内的狭窄条件范围内。在Barnett页岩上进行的一个案例研究表明,只要地层的抗拉强度低于2482 psi,当破裂压力低于4762 psi时,横向裂缝就会发生起裂。一个强大的三维有限体积数值模型用于评估可变井筒压力下纵向和横向压裂应力的解,从而为现有的封闭形式近似开发校正因子。Barnett页岩的地质力学输入被考虑为平行于最小水平主压应力方向的水平井。修正后的数值推导表达式可以预测特定裂缝起裂方向的起裂压力。同样,在已知的破裂压力下,修正后的表达式用于预测破裂起裂的方向。除井筒轨迹外,结果还取决于射孔方向。在Barnett页岩的案例研究中,在正常的断层应力状态下,与井顶射孔相比,井侧射孔的破裂压力窗口宽71%,临界抗拉强度高32.5%,这意味着更好地促进了横向裂缝的起裂。井筒周围、胶结套管与围岩之间的压裂液泄漏,使破裂压力窗口降低11%,临界抗拉强度降低65%。采用无量纲图表示促进纵向或横向水力裂缝起裂的地应力状态范围。这对完井工程师很有用;当瞄准低渗透地层(如页岩储层)时,必须从水平井中诱导多个横向裂缝,而不是纵向裂缝,这在高渗透储层或“压裂-充填”作业中是理想的。
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引用次数: 1
A New Approach To Estimating Ultimate Recovery for Multistage Hydraulically Fractured Horizontal Wells by Utilizing Completion Parameters Using Machine Learning 利用机器学习完井参数估算多级水力压裂水平井最终采收率的新方法
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2118/204470-PA
Sulaiman A. Alarifi, J. Miskimins
Reserves estimation is an essential part of developing any reservoir. Predicting the long-term production performance and estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) in unconventional wells has always been a challenge. Developing a reliable and accurate production forecast in the oil and gas industry is mandatory because it plays a crucial part in decision-making. Several methods are used to estimate EUR in the oil and gas industry, and each has its advantages and limitations. Decline curve analysis (DCA) is a traditional reserves estimation technique that is widely used to estimate EUR in conventional reservoirs. However, when it comes to unconventional reservoirs, traditional methods are frequently unreliable for predicting production trends for low-permeability plays. In recent years, many approaches have been developed to accommodate the high complexity of unconventional plays and establish reliable estimates of reserves. This paper provides a methodology to predict EUR for multistage hydraulically fractured horizontal wells that outperforms many current methods, incorporates completion data, and overcomes some of the limitations of using DCA or other traditional methods to forecast production. This new approach is introduced to predict EUR for multistage hydraulically fractured horizontal wells and is presented as a workflow consisting of production history matching and forecasting using DCA combined with artificial neural network (ANN) predictive models. The developed workflow combines production history data, forecasting using DCA models and completion data to enhance EUR predictions. The predictive models use ANN techniques to predict EUR given short early production history data (3 months to 2 years). The new approach was developed and tested using actual production and completion data from 989 multistage hydraulically fractured horizontal wells from four different formations. Sixteen models were developed (four models for each formation) varying in terms of input parameters, structure, and the production history data period it requires. The developed models showed high accuracy (correlation coefficients of 0.85 to 0.99) in predicting EUR given only 3 months to 2 years of production data. The developed models use production forecasts from different DCA models along with well completion data to improve EUR predictions. Using completion parameters in predicting EUR along with the typical DCA is a major addition provided by this study. The end product of this work is a comprehensive workflow to predict EUR that can be implemented in different formations by using well completion data along with early production history data.
储量估算是任何油藏开发的重要组成部分。预测非常规井的长期生产动态和估计最终采收率(EUR)一直是一个挑战。在油气行业,制定可靠、准确的产量预测是必须的,因为它在决策中起着至关重要的作用。在油气行业中,有几种估算EUR的方法,每种方法都有其优点和局限性。递减曲线分析(DCA)是一种传统的储量估计技术,广泛应用于常规油藏的储量估计。然而,当涉及到非常规油藏时,传统方法在预测低渗透油藏的产量趋势时往往不可靠。近年来,人们开发了许多方法来适应非常规油气藏的高度复杂性,并建立可靠的储量估计。本文提供了一种预测多级水力压裂水平井EUR的方法,该方法优于许多现有方法,结合完井数据,克服了使用DCA或其他传统方法预测产量的一些局限性。将该方法应用于多级水力压裂水平井的EUR预测,并将DCA与人工神经网络(ANN)预测模型相结合,提出了一个由生产历史匹配和预测组成的工作流。开发的工作流程结合了生产历史数据、使用DCA模型的预测和完井数据,以增强EUR预测。预测模型使用人工神经网络技术来预测短期早期生产历史数据(3个月至2年)的EUR。新方法的开发和测试使用了来自四个不同地层的989口多级水力压裂水平井的实际生产和完井数据。开发了16个模型(每个地层4个模型),根据输入参数、结构和生产历史数据周期的不同而不同。在仅给出3个月至2年的生产数据的情况下,开发的模型在预测欧元方面显示出很高的准确性(相关系数为0.85至0.99)。开发的模型使用来自不同DCA模型的产量预测以及完井数据来改进EUR预测。使用完井参数预测EUR以及典型的DCA是本研究提供的主要补充。这项工作的最终成果是一个综合的工作流程,可以通过使用完井数据和早期生产历史数据来预测不同地层的EUR。
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引用次数: 12
Testing Low-Melting-Point Alloy Plug in Model Brine-Filled Wells 低熔点合金塞在模型盐水井中的测试
IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, PETROLEUM Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2118/205001-PA
Hua Zhang, T. Ramakrishnan, Q. Elias
Low-melting-point bismuth- (Bi-) based alloys have recently been proposed for plug-and-abandonment (P&A). Previous experiments have shown the feasibility of BiSn [58-wt% Bi and 42-wt% tin (Sn)] and BiAg [97.5-wt% Bi and 2.5-wt% silver (Ag)] alloy plugs in moderate temperature wells, both across shales and across the shale/sandstone sequence. These were validated in linear and cylindrical wellbore cavity geometries for various differential setting pressures for alloy over air. Until now, all of the experiments for setting alloy plugs have been conducted with air as the wetting fluid. Given the lack of adhesion between minerals and alloy, our concept for providing bond strength and integrity has hinged on providing a bicontinuous structure through alloy penetration into the pore network. For shales, with a positive setting pressure, anchors on the surface, in lieu of pores, have proven to be adequate. With results obtained under excess alloy pressure, we have quantified the effect of setting pressure on the alloy/shale bond quality. With brine as the wetting fluid, imposing an excess pressure on the alloy has not been demonstrated previously. This paper is the continuation of our previously published papers (Zhang et al. 2020a, 2020b), and our objective here is not only to show the possibility of forming a plug under brine but also to quantify the plug’s quality with and without an excess alloy pressure. We first describe an apparatus that controls alloy and brine pressures independently through a semipermeable piston assembly and demonstrate forming alloy plugs in a brine-filled borehole cavity. Based on pressure decay tests across the plug, we demonstrate that wellbore integrity is possible only with a positive alloy pressure over that of brine.
低熔点铋(Bi)基合金最近被提出用于弃井(P&A)。之前的实验表明,在中温井中,无论是在页岩井还是在页岩/砂岩层序中,BiSn [58-wt% Bi和42-wt%锡(Sn)]和BiAg [97.5 wt% Bi和2.5 wt%银(Ag)]合金桥塞都是可行的。这些方法在线性和圆柱形井腔几何形状中进行了验证,以适应不同的合金空气压差设置压力。到目前为止,所有合金塞的坐封实验都是用空气作为润湿液进行的。鉴于矿物和合金之间缺乏附着力,我们提供结合强度和完整性的概念取决于通过合金渗透到孔隙网络中提供双连续结构。对于坐封压力为正的页岩,地面锚定代替孔隙已被证明是足够的。通过在超合金压力下获得的结果,我们量化了坐封压力对合金/页岩胶结质量的影响。以卤水为润湿液,在合金上施加过大压力以前没有被证明过。这篇论文是我们之前发表的论文(Zhang et al. 2020a, 2020b)的延续,我们的目标不仅是展示在盐水下形成桥塞的可能性,而且要量化桥塞在有和没有过量合金压力的情况下的质量。我们首先描述了一种通过半透活塞组件独立控制合金和盐水压力的装置,并演示了在充满盐水的井腔中形成合金塞。通过桥塞的压力衰减测试,我们证明,只有合金压力大于盐水压力时,才能保证井筒完整性。
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引用次数: 1
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Spe Production & Operations
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