{"title":"Forecasting Super Typhoon Saola and its effects on Hong Kong","authors":"P. W. Chan, Y. H. He, Y. S. Lui","doi":"10.1002/wea.4569","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4569","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":23637,"journal":{"name":"Weather","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140829989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
David Quintero‐Plaza, Juan Jesús González‐Alemán, Cristo José Alejo‐Herrera, David Suárez‐Molina, César González‐Alejandre, Irene Soledad Peñate‐De La Rosa
Tropical Storm Hermine hit the Canary Islands on 24–26 September 2022 as an extremely anomalous tropical cyclone. Hermine formed from an Easterly Wave that travelled from Sudan to the Atlantic. Hermine headed north and interacted with an extratropical trough over the Canary Islands, following the conceptual model of a Predecessor Rain Event, with precipitation characterised mostly by continuous accumulation rather than by convective intensity. In this article, modelled 24h precipitation is verified with spatial methods against satellite and station observations. The performance of the ECMWF high‐resolution model was similar or perhaps even better than a local, higher resolution model.
{"title":"Verification of forecasted precipitation from Tropical Storm Hermine in the Canary Islands","authors":"David Quintero‐Plaza, Juan Jesús González‐Alemán, Cristo José Alejo‐Herrera, David Suárez‐Molina, César González‐Alejandre, Irene Soledad Peñate‐De La Rosa","doi":"10.1002/wea.4558","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4558","url":null,"abstract":"Tropical Storm <jats:italic>Hermine</jats:italic> hit the Canary Islands on 24–26 September 2022 as an extremely anomalous tropical cyclone. <jats:italic>Hermine</jats:italic> formed from an Easterly Wave that travelled from Sudan to the Atlantic. <jats:italic>Hermine</jats:italic> headed north and interacted with an extratropical trough over the Canary Islands, following the conceptual model of a Predecessor Rain Event, with precipitation characterised mostly by continuous accumulation rather than by convective intensity. In this article, modelled 24h precipitation is verified with spatial methods against satellite and station observations. The performance of the ECMWF high‐resolution model was similar or perhaps even better than a local, higher resolution model.","PeriodicalId":23637,"journal":{"name":"Weather","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140798764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
On 11 June 2023, a mesoscale convective system (MCS) developed over the southern UK producing heavy rainfall and numerous lightning strikes. The MCS formed from clusters of relatively small‐scale thundery showers south and west of the London area. These showers then merged together and grew upscale to form an organised convective system of the leading‐line trailing stratiform type with a large quasi‐circular cloud shield. Both surface‐based and elevated convection appears to have been involved. Heavy rainfall caused localised surface water flooding with a number of stations in southern England reporting event totals in excess of 1 inch (25.4mm).
{"title":"Thunderstorms coming up against the wind on 11 June 2023 – the development of a mesoscale convective system over southern England","authors":"W. S. Pike, D. J. Smart","doi":"10.1002/wea.4552","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4552","url":null,"abstract":"On 11 June 2023, a mesoscale convective system (MCS) developed over the southern UK producing heavy rainfall and numerous lightning strikes. The MCS formed from clusters of relatively small‐scale thundery showers south and west of the London area. These showers then merged together and grew <jats:italic>upscale</jats:italic> to form an organised convective system of the <jats:italic>leading‐line trailing stratiform</jats:italic> type with a large quasi‐circular cloud shield. Both surface‐based and elevated convection appears to have been involved. Heavy rainfall caused localised surface water flooding with a number of stations in southern England reporting event totals in excess of 1 inch (25.4mm).","PeriodicalId":23637,"journal":{"name":"Weather","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140578964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}