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Fusion of machine learning models using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for thymoma risk prediction: a multicenter analysis. 模糊综合评价融合机器学习模型用于胸腺瘤风险预测:多中心分析。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02493-7
Wei Wang, Hanyi Zhang, Wei Liu

Thymoma, a tumor originating from thymic epithelial cells, can have its prognosis significantly improved through early risk assessment. We proposed a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation fusion model (FCE-FM) to assess tumor risk. In this retrospective study, we enrolled 286 thymoma patients from two centers between 2018 and 2024 and partitioned the study cohorts into a training set (n = 196), an internal test set (n = 50), and an external test set (n = 40). We developed a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation-based fusion model to predict tumor risk using demographics, radiomic and multi-planar deep features. The FCE-FM integrates five base classification models(Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, XGBoost, LightGBM, and GBDT) via fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and triangular membership function techniques. Feature selection was performed sequentially using Spearman rank correlation followed by LASSO regression. A total of 26 deep learning features (5 transverse, 13 sagittal, and 8 coronal planar features) and 4 radiomic features, along with gender, were identified to construct the models. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy metrics.The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) methodology was utilized to rank feature importance. The FCE-FM model exhibited superior predictive performance, achieving AUC values of 0.982 (95% CI 0.964-0.996), 0.927 (95% CI 0.847-0.990), and 0.895 (95% CI 0.771-0.992) on the training, internal test, and external test sets, respectively. Corresponding accuracies were 0.949, 0.860, and 0.800 across these datasets. Notably, the model consistently outperformed five baseline classifiers in terms of AUC performance on both internal and external validation sets. The FCE-FM model exhibited high stability and accuracy in multi-center validation, demonstrating its robustness. This interpretable framework offers clinicians a reliable early warning tool for tumor risk assessment, enabling timely intervention to significantly improve patient prognosis.

胸腺瘤是一种起源于胸腺上皮细胞的肿瘤,通过早期的风险评估可以显著改善其预后。我们提出了一种模糊综合评价融合模型(FCE-FM)来评估肿瘤风险。在这项回顾性研究中,我们在2018年至2024年期间从两个中心招募了286名胸腺瘤患者,并将研究队列分为训练组(n = 196)、内部测试组(n = 50)和外部测试组(n = 40)。我们开发了一个基于模糊综合评价的融合模型,利用人口统计学、放射学和多平面深度特征来预测肿瘤风险。FCE- fm通过模糊综合评价(FCE)、层次分析法(AHP)和三角隶属函数技术集成了五种基本分类模型(逻辑回归、支持向量机、XGBoost、LightGBM和GBDT)。采用Spearman秩相关和LASSO回归进行特征选择。共识别了26个深度学习特征(5个横向、13个矢状面和8个冠状面特征)和4个放射学特征以及性别来构建模型。使用曲线下面积(AUC)和精度指标评估模型性能。采用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)方法对特征重要性进行排序。FCE-FM模型在训练集、内部测试集和外部测试集上的AUC值分别为0.982 (95% CI 0.964-0.996)、0.927 (95% CI 0.847-0.990)和0.895 (95% CI 0.771-0.992),具有较好的预测性能。这些数据集对应的准确率分别为0.949、0.860和0.800。值得注意的是,就内部和外部验证集的AUC性能而言,该模型始终优于五个基线分类器。FCE-FM模型在多中心验证中表现出较高的稳定性和准确性,证明了其鲁棒性。这一可解释的框架为临床医生提供了可靠的肿瘤风险评估早期预警工具,使及时干预能够显著改善患者预后。
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引用次数: 0
Aligning perspectives: towards a standardized concept of "complexity" in thyroid surgery. An international web-based survey. 调整观点:迈向甲状腺手术“复杂性”的标准化概念。一个基于网络的国际调查。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02470-0
Giacomo Di Filippo, Gian Luigi Canu, Leonardo Rossi, Fabio Medas, Federico Cappellacci, Piermarco Papini, Mattia Cammarata, Eleonora Morelli, Giovanni Lazzari, Dorin Serbusca, Alessandro Pasculli, Francesco Paolo Prete, Giuliana Rachele Puglisi, Alessandro Monaco, Luigi Ragucci, Giovanni Cozzolino, Eleonora Lori, Francesco Pennestrì, Pierpaolo Gallucci, Carmela De Crea, Salvatore Sorrenti, Giovanni Docimo, Mario Testini, Marco Raffaelli, Gabriele Materazzi, Pietro Giorgio Calò

Introduction: Complication rates after thyroidectomy vary widely among centres. Various factors can affect the "complexity" of a case. However, an internationally agreed upon definition of what constitutes a "complex" case in thyroid surgery is currently lacking. We aimed to establish a framework supporting the development of a standardized definition of "complexity" in thyroid surgery by collecting endocrine surgeons' opinions through a survey.

Materials and methods: A 28-item survey was distributed through the mailing lists of the Italian and European Societies of Endocrine Surgeons and via social media. Questions explored respondents' opinions on determinants and endpoint measures of "complexity". Responses were compared by unit and individual thyroidectomy volume (> 50 vs. < 50 cases/year), and by routine use of pre-operative ultrasound and intra-operative nerve monitoring.

Results: Among 192 respondents, 97.3% acknowledged the potential usefulness of a shared definition of "complexity" in thyroid surgery for patients' workflow optimization. Permanent vocal-cord palsy (78.6%), operative duration (77.1%) and permanent hypoparathyroidism (77.1%) were most frequently chosen as appropriate endpoint measures of "complexity". Among determinants, previous neck surgery, adhesions/infiltration, mediastinal extension and large thyroid volume were considered impactful by the majority of respondents. High volume surgeons more frequently selected permanent palsy, tracheal injury and R1 margins as endpoints, and BMI as determinants of "complexity" (all Ps ≤ 0.05).

Conclusion: Endocrine surgeons recognize the need for a standardized definition of "complexity" in thyroid surgery to enhance risk stratification and care. Perceived complexity varies with proficiency. Collected data support a reproducible framework, to be validated in future studies.

简介:不同中心甲状腺切除术后的并发症发生率差异很大。各种因素会影响案件的“复杂性”。然而,对于甲状腺手术中什么是“复杂”病例,目前还缺乏国际上一致同意的定义。我们旨在通过调查收集内分泌外科医生的意见,建立一个框架,支持甲状腺手术“复杂性”的标准化定义的发展。材料和方法:通过意大利和欧洲内分泌外科学会的邮件列表以及社交媒体分发了一项28项调查。问题探讨了受访者对“复杂性”的决定因素和终点措施的看法。通过单位和个体甲状腺切除术量(bb50 vs.结果)对响应进行比较:在192名受访者中,97.3%的人承认甲状腺手术中“复杂性”的共享定义对患者工作流程优化的潜在有用性。永久性声带麻痹(78.6%)、手术时间(77.1%)和永久性甲状旁腺功能减退(77.1%)最常被选为“复杂性”的适当终点指标。在决定因素中,大多数受访者认为既往颈部手术、粘连/浸润、纵隔延伸和甲状腺体积大是有影响的。大容量外科医生更多地选择永久性瘫痪、气管损伤和R1边缘作为终点,BMI作为“复杂性”的决定因素(均p≤0.05)。结论:内分泌外科医生认识到有必要对甲状腺手术的“复杂性”进行标准化定义,以加强风险分层和护理。感知的复杂性随熟练程度而变化。收集的数据支持一个可重复的框架,将在未来的研究中得到验证。
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引用次数: 0
Perineal infection and risk factors following extralevator abdominoperineal excision and reconstruction with an absorbable synthetic prosthesis. 腹外提腹-会阴切除及可吸收人工假体重建后会阴感染及危险因素。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02477-7
Vanesa Crespo-García Del Castillo, Antonio Morandeira-Rivas, Marina Manzanera-Díaz, Francisco Javier Cortina-Oliva, Ángel Arias-Arias, Carlos Moreno-Sanz

Extralevator abdominoperineal excision (ELAPE) improves surgical margins in distal rectal cancer compared to conventional amputation; however, it is associated with higher rates of perineal morbidity. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of perineal infections and identify associated risk factors in patients with rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing ELAPE with perineal reconstruction using an absorbable synthetic prosthesis. This prospective observational study including consecutive patients treated between 2009 and 2024. All patients underwent standardized perineal reconstruction with an absorbable synthetic prosthesis. Clinical, tumor, surgical, and postoperative complication variables were recorded. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors associated with perineal infection. A total of 61 patients were analyzed. Perineal infection occurred in 23%, with most infections developing within the first 30 postoperative days. Multivariate analysis identified obesity (Odds Ratio [OR] 74.3), active smoking (OR 33.7), and circumferential margin involvement observed on basal magnetic resonance imaging (OR 28) as independent risk factors. Patients with perineal infection had longer hospital stays, more readmissions, more postoperative visits, and higher complications severity. Infection was not associated with an increased rate of perineal hernia, which was low in our cohort (3%). In conclusion, perineal reconstruction with an absorbable synthetic prosthesis following ELAPE is safe and effective. Identification of patients at high risk for perineal infection enables targeted preventive strategies and informs future comparative studies of perineal reconstruction techniques.

与传统截肢相比,腹外展手术切除(ELAPE)改善了远端直肠癌的手术切缘;然而,它与会阴发病率较高有关。本研究旨在评估使用可吸收合成假体进行ELAPE伴会阴重建的直肠腺癌患者会阴感染的发生率,并确定相关危险因素。这项前瞻性观察性研究包括2009年至2024年间连续接受治疗的患者。所有患者均采用可吸收性人工假体进行标准化会阴重建。记录临床、肿瘤、手术和术后并发症变量。进行单因素和多因素分析以确定会阴感染的相关因素。共分析61例患者。会阴感染发生率为23%,大多数感染发生在术后30天内。多因素分析确定肥胖(优势比[OR] 74.3)、吸烟(优势比[OR] 33.7)和基础磁共振成像(OR 28)观察到的周缘受累是独立的危险因素。会阴感染患者住院时间更长,再入院次数更多,术后就诊次数更多,并发症严重程度更高。感染与会阴疝发生率的增加无关,这在我们的队列中很低(3%)。结论:采用可吸收性人工假体重建会阴是安全有效的。会阴感染高风险患者的识别有助于制定有针对性的预防策略,并为未来会阴重建技术的比较研究提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of socio-economic disparities on kidney transplant outcomes: insights from a monocentric Italian study. 社会经济差异对肾移植结果的影响:来自意大利单中心研究的见解。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02491-9
Quirino Lai, Fabio Melandro, Luca Poli, Mario Piazzolla, Fatima Della Pietra, Veronica Zullino, Giulia Diamantini, Matteo Brisciani, Silvia Quaresima, Massimo Rossi, Francesco Pugliese, Manuela Garofalo

Kidney transplantation (KT) is the preferred treatment for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), but socio-economic disparities significantly influence access to transplantation, waiting list (WL) outcomes, and post-transplant results. This study evaluates the impact of the socio-economic deprivation index (SEDI) on WL and KT outcomes in an Italian center. This monocentric, retrospective cohort study analyzed 1560 adult patients enlisted for KT at Sapienza University of Rome (2000-2024). Socio-economic and clinical data were collected, and patients were stratified into low-SEDI and high-SEDI groups. The primary outcome was a composite of death and WL drop-out due to clinical worsening. Secondary outcomes included post-transplant graft loss. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression models were used to evaluate risk factors. Patients in high-SEDI areas had longer times from dialysis initiation to WL inscription (27 vs. 20 months, P < 0.001) and from WL inscription to transplantation (22 vs. 17 months, P < 0.001). The composite outcome of death or WL drop-out occurred in 8.7% of patients, with no significant differences between SEDI groups. However, high-SEDI patients faced significantly higher risks of post-transplant graft loss due to socio-economic factors, including vulnerable housing conditions and demographic disparities. Multivariable Cox analysis identified dialysis-to-WL duration and socio-economic factors as significant predictors of WL and post-transplant outcomes. Socio-economic factors, as measured by SEDI, significantly influence WL and KT outcomes, underscoring the need for targeted interventions to minimize delays and improve access in high-SEDI regions. Strategies such as early referral, live donor promotion, and equitable healthcare access are crucial for optimizing KT outcomes.

肾移植(KT)是终末期肾病(ESRD)的首选治疗方法,但社会经济差异显著影响移植的可及性、等待名单(WL)结果和移植后结果。本研究评估了意大利一个中心的社会经济剥夺指数(SEDI)对WL和KT结果的影响。这项单中心、回顾性队列研究分析了罗马Sapienza大学1560名成年KT患者(2000-2024)。收集社会经济和临床数据,并将患者分为低sedi组和高sedi组。主要结局是死亡和临床恶化导致的WL退出。次要结局包括移植后移植物损失。Kaplan-Meier生存分析和Cox回归模型评价危险因素。高sedi地区的患者从开始透析到进入WL所需时间更长(27个月vs. 20个月,P
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引用次数: 0
Premedication with Lugol's solution in total thyroidectomy for graves' disease and toxic multinodular goiter: is it still indicated? 在格雷夫斯病和中毒性多结节性甲状腺肿的全甲状腺切除术中,卢戈溶液的预用药是否仍然适用?
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02475-9
D Ciriotto, S Bernardi, R Eramo, V Calabrò, A Modica, N de Manzini, C Dobrinja

Premedication with Lugol's solution (LS) has traditionally been used to reduce the vascularization and friability of the thyroid gland before total thyroidectomy in patients with Graves' disease (GD) and toxic multinodular goiter (TMNG) with thyrotoxicosis and/or with undetectable serum TSH. However, the effectiveness and applicability of this treatment remain subjects of debate. This study aims to evaluate the surgical and postoperative outcomes in patients premedicated with LS compared to those who were not premedicated. Data from 100 patients who underwent total thyroidectomy for GD and TMNG at our center from 2014 to 2024 were analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups: Lugol+, premedicated with LS (n = 57), and Lugol-, not premedicated (n = 43). Variables analyzed included thyroid diameter, thyroid weight, operative time, postoperative hemorrhage, hypocalcemia, recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy, length of hospital stay, rate of reintervention for hemorrhage, intraoperative thyroid consistency. No statistically significant differences were found between the groups regarding postoperative hemorrhage (1.7% in Group Lugol+ vs. 2.3% in Group Lugol-), operative time (median: 95 vs. 85 min), immediate postoperative complications such as transient hypoparathyroidism (15.8% vs. 9.3%) and transient recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) palsy (3.5% vs. 2.3%), nor the other variables analyzed. Our data suggest that routine preoperative preparation with LS may not be mandatory. This study supports the thesis that patients with GD and TMNG who cannot be premedicated due to inability to obtain LS, insufficient time for preoperative preparation, or lesser compliance by patient, may still be eligible for surgery.

传统上,在格雷夫斯病(GD)和伴甲状腺毒症和/或血清TSH检测不出的中毒性多结节性甲状腺肿(TMNG)患者行全甲状腺切除术前,用卢格尔溶液(LS)预用药可减少甲状腺的血管化和脆性。然而,这种治疗的有效性和适用性仍然是争论的主题。本研究旨在评估预先用药的LS患者与未预先用药的患者的手术和术后结果。我们分析了2014年至2024年在我中心接受甲状腺全切除术的100例GD和TMNG患者的数据。患者分为Lugol+组(n = 57)和Lugol-组(n = 43)。分析的变量包括甲状腺直径、甲状腺重量、手术时间、术后出血、低钙血症、喉返神经麻痹、住院时间、出血再干预率、术中甲状腺一致性。在术后出血(Lugol+组1.7% vs. Lugol-组2.3%)、手术时间(中位数:95 vs. 85 min)、术后即刻并发症(如一过性甲状旁腺功能减退(15.8% vs. 9.3%)和一过性喉返神经(RLN)麻痹(3.5% vs. 2.3%)等方面,组间无统计学差异,其他变量未进行分析。我们的数据表明,常规术前准备与LS可能不是强制性的。本研究支持了由于无法获得LS、术前准备时间不足或患者依从性较低而无法预用药的GD和TMNG患者仍可进行手术治疗的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Development and validation of machine learning tools for predicting postoperative complications in acute calculous cholecystitis. 用于预测急性结石性胆囊炎术后并发症的机器学习工具的开发和验证。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02476-8
Ottavia Cicerone, Simone Frassini, Anna Gallotti, Alessandro Vanoli, Luca Ansaloni, Marcello Maestri, Paola Fugazzola, S P Ri M A C C, Collaborative Group

Background: Acute calculous cholecystitis (ACC) is a common gastrointestinal emergency, with early laparoscopic cholecystectomy (ELC) as the standard of care. However, the risk of postoperative complications remains significant. This study developed and validated two machine learning models-CholeSurgRisk I (preoperative) and CholeSurgRisk II (comprehensive)-to predict major postoperative complications in ACC.

Methods: A prospectively collected, multicenter database of 1,253 patients was retrospectively analyzed. Lasso regression identified key predictive variables among demographic, clinical, and perioperative factors. Three machine learning algorithms (Random Forest, XGBoost, Decision Tree) were trained and tested, comparing their performance via AUC-ROC.

Results: CholeSurgRisk I achieved an AUC-ROC of 0.8456, while incorporating intraoperative variables (CholeSurgRisk II) improved performance to 0.8903. To facilitate clinical use, a web-based tool - "CholeSurgRisk I" - was developed based on the preoperative model, providing real-time, patient-specific risk estimations.

Conclusion: Machine learning enhances perioperative risk stratification in ACC. CholeSurgRisk I facilitates early preoperative assessment, whereas CholeSurgRisk II refines predictions by integrating intraoperative factors. The user-friendly application "CholeSurgRisk I" offers individualized complication risk forecasts, potentially aiding clinical decision-making and optimizing outcomes.

背景:急性结石性胆囊炎(ACC)是一种常见的胃肠道急症,早期腹腔镜胆囊切除术(ELC)是治疗的标准。然而,术后并发症的风险仍然很大。本研究开发并验证了两种机器学习模型——CholeSurgRisk I(术前)和CholeSurgRisk II(综合)——用于预测ACC术后主要并发症。方法:回顾性分析前瞻性收集的1253例患者的多中心数据库。套索回归确定了人口统计学、临床和围手术期因素中的关键预测变量。对三种机器学习算法(Random Forest, XGBoost, Decision Tree)进行了训练和测试,并通过AUC-ROC比较了它们的性能。结果:CholeSurgRisk I的AUC-ROC为0.8456,而合并术中变量(CholeSurgRisk II)将性能提高至0.8903。为了便于临床使用,基于术前模型开发了基于网络的工具“CholeSurgRisk I”,提供实时的、针对患者的风险评估。结论:机器学习增强了ACC围手术期风险分层。CholeSurgRisk I有助于早期术前评估,而CholeSurgRisk II通过整合术中因素来完善预测。用户友好的应用程序“CholeSurgRisk I”提供个性化的并发症风险预测,可能有助于临床决策和优化结果。
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引用次数: 0
3D holographic reconstruction and intraoperative navigation combined with CBL teaching in laparoscopic partial nephrectomy training for urology residents. 三维全息重建和术中导航结合CBL教学在泌尿外科住院医师腹腔镜肾部分切除术培训中的应用。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02466-w
Cunyao Li, Xiaoliang Yang, Wei Qi, Yu Wu, Xu Yan, Yizhe Wang, Junfeng Jing, Can Wei, Yanbin Zhang

Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of integrating 3D digital holographic reconstruction and intraoperative navigation with case-based learning (CBL) in enhancing the educational outcomes of laparoscopic partial nephrectomy training for urology residents.

Methods: A prospective randomized controlled trial was conducted at the Second People's Hospital of Hefei from August 2021 to May 2024. A total of 120 urology residents were randomly assigned to either a combined teaching group (3D holography + CBL, n = 60) or a conventional CBL-only group (n = 60). The experimental group utilized reconstructed CT/MRI DICOM data rendered into interactive holographic models via Microsoft HoloLens 2 for real-time anatomical visualization and intraoperative guidance. Key outcome measures included post-training performance (theoretical and practical scores), self-directed learning ability, teaching satisfaction, critical thinking disposition, and knowledge retention at 1-, 3-, and 6-month follow-ups.

Results: The combined teaching group demonstrated significantly superior outcomes across all measured domains (P < 0.05). Post-training scores were higher in theoretical knowledge (44.58 ± 2.09 vs. 40.28 ± 2.96), practical skills (44.63 ± 2.69 vs. 40.00 ± 2.64), and total score (89.21 ± 4.33 vs. 80.28 ± 5.55). Additionally, the group showed enhanced self-directed learning (4.38 ± 0.74 vs. 3.07 ± 0.73), higher teaching satisfaction (4.30 ± 0.74 vs. 3.15 ± 0.58), and improved critical thinking, notably in analyticity and cognitive maturity. Longitudinal assessments revealed better knowledge retention at all time points, with 6-month total scores of 76.92 ± 2.25 vs. 60.77 ± 5.97.

Conclusions: Integrating 3D holographic reconstruction and intraoperative navigation into CBL teaching significantly improves urology residents' comprehension, critical thinking, surgical preparedness, and long-term knowledge retention during laparoscopic partial nephrectomy training. This multimodal teaching model may serve as a valuable adjunct to traditional residency training frameworks.

目的:评价将三维数字全息重建、术中导航与案例学习(CBL)相结合,提高泌尿外科住院医师腹腔镜部分肾切除术教学效果的效果。方法:于2021年8月至2024年5月在合肥市第二人民医院进行前瞻性随机对照试验。共有120名泌尿外科住院医师被随机分配到联合教学组(3D全息+ CBL, n = 60)和常规CBL组(n = 60)。实验组利用重建的CT/MRI DICOM数据通过Microsoft HoloLens 2绘制成交互式全息模型,进行实时解剖可视化和术中指导。主要结果测量包括培训后表现(理论和实践得分)、自主学习能力、教学满意度、批判性思维倾向和1、3和6个月随访时的知识保留。结果:联合教学组在所有测量领域均表现出明显的优势(P)。结论:将3D全息重建和术中导航整合到CBL教学中,可显著提高泌尿外科住院医师在腹腔镜部分肾切除术培训中的理解力、批判性思维、手术准备和长期知识保留。这种多模式教学模式可以作为传统住院医师培训框架的宝贵补充。
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引用次数: 0
Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting distant metastasis in Hurthle cell carcinoma of the thyroid. 预测甲状腺Hurthle细胞癌远处转移的nomogram构建与验证。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02481-x
Hang Su, Xinian Jiang, Linyue Sun, Juanjuan Hao, Fenghua Zhang

To analyze independent risk factors for distant metastasis of Hurthle cell carcinoma (HCC)of the thyroid and to construct and validate a nomogram, thereby assisting clinicians in making more individualized clinical decisions. Patient data were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Chi-square tests and Logistic regression analysis were used to determine independent risk factors for distant metastasis of HCC. Logistic regression models based on significant independent risk factors were established using the rms package of R software (version 4.3.3) and visualized as a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated using subject operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A total of 1312 HCC patients were included, among whom 48 patients developed distant metastasis, accounting for 3.66% of the entire cohort. Results of chi-square test and univariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age, gender, marital status, tumor size, and lymph node metastasis were significantly associated with distant metastasis of HCC. Multifactorial logistic regression analysis revealed that age, gender, marital status and lymph node metastasis were independent risk factors for distant metastasis of HCC, which were used to construct the nomogram. Results of ROC curve analysis, calibration curves, and DCA demonstrated that the nomogram had good predictive performance. We successfully constructed and validated a nomogram for predicting distant metastasis of HCC. This nomogram is important for clinicians to promptly identify patients at high risk of distant metastasis and formulate more individualized clinical decisions.

分析甲状腺Hurthle细胞癌(HCC)远处转移的独立危险因素,构建并验证nomographic,帮助临床医生做出更个体化的临床决策。患者数据从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中检索。采用卡方检验和Logistic回归分析确定HCC远处转移的独立危险因素。采用R软件(4.3.3版)的rms软件包建立基于显著独立危险因素的Logistic回归模型,并将其可视化为nomogram。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线、校正曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)对nomogram进行评价。共纳入1312例HCC患者,其中48例发生远处转移,占整个队列的3.66%。卡方检验和单因素logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄、性别、婚姻状况、肿瘤大小、淋巴结转移与肝癌远处转移有显著相关性。多因素logistic回归分析显示,年龄、性别、婚姻状况和淋巴结转移是HCC远处转移的独立危险因素,并以此构建nomogram。ROC曲线分析、校正曲线和DCA分析结果表明,nomogram具有较好的预测效果。我们成功构建并验证了预测HCC远处转移的nomogram。对于临床医生来说,这张nomogram图对于及时识别有远处转移高风险的患者和制定更个性化的临床决策非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of early stoma closure on infants after surgery for necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC): real-world data analysis. 坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)术后早期造口对婴儿的影响:现实世界数据分析。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02468-8
Fang Li, Guoqiang Chen, Chunli Bao, Chunbao Guo

To evaluate the impact of early (< 8 weeks) versus late (≥ 8 weeks) stoma closure on postoperative recovery and complications in preterm infants following surgery for necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from preterm infants who underwent stoma closure between 2011 and 2022. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied in a 1:2 ratio to balance baseline characteristics between early and late closure groups. Outcomes assessed included stoma-related complications, operative characteristics, gastrointestinal recovery, and postoperative complications. Of 367 eligible infants, 80 in the early closure group and 186 in the late closure group were included after matching. Baseline characteristics were well-balanced. The early closure group had significantly lower median weight at closure (2674 g vs. 3374 g, p = 0.038) and shorter stoma duration (48 vs. 69 days, p = 0.0064). Time to first flatus/defecation was shorter in the early group (2.7 ± 1.8 days vs. 3.2 ± 1.9 days, p = 0.012). There were no significant differences in overall complication rates, reoperation, readmission, mortality, duration of parenteral nutrition, or hospital stay. A non-significant trend toward higher median weight at 6 months corrected age was observed in the early group (6548 g vs. 6287 g, p = 0.12). Early stoma closure (< 8 weeks) is associated with faster recovery of gastrointestinal function and does not increase the risk of postoperative complications. These findings support the feasibility and safety of early closure in selected NEC infants, though timing should be individualized based on clinical assessment.

为了评估早期(
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引用次数: 0
Thrombocytopenia after emergency surgery for strangulated bowel obstruction. 绞窄性肠梗阻急诊手术后血小板减少。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1007/s13304-025-02484-8
Toshimichi Kobayashi, Shoma Iida, Kanami Iwama, Takumi Seichi, Yoshihiro Nagae, Hiroyuki Higuchi, Akitoshi Ando, Itsuki Koganezawa, Masashi Nakagawa, Kei Yokozuka, Shigeto Ochiai, Takahiro Gunji, Toru Sano, Satoshi Tabuchi, Naokazu Chiba, Shigeyuki Kawachi

We investigated changes in platelet count after surgery for strangulated bowel obstruction (SBO), evaluated associations between postoperative thrombocytopenia and short-term outcomes, and identified risk factors for postoperative thrombocytopenia. This study included 109 patients who underwent emergency surgery for SBO between January 2014 and December 2023. Postoperative short-term outcomes were compared among three groups according to the lowest postoperative platelet count. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with severe thrombocytopenia. All patients had platelet counts below the preoperative level within 72 h post-surgery. The severe thrombocytopenia (postoperative platelet count < 10 × 104/µL) group exhibited significantly increased postoperative complications, 28-day mortality, and length of hospital stay. Preoperative thrombocytopenia, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, and bowel resection were independent risk factors for severe thrombocytopenia. Postoperative platelet counts fell below preoperative levels in all patients with SBO. Severe thrombocytopenia was associated with poor postoperative outcomes.

我们研究了绞窄性肠梗阻(SBO)术后血小板计数的变化,评估了术后血小板减少与短期预后的关系,并确定了术后血小板减少的危险因素。本研究纳入了2014年1月至2023年12月期间接受SBO急诊手术的109例患者。根据术后最低血小板计数比较三组患者术后短期疗效。采用Logistic回归分析确定与严重血小板减少症相关的危险因素。所有患者术后72小时内血小板计数均低于术前水平。严重血小板减少(术后血小板计数4/µL)组术后并发症、28天死亡率和住院时间明显增加。术前血小板减少、序贯器官衰竭评估评分和肠切除术是严重血小板减少的独立危险因素。所有SBO患者术后血小板计数均低于术前水平。严重的血小板减少症与不良的术后预后相关。
{"title":"Thrombocytopenia after emergency surgery for strangulated bowel obstruction.","authors":"Toshimichi Kobayashi, Shoma Iida, Kanami Iwama, Takumi Seichi, Yoshihiro Nagae, Hiroyuki Higuchi, Akitoshi Ando, Itsuki Koganezawa, Masashi Nakagawa, Kei Yokozuka, Shigeto Ochiai, Takahiro Gunji, Toru Sano, Satoshi Tabuchi, Naokazu Chiba, Shigeyuki Kawachi","doi":"10.1007/s13304-025-02484-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13304-025-02484-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We investigated changes in platelet count after surgery for strangulated bowel obstruction (SBO), evaluated associations between postoperative thrombocytopenia and short-term outcomes, and identified risk factors for postoperative thrombocytopenia. This study included 109 patients who underwent emergency surgery for SBO between January 2014 and December 2023. Postoperative short-term outcomes were compared among three groups according to the lowest postoperative platelet count. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with severe thrombocytopenia. All patients had platelet counts below the preoperative level within 72 h post-surgery. The severe thrombocytopenia (postoperative platelet count < 10 × 10<sup>4</sup>/µL) group exhibited significantly increased postoperative complications, 28-day mortality, and length of hospital stay. Preoperative thrombocytopenia, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, and bowel resection were independent risk factors for severe thrombocytopenia. Postoperative platelet counts fell below preoperative levels in all patients with SBO. Severe thrombocytopenia was associated with poor postoperative outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":23391,"journal":{"name":"Updates in Surgery","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145744562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Updates in Surgery
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