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Application of a New Fuzzy Logic Model Known as "SMRGT" for Estimating Flow Coefficient Rate 一种新的模糊逻辑模型“SMRGT”在估计流量系数率中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-03-10 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1225795
Ayşe Yeter GÜNAL, Ruya MEHDİ
Since we all have our own set of limitations when it comes to perceiving the world and reasoning profoundly, we are constantly met with uncertainty as a result of a lack of information (lexical impression, incompleteness), as well as specific measurement inaccuracies. It has been found that uncertainty, which shows up as ambiguity, is the root cause of complexity, which is everywhere in the real world. Most of the uncertainty in civil engineering systems comes from the fact that the constraints (parameters) are hard to understand and are described in a vague way. The ambiguity comes from a number of sources, including physical arbitrariness, statistical uncertainty due to using limited information to estimate these characteristics, and model uncertainty due to using overly simplified methods and idealized depictions of actual performances. Thus, It is better to combine fuzzy set theory and fuzzy logic. Fuzzy logic is well-suited to modeling the indeterminacy and ambiguity that result from multiple factors and a lack of data. In order to improve upon a previous predictive model, this paper makes use of a smart model built on a fuzzy logic system (FLS). Precipitation, temperature, humidity, slope, and land use data were all taken into account as input variables in the fuzzy model. Toprak's original explanation of the simple membership function and fuzzy rules generation technique (SMRGT) was based on the fuzzy-Mamdani methodology, and used the flow coefficient as its output. The model's results were compared to available data. The following factors were considered in the comparison: 1) The maximum, minimum, mean, standard deviation, skewness, variation, and correlation coefficients are the seven statistical parameters. 2) Four types of error criteria: Mean Absolute Relative Error (MARE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). 3) Scatter diagram.
因为在深刻地感知世界和推理时,我们都有自己的一套局限性,我们经常会因为缺乏信息(词汇印象、不完整)以及特定测量的不准确性而遇到不确定性。人们已经发现,表现为模棱两可的不确定性是复杂性的根源,而复杂性在现实世界中无处不在。土木工程系统的不确定性主要来自于约束条件(参数)难以理解和描述模糊。模糊性来自许多来源,包括物理随意性,由于使用有限的信息来估计这些特征而导致的统计不确定性,以及由于使用过度简化的方法和理想化的实际性能描述而导致的模型不确定性。因此,最好将模糊集合理论与模糊逻辑相结合。模糊逻辑非常适合于建模由多因素和缺乏数据引起的不确定性和模糊性。为了改进已有的预测模型,本文采用了基于模糊逻辑系统的智能模型。在模糊模型中,降水、温度、湿度、坡度和土地利用数据都作为输入变量。Toprak最初对简单隶属函数和模糊规则生成技术(SMRGT)的解释是基于fuzzy- mamdani方法,并使用流量系数作为其输出。该模型的结果与现有数据进行了比较。比较考虑以下因素:1)最大、最小、均值、标准差、偏度、变异、相关系数为7个统计参数。2)四种误差标准:平均绝对相对误差(MARE)、均方误差(MSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)。3)散点图。
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引用次数: 0
Laboratory Modeling and Analysis of Slopes of Different Geometry Under the Effect of Precipitation 降水作用下不同几何坡度的室内模拟与分析
Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1191246
Mert Takci, Inci Develioglu, H. F. Pulat, H. Demi̇rci̇
Back stability analysis, in-lab testing, and field tests may all be used to assess the behavior of stability of slopes. Each of these approaches has benefits and drawbacks compared to one another. Amongst these approaches, laboratory modeling stands out with its ability to prepare identical samples, keep external conditions under control, and measure deformations precisely. In this study, laboratory-based slope models at 1(Horizontal)/1(Vertical), 2/3, and 1/3 angles including the effects of precipitation and external loading were created. The results of these models were compared with those of the Plaxis 2D software. First, models were built using highly permeable cohesionless coarse-grained soils, and mixtures containing high plasticity clay (bentonite) at different rates were then prepared to investigate the effect of fine-grained soils on stability. Laboratory tests such as sieve analysis, specific gravity, consistency limits, Standard Proctor, and direct shear were used to assess the geotechnical index properties of soils. Incremental surcharge loads were placed on the slope models and surface deformations, and local and general collapses under the effect of precipitation were observed. Laboratory model results highlighted that the fines content had a non-negligible effect on stability. When the slope behaviors were examined, it was observed that the models with a 1/3 slope had more severe local fractures and collapses. The stability of the slope is negatively affected when bentonite content in soil mixtures rises. The results of Plaxis 2D analysis are compatible with those of laboratory model tests and the safety factors obtained from Plaxis 2D range from 0.98 to 11.4.
后稳定性分析、室内试验和现场试验均可用于评估边坡的稳定性行为。每种方法都有各自的优点和缺点。在这些方法中,实验室建模以其制备相同样品,控制外部条件和精确测量变形的能力而脱颖而出。在本研究中,建立了1(水平)/1(垂直)、2/3和1/3角度的实验室斜坡模型,包括降水和外部荷载的影响。这些模型的结果与Plaxis 2D软件的结果进行了比较。首先,采用高渗透性无黏性粗粒土建立模型,然后制备不同掺量的高塑性粘土(膨润土)混合物,研究细粒土对稳定性的影响。实验室测试,如筛分析、比重、稠度限制、标准普罗克特和直接剪切被用来评估土壤的岩土指标特性。在边坡模型和地表变形上施加增量附加荷载,观测降水作用下的局部崩塌和全面崩塌。实验室模型结果强调,细粒含量对稳定性有不可忽略的影响。在对边坡行为进行检测时,发现1/3坡度的模型出现了更严重的局部断裂和崩塌。混合土中膨润土含量的增加对边坡的稳定性有不利影响。Plaxis 2D分析结果与实验室模型试验结果一致,得到的安全系数范围为0.98 ~ 11.4。
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引用次数: 0
A combined approach of base and meta learners for hybrid system 混合系统基础学习器与元学习器的结合方法
Pub Date : 2023-01-15 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1007508
Abdul Ahad ABRO, Waqas Ahmed SIDDIQUE, Mir Sajjad Hussain TALPUR, Awais Khan JUMANİ, Erkan YAŞAR
The ensemble learning method is considered a meaningful yet challenging task. To enhance the performance of binary classification and predictive analysis, this paper proposes an effective ensemble learning approach by applying multiple models to produce efficient and effective outcomes. In these experimental studies, three base learners, J48, Multilayer Perceptron (MP), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are being utilized. Moreover, two meta-learners, Bagging and Rotation Forest are being used in this analysis. Firstly, to produce effective results and capture productive data, the base learner, the J48 decision tree is aggregated with the rotation forest. Secondly, machine learning and ensemble learning classification algorithms along with the five UCI Datasets are being applied to progress the robustness of the system. Whereas, the recommended mechanism is evaluated by implementing five performance standards concerning the accuracy, AUC (Area Under Curve), precision, recall and F-measure values. In this regard, extensive strategies and various approaches were being studied and applied to obtain improved results from the current literature; however, they were insufficient to provide successful results. We present experimental results which demonstrate the efficiency of our approach to well-known competitive approaches. This method can be applied to image identification and machine learning problems, such as binary classification.
集成学习方法被认为是一项有意义但具有挑战性的任务。为了提高二元分类和预测分析的性能,本文提出了一种有效的集成学习方法,通过应用多个模型来产生高效和有效的结果。在这些实验研究中,使用了三种基本学习器,J48,多层感知器(MP)和支持向量机(SVM)。此外,在此分析中还使用了Bagging和Rotation Forest两个元学习器。首先,为了产生有效的结果并捕获生产数据,将基础学习器、J48决策树与旋转森林进行聚合。其次,应用机器学习和集成学习分类算法以及五个UCI数据集来提高系统的鲁棒性。然而,推荐的机制通过实施五个性能标准来评估,包括准确性、曲线下面积(AUC)、精密度、召回率和f测量值。在这方面,正在研究和应用广泛的战略和各种方法,以便从目前的文献中获得更好的结果;然而,它们不足以提供成功的结果。我们给出的实验结果表明,我们的方法比已知的竞争方法更有效。这种方法可以应用于图像识别和机器学习问题,如二值分类。
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引用次数: 2
Machine Learning-Based Lung Cancer Diagnosis 基于机器学习的肺癌诊断
Pub Date : 2022-12-27 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1180931
Mahmut Dirik
Cancer is one of the leading health problems occurring in various organs and tissues of the body and its incidence is increasing in the world. Lung cancer is one of the deadliest types of cancer. Due to its worldwide prevalence, increasing number of cases and deadly consequences, early detection of lung cancer, as with all other cancers, greatly increases the chances of survival. As with all other diseases, the diagnosis of cancer becomes possible after the appearance of various symptoms through the examinations of specialists. The recognizable symptoms of lung cancer include shortness of breath, coughing, wheezing, jaundice in the fingers, chest pain and difficulty swallowing. The diagnosis is made by an expert on site based on these symptoms and additional tests. The aim of this study is to detect the disease at an earlier stage based on the symptoms present, to assess more cases with less time and cost, and to achieve results in new situations that are as successful or even faster than those of human experts by deriving them from existing data using various algorithms. The goal is to develop an automated model that can detect early-stage lung cancer based on machine learning methods. The developed model includes 9 different machine learning algorithms (NB, LR, DT, RF, GB, SVM). The success of the classification algorithms used was evaluated using the metrics of accuracy, sensitivity and precision calculated with the parameters of the confusion matrix. The results obtained show that the proposed model can detect cancer diagnosis with a maximum accuracy of 91%. The application of this model will help medical practitioners to develop an automated and reliable system that can detect lung cancer. The proposed interdisciplinary method can also be applied to other types of cancer.
癌症是发生在人体各器官和组织中的主要健康问题之一,其发病率在世界范围内呈上升趋势。肺癌是最致命的癌症之一。由于肺癌在世界范围内流行,病例数量不断增加,后果致命,因此与所有其他癌症一样,早期发现肺癌可大大增加生存机会。与所有其他疾病一样,通过专家的检查,在出现各种症状后,癌症的诊断成为可能。可识别的肺癌症状包括呼吸短促、咳嗽、喘息、手指黄疸、胸痛和吞咽困难。诊断由现场专家根据这些症状和其他测试做出。这项研究的目的是根据目前的症状在早期阶段发现疾病,以更少的时间和成本评估更多的病例,并通过使用各种算法从现有数据中得出结果,在新情况下取得与人类专家一样成功甚至更快的结果。目标是开发一种基于机器学习方法可以检测早期肺癌的自动化模型。该模型包含9种不同的机器学习算法(NB、LR、DT、RF、GB、SVM)。使用混淆矩阵参数计算的准确度、灵敏度和精密度指标来评估所用分类算法的成功。结果表明,该模型对肿瘤的诊断准确率最高可达91%。该模型的应用将有助于医生开发一种自动化、可靠的肺癌检测系统。所提出的跨学科方法也可以应用于其他类型的癌症。
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引用次数: 1
FRICTION STIR WELDING: PROCESS AND APPLICATIONS 搅拌摩擦焊:工艺及应用
Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1107210
Emre Kaygusuz
Lightweight and durable materials such as aluminum alloys are widely used in sectors such as defense industry, aerospace industry, automotive industry, and high-speed train manufacturing. Some of these materials cannot be welded by conventional methods due to their high thermal conductivity and low melting point. In welding processes, the material properties are expected to be as close as possible to base material. Friction stir welding (FSW) is a joining method that provides welding below the melting point of materials that cannot be welded by conventional methods or where the welding process causes the mechanical structure of the material to deteriorate. In this study, FSW application, advantages and disadvantages and usage areas of friction stir welding were examined.
铝合金等轻质耐用材料广泛应用于国防工业、航空航天工业、汽车工业和高速列车制造等领域。其中一些材料由于其高导热性和低熔点而不能用传统方法焊接。在焊接过程中,材料的性能被期望尽可能接近基材。搅拌摩擦焊(FSW)是一种连接方法,它可以在传统方法无法焊接的材料的熔点以下或焊接过程导致材料机械结构恶化的地方提供焊接。本文综述了搅拌摩擦焊的应用、优缺点及应用领域。
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引用次数: 0
A numerical study on the low-velocity impact response of hybrid composite materials 杂化复合材料低速冲击响应的数值研究
Pub Date : 2022-11-19 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1191785
Uzay Gezer, B. Demir, Yusuf Kepir, Alper Günöz, Memduh Kara
Composite materials are advanced engineering materials with superior properties to traditional materials. One of the most important disadvantages is the high cost of composite materials. Therefore, producing composite materials from the first to the last stage is a very important process. Homogenization is the most important parameter in production since composites contain more than one material type in their structure. In addition, composite structures are sensitive materials against low-velocity impacts. In this study, the effect of reinforcement material combination and stacking sequence on mechanical properties used in the production of composite materials was investigated by low-velocity impact simulations using LS-DYNA software. The mass of the 12 mm diameter spherical impactor used in the analyzes was determined as 10 kg and low-velocity impact tests were applied at 20 J, 30 J and 40 J energy levels. The composite samples were modeled with 180x100mm dimensions and the contact between the impactor and the sample was made from the center of the composite structure. Numerical analyzes were performed using the Tsai-Wu damage criterion in the LS-DYNA software, and material properties were defined using the "Mat_Enhanced_Composite_Damage (MAT 055)" material card.
复合材料是一种性能优于传统材料的先进工程材料。最重要的缺点之一是复合材料的高成本。因此,生产复合材料从第一阶段到最后阶段是一个非常重要的过程。均质化是生产中最重要的参数,因为复合材料在其结构中包含多种材料类型。此外,复合材料结构是对低速冲击敏感的材料。本研究采用LS-DYNA软件进行低速冲击模拟,研究了增强材料组合和堆叠顺序对复合材料生产中使用的力学性能的影响。分析中使用的直径为12 mm的球形冲击器的质量确定为10 kg,低速冲击试验分别在20 J、30 J和40 J能量水平下进行。复合材料样品的尺寸为180x100mm,冲击器与样品的接触从复合材料结构的中心进行。采用LS-DYNA软件中的Tsai-Wu损伤准则进行数值分析,采用“Mat_Enhanced_Composite_Damage (MAT 055)”材料卡定义材料性能。
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引用次数: 0
THE EFFECT OF CUMIN BLACK (NIGELLA SATIVA) AS BIO-BASED FILLER ON RHEOLOGICAL AND MECHANICAL PROPERTIES OF EPDM COMPOSITES 小茴香黑作为生物基填料对三元乙丙橡胶复合材料流变学和力学性能的影响
Pub Date : 2022-11-16 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1180753
A. Güngör
One of the significant problems of our time and future is environmental pollution. There are many factors that cause environmental pollution. The main reasons are waste material. With rapid industrialization and increasing population, production, consumption and service activities have increased. Waste management is a management process that includes minimization, separate collection at source, intermediate storage, pre-treatment, the establishment of waste transfer centers, recovery and disposal when necessary, which are qualified as outputs as a result of activities such as production, application and consumption. The purpose of waste management is to ensure the management of wastes generated by human action without harming the environment and human health. In this context, re-evaluation of agricultural and aquaculture products that turn into waste after being used as a product is important both in terms of economic and environmental pollution. Herein, the use of cumin black pulp, which is waste at the end of black seed oil production, as a bio-based filler material in EPDM was examined. Accordingly, the effects of cumin black pulp added to the EPDM matrix at different content on the rheological, mechanical and crosslinking degree of EPDM were determined. With the use of 10 phr cumin black pulp, the mechanical and rheological properties of EPDM and the degree of crosslinking increased. In addition, it was revealed that the vulcanization parameters were also enhanced. Consequently, it has been concluded as a result of the analysis that the waste cumin black pulp can be used as a filling material in the EPDM matrix. Thus, it has been seen that a product in the state of waste can be recovered and become an economic value.
环境污染是我们这个时代和未来的一个重大问题。造成环境污染的因素有很多。主要原因是材料浪费。随着工业化的快速发展和人口的增加,生产、消费和服务活动都在增加。废物管理是一个管理过程,包括尽量减少,在源头单独收集,中间储存,预处理,建立废物转移中心,必要时回收和处置,这些都是生产,应用和消费等活动的合格产出。废物管理的目的是确保对人类活动产生的废物进行管理,而不损害环境和人类健康。在此背景下,对作为产品使用后变成废物的农产品和水产养殖产品进行重新评价,无论是从经济角度还是从环境污染角度来说都很重要。本文研究了利用黑籽油生产后期的废渣孜然黑浆作为EPDM的生物基填充材料。据此,测定了在EPDM基质中添加不同含量的孜然黑浆对EPDM流变学、力学和交联度的影响。加入10phr孜然黑浆后,EPDM的力学、流变性能和交联度均有所提高。此外,硫化参数也有所提高。因此,通过分析得出,废孜然黑浆可以作为EPDM基质的填充材料。由此可见,一个处于废弃状态的产品是可以被回收利用的,并成为一种经济价值。
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引用次数: 0
A comparative study to estimate the mode I fracture toughness of rocks using several soft computing techniques 用几种软计算技术估算岩石I型断裂韧性的比较研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-23 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1120669
E. Köken, Tümay Kadakci̇ Koca
Fracture toughness is an important phenomenon to reveal the actual strength of fractured rock materials. It is, therefore, crucial to use the fracture toughness models principally for simulating the performance of fractured rock medium. In this study, the mode-I fracture toughness (KIC) was investigated using several soft computing techniques. For this purpose, an extensive literature survey was carried out to obtain a comprehensive database that includes simple and widely used mechanical rock parameters such as uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) and Brazilian tensile strength (BTS). Several soft computing techniques such as artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), gene expression programming (GEP), and multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) were attempted to reveal the availability of these methods to estimate the KIC. Among these techniques, it was determined that ANN presents the best prediction capability. The correlation of determination value (R2) for the proposed ANN model is 0.90, showing its relative success. In this manner, the present study can be declared a case study, indicating the applicability of several soft computing techniques for the evaluation of KIC. However, the number of samples and independent variables should be increased to improve the established predictive models in future studies.
断裂韧性是反映断裂岩石材料实际强度的重要现象。因此,主要使用断裂韧性模型来模拟破裂岩石介质的性能是至关重要的。本文采用几种软计算技术研究了i型断裂韧性(KIC)。为此,进行了广泛的文献调查,以获得一个全面的数据库,其中包括简单且广泛使用的岩石力学参数,如单轴抗压强度(UCS)和巴西抗拉强度(BTS)。利用人工神经网络(ANN)、自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)、基因表达编程(GEP)和多元自适应回归样条(MARS)等软计算技术,揭示了这些方法估计KIC的有效性。在这些技术中,人工神经网络的预测能力最好。所提出的人工神经网络模型的判定值(R2)的相关系数为0.90,表明该模型相对成功。通过这种方式,本研究可以被宣布为案例研究,表明几种软计算技术对KIC评估的适用性。但是,在今后的研究中,还需要增加样本和自变量的数量来完善已经建立的预测模型。
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引用次数: 2
MODELING OF DAILY GROUNDWATER LEVEL USING DEEP LEARNING NEURAL NETWORKS 利用深度学习神经网络对日地下水位进行建模
Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1169908
M. M. Othman
Groundwater is an essential water source, becoming more vital due to shortages in available surface water resources. Hence, monitoring groundwater levels can show the amount of water available to extract and use for various purposes. However, the groundwater system is naturally complex, and we need models to simulate it. Therefore, we employed a deep learning model called CNN-biLSTM neural networks for modeling grounding, and the data was obtained from USGS. The data included daily groundwater levels from 2002 to 2021, and the data was divided into 95% for training and 5% for teasing. Besides, three deep CNN-biLSTM models were employed using three different algorithms (SGDM, ADAM, and RMSprop. Also, Bayesian optimization was used to optimize parameters such as the number of biLSTM layers and the number of biLSTM units. The model's performance was based on Spearman's Rank-Order Correlation (r), and the model with SGDM showed the best results compared to other models in this study. Finally, the CNN model with LSTM can simulate time series data effectively.
地下水是一种重要的水源,由于可用地表水资源的短缺,地下水变得更加重要。因此,监测地下水位可以显示可供提取和用于各种目的的水量。然而,地下水系统自然是复杂的,我们需要模型来模拟它。因此,我们采用CNN-biLSTM神经网络深度学习模型对接地进行建模,数据来源于USGS。数据包括2002年至2021年的每日地下水位,数据分为95%用于培训,5%用于戏弄。此外,采用三种不同的算法(SGDM、ADAM和RMSprop)构建了三个深度CNN-biLSTM模型。采用贝叶斯优化方法对biLSTM层数、biLSTM单元数等参数进行优化。模型的性能基于Spearman's Rank-Order Correlation (r),与本研究的其他模型相比,采用SGDM的模型效果最好。最后,采用LSTM的CNN模型可以有效地模拟时间序列数据。
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引用次数: 0
Temperature series analysis of the Hirfanli Dam Basin with the Mann-Kendall and Sequential Mann-Kendall tests 利用Mann-Kendall和序贯Mann-Kendall试验分析Hirfanli大坝流域的温度序列
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.31127/tuje.1145716
Utku Zeybekoğlu
The effects of global climate change on hydrological and meteorological variables are increasing day by day. Therefore, hydro-meteorological parameters should be examined carefully. In this study, the effects of global climate change on the Hirfanli Dam Basin temperature series were investigated using the Mann-Kendall Test and Sequential Mann–Kendall Test. The annual mean temperature series of six stations recorded between 1965 and 2017 were analyzed and evaluated. It has been determined that the annual mean temperature has increased throughout the basin and significant increases started since the 1990s. Researches analysing the effects of global climate change on hydro-meteorological parameters related to the Hirfanli Dam Basin should be increased.
全球气候变化对水文和气象变量的影响日益增加。因此,水文气象参数应仔细审查。本文采用Mann-Kendall检验和序贯Mann-Kendall检验研究了全球气候变化对Hirfanli坝流域温度序列的影响。对1965—2017年6个台站的年平均气温序列进行了分析和评价。结果表明,整个流域的年平均气温呈上升趋势,且自20世纪90年代以来开始显著上升。全球气候变化对Hirfanli坝流域水文气象参数影响的研究应进一步加强。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences
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