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Is Great Information Good Enough? Evidence from Physicians as Patients 伟大的信息足够好吗?来自医生作为病人的证据
Michael D. Frakes, J. Gruber, A. Jena
We place an upper bound on the degree to which policies aimed at improving the information deficiencies of patients may lead to greater adherence to clinical guidelines and recommended practices. To do so, we compare the degree of adherence attained by a group of patients that should have the best possible information on health care practices-i.e., physicians as patients-with that attained by a comparable group of non-physician patients, taking various steps to account for unobservable differences between the two groups. Our results suggest that physicians, at best, do only slightly better in adhering to both low- and high-value care guidelines than non-physicians.
我们对旨在改善患者信息缺乏的政策可能导致更严格遵守临床指南和推荐做法的程度设定了上限。为了做到这一点,我们比较了一组患者的依从程度,这些患者应该获得最好的医疗保健实践信息。在美国,医生作为病人——与非医生患者的可比组相比,采取了各种措施来解释两组之间不可观察到的差异。我们的研究结果表明,在坚持低价值和高价值护理指南方面,医生最多只比非医生做得稍微好一点。
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引用次数: 17
Disclosure Policies in All-pay Auctions with Affiliated Abilities 附属于能力的全付费拍卖的披露政策
Pub Date : 2019-06-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3406595
Bo Chen
This paper investigates whether a contest organizer should disclose private information about bidders' abilities in an all-pay auction. Bidders' abilities are affiliated through an underlying state of the world and are accessible by the contest organizer. The organizer decides whether to disclose this information publicly. I find that the revenue ranking between full concealment and full revealing depends on the affiliation of bidders' abilities and the number of bidders. Full concealment renders a higher expected revenue if bidders' abilities are not too much affiliated or if there are two bidders. If the affiliation is too significant and there are more than two bidders, the revenue ranking between the two disclosure policies can hold in either direction. In particular, if the difference between low-ability and high-ability is not too much different and if either the chance to be of low-ability is sufficiently small in any state of the world or the number of bidders is sufficiently large, full disclosure dominates full concealment in terms of expected revenue. However, bidders strictly prefer full disclosure unless the states of the world are equivalent.
本文研究了在全付费拍卖中,竞投方是否应该公开竞投方能力的私人信息。竞标者的能力通过世界的底层状态相关联,竞赛组织者可以访问。主办单位决定是否公开披露此信息。我发现完全隐瞒和完全披露之间的收益排序取决于投标人能力和投标人数量的隶属关系。如果投标人的能力不太相关或有两个投标人,则完全隐瞒会产生更高的预期收入。如果关联关系过于显著,且有两个以上的竞标者,则两种披露政策之间的收入排名可以是任意方向的。特别是,如果低能力和高能力之间的差别不是太大,如果在世界上任何一个国家,低能力的机会足够小,或者投标人的数量足够大,那么在预期收入方面,充分披露比完全隐瞒更重要。然而,竞标者严格倾向于全面披露,除非世界各国的情况相同。
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引用次数: 7
Strategic Financing and Information Revelation Amid Market Competition 市场竞争中的战略融资与信息披露
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3452885
Xinyi Zhao, Guoming Lai, Wenqiang Xiao
In practice, interest expense can account for a large proportion of firms' costs, while the interest rate is often influenced by a firm's market prospect. In the presence of information asymmetry, a firm may have an incentive to borrow a larger amount, thereby signaling a high prospect to the lenders. On the other hand, such market confidence, if publicly shown, may stimulate competitors to respond more aggressively, which may incentivize the firm to instead borrow a smaller amount. Motivated by such observations, we investigate the determinants of a firm's financing and information revelation strategy. First, under public financing where the borrowing information is openly accessible, we find that when the firm's internal capital level and the market competition intensity are both low, the firm over-finances, if the market prospect is high, so as to credibly reveal its information to lower the interest rate. On the contrary, when the firm's internal capital level and the competition intensity are both high, the firm under-finances, if the market prospect is low, to credibly signal its information to alleviate competition. In the remaining scenarios, these two opposing incentives are surprisingly neutralized -- the firm neither imitates nor signals -- and the first-best solution is attained. As such, rather counter-intuitively, we show that an increase of the internal capital level can sometimes even be harmful for the firm while benefiting the competitor, and a more competitive market may not always be detrimental. Second, we investigate when the firm may seek private financing so that the borrowing information is not publicly revealed. A classical signaling game arises between the firm and the lender, while the competitor relies on the prior information to make its response. We find that private financing emerges as an equilibrium outcome only when the firm's internal capital level is sufficiently high and the competition intensity is intermediate.
在实践中,利息费用占企业成本的很大比例,而利率往往受到企业市场前景的影响。在信息不对称的情况下,企业可能有动机借更多的钱,从而向贷款人发出高前景的信号。另一方面,这种市场信心,如果公开表现出来,可能会刺激竞争对手做出更积极的反应,这可能会激励公司转而借更少的钱。在这种观察的激励下,我们研究了企业融资和信息披露策略的决定因素。首先,在借款信息可公开获取的公开融资条件下,我们发现当企业的内部资本水平和市场竞争强度都较低时,如果市场前景较高,企业会过度融资,以可靠地披露其信息以降低利率。相反,当企业的内部资本水平和竞争强度都较高时,如果市场前景较低,则企业融资不足,难以可靠地发出其信息以缓解竞争。在其他情况下,这两种相反的激励出人意料地被抵消了——公司既不模仿也不发出信号——并获得了最佳解决方案。因此,与直觉相反,我们表明,内部资本水平的增加有时甚至对公司有害,而对竞争对手有利,而更具竞争力的市场可能并不总是有害的。其次,我们调查公司何时可能寻求私人融资,以使借款信息不被公开披露。一个经典的信号博弈出现在公司和出借人之间,而竞争者依赖于先验信息做出反应。研究发现,只有当企业内部资本水平足够高且竞争强度处于中等水平时,私人融资才会作为均衡结果出现。
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引用次数: 5
Neutral Bargaining in Financial Over-The-Counter Markets 金融场外交易市场中的中性议价
Pub Date : 2019-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3294396
Jin Yeub Kim
I study bargaining over prices between two investors in financial over-the-counter markets with asymmetric information. I focus on environments in which an asset owner has private information about both her liquidity state and asset quality, and so a buyer is uncertain about the owner's true motive for selling--whether it is because of a liquidity need or because of a low asset valuation. I apply the concept of neutral bargaining solution to characterize the prices at which the investors trade with each other. I illustrate the implications for asset prices in over-the-counter markets where private information may be prevalent.
我研究的是信息不对称的金融场外市场中两个投资者之间的价格讨价还价。我关注的环境是,资产所有者对其流动性状况和资产质量都有私人信息,因此买方不确定所有者出售资产的真正动机——是出于流动性需求,还是因为资产估值较低。我运用中性议价解决方案的概念来描述投资者相互交易时的价格。我举例说明了私人信息可能普遍存在的场外交易市场对资产价格的影响。
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引用次数: 5
(Interim) Bayesian efficiency implies two-agent Bayesian implementation (临时)贝叶斯效率意味着双代理贝叶斯实现
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3134454
Ville Korpela, M. Lombardi
We study the relationship between two-agent implementation problems and the notion
of interim efficiency due to Holmström and Myerson (1983) in Bayesian environments
with private values and independent types. We present a general property, Bayesian
efficiency, and show that it is sufficient for implementation of social choice functions.
We also show that this condition is sufficient for implementation of social choice sets
under a weak domain restriction - in particular, no economic condition is required. As
an application, we show that the generalized two-person Nash bargaining solution, due
to Myerson (1984), is Bayesian efficient.
我们研究了在具有私有值和独立类型的贝叶斯环境中,由Holmström和Myerson(1983)提出的两代理实现问题与中间效率概念之间的关系。我们提出了一个一般性质,贝叶斯效率,并证明它足以实现社会选择函数。我们还证明了这一条件是在弱域限制下实现社会选择集的充分条件,特别是不需要经济条件。在应用中,我们证明了广义的两人纳什议价解,由于Myerson(1984),是贝叶斯有效的。
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引用次数: 0
Relinquishing Riches: Auctions vs Informal Negotiations in Texas Oil and Gas Leasing 放弃财富:拍卖与德州油气租赁的非正式谈判
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3363682
Thomas R. Covert, R. Sweeney
This paper compares outcomes from informally negotiated oil and gas leases to those awarded via centralized auction. We focus on Texas, where legislative decisions in the early twentieth century assigned thousands of proximate parcels to different mineral allocation mechanisms. We show that during the fracking boom, which began unexpectedly decades later, auctioned leases generated at least 55 percent larger up-front payments and 40 percent more output than negotiated leases did. These results suggest large potential gains from employing centralized, formal mechanisms in markets that traditionally allocate in an unstructured fashion, including the broader $3 trillion market for privately owned minerals. (JEL D44, L71, Q35)
本文比较了非正式谈判的石油和天然气租赁与通过集中拍卖获得的结果。我们关注的是德克萨斯州,20世纪初的立法决定将数千个邻近的包裹分配给不同的矿物分配机制。我们的研究表明,在数十年后出人意料地开始的水力压裂热潮中,拍卖租赁产生的预付款至少比谈判租赁高出55%,产出比谈判租赁高出40%。这些结果表明,在传统上以非结构化方式配置的市场中采用集中的正式机制,包括更广泛的3万亿美元私人矿产市场,可能会带来巨大的收益。(j . 44, 71, 35)
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引用次数: 7
Who to share information with? A model of strategic diffusion in social networks 与谁分享信息?社会网络中的战略扩散模型
Pub Date : 2019-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3390062
Shomak Chakrabarti
I study information diffusion in a social network where a third party can control the precision of information as well as who initially receives information. Applications include spreading of news by digital media outlets, lobbyists persuading senators to contribute to a project and others. A designer engages in a bayesian persuasion game with multiple agents, but is constrained to send information privately to a subset of agents. The agents can communicate this information to each other through links in a social network. The designer relies on this word-of-mouth communication channel to diffuse information. The optimal precision of information sent by the designer reflects a fundamental tradeoff: precise information increases diffusion, but reduces the designer’s ability to manipulate the agents’ beliefs to- wards his objective. The optimal seeding strategy involves choosing an agent with the highest “influence”, a novel centrality measure that is determined in endogenously by information accuracy and the network structure. As preferences become more diverse, I show that there exists equilibrium with sub- optimal spreading where the designer caters only to agents relatively more aligned towards his objective.
我研究的是社交网络中的信息扩散,在社交网络中,第三方可以控制信息的准确性,也可以控制最先接收信息的人。应用包括通过数字媒体传播新闻,游说人士说服参议员为某个项目捐款等。设计师与多个代理进行贝叶斯说服博弈,但被限制私下向代理子集发送信息。代理可以通过社交网络中的链接相互传递这些信息。设计师依靠这种口碑传播渠道来传播信息。设计者发送的信息的最优精度反映了一个基本的权衡:精确的信息增加了传播,但降低了设计者操纵代理人的信念以实现其目标的能力。最优播种策略涉及选择具有最高“影响力”的代理,这是一种新颖的中心性度量,由信息精度和网络结构内生地决定。当偏好变得更加多样化时,我表明存在着次最优传播的均衡,设计者只迎合相对更接近他的目标的代理。
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引用次数: 0
Pre-Match Investment Competition with Bounded Transfers 有界转移的赛前投资竞争
Pub Date : 2019-01-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3326093
Seungjin Han
This paper studies pre-match investment competition with upper and lower bounds on feasible transfers to sellers in a general signaling environment, where the types of buyers and sellers are private information and the surplus may depend on both types and investments. Bounded transfers create methodological challenges - e.g., externalities in the bottom match, limits of a separate investment reward (or market utility) schedule for each side - that would be present even in a large market. To overcome such challenges, this paper proposes a notion of equilibrium that incorporates strategic behavior of a continuum of agents. Given our notion of equilibrium with bounded transfers, our model explains remarkably well why sellers and buyers in the bottom tail of the match distribution are stuck in a vicious cycle of a rat race, and how stars who stand out from the rest endogenously arise through pre-match investment competition.
本文研究了一般信号环境下具有可行转移到卖方的上界和下界的匹配前投资竞争问题,其中买方和卖方的类型都是私人信息,盈余可能取决于类型和投资。有限转移带来了方法论上的挑战——例如,底部匹配中的外部性,双方单独投资回报(或市场效用)时间表的限制——即使在大市场中也会存在。为了克服这些挑战,本文提出了一个均衡的概念,它包含了一个连续体的战略行为。考虑到我们的有限转移均衡概念,我们的模型非常好地解释了为什么比赛分布底部尾部的卖家和买家陷入了恶性循环的激烈竞争,以及从其他明星中脱颖而出的明星是如何通过赛前投资竞争内生产生的。
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引用次数: 0
The Limits of Meritocracy 精英政治的局限性
Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3216950
J. Morgan, Justin Tumlinson, Felix Várdy
We show that too much meritocracy, modeled as accuracy of performance ranking in contests, can be a bad thing: in contests with homogeneous agents, it reduces output and is Pareto inefficient. In contests with sufficiently heterogeneous agents, discouragement and complacency effects further reduce the benefits of meritocracy. Perfect meritocracy may be optimal only for intermediate levels of heterogeneity.
我们的研究表明,过多的精英主义(以竞赛中表现排名的准确性为模型)可能是一件坏事:在具有同质代理的竞赛中,它会减少产出,并且是帕累托低效的。在与充分异质的主体竞争时,气馁和自满的影响进一步降低了精英管理的好处。完美的精英管理可能只对中等水平的异质性是最优的。
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引用次数: 0
On the Social Value of Publicly Disclosed Information and Environmental Regulation 信息公开的社会价值与环境规制
Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3510743
J. Elnaboulsi, Wassim Daher, Yiğit Sağlam
Abstract This paper presents an analysis of environmental policy in imperfectly competitive market with publicly disclosed and privately-held information about costs. We examine the potential asymmetry-reducing role of disclosure and its impact on setting environmental taxes. From a policy perspective, our findings show that disclosure with verifiable reports, is a valuable public good, provides greater transparency in the market, and is generally efficiency enhancing. Results suggest that access to publicly disclosed information enables the fine-tuning of the tax rules towards specific environmental circumstances and improves the ability of the regulator to levy firm-specific environmental taxes. Further, while we do not attempt to analyze the exchange of information process between players, our findings show that, despite its advantages, exogenously disclosed information can be double-edged sword since it may also produce anticompetitive effects by facilitating collusive behavior. Information sharing between firms may occur and thus lead to a superior outcome in terms of industry output and emissions, which undermines environmental policy performance.
摘要本文分析了不完全竞争市场中公开披露和私人持有成本信息的环境政策。我们研究了信息披露的潜在不对称减少作用及其对设定环境税的影响。从政策角度来看,我们的研究结果表明,以可核实的报告进行披露是一种有价值的公共产品,可以提高市场的透明度,总体上提高效率。结果表明,公开披露信息的获取使得税收规则能够针对特定的环境情况进行微调,并提高监管者征收企业特定环境税的能力。此外,虽然我们没有试图分析参与者之间的信息交换过程,但我们的研究结果表明,尽管有优势,外生披露的信息也可能是一把双刃剑,因为它也可能通过促进串通行为而产生反竞争效应。企业之间可能会出现信息共享,从而导致工业产出和排放方面的优越结果,这破坏了环境政策的绩效。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
ERN: Other Microeconomics: Asymmetric & Private Information (Topic)
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