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Does Board-level Employee Representation Impact Firms’ Value? Evidence from the European Countries 董事会层面的员工代表是否影响公司价值?来自欧洲国家的证据
Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.1108/jfrc-10-2021-0082
Sónia Silva, Armando Silva, Ricardo B. Machado
PurposeUsing, for the first time, a sample of European listed firms from 30 countries with different legal regimes of board-level employee representation (BLER), the purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of BLER on firms’ value of European public companies, where employee representation is voluntary or imposed by law depending on the country of origin.Design/methodology/approachUsing a difference-in-differences approach and a matching procedure, the authors analyze the impact of BLER on firms' value.FindingsThe results of this paper suggest that BLER adopted voluntarily affects positively firms’ value comparing to a group of firms where employee representation is in some way mandatory. Moreover, the findings of this paper show that firms from countries where BLER is not imposed by law tend to pay higher dividends. Nevertheless, the evidence presented in this paper only holds for low levels of employee representation on the board.Research limitations/implicationsThis research not only provides some evidence in favor of the codetermination on corporate governance but also offers new avenues for discussing the conditions necessary for codetermination to be effective, especially the level of employees' participation on board.Practical implicationsThis study provides to policymakers new insights for them to gain perspective, analyze and decide if codetermination is a useful tool to improve firms’ performance or at least in what conditions it should be applied.Social implicationsThis study incentives the discussion of the proper way to include workers in firms’ boards with expected benefits on firms’ performance, economies and societies.Originality/valueThis paper provides evidence of a positive (but limited) impact on firms’ value derived from voluntary codetermination.
本文首次以30个拥有不同董事会员工代表权法律制度的欧洲上市公司为样本,考察了董事会员工代表权对欧洲上市公司价值的影响。在欧洲上市公司中,员工代表权是自愿的,还是根据原籍国的法律强制规定的。设计/方法/方法采用差异中的差异方法和匹配程序,作者分析了BLER对企业价值的影响。本文的结果表明,与一组员工代表在某种程度上是强制性的公司相比,自愿采用BLER对公司的价值产生了积极的影响。此外,本文的研究结果表明,来自没有法律强制实行BLER的国家的公司倾向于支付更高的股息。然而,本文提出的证据仅适用于董事会中员工代表性较低的情况。本研究不仅为共同决策对公司治理的影响提供了一些证据,而且为讨论共同决策有效的必要条件,特别是员工参与董事会的水平提供了新的途径。本研究为政策制定者提供了新的见解,使他们能够获得观点,分析和决定共同决策是否是提高公司绩效的有用工具,或者至少在什么条件下应该应用它。社会意义:这项研究激发了关于将员工纳入公司董事会的适当方式的讨论,这对公司绩效、经济和社会都有预期的好处。原创性/价值本文提供了证据,证明自愿共同决定对企业价值产生了积极(但有限)的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Interest Rate Risk and Monetary Policy Normalisation in the Euro Area 欧元区利率风险与货币政策正常化
Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2866/144742
P. Molyneux, Livia Pancotto, Alessio Reghezza, Costanza Rodriguez d’Acri
In the current low interest rate environment in the euro area there is potential for a sudden increase in interest rates and heightened interest rate risk (IRR). By using a sample of 81 euro area banks during the period 2014Q4-2018Q1 and a confidential supervisory measure of IRR, this paper identifies which bank-specific characteristics can amplify or weaken the impact of a 200 basis points positive shock in interest rates. We find that banks reliant on core deposits, that hold more floating-interest rate loans and that diversify their lending, either by sector or geography, are less exposed to a positive change in interest rates. Interestingly, we discover that banks that did not exploit the exceptional financing provided by the European Central Bank (ECB) reveal greater IRR exposure. These findings advance the debate on the impact on euro area banking of a possible return to a normalised monetary policy.
在当前欧元区的低利率环境下,利率有可能突然上升,利率风险(IRR)也会上升。通过使用2014年第四季度至2018年第一季度期间81家欧元区银行的样本和内部收益率的保密监管措施,本文确定了哪些银行特定特征可以放大或减弱利率200个基点的积极冲击的影响。我们发现,依赖核心存款的银行,持有更多的浮动利率贷款,并将贷款多样化,无论是按行业还是按地域,都不太容易受到利率积极变化的影响。有趣的是,我们发现没有利用欧洲央行提供的特殊融资的银行显示出更大的内部收益率敞口。这些发现推动了关于货币政策可能回归正常化对欧元区银行业影响的辩论。
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引用次数: 1
Network Tail Risk Estimation in the European Banking System 欧洲银行体系的网络尾部风险评估
Pub Date : 2020-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3724390
G. Torri, R. Giacometti, T. Tichý
Abstract Measuring interconnectedness in a banking system to identify the potential transmission channels of systemic risk is a main issue for the analysis of financial stability. We develop a methodology based on conditional tail risk networks to assess the channels of transmission in a banking system and to identify the most relevant and/or fragile institutions. The networks are constructed using quantile graphical models and the proposed framework can be considered as a network extension of the Δ CoVaR approach by Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016). From the conditional tail risk networks we can then compute synthetic indices of systemic risk for each bank. An additional set of systemic risk indicators is computed by considering together the network of conditional tail risk and bank-specific indicators of credit risk (as an example we use the ratio of non-performing loans, NPL). The empirical analysis focuses on the European banking system and considers a panel of 36 representative banks. Among the main findings, we found evidence of regional clusters of interconnected banks, especially in crisis period. Moreover, in terms of interconnectedness alone, systemic risk is diffused relatively evenly across European banks, while the set of systemic indicators built using also NPL highlighted a concentration of risk in southern European countries.
衡量银行系统的互联性以识别系统性风险的潜在传导渠道是金融稳定性分析的一个主要问题。我们开发了一种基于条件尾部风险网络的方法,以评估银行体系中的传播渠道,并确定最相关和/或最脆弱的机构。网络是使用分位数图形模型构建的,所提出的框架可以被认为是Adrian和Brunnermeier(2016)的Δ CoVaR方法的网络扩展。从条件尾部风险网络中,我们可以计算出每家银行系统风险的综合指数。另外一组系统风险指标是通过综合考虑条件尾部风险网络和银行特有的信用风险指标(例如,我们使用不良贷款率,NPL)来计算的。实证分析的重点是欧洲银行体系,并考虑了一个由36家代表性银行组成的小组。在主要发现中,我们发现了相互关联的银行区域集群的证据,特别是在危机时期。此外,仅就互联性而言,系统性风险在欧洲各银行之间相对均匀地扩散,而使用不良贷款构建的一套系统性指标也突出了南欧国家的风险集中。
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引用次数: 14
Long-Term Value Creation in Corporate Governance: The Crucial Role for Boards and Auditors 公司治理中的长期价值创造:董事会和审计师的关键作用
Pub Date : 2020-10-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3714566
M. Lückerath-Rovers
According to the Business Roundtable in the US and the Dutch Corporate governance code, companies should focus more on long-term value creation and be accountable to all their relevant stakeholders. This is only possible if long-term value creation is made explicit and measurable and the reporting is checked by an independent third party. The auditor is the designated party for this.

• Steering for long-term value creation is becoming increasingly important for companies.
• To make the relatively vague understanding of long-term value creation explicit and measurable, new standards are needed.
• The auditor is the appropriate person to audit those new standards.

Long-term value creation is given a prominent place in the revised Dutch Corporate Governance Code 2016 (the “Code”). Management and supervisory boards are accountable for both financial and non-financial aspects of long-term value creation. But the Dutch Code does not prescribe what long-term value creation is and how you determine it. In particular, the non-financial aspects of long-term value creation are difficult to measure and to make comparable, communicable and reliable, let alone controllable. How can we make these aspects more measurable? And who should be responsible for controlling long-term value creation goals?
根据美国商业圆桌会议(Business Roundtable)和荷兰公司治理准则,企业应更多地关注长期价值创造,并对所有相关利益相关者负责。这只有在长期价值创造是明确的、可衡量的,并且报告由独立的第三方检查的情况下才有可能实现。审核员是这方面的指定方。•对企业来说,长期价值创造的导向变得越来越重要。•为了使对长期价值创造的相对模糊的理解变得明确和可衡量,需要新的标准。•审核员是审核这些新准则的合适人选。长期价值创造在修订后的《2016年荷兰公司治理准则》(以下简称《准则》)中占有突出地位。管理层和监事会对长期价值创造的财务和非财务方面负责。但《荷兰法典》并没有规定什么是长期价值创造,以及如何确定它。特别是,长期价值创造的非财务方面难以衡量,难以使其具有可比性、可传递性和可靠性,更不用说可控性了。我们如何使这些方面更加可测量?谁应该负责控制长期价值创造目标?
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引用次数: 0
A Study of the Potential Impact of Physical and Transition Climate Risks to European Utilities 物理和过渡气候风险对欧洲公用事业的潜在影响研究
Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3748127
C. Cormack
In this working paper we provide a detailed descriptions of the impact to European Utilities on the impact of climate related risks.We include the impact of both transition and physical risks that could impact the companies over a period of time from 2020 to 2050. The approach utilises a long term simulation framework from an integrated assessment model that drives company investment choices over the simulation horizon. This approach gives rise to estimates of equity valuation, bond prices, credit ratings and default probabilities that can be used to assess long term credit exposures or potential shifts in current market valuation.
在这篇工作论文中,我们详细描述了气候相关风险对欧洲公用事业的影响。我们考虑了转型风险和实体风险的影响,这些风险可能会在2020年至2050年期间影响公司。该方法利用了一个综合评估模型的长期模拟框架,该模型推动了公司在模拟范围内的投资选择。这种方法产生了对股票估值、债券价格、信用评级和违约概率的估计,可用于评估长期信贷风险或当前市场估值的潜在变化。
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引用次数: 0
The EURIBOR and EONIA Reform: Achieving Regulatory Compliance While Protecting Financial Stability EURIBOR和EONIA改革:在保护金融稳定的同时实现监管合规
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.18488/journal.62.2021.82.50.69
Randy Priem, Ward Van Rie
This article describes the events leading up to the EURIBOR reform and the efforts to make EURIBOR compliant with the European Benchmark Regulation. It also explains the actions undertaken to transition from EONIA towards €STER and the reasoning behind the choice to recalibrate EONIA into €STER plus a spread. Although EURIBOR is considered BMR-compliant since 2 July 2019 and EONIA can continue to be used until 3 January 2022, this article explains why market participants should not be dis-incentivized to already take actions to provide for fallback rates to EURIBOR in their legal documentation, and to move away from EONIA.
本文描述了导致EURIBOR改革的事件以及使EURIBOR符合欧洲基准法规的努力。它还解释了从EONIA向€STER过渡所采取的行动,以及选择将EONIA重新校准为€STER +利差背后的原因。尽管EURIBOR自2019年7月2日起被认为符合bmr标准,EONIA可以继续使用到2022年1月3日,但本文解释了为什么市场参与者不应该被阻止采取行动,在其法律文件中为EURIBOR提供备用利率,并远离EONIA。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Investors and Asset Managers’ Long-Term Engagement Under the SRD II: A Comparative Study Between Italy and the UK 机构投资者和资产管理人在SRD下的长期参与:意大利和英国的比较研究
Pub Date : 2020-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3734384
Alberto Bason
When capital markets are affected by the illness of excessive short termism, shareholders (specifically, institutional ones) being inactive and seeking profit only, the consequences can be serious. Not only investee companies are forced to sacrifice their future horizons to appear more attractive, but also the overall investor society faces losses in terms of unachieved long-term values. Stewardship, fostering shareholder engagement, tries to re-equilibrate the relation between short and long termism in capital markets, through a series of initiatives that can be either based on soft law or hard law. In the EU context, after the promulgation of the Shareholder Rights Directive II, Member States started developing new rules for institutional investors and asset managers’ long-term engagement. The cases of Italy and the UK appear curious in this sense, since they are based on different mixtures of hard law and soft law rules. The comparison between the two possibly evidences how the choice for different legislative techniques can truly influence the results. The literal adoption of the Directive in Italy, although accompanied by promising soft law initiatives, represents a likely defeat of hard law, which appears not able to assimilate and ‘tame’ the core aspects of the discipline. Non-financial elements appear not fully valorized, and the material application of the rules too scholastic and uselessly complicated, as testified by the lack of clarity regarding exit (and entry) strategies, the ‘comply or explain principle, and the enforcement system. On the contrary, the approach followed by the UK policymaker, based on soft law mainly, shows a deeper understanding of stewardship and its role. It aims not to impose rigid obligations, but rather to leave market actors free to gradually and metabolize and adapt to the new engagement rules. Financial and non-financial elements appear equally contextualized, and all the applicative aspects mentioned above eventually find proper specification. Enforcement, then, is limited to a social sanctioning level, which again allows the market to – in a certain way – self regulate over time.
当资本市场受到过度短期主义的疾病影响时,股东(特别是机构股东)不活跃,只追求利润,后果可能很严重。不仅被投资公司被迫牺牲自己的未来前景以显得更有吸引力,而且整个投资者社会也面临着未实现长期价值方面的损失。通过一系列基于软法或硬法的举措,促进股东参与的管理制度试图重新平衡资本市场上短期和长期主义之间的关系。在欧盟背景下,《股东权利指令II》颁布后,成员国开始为机构投资者和资产管理公司的长期参与制定新的规则。从这个意义上讲,意大利和英国的案例显得很奇怪,因为它们基于硬法和软法规则的不同混合。两者之间的比较可能证明不同立法手段的选择如何真正影响结果。意大利对该指令的字面采纳,尽管伴随着有希望的软法律倡议,代表了硬法律的可能失败,硬法律似乎无法吸收和“驯服”该学科的核心方面。非财务因素似乎没有得到充分的评估,规则的实际应用过于学术和无用的复杂,如缺乏明确的退出(和进入)策略,“遵守或解释”原则和执行系统。相反,英国政策制定者所采用的主要基于软法律的方法,显示出对管理及其作用有更深的理解。它的目的不是强加僵化的义务,而是让市场行为者自由地逐渐、代谢和适应新的接触规则。财务和非财务因素同样出现在语境中,上述所有应用方面最终都找到了适当的规范。因此,强制执行仅限于社会制裁层面,这再次允许市场以某种方式随着时间的推移进行自我调节。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and the Value of CEOs COVID-19与ceo的价值
Pub Date : 2020-08-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3645401
J. Gómez, M. Mironov
This paper studies the effect of the number of cases of COVID-19 on stock returns from over 3,500 publicly listed firms headquartered across 167 regions in 10 European countries. We instrument the number of cases per million inhabitant in each region with its population, density, and the soccer games celebrated in the region. Regions that hosted a soccer match during March show 30% more accumulated cases of COVID-19 in the same month. Within the same country and industry, an increase in the number of instrumented cases per million people in the region during March implies a decrease in stock returns over March and April. The market discount increases significantly among firms managed by CEOs 60 years and older. Overall, we interpret this as evidence of the market anticipating the potential loss of firm value in the event of the CEO dies of COVID-19.
本文研究了新冠肺炎病例数对总部位于欧洲10个国家167个地区的3500多家上市公司股票收益的影响。我们测量了每个地区的人口、密度和该地区庆祝的足球比赛中每百万居民的病例数。在3月份举办足球比赛的地区,当月的COVID-19累计病例增加了30%。在同一国家和行业内,3月期间该区域每百万人使用仪器的病例数的增加意味着3月和4月期间股票收益的减少。在60岁以上ceo管理的企业中,市场折扣明显增加。总体而言,我们认为这表明市场预计,如果首席执行官死于COVID-19,公司价值可能会遭受损失。
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引用次数: 1
The Term Structure of Default Probabilities 违约概率的期限结构
Pub Date : 2020-08-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3680544
Oliver Blümke
Accounting standards require that financial institutions must measure default risk with respect to the full maturity of a financial instrument. This requires forecasting of future default probabilities. The forecast of future default probabilities concerns two aspects: forecasting macroeconomic scenarios and future average (with respect to the macro-economy) default probabilities. The present paper addresses the modelling of future average default probabilities. Due to the small number of defaults and observations this poses a difficult problem in the corporate area and requires a parsimonious model to deal with the sparse data situation. The degree of difficulty is made greater by the fact that default probabilities change for corporations via different patterns over time, with the pattern being depend on the initial rating grade. For initial investment-grade ratings the risk of a default increases, while for the bottom of the rating scale default probabilities decrease. To model these different patterns the paper proposes to extend the existing discrete-time survival model and to incorporate an additional time- and co-variate-dependent shape parameter into the hazard function. Using data from Standard & Poor's the paper shows that the shape parameter is able to reproduce the different patterns. The proposed model is bench-marked against a model which does not employ a shape parameter and the results show that the shape parameter improves in-sample and out-of-sample prediction.
会计准则要求金融机构必须根据金融工具的完全到期日来衡量违约风险。这需要预测未来的违约概率。对未来违约概率的预测涉及两个方面:预测宏观经济情景和预测未来平均(相对于宏观经济)违约概率。本文讨论了未来平均违约概率的建模问题。由于默认值和观测值的数量较少,这在企业领域提出了一个难题,并且需要一个简洁的模型来处理稀疏的数据情况。随着时间的推移,企业的违约概率会以不同的模式发生变化,而这种模式取决于初始评级等级,这加大了难度。对于初始投资级评级,违约风险增加,而对于评级等级底部的评级,违约概率降低。为了模拟这些不同的模式,本文提出扩展现有的离散时间生存模型,并在危险函数中加入一个额外的时间和协变量相关的形状参数。使用Standard &Poor的论文表明,形状参数能够再现不同的图案。将该模型与不使用形状参数的模型进行了基准测试,结果表明形状参数改善了样本内和样本外的预测。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate & Project Finance Valuation Techniques for Maximizing Returns & Superior Growth Strategies 公司和项目财务评估技术,最大化回报和卓越的增长战略
Pub Date : 2020-08-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3679413
N. Burgess
In this paper we review corporate and project finance techniques used to maximize investor returns and create superior growth strategies. We review the corporate finance concepts and tools used to evaluate investor returns and compare projects. Time value of money concepts can be used to evaluate the free cash flows generated by a project or corporate capital structure. Such studies empower managers to maximize returns, invest in projects that increase the firm value and prune or remedy activities that reduce firm value.

Firstly we introduce the concept that a company or project can be considered as a collection of cash flows and present the tools required to value such cash flows. Secondly we look at corporate & project finance techniques to estimate the cash flows of a broad range of corporate activities and projects. We conclude with a series of case studies where we evaluate a firm’s value, company takeover and acquisition premia and estimate bond financing costs. Finally we consider project finance initiatives, reviewing how to identify profitable investment opportunities and when to accept/reject a project. An Excel example workbook is provided with this paper.
在本文中,我们回顾了用于最大化投资者回报和创造卓越增长战略的公司和项目融资技术。我们回顾了用于评估投资者回报和比较项目的公司财务概念和工具。货币的时间价值概念可用于评估由项目或公司资本结构产生的自由现金流。这样的研究使管理者能够最大化回报,投资于增加公司价值的项目,并修剪或补救降低公司价值的活动。首先,我们引入了一个概念,即一个公司或项目可以被视为现金流的集合,并提出了评估这种现金流所需的工具。其次,我们看一下公司& &;项目融资技术,以估计现金流量的广泛的公司活动和项目。最后,我们通过一系列案例研究来评估公司价值、公司收购和收购溢价以及估算债券融资成本。最后,我们将考虑项目融资计划,审查如何识别有利可图的投资机会以及何时接受/拒绝项目。本文提供了一个Excel示例工作簿。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
European Finance eJournal
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