Pub Date : 2024-12-01DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240617-00514
Zhimei Zhong, Zengrui Wang, Sheng Qi, Chaoqian Li, Xia Yang
Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of acute severe asthma in adults.
Methods: Literature searches were conducted on PubMed, Cochrane, CNKI, VIP and Wanfang databases to screen randomized controlled trial (RCT) of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of acute severe asthma in adults, starting from the establishment of the database and ending on May 22, 2024. The control group received conventional treatment. The observation group was given intravenous magnesium sulfate on the basis of routine treatment. The outcome indexes included total effective rate, peak expiratory flow (PEF), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC) and other pulmonary function indexes, and incidence of adverse reactions. The selection of relevant literature, the collection of data needed for the study and the risk assessment of bias in the included study were all conducted independently by 2 researchers. Stata 12.0 software was used for Meta-analysis, and funnel plot was used to evaluate publication bias.
Results: Sixteen RCT studies with a total of 2 601 patients were included. Meta-analysis results showed that the total effective rate in the observation group was significantly higher than that in the control group [risk ratio (RR) = 1.11, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.03-1.20, P = 0.008]. In pulmonary function examination, PEF [weighted mean difference (WMD) = 0.70, 95%CI was 0.24-1.15, P = 0.003], FEV1 (WMD = 0.48, 95%CI was 0.29-0.68, P = 0.000) and FVC (WMD = 0.72, 95%CI was 0.47-0.97, P = 0.000) were significantly better than those in the control group. There was no significantly difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups (RR = 0.51, 95%CI was 0.17-1.55, P = 0.419). The funnel plot was drawn for the total effective rate, which showed that each study presented a symmetrical distribution, and the Begg's test (Z = 1.31, P = 0.189) and Egger's test (t = 1.18, P = 0.261) were combined to consider the small possibility of publication bias.
Conclusions: Current evidence shows that the use of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of acute severe asthma in adults increases the total response rate and improves lung function without increasing the incidence of adverse reactions. Due to the limited number and quality of included studies, the above conclusions need to be verified by more high-quality studies high-quality studies.
{"title":"[Efficacy and safety of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of adult patients with acute severe asthma: a Meta-analysis].","authors":"Zhimei Zhong, Zengrui Wang, Sheng Qi, Chaoqian Li, Xia Yang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240617-00514","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240617-00514","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To evaluate the efficacy and safety of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of acute severe asthma in adults.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Literature searches were conducted on PubMed, Cochrane, CNKI, VIP and Wanfang databases to screen randomized controlled trial (RCT) of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of acute severe asthma in adults, starting from the establishment of the database and ending on May 22, 2024. The control group received conventional treatment. The observation group was given intravenous magnesium sulfate on the basis of routine treatment. The outcome indexes included total effective rate, peak expiratory flow (PEF), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC) and other pulmonary function indexes, and incidence of adverse reactions. The selection of relevant literature, the collection of data needed for the study and the risk assessment of bias in the included study were all conducted independently by 2 researchers. Stata 12.0 software was used for Meta-analysis, and funnel plot was used to evaluate publication bias.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Sixteen RCT studies with a total of 2 601 patients were included. Meta-analysis results showed that the total effective rate in the observation group was significantly higher than that in the control group [risk ratio (RR) = 1.11, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.03-1.20, P = 0.008]. In pulmonary function examination, PEF [weighted mean difference (WMD) = 0.70, 95%CI was 0.24-1.15, P = 0.003], FEV1 (WMD = 0.48, 95%CI was 0.29-0.68, P = 0.000) and FVC (WMD = 0.72, 95%CI was 0.47-0.97, P = 0.000) were significantly better than those in the control group. There was no significantly difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups (RR = 0.51, 95%CI was 0.17-1.55, P = 0.419). The funnel plot was drawn for the total effective rate, which showed that each study presented a symmetrical distribution, and the Begg's test (Z = 1.31, P = 0.189) and Egger's test (t = 1.18, P = 0.261) were combined to consider the small possibility of publication bias.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Current evidence shows that the use of magnesium sulfate in the treatment of acute severe asthma in adults increases the total response rate and improves lung function without increasing the incidence of adverse reactions. Due to the limited number and quality of included studies, the above conclusions need to be verified by more high-quality studies high-quality studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 12","pages":"1256-1260"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142955781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the prognostic value of albumin (ALB), aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT) in patients with acute liver failure (ALF) in hyperacute phase of sepsis which provided the basis for clinical evaluation and prognostic judgment and corresponding treatment options.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted. Patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis admitted to Zhoupu Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Health College, Shanghai Pudong New Area People's Hospital, and Shanghai Oriental Hospital from January 2019 to February 2024 were enrolled. General data such as gender and age of the patients were collected. Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), liver function indexes [total bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL), AST, ALT, AST/ALT, ALB, total protein (TP), globulin (GLB), ALB/GLB ratio (A/G), blood amine, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT)], platelet count (PLT), creatinine, activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), severity of illness scores [acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA)], serum procalcitonin (PCT), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), arterial blood lactic acid (Lac) within 24 hours after admission, and whether to use mechanical ventilation, whether to use vasoactive drugs, whether to use artificial liver treatment and prognosis during hospitalization also were collected. The differences of clinical data between patients with different prognosis were compared. The variables with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis to determine the independent risk factors for death of patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis during hospitalization. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of ALB and AST/ALT for death of patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis during hospitalization.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 73 patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis were included, with 22 survived and 51 died during hospitalization and the mortality of 69.86%. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group had lower ALB, γ-GT within 24 hours after admission and proportion of artificial liver treatment, and higher AST/ALT, SOFA score, LDH and proportion of use of vasoactive drugs. The differences were statistically significant. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that ALB and AST/ALT were the independent risk factors for death in patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis during hospitalization [ALB: odds ratio (OR) = 0.856, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.736-0.996, P = 0.044; AST/ALT: OR = 2.018, 95%CI was 1.137-3.580, P = 0.016]. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of ALB for predicting in-hospital death in patients with ALF i
{"title":"[Prognostic value of albumin and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio in patients with acute liver failure in hyperacute phase of sepsis: a multicenter retrospective cohort study].","authors":"Xiaozhou Li, Qianqian Yin, Guangkuo Zhao, Yanan Hai, Zhiping Sun, Yunli Chang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240426-00386","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240426-00386","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the prognostic value of albumin (ALB), aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT) in patients with acute liver failure (ALF) in hyperacute phase of sepsis which provided the basis for clinical evaluation and prognostic judgment and corresponding treatment options.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted. Patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis admitted to Zhoupu Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Health College, Shanghai Pudong New Area People's Hospital, and Shanghai Oriental Hospital from January 2019 to February 2024 were enrolled. General data such as gender and age of the patients were collected. Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), liver function indexes [total bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL), AST, ALT, AST/ALT, ALB, total protein (TP), globulin (GLB), ALB/GLB ratio (A/G), blood amine, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT)], platelet count (PLT), creatinine, activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), severity of illness scores [acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA)], serum procalcitonin (PCT), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), arterial blood lactic acid (Lac) within 24 hours after admission, and whether to use mechanical ventilation, whether to use vasoactive drugs, whether to use artificial liver treatment and prognosis during hospitalization also were collected. The differences of clinical data between patients with different prognosis were compared. The variables with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis to determine the independent risk factors for death of patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis during hospitalization. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of ALB and AST/ALT for death of patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis during hospitalization.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 73 patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis were included, with 22 survived and 51 died during hospitalization and the mortality of 69.86%. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group had lower ALB, γ-GT within 24 hours after admission and proportion of artificial liver treatment, and higher AST/ALT, SOFA score, LDH and proportion of use of vasoactive drugs. The differences were statistically significant. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that ALB and AST/ALT were the independent risk factors for death in patients with ALF in hyperacute phase of sepsis during hospitalization [ALB: odds ratio (OR) = 0.856, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.736-0.996, P = 0.044; AST/ALT: OR = 2.018, 95%CI was 1.137-3.580, P = 0.016]. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of ALB for predicting in-hospital death in patients with ALF i","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1121-1126"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855643","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Objective: To provide evidence-based recommendations for the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) patients during treatment according to search, evaluate, and summarize the best evidence on the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in patients with VA-ECMO.
Methods: Based on the PIPOST framework (population, intervention, professional, outcome, setting, and type of evidence), an evidence-based question was formulated. A systematic search was conducted according to the "6S" evidence pyramid model in both domestic and international databases, as well as professional association websites, for all evidence related to the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in VA-ECMO patients (aged ≥18 years). The types of evidence included clinical decisions, guidelines, expert consensus, systematic reviews, evidence summaries, and original studies. The search was conducted from the construction of the databases to February 2024. Two researchers independently conducted a literature quality evaluation, extracted and summarized evidence from the studies that met the quality criteria.
Results: A total of 13 articles were included, consisting of 3 clinical decisions, 3 guidelines, 3 expert consensus, 3 systematic reviews, and 1 randomized controlled trial. A total of 18 pieces of evidence in 7 dimensions were summarized, including risk factors of VA-ECMO lower limb ischemia, evaluation before catheterization, evaluation and monitoring during treatment, prevention of lower limb ischemia, treatment of lower limb ischemia, management of distal perfusion catheter (DPC), and monitoring after VA-ECMO weaning.
Conclusions: This evidence summary provides evidence-based recommendations for the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in VA-ECMO patients, aiming to assist clinical healthcare professionals in developing tailored strategies for the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia based on during VA-ECMO support.
{"title":"[Best evidence summary of prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in patients with veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation].","authors":"Lihua Chen, Xinning Wang, Jing Wang, Tingting He, Yao Huang, Qingqing Sheng, Yufeng Tan, Shuqin Zhang, Xiaoqun Huang, Mengmeng Xu, Ling Sang, Jie Zhang, Yonghao Xu","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240319-00255","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240319-00255","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To provide evidence-based recommendations for the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) patients during treatment according to search, evaluate, and summarize the best evidence on the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in patients with VA-ECMO.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Based on the PIPOST framework (population, intervention, professional, outcome, setting, and type of evidence), an evidence-based question was formulated. A systematic search was conducted according to the \"6S\" evidence pyramid model in both domestic and international databases, as well as professional association websites, for all evidence related to the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in VA-ECMO patients (aged ≥18 years). The types of evidence included clinical decisions, guidelines, expert consensus, systematic reviews, evidence summaries, and original studies. The search was conducted from the construction of the databases to February 2024. Two researchers independently conducted a literature quality evaluation, extracted and summarized evidence from the studies that met the quality criteria.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 13 articles were included, consisting of 3 clinical decisions, 3 guidelines, 3 expert consensus, 3 systematic reviews, and 1 randomized controlled trial. A total of 18 pieces of evidence in 7 dimensions were summarized, including risk factors of VA-ECMO lower limb ischemia, evaluation before catheterization, evaluation and monitoring during treatment, prevention of lower limb ischemia, treatment of lower limb ischemia, management of distal perfusion catheter (DPC), and monitoring after VA-ECMO weaning.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This evidence summary provides evidence-based recommendations for the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia in VA-ECMO patients, aiming to assist clinical healthcare professionals in developing tailored strategies for the prevention and management of lower limb ischemia based on during VA-ECMO support.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1190-1195"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-01DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240624-00536
Qin Xu, Lungang Li, Yuhong Yang, Fan Zeng
Sepsis is a prevalent form of acute and critical illness encountered in intensive care unit (ICU), characterized by a high mortality and cognitive impairments among survivors. The pathogenesis of sepsis primarily involves immune dysfunction and excessive oxidative stress. Consequently, immune modulation, along with anti-inflammatory and antioxidant strategies, has emerged as a focal point in the treatment of sepsis. Recent studies have highlighted the potential of B vitamins to modulate immune cell activity while exhibiting anti-inflammatory and antioxidant properties, thereby garnering significant interest regarding their therapeutic efficacy in sepsis management. Notably, vitamin B2 and vitamin B9 are recognized for their roles in regulating immune cells and facilitating immune modulation. Vitamins B1, B2, B6, and B12 demonstrate notable anti-inflammatory and antioxidant effects. Specifically, vitamin B1 exerts its antioxidant influence through the regulation of the tricarboxylic acid cycle while mitigating inflammation by modulating inflammatory factor levels in septic patients-an application that has been integrated into clinical practice. The anti-inflammatory action of vitamin B2 is achieved through the regulation of inflammatory mediators in septic patients alongside reducing inflammasome activation within macrophages. Vitamin B6 contributes to both anti-inflammatory responses and antioxidative defense by scavenging free radicals and enhancing the production of antioxidant enzymes. Furthermore, vitamins B1, B6, B9, and B14 have shown promise in improving neurocognitive function among individuals suffering from sepsis. This article reviews the immunomodulatory functions as well as the anti-inflammatory and antioxidative effects associated with various B vitamins while exploring their applications within sepsis treatment to propose novel therapeutic avenues.
{"title":"[Research progress on B vitamins in the treatment of sepsis].","authors":"Qin Xu, Lungang Li, Yuhong Yang, Fan Zeng","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240624-00536","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240624-00536","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Sepsis is a prevalent form of acute and critical illness encountered in intensive care unit (ICU), characterized by a high mortality and cognitive impairments among survivors. The pathogenesis of sepsis primarily involves immune dysfunction and excessive oxidative stress. Consequently, immune modulation, along with anti-inflammatory and antioxidant strategies, has emerged as a focal point in the treatment of sepsis. Recent studies have highlighted the potential of B vitamins to modulate immune cell activity while exhibiting anti-inflammatory and antioxidant properties, thereby garnering significant interest regarding their therapeutic efficacy in sepsis management. Notably, vitamin B2 and vitamin B9 are recognized for their roles in regulating immune cells and facilitating immune modulation. Vitamins B1, B2, B6, and B12 demonstrate notable anti-inflammatory and antioxidant effects. Specifically, vitamin B1 exerts its antioxidant influence through the regulation of the tricarboxylic acid cycle while mitigating inflammation by modulating inflammatory factor levels in septic patients-an application that has been integrated into clinical practice. The anti-inflammatory action of vitamin B2 is achieved through the regulation of inflammatory mediators in septic patients alongside reducing inflammasome activation within macrophages. Vitamin B6 contributes to both anti-inflammatory responses and antioxidative defense by scavenging free radicals and enhancing the production of antioxidant enzymes. Furthermore, vitamins B1, B6, B9, and B14 have shown promise in improving neurocognitive function among individuals suffering from sepsis. This article reviews the immunomodulatory functions as well as the anti-inflammatory and antioxidative effects associated with various B vitamins while exploring their applications within sepsis treatment to propose novel therapeutic avenues.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1221-1225"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a non-invasive pre-hospital screening model and early based on artificial intelligence algorithms to provide the severity of stroke in patients, provide screening, guidance and early warning for stroke patients and their families, and provide data support for clinical decision-making.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective study was conducted. The clinical information of stroke patients (n = 53 793) were extracted from the Yidu cloud big data server system of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January 1, 2001 to July 31, 2023. Combined with the results of single factor screening and the opinions of experts with senior professional titles in neurology, the input variable was determined, and the output variable was the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) representing the severity of the disease at admission. Python 3.7 was used to build DeepFM algorithm model, and five data mining models including Logistic regression, CART decision tree, C5.0 decision tree, Bayesian network and deep neural network (DNN) were built at the same time. The original data were randomly divided into 80% training set and 20% test set, which were used to train and test the models, adjust the parameters of each model, respectively calculate the accuracy, sensitivity and F-index of the six models, carry out the comprehensive comparison and evaluation of the model. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curve were drawn, compared the prediction performance of DeepFM model and the other five algorithms. In addition, the data of stroke patients (n = 1 028) were extracted from Dalian Central Hospital for external verification of the model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 14 015 stroke patients with complete information were selected, including 11 212 in the training set and 2 803 in the testing set. After univariate screening, 14 indicators were included to construct the model, including gender, age, recurrence, physical impairment, facial problems, speech disorders, head reactions, disturbance of consciousness, visual disorders, abnormal cough and swallowing, high risk factor, family history, smoking history and drinking history. DeepFM model adopted the two-order crossover feature. The number of hidden layers in DNN layer was 3. Dropout was used to discard the neurons in the neural network. Rule was used as the activation function. Each layer used Dense full connection. The objective function was random gradient descent. The number of iterations was 15. There were 133 922 training parameters in total. Comparing the predictive value of the six models showed that the accuracy of DeepFM model was 0.951, the sensitivity was 0.992, the specificity was 0.814, the F-index was 0.950, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.916. The accuracy of the other five data mining models was between 0.771-0.780, the sensitivity was between 0.978-0.987, the
{"title":"[Construction and external validation of a non-invasive pre-hospital screening model for stroke patients: a study based on artificial intelligence DeepFM algorithm].","authors":"Chenyu Liu, Ce Zhang, Yuanhui Chi, Chunye Ma, Lihong Zhang, Shuliang Chen","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240526-00461","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240526-00461","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a non-invasive pre-hospital screening model and early based on artificial intelligence algorithms to provide the severity of stroke in patients, provide screening, guidance and early warning for stroke patients and their families, and provide data support for clinical decision-making.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective study was conducted. The clinical information of stroke patients (n = 53 793) were extracted from the Yidu cloud big data server system of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January 1, 2001 to July 31, 2023. Combined with the results of single factor screening and the opinions of experts with senior professional titles in neurology, the input variable was determined, and the output variable was the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) representing the severity of the disease at admission. Python 3.7 was used to build DeepFM algorithm model, and five data mining models including Logistic regression, CART decision tree, C5.0 decision tree, Bayesian network and deep neural network (DNN) were built at the same time. The original data were randomly divided into 80% training set and 20% test set, which were used to train and test the models, adjust the parameters of each model, respectively calculate the accuracy, sensitivity and F-index of the six models, carry out the comprehensive comparison and evaluation of the model. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curve were drawn, compared the prediction performance of DeepFM model and the other five algorithms. In addition, the data of stroke patients (n = 1 028) were extracted from Dalian Central Hospital for external verification of the model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 14 015 stroke patients with complete information were selected, including 11 212 in the training set and 2 803 in the testing set. After univariate screening, 14 indicators were included to construct the model, including gender, age, recurrence, physical impairment, facial problems, speech disorders, head reactions, disturbance of consciousness, visual disorders, abnormal cough and swallowing, high risk factor, family history, smoking history and drinking history. DeepFM model adopted the two-order crossover feature. The number of hidden layers in DNN layer was 3. Dropout was used to discard the neurons in the neural network. Rule was used as the activation function. Each layer used Dense full connection. The objective function was random gradient descent. The number of iterations was 15. There were 133 922 training parameters in total. Comparing the predictive value of the six models showed that the accuracy of DeepFM model was 0.951, the sensitivity was 0.992, the specificity was 0.814, the F-index was 0.950, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.916. The accuracy of the other five data mining models was between 0.771-0.780, the sensitivity was between 0.978-0.987, the ","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1163-1168"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855617","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To explore the protective effect and mechanism of acetate on sepsis-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) in rats.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were divided into sham operation group (Sham group), sepsis group caused by cecal ligation and puncture (CLP group), and acetate pretreatment group [NaA group, gavage sodium acetate (NaA) 300 mg/kg twice a day for 7 consecutive days before CLP] using a random number table method, with 7 rats in each group. The blood was taken from the main abdominal artery 24 hours after modeling, and renal tissue was collected from the rats. Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the serum levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1). The concentration of serum acetate was determined by high performance liquid chromatography. The level of malondialdehyde (MDA) in renal tissue was detected by thiobarbituric acid method. Myeloperoxidase (MPO) in renal tissue was detected by colorimetric method. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe histopathological changes and assess renal tubule injury score. Western blotting was used to detect the protein expressions of G-protein coupled receptor 43 (GPR43) and adenosine monophosphate-activated protein kinase/silence infor-mation regulator 1/peroxlsome proliferator-activated receptor-γ coactlvator-1α (AMPK/SIRT1/PGC-1α) pathway. The positive expressions of GPR43, phosphorylation-AMPK (p-AMPK), SIRT1, PGC-1α were detected by immunohistochemistry.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Compared with Sham group, the serum levels of IL-6, TNF-α and KIM-1 were significantly increased in CLP group, the contents of MDA and MPO in renal tissue were increased, and the content of acetate was significantly decreased. HE staining results showed that most of the tubular epithelial cells were denaturated with local necrosis, a large number of brush border injuries and shedding, tubular structure destruction and fragmentation, and more inflammatory cells infiltrated the renal interstitium, the renal tubular injury score significantly increased. The expressions of GPR43, p-AMPK/AMPK, SIRT1, and PGC-1α in renal tissue were significantly reduced, indicating renal injury and increased levels of oxidative stress and inflammation in septic rats. Compared with the CLP group, the serum levels of IL-6, TNF-α and KIM-1 in the NaA group were decreased [IL-6 (ng/L): 126.20±6.23 vs. 161.00±17.37, TNF-α (ng/L): 85.59±7.70 vs. 123.50±17.78, KIM-1 (μg/L): 2.92±0.38 vs. 4.73±0.36, all P < 0.05]. The contents of MDA and MPO in renal tissue were significantly decreased [MDA (μmol/g): 6.56±0.18 vs. 8.53±0.34, MPO (U/g): 2.99±0.20 vs. 3.72±0.29, both P < 0.05]. HE staining showed that kidney injury had been alleviated, with a decrease in renal tubular injury score [1 (1, 2) vs. 3 (2, 3), P < 0.05]. Western blotting showed that the expressions of GPR43 and AMPK/SIRT1/PGC-1α pathwa
{"title":"[Effect and related mechanism of acetate in alleviating acute kidney injury in septic rats through G-protein coupled receptor 43].","authors":"Xingyu Shi, Jiayu Xing, Yi Wang, Jian Li, Ruifeng Chai, Xiangyou Yu","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231025-00902","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231025-00902","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To explore the protective effect and mechanism of acetate on sepsis-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) in rats.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were divided into sham operation group (Sham group), sepsis group caused by cecal ligation and puncture (CLP group), and acetate pretreatment group [NaA group, gavage sodium acetate (NaA) 300 mg/kg twice a day for 7 consecutive days before CLP] using a random number table method, with 7 rats in each group. The blood was taken from the main abdominal artery 24 hours after modeling, and renal tissue was collected from the rats. Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the serum levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1). The concentration of serum acetate was determined by high performance liquid chromatography. The level of malondialdehyde (MDA) in renal tissue was detected by thiobarbituric acid method. Myeloperoxidase (MPO) in renal tissue was detected by colorimetric method. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe histopathological changes and assess renal tubule injury score. Western blotting was used to detect the protein expressions of G-protein coupled receptor 43 (GPR43) and adenosine monophosphate-activated protein kinase/silence infor-mation regulator 1/peroxlsome proliferator-activated receptor-γ coactlvator-1α (AMPK/SIRT1/PGC-1α) pathway. The positive expressions of GPR43, phosphorylation-AMPK (p-AMPK), SIRT1, PGC-1α were detected by immunohistochemistry.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Compared with Sham group, the serum levels of IL-6, TNF-α and KIM-1 were significantly increased in CLP group, the contents of MDA and MPO in renal tissue were increased, and the content of acetate was significantly decreased. HE staining results showed that most of the tubular epithelial cells were denaturated with local necrosis, a large number of brush border injuries and shedding, tubular structure destruction and fragmentation, and more inflammatory cells infiltrated the renal interstitium, the renal tubular injury score significantly increased. The expressions of GPR43, p-AMPK/AMPK, SIRT1, and PGC-1α in renal tissue were significantly reduced, indicating renal injury and increased levels of oxidative stress and inflammation in septic rats. Compared with the CLP group, the serum levels of IL-6, TNF-α and KIM-1 in the NaA group were decreased [IL-6 (ng/L): 126.20±6.23 vs. 161.00±17.37, TNF-α (ng/L): 85.59±7.70 vs. 123.50±17.78, KIM-1 (μg/L): 2.92±0.38 vs. 4.73±0.36, all P < 0.05]. The contents of MDA and MPO in renal tissue were significantly decreased [MDA (μmol/g): 6.56±0.18 vs. 8.53±0.34, MPO (U/g): 2.99±0.20 vs. 3.72±0.29, both P < 0.05]. HE staining showed that kidney injury had been alleviated, with a decrease in renal tubular injury score [1 (1, 2) vs. 3 (2, 3), P < 0.05]. Western blotting showed that the expressions of GPR43 and AMPK/SIRT1/PGC-1α pathwa","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1147-1152"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-01DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240202-00108
Qifen Guo, Tao Ding, Ran Zeng, Min Shao
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a nomogram prediction model for 28-day mortality in septic shock patients based on routine laboratory data mining and verify its predictive value.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The clinical data of patients with septic shock admitted to Anhui Medical University Affiliated Fuyang Hospital from January 2018 to November 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly divided into training set and validation set according to the ratio of 8 : 2. The patient's gender, age, body mass index, underlying disease, smoking history, alcohol history, infection site, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), respiratory rate, heart rate, mean arterial pressure, blood lactate, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, white blood cell count, platelet count, serum alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, fibrinogen, D-dimer, albumin on the first day of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), duration of mechanical ventilation, and length of ICU stay were collected. The patients were divided into survival and death groups based on their 28-day prognosis. The factors influencing 28-day mortality were analyzed, and routine laboratory data were used to develop a nomogram model for predicting the risk of 28-day mortality in septic shock patients. The model was validated and assessed using the Bootstrap method, calibration curve, and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Finally, 128 patients with septic shock were enrolled, and 32 (31.07%) death within 28-day of 103 patients in the training set, 8 (32.00%) death within 28-day of 25 patients in the validation set. Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE II score [odds ratio (OR) = 5.254, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.161-12.769], SOFA score (OR = 4.909, 95%CI was 2.020-11.930), blood lactate (OR = 4.419, 95%CI was 1.818-10.741), procalcitonin (OR = 4.358, 95%CI was 1.793-10.591) were significant factors influencing 28-day mortality in septic shock patients (all P < 0.01). Taking the above influencing factors as predictors, a nomogram model was established, with a total score of 89-374, corresponding to a mortality risk of 0.07-0.89. The results of nomogram model validation showed that the C-index was 0.801 (95%CI was 0.759-0.832), and the correction curve for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock was close to the ideal curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ <sup>2</sup> = 0.263, P = 0.512. The results of the ROC curve of the training set showed that the nomogram model had a sensitivity of 78.13% (95%CI was 59.57%-90.06%), a specificity of 80.28% (95%CI was 68.80%-88.43%) and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.854 (95%CI was 0.776-0.937) in predicting 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock. The results of the validation set ROC curve showed that the nomogram model h
{"title":"[Establishment of a nomogram prediction model for 28-day mortality of septic shock patients based on routine laboratory data mining].","authors":"Qifen Guo, Tao Ding, Ran Zeng, Min Shao","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240202-00108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240202-00108","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a nomogram prediction model for 28-day mortality in septic shock patients based on routine laboratory data mining and verify its predictive value.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The clinical data of patients with septic shock admitted to Anhui Medical University Affiliated Fuyang Hospital from January 2018 to November 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly divided into training set and validation set according to the ratio of 8 : 2. The patient's gender, age, body mass index, underlying disease, smoking history, alcohol history, infection site, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), respiratory rate, heart rate, mean arterial pressure, blood lactate, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, white blood cell count, platelet count, serum alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, fibrinogen, D-dimer, albumin on the first day of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), duration of mechanical ventilation, and length of ICU stay were collected. The patients were divided into survival and death groups based on their 28-day prognosis. The factors influencing 28-day mortality were analyzed, and routine laboratory data were used to develop a nomogram model for predicting the risk of 28-day mortality in septic shock patients. The model was validated and assessed using the Bootstrap method, calibration curve, and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Finally, 128 patients with septic shock were enrolled, and 32 (31.07%) death within 28-day of 103 patients in the training set, 8 (32.00%) death within 28-day of 25 patients in the validation set. Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE II score [odds ratio (OR) = 5.254, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.161-12.769], SOFA score (OR = 4.909, 95%CI was 2.020-11.930), blood lactate (OR = 4.419, 95%CI was 1.818-10.741), procalcitonin (OR = 4.358, 95%CI was 1.793-10.591) were significant factors influencing 28-day mortality in septic shock patients (all P < 0.01). Taking the above influencing factors as predictors, a nomogram model was established, with a total score of 89-374, corresponding to a mortality risk of 0.07-0.89. The results of nomogram model validation showed that the C-index was 0.801 (95%CI was 0.759-0.832), and the correction curve for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock was close to the ideal curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ <sup>2</sup> = 0.263, P = 0.512. The results of the ROC curve of the training set showed that the nomogram model had a sensitivity of 78.13% (95%CI was 59.57%-90.06%), a specificity of 80.28% (95%CI was 68.80%-88.43%) and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.854 (95%CI was 0.776-0.937) in predicting 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock. The results of the validation set ROC curve showed that the nomogram model h","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1127-1132"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855640","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-01DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230606-00423
Fei Tong, Genlin Lu, Aibing Wu, Renya Jiang
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate whether hydrogen sulfide (H<sub>2</sub>S) protects against intestinal ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury in rats by regulating c-Jun N-terminal kinase/activator protein-1 (JNK/AP-1) signaling pathway.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Thirty male Wistar rats were divided into sham operated group (Sham group), I/R group, and H<sub>2</sub>S donor sodium hydrosulfide (NaHS) intervention group (I/R+NaHS group), with 10 rats in each group. The I/R injury model was established by blocking the superior mesenteric artery with a non-traumatic vascular clip, with 60 minutes of ischemia followed by 120 minutes of reperfusion. In the I/R+NaHS group, 100 μmol/kg of NaHS was injected through the tail vein 10 minutes before reperfusion, followed by continuous infusion of 1.07 mmol×kg<sup>-1</sup>×h<sup>-1</sup> until the end of the 120-minute reperfusion period. Plasma H<sub>2</sub>S concentration was measured using a sensitive sulfur electrode. Malondialdehyde (MDA) and superoxide dismutase (SOD) levels in the small intestine tissue were assayed spectrophotometrically. Histological sections of the small intestine were stained with hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and scored using the Chiu scoring system to assess the degree of intestinal mucosal injury. Western blotting was used to detect the protein expressions of phosphated-JNK (p-JNK), JNK, AP-1, and BCL-2 in the small intestine tissue.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Compared with the Sham group, the I/R group exhibited damage to the lamina propria, hemorrhage, and ulceration, with a significantly higher Chiu score (4.80±0.63 vs. 0.70±0.09, P < 0.01); plasma H<sub>2</sub>S concentration and SOD activity in the ileum tissue were significantly reduced [H<sub>2</sub>S (μmol/L): 17.29±1.40 vs. 34.62±1.48, SOD (kU/g): 5.38±0.93 vs. 20.56±1.85, both P < 0.01], while MDA level was significantly elevated (μmol/g: 16.06±1.71 vs. 4.80±0.92, P < 0.01); expression of BCL-2 protein in the ileum tissue was significantly down-regulated (BCL-2/β-actin: 0.32±0.06 vs. 0.79±0.05, P < 0.01), while expressions of p-JNK and AP-1 proteins were significantly up-regulated (p-JNK/β-actin: 0.69±0.03 vs. 0.10±0.03, AP-1/β-actin: 0.82±0.02 vs. 0.22±0.02, both P < 0.01). Compared with the I/R group, the I/R+NaHS group showed moderate separation between the epithelial and lamina propria layers, with partial damage to the tips of the villi; the Chiu score was significantly lower (2.90±0.56 vs. 4.80±0.63, P < 0.01); plasma H<sub>2</sub>S concentration and SOD activity in the ileum tissue were significantly increased [H<sub>2</sub>S (μmol/L): 24.48±1.84 vs. 17.29±1.40, SOD (kU/g): 10.29±1.26 vs. 5.38±0.93, both P < 0.01], while MDA level was significantly reduced (μmol/g: 7.88±1.01 vs. 16.06±1.71, P < 0.01); expression of BCL-2 protein in the ileum tissue was significantly up-regulated (BCL-2/β-actin: 0.44±0.06 vs. 0.32±0.06, P < 0.01), while expressions of p-JNK and AP-1 proteins were significantl
{"title":"[Protective effect of hydrogen sulfide on intestinal ischemia/reperfusion injury in rats by regulating c-Jun N-terminal kinase/activator protein-1 signaling pathway].","authors":"Fei Tong, Genlin Lu, Aibing Wu, Renya Jiang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230606-00423","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230606-00423","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate whether hydrogen sulfide (H<sub>2</sub>S) protects against intestinal ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury in rats by regulating c-Jun N-terminal kinase/activator protein-1 (JNK/AP-1) signaling pathway.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Thirty male Wistar rats were divided into sham operated group (Sham group), I/R group, and H<sub>2</sub>S donor sodium hydrosulfide (NaHS) intervention group (I/R+NaHS group), with 10 rats in each group. The I/R injury model was established by blocking the superior mesenteric artery with a non-traumatic vascular clip, with 60 minutes of ischemia followed by 120 minutes of reperfusion. In the I/R+NaHS group, 100 μmol/kg of NaHS was injected through the tail vein 10 minutes before reperfusion, followed by continuous infusion of 1.07 mmol×kg<sup>-1</sup>×h<sup>-1</sup> until the end of the 120-minute reperfusion period. Plasma H<sub>2</sub>S concentration was measured using a sensitive sulfur electrode. Malondialdehyde (MDA) and superoxide dismutase (SOD) levels in the small intestine tissue were assayed spectrophotometrically. Histological sections of the small intestine were stained with hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and scored using the Chiu scoring system to assess the degree of intestinal mucosal injury. Western blotting was used to detect the protein expressions of phosphated-JNK (p-JNK), JNK, AP-1, and BCL-2 in the small intestine tissue.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Compared with the Sham group, the I/R group exhibited damage to the lamina propria, hemorrhage, and ulceration, with a significantly higher Chiu score (4.80±0.63 vs. 0.70±0.09, P < 0.01); plasma H<sub>2</sub>S concentration and SOD activity in the ileum tissue were significantly reduced [H<sub>2</sub>S (μmol/L): 17.29±1.40 vs. 34.62±1.48, SOD (kU/g): 5.38±0.93 vs. 20.56±1.85, both P < 0.01], while MDA level was significantly elevated (μmol/g: 16.06±1.71 vs. 4.80±0.92, P < 0.01); expression of BCL-2 protein in the ileum tissue was significantly down-regulated (BCL-2/β-actin: 0.32±0.06 vs. 0.79±0.05, P < 0.01), while expressions of p-JNK and AP-1 proteins were significantly up-regulated (p-JNK/β-actin: 0.69±0.03 vs. 0.10±0.03, AP-1/β-actin: 0.82±0.02 vs. 0.22±0.02, both P < 0.01). Compared with the I/R group, the I/R+NaHS group showed moderate separation between the epithelial and lamina propria layers, with partial damage to the tips of the villi; the Chiu score was significantly lower (2.90±0.56 vs. 4.80±0.63, P < 0.01); plasma H<sub>2</sub>S concentration and SOD activity in the ileum tissue were significantly increased [H<sub>2</sub>S (μmol/L): 24.48±1.84 vs. 17.29±1.40, SOD (kU/g): 10.29±1.26 vs. 5.38±0.93, both P < 0.01], while MDA level was significantly reduced (μmol/g: 7.88±1.01 vs. 16.06±1.71, P < 0.01); expression of BCL-2 protein in the ileum tissue was significantly up-regulated (BCL-2/β-actin: 0.44±0.06 vs. 0.32±0.06, P < 0.01), while expressions of p-JNK and AP-1 proteins were significantl","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1179-1182"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855699","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Objective: To construction the risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and develop a prediction model for assessing these risks.
Methods: SAP patients admitted to the department of emergency of Hebei Province Cangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine from January 2015 to December 2023 were retrospectively selected as the study subjects. The 75% of hospital stay was used as the cut-off point, and the patients were categorized into a normal group and an extended group. Clinical indicators of patients were collected, and independent risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients were analyzed using multifactor Logistic regression. A prediction model was established, and a nomogram was created. The efficiency of the prediction model was evaluated using a receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). The accuracy of the model was assessed using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical applicability of the model. Finally, internal validation of the model was conducted using Bootstrap method.
Results: A total of 510 patients with SAP were included, and the length of hospital stay was 18 (6, 44) days, including 400 cases in the normal group (<24 days) and 110 cases in the extended group (≥24 days). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that abdominal effusion [odds ratio (OR) = 4.163, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.105-8.234], acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II; OR = 1.320, 95%CI was 1.185-1.470), C-reactive protein (CRP; OR = 1.006, 95%CI was 1.002-1.011), modified CT severity index (MCTSI; OR = 1.461, 95%CI was 1.213-1.758), procalcitonin (PCT; OR = 1.303, 95%CI was 1.095-1.550) and albumin (OR = 0.510, 95%CI was 0.419-0.622) were independent risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients (all P < 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.922 (95%CI was 0.896-0.947), the optimal cut-off value was 0.726, the sensitivity was 87.3%, and the specificity was 85.3%. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ 2 = 5.79, P = 0.671. It showed that the prediction model had good prediction efficiency and fit degree. The DCA curve showed that the prediction probability of the model could bring more clinical benefits to patients at 0.1 to 0.7. Bootstrap internal verification showed that the model had a high consistency (AUC = 0.916).
Conclusions: Abdominal effusion, high APACHE II score, high CRP, high MCTSI, high PCT and low albumin level are significantly associated with prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients. The prediction model can help clinicians make more scientific clinical decisions for SAP patients.
{"title":"[Construction and validation of a prediction model for prolonged hospitalization in patients with severe acute pancreatitis].","authors":"Qianqian Liu, Liuyi Ma, Dongdong Han, Min Gao, Yuan Tian, Xiaoyan Zhou","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240208-00122","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240208-00122","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construction the risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and develop a prediction model for assessing these risks.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>SAP patients admitted to the department of emergency of Hebei Province Cangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine from January 2015 to December 2023 were retrospectively selected as the study subjects. The 75% of hospital stay was used as the cut-off point, and the patients were categorized into a normal group and an extended group. Clinical indicators of patients were collected, and independent risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients were analyzed using multifactor Logistic regression. A prediction model was established, and a nomogram was created. The efficiency of the prediction model was evaluated using a receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). The accuracy of the model was assessed using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical applicability of the model. Finally, internal validation of the model was conducted using Bootstrap method.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 510 patients with SAP were included, and the length of hospital stay was 18 (6, 44) days, including 400 cases in the normal group (<24 days) and 110 cases in the extended group (≥24 days). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that abdominal effusion [odds ratio (OR) = 4.163, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.105-8.234], acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II; OR = 1.320, 95%CI was 1.185-1.470), C-reactive protein (CRP; OR = 1.006, 95%CI was 1.002-1.011), modified CT severity index (MCTSI; OR = 1.461, 95%CI was 1.213-1.758), procalcitonin (PCT; OR = 1.303, 95%CI was 1.095-1.550) and albumin (OR = 0.510, 95%CI was 0.419-0.622) were independent risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients (all P < 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.922 (95%CI was 0.896-0.947), the optimal cut-off value was 0.726, the sensitivity was 87.3%, and the specificity was 85.3%. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ <sup>2</sup> = 5.79, P = 0.671. It showed that the prediction model had good prediction efficiency and fit degree. The DCA curve showed that the prediction probability of the model could bring more clinical benefits to patients at 0.1 to 0.7. Bootstrap internal verification showed that the model had a high consistency (AUC = 0.916).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Abdominal effusion, high APACHE II score, high CRP, high MCTSI, high PCT and low albumin level are significantly associated with prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients. The prediction model can help clinicians make more scientific clinical decisions for SAP patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1174-1178"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855620","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-01DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240424-00374
Libing Ma, Siyu Tian, Xiaojun Yang
Objective: To explore the value of coagulation indicators and related critical scores in evaluating the severity and prognosis of elderly sepsis patients.
Methods: Patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University aged ≥60 years with a definite diagnosis of sepsis from May 2020 to May 2022 were retrospectively included. General epidemiological data, coagulation indices such as prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio (INR), prothrombin activity (PTA), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), prothrombin time (TT), fibrinogen (FIB), D-dimer, platelet count (PLT), and other laboratory indices within 24 hours of admission to the ICU, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), sepsis-related complications, and 28-day prognosis were collected. Patients were divided into shock and non-shock groups according to whether septic shock occurred or not, and into death and survival groups according to 28 days outcomes, and the differences of each index between the groups were compared. Independent risk factors for septic shock and 28-day death were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression, and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were further plotted to assess the value of independent risk factors in predicting the occurrence of septic shock and 28-day death in elderly patients with sepsis.
Results: A total of 295 elderly patients with sepsis were included, 192 (65.08%) developed septic shock, and 126 (42.71%) died at 28 days. Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score and PT-INR were independent risk factors for septic shock and 28-day death in elderly patients with sepsis [septic shock: odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were 1.340 (1.186-1.513) and 1.720 (1.235-2.396), respectively; 28-day death: OR and 95%CI were 1.188 (1.044-1.351) and 4.546 (2.613-7.910), respectively, all P < 0.01]. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA score and PT-INR had certain predictive values for septic shock occurrence and 28-day death in elderly patients with sepsis, and the area under the curve (AUC) for septic shock occurrence were 0.743 and 0.564, respectively. The AUC of 28-day death was 0.711 and 0.651, respectively. The combined predicted AUC was 0.761 and 0.817, the sensitivity was 78.1% and 65.1%, and the specificity was 63.1% and 85.8%, respectively.
Conclusions: PT-INR and SOFA score have potential predictive value in the assessment of the severity and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis, and their combined prediction accuracy is higher.
{"title":"[The value of coagulation indicators combined with sequential organ failure assessment in assessing disease severity and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis].","authors":"Libing Ma, Siyu Tian, Xiaojun Yang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240424-00374","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240424-00374","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To explore the value of coagulation indicators and related critical scores in evaluating the severity and prognosis of elderly sepsis patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University aged ≥60 years with a definite diagnosis of sepsis from May 2020 to May 2022 were retrospectively included. General epidemiological data, coagulation indices such as prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio (INR), prothrombin activity (PTA), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), prothrombin time (TT), fibrinogen (FIB), D-dimer, platelet count (PLT), and other laboratory indices within 24 hours of admission to the ICU, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), sepsis-related complications, and 28-day prognosis were collected. Patients were divided into shock and non-shock groups according to whether septic shock occurred or not, and into death and survival groups according to 28 days outcomes, and the differences of each index between the groups were compared. Independent risk factors for septic shock and 28-day death were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression, and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were further plotted to assess the value of independent risk factors in predicting the occurrence of septic shock and 28-day death in elderly patients with sepsis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 295 elderly patients with sepsis were included, 192 (65.08%) developed septic shock, and 126 (42.71%) died at 28 days. Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score and PT-INR were independent risk factors for septic shock and 28-day death in elderly patients with sepsis [septic shock: odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were 1.340 (1.186-1.513) and 1.720 (1.235-2.396), respectively; 28-day death: OR and 95%CI were 1.188 (1.044-1.351) and 4.546 (2.613-7.910), respectively, all P < 0.01]. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA score and PT-INR had certain predictive values for septic shock occurrence and 28-day death in elderly patients with sepsis, and the area under the curve (AUC) for septic shock occurrence were 0.743 and 0.564, respectively. The AUC of 28-day death was 0.711 and 0.651, respectively. The combined predicted AUC was 0.761 and 0.817, the sensitivity was 78.1% and 65.1%, and the specificity was 63.1% and 85.8%, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>PT-INR and SOFA score have potential predictive value in the assessment of the severity and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis, and their combined prediction accuracy is higher.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":"36 11","pages":"1133-1139"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142855717","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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