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Tax Morale as Perceived by Accounting Professionals 会计专业人员对税务士气的看法
Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3855177
Antonio Lopo Martinez, Ivan R. F. Pereira
This study evaluates taxpayer morale through the perception of accounting professionals, specifically whether there is an impact from i) penalties, ii) tax audit probability, iii) rewards, and iv) tax amnesties. A perception survey with accountants is more reliable than with the taxpayers because they tend to report accurate perceptions, knowing close the degree of tax morale of their clients. Based on the literature, it is observed that taxpayer behavior has been analyzed by the rational economic model and the so-called crime paradigm, which relied on the idea that taxpayers would be potential offenders, aiming only at advantages. With a multidisciplinary approach with a sociological and psychological perspective, tax morale was measured through a self-applied questionnaire, showing higher or lower accountants' perception on tax morale of taxpayers concerning the incentives analyzed captured from 344 Brazilian accountants. The research findings indicate that the application of punishments and penalties are the most potent instruments for raising tax compliance, along with the perceived likelihood of an audit. In contrast, the successive application of tax amnesty programs erodes tax morale. This research is relevant because it deepens the understanding of what legislators and tax administration can do or not do to encourage greater tax morale.
本研究通过会计专业人员的感知来评估纳税人的士气,特别是是否受到i)处罚,ii)税务审计概率,iii)奖励和iv)税收特赦的影响。对会计师的看法调查比对纳税人的看法调查更可靠,因为他们倾向于报告准确的看法,更了解客户的纳税士气程度。根据文献,我们观察到,纳税人的行为是通过理性经济模型和所谓的犯罪范式来分析的,它们依赖于纳税人可能是潜在的罪犯,只针对利益。采用多学科方法,从社会学和心理学的角度,通过自我应用的问卷来衡量税收士气,显示更高或更低的会计师对纳税人税收士气的看法,涉及从344名巴西会计师中分析的激励措施。研究结果表明,惩罚和处罚的应用是提高税收合规性的最有效工具,同时也有审计的可能性。相反,连续实施税收赦免计划会削弱税收士气。这项研究是相关的,因为它加深了对立法者和税务管理部门可以做什么或不做什么来鼓励更大的税收士气的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Government Ownership and Corporate Tax Evasion: Evidence from China 政府所有权与企业逃税:来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2021-05-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3160421
Travis Chow, B. Ke, Hongqi Yuan, Yao Zhang
Using the mandatory disclosure of detected corporate tax evasion cases in China, we examine the types of publicly listed firms that evade taxes. We use a bivariate probit model to account for the partial observability of tax evasion. Our regression results are different from those using the reduced form probit model that ignores the partial observability of tax evasion. Our results are also different from those of prior research on the determinants of corporate tax avoidance using the effective tax rate (ETR) as a proxy for tax avoidance, suggesting that ETR may not be a good proxy for aggressive tax avoidance.
我们研究了中国政府所有制对逃税的影响。在修正了偷税漏税的部分可观察性后,我们发现国有企业(SOEs)比非国有企业(SOEs)更容易逃税,更不容易被发现。在被发现逃税后,国有企业缴纳的罚款也较低。我们发现,偷税漏税与有效税率(ETRs)正相关,政府所有权对偷税漏税的影响与政府所有权对ETRs的影响相反。我们的研究结果表明,逃税从根本上不同于通常由ETRs衡量的正常避税。
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引用次数: 3
Monopsony power, income taxation and welfare 垄断权力,所得税和福利
Pub Date : 2021-05-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3860739
A. Hummel
This paper studies the implications of monopsony power for optimal income taxation and welfare. Firms observe workers' abilities while the government does not and monopsony power determines what share of the labor market surplus is translated into profits. Monopsony power increases the tax incidence that falls on firms. This makes labor income taxes less (more) effective in redistributing labor income (profits). The optimal tax schedule is less progressive. Monopsony power alleviates the equity-efficiency trade-off that occurs because the government does not observe ability, but at the expense of exacerbating capital income inequality. I illustrate these findings for the US economy.
本文研究了垄断权力对最优所得税和最优福利的影响。企业观察工人的能力,而政府不这样做,垄断力量决定了劳动力市场剩余的多少份额转化为利润。垄断权增加了企业的税负。这使得劳动所得税在重新分配劳动收入(利润)方面更不(或更)有效。最理想的纳税时间表是不那么累进的。垄断权力缓解了由于政府不观察能力而出现的股权效率权衡,但代价是加剧了资本收入不平等。我以美国经济为例说明这些发现。
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引用次数: 6
Analyst Forecast Accuracy when Deviating from Manager’s Voluntary Annual Effective Tax Rate Forecast 分析师预测偏离经理自愿年度有效税率预测时的准确性
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3259579
Colin Koutney
Analysts regularly issue ETR forecasts that meaningfully deviate from managers’ voluntary annual effective tax rate (ETR) forecasts. I examine whether these deviations impact analyst forecast accuracy. Comparing analyst forecasts that deviate to analyst forecasts that reiterate managers’ ETR forecasts in a firm-year fixed effects regression, I find that deviating analysts issue less accurate after-tax earnings, pretax earnings, and ETR forecasts. Further, the inaccurate deviating analyst ETR forecasts appear to be mainly caused by differences about tax forecasts rather than pretax earnings forecasts. Analysts are more likely to deviate from managers’ ETR forecasts when they have less firm forecasting experience, issue forecasts later in the period, follow more industries, and issue fewer forecasts for the firm. Overall, the results suggest that analysts lack tax information to improve on managers’ voluntary ETR forecasts.
分析师经常发布的ETR预测与基金经理自愿提供的年度有效税率(ETR)预测存在显著偏差。我检验这些偏差是否会影响分析师预测的准确性。将偏离的分析师预测与在公司年度固定效应回归中重申经理ETR预测的分析师预测进行比较,我发现偏离的分析师发布的税后收益、税前收益和ETR预测的准确性较低。此外,分析师ETR预测的不准确偏差似乎主要是由于税收预测的差异,而不是税前收益预测的差异。当分析师的预测经验较少、发布预测的时间较晚、关注的行业较多、对公司的预测较少时,他们更有可能偏离经理的ETR预测。总体而言,结果表明,分析师缺乏税务信息,以提高管理者的自愿ETR预测。
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引用次数: 1
The politics of government resource allocation: Evidence from U.S. state government awarded economic incentives 政府资源配置的政治:来自美国州政府经济奖励的证据
Pub Date : 2021-01-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3127038
Daniel Aobdia, Allison Koester, R. Petacchi
We examine whether economic incentive awards by U.S. state governments to corporations are affected by political connections, and importantly whether a relation is cause for constituent concern. Consistent with findings examining international and U.S. federal-level political connections, we find that U.S. state governments also allocate resources disproportionally to politically connected firms. A firm is nearly four times more likely to receive an award, and the award is 63 percent larger, when the firm makes campaign contributions to state politicians. To determine if this relation distorts or enhances government resource allocation effectiveness, we focus on three key stakeholders: politicians, taxpayers, and shareholders. The positive relation between incentive awards and political connections is stronger when politicians’ motives appear self-serving. Although the stock market reacts more positively to connected award announcements, these awards generate less local job growth and less aggregate local economic growth, suggesting a wealth transfer from taxpayers to connected firm shareholders. Consistent with this interpretation, connected firms commit to fewer jobs and less capital investment per dollar of incentive awarded. In sum, state governments disproportionately award incentives to politically connected firms, even though these awards are a less effective allocation of government resources. Our study thus identifies a channel through which politicians can transfer rents to connected corporations at the expense of local taxpayers.
我们考察了美国州政府对企业的经济激励是否受到政治关系的影响,以及重要的是,政治关系是否引起了选民的关注。与研究国际和美国联邦级政治关系的结果一致,我们发现美国州政府也将资源不成比例地分配给有政治关系的公司。当一家公司向州政客提供竞选捐款时,该公司获得奖金的可能性几乎增加了四倍,奖金增加了63%。为了确定这种关系是否扭曲或提高了政府资源配置的有效性,我们关注了三个关键的利益相关者:政治家、纳税人和股东。当政治人物的动机表现为自私自利时,激励奖励与政治关系之间的正相关更强。尽管股票市场对关联奖励公告的反应更为积极,但这些奖励对当地就业增长和当地经济增长总量的影响较小,这表明财富从纳税人转移到关联公司股东。与这一解释相一致的是,关联企业承诺的每一美元奖励的就业机会和资本投资更少。总而言之,州政府对有政治关系的公司给予了不成比例的奖励,尽管这些奖励是一种效率较低的政府资源配置。因此,我们的研究确定了一个渠道,通过该渠道,政治家可以以牺牲当地纳税人的利益为代价,将租金转移给相关公司。
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引用次数: 4
How Do Investors Value the Publication of Tax Information? Evidence From the European Public Country-By-Country Reporting 投资者如何评价税务信息的公开?来自欧洲各国公共报告的证据
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3949860
Raphael Müller, Christoph Spengel, Stefan Weck
We examine the capital market reaction to the announcement of the European Union (EU) to introduce a public tax country-by-country reporting (CbCR) regime. By employing an event study methodology, we find a significant cumulative average abnormal return (CAAR) of -0.699%, which translates into a monetary value drop of approximately EUR 65 billion. We conclude that investors evaluate reputational risks arising from public scrutiny and competitive disadvantages to outweigh potential benefits of an extended information environment or more sustainable corporate tax strategies. In cross-sectional tests, we find that the average investor reaction is more pronounced for firms with low effective book tax rates, indicating that reputational concerns play a significant role in the marginal investor's investment behavior. Furthermore, our cross-sectional results indicate that the market reaction is stronger for firms operating in industries with high growth in market participants, providing an initial indication for the role of the competitive environment as an additional channel. Our inferences are of particular importance in light of the current ongoing debates on similar disclosure rules (particularly in the United States; cf. "Disclosure of Tax Havens and Offshoring Act") as well as for sustainability standard setters.
我们研究了资本市场对欧盟(EU)宣布引入公共税收国别报告(CbCR)制度的反应。通过采用事件研究方法,我们发现累积平均异常收益率(CAAR)为-0.699%,这意味着货币价值下降了约650亿欧元。我们得出的结论是,投资者对公众监督和竞争劣势带来的声誉风险的评估超过了扩展信息环境或更可持续的企业税收策略的潜在收益。在横断面检验中,我们发现,对于有效账面税率较低的公司,投资者的平均反应更为明显,这表明声誉问题在边际投资者的投资行为中起着重要作用。此外,我们的横断面结果表明,在市场参与者高增长的行业中运营的公司,市场反应更强烈,这为竞争环境作为额外渠道的作用提供了初步迹象。鉴于目前正在进行的关于类似披露规则的辩论(特别是在美国;cf。“披露避税天堂和离岸离岸法案”)以及可持续发展标准制定者。
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引用次数: 3
Hedging on the Hill: Does Political Hedging Reduce Firm Risk? 国会对冲:政治对冲会降低企业风险吗?
Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2021.4050
Dane M. Christensen, Hengda Jin, Suhas A. Sridharan, Laura A. Wellman
We examine whether firms’ political hedging activities are effective at mitigating political risk. Focusing on the risk induced by partisan politics, we measure political hedging as the degree to which firms’ political connections are balanced across Republican and Democratic candidates. We find that greater political hedging is associated with reduced stock return volatility, particularly during periods of higher policy uncertainty. Similarly, greater political hedging is associated with reduced crash risk, investment volatility, and earnings volatility. Moreover, the reduction in earnings volatility appears to relate to both a firm’s taxes and its operating activities, as we find that greater political hedging is associated with reduced cash effective tax rate volatility and pretax income volatility. We further find investors are better able to anticipate future earnings for firms that engage in political hedging, suggesting that political hedging helps improve firms’ information environments. Lastly, we perform an event study using President Obama’s Clean Power Plan. We find that on the days this policy proposal was debated in Congress, energy and utility firms experienced heightened intraday return volatility (relative to other firms and nonevent days). However, this heightened volatility is mitigated for energy and utility firms that are more politically hedged. Overall, we conclude that political hedging is an effective risk management tool that helps mitigate firm risk. This paper was accepted by Suraj Srinivasan, accounting.
我们考察了企业的政治对冲活动是否有效地缓解了政治风险。关注党派政治引发的风险,我们将政治对冲衡量为公司在共和党和民主党候选人之间的政治关系平衡的程度。我们发现,更大的政治对冲与股票回报波动性降低有关,特别是在政策不确定性较高的时期。同样,更大的政治对冲与降低崩溃风险、投资波动性和收益波动性有关。此外,收益波动性的降低似乎与公司的税收和经营活动都有关,因为我们发现,更大的政治对冲与现金有效税率波动性和税前收入波动性的降低有关。我们进一步发现,投资者能够更好地预测从事政治套期保值的公司的未来收益,这表明政治套期保值有助于改善公司的信息环境。最后,我们使用奥巴马总统的清洁能源计划进行事件研究。我们发现,在这项政策提案在国会辩论的日子里,能源和公用事业公司经历了更高的日内回报波动性(相对于其他公司和非事件日)。然而,对于能源和公用事业公司来说,这种加剧的波动性得到了缓解,因为它们在政治上受到了更多的对冲。总体而言,我们得出结论,政治套期保值是一种有效的风险管理工具,有助于降低企业风险。这篇论文被会计Suraj Srinivasan接受。
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引用次数: 5
Phenomenology of Employee Income Tax Policies during the COVID-19 in Indonesia 新冠肺炎疫情期间印尼雇员所得税政策现象学研究
Pub Date : 2020-12-09 DOI: 10.35609/gcbssproceeding.2020.11(160)
I.F.A. Prawira, Hanifa Zulhaimi
Objective - Covid-19 is a disaster that impacts various sectors of life, one of which has an impact on a country's tax revenue. Tax incentives are one of the policy steps that the Indonesian government has taken to face the economic strike due to the Covid-19 pandemic. This study aims to examine the factors that influence the implementation of employee income tax policies during the Covid-19.Methodology/Technique - This is a qualitative research using an interpretive paradigm with phenomenological methods. The data of this study are the results of observations and interviews with Corporate Taxpayers, Tax Experts, and Tax Officers. Based on the results of the interview, there are several factors that affect taxpayers' willingness to take advantage of this policy, including the ease of submitting incentives, certainty not to be audited, and not adding to the company's burden.Findings - Employers take advantage of this incentive, namely the company has an interest in maintaining the internal stability of the company. The provision of this incentive will increase (at least maintain) the purchasing power of workers and create a conducive business atmosphere. So, it is true that entrepreneurs will flock to take advantage of this facility.Novelty - This policy is expected to reduce the burden on business activities and help improve the condition of the company's cash flow, particularly during and after the epidemic. Thus, the company is expected not to terminate employment. If this condition occurs, there is potential for the national economy to keep moving, both in terms of production and consumption.Type of Paper - Empirical.Keywords: Employee Income Tax; Tax Policy; Tax Incentive; Covid-19JEL Classification: H24, H29.URI: http://gatrenterprise.com/GATRJournals/AFR/vol6.1_3.htmlDOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/afr.2021.6.1(3)Pages 69 – 77
目标- Covid-19是一场影响生活各个领域的灾难,其中之一会影响一个国家的税收。税收优惠政策是印尼政府为应对新冠肺炎疫情带来的经济打击而采取的政策措施之一。本研究旨在考察新冠肺炎疫情期间影响员工所得税政策实施的因素。方法论/技术-这是一项使用现象学方法的解释范式的定性研究。本研究的数据是对企业纳税人、税务专家和税务官员的观察和访谈的结果。根据采访的结果,有几个因素影响纳税人利用这一政策的意愿,包括提交激励措施的便利性,不被审计的确定性,以及不增加公司的负担。发现-雇主利用这种激励,即公司有兴趣保持公司的内部稳定。提供这种激励将增加(至少维持)工人的购买力,并创造有利的商业氛围。因此,企业家们确实会蜂拥而至,利用这一便利。新颖性——这项政策预计将减轻业务活动的负担,并有助于改善公司的现金流状况,特别是在疫情期间和之后。因此,预计该公司不会终止雇佣关系。如果这种情况发生,国民经济就有可能在生产和消费方面继续发展。论文类型-经验性。关键词:职工所得税;税收政策;税收激励;Covid-19JEL分类:H24、H29。URI: http://gatrenterprise.com/GATRJournals/AFR/vol6.1_3.htmlDOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/afr.2021.6.1(3)Pages 69 - 77
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引用次数: 1
Mispricing and Anomalies: An Exogenous Shock to Short Selling from JGTRRA 定价错误与异常:JGTRRA对卖空的外生冲击
Pub Date : 2020-12-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3730653
Yufeng Han, Yueliang Lu, Weike Xu, Guofu Zhou
We study the causal effect of short selling on asset pricing anomalies by exploiting a novel exogenous shock to short selling. After the Job and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (JGTRRA) of 2003, equity lenders are reluctant to lend shares around the dividend record dates because substitute dividends that they would receive are taxed at ordinary income rates while qualified dividends are taxed at 15 percent, thus creating a negative shock to short selling. Using arguably the most comprehensive set of anomalies to date and the difference-in-differences (DID) regression framework, we find that anomalies become stronger after the dividend record months in the post-JGTRRA periods, driven by stronger mispricing in the dividend record months. We further show that the effect mainly comes from the overpriced stocks. Overall, our results provide strong evidence that most anomalies are likely due to mispricing, with valuation anomalies as an exception.
本文利用一种新的卖空外源冲击,研究了卖空对资产定价异常的因果效应。在2003年的就业和增长税收减免和解法案(JGTRRA)之后,股票贷方不愿意在股息记录日期前后借出股票,因为他们将获得的替代股息按普通所得税税率征税,而合格股息的税率为15%,从而对卖空产生负面冲击。使用迄今为止最全面的异常集和差异中的差异(DID)回归框架,我们发现,在jgtrra后时期的股息记录月份之后,由于股息记录月份的错误定价更强,异常变得更强。我们进一步表明,这种影响主要来自于股价过高的股票。总的来说,我们的结果提供了强有力的证据,表明大多数异常可能是由于定价错误,估值异常是一个例外。
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引用次数: 1
Public Tax Disclosures and Investor Perceptions 公共税务披露和投资者看法
Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3729938
Bart Dierynck, M. Jacob, Maximilian A. Müller, Christian P. H. Peters, Victor van Pelt
To spotlight whether firms pay their "fair share'' and thereby crowd out aggressive tax avoidance, regulators are increasingly mandating tax disclosures. The assumption is that disclosures should help users identify aggressive tax avoiders. However, we find retail investors become worse at identifying firms using aggressive avoidance methods once receiving designated tax disclosures along with standard effective tax rate reconciliations. This experimental finding is consistent with our prediction rooted in attribute substitution theory that investors fixate on the designated tax disclosures when forming perceptions about whether firms pay their fair share. Our findings call for caution when implementing mandatory public tax disclosure.
为了关注公司是否支付了“公平份额”,从而排除激进的避税行为,监管机构越来越多地要求披露税务信息。其假设是,信息披露应有助于用户识别积极的避税者。然而,我们发现,一旦收到指定的税务披露以及标准有效税率对账,散户投资者在识别使用积极避税方法的公司方面变得更差。这一实验发现与我们基于属性替代理论的预测是一致的,即投资者在形成对公司是否支付其公平份额的看法时,会关注指定的税务披露。我们的研究结果呼吁在实施强制性公开税务披露时要谨慎。
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引用次数: 6
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Tax eJournal
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