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Machine Learning Approach to Investigating the Relative Importance of Meteorological and Aerosol-Related Parameters in Determining Cloud Microphysical Properties 研究气象参数和气溶胶相关参数在确定云微观物理特性中的相对重要性的机器学习方法
Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.16993/tellusb.1868
F. Bender, Tobias Lord, Anna Staffansdotter, Verena Jung, Sabine Undorf
Aerosol effects on cloud properties are notoriously difficult to disentangle from variations driven by meteorological factors. Here, a machine learning model is trained on reanalysis data and satellite retrievals to predict cloud microphysical properties, as a way to illustrate the relative importance of meteorology and aerosol, respectively, on cloud properties. It is found that cloud droplet effective radius can be predicted with some skill from only meteorological information, including estimated air mass origin and cloud top height. For ten geographical regions the mean coefficient of determination is 0.41 and normalised root-mean square error 24%. The machine learning model thereby performs better than a reference linear regression model, and a model predicting the climatological mean. A gradient boosting regression performs on par with a neural network regression model. Adding aerosol information as input to the model improves its skill somewhat, but the difference is small and the direction of the influence of changing aerosol burden on cloud droplet effective radius is not consistent across regions, and thereby also not always consistent with what is expected from cloud brightening.
众所周知,气溶胶对云特性的影响很难与气象因素引起的变化区分开来。本文利用再分析数据和卫星检索数据训练了一个机器学习模型来预测云的微物理特性,以此说明气象和气溶胶分别对云特性的相对重要性。研究发现,仅凭气象信息(包括估计的气团起源和云顶高度)就能以一定的技巧预测云滴有效半径。对于十个地理区域,平均判定系数为 0.41,归一化均方根误差为 24%。因此,机器学习模型的表现优于参考线性回归模型和气候平均值预测模型。梯度提升回归模型的表现与神经网络回归模型相当。将气溶胶信息作为输入添加到模型中在一定程度上提高了模型的技能,但差异很小,而且气溶胶负荷变化对云滴有效半径的影响方向在不同地区并不一致,因此也不总是与云增亮的预期一致。
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引用次数: 0
Dimensionless Parameterizations of Air-Sea CO2 Gas Transfer Velocity on Surface Waves 表面波上大气-海洋CO2气体传递速度的无因次参数化
Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.16993/tellusb.1897
Shuo Li, A. Babanin, Changlong Guan
Accurate quantification of air-sea gas transfer velocity is critical for our understanding of air-sea CO2 gas fluxes, global carbon budget and climate responses. CO2 transfer velocity is predominantly subject to constraints of wave-related dynamic processes at the ocean surface layer but is typically parameterized with wind speed. This study proposes and compares two parameterizations which accommodate dimensionless wave terms. The validations are conducted using both laboratory and field measurements of CO2 transfer and wave statistics. A scaling of bubble-mediated gas transfer is implemented into the formula that is linked to wave breaking probability. The improved parameterizations are capable of collapsing combined laboratory and field data sets which comprise diversified conditions of wind, wave and wave breaking.
准确量化海气输送速度对我们了解海气CO2通量、全球碳收支和气候响应至关重要。CO2传输速度主要受海洋表层与波浪有关的动力过程的约束,但通常用风速参数化。本研究提出并比较了两种适用于无量纲波动项的参数化。通过实验室和现场测量CO2传输和波浪统计进行了验证。在与破波概率相关的公式中,实现了气泡介导的气体传递的标度。改进的参数化方法能够对包含风、浪和破波等多种条件的实验室和现场数据集进行分解。
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引用次数: 0
Transport of Mineral Dust Into the Arctic in Two Reanalysis Datasets of Atmospheric Composition 两组大气成分再分析资料中矿物粉尘向北极的输送
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.16993/tellusb.1866
Sebastian Böö, A. Ekman, G. Svensson, A. Devasthale
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引用次数: 0
Tropical and Boreal Forest – Atmosphere Interactions: A Review 热带和北方森林-大气相互作用研究进展
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.16993/tellusb.34
P. Artaxo, H. Hansson, M. Andreae, J. Bäck, E. Alves, H. Barbosa, F. Bender, E. Bourtsoukidis, S. Carbone, J. Chi, S. Decesari, V. Després, F. Ditas, E. Ezhova, S. Fuzzi, N. Hasselquist, J. Heintzenberg, B. Holanda, A. Guenther, H. Hakola, L. Heikkinen, V. Kerminen, J. Kontkanen, R. Krejci, M. Kulmala, J. Lavrič, G. de Leeuw, K. Lehtipalo, L. Machado, G. Mcfiggans, M. A. Franco, B. Meller, F. Morais, C. Mohr, W. Morgan, M. Nilsson, M. Peichl, T. Petäjä, M. Prass, C. Pöhlker, M. Pöhlker, U. Pöschl, C. von Randow, I. Riipinen, J. Rinne, Luciana V. Rizzo, D. Rosenfeld, M. Dias, L. Sogacheva, P. Stier, E. Swietlicki, M. Sörgel, P. Tunved, A. Virkkula, Jian Wang, B. Weber, A. Yáñez-Serrano, P. Zieger, E. Mikhailov, J. Smith, J. Kesselmeier
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引用次数: 21
The Climatic Role of Interactive Leaf Phenology in the Vegetation-Atmosphere System of Radiative-Convective Equilibrium Storm-Resolving Simulations 植被-大气系统辐射-对流平衡风暴消解模拟中相互作用叶物候的气候作用
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.16993/tellusb.26
Junhong Lee, C. Hohenegger, A. Chlond, R. Schnur
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引用次数: 2
Exploring satellite-derived relationships between cloud droplet number concentration and liquid water path using a large-domain large-eddy simulation 利用大域大涡模拟探索卫星云滴数浓度与液态水路径之间的关系
Pub Date : 2021-12-18 DOI: 10.5194/dach2022-252
S. Dipu, M. Schwarz, A. Ekman, E. Gryspeerdt, T. Goren, O. Sourdeval, J. Mülmenstädt, J. Quaas

Important aspects of the adjustments to aerosol-cloud interactions can be examined using the relationship between cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and liquid water path (LWP). Specifically, this relation can constrain the role of aerosols in leading to thicker or thinner clouds in response to adjustment mechanisms. This study investigates the satellite retrieved relationship between Nd and LWP for a selected case of mid-latitude continental clouds using high-resolution Large-eddy simulations (LES) over a large domain in weather prediction mode. Since the satellite retrieval uses adiabatic assumption to derive the Nd (NAd), we have also considered NAd from the LES model for comparison. The NAd-LWP relationship in the satellite and the LES model show similar, generally positive, but non-monotonic relations. This case over continent thus behaves differently compared to previously-published analysis of oceanic clouds, and the analysis illustrates a regime dependency (marine and continental) in the NAd-LWP relation in the satellite retrievals. The study further explores the impact of the satellite retrieval assumptions on the Nd-LWP relationship. When considering the relationship of the actually simulated cloud-top Nd, rather than NAd, with LWP, the result shows a much more nonlinear relationship. The difference is much less pronounced, however, for shallow stratiform than for convective clouds. Comparing local vs large-scale statistics from satellite data shows that continental clouds exhibit only a weak nonlinear Nd-LWP relationship. Hence a regime based Nd-LWP analysis is even more relevant when it comes to continental clouds.

气溶胶-云相互作用调整的重要方面可以通过云滴数浓度(Nd)和液态水路径(LWP)之间的关系来检验。具体地说,这种关系可以约束气溶胶在响应调节机制而导致云层变厚或变薄方面的作用。本研究利用高分辨率大涡模拟(LES)在大范围天气预报模式下对中纬度大陆云的Nd和LWP之间的卫星反演关系进行了研究。由于卫星反演使用绝热假设来推导Nd (NAd),我们也考虑了LES模型中的NAd进行比较。卫星的NAd-LWP与LES模式的NAd-LWP关系相似,一般为正,但非单调关系。因此,大陆上空的这种情况与以前发表的海洋云分析不同,分析说明了卫星检索中的NAd-LWP关系中的状态依赖关系(海洋和大陆)。本研究进一步探讨了卫星反演假设对Nd-LWP关系的影响。当考虑实际模拟的云顶Nd而不是NAd与LWP的关系时,结果显示出更非线性的关系。然而,与对流云相比,浅层云的差异要小得多。比较卫星数据的局地和大尺度统计数据表明,大陆云只表现出微弱的非线性Nd-LWP关系。因此,当涉及到大陆云时,基于Nd-LWP分析的制度就更加相关了。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of COVID-19 effects on satellite-observed aerosol loading over China with machine learning 利用机器学习评估COVID-19对中国上空卫星观测气溶胶负荷的影响
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/16000889.2021.1971925
H. Andersen, J. Cermak, Roland Stirnberg, J. Fuchs, Miae Kim, E. Pauli
Abstract Aerosols are a critical component of the climate system and a risk to human health. Here, the lockdown response to the coronavirus outbreak is used to analyse effects of dramatic reduction in anthropogenic aerosol sources on satellite-retrieved aerosol optical depth (AOD). A machine learning model is applied to estimate daily AOD during the initial lockdown in China in early 2020. The model uses information on aerosol climatology, geography and meteorological conditions, and explains 69% of the day-to-day AOD variability. A comparison of model-expected and observed AOD shows that no clear, systematic decrease in AOD is apparent during the lockdown in China. During March 2020, regional AOD is observed to be significantly lower than expected by the machine learning model in some coastal regions of the North China Plains and extending to the Korean peninsula. While this may possibly indicate a small lockdown effect on regional AOD, and potentially pointing trans-boundary effects of the lockdown measures, due to uncertainties associated with the method and the limited sample sizes, this AOD decrease cannot be unequivocally attributed to reduced anthropogenic emissions. Climatologically expected AOD is compared to a weather-adjusted expectation of AOD, indicating that meteorological influences have acted to significantly increase AOD during this time, in agreement with recent literature. The findings highlight the complexity of aerosol variability and the challenges of observation-based attribution of columnar aerosol changes.
气溶胶是气候系统的重要组成部分,对人类健康构成威胁。在这里,对冠状病毒爆发的封锁反应被用来分析人为气溶胶源急剧减少对卫星反演气溶胶光学深度(AOD)的影响。应用机器学习模型估计了2020年初中国最初封锁期间的每日AOD。该模型利用气溶胶气候学、地理和气象条件的信息,解释了69%的日常AOD变化。对模型预期的AOD和观测到的AOD的比较表明,在中国的封锁期间,AOD没有明显的、系统的下降。2020年3月,在华北平原部分沿海地区,区域AOD显著低于机器学习模型的预期,并延伸至朝鲜半岛。虽然这可能表明封锁对区域臭氧耗氧量的影响很小,并且可能表明封锁措施的跨界影响,但由于方法的不确定性和有限的样本量,这种臭氧耗氧量的减少不能明确地归因于人为排放的减少。将气候预期的AOD与天气调整后的AOD预期进行比较,表明气象影响在这段时间内显著增加了AOD,这与最近的文献一致。这些发现强调了气溶胶变率的复杂性和基于观测归因柱状气溶胶变化的挑战。
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引用次数: 4
Diurnal and inter-annual variability of surface ozone in Baicheng region, China 白城地区地表臭氧的日变化和年际变化
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/16000889.2021.1894879
Tingting Qin, Ju Wang, Ran Li, Chunsheng Fang
Abstract With the rapid development of industry and economy, the problem of ozone (O3) pollution in China is of increasing concern in recent years. The problem of ozone pollution has become worse in Baicheng City which belongs to the province of Jilin. We analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of surface ozone and its correlation with precursors and meteorological factors during 2015 and 2019 using data from the automatic Atmospheric Environmental Quality Monitoring Station located in Baicheng. Results showed that the daily and monthly mean values of O3 concentration were both single-peak patterns, and interannual variation presented a inverted ‘V’ pattern in Baicheng. The high concentration of O3 in a year generally occurs from May to July, with the highest daily concentration occurring in the afternoon. The total number of days with O3 concentration exceeding the limits was 35 days from 2015 to 2019, among which the number of days exceeding the maximal daily average eight-hour (MDA8) O3 of 100 μg/m3 was the highest in 2018, and the 90th percentile MDA8 showed an overall growth pattern. Seasonal variations in O3 concentration in 2018 and 2019 were not consistent with the three previous years.
随着工业和经济的快速发展,近年来中国臭氧污染问题日益受到关注。吉林省白城市的臭氧污染问题日益严重。利用白城市大气环境质量自动监测站2015 - 2019年的数据,分析了白城市地表臭氧的时空分布特征及其与前体和气象因子的相关性。结果表明:白城O3浓度日均值和月均值均为单峰型,年际变化呈倒“V”型;一年中臭氧的高浓度一般出现在5 - 7月,日最高浓度出现在下午。2015 - 2019年臭氧浓度超标天数共计35天,其中超过100 μg/m3最大日平均8小时(MDA8) O3的天数以2018年最多,第90百分位MDA8呈现整体增长态势。2018年和2019年臭氧浓度的季节变化与前三年不一致。
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引用次数: 2
Influence of observation angle change on satellite retrieval of aerosol optical depth 观测角度变化对卫星反演气溶胶光学深度的影响
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/16000889.2021.1940758
Lijuan Chen, Ren Wang, Jiamei Han, Y. Zha
Abstract Use of multi-angle sensors, which can perform ground observations in different view directions, provides an important technical means to acquire more comprehensive and detailed remote sensing information. This study explored the effect of angle changes on satellite-based aerosol optical depth (AOD) retrieval using 2016–2018 Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) data in the Yangtze River Delta. The Moderate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) surface reflectance determined by the MODIS V5.2 algorithm and MODIS BRDF data are used to obtain MISR surface reflectance at different angles after a spectral conversion between MODIS and MISR, and then MISR AOD with different angles were retrieved based on the MISR surface reflectance at different angles. Moreover, the errors and their formation mechanism in retrieving AOD using MISR remote sensing data at different angles were analyzed based on the Global Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) ground observations. We used six indicators, including correlation coefficient (R), significant level (P value), mean absolute error (MAE), mean relative error (MRE) root mean square error (RMSE) and relative mean bias (RMB), and AERONET AOD is used to verify the MISR AOD. The results show that at Taihu and Xuzhou stations, the highest R values are 0.81 (Aa AOD) and 0.75 (An AOD), and the minimum RMSE values at Taihu and Xuzhou-CUMT stations are 0.11 (Aa AOD) and 0.20 (An AOD), respectively. Incorrect surface reflectance measurement is the root cause of the angle effect in MISR AOD retrieval. With the same surface reflectance deviation, the larger the MISR observation angle, the closer the retrieved MISR AOD is to the AOD observed by AERONET. The AOD retrieval of the forward observation angle is closer to AERONET AOD than that of backward observation angle, and the retrieved error is greatest at the vertical angle (nadir). Therefore, sensors for vertical ground observation are not suitable for AOD retrieval, and sensors in non-vertical directions, especially forward to the ground, are more favorable to MISR AOD retrieval.
多角度传感器可以在不同视点方向上进行地面观测,为获取更全面、详细的遥感信息提供了重要的技术手段。利用2016-2018年长三角地区多角度成像光谱辐射计(MISR)数据,探讨了角度变化对卫星气溶胶光学深度(AOD)反演的影响。利用MODIS V5.2算法确定的中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)表面反射率和MODIS BRDF数据,将MODIS与MISR进行光谱转换,得到MISR不同角度的表面反射率,然后根据MISR不同角度的表面反射率反演不同角度的MISR AOD。此外,基于全球气溶胶机器人网络(AERONET)地面观测数据,分析了不同角度MISR遥感数据反演AOD的误差及其形成机制。我们采用相关系数(R)、显著性水平(P值)、平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均相对误差(MRE)、均方根误差(RMSE)和相对平均偏差(RMB) 6个指标,并采用AERONET AOD对MISR AOD进行验证。结果表明:太湖站和徐州站的R值最高,分别为0.81 (Aa AOD)和0.75 (An AOD), RMSE最小,分别为0.11 (Aa AOD)和0.20 (An AOD);不正确的表面反射率测量是MISR AOD反演中产生角度效应的根本原因。在表面反射率偏差相同的情况下,MISR观测角度越大,反演的MISR AOD与AERONET观测的AOD越接近。前向观测角度的AOD检索比后向观测角度的AOD检索更接近AERONET AOD,且在垂直角度(最低点)处检索误差最大。因此,垂直地面观测的传感器不适合用于AOD检索,而非垂直方向尤其是向前地面的传感器更有利于MISR AOD检索。
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引用次数: 1
Short-term variability of total column ozone from the Dobson spectrophotometer measurements at Belsk, Poland, in the period 23 March 1963–31 December 2019 1963年3月23日至2019年12月31日期间波兰贝尔斯克多布森分光光度计测量的总臭氧柱短期变率
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/16000889.2021.1912958
J. Krzyścin, B. Rajewska-Więch, J. Borkowski
Abstract Total column ozone (TCO) monitoring with the Dobson spectrophotometer no. 84 have been carried out at Belsk (51°50′, 20°47′), Poland, since 23 March 1963. TCO observations were made for various combinations of double wavelength pairs (AD, CD, CC′) and instrument settings (direct Sun, zenith blue, and zenith cloudy). In total, results of 115,736 manual observations were recorded in the period 1963–2019. The following metrics of the intraday TCO variability are examined: standard deviation divided by the mean value and the difference between the daily maximum and minimum divided by the mean value. The mean value, standard deviation, and 5th–95th percentile range for the intraday changes of the metrics are {1.6%, 0.8%, 2.5%} and {4.3%, 2.3%, 7.3%,}, respectively. To examine interday TCO variability, one-day changes of the metrics and the daily mean TCO are analysed. The corresponding statistics for one-day change of TCO are {−0.2%, 6.9%, 22.6%}. The short-term TCO variability changed only slightly (if ever) since the beginning of the ozone observations at Belsk.
摘要:采用多布森分光光度计监测总柱臭氧(TCO)。自1963年3月23日以来,在波兰Belsk(51°50′,20°47′)进行了84次。TCO观测是在双波长对(AD、CD、CC’)和仪器设置(太阳直射、天顶蓝和天顶多云)的不同组合下进行的。在1963年至2019年期间,共记录了115,736次人工观测结果。以下指标的日内TCO可变性进行了检查:标准偏差除以平均值和每日最大值和最小值之差除以平均值。指标日内变化的平均值、标准差和第5 - 95百分位范围分别为{1.6%、0.8%、2.5%}和{4.3%、2.3%、7.3%}。为了检验日间TCO变化,分析了指标和日平均TCO的日变化。TCO的单日变化统计值分别为{−0.2%,6.9%,22.6%}。从贝尔斯克开始进行臭氧观测以来,短期TCO变率只有轻微的变化(如果有的话)。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology
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