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Culture and Economic Development in Late Comers: Comparing China and India 后发国家的文化与经济发展:比较中国和印度
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2024.2310328
Thomas Barbiero, Haiwen Zhou
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Chinese Exports of Metal Manufactures and Discussion on Export Potential During Pandemic: Based on Trade Gravity Model 中国金属制造业出口的决定因素及对大流行病期间出口潜力的探讨:基于贸易引力模型
Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2024.2303793
Chenyu Jin, Cihangir Kan
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引用次数: 0
Production-Driven and Non-Production-Driven Bilateral Trade Balance: Assessing Trade Deficits between the United States and China and the COVID-19 Epidemic 生产驱动和非生产驱动的双边贸易平衡:评估中美贸易逆差与 COVID-19 疫情
Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2295638
H. Karamelikli, Serdar Ongan, Ismet Gocer, Mine Aysen Doyran
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引用次数: 0
How Financial Development Mitigates Carbon Intensity: Insight from China’s 30 Provinces 金融发展如何降低碳强度?中国 30 个省的启示
Pub Date : 2023-12-09 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2287300
Jinying Zhu, Guanghao Wang, L. Goh, Miaomiao Tao
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引用次数: 0
The Crowding-Out Effect of ESG Practices on Social Welfare: Evidence from China 环境、社会和治理实践对社会福利的挤出效应:来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2281211
Fuqi Cui, Xiang Gao, Zhan Wang
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引用次数: 0
How Does International Education Exchange Affect China’s Exports? Evidence 54 Countries along the “Belt and Road” in 2007–2018 国际教育交流如何影响中国的出口?2007-2018年54个“一带一路”沿线国家
Pub Date : 2023-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2266097
Qiang Wu, Ying Chen, Yayou Huang, Aoxue Wang, Chunling Wang
AbstractInternational educational exchanges have brought favorable conditions for bilateral economic and trade cooperation. Taking 54 countries along the “Belt and Road” as a sample, the article links the “Belt and Road” education exchange with China’s export and analyzes the internal logic mechanism of education exchange affecting China’s export. The study found that studying in China and opening Confucius Institutes significantly promoted China’s export to countries along the line. Among them, Confucius Institutes promote China’s export less than overseas education, and the trade creation effect of overseas education in China is significantly different in different types, regions, and economic development levels. Further research shows that education exchanges can promote China’s export by promoting human capital accumulation in trade partners and establishing internationally friendly relations. Because of this, the international community should actively carry out educational exchanges, enrich exchange forms, improve the level and quality of educational exchanges, and provide international talent support for trade cooperation while promoting the construction of friendly economic and trade relations.Keywords: The belt and roadeducation exchangeconfucius instituteexport AcknowledgmentsWe thank this paper’s anonymous and non-anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments.Disclosure statementThe authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by the 2022 key project of the Hubei Provincial Education Science Plan: Research on the Impact of Higher Education Development on Industrial Structure Optimization in Hubei Province [grant number 2022GA091].This work was also supported by the 2022 Philosophy and Social Sciences Research Guidance Project of Hubei Provincial Department of Education: Evaluation of International Competitiveness of Higher Education and Research on Countermeasures and Suggestions for the Development of Higher Education in Hubei [grant number 22G160].
摘要国际教育交流为两国经贸合作带来了有利条件。本文以“一带一路”沿线54个国家为样本,将“一带一路”教育交流与中国出口联系起来,分析教育交流影响中国出口的内在逻辑机制。研究发现,留学中国和开设孔子学院显著促进了中国对沿线国家的出口。其中,孔子学院对中国出口的促进作用小于海外教育,海外教育对中国的贸易创造效应在不同类型、不同地区、不同经济发展水平上存在显著差异。进一步的研究表明,教育交流可以通过促进贸易伙伴的人力资本积累和建立国际友好关系来促进中国的出口。正因如此,国际社会应积极开展教育交流,丰富交流形式,提高教育交流水平和质量,在促进友好经贸关系建设的同时,为贸易合作提供国际人才支持。关键词:一带一路教育交流;孔子学院;出口感谢本文匿名和非匿名审稿人提出的真知灼见。披露声明作者声明,他们没有已知的竞争经济利益或个人关系,可能会影响本文所报道的工作。项目资助:湖北省教育科学计划2022重点项目:高等教育发展对湖北省产业结构优化的影响研究[批准号:2022GA091]。湖北省教育厅2022年哲学社会科学研究指导项目:高等教育国际竞争力评价与湖北省高等教育发展对策建议研究[批准号:22G160]。
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引用次数: 0
Transfer or Surrender Rural Homestead Land? An Investigation of farmers’ Preferences in China 农地转让还是退让?中国农民偏好调查
Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2266966
Qiujie Zheng, Weiyang Diao, Yonggang Lu, Yunfeng Wang, Guangqing Chi
AbstractWith rapid industrialization and urbanization in China, a large rural population has migrated to cities and left their rural homestead land (RHL) idled. Land use policy on RHL utilization is crucial to the efficient use of land resources. However, due to farmers’ limited knowledge of regulations and lack of participation in rural land governance, their preference is sometimes overlooked in the policy-making process. The purpose of this paper is to examine farmers’ preferences for the two primary RHL utilization programs, i.e., transfer and surrender. We conducted a farmer household survey of 405 households in rural areas in Changchun at Jilin Province, China in 2018 and estimated farmers’ willingness to participate in the mechanisms using a bivariate ordered probit model. Various options under the two mechanisms are also investigated. We find a positive correlation between rural households’ willingness to participate in these two mechanisms. This is the first comprehensive study taking into consideration the correlation and tradeoff in farmers’ choice between the two mechanisms. The results shed light on the heterogeneity of households’ needs and interests in RHL utilization, an important component to be considered in rural development policy-making decisions.Keywords: Rural homestead landfarmers’ preferenceChina Disclosure statementThe authors report there are no competing interests to declare.Notes1 Village collective is a notion traced to the socialist era of agricultural collectivization associated with the Maoist period. Communist rule under Mao redefined the Chinese village as a socialist collective, both an administrative and economic unit. Under collectivization, rural resources were collectively owned, meaning that rural resources were owned not by individual peasants or households, but by “a community body that is seen as the legitimate entity representing the interests of all its constituents” (Kan, Citation2016; Yep, Citation2015).2 The bivariate ordered probit model, even for only two dimensions, does not easily extend to ordered logit model framework due to computation complications (Greene & Hensher, Citation2010). While for multinomial choices, the probit model has limited use due to the need to evaluate multiple integrals of the normal distribution. Instead, the logit model has been used widely in various fields (Greene, Citation2012).3 We also collected 19 observations at a labor market in Changchun and place them in the Other category.4 The survey implementation and data collection were led by the second author whose university does not have an institutional review board for ethics approval of research involving human subjects. The university does not require ethics approval of research. However, to ensure ethical practices, we took certain steps. First, at the beginning of the survey questionnaire, we clearly stated the purpose of the survey and the estimated time needed to complete it. We described that the survey is
摘要随着中国工业化和城镇化的快速发展,大量农村人口向城市迁移,导致农村宅基地闲置。土地利用政策对土地资源的有效利用至关重要。然而,由于农民对法规的了解有限,缺乏对农村土地治理的参与,他们的偏好在政策制定过程中有时会被忽视。本文的目的是考察农民对两种主要土地利用方案的偏好,即转让和放弃。2018年,我们对吉林省长春市农村地区的405户农户进行了农户调查,并利用二元有序probit模型估计了农户参与机制的意愿。研究了两种机制下的各种选择。我们发现农户参与这两种机制的意愿之间存在正相关关系。这是第一个考虑农民在两种机制之间选择的相关性和权衡的综合研究。研究结果揭示了农户在农村土地利用方面的需求和利益的异质性,这是农村发展决策中需要考虑的一个重要组成部分。关键词:农村宅基地农民偏好中国披露声明作者报告无利益竞争申报。注1村集体是一个概念,可以追溯到与毛时代有关的农业集体化的社会主义时代。毛领导下的共产主义统治将中国农村重新定义为一个社会主义集体,既是一个行政单位,也是一个经济单位。在集体化下,农村资源是集体所有的,这意味着农村资源不是由单个农民或家庭所有,而是由“一个被视为代表其所有成员利益的合法实体的社区实体”(Kan, Citation2016;是的,Citation2015)。2二元有序probit模型,即使只有两个维度,由于计算复杂性,也不容易扩展到有序logit模型框架(Greene & Hensher, Citation2010)。而对于多项选择,由于需要评估正态分布的多个积分,probit模型的使用有限。相反,logit模型在各个领域得到了广泛的应用(Greene, Citation2012)我们还在长春的一个劳动力市场收集了19个观察结果,并将它们放在其他类别中调查的实施和数据的收集由第二作者领导,他所在的大学没有一个机构审查委员会来批准涉及人体受试者的研究的伦理批准。这所大学不要求对研究进行伦理批准。然而,为了确保道德规范,我们采取了一些措施。首先,在调查问卷的开始,我们明确地说明了调查的目的和预计完成调查所需的时间。我们说明了调查是匿名的,参与是自愿的,数据的机密性将得到保护。此外,所有调查人员在接触农民并征求他们同意参加调查时都遵循标准化的脚本。在调查开始之前,参与者被要求口头同意样本量是根据统计建模能力和研究预算约束来确定的根据2020年中国第七次人口普查,长春市人口中男性占50.05%,女性占49.94%。0-14岁、15-59岁、60岁及以上人群分别占12.14%、67.01%、20.85%。65岁以上的老人占14.15%。1.01%的人口没有受过教育,20.42%的人受过小学教育,35.75%的人受过初中教育,16.05%的人受过高中教育,22.22%的人受过大学教育。平均受教育年限为10.69年(长春新闻,Citation2021)。由于我们的样本来自长春市的农村地区,我们的样本中受访者的人口统计数据显示出较高的男性比例,家庭成员组成年龄较大,教育水平较低,家庭规模较大,这与农村与城市人口统计差异相一致我们还通过估计一个由两个方程组成的系统,检验了农民转移土地使用权意愿与放弃土地使用权意愿之间的相关性。具体而言,我们在RHL转移意愿方程中纳入农民转让RHL意愿作为解释变量,在RHL转移意愿方程中纳入农民转让意愿作为解释变量,并采用三阶段最小二乘法对联立方程组进行估计。在1%的水平下,转移方程中的投降系数和投降方程中的投降系数均为正且显著,表明两个参与意愿变量之间存在正相关关系。 8由于样本由7个区/地区组成,住房位置可能会影响农民转让或放弃土地的意愿,我们通过在模型中添加位置虚拟变量来进行稳健性检查。我们发现位置虚拟变量的系数是不显著的,并且添加虚拟变量不会对感兴趣的变量的系数产生太大的影响由于二元有序probit模型的边际效应计算比较复杂,我们基于单变量有序probit模型计算边际效应,旨在对影响的大小提供一个近似的估计。本研究由吉林省哲学社会科学规划基金办公室资助(项目编号2018BS20)。
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引用次数: 0
Do Backbone High-Speed Rails Widen the North-South Gap in China? 主干高铁拉大了中国南北差距?
Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2266967
Yanyan Gao, Shunfeng Song, Jun Sun
AbstractThe economic disparity between southern and northern China has widened in the past decade. This article explores the roles of the north-south stretched backbone high-speed rails (HSRs) in the widened north-south economic gap in China. By constructing panel data of 283 cities between 2005 and 2016 and estimating the difference in GDP and per-capita GDP of northern and southern cities before and after the first north-south stretched HSR, we show that the north-south economic gap widened by about 8% as the opening of the Beijing-Shanghai HSR, the first north-south stretched HSR. Further channel analysis reveals that the north-south gaps in population, fixed asset investment, public expenditure, and the relative size of secondary industry to tertiary industry also widened. These results suggest that fast transportation improvement caused by long-distance backbone HSRs can contribute to accelerating the large-scale regional disparity.Keywords: High-speed railnorth-south economic gapChina AcknowledgmentsThe authors thank Miss Lin Zhang at the School of Economic and Management in Southeast University for her excellent research assistance and the funding support from the China National Social Science Foundations (Grant no. 22&ZD066 [Yanyan Gao] and 22BJY036 [Jun Sun]) and the Social Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (Grant no. 22EYB016 [Jun Sun]).Disclosure statementThe authors declare no conflict of interest.Data availability statementThe data and STATA code replicating tables and figures in this article are available from the corresponding author upon request.Notes1 The southern and northern regions of mainland China are mainly divided by Qinling Mountain and the Huai River (see Figure 1).2 See https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1753244091798247208&wfr=spider&for=pc.3 See https://www.163.com/dy/article/GDP7CIOE0519DFFO.html.4 For example, the Jing-Hu HSR connected areas with a total population accounting for about 27% of national population, with 11 cities having a population over one million, with a total of 568 trains in service each day. This HSR line realized a net profit of 6.58 billion RMB in 2015, which increased to 9.5 billion in 2019. It has become the most profitable HSR line in the world. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beijing%E2%80%93Shanghai_high-speed_railway.5 Panel B of Figure 2 is not contradictory to the result in Table B2 (Online Appendix), which shows that northern per-capita GDP is lower than the south. There are two differences. First, Panel B graphs the trends in the mean of logged per-capita GDP, while in Table B2 (Online Appendix) the per-capita GDP is the sum of northern (southern) GDP divided by the sum of northern (southern) population. Second, the northern and southern cities are defined by their centroids rather than simply by provinces used in Table B2 (Online Appendix). However, by graphing the trends in the same way to Table B2 (Online Appendix), i.e., the sum of northern (southern) GDP divided by the sum
摘要近十年来,中国南北方的经济差距不断扩大。本文探讨了南北延伸骨干高铁在中国南北经济差距扩大中的作用。通过构建2005 - 2016年283个城市的面板数据,估算第一条南北高铁开通前后南北城市GDP和人均GDP的差异,我们发现随着第一条南北高铁京沪高铁开通,南北经济差距扩大了约8%。进一步的渠道分析表明,南北在人口、固定资产投资、公共支出、第二产业与第三产业的相对规模等方面的差距也在扩大。这些结果表明,长途骨干高铁带来的交通运输的快速改善会加速大尺度的区域差异。作者感谢东南大学经济与管理学院张琳小姐出色的研究协助和国家社科基金(批准号:no. 5139902)的资助。22&ZD066[高燕燕]和22BJY036[孙军]),江苏省社会科学基金项目(批准号:22EYB016[孙军])。声明作者声明无利益冲突。数据可用性声明本文中的数据和STATA代码复制表和图表可根据要求从通讯作者处获得。注1中国大陆的南北主要以秦岭和淮河为界(见图1)例如,京沪高铁连接的地区总人口约占全国人口的27%,其中有11个城市的人口超过100万,每天共有568列火车在运行。这条高铁线路2015年实现净利润65.8亿元,2019年增至95亿元。它已经成为世界上最赚钱的高铁线路。见https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beijing%E2%80%93Shanghai_high-speed_railway.5图2的B组与表B2(在线附录)的结果并不矛盾,表B2显示北方人均GDP低于南方。有两个不同之处。首先,面板B绘制了记录的人均GDP平均值的趋势图,而在表B2(在线附录)中,人均GDP是北部(南部)GDP之和除以北部(南部)人口之和。其次,北部和南部城市是根据它们的质心来定义的,而不是像表B2(在线附录)那样简单地按省份来定义。然而,通过与表B2(在线附录)相同的方式绘制趋势图,即北部(南部)GDP之和除以北部(南部)人口之和,我们发现与表B2(在线附录)一致的结果,即北部人均GDP低于南部人均GDP。6由于京广高铁比京沪高铁晚一年开通,我们主要以京沪高铁开通来介绍我们的结果。当然,估计的平均差距是与两个高铁相关的。在异质性效应分析中,我们将分离两种hsrs的联合效应虽然没有报道,但可以根据要求获得,如果我们将数据限制在京广高铁连接的省份内,估计会增加到约0.13,这表明这条较长的骨干高铁产生了更大的南北经济分工效应我们还在两个维度上进行了安慰剂测试。首先,我们将京沪高铁开通时间向前推进,并在2011年之前没有主干网高铁开通的年份数据中估算京沪高铁与南方的交互效应。这导致了与图3类似的结果,对GDP的估计微不足道,对人均GDP的估计为负。其次,我们伪造了一个随机south变量,并估计了它与After变量对两个结果的交互作用。结果证实,在假South变量方面无法获得显著的估计。为节省篇幅,我们不报告这些结果,但是,这些结果可根据要求提供根据我们的数据可以计算出,2011年以前北方城市第三产业GDP占比平均为34.8%,比南方城市低1.81个百分点。与此同时,北方城市的二次GDP平均占比为51.03%,比南方城市高出3.81个百分点。但从那时起,北方城市服务业的增长速度就快于南方城市,服务业占GDP的平均比重达到37.45%,与南方几乎持平。
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引用次数: 0
Premature Deindustrialization or Reindustrialization in China’s Latecomer Provinces 中国后发省份过早去工业化或再工业化
Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2266547
Ni Lar, Hiroyuki Taguchi
AbstractThis study investigates whether latecomer provinces in China have experienced premature deindustrialization or reindustrialization by examining the positions of the provincial industry-income nexus using the latecomer index. The latecomer index facilitates the identification of the downward (premature deindustrialization) and upward (reindustrialization) positions of the nexus for latecomer provinces. The empirical analysis reveals that, for the nationwide level, the premature deindustrialization effect remains during the total sample period of 1992–2020 reflecting the initial regime prioritizing eastern coastal industrialization, whereas the pace of the premature deindustrialization is slowed down in the periods of 2002–2020 and 2009–2020 due to a series of industrial policies under the subsequent regime. At the regional level, the reindustrialization impact dominates the premature deindustrialization effect in the eastern and central regions, whereas this effect dominates the reindustrialization impact in the western region. The study identifies the existence of reindustrialization in China in the regional analysis, whereas extant literature on reindustrialization focuses only on European cases.Keywords: Industry-income nexusindustrial policieslatecomer indexpremature deindustrializationreindustrialization Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 See the website: https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519.2 See the website: https://spc.jst.go.jp/statistics/stats_index.html. For the regional classification (eastern, central, and western), also see this website and Appendix A.3 The “industry” is not synonymous with manufacturing because it contains mining and construction as well. However, the industry is usually characterized by manufacturing because of its dominant share.4 UNCTAD (Citation2022) originally traced the industrial policy evolution by dividing the four decades (1978–2018) into three phases: 1978–2001, 2002–2008, and 2009–2019. This study focuses on the latter two phases because the first phase corresponds to the Deng Xiaoping’s reform and opening-up regime.5 Beijing’s GRP per capita is chosen as a denominator in computing the latecomer index because it records the highest level of GRP per capita. However, the choice of denominators does not affect the estimation result (only affects the size of the latecomer index and its coefficient), just because the denominator is, once decided, commonly used in computing the latecomer index of each province.6 The turning point of the inverted U-shaped curve, computed by −θ3/−2 θ4 in Column (a) of Table 3 is approximately 5,000 USD, which is in a reasonable level within the sample range, and comparable to those of Thailand (5,000 USD from Lar & Taguchi, Citation2022) and Indonesia (6,285 USD from Islami & Hastiadi, Citation2020).
摘要本文通过运用后发指数考察各省产业收入联系的位置,考察中国后发省份是否经历了过早的去工业化或再工业化。后发指数有助于识别后发省份关系的下行(过早去工业化)和上行(再工业化)位置。实证分析表明,从全国层面看,1992-2020年总样本期过早去工业化效应持续存在,反映了初期体制优先发展东部沿海地区工业化,而在2002-2020年和2009-2020年期间,由于后续体制下一系列产业政策的影响,过早去工业化的速度有所放缓。在区域层面上,东部和中部地区再工业化影响主导过早去工业化影响,西部地区过早去工业化影响主导再工业化影响。本研究在区域分析中确定了中国再工业化的存在,而现有文献只关注欧洲的再工业化案例。关键词:产业收入关联产业政策后发指数过早去工业化再工业化披露声明作者未发现潜在的利益冲突注1参考网址:https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519.2参考网址:https://spc.jst.go.jp/statistics/stats_index.html。关于地区分类(东部、中部和西部),请参见本网站和附录A.3“工业”不是制造业的同义词,因为它也包括采矿和建筑。然而,由于制造业占主导地位,该行业通常以制造业为特征贸发会议(Citation2022)最初通过将四十年(1978-2018)分为三个阶段来追溯产业政策的演变:1978-2001年、2002-2008年和2009-2019年。之所以选择北京的人均国内生产总值作为计算后发指数的分母,是因为北京的人均国内生产总值水平最高。然而,分母的选择并不影响估计结果(只影响后发指数的大小及其系数),只是因为分母一旦确定,通常用于计算各省的后发指数表3 (a)列中- θ3/ - 2 θ4计算的倒u型曲线拐点约为5,000美元,在样本范围内处于合理水平,与泰国(Lar & Taguchi, Citation2022)和印度尼西亚(Islami & Hastiadi, Citation2020)的拐点相当(5,000美元)。
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引用次数: 0
Notice of Duplicate Publication: “Financial Factors and Financial Crises: Evidence from Financial Statements of Mainland Chinese Firms” 复刊通知:《财务因素与金融危机:来自中国内地企业财务报表的证据》
Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2023.2198466
Khurshid M. Kiani
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引用次数: 1
期刊
The Chinese Economy
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