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EXPENDITURE PATTERNS OF SOME INFORMAL SECTORS IN BANGLADESH: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF DHAKA CITY 孟加拉国一些非正规部门的支出模式:达卡市的经验证据
Pub Date : 2011-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.199351
B. K. Barmon
The present study estimated the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) and the marginal propensity to save (MPS) of the businesses in informal sectors around Dhaka city by using the Keynes consumption function. Primary data is collected from 150 vendors from selected areas of Dhaka city during June -July, 2011. The findings indicated that MPS of most of the vendors of the informal sector was relatively small and their MPC was relatively very high. The MPC of 150 vendors was estimated to be 0.697 and their MPS was estimated to be 0.303. Thus it can be concluded that these vendors of informal sector in Dhaka city spent about 70% of their small income. The coefficients of consumption functions for all types of vendors are statistically significant at 1% level. The values of R 2 for vegetable vendors, tea vendors, fuckha vendors, fruit vendors, mixed vendors and all vendors together are 0.77, 0.87, 0.79, 0.82, 0.92 and 0.85 respectively. The estimates of the multiple regression shows that the family size, saving, gender and family have significant impact on the expenditure along with income of the households in informal sectors of Dhaka city in Bangladesh.
本研究利用凯恩斯消费函数估计了达卡市周边非正规部门企业的边际消费倾向(MPC)和边际储蓄倾向(MPS)。主要数据是在2011年6月至7月期间从达卡市选定地区的150个供应商收集的。调查结果表明,大多数非正规部门供应商的MPS相对较小,而它们的MPC相对非常高。150家供应商的MPC估计为0.697,MPS估计为0.303。因此,可以得出结论,达卡市非正规部门的这些供应商花费了他们微薄收入的70%左右。各类供应商的消费函数系数在1%水平下均具有统计学显著性。蔬菜摊贩、茶叶摊贩、牛油摊贩、水果摊贩、混合摊贩和所有摊贩的r2值分别为0.77、0.87、0.79、0.82、0.92和0.85。多元回归估计表明,家庭规模、储蓄、性别和家庭对孟加拉国达喀市非正规部门家庭的支出和收入都有重大影响。
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引用次数: 2
GROWTH ESTIMATION OF SELECTED MAJOR CROPS IN BANGLADESH 孟加拉国选定主要作物的生长估计
Pub Date : 2010-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200258
S. Yasmin, S. Alam, M. Moniruzzaman
The keen interest of this research paper is to estimate the growth rates of area, production and yield of selected major crops viz., aus, aman, boro, jute and wheat in Bangladesh. The time series data have been used for this purpose. This study covers the time period of 1980/81 to 2009/10. The study was entirely based on secondary data. Growth rates of area, production and yield of major crops were estimated by fitting exponential trend function. Aus, aman, boro, jute and wheat are major crops grown in our country. It is observed that growth of area and production of aus has declined at the rate of 4.74 and 2.69 percent respectively which were statistically significant during the entire period (1980/81 to 2009/10). Increased growth rate of aman yield affected increased production significantly at the rate of 1.48 percent while area declining over the period and area and production of boro increase significantly at the rate of 4.67 and 6.43 percent respectively during the study period (1980/81- 2009/10). Growth rates of area and production of jute had declined significantly at the rate of 2.00 and 0.77 percent respectively over the whole period. But yield of jute showed significant positive growth at the rate of 1.23 percent during the whole period. Area of wheat grew at the rate of 0.93 percent which was statistically significant that helped obtaining increased production (1980/81 to 2005/06) but overall period it was negative and statistically insignificant. Area increase and yield increase helped increase production of crops of wheat, all boro and HYV boro. Analyzing and comparing the growth rates of area, production and yield of major crops may guide the risk averse farmers allowing judicious allocation of cultivated area which ultimately would increase the production and stabilize agricultural supply in Bangladesh. An appropriate price policy, supportive services and massive government program can bring about desired area allocation and consequently in the production of crops in Bangladesh. In short, findings from this research paper may be helpful for planners and policy makers in formulating strategies to improve the efficiency of agricultural sector which is backbone of the economy.
本研究论文的主要兴趣是估计孟加拉国选定的主要作物,即澳大利亚、阿曼、波罗、黄麻和小麦的面积、产量和产量的增长率。时间序列数据已用于此目的。本研究的时间段为1980/81至2009/10。这项研究完全基于二手数据。通过拟合指数趋势函数估计了主要作物的面积、产量和产量的增长率。澳大利亚、阿曼、波罗、黄麻和小麦是我国的主要作物。结果表明,在1980/81至2009/10年期间,澳大利亚的面积和产量增长率分别下降了4.74%和2.69%,这在统计上是显著的。在研究期内(1980/81- 2009/10),单产增长率的提高对产量的影响显著,增幅为1.48%,而面积呈下降趋势,单产增长率显著,增幅分别为4.67%和6.43%。黄麻面积和产量的增长率在整个时期内分别以2.00%和0.77%的速度显著下降。但黄麻产量在整个时期均呈现显著的正增长,增长率为1.23%。小麦面积以0.93%的速度增长,这在统计上是显著的,有助于提高产量(1980/81至2005/06),但整个时期是负的,统计上不显著。面积的增加和产量的增加促进了小麦、全牛和杂交牛的产量增加。分析和比较主要作物的面积、产量和产量的增长率,可以指导规避风险的农民明智地分配耕地面积,最终增加孟加拉国的产量并稳定农业供应。适当的价格政策、支持性服务和大规模的政府计划可以带来理想的面积分配,从而促进孟加拉国的作物生产。总之,本文的研究结果可能有助于规划人员和政策制定者制定战略,以提高农业部门的效率,这是经济的支柱。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical estimation of marketed surplus of rice in Bangladesh: A critical review 对孟加拉国大米市场盈余的实证估计:一项批判性审查
Pub Date : 2010-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200249
M. Jabbar
Understanding marketed surplus and marketing behaviour of producers helps design technology, policy and institutions to facilitate the process of commercialization of agriculture. In this paper, empirical studies on marketed surplus of rice have been reviewed with a focus on the concepts and methods used, their strengths and weaknesses, and some recommendations have been made to improve estimation methodology in future studies.
了解市场剩余和生产者的市场行为有助于设计技术、政策和制度,以促进农业商业化进程。本文对大米市场剩余的实证研究进行了综述,重点介绍了所使用的概念和方法,以及它们的优缺点,并对今后研究中改进估算方法提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 6
IMPACT OF RICE AND WHEAT PRICE CHANGES ON THE POOR IN SOME SELECTED MONGA AFFECTED AREAS OF BANGLADESH: FIELD EVIDENCE FROM GAIBANDHA DISTRICT 稻米和小麦价格变化对孟加拉国某些蒙加影响地区穷人的影响:来自盖班达地区的实地证据
Pub Date : 2010-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200255
Ashrafun Naha, M. Mandal, M. S. Rahman
The study evaluated the impact of price hike on food consumption of the poor and the performance of safety net programmes in the targeted monga affected areas (monga means season of very low employment in September/October, which led to famine like situation in the past). Primary data were collected from a sample of 90 poor households from four villages selected purposively from Gobindaganj Upazila of Gaibandha district, considering the traditional incidence of monga in the area. The sample households included 30 female headed households, 30 farm labour households and 30 non-farm labour households. Secondary data revealed that daily food consumption of the female headed households, farm labour households and non-farm labour households was reduced by about 334 gm, 540 gm and 480 gm, respectively due to price hike. Average daily per capita consumption of food was reduced by about 88 gm for female headed households, 133 gm for farm labour households and 200 gm for non-farm labour households. The average total food consumption was reduced by about a half kg of food per family per day, while per day per capita average consumption was reduced by about141 gm for all households. The poor households tried to minimize the effect of the monga and price increase through various coping strategies such as borrowing on hard terms, selling labour at minimal wages, harvesting crops early, selling assets for low price, lowering family expenditures than required, eating less food than minimum nutrition requirements and often skipping entire meals. Access to social safety net programmes had positive impact on livelihood of the respondent households during the period of rising food prices. Based on the findings, some recommendations were made for improving food security situation of the monga affected people.
该研究评估了价格上涨对贫困人口食品消费的影响,以及目标受蒙加影响地区的安全网方案的执行情况(蒙加意味着9月/ 10月就业非常低的季节,这导致了过去类似饥荒的情况)。考虑到蒙古包病在该地区的传统发病率,从Gaibandha县Gobindaganj Upazila的四个村庄的90个贫困家庭样本中收集了原始数据。样本家庭包括30个女性户主家庭、30个农业劳动力家庭和30个非农业劳动力家庭。二手数据显示,受价格上涨影响,女性户主家庭、农业劳动力家庭和非农业劳动力家庭的日食物消费量分别减少约334克、540克和480克。女性户主家庭的人均每日食物消费量减少了约88克,农业劳动家庭减少了133克,非农业劳动家庭减少了200克。每户家庭每日平均食物总消耗量减少约半公斤,而所有住户每日人均食物消耗量则减少约141克。贫困家庭试图通过各种应对策略,如以苛刻条件借款、以最低工资出售劳动力、提前收获作物、以低价出售资产、将家庭支出降低到所需水平、食用低于最低营养要求的食物以及经常不吃一顿饭,以尽量减少粮食和价格上涨的影响。在粮食价格上涨期间,获得社会安全网方案对答复家庭的生计产生了积极影响。在此基础上,提出了改善蒙迦灾民粮食安全状况的建议。
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引用次数: 2
PRICE INTEGRATION IN POTATO MARKETS OF BANGLADESH 孟加拉国马铃薯市场的价格整合
Pub Date : 2007-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200322
M. Awal, S. Sabur, A. Huq
The paper examined the pricing efficiency of potato markets in Bangladesh using EngleGranger test (EG), Cointegration Regression for Durbin Watson (CRDW) test and Error Correction Methods (ECM). For the test of pricing efficiency of potato markets, the wholesale prices were used to test cointegration using data from January 1993 to December 2005 yielding a total of 676 observations. Engle-Granger test was used to estimate the integration among the potato markets in Bangladesh. In the cointegrating set up, error correction method estimated the long-run relationship between reference markets (Dhaka) and selected markets. The cointegration regression for Durbin Watson test revealed that the wholesales potato markets in Bangladesh were integrated
本文采用EngleGranger检验(EG)、Cointegration Regression for Durbin Watson检验(CRDW)和Error Correction Methods (ECM)检验了孟加拉国马铃薯市场的定价效率。为了检验马铃薯市场的定价效率,我们使用1993年1月至2005年12月的批发价格进行协整检验,共得到676个观察值。采用恩格尔-格兰杰检验估计了孟加拉国马铃薯市场之间的整合程度。在协整设置中,误差修正方法估计了参考市场(达卡)与选择市场之间的长期关系。Durbin Watson检验的协整回归表明,孟加拉国的马铃薯批发市场是整合的
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引用次数: 4
Financial Analysis Of Threshers In Rice Farming In Kasba Upazila Of Brahmanbaria District Brahmanbaria地区Kasba Upazila水稻脱粒机的财务分析
Pub Date : 2007-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200332
J. Ferdous, Hasneen Jahan, T. H. Miah
This study was conducted to examine the profitability of the investors of power thresher and pedal thresher in the Kasba Upazila in Brahmanbaria district. For this, sixty thresher owners in which 8 were closed drum power threshers, 17 open drum power threshers and 35 pedal threshers, were purposively selected for the study. The method of projects appraisal suggested by Gittinger (1994) was followed by applying three principal discounting measures such as: BCR, NPV and IRR to measure the profitability of the selected thresher owners. Only financial analyses were done. The discount rate selected for the study was only 13 per cent and 10 years life was considered for each of the selected threshers. It was evident from the study that the investment in closed drum power thresher was more profitable than both the open drum and pedal thresher from the viewpoints of individual investors. The results of sensitivity analyses suggested that the investment in pedal thresher was a bit risky business with 10 per cent increase in O& M costs or 10 per cent reduction in gross benefits, if other things remain the same.
本研究对婆罗门巴利亚地区Kasba Upazila的动力脱粒机和脚踏脱粒机投资者的盈利能力进行了研究。为此,有目的地选择了60台脱粒机所有者进行研究,其中8台为封闭式滚筒脱粒机,17台为开放式滚筒脱粒机,35台为脚踏脱粒机。采用Gittinger(1994)提出的项目评估方法,采用BCR、NPV和IRR等三种主要贴现措施来衡量所选脱粒机所有者的盈利能力。只做了财务分析。该研究选择的贴现率仅为13%,每只选择的脱粒机都考虑了10年的寿命。研究表明,从个人投资者的角度来看,闭式转鼓动力脱粒机的投资比开式转鼓动力脱粒机和脚踏脱粒机都更有利可图。敏感性分析的结果表明,如果其他因素保持不变,投资踏板脱粒机是一项有点风险的业务,其成本增加10%,总收益减少10%。
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引用次数: 0
THE TIME SERIES PROPERTIES OF THE DOMESTIC AGRICULTURAL TERMS OF TRADE AND THE EXTERNAL NET BARTER TERMS OF TRADE IN BANGLADESH, 1952-2005 1952-2005年孟加拉国国内农业贸易条件和对外净易货贸易条件的时间序列特征
Pub Date : 2007-06-30 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200316
A. Hossain
This paper examines the time series properties of the domestic agricultural terms of trade, the external net barter terms of trade and the ratio of the agricultural to the external terms of trade in Bangladesh with annual data for the period 1952-2005. The ADF and the KPSS tests results suggest that the time series of these variables do not have a unit root. The Perron (1989) test results, which makes allowance for a structural break in the series during 1972-1975 because economic and political shocks, suggest that although the domestic agricultural terms of trade does not have a unit root, the null hypothesis of a unit root in both the external terms of trade and the ratio of the agricultural to the external terms of trade cannot be rejected at the conventional 5 per cent level. Having obtained such mixed results, these series are assumed trend-stationary for examining any dynamic relationship between them Accordingly, the domestic agricultural terms of trade and the external terms of trade are detrended and a Granger-causality test is conducted between them. Although the test results are sensitive to the lag-length, they suggest that there is a bi-directional causality between them. This finding casts doubt about the view that the domestic agricultural terms of trade in Bangladesh can be considered a policy instrument that remains under the control of policy makers, who might have used it to 'squeeze agriculture' for industrialisation under an import-substituting strptegy of development until the early 1980s.
本文利用1952-2005年的年度数据,研究了孟加拉国国内农业贸易条件、外部净易货贸易条件和农业与外部贸易条件之比的时间序列特征。ADF和KPSS检验结果表明,这些变量的时间序列不具有单位根。Perron(1989)的检验结果考虑到1972-1975年期间由于经济和政治冲击而出现的结构性中断,结果表明,尽管国内农业贸易条件没有单位根,但在常规的5%水平上,对外贸易条件和农业与对外贸易条件之比都存在单位根的零假设是不能被拒绝的。在得到这样混杂的结果之后,为了检验它们之间的动态关系,假设这些序列是趋势平稳的,因此,国内农业贸易条件和外部贸易条件是非趋势的,并在它们之间进行格兰杰因果检验。虽然测试结果对滞后长度敏感,但表明两者之间存在双向因果关系。这一发现使人们对这样一种观点产生了怀疑,即孟加拉国国内农业贸易条件可以被视为一种政策工具,仍然在政策制定者的控制之下,直到20世纪80年代初,他们可能已经利用它在进口替代发展战略下“挤压农业”以实现工业化。
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引用次数: 0
POTENTIALITY OF VERTICALLY INTEGRATED POULTRY CONTRACT FARMING SYSTEM IN BANGLADESH: PROFITABILITY AND PRODUCTIVITY ANALYSIS 孟加拉国垂直整合家禽合同养殖系统的潜力:盈利能力和生产力分析
Pub Date : 2006-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200196
I. A. Begum
The paper examines the potentiality of vertically integrated poultry contract farming system in Bangladesh on farm income through profitability and farm productivity. Although government provides various favourable policies for poultry sector development but till now meat deficiency is 89.5 per cent of the total requirement. This is largely because of lack of necessary backward and forward market linkages. Vertically integrated contract farming could be one possible solution in this case. With effective management, vertically integrated contract farming system can be a means to develop markets and to bring about the transfer of technical know-how and to generate farm income in a way that contributes to farm profitability and productivity. Primary data were collected from 50 sample farmers of ABFL (Aftab Bahumukhi Farms Limited), the pioneer of vertically integrated farm which is situated at Kishorganj district of Bangladesh. Twenty five (25) independent sample farms were also selected from Gazipur district, the poultry region of Bangladesh. Results indicate that the use of production contracts is associated with a substantial increase in profitability, factor productivity, and represents a technological improvement over independent farm production, which would help to alleviate poverty.
本文通过盈利能力和农场生产力考察了孟加拉国垂直一体化家禽合同养殖系统对农场收入的潜力。尽管政府为家禽业的发展提供了各种优惠政策,但到目前为止,肉类缺乏率仍占总需求量的89.5%。这主要是因为缺乏必要的向后和向前市场联系。在这种情况下,垂直整合的合同农业可能是一种可能的解决方案。通过有效的管理,垂直一体化的合同农业制度可以成为发展市场、转让技术诀窍和以有助于农场盈利能力和生产力的方式产生农场收入的一种手段。主要数据收集自ABFL (Aftab Bahumukhi农场有限公司)的50名样本农民,ABFL是垂直整合农场的先驱,位于孟加拉国的Kishorganj地区。还从孟加拉国的家禽区加济普尔区选择了25个独立的样本农场。结果表明,生产合同的使用与盈利能力和要素生产率的大幅提高有关,并且代表了对独立农场生产的技术改进,这将有助于减轻贫困。
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引用次数: 3
PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION ASPECTS OF MILK IN SOME SELECTED AREAS OF MYMENSINGH 迈门辛格一些选定地区的牛奶生产和消费方面
Pub Date : 2006-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200189
Md. Abdul Quddus
The study was conducted to know the profitability of dairy farming, milk consumption pattern and marketing system of the dairy owners. Net return of dairy milk in commercial region was significantly higher than other regions due to rear cross breed cows and feeding them high quality food. Net return from dairy enterprise was 69 per cent of the gross cost and this figure was highest in semi-urban region (75%). The positive values of marginal value products indicate that addition of dry fodder, capital investment and labour would add positive returns through milk production. The regression coefficients using Cobb-Douglas production functions of dry fodder, capital investment, labour involved and breed dummy were positive and significant. Average per capita daily milk consumption by the dairy owners of different income classes and different regions were significantly different. Milk consumption function was higher for the dairy owners in commercial villages and for higher income classes. Education level, farm size, income and milk yield of respondents had positive and significant impact on milk consumption. Significant production elasticity was observed in rural areas whereas significant income elasticity was observed only in riverside village. Dairy enterprise may contribute to economic development of the country by increasing income of dairy owners, number of crossbred cows and extent of commercial farming. Lack of adequate market facilities, poor market infrastructure and low price of milk were the major marketing problems of the dairy owners.
研究的目的是了解奶牛养殖的盈利能力、奶主的牛奶消费模式和营销体系。由于饲养杂交奶牛和饲喂优质饲料,商品区牛奶净收益显著高于其他地区。乳制品企业的净回报占总成本的69%,这一数字在半城市地区最高(75%)。边际价值产品的正价值表明,添加干饲料、资本投资和劳动力将通过牛奶生产增加正回报。用Cobb-Douglas生产函数计算干饲料、资本投入、劳动投入和品种假人的回归系数均为正且显著。不同收入阶层、不同地区奶主人均日奶消费量差异显著。商品村奶场主和高收入阶层的奶消费函数更高。受教育程度、农场规模、收入和产奶量对牛奶消费有显著的正向影响。农村地区存在显著的生产弹性,而只有河边村存在显著的收入弹性。奶牛企业可以通过增加奶牛所有者的收入、增加杂交奶牛的数量和扩大商业化养殖的范围,为国家的经济发展做出贡献。缺乏足够的市场设施、市场基础设施差和牛奶价格低是奶场主面临的主要营销问题。
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引用次数: 2
Technical And Allocative Efficiency Of Growing Wheat In Northwest Districts Of Bangladesh 孟加拉国西北地区小麦种植的技术效率和配置效率
Pub Date : 2005-12-31 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.200223
M. E. Bakh, M. S. Islam
The present study was undertaken in the Northwest of Bangladesh to measure the technical and allocative efficiency of wheat production. Primary data from 200 farmers field were collected for this study. Frontier production model was used to estimate the technical efficiency and the marginal condition for profit maximization was used to estimate the allocative efficiency (AE). The mean farm specific technical efficiency of wheat growers were 88 percent and 69 percent at Dinajpur and Rangpur, respectively. The frontier farmers received higher yield by following optimum seeding time, using more urea, TSP, gypsum, manure and applying more frequently irrigation water with modest use of seed rate, and human labour at both the sites. So there is scope to increase the farmers' income and wheat yield by adopting the technologies adopted by the frontier farmers.
本研究是在孟加拉国西北部进行的,目的是衡量小麦生产的技术和配置效率。本研究收集了200个农户的原始资料。采用前沿生产模型估计技术效率,采用利润最大化的边际条件估计配置效率。在Dinajpur和Rangpur,小麦种植者的平均农场特定技术效率分别为88%和69%。边境农民通过遵循最佳播种时间,使用更多的尿素、总磷、石膏、粪肥和更频繁的灌溉水(适度使用种子率)和人力劳动,在两个地点获得了更高的产量。因此,采用边疆农民采用的技术,有提高农民收入和小麦产量的空间。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Bangladesh Journal of Agricultural Economics
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