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The Effect of the Current Expected Credit Loss Model on Conditional Conservatism of Banks and Its Spillover Effect on Borrower Conservatism 现行预期信用损失模型对银行条件保守主义的影响及其对借款人保守主义的溢出效应
Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2022-0279
Xinrong Qiang, Jing Wang
ABSTRACT Under the Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) model, banks should fully recognize expected lifetime credit losses upon loan origination while gradually recognizing interest revenues. This timelier recognition of losses versus gains (i.e., conditional conservatism) makes banks more capital constrained. To mitigate this, banks may (1) offset timelier credit losses by lowering conservatism in other earnings components and (2) reduce credit losses by demanding greater borrower conservatism. We find that, under CECL, banks increase conservatism in loan losses but decrease conservatism in other earnings components, making overall conservatism only marginally increase. In sharp contrast, their borrowers increase conservatism by 40 percent, and borrowers’ increase is twice that of banks. This substantial spillover effect suggests that, by greatly increasing borrowers’ conservatism, CECL may strengthen debt governance of a broad scope of firms in the economy, thereby having economy-wide consequences beyond the banking industry and potentially enhancing the stability of the entire economy. Data Availability: Data are publicly available from the sources identified in the study. JEL Classifications: G21; M41; M48.
摘要 在当前预期信用损失(CECL)模式下,银行应在贷款发放时全额确认预期终生信用损失,同时逐步确认利息收入。这种更及时地确认损失和收益的做法(即条件保守主义)使银行的资本更加紧张。为了缓解这种情况,银行可以:(1)通过降低其他收益组成部分的保守性来抵消更及时的信贷损失;(2)通过要求借款人更加保守来减少信贷损失。我们发现,在 CECL 下,银行提高了贷款损失的保守性,但降低了其他盈利部分的保守性,使得整体保守性仅略有提高。与此形成鲜明对比的是,其借款人的保守性提高了 40%,借款人的提高幅度是银行的两倍。这种巨大的溢出效应表明,通过大幅提高借款人的保守性,CECL 可能会加强经济中广泛企业的债务治理,从而对整个经济产生超越银行业的影响,并有可能增强整个经济的稳定性。数据可用性:数据可从研究中确定的来源公开获取。JEL 分类:G21;M41;M48。
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引用次数: 0
Switching Costs and Market Power in Auditing: Evidence from a Structural Approach 审计中的转换成本和市场力量:来自结构方法的证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2022-0416
Qiang Guo, Christopher Koch, Aiyong Zhu
ABSTRACT This study provides novel evidence on the magnitude of switching costs in auditing. Using a discrete choice approach, we infer switching costs from clients’ audit firm choices. The demand estimation reveals that switching costs are significant and vary by direction, with the highest costs associated with switching from non-Big 4 to Big 4 audit firms. Counterfactual analyses of forced switches suggest that switching costs are substantial, ranging from 0.7 billion U.S. dollars (14.2 percent of audit fees) to 1.2 billion U.S. dollars (24.0 percent of audit fees) when aggregated across all clients. Counterfactual analyses of voluntary switching show that the audit market would become highly dynamic and more concentrated if switching costs were removed. Additionally, clients would gain consumer surplus of up to 306 million U.S. dollars (5.4 percent of audit fees) in such a scenario. Overall, our study documents the importance of switching costs for understanding audit market dynamics. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: M42; M48; L11; L84.
摘要 本研究提供了有关审计转换成本大小的新证据。我们采用离散选择法,从客户对审计公司的选择中推断出转换成本。需求估算显示,转换成本很高,且因方向而异,从非四大转向四大审计公司的转换成本最高。对强制转换的反事实分析表明,转换成本很高,从 7 亿美元(占审计费用的 14.2%)到 12 亿美元(占审计费用的 24.0%)不等。对自愿转换的反事实分析表明,如果取消转换成本,审计市场将变得高度活跃和更加集中。此外,在这种情况下,客户将获得高达 3.06 亿美元的消费者剩余(占审计费用的 5.4%)。总之,我们的研究证明了转换成本对于理解审计市场动态的重要性。数据可用性:数据可从文中引用的公共来源获取。JEL 分类:M42;M48;L11;L84。
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引用次数: 0
Under the Hood of Activist Fraud Campaigns: Private Information Quality, Disclosure Incentives, and Stock Lending Dynamics 积极欺诈运动的秘密:私人信息质量、披露激励和股票借贷动态
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2023-0392
Byung Hyun Ahn, Robert M. Bushman, Panos N. Patatoukas
ABSTRACT Although activist short sellers can play a crucial role in fraud detection, they have come under scrutiny following accusations of systematically disseminating false negative information. We develop a framework delineating the roles of campaign-specific private information quality and short-selling dynamics in shaping disclosure incentives. We predict that the act of disclosure combined with pre-disclosure stock lending dynamics is informative about the quality of an activist’s private information. We find that increased pre-disclosure shorting intensity is associated with more negative post-disclosure returns, adverse media coverage, and consequential campaign outcomes, including auditor turnover, accounting restatements, class-action lawsuits, and performance-related delistings. Furthermore, elevated short-selling costs and risks magnify the association between pre-disclosure shorting intensity and post-disclosure underperformance. Finally, we examine V-shaped reversals and short covering following activists’ disclosures and find no evidence of systematic manipulation. We conclude that activists disclosing fraud allegations under their own names are discouraged from engaging in “short-and-distort” schemes. Data Availability: Data are available from the sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: G12; G14; G23; M41.
ABSTRACT 虽然激进卖空者在欺诈检测中能起到至关重要的作用,但他们因被指控系统性地传播虚假负面信息而备受关注。我们建立了一个框架,界定了活动特定的私人信息质量和卖空动态在形成信息披露激励方面的作用。我们预测,信息披露行为与披露前的股票借贷动态相结合,能为活动家的私人信息质量提供信息。我们发现,披露前做空强度的增加与披露后更多的负面回报、不利的媒体报道以及随之而来的竞选结果(包括审计师更替、会计重述、集体诉讼和与业绩相关的退市)有关。此外,卖空成本和风险的上升会放大披露前做空强度与披露后业绩不佳之间的关联。最后,我们研究了激进分子披露信息后的 V 型反转和空头回补,没有发现系统性操纵的证据。我们的结论是,以自己的名义披露欺诈指控的激进分子不会参与 "做空并扭曲 "计划。数据可用性:数据可从文中引用的来源获得。JEL Classifications:G12;G14;G23;M41。
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引用次数: 0
Supervisor Impact on Employee Careers: The Role of Rating Differentiation 主管对员工职业生涯的影响:评级差异的作用
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2020-0289
Judith Künneke
ABSTRACT Organizations invest heavily in supervision to increase the competitive advantage of their human capital. Although recent studies show that supervisors add value in general, it is not well understood what specific supervisory behaviors are relevant for employee career outcomes. To that end, this study explores the performance evaluation process and focuses on supervisors’ evaluation behavior. Interpreting a supervisor’s tendency to differentiate as a way of advancing employee development, I provide theory-consistent evidence revealing the relevance of differentiation for employee career outcomes. Using proprietary archival data, I demonstrate that differentiation relates positively to employees (1) performing more successfully in a new position upon promotion, (2) receiving a promotion to the next position, and (3) remaining in the organization. Therefore, this study presents novel and relevant evidence on the importance of specific supervisory behaviors in establishing effective human capital management practices.
摘要 组织在监督方面投入巨资,以提高其人力资本的竞争优势。尽管最近的研究表明,监督者总体上能增加价值,但人们对哪些具体的监督行为与员工的职业生涯结果相关还不甚了解。为此,本研究探讨了绩效评估过程,并重点关注了主管的评估行为。我将主管的差异化倾向解释为促进员工发展的一种方式,并提供了与理论相一致的证据,揭示了差异化与员工职业生涯结果的相关性。通过使用专有的档案数据,我证明了差异化与员工(1)在晋升后的新职位上表现更成功,(2)获得晋升到下一个职位,以及(3)留在组织中的积极关系。因此,本研究提供了新颖而相关的证据,证明了特定监管行为在建立有效人力资本管理实践中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Individual Auditor Turnover and Audit Quality—Large Sample Evidence from U.S. Audit Offices 审计师个人流动与审计质量--来自美国审计署的大样本证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2021-0862
Tao Ma, Chi Wan, Yakun Wang, Yuping Zhao
ABSTRACT We examine the relationship between audit quality and office-level auditor turnover. Using resumes of over 106,000 Big 4 auditors, we find that audit offices with higher turnover have a greater likelihood of client annual report restatements. This detrimental effect is more pronounced when the departing auditors are more experienced and when the office faces tighter human capital constraints and is primarily attributable to voluntary turnover. Further, such negative effect is borne mostly by complex clients and intangible-intensive clients but is weakened for clients with greater product similarity to the client portfolio of the audit office. Last, the impact of office-level turnover on audit quality persists after controlling for firm-level turnover. Our findings inform the current policy debate on whether and to what extent audit firms should disclose auditor turnover as a potential indicator of audit quality. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: M42.
摘要 我们研究了审计质量与办事处一级审计师流动之间的关系。通过使用四大会计师事务所 106,000 多名审计师的简历,我们发现审计师流动率越高的事务所,客户年报重述的可能性越大。当离职的审计师经验更丰富、审计师事务所面临更严格的人力资本限制时,这种不利影响会更加明显,而这主要归因于审计师的自愿离职。此外,这种负面影响主要由复杂客户和无形密集型客户承担,但对于与审计师事务所客户组合产品相似度较高的客户,这种影响则会减弱。最后,在控制了事务所层面的人员流动后,事务所层面的人员流动对审计质量的影响依然存在。我们的研究结果为当前关于审计公司是否以及在多大程度上应披露审计师流失率作为审计质量潜在指标的政策辩论提供了参考。数据可用性:数据可从文中引用的公共来源获得。JEL 分类:M42.
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引用次数: 0
Covers and Front Matter 封面和封头
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.2308/0001-4826-99.4.i
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引用次数: 0
JULY 2024 PLACEMENT ADS 2024 年 7 月配售广告
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.2308/0001-4826-99.4.b
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引用次数: 0
Editorial Policy 编辑政策
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.2308/0001-4826-99.4.e
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引用次数: 0
Unintended Real Effects of EDGAR: Evidence from Corporate Innovation EDGAR 意外的实际效果:来自公司创新的证据
Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2023-0310
Michael Dambra, Atanas Mihov, Leandro Sanz
ABSTRACT We study the real effects on innovation of a transformative change in corporate disclosure dissemination, the implementation of the SEC’s EDGAR system. On the one hand, increased disclosure dissemination can lower firms’ cost of capital, thereby stimulating innovative activity. On the other hand, increased dissemination can exacerbate proprietary disclosure costs, reducing firms’ incentives to innovate. We show that treated firms reduce innovation investment following EDGAR’s implementation. In contrast, EDGAR reporting firms’ innovation investment cuts are met with an increase in innovation investment by their technology rivals. Consistent with an increase in proprietary costs, EDGAR-filers disclose less about their innovation activities. We also find evidence of a redistribution of innovative activity from public to private firms not subject to EDGAR disclosure requirements. Overall, our results are consistent with increased disclosure dissemination crowding out investment in innovative projects, whose returns negatively depend on information spillovers. JEL Classifications: D23; L86; M40; M41; O30; O31; O32; O34.
摘要 我们研究了公司信息披露传播的变革--美国证券交易委员会 EDGAR 系统的实施--对创新的实际影响。一方面,信息披露传播的增加可以降低企业的资本成本,从而刺激创新活动。另一方面,信息传播的增加会加剧专有信息披露成本,从而降低企业的创新动力。我们的研究表明,EDGAR 实施后,接受治疗的企业减少了创新投资。相反,EDGAR 报告公司减少创新投资的同时,其技术竞争对手却增加了创新投资。与专有成本增加相一致的是,EDGAR 申报企业减少了对其创新活动的披露。我们还发现了创新活动从上市公司向不受 EDGAR 披露要求限制的私营企业重新分配的证据。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,信息披露的增加会挤出对创新项目的投资,而创新项目的收益与信息溢出效应呈负相关。JEL 分类:D23;L86;M40;M41;O30;O31;O32;O34。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Algorithmic Trading on Management Guidance 算法交易对管理指导的影响
Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.2308/tar-2022-0080
Andrew Stephan
ABSTRACT I investigate whether algorithmic trading (AT) affects the provision of management guidance. Existing research finds that AT decreases fundamental information acquisition before earnings announcements and consequently reduces the informativeness of prices. To compensate for reduced information acquisition, I predict and find that managers at firms with more AT activity increase the quantity and quality of guidance issued at earnings announcements. Evidence is consistent with managers responding to reduced information acquisition, as opposed to changes in liquidity, and results suggest guidance in response to AT is effective at reducing information asymmetry. These findings identify a new channel through which AT affects stock price informativeness by documenting a link to managers’ disclosure decisions. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: G14; G19; G10.
摘要 我研究了算法交易(AT)是否会影响管理层指导的提供。现有研究发现,算法交易会减少收益公布前的基本面信息获取,从而降低价格的信息性。为了弥补信息获取的减少,我预测并发现 AT 活动较多的公司的管理者会在盈利公布时提高指导意见的数量和质量。与流动性的变化相比,证据显示管理者对信息获取的减少做出了反应,结果表明针对 AT 的指导能有效减少信息不对称。这些发现通过记录与管理者披露决策的联系,确定了AT影响股价信息性的新渠道。数据可用性:数据可从文中引用的公共来源获得。JEL 分类:G14;G19;G10。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Accounting Review
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