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The fiscal system of China under the New Normal: trends and changes 新常态下的中国财政体制:趋势与变化
Pub Date : 2018-11-21 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-09-2018-010
Peiyong Gao, J. Zhen
PurposeMore and more statistics have repeatedly shown that as the economic development has entered the New Normal, the Chinese fiscal system has experienced tremendous changes. Although chance cannot be ruled out, much of those changes indicate trends, and they can even be said to be the result of the law of economic development. These trends and changes have repeatedly demonstrated that, as a reflection and an inevitable result of the economic developing speed shift, structural adjustment and energy conversion, the Chinese fiscal system, far from the conventional operating state, has progressed on a new path. The paper aims to discuss this issue.Design/methodology/approachThis paper systematically analyzes several new trends and changes in the Chinese fiscal system under the New Normal. First, revenue growth has experienced a sharp downward trend, while the tax elasticity coefficient has declined rapidly. Second, fiscal expenditure has risen against the tendency, while the rigidity of expenditure has kept on increasing.FindingsConsidering the present fiscal and taxation system reform with the analysis above, it can be seen that if the reform’s progress for the past two years is slower than expected – thus, preventing the effects of all aspects from a timely achievement – then, in the recent period, the agreement on the fiscal and taxation system reform will be reached and challenges entirely different from the past, including sharp slowdown in revenue growth rate, fiscal expenditure rising against trend and increases in fiscal deficit and government debts will be faced. The factors encouraging the reform are gathering gradually. The growth of the strength to push the reform forward is speeding up. And the pace of the reform in relevant areas is quickening.Originality/valueIn the face of those trends and changes, on the one hand, the authors should deeply understand and accurately grasp them through a comprehensive summary and systematic analysis. On the other hand, a series of conventional ideas, thoughts and strategies should be adjusted comprehensively and duly. Taking a train of new ideas, thoughts and strategies, the authors ought to actively adapt to and initiate a new Chinese fiscal structure under the New Normal of China’s economy.
越来越多的统计数据反复表明,随着经济发展进入新常态,我国财政体制发生了巨大变化。尽管不能排除偶然的可能性,但这些变化中的许多都表明了趋势,甚至可以说是经济发展规律的结果。这些趋势和变化一再表明,作为经济发展速度转变、结构调整和能量转换的反映和必然结果,中国财政体制已经从传统的运行状态走上了一条新的道路。本文旨在对这一问题进行探讨。本文系统地分析了新常态下我国财政体制的几个新趋势和新变化。一是财政收入增速急剧下降,税收弹性系数迅速下降。二是财政支出逆势上升,支出刚性不断增强。从以上分析来看当前的财税体制改革,可以看出,如果过去两年的财税体制改革进展慢于预期,从而阻碍了各方面的影响及时取得成果,那么,在最近一段时间内,财税体制改革将达成共识,面临与过去完全不同的挑战,包括收入增速大幅放缓、财政支出逆势增长,财政赤字和政府债务增加。鼓励改革的因素正在逐渐聚集起来。推进改革的力量在加快增长。相关领域的改革步伐也在加快。面对这些趋势和变化,一方面,作者应该通过全面的总结和系统的分析,深刻地理解和准确地把握它们。另一方面,要全面、适时地调整一系列传统观念、思想和战略。在中国经济新常态下,应以一系列新思路、新思路、新策略,积极适应和开创中国财政新结构。
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引用次数: 2
R&D value of Chinese manufacturing listed companies 中国制造业上市公司的研发价值
Pub Date : 2018-11-21 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-10-2018-012
T. An, Wang Wenyi
PurposeThe way to measure the value of an enterprise’s R&D investments remains elusive for theoretical and empirical study on innovation economics. The paper aims to discuss this issue.Design/methodology/approachThis paper expands the asset-value model pioneered by Griliches (1981) and applies it for the first time to the Chinese stock market to calculate the value of R&D investment instilled by Chinese manufacturing listed companies (CMLCs) from 2003 to 2014.FindingsThe authors find that: the assets-value model can better explain the enterprise value composition of CMLCs; with equal input, the value of R&D is higher than that of tangible assets, and lower than that of organizational assets; compared with the developed countries, the R&D value of CMLCs is lower; and the R&D value of CMLCs saw a downward trend from 2007 to 2014.Originality/valueFurthermore, by rationally estimating the value of organizational assets and non-tradable shares, and innovatively introducing semi-annual momentum indicators from the perspective of behavioral finance to control the influence of investor sentiment on enterprise value, this paper tries to develop the asset-value model and provides a feasible solution to the problem of measuring the value of Chinese enterprises’ R&D investment.
目的衡量企业研发投资价值的方法一直是创新经济学理论和实证研究的难点。本文旨在对这一问题进行探讨。本文扩展了Griliches(1981)的资产价值模型,并首次将其应用于中国股票市场,计算了2003 - 2014年中国制造业上市公司(CMLCs)投入研发的价值。研究发现:资产价值模型能较好地解释CMLCs的企业价值构成;在投入相同的情况下,研发价值高于有形资产价值,低于组织资产价值;与发达国家相比,CMLCs的研发价值较低;2007 - 2014年,CMLCs的研发价值呈下降趋势。此外,本文通过合理估算组织资产和非流通股的价值,并从行为金融学的角度创新性地引入半年动量指标来控制投资者情绪对企业价值的影响,试图构建资产价值模型,为中国企业研发投资价值的计量问题提供一个可行的解决方案。
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引用次数: 1
Economic Zeitgeist in Xi Jinping
Pub Date : 2018-11-21 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-10-2018-015
Guo Hailiang
PurposeXi Jinping’s speech on the theme of “Continuously Exploring the New Zeitgeist of Marxist Political Economy in China,” dated back to November 2015, has illuminated the historical background, social roots, practical basis, basic characteristics, Zeitgeist, ideological realm and other issues relative to the development of “Systematic Economic Theory” with Chinese characteristics (hereinafter referred to as SETCC). The paper aims to discuss these issues.Design/methodology/approachExploring the SETCC marks a fundamental postulation for the development of contemporary Chinese Marxist political economy, and an important indicator of the Chinese wisdom thereof.FindingsUnswervingly adhering to the new development concept as the leading factor, General Secretary Xi Jinping’s elucidation of the theoretical propositions and practical topics of building a modern economic system has, starting from the five aspects of development mainline, strategic support, fundamental approach, necessary road and institutional guarantee, and their interrelationships, unfolded new connotations and opened up a new realm of Xi’s New Economic Zeitgeist with new explorations on the structure and system of SETCC.Originality/valueThis paper first explains the development of Xi Jinping’s economic thoughts and reveals its systematization characteristics.
本文旨在探讨这些问题。探索国家经筹委是当代中国马克思主义政治经济学发展的基本前提,也是中国马克思主义政治经济学智慧的重要标志。
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引用次数: 0
On the economic long wave 关于经济的长波
Pub Date : 2018-11-21 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-10-2018-014
G. Feng
PurposeThere exist long-term fluctuations in the process of capital accumulation. The economic long wave is an essential part of research into non-mainstream western economics. After the Second World War, the capitalist world experienced the fourth long wave of expansion and then entered into a downward phase of the long wave in the 1970s. Regarding to whether a new long wave of expansion took place in the 1980s, left-wing scholars hold different viewpoints. The purpose of this paper is to focus on this issue.Design/methodology/approachFirst, based on the review of the long wave history, this paper discusses three kinds of long wave theories with significant influence and puts forward the theoretical framework of analyzing the long wave of capitalist economy. Next, under the guidance of this theoretical framework and in combination with the actual development and evolution of the capitalist economy, the issue of whether the fifth long wave of the capitalist economy began to emerge in the 1980s is discussed deeply.FindingsThis paper argues that, from the early 1980s to 2007, the US-dominated developed countries experienced a new long wave of expansion driven by the information technology revolution, the adjustment of the neoliberalism system and the economic globalization. However, the financial-economic crisis of 2008–2009 led to a new phase of long wave downswing.Originality/valueThis paper does not agree with the single-factor analysis of the intrinsic formation mechanism of economic long wave and sticks to the multi-factor analysis centering on the fluctuation of accumulation rate. It is pointed out that the evolution of the long wave of capitalist economy depends on the combined influence of technology, institutions and market. The study of the long wave of the economy will help us to correctly understand the historical stage and characteristics of the current world capitalist economy in the long-term fluctuations, so that we can make an appropriate and positive response.
目的资本积累过程中存在长期波动。经济长波是西方非主流经济学研究的重要组成部分。第二次世界大战后,资本主义世界经历了第四次长波扩张,并在20世纪70年代进入了长波的下行阶段。对于80年代是否出现了新的长波扩张,左翼学者持不同观点。本文的目的就是针对这一问题展开研究。首先,在回顾长波发展历史的基础上,论述了三种具有重要影响的长波理论,提出了分析资本主义经济长波的理论框架。接下来,在这一理论框架的指导下,结合资本主义经济的实际发展演变,对资本主义经济的第五次长波是否在20世纪80年代开始出现的问题进行了深入探讨。本文认为,从20世纪80年代初到2007年,在信息技术革命、新自由主义制度调整和经济全球化的推动下,以美国为主导的发达国家经历了新一轮的长波扩张。然而,2008-2009年的金融经济危机导致了新一轮的长波下行。本文不赞同对经济长波内在形成机制的单因素分析,而是坚持以积累率波动为中心的多因素分析。指出资本主义经济长波的演变取决于技术、制度和市场的综合影响。对经济长波的研究,有助于我们正确认识当前世界资本主义经济在长期波动中的历史阶段和特点,从而作出适当的、积极的应对。
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引用次数: 0
The principal contradiction and its evolution in the new era of the socialism society with Chinese characteristics 新时代中国特色社会主义社会的主要矛盾及其演变
Pub Date : 2018-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-09-2018-008
Xinghua Wei
PurposeMarx suggested that it is infeasible and wrong to arrange the economic categories according to the order by which they have worked in history. Their order is determined by their interrelationship in the modern bourgeois society, which is in contrast to their natural sequence or that which is in accordance with the course of history. Sometimes, a logical sequence is precisely opposite to the historical sequence. There are many efforts to be done in the study of China’s economic and social issues with Marxist logical and historical methods. The paper aims to discuss these issues.Design/methodology/approachWhen reading Das Kapital, we can clearly see the historical materialism methods. Another method of Marxist political economics is the scientific abstract method.FindingsThis is based on the new development idea to carry out scientific and technological innovation and change the focus of development from quantity to quality. With regard to the supply side structural reform as the main focus, people’s ever-growing demand for a better life can be satisfied and the higher level dynamic supply–demand balance can be kept.Originality/valueIn fact, measures to remedy unbalanced and inadequate development of the social principal contradiction have been plainly indicated in the report delivered at the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. This is based on the new development idea to carry out scientific and technological innovation and change the focus of development from quantity to quality.
马克思认为,按照经济类别在历史上的运行顺序来安排它们是不可行的,也是错误的。它们的次序是由它们在现代资产阶级社会中的相互关系决定的,这种相互关系同它们的自然次序或符合历史进程的次序是相反的。有时,逻辑顺序与历史顺序恰恰相反。用马克思主义的逻辑和历史方法研究中国经济社会问题,还有很多工作要做。本文旨在探讨这些问题。在阅读《资本论》时,我们可以清楚地看到历史唯物主义的方法。马克思主义政治经济学的另一种方法是科学的抽象方法。这是在新的发展理念的基础上进行科技创新,把发展的重点从数量转向质量。以供给侧结构性改革为主线,满足人民日益增长的美好生活需求,保持更高水平的动态供需平衡。事实上,党的十九大报告已经明确提出了解决社会主要矛盾发展不平衡不充分的措施。这是在新的发展理念的基础上进行科技创新,把发展的重点从数量转向质量。
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引用次数: 2
A welfare economics analysis of China’s industrial layout restructuring 中国产业布局调整的福利经济学分析
Pub Date : 2018-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-10-2018-018
W. Fu-xiang, Cai Yue
PurposeAt present, China’s industrial spatial layout faces the predicament of over-agglomeration of Eastern China industries and the near disintegration of industrial structure in the central and western regions. The paper aims to discuss this issue.Design/methodology/approachBased on the perspective of differentiated inter-regional labor mobility, this paper constructed a model framework of quadratic sub-utility quasi-linear preference utility function, and conducted model deduction and numerical simulation on causal factors of this spatial imbalance along the two dimensions of individual and regional welfare.FindingsThe study finds that in the long run, industrial spatial layout imposes a certain threshold limit on the portfolio proportion of differentiated labor. The dilemma of China’s industrial spatial layout is attributable to the deviation of the market’s optimal agglomeration from the social optimal agglomeration, and to the disfunction of Eastern China’s role as an intermediary between the global and the domestic value chain.Originality/valueTo resolve this predicament of industrial layout, the unitary welfare compensation based on fiscal transfer payment has to be switched to a more comprehensive approach giving consideration to industrial rebalancing.
目的当前,中国产业空间布局面临东部产业过度集聚和中西部产业结构接近解体的困境。本文旨在对这一问题进行探讨。基于区域间劳动力流动差别化视角,构建了二次次效用准线性偏好效用函数模型框架,并从个体福利和区域福利两个维度对这种空间失衡的成因进行了模型演绎和数值模拟。研究发现,从长期来看,产业空间布局对差异化劳动的组合比例存在一定的阈值限制。中国产业空间布局的困境主要是由于市场最优集聚与社会最优集聚的偏离,以及中国东部地区作为全球价值链与国内价值链中介的功能失调。要解决这一产业布局困境,必须将单一的以财政转移支付为基础的福利补偿转变为考虑产业再平衡的更全面的方式。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the performance of industrial innovation of small and medium-sized enterprises in China 中国中小企业产业创新绩效研究
Pub Date : 2018-11-13 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-08-2018-0003
Guo Lu, Pengcheng Dai, Xia Zhang
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to test the relationship between innovation performance and innovation spillover effects, innovation inputs, innovation outputs and industrial effects.Design/methodology/approachThe analysis framework including variables such as innovation spillover effect, innovation input, innovation output and industrial effect was constructed. Through the investigation and analysis of the innovation activities of China’s GEM listed companies in 2014–2016, the innovation performance and the above factors were tested.FindingsThe research shows that enterprise performance has a significant positive correlation with innovation input and innovation output, but there is no significant correlation or even negative correlation with innovation environment and industry background such as government support and innovation opportunities, and the spillover effect is significant. The negative correlation is also negatively correlated with innovative human capital investment, company age and company Q.Originality/valueInnovation is the real source of economic growth, and industrial innovation is the system integration of technological innovation, product innovation, market innovation, etc., which is the basic determinant of national competitiveness.
目的检验创新绩效与创新溢出效应、创新投入、创新产出和产业效应之间的关系。设计/方法/途径构建了包含创新溢出效应、创新投入、创新产出和产业效应等变量的分析框架。通过对2014-2016年中国创业板上市公司创新活动的调查分析,对创新绩效和上述因素进行检验。研究发现,企业绩效与创新投入、创新产出存在显著正相关关系,而与政府支持、创新机会等创新环境、行业背景不存在显著相关甚至负相关关系,且溢出效应显著。与创新人力资本投入、公司年龄、公司质量呈负相关。原创性/价值创新是经济增长的真正源泉,产业创新是技术创新、产品创新、市场创新等的系统集成,是国家竞争力的基本决定因素。
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引用次数: 3
Pro-poor growth and the realization of common prosperity of socialism with Chinese characteristics 有利于贫困人口增长,实现中国特色社会主义共同富裕
Pub Date : 2018-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-10-2018-013
Fan Cong-lai, Xie Chaofeng
PurposeAs the essential requirement of socialism with Chinese characteristics, common prosperity stands for both the goal of and the approach to economic growth. Shared development is a new stage of the process of common prosperity. From the perspective of economic growth, it requires the low- and middle-income groups to gain more from the growth than high-income groups. The paper aims to discuss these issues.Design/methodology/approachBased on provincial panel data, the random effect model and the dynamic panel model are used in this paper to analyze the path to achieve pro-poor growth.FindingsThe keys to achieve pro-poor growth are first to promote new urbanization with people at the center, diversify the forms of employment and improve the income structure of the residents, and second to improve the accuracy in designing redistribution policies.Originality/valueAfter the realization of “some get rich first” policy, it is important to swiftly adapt to a new mindset of shared development, which charters a new course to the Marxist common prosperity. There exist few established economic theories or action plans with respect to shared development. Pro-poor growth, however, offers a perspective to achieve both sharing and development.
共同富裕是中国特色社会主义的本质要求,既是经济发展的目标,也是经济发展的方式。共同发展是共同繁荣进程的新阶段。从经济增长的角度来看,它要求中低收入群体比高收入群体从增长中获得更多的收益。本文旨在探讨这些问题。设计/方法/方法本文基于省级面板数据,运用随机效应模型和动态面板模型分析了实现扶贫增长的路径。研究发现:实现有利于贫困人口增长的关键一是推进以人为中心的新型城镇化,多样化就业形式,改善居民收入结构;二是提高再分配政策设计的准确性。在实现“一部分人先富起来”后,要迅速适应共同发展的新理念,为马克思主义共同富裕开辟了新的道路。关于共同发展,目前还没有多少既定的经济理论和行动计划。然而,有利于贫困人口的增长为实现共享和发展提供了一个视角。
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引用次数: 0
On the organic combination of public ownership and market economy 论公有制与市场经济的有机结合
Pub Date : 2018-11-07 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-10-2018-011
Yu Zhang
PurposeSince the implementation of reform and opening up, China has made remarkable achievement in terms of economic reform and development. China’s path, as well as its experience, has simultaneously gained worldwide concerns. Developing the market economy against the backdrop of socialism brings conclusions from China’s achievement, deepens knowledge of China’s pathway and builds a socialist political economy with Chinese characteristics. That is the way to realise a basic socialist system, especially with regards to the organic integration of public ownership and market economy. This combination determines the future of socialism with Chinese characteristics and the success or failure of economic restructuring. Therefore, it requires consideration and in-depth study. The paper aims to discuss these issues.Design/methodology/approachThe goal of economic restructuring is to establish and develop the socialist market economy. Its main content can be summarised in two parts. The first is the relationship between plan and market or government and market. The second is compatibility or combination of public ownership and market economy. The former is one of the superficial problems, relevant to resource allocation method or economic operation mechanism. The latter stems from deep-rooted problems, represented by ownership or the underlying economic system. These two work together to form the organic integrity of socialist market economy where both similarities and contrasts coexist.FindingsThe shared ideal of socialism with Chinese characteristics and the lofty goals of communism will then become empty words. In this sense we can say that, whether we can realise the unity and opposition between public ownership and market economy and better integrate advantages of socialist system with strengths of market economy, will to a large extent determine the future and destiny of the socialist market economy.Originality/valueAs previously mentioned, the relationship between plan and market or government and market are part of resource allocation methods or economic operation mechanism. Compatibility and combination, however, with public ownership and market economy are part of an ownership or basic economic system. Science reveals the nature and developmental law of the socialist market economy. An in-depth study must be conducted on the relationship between public ownership and market economy.
改革开放以来,中国经济改革和发展取得了举世瞩目的成就。中国的道路和经验,同时也引起了全世界的关注。在社会主义背景下发展市场经济,是对中国经验的总结,是对中国道路的深化,是对建设中国特色社会主义政治经济学的深化。这是实现社会主义基本制度的途径,特别是公有制和市场经济的有机结合。这种结合决定着中国特色社会主义的前途,决定着经济体制改革的成败。因此,这需要考虑和深入研究。本文旨在探讨这些问题。经济体制改革的目标是建立和发展社会主义市场经济。其主要内容可以概括为两部分。首先是计划与市场或政府与市场的关系。二是公有制与市场经济的兼容或结合。前者是一个表面问题,与资源配置方式或经济运行机制有关。后者源于根深蒂固的问题,主要表现在所有制或基础经济制度上。这两者共同构成了社会主义市场经济的有机整体,既有相同点又有不同点。中国特色社会主义的共同理想和共产主义的崇高目标将成为空话。从这个意义上说,能否实现公有制与市场经济的统一和对立,更好地把社会主义制度的优点和市场经济的长处结合起来,在很大程度上决定着社会主义市场经济的前途和命运。如前所述,计划与市场或政府与市场的关系是资源配置方式或经济运行机制的一部分。然而,公有制与市场经济的兼容与结合是所有制或基本经济制度的组成部分。科学揭示了社会主义市场经济的本质和发展规律。必须深入研究公有制与市场经济的关系。
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引用次数: 2
Combining Marxism and China’s practices for the development of a socialist political economy with Chinese characteristics 把马克思主义和中国实际相结合,发展中国特色社会主义政治经济学
Pub Date : 2018-10-31 DOI: 10.1108/CPE-09-2018-001
Wei Liu
PurposeThe socialist construction with Chinese characteristics must be based on history and reality. According to the requirements of liberation and development of productivity, efforts must be made to reform and improve the production relations, as well as continually consolidate the socialist system with Chinese characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to prove the necessity and superiority of a socialist system through China’s modernization achievements.Design/methodology/approachMarxist political economics is a critical legacy from classical economics. Its core question is also social production and distribution, which is epitomized in the labor theory of value and the theory of surplus value.FindingsRegarding the significant principles that must be followed, these speeches summarized the logical system and prominent features of the socialist political system in the new normal from several significant and interrelated aspects such as basic methods, core propositions, main tasks and fundamental goals.Originality/valueThe socialist system with Chinese characteristics will gradually appear through further research and prove its superiority. How can a socialist system with Chinese characteristics innovate and develop? Does the system have a future? Is there any historical necessity for the socialist system to replace the capitalist system in human history? These are the questions that need urgent answers and in-depth exploration.
目的中国特色社会主义建设必须立足历史和现实。必须按照解放生产力和发展生产力的要求,努力改革和完善生产关系,不断巩固中国特色社会主义制度。本文的目的是通过中国的现代化成就来证明社会主义制度的必要性和优越性。马克思主义政治经济学是古典经济学的重要遗产。它的核心问题也是社会生产和分配问题,集中体现在劳动价值论和剩余价值论上。这些讲话从基本方法、核心主张、主要任务、根本目标等几个重要而又相互联系的方面,总结了新常态下社会主义政治制度的逻辑体系和突出特点。中国特色社会主义制度将通过进一步的研究逐步显现,并证明其优越性。中国特色社会主义制度如何创新发展?这个系统有未来吗?在人类历史上,社会主义制度取代资本主义制度有没有历史必然性?这些都是迫切需要解答和深入探索的问题。
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引用次数: 0
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China Political Economy
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