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The crisis of US neoliberalism and the risk of current economic stagflation 美国新自由主义的危机和当前经济滞胀的风险
Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-11-2022-0018
Xiaoqin Ding, Zhihong Luo
PurposeSince the outbreak of COVID-19, tremendous changes have taken place in the US economy – the economic growth in the whole year of 2020 was negative, and though it enjoyed a significant rebound for the first half of 2021, the growth rate began to decline rapidly by the third quarter, and inflation suddenly rises rapidly, which after came the all-time highs of the “misery index” consisted of the inflation rate and unemployment rate. All signs indicate that the US economy will likely enter a “stagflation” crisis.Design/methodology/approachThis paper analyzes the institutional and social contradictions in the United States during the neoliberal era from the perspectives of domestic social structure of accumulation (SSA) and international SSA based on the SSA theory.FindingsThe current risk of stagflation in the US economy is a concentrated outbreak of the long-term accumulated contradictions in neoliberal SSA under the impact of the epidemic, which is the product of the irreconcilable contradictions inherent in the capitalist mode of production.Originality/valueBased on this analysis, the paper points out that with the deepening of the crisis, the neoliberal SSA is likely to end and a new SSA will be established gradually.
自新冠肺炎疫情爆发以来,美国经济发生了巨大变化,2020年全年经济增速为负,2021年上半年虽有明显反弹,但到第三季度增速开始快速回落,通货膨胀率突然快速上升,随后由通货膨胀率和失业率组成的“痛苦指数”创下历史新高。所有迹象都表明,美国经济可能进入“滞胀”危机。本文基于社会积累结构理论,从国内社会积累结构(SSA)和国际社会积累结构(SSA)两方面分析了新自由主义时代美国的制度和社会矛盾。当前美国经济滞胀风险是疫情冲击下新自由主义SSA长期积累矛盾的集中爆发,是资本主义生产方式固有矛盾不可调和的产物。独创性/价值在此基础上,本文指出,随着危机的加深,新自由主义的社会安全体系有可能终结,新的社会安全体系将逐步建立。
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引用次数: 0
The political economy of endogenous dual-sector model: public goods, labor markets and tax rates 内生双部门模型的政治经济学:公共产品、劳动力市场和税率
Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-11-2022-0019
Yongqing Wang, Xin Gao
PurposeThis paper studies the political economy of the endogenous urban–rural divide in two dimensions: labor market and provision of public goods.Design/methodology/approachThis paper gives a dual-sector model endogenously depending on the consumption of public goods (club goods), the number of rural–urban migrants and the tax rate (transfer payments).FindingsAccording to the research findings in this paper, the constraints on the participation of rural residents portray the rural residents' bargaining power, and in the game between the urban elites and the rural residents, tax rates depend on the preferences of the urban elites and the constraints urban elites and the rural residents jointly face. Therefore, the urban elites have to set tax rates deviating from the most preferred ones. The model in this paper can explain a series of empirical findings and yield new theoretical findings for empirical testing.Originality/valueSignificantly, the paper finds that the increase in agricultural productivity will lead to industrialization, accompanied by the disintegration of the dual-sector model. However, though the increase in industrial productivity can accelerate industrialization, it will further expand the urban–rural divide.
目的从劳动力市场和公共品供给两个维度研究城乡内生分化的政治经济学。本文给出了一个内生依赖于公共产品(俱乐部产品)消费、城乡流动人口数量和税率(转移支付)的双部门模型。根据本文的研究发现,对农村居民参与的约束描述了农村居民的议价能力,在城市精英与农村居民的博弈中,税率取决于城市精英的偏好和城市精英与农村居民共同面临的约束。因此,城市精英不得不设定偏离最优惠税率的税率。本文的模型可以解释一系列的实证发现,并为实证检验提供新的理论发现。值得注意的是,本文发现农业生产率的提高将导致工业化,同时伴随着双部门模式的解体。然而,虽然工业生产率的提高可以加速工业化,但也会进一步扩大城乡差距。
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引用次数: 0
The data factor's dual attribute and its interaction effects 数据因子的双重属性及其交互效应
Pub Date : 2022-11-18 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-09-2022-0009
Xingmiao Guan, Xingfang Qin
PurposeData has become a factor of production. This occurs when history enters the era of big data, in which technologies such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing and blockchain are used to collect, manipulate, mine and process data. Data is a special product of labor, a sub-derivative of other production factors.Design/methodology/approachThe data factor has a dual attribute: being physical (technical) and social. The social attribute of the data factor can not only materialize the technical attribute but also amplify it. In other words, the data has a multiplication effect on the allocation efficiency of other production factors. The social attribute of the data is brought out via the technical attribute as the medium. From a technical perspective, this medium is strongly adhesive, and after being bonded with other factors of production, it will only lead to a physical reaction and not change the nature of other factors.FindingsHowever, once these two attributes interact with each other, especially when data is combined with capital, the most adhesive factor in the market economy, a series of new social relations will then be produced based on the technical attribute, resulting in significant adjustments in social relations, involving both positive and negative externalities.Originality/valueTherefore, to get a scientific understanding of the dual attribute and its interaction effects on the data factor, it is necessary to take the following steps. We should promote institutional design that amplifies the positive externality, with a focus on facilitating public data sharing and improving the value of commercial data development. Also, we need to strengthen institutional arrangements that prevent and control the negative externality by emphasizing data supervision based on data types and levels as well as the rule of law.
数据已经成为一种生产要素。当历史进入大数据时代,人工智能、云计算和区块链等技术被用于收集、操纵、挖掘和处理数据时,就会出现这种情况。数据是劳动的特殊产物,是其他生产要素的次衍生物。设计/方法/方法数据因素具有双重属性:物理(技术)和社会。数据因素的社会属性既能物化技术属性,又能放大技术属性。换句话说,数据对其他生产要素的配置效率具有倍增效应。数据的社会属性是通过技术属性作为媒介表现出来的。从技术上讲,这种介质具有很强的粘附性,与其他生产要素粘合后,只会引起物理反应,不会改变其他要素的性质。然而,一旦这两种属性相互作用,特别是当数据与市场经济中最具黏附性的资本相结合时,就会产生一系列基于技术属性的新的社会关系,导致社会关系发生重大调整,涉及到正外部性和负外部性。因此,为了科学地理解双属性及其对数据因子的交互作用,有必要采取以下步骤。我们应该推动放大正外部性的制度设计,重点是促进公共数据共享,提高商业数据开发的价值。加强对数据的分类和分级监管,加强对数据的法治化管理,加强对负外部性的防范和控制。
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引用次数: 0
Development of the digital economy, transformation of the economic structure and leaping of the middle-income trap 发展数字经济,转变经济结构,跨越中等收入陷阱
Pub Date : 2022-11-17 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-09-2022-0012
Yudong Qi, Xi Chu
PurposeCurrently, China’s economy is in the critical phase of transforming economic development patterns and replacing old growth drivers with new ones. Whether it can successfully overcome the “middle-income trap” has become a significant issue attracting wide attention.Design/methodology/approachDriven by underlying digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, cloud computing and big data, the fourth industrial revolution featuring the booming digital economy has provided significant opportunities for China’s economy to “overtake” and overcome the “middle-income trap”. The transformation of economic development pattern, the optimization of industrial structure, and the change of growth drivers, brought by the deep integration of digital and real economies are the keys to leaping over the “middle-income trap”.FindingsFrom the supply side, the digital economy can improve the quality and efficiency of the supply side and promote the supply-side structural reform and economic growth from the following three aspects: First, promote the quality, efficiency and diversification of the supply system; second, promote networking, opening-up and synergy in the innovation system and third, promote the socialization, modularization and flexibility of production pattern. From the demand side, the digital economy can boost the new drivers of the “troika” of economic growth consisting of consumption, exports and investment by changing the market investment direction, promoting consumption upgrade and fostering export strengths. However, once these two attributes interact with each other, especially when data is combined with capital, the most adhesive factor in the market economy, a series of new social relations will then be produced based on the technical attribute, resulting in significant adjustments in social relations, involving both positive and negative externalities.Originality/valueTo overcome the “middle-income trap”, it is necessary to adapt to the laws of economic evolution and promote a fundamental change in economic growth drivers; boost the high-quality development of the digital economy by strengthening the support role of data in the digital economy; and accelerate digital industrialization and industrial digitalization to realize the integration of digital and real economies.
当前,中国经济正处于转变发展方式、新旧动能转换的关键时期。能否成功跨越“中等收入陷阱”已成为一个备受关注的重大问题。在人工智能、区块链、云计算、大数据等基础数字技术的推动下,以数字经济蓬勃发展为特征的第四次工业革命,为中国经济“超车”、跨越“中等收入陷阱”提供了重要机遇。数字经济与实体经济深度融合带来的经济发展方式转变、产业结构优化、增长动力转换,是跨越“中等收入陷阱”的关键。从供给侧看,数字经济可以从以下三个方面提高供给侧的质量和效率,促进供给侧结构性改革和经济增长:一是促进供给体系的质量、效率和多样化;二是促进创新体系网络化、开放化、协同化;三是促进生产方式社会化、模块化、柔性化。从需求端看,数字经济可以通过改变市场投资方向、促进消费升级、培育出口优势,为消费、出口、投资“三驾马车”经济增长注入新动力。然而,一旦这两种属性相互作用,特别是当数据与市场经济中最具黏附性的资本相结合时,就会在技术属性的基础上产生一系列新的社会关系,导致社会关系发生重大调整,涉及到正外部性和负外部性。突破“中等收入陷阱”,必须适应经济发展规律,推动经济增长动力发生根本性转变;加强数据对数字经济的支撑作用,推动数字经济高质量发展;加快数字工业化和产业数字化,实现数字经济与实体经济融合。
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引用次数: 2
Three dimensions of transforming the advantages of the basic socialist economic system into governance efficacy 社会主义基本经济制度优势转化为治理效能的三个维度
Pub Date : 2022-11-17 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-09-2022-0010
Nan Li, Wei Chen
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is further leveraging the advantages of the basic socialist economic system and exploring the realistic way of transforming the advantages of the socialist economic system with Chinese characteristics into governance efficacy. At its Fourth Plenary Session, the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) elevated the socialist market economy system to China's basic economic system, further affirming the significant advantages embedded in the socialist market economy from an institutional perspective.Design/methodology/approachThe essence of the basic socialist economic system consists of the ownership structure with public ownership as the mainstay, the income distribution system with distribution according to work as the mainstay and the socialist market economy, which are interrelated, supportive and reinforcing mutually, forming an organic whole.FindingsOver the past 40 years of reform and opening-up, it has been proven through practice that the basic socialist economic system has played a fundamental role in guaranteeing rapid economic development and social stability. The system not only corresponds to the development level of the productive forces in the primary stage of socialism in China but also demonstrates its strengths in eliminating polarization between the poor and the rich and achieving common prosperity.Originality/valueIt is necessary to make the basic economic system more coordinated and consistent and be committed to the philosophy that the whole is greater than the sum of its parts to form a systemic synergy, so as to achieve synergistic enhancement of institutional advantages and governance efficacy.
目的进一步发挥社会主义基本经济制度的优势,探索将中国特色社会主义经济制度优势转化为治理效能的现实途径。党的十九届四中全会将社会主义市场经济体制提升为中国的基本经济制度,从制度层面进一步肯定了社会主义市场经济体制的巨大优越性。社会主义基本经济制度的实质是公有制为主体的所有制结构、按劳分配为主体的收入分配制度和社会主义市场经济三者相互联系、相互支持、相互促进,形成一个有机整体。改革开放40年来,实践证明,社会主义基本经济制度在保证经济快速发展和社会稳定方面发挥了根本作用。这一制度既与中国社会主义初级阶段生产力发展水平相适应,又在消除贫富分化、实现共同富裕方面显示出优势。创新/价值要增强基本经济制度的协调性和一致性,坚持整体大于部分之和的理念,形成系统协同效应,实现制度优势和治理效能的协同提升。
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引用次数: 0
Health status and elderly care: theory and evidence from a randomized trial with COPD patients in China 健康状况与老年护理:来自中国COPD患者随机试验的理论和证据
Pub Date : 2022-11-16 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-09-2022-0011
Qingqing Zong, Yi Zhang, Yuyu Chen
PurposeThis paper theoretically and empirically analyzes the effects of the elderly’s physical health status on their need for care and the choice of care models in China.Design/methodology/approachEmpirically, the estimation results of a large-sample randomized intervention trial with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients through the difference-in-difference method indicated the following: (1) After the COPD intervention trial, the physical health status of the elderly in the treatment group improved significantly, the need for care was substantially reduced and the health improvement led to a 35.5% reduction in the probability of using elderly care. (2) The reduction in the need for care regarding the treatment group occurred mainly in social care. The probability of using social care decreased by 67.8% due to the elderly’s health improvement, while that of home care remained unchanged generally. (3) Further heterogeneity tests suggested that families with fewer potential internal resources for caregiving had a more pronounced decline in the need for social care.FindingsTheoretically, these empirical results support the existence of the “pecking order” theory in the family’s choice of elderly care model, that is, families tend to employ all internal resources for caregiving before resorting to social care, resulting in a higher sensitivity of social care to health.Originality/valueThe main policy implication of this paper is that ex ante preventive health intervention policies can significantly alleviate the burden of care, especially social care, on families. And preventive health intervention policies are particularly effective in reducing the burden of the families with relatively few resources for informal internal care.
目的从理论和实证两方面分析中国老年人身体健康状况对老年人护理需求和护理模式选择的影响。设计/方法学/方法经验上,通过差中差法对慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)患者的大样本随机干预试验的估计结果表明:(1) COPD干预试验后,治疗组老年人身体健康状况明显改善,护理需求大幅减少,健康改善导致老年人使用老年护理的概率降低35.5%。(2)治疗组的护理需求减少主要发生在社会护理方面。由于老年人健康状况的改善,使用社会护理的概率下降了67.8%,而使用家庭护理的概率基本保持不变。(3)进一步的异质性检验表明,家庭内部潜在照顾资源较少的家庭对社会照顾的需求下降更为明显。从理论上讲,这些实证结果支持了家庭养老模式选择中存在“啄序”理论,即家庭倾向于将所有内部资源用于养老,而不是诉诸社会养老,从而导致社会养老对健康的敏感度更高。本文的主要政策含义是,事前预防性健康干预政策可以显著减轻家庭的护理负担,特别是社会护理负担。预防性保健干预政策在减轻非正式内部护理资源相对较少的家庭的负担方面特别有效。
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引用次数: 3
On the theoretical source of the reform of socialist open economy with Chinese characteristics 论中国特色社会主义开放经济改革的理论渊源
Pub Date : 2022-11-03 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-09-2022-0013
Jiang Lu, Chen Zhang
PurposeSome economic theories have influenced the reform of the socialist open economy with Chinese characteristics. As a new practice of socialism, an open economy is not only driven by China’s productivity level and people’s living standards but also regulated by the law of commodity production and value.Design/methodology/approachIt was popular to participate in economic globalization for most countries in the second half of the 20th century, but not all of them could benefit from it.FindingsThe key to the success of the open-economy reform with Chinese characteristics lies in learning from and innovating the comparative advantage theory, thus forming an organic whole of the open economy, including the core of correctly handling the relationship between the government and the market, the method of gradual reform, the breakthrough point of transforming the mode of economic development, and serving people all the time.Originality/valueAchieving internal and external coordination through the combination of opening-up and independence is a critical principle of China’s economic opening-up, which not only effectively safeguards national interests but also actively promotes the construction of a new global order.
一些经济学理论影响了中国特色社会主义开放经济的改革。作为社会主义的新实践,开放型经济不仅受中国生产力水平和人民生活水平的驱动,而且受商品生产规律和价值规律的制约。20世纪下半叶,参与经济全球化对大多数国家来说都很流行,但并不是所有国家都能从中受益。中国特色开放经济改革成功的关键在于借鉴和创新比较优势理论,形成正确处理政府与市场关系的核心、渐进式改革的方法、转变经济发展方式的切入点、始终为人民服务的开放经济的有机整体。通过开放与独立相结合实现内外协调,是中国经济对外开放的重要原则,不仅有效维护了国家利益,也积极推动了全球新秩序的构建。
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引用次数: 0
The capital logic of platform economy globalisation and it’s critique and transcendence 平台经济全球化的资本逻辑及其批判与超越
Pub Date : 2022-11-03 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-10-2022-0016
Wenlong Han
PurposeTo realise the shared development of the digital economy, people need to transcend the capital logic and advocate the logic of cooperative development, i.e. “co-construction, benefit-sharing and co-governance”. This study aims to discuss the aforementioned statement.Design/methodology/approachPlatform economy is a new economic form produced by the transformation of the social production patterns in the era of digital capitalism. In the neo-imperialist stage, a new stage of capitalist development, capital logic promotes the global expansion of the platform economy and influences its development process, organisational form, contradictions and dilemmas and internal transcendence. Having the spatiotemporal chain of capital circulation repaired, the globalisation of the platform economy is reshaping how the means of production are combined with labour, affecting the local changes in the general relations of production and “international relations of production”.FindingsIn the accumulation of digital capitalism, the social contradictions and fundamental contradictions in the capitalist world have been further intensified, making exploitation, income distribution gap, monopoly and other problems increasingly severe. The imbalance and inequality in the global development of the digital economy are increasingly prominent.Originality/valueRegarding the global governance of the digital economy, China, as a major responsible country, will strive to encourage all countries to co-build a community with a shared future in cyberspace. In the new international development pattern of digital economy globalisation, China must take effective measures to actively safeguard its national security and development interests to meet specific challenges.
目的实现数字经济的共享发展,需要超越资本逻辑,倡导“共建、共享、共治”的合作发展逻辑。本研究旨在讨论上述说法。平台经济是数字资本主义时代社会生产方式转变所产生的一种新的经济形态。在资本主义发展的新阶段——新帝国主义阶段,资本逻辑推动着平台经济的全球扩张,影响着平台经济的发展过程、组织形式、矛盾困境和内在超越。平台经济的全球化修复了资本流通的时空链,正在重塑生产资料与劳动的结合方式,影响着一般生产关系和“国际生产关系”的局部变化。在数字资本主义的积累中,资本主义世界的社会矛盾和根本矛盾进一步激化,使得剥削、收入分配差距、垄断等问题日益严重。全球数字经济发展的不平衡、不平等问题日益突出。在数字经济全球治理方面,中国作为负责任大国,将推动各国共同构建网络空间命运共同体。在数字经济全球化的国际发展新格局下,中国必须采取有效措施,积极维护国家安全和发展利益,应对具体挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Ownership, trickle-down effect and shared development: a political economy analysis 所有权、涓滴效应与共享发展:一个政治经济学分析
Pub Date : 2022-11-03 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-10-2022-0015
Kaicheng Gai, Yongsheng Zhou
PurposeAs an essential part of mainstream Western development economics, the trickle-down theory originates from the behavioral choices and iterations of thought on conflicts of interest in the evolution of remuneration structure in Western countries. The fundamental flaw of the logic of this theory is that it conceals the inherent implication of social systems and the essential characteristics of social structures.Design/methodology/approachThis paper examines the relationships among economic growth, income distribution and poverty from the perspective of social relations of production – the nature of production relations determines the nature of distribution relations and further determines the essence of trickle-down development, and ownership is the core mechanism for realizing the trickle-down effect.FindingsThe stagnation or smoothness of the trickle-down effect in different economies is essentially subject to the logic of “development for whom”, which is determined by ownership relationship.Originality/valueTo be more specific, “development for capitalists” and “development for the people” indicate two distinctly different economic growth paths. The former starts with private ownership and follows a bottom-up negative trickle-down path that inevitably leads to polarization, while the latter starts with public ownership and follows a top-down positive trickle-down path that will lead to common prosperity in the end.
涓滴理论是西方主流发展经济学的重要组成部分,它起源于西方国家薪酬结构演变过程中关于利益冲突的行为选择和思想迭代。这种理论的逻辑的根本缺陷在于它隐藏的内在含义社会制度和社会结构的基本特征。本文从社会生产关系的角度考察经济增长、收入分配和贫困之间的关系——生产关系的性质决定了分配关系的性质,进而决定了涓滴发展的本质,所有制是实现涓滴效应的核心机制。不同经济体涓滴效应的停滞或平稳,本质上受制于“为谁发展”的逻辑,而这一逻辑是由所有权关系决定的。更具体地说,“为资本家发展”和“为人民发展”是两条截然不同的经济增长路径。前者从私有制开始,自下而上的消极涓滴路径必然导致两极分化;后者从公有制开始,自上而下的积极涓滴路径最终将导致共同富裕。
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引用次数: 0
On the path of common prosperity with Chinese characteristics 走中国特色共同富裕道路
Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI: 10.1108/cpe-09-2022-0014
Zheng Li
PurposeIn human history, poverty for most and prosperity for few is the norm. Thus, no theory or practice of common prosperity has been developed. Marxism first formulated the theory of common prosperity, and the classical Marxist authors conducted theoretical exploration on the issue of common prosperity, forming a series of scientific conclusions.Design/methodology/approachThe century-long practical history of the Communist Party of China (CPC) is the great practice of leading the Chinese people in getting rid of poverty, letting some people and regions get rich first and ultimately achieving the goal of common prosperity.FindingsCommon prosperity is the great practice of the CPC that leads all Chinese people in building a modern socialist country in an all-round way in the new era.Originality/valueThe path of common prosperity with Chinese characteristics will certainly arise in the process of the great practice of common prosperity with Chinese characteristics. Based on the anti-poverty theory and the “spirit of poverty alleviation” from the battle against poverty with Chinese characteristics, the theory of common prosperity and its spirit with Chinese characteristics will certainly be formed. The above conclusions constitute the basic principles of the theory of common prosperity with Chinese characteristics.
在人类历史上,大多数人贫穷,少数人富裕是常态。因此,没有形成共同富裕的理论和实践。马克思主义首先提出了共同富裕理论,马克思主义经典作家对共同富裕问题进行了理论探索,形成了一系列科学结论。中国共产党长达一个世纪的实践历史,就是领导中国人民摆脱贫困,使部分人民和地区先富起来,最终实现共同富裕目标的伟大实践。共同富裕是中国共产党在新时代领导全国人民全面建设社会主义现代化国家的伟大实践。中国特色共同富裕道路必将在中国特色共同富裕伟大实践中诞生。在反贫困理论和中国特色脱贫攻坚的“扶贫精神”的基础上,必将形成具有中国特色的共同富裕理论及其精神。上述结论构成了中国特色共同富裕理论的基本原则。
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引用次数: 1
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China Political Economy
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