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A Universal Model for General Gross Domestic Product Across Global Economies 全球经济体一般国内生产总值的通用模型
Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241203.11
Billy Gao
In addressing the need for a robust economic measure, this paper presents a mathematical model to forecast Gross Domestic Product (GDP) across diverse global economies. Our model, constructed from a dataset spanning 39 years from 16 varied economies, deciphers GDP by dissecting its fundamental components of population and productivity. Through meticulous literature review and data analysis, the research develops four predictive models, using linear and exponential trends, to represent the immediate and projected rates of change in both population and productivity. The research reveals a nuanced dynamic between these elements, identifying productivity, especially in infrastructure, healthcare, telecommunications, and innovation, as a pivotal force in driving economic growth. The study not only underlines the significant influence of these sectors but also the critical role of developed economies in aiding less developed ones to counteract the widening poverty gap. A comprehensive sensitivity analysis within the paper evaluates the impact of these factors on GDP, equipping policymakers with essential insights into enhancing economic progress. By combining immediate and long-term growth metrics derived from twenty-four influential variables into a cohesive predictive model, this research illuminates the complex interplay of forces shaping GDP trajectories. It suggests that while boosting population can yield short-term economic gains, enduring prosperity hinges on amplifying productivity. Moreover, the study points to the potential socio-economic divides that necessitate proactive measures for equitable development. Although challenges such as data dependency and growth discrepancies are acknowledged, the model proposes more frequent data analyses for capturing economic fluctuations accurately. Conclusively, the paper bridges a critical gap in economic modeling literature and provides a pragmatic framework for crafting inclusive economic policies and development strategies, thus making a significant contribution to both theoretical and applied economic fields.
为了满足对稳健的经济衡量标准的需求,本文提出了一个数学模型,用于预测全球不同经济体的国内生产总值(GDP)。我们的模型由 16 个不同经济体的 39 年数据集构建而成,通过剖析人口和生产率这两个基本组成部分来解读国内生产总值。通过细致的文献回顾和数据分析,研究利用线性和指数趋势建立了四个预测模型,以表示人口和生产率的即时和预测变化率。研究揭示了这些要素之间微妙的动态关系,指出生产力,尤其是基础设施、医疗保健、电信和创新领域的生产力,是推动经济增长的关键力量。这项研究不仅强调了这些领域的重要影响,还强调了发达经济体在帮助欠发达国家消除不断扩大的贫困差距方面所发挥的关键作用。论文中的综合敏感性分析评估了这些因素对国内生产总值的影响,为政策制定者提供了促进经济进步的重要见解。通过将从二十四个有影响力的变量中得出的近期和长期增长指标结合到一个有凝聚力的预测模型中,这项研究揭示了影响国内生产总值轨迹的各种力量之间复杂的相互作用。研究表明,虽然提高人口数量可以带来短期经济收益,但持久的繁荣取决于生产力的提高。此外,研究还指出了潜在的社会经济鸿沟,有必要采取积极措施促进公平发展。虽然承认存在数据依赖和增长差异等挑战,但该模型建议进行更频繁的数据分析,以准确捕捉经济波动。总之,本文弥补了经济建模文献中的一个重要空白,为制定包容性经济政策和发展战略提供了一个务实的框架,从而为理论和应用经济领域做出了重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Building Customer Loyalty in Online Business Models 在在线商业模式中建立客户忠诚度
Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241202.14
Yuhang Xing, Ke Gao, Leyi Zhou
Online business models are developing rapidly and market competition is intensifying. Customer loyalty and consumer willingness are declining across many industries. Customer loyalty is a decisive factor affecting a company's long-term profits. Market share measured by customer loyalty is more meaningful than market share measured by the number of customers. At the same time, corporate managers have shifted the focus of marketing management to improving customer loyalty, allowing companies to gain advantages in fierce competition. To build customer loyalty, it is important to use the right customer loyalty tools, which means the significant question for companies is which tool to choose. Therefore, this paper aimed to address the issues that how to design customer loyalty in online business models. To achieve this goal, this paper first illustrated the basics of customer loyalty and online business models. Then, relevant customer loyalty tools were selected and evaluated from contracts, products, communication and distribution policies to better build customer loyalty in online business models. This paper found that customer analysis and competitive analysis can also be evaluated as customer loyalty-oriented theories. Finally, the case of Amazon was also studied in the paper specifically, combining theory with practice to build customer loyalty in an online business model.
在线业务模式发展迅速,市场竞争日趋激烈。许多行业的客户忠诚度和消费意愿都在下降。客户忠诚度是影响公司长期利润的决定性因素。以客户忠诚度衡量的市场份额比以客户数量衡量的市场份额更有意义。与此同时,企业管理者已将营销管理的重点转移到提高客户忠诚度上,使企业在激烈的竞争中获得优势。要建立客户忠诚度,使用正确的客户忠诚度工具非常重要,这意味着企业面临的重要问题是选择哪种工具。因此,本文旨在解决如何在在线商业模式中设计客户忠诚度的问题。为实现这一目标,本文首先阐述了客户忠诚度和在线商业模式的基本原理。然后,从合同、产品、沟通和分销政策等方面选择并评估了相关的顾客忠诚工具,以更好地在在线商业模式中建立顾客忠诚。本文发现,客户分析和竞争分析也可以作为以客户忠诚度为导向的理论进行评估。最后,本文还具体研究了亚马逊的案例,将理论与实践相结合,在在线商业模式中建立顾客忠诚。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Relationship Between Education Spending and Economic Growth in Egypt: An ARDL Model Analysis 评估埃及教育支出与经济增长之间的关系:ARDL 模型分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241202.13
Mohamed Abdelgany, Sohair Mohamed, Mohamed Rashed
Education plays a pivotal role in driving economic growth, acting as a catalyst for human capital development and fostering innovation. Additionally, investing in education cultivates a skilled workforce, which not only attracts foreign investment but also enhances economic growth by bolstering competitiveness and market efficiency. Ultimately, these factors positively impact the standard of living, reflecting the interconnectedness between education, economic prosperity, and quality of life. This research comes to evaluate the impact of spending on education on the standard of living and then on economic growth in Egypt. The research is centered on employing a quantitative approach to assess the influence of education on economic growth. Additionally, it includes a descriptive analysis of variables and the presentation of results to provide a comprehensive understanding. The research functions the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds testing method in examining the cointegration from 1990 to 2021 based on annual time series data in Egypt. The research utilizes the numbers of classes in schools in the three educational stages (primary - preparatory - secondary) and the number of students enrolled in theoretical and practical colleges. The findings affirm that expenditure on education across all levels has a positive impact on economic growth in Egypt, albeit weak. This trend is attributed to the reduction in education spending relative to the growing number of students.
教育在推动经济增长方面发挥着关键作用,是人力资本发展和促进创新的催化剂。此外,教育投资还能培养技术熟练的劳动力,这不仅能吸引外国投资,还能提高竞争力和市场效率,从而促进经济增长。这些因素最终会对生活水平产生积极影响,反映出教育、经济繁荣和生活质量之间的相互联系。本研究旨在评估埃及教育支出对生活水平以及经济增长的影响。研究主要采用定量方法来评估教育对经济增长的影响。此外,研究还包括对变量的描述性分析和结果展示,以提供全面的理解。研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验法,基于埃及的年度时间序列数据,检验 1990 年至 2021 年的协整关系。研究利用了三个教育阶段(小学-预备班-中学)的学校班级数量以及理论和实践学院的学生人数。研究结果证实,各级教育支出对埃及的经济增长有积极影响,尽管影响较弱。这一趋势归因于教育支出相对于学生人数增长的减少。
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引用次数: 0
Interest Rates and Real Economic Growth in Nigeria: Empirical Investigation from Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model 尼日利亚的利率与实际经济增长:自回归分布滞后模型的实证研究
Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231106.12
Olufemi C. Ademola, S. Alalade, P. Ogbebor, Olalekan Aworinde
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Analysis of the Implementation of (TQM) in the Production of Smocks in Northern Ghana for Sustainable Development 对在加纳北部织袜生产中实施(全面质量管理)以促进可持续发展的实证分析
Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231106.11
Abdul Fatahi Ibrahim, Eric Bruce-Amartey Junior, M. Ahiamenyo
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引用次数: 0
Surveillance on the Strategic Management of Meituan Fresh's Business Model Under the Digital Economy --Based on Multi-Case Comparative Analysis 数字经济下美团生鲜商业模式的战略管理监控--基于多案例比较分析
Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231105.16
Aiping Wu, Jessa Frida T. Festijo
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引用次数: 0
Performance Evaluation and Comparison of a Stacking - Based Ensemble Model for Traffic Speed Prediction 基于堆叠的交通速度预测集合模型的性能评估与比较
Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231105.15
Yuanzhe Cheng, Haoyang Lv, Hanrui Chen, Chengjie Ni, Yuyang Hu
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引用次数: 0
Corporate Governance & Rights and Privileges of Minority Shareholders of Family-Owned Firms: Evidence from the Emerging Economy 公司治理与家族企业小股东的权利和特权:来自新兴经济体的证据
Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231105.17
Suman Dey
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-Temporal Evolution of the Coupled Coordination of the Digital Economy and the High-Quality Development of the Retail Industry

数字经济与零售业高质量发展耦合协调的时空演变
Pub Date : 2023-10-28 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231105.14
Qi’an Zhong
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引用次数: 0
The Potential University Environment of Entrepreneurship Development Through the Lens of Business Incubators

从企业孵化器的角度看创业发展的潜在大学环境
Pub Date : 2023-10-28 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20231105.13
Mariana Doga-Mirzac, Viorica Ataman
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
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