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New Puzzles in International Tax Agreements 国际税收协定中的新难题
Pub Date : 2021-10-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3877854
W. Cui
The G-7’s “global minimum tax” accord—followed by a new version of the OECD’s “Two Pillar Solution” and its endorsement by the G-20—is accepted by many as evidence for international tax cooperation. But recent policy discussions offer no answer to a basic question: What can countries cooperate to achieve? This Article shows that the answers provided by proponents of the new international tax agreement are alarmingly ad hoc, misleading, and incoherent. Scholarship on corporate taxation has also long failed to identify potentials for international cooperation. The more successful international agreements purport to be, in other words, the more puzzling they become. I first examine three rationales recently identified for collective action. The first alleges a transformation in the services trade that supposedly undermines premises of traditional international tax design. The second emphasizes the international community’s need to appease the United States and prevent the latter from starting trade wars. Both make unusual and untenable factual and normative assumptions. A third rationale seems more familiar—countries should cooperate to end tax competition and multinational companies’ tax avoidance—but is at odds with both economic theory and the actual content of the OECD’s proposal. Theoretically, ending tax competitions—whether for productive capital or for corporate headquarters—cannot create gains for all countries. And in terms of policy content, the OECD proposal can more plausibly be read as limiting, rather than enhancing, governments’ capacities to tax MNCs. Older and more basic puzzles in theories of international taxation—concerning source-country taxation, residence countries’ unilateral relief from double taxation, and bilateral tax treaties—compound these new puzzles. Arguably, these puzzles have led tax scholars to abandon a basic social scientific template for explaining cooperation. Indeed, much of economic scholarship takes international tax institutions as exogenously given. I contrast this state of affairs with economic theories of trade agreements—in particular, with the way the “terms-of-trade” theory rationalizes the GATT/WTO regime. To emulate the success of the “terms-of-trade” theory, I argue, certain assumptions that have long prevailed in discourses about international taxation may need to be jettisoned. Only a more fundamental reconceptualization of the subject matter of international taxation can shed light on the true past and future grounds for international tax cooperation.
七国集团的“全球最低税”协议——紧随其后的是经合组织“两支柱解决方案”的新版本,并得到了20国集团的认可——被许多人接受为国际税收合作的证据。但最近的政策讨论没有给出一个基本问题的答案:各国可以通过合作实现什么目标?本文表明,新的国际税收协议的支持者提供的答案是令人震惊的临时,误导和不连贯。长期以来,公司税方面的学术研究也未能发现国际合作的潜力。换句话说,国际协议声称的越成功,它们就越令人困惑。我首先考察最近确定的集体行动的三个理由。第一个指控是服务贸易的转变,据称破坏了传统国际税收设计的前提。二是强调国际社会需要安抚美国,防止美国发动贸易战。两者都做出了不寻常的、站不住脚的事实和规范假设。第三个理由似乎更熟悉——各国应该合作结束税收竞争和跨国公司的避税行为——但这与经济理论和经合组织提案的实际内容都不一致。从理论上讲,结束税收竞争——无论是针对生产资本还是针对公司总部——并不能为所有国家创造收益。就政策内容而言,经合组织的提议更有可能被解读为限制(而非增强)政府对跨国公司征税的能力。国际税收理论中较为古老和基本的困惑——来源国税收、居住国单边减免双重征税和双边税收协定——使这些新的困惑更加复杂。可以说,这些困惑导致税务学者放弃了解释合作的基本社会科学模板。事实上,许多经济学者认为国际税收制度是外生的。我将这种状况与贸易协定的经济理论——特别是“贸易条件”理论使关贸总协定/世贸组织制度合理化的方式——进行了对比。我认为,为了效仿“贸易条件”理论的成功,可能需要抛弃长期以来在有关国际税收的论述中盛行的某些假设。只有对国际税收的主题进行更根本的重新构想,才能阐明国际税收合作过去和未来的真正理由。
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引用次数: 0
Analysts’ GAAP earnings forecast quality 分析师的GAAP收益预测质量
Pub Date : 2021-10-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3599616
Novia (Xi) Chen, Allison Koester
We examine the quality of analysts’ GAAP earnings forecasts and consider implications for research that uses these forecasts as inputs. We first exploit a setting that allows for a clean identification of GAAP earnings forecast quality. We find that GAAP earnings forecasts generally fail to incorporate a known event with an estimable GAAP earnings impact, especially forecasts issued by analysts who lack GAAP forecasting effort. We also find that GAAP earnings forecasts are not a good proxy for investor expectations of GAAP earnings. Both findings in this setting cast doubt on the quality of GAAP earnings forecasts. We assess the implications of these findings for two research applications. Using data spanning 2004 to 2020, we find that the presence of GAAP earnings forecasts that lack forecasting effort affects research inferences regarding GAAP earnings response coefficients and the prevalence of managers’ meet-or-beat behavior. We illustrate two simple remedies to mitigate the adverse effects of low-quality GAAP earnings forecasts on research inferences.
我们检查分析师的GAAP收益预测的质量,并考虑使用这些预测作为输入的研究的影响。我们首先利用了一个可以清晰识别GAAP收益预测质量的设置。我们发现,GAAP收益预测通常无法将具有可估计的GAAP收益影响的已知事件纳入其中,特别是由缺乏GAAP预测工作的分析师发布的预测。我们还发现,GAAP收益预测并不能很好地代表投资者对GAAP收益的预期。在这种情况下,这两项发现都让人对GAAP盈利预测的质量产生了怀疑。我们评估这些发现对两个研究应用的影响。利用2004年至2020年的数据,我们发现缺乏预测努力的GAAP盈余预测的存在影响了有关GAAP盈余反应系数的研究推论和管理者“不碰上就赢”行为的普遍程度。我们举例说明了两种简单的补救措施,以减轻低质量的GAAP收益预测对研究推论的不利影响。
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引用次数: 5
Workplace Transformation and Its Tax Compliance Implications 工作场所转型及其税收合规影响
Pub Date : 2021-09-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3925552
Jay A. Soled
Due to technological advances and the COVID-19 pandemic, taxpayers are increasingly utilizing their homes as a focal point from which to conduct their business affairs. On the one hand, the nation should applaud this workplace transformation insofar as it may enhance job performance and efficiency, reduce product cost and overhead, and improve work–life balance. On the other hand, this transformation process may open the door to rampant tax abuse as taxpayers alone or in collusion with their employers seek to transform home usage into a tax shelter refuge.This analysis delves directly into the income tax compliance concerns that the workplace transformation engenders. It does so by exposing the nature of the problem, its prevalence, what it might cost the nation annually in terms of lost revenue, and why current safeguards are failing to achieve their sought-after objectives. The good news is that if Congress proactively takes immediate remedial measures to address this nascent problem, such actions could help foster taxpayer compliance, defend the income tax base, and halt the depletion of the nation’s revenue coffers. However, if Congress dallies and is derelict in fulfilling its oversight duties, this problem is poised to go from bad to worse.
由于技术进步和新冠肺炎疫情,纳税人越来越多地将自己的家作为开展业务的中心。一方面,国家应该赞扬这种工作场所的转变,因为它可以提高工作绩效和效率,降低产品成本和管理费用,改善工作与生活的平衡。另一方面,这种转变过程可能会为猖獗的税收滥用打开大门,因为纳税人单独或与雇主勾结寻求将家庭使用转变为避税避难所。这一分析直接探究了工作场所转型所带来的所得税合规问题。它通过揭露问题的本质、普遍程度、每年可能给国家造成的收入损失,以及为什么目前的保障措施未能实现其追求的目标来做到这一点。好消息是,如果国会积极主动地立即采取补救措施来解决这个新出现的问题,这样的行动可能有助于促进纳税人的合规,捍卫所得税基础,并阻止国家收入金库的枯竭。然而,如果国会在履行其监督职责方面玩忽职守,这个问题就会变得越来越糟。
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引用次数: 0
Consumption Taxes and Multinational Tax Planning in the Digital Age - Evidence from the European Service Sector 数字时代的消费税和跨国税收筹划——来自欧洲服务业的证据
Pub Date : 2021-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3330523
Marcel Olbert, Annika Werner
We study how consumption taxes affect multinational companies' (MNCs') tax planning in the digital economy. We focus on the European value-added tax (VAT), a consumption tax collected and remitted by firms. Exploiting 43 staggered VAT rate changes, we show that MNCs in the business-to-consumer (B2C) service sector reallocate reported sales to benefit from VAT rate differentials across countries. Difference-in-differences analyses around a 2015 VAT reform that removed these VAT planning opportunities for digital B2C services indicate that MNCs reported disproportionally high digital B2C sales in Luxembourg, the country with the lowest VAT rate in 2014. Further analyses suggest that VAT planning behavior also shapes corporate income tax strategies. Contrary to conventional wisdom, pre-tax profits of MNC subsidiaries in the digital B2C sector were insensitive to changes in corporate income tax rates prior to 2015. However, since VAT planning strategies became obsolete, MNCs book substantially higher profits in Ireland and other low-tax European countries. Collectively, our evidence informs debates on taxing digital sales and tax strategies of MNCs in the globalized internet economy.
我们研究了消费税如何影响数字经济中跨国公司(MNCs)的税收筹划。我们关注的是欧洲增值税(VAT),这是一种由企业征收和缴纳的消费税。利用43个交错的增值税税率变化,我们表明,企业对消费者(B2C)服务行业的跨国公司重新分配报告的销售额,以从各国的增值税税率差异中受益。2015年增值税改革取消了数字B2C服务的增值税规划机会,围绕这一改革的差异分析表明,跨国公司在卢森堡的数字B2C销售额高得不成比例,而卢森堡是2014年增值税税率最低的国家。进一步的分析表明,增值税规划行为也会影响企业的所得税策略。与传统观点相反,2015年之前,数字B2C领域跨国公司子公司的税前利润对企业所得税税率的变化不敏感。然而,由于增值税规划策略已经过时,跨国公司在爱尔兰和其他低税收的欧洲国家获得了更高的利润。总的来说,我们的证据为全球化互联网经济中跨国公司对数字销售征税和税收策略的辩论提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
Tax Avoidance and Equity Pricing: The Importance of Countries’ Legal Institutions and Disclosure Regulations 避税与股权定价:国家法律制度和信息披露法规的重要性
Pub Date : 2021-08-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3914068
Ruiyuan Chen, Sadok El Ghoul, O. Guedhami, Jeffrey A. Pittman, Yang Yang
Building on Desai and Dharmapala’s (2006) complementarity theory on the relation between tax avoidance and insider diversion, we contribute to international research by examining the importance of tax avoidance to equity pricing, and the role that institutional environments play in shaping this link. Our theoretical framework generates two predictions. First, investors require higher risk premium compensation for their exposure to insiders’ diversion of corporate resources hidden by obfuscatory tax avoidance activities. Second, stronger country-level legal institutions and disclosure regulations mitigate this impact. Analyzing a sample of firms from 47 non-U.S. countries, we report strong evidence that equity financing costs rise when firms take more aggressive tax positions. Additional analysis implies that stricter investor protection institutions and disclosure regulations alleviate investors’ concerns about insider diversion, moderating the positive impact of tax avoidance on equity pricing. The results are robust to specifying alternative measures of tax avoidance and equity financing costs, as well as to addressing endogeneity. Collectively, these findings suggest that investors recognize the complementarity between insider diversion and tax avoidance in less protective environments. Our evidence has major implications for investors and policy makers.
在Desai和Dharmapala(2006)关于避税和内部人转移之间关系的互补性理论的基础上,我们通过研究避税对股票定价的重要性,以及制度环境在形成这种联系方面所起的作用,为国际研究做出了贡献。我们的理论框架产生了两个预测。首先,投资者需要更高的风险溢价补偿,因为他们暴露在内部人士转移企业资源的行为中,这些资源隐藏在模糊的避税活动中。其次,加强国家层面的法律制度和信息披露法规可以减轻这种影响。分析了47家非美国公司的样本。我们报告了强有力的证据表明,当企业采取更积极的税收政策时,股权融资成本会上升。进一步的分析表明,更严格的投资者保护制度和披露法规缓解了投资者对内幕转移的担忧,从而缓和了避税对股票定价的积极影响。结果是稳健的指定替代措施的避税和股权融资成本,以及解决内生性。总的来说,这些发现表明,投资者认识到在保护程度较低的环境中,内部人转移和避税之间存在互补性。我们的证据对投资者和政策制定者具有重大意义。
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引用次数: 0
Toward Tax Efficient Low Volatility Investing 迈向低波动税投资
Pub Date : 2021-07-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3890487
Shaojun Zhang
This paper reevaluates the low volatility investing strategies and, in particular, their tax efficiency. Low volatility strategies intend to help investors achieve market-like equity returns, but with less risk than that of the broader market. Among the low volatility strategies, those with lower volatility carry lower returns, but incur higher turnover and tax burdens. Explicit tax management can greatly improve the strategy performance. Tax management, nevertheless, is no easy task in practice due to the burdensome record keeping. This paper proposes two sets of tax managed low volatility investing strategies that require different amount of record keeping. Both strategies can significantly improve the after-tax strategy returns, while maintaining the compelling risk and pre-tax return profile. Specifically, accounting for net taxable gains alone can harvest most tax alphas, and accounting for the timing of tax lots accurately in addition can further improve the strategy performance.
本文重新评估了低波动率投资策略,特别是它们的税收效率。低波动性策略旨在帮助投资者获得与市场类似的股票回报,但风险低于大盘。在低波动率策略中,波动率较低的策略收益较低,但其营业额和税负较高。明确的税收管理可以大大提高战略绩效。然而,由于繁琐的记录,税务管理在实践中并不是一件容易的事情。本文提出了两套税收管理的低波动率投资策略,它们需要不同的记录保存量。这两种策略都可以显著提高税后策略回报,同时保持引人注目的风险和税前回报。具体来说,仅计算净应税收益就可以获得大部分的税收阿尔法值,此外,准确地计算税收批次的时间可以进一步提高战略绩效。
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引用次数: 1
Taxation of Instagram Influencers 对Instagram网红征税
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.17951/sil.2021.30.2.339-356
Michal Radvan
This scientific article discusses issues related to the taxation of Instagram influencers. Its main objective is to define how the influencers’ incomes should be taxed. To achieve this primary purpose, the partial objective is defined to give the list of (legal) cooperation contracts between the marketers and influencers. The hypothesis that there is no need to adopt new specific tax law norms to tax influencers’ incomes properly, at least in developed countries, was confirmed. All jurisdictions are taxing influencers’ incomes. It is always necessary to focus on the content of the relationship generating influencer’s income, as the principle of priority of content over form must be used. The tax liability is influenced only by the tax base. The tax rate and other structural components of the tax remain the same for different types of incomes. Generally, it is always better for the influencer to have a trading license (to be a businessman) than tax his/her incomes as incomes from copyright. Incomes from dependent activities based on labour law contract or occasional incomes are not probable for a typical influencer, and still, the taxation in this way is not really favourable. The novelty of the presented research lies in the fact that no scientific articles deal with the covered issues published so far. The author believes that the article has a cognitive value for both science and practice.
这篇科学文章讨论了与Instagram网红征税相关的问题。其主要目标是确定如何对有影响力的人的收入征税。为了实现这一主要目的,部分目标被定义为给出营销人员和网红之间(法律)合作合同的列表。至少在发达国家,没有必要采用新的具体税法规范对影响者的收入适当征税,这一假设得到了证实。所有司法管辖区都在对网红的收入征税。始终有必要关注产生影响者收入的关系的内容,因为必须使用内容优先于形式的原则。纳税义务只受税基的影响。对于不同类型的收入,税率和税收的其他结构性组成部分保持不变。一般来说,对网红来说,拥有交易许可证(成为一名商人)总是比将他/她的收入作为版权收入征税更好。典型的影响者不太可能从基于劳动法合同的依赖活动或偶尔收入中获得收入,而且以这种方式征税也不是真正有利的。所提出的研究的新颖之处在于,迄今为止还没有科学文章涉及所涉及的问题。笔者认为,本文具有一定的科学和实践认知价值。
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引用次数: 4
Stamp Duty and Equity in Australia 澳大利亚的印花税和股票
Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3875060
Manning Clifford, J. Freebairn
Stamp duty is a core part of the Australian tax system, but large components of its effect on the economy are unknown. In particular, the distribution of stamp duty's costs are not well understood. This has been hampered by a lack of quantitative studies of stamp duty's costs, and by limited discussion of stamp duty's effect on rental markets. This paper addresses this gap by establishing a theoretical framework for understanding stamp duty's incidence, and then by estimating the distribution of its costs. We find that stamp duty is a regressive tax, and that this regressiveness is predominantly due to the fact that housing costs are a significantly higher share of household income in low income households. We also find that the economic incidence of stamp duty is not particularly relevant to interrogations of how costs are distributed, because (unlike in many other markets), most people who sell housing tend to purchase houses of a similar value within a short time period of selling. We also provide some thoughts on current reform proposals and then discuss how land taxes could be designed in light of political barriers.
印花税是澳大利亚税收制度的核心部分,但其对经济的大部分影响尚不清楚。特别是,印花税成本的分布还不太清楚。由于缺乏对印花税成本的定量研究,以及对印花税对租赁市场影响的讨论有限,这一工作受到了阻碍。本文通过建立一个理论框架来理解印花税的发生,然后通过估算其成本分布来解决这一差距。我们发现印花税是一种累退税,而这种累退性主要是由于低收入家庭的住房成本在家庭收入中所占的比例要高得多。我们还发现,印花税的经济发生率与成本如何分配的询问并不特别相关,因为(与许多其他市场不同),大多数出售房屋的人倾向于在出售的短时间内购买类似价值的房屋。我们还对当前的改革建议提供了一些想法,然后讨论了如何根据政治障碍设计土地税。
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引用次数: 0
Tax Transparency and Social Welfare: The Role of Government Commitment 税收透明度与社会福利:政府承诺的作用
Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3862433
C. Furukawa
Although transparency has long been held as the key principle of taxation, recent behavioral public finance theory has shown that it may reduce social welfare as inattention can alleviate behavioral distortions. This paper extends this analysis by modeling inattention as a noise in the tax rate signal received by Bayesian citizens. In equilibrium, we find that transparency will improve social welfare by ensuring the government's ability to commit to a fairly low tax rate that is socially optimal. Moreover, this model yields new sufficient statistics formulas that inform whether a policy effort to ensure tax transparency is socially worthwhile.
虽然透明度长期以来一直被认为是税收的关键原则,但最近的行为公共财政理论表明,它可能会减少社会福利,因为不注意可以减轻行为扭曲。本文通过将注意力不集中建模为贝叶斯公民接收到的税率信号中的噪声来扩展这一分析。在均衡状态下,我们发现透明度将通过确保政府有能力承诺一个社会最优的相当低的税率来改善社会福利。此外,该模型还产生了新的、充分的统计公式,用以说明确保税收透明度的政策努力是否具有社会价值。
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引用次数: 0
Family Firms' Dividend Policies: Evidence from a Japanese Tax Reform 家族企业股利政策:来自日本税制改革的证据
Pub Date : 2021-06-05 DOI: 10.1016/J.FRL.2021.102199
Akitada Kasahara, Masanori Orihara
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引用次数: 2
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