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LEADING MODES AND FEATURE ZONES OF SEA ICE CONCENTRATION IN NORTH PACIFIC DURING SPRING SEASONS OF 2000–2020 2000-2020 年春季北太平洋海冰浓度的主要模式和特征区
Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534823500055
LI Xu, M. J. C. Crabbe
Under the influence of the Arctic amplification, sea ice variability in North Pacific is becoming a key indicator of global climate changes. Due to the widespread and complex impacts of North Pacific sea ice variations, the understanding of its dynamic changes, especially its spatial and temporal evolution patterns, has great significance. In this study, we used the rotated empirical orthogonal decomposition to divide the whole North Pacific into six feature zones on the evolution sea ice concentration under the recent global warming and highlighted the complexity and diversity of sea ice variations in the offshore waters.
在北极放大效应的影响下,北太平洋海冰变化正在成为全球气候变化的一个重要指标。由于北太平洋海冰变化影响广泛而复杂,了解其动态变化,特别是其时空演变规律具有重要意义。本研究利用旋转经验正交分解法,将整个北太平洋划分为近期全球变暖下海冰浓度演变的六个特征区,突出了近海海域海冰变化的复杂性和多样性。
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引用次数: 0
SPATIOTEMPORAL PROJECTIONS OF EXTREME TEMPERATURE INDICES OVER ALGERIA USING CMIP6-GLOBAL CLIMATE MODELS 利用 cmip6 全球气候模型对阿尔及利亚极端气温指数的时空预测
Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534823300026
Salah Sahabi-Abed, Ahmed NOUR-EL-ISLAM SELMANE
We assess in this paper the spatiotemporal projections of extreme temperature indices over Algeria derived from the adjusted multi-model ensemble mean (MME) data derived from 11 daily historical simulations of CMIP6-GCMs models that participated in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). The projected spatial patterns of 12 extreme temperature indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices are assessed for two future time periods: the mid-future 2041–2070 and the far future 2071–2100, relative to the baseline period 1985–2014 and under three Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP) scenarios: low emission SSP1-2.6; medium emission SSP2-4.5 and high emission scenario (SSP5-8.5). The selected climate indices reflect the intensity (TXx, TNx, TXn, TNn and DTR), frequency (TX90p and TN10p) and duration (WSDI, SU, CSDI, TR and FD) of the extreme thermal events. The MME Projections show a global heightened warming over Algeria. Future Climate features depict a continuous increase in the occurrence of hot days by the end of the century reaching 60% for SSP5-8.5 and an amplification of the intensity of the extreme temperature of about 6∘C for SSP5-8.5 and an extension of the heat wave duration period of about 80 days in the north and 100 days in the south of the country compared to the historical period. However, the study shows a projected simultaneous decline in the cold spell duration of 7 days and in the frost days reaching 25 days. A stabilization of the upsurge trend is remarkably observed for most indices under SSP1-2.6 starting from the 2050s. The future changes depicted in this study should help to assess the distribution of the impacts across different regions of Algeria in order to enhance resilience, establish the appropriate adaptation responses and improve disaster preparedness.
我们在本文中评估了阿尔及利亚极端气温指数的时空预测,这些指数来自参与 IPCC 第六次评估报告(AR6)的 11 个 CMIP6-GCMs 模型每日历史模拟得出的调整后多模型集合平均值(MME)数据。相对于 1985-2014 年基线期和三种共享社会经济路径(SSP)情景:低排放情景 SSP1-2.6、中排放情景 SSP2-4.5 和高排放情景(SSP5-8.5),评估了气候变化探测和指数专家组定义的 12 个极端温度指数在两个未来时段的预测空间模式:2041-2070 年中期未来和 2071-2100 年远期未来。所选气候指数反映了极端热事件的强度(TXx、TNx、TXn、TNn 和 DTR)、频率(TX90p 和 TN10p)和持续时间(WSDI、SU、CSDI、TR 和 FD)。MME 预测显示,阿尔及利亚上空的全球变暖程度加剧。未来气候特征显示,与历史时期相比,到本世纪末,SSP5-8.5 中的高温天数将持续增加,达到 60%,SSP5-8.5 中的极端气温强度将增加约 6∘C,热浪持续时间在该国北部将延长约 80 天,在南部将延长约 100 天。然而,研究表明,预计寒流持续时间将同时减少 7 天,霜冻天数将达到 25 天。从 2050 年代开始,在 SSP1-2.6 条件下,大多数指数的上升趋势明显趋于稳定。本研究中描述的未来变化应有助于评估阿尔及利亚不同地区的影响分布,以提高抗灾能力,制定适当的适应对策,并改进备灾工作。
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引用次数: 0
UNDERSTANDING CLIMATE CHANGE IN ETHIOPIA: IMPACTS AND SOLUTIONS 了解埃塞俄比亚的气候变化:影响和解决办法
Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534823300014
Fekadu Tadege Kobe
Climate change poses a global challenge with profound impacts on diverse aspects of the environment and human society. Understanding these impacts is crucial for formulating effective mitigation strategies. As one of the most critical threats to sustainable development, climate change is anticipated to affect the environment, human health, food security, economic activities, natural resources and physical infrastructure. This review focuses on climate change, its consequences and mitigation efforts in Ethiopia. Ethiopia has encountered both climate variability and change, evident in an average annual temperature increase of about 1.3∘C since 1960, with a corresponding rise of 0.28∘C per decade. Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation have also intensified, highlighting the country’s exposure to climate fluctuations. To address these challenges, the Ethiopian government has implemented various policies, strategies and programs aimed at enhancing adaptive capacity and minimizing the impacts of climate variability and change. The Climate-Resilient Green Economy (CRGE) of Ethiopia centers on four pillars: agriculture, forestry, renewable energy and advanced technologies. These pillars form the foundation for Ethiopia’s pursuit of a sustainable green economy. In conclusion, this review delves into the examination of climate change, its repercussions and the ongoing efforts to mitigate its effects in Ethiopia.
气候变化是一项全球性挑战,对环境和人类社会的各个方面产生了深远的影响。了解这些影响对于制定有效的缓解战略至关重要。作为可持续发展面临的最严重威胁之一,气候变化预计将影响环境、人类健康、粮食安全、经济活动、自然资源和有形基础设施。本综述侧重于埃塞俄比亚的气候变化、其后果和减缓努力。自 1960 年以来,埃塞俄比亚的年平均气温上升了约 1.3∘C,每十年相应上升 0.28∘C。降水量的时空变化也加剧了,凸显了该国受气候波动影响的程度。为应对这些挑战,埃塞俄比亚政府实施了各种政策、战略和计划,旨在提高适应能力,最大限度地减少气候多变性和气候变化的影响。埃塞俄比亚的气候适应性绿色经济(CRGE)以四大支柱为中心:农业、林业、可再生能源和先进技术。这些支柱构成了埃塞俄比亚追求可持续绿色经济的基础。最后,本综述深入探讨了气候变化、其影响以及埃塞俄比亚为减轻其影响而正在进行的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Green Retirement homes in China - Background and case study 中国的绿色养老院——背景与案例研究
Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534823720014
A. Oberheitmann, Ruan Xiaodong
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of SDSM Models for Climate Predictions in Bangladesh 孟加拉国气候预测SDSM模式的评价
Pub Date : 2023-05-18 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534823500031
Yue Han, Jiaxin (Cathy) Yang, Lipon Chandra Das
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引用次数: 0
Dominant Spatio-temporal Modes of Arctic Sea Ice during 2000-2020 2000-2020年北极海冰优势时空模态
Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.1142/s263053482350002x
Li Xu, M. James, C. Crabbe
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引用次数: 0
Can global warming change predator-prey dynamics: A modelling study 全球变暖会改变捕食者-猎物动态:一个模型研究
Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534823500018
P. Panja
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引用次数: 0
Dynamical modeling and analysis of methane emission abatement 甲烷减排的动力学建模与分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534822500036
J. Shukla, S. Sundar, Ashish Kumar Mishra, R. Naresh
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引用次数: 0
ANALYSIS OF SEASONAL AND ANNUAL VARIATIONS OF EXTREME TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION IN ETHIOPIA 埃塞俄比亚极端温度和降水的季节和年变化分析
Pub Date : 2022-11-16 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534822500024
Fekadu Tadege Kobe, Anxing Liu
One of the most serious challenges in the world is climate change. This study examines variations in seasonal and yearly fluctuations in extreme temperatures and precipitation in Ethiopia from 1987 to 2020 using 36 meteorological stations located in various climatic zones. The outcomes of the study demonstrated increased trends in the average annual maximum and minimum temperatures, with values of 0.094∘C and 0.052∘C, respectively. Despite falling trends in the summer, most stations experienced higher winter temperatures than summer. Furthermore, the analysis revealed a trend toward an increase in the number of rain stations over the summer season, while a trend toward a decrease in the amount of precipitation for a number of stations in the winter season; otherwise, large changes expected in the dega (cold), woina dega (cool), and kola (warm) climatic zones during the summer season did not occur. Precipitation activity has been near normal in most dega (cold), woina dega (cool), and kola (warm) climatic zones over the preceding 33 years. However, precipitation in the berha (hot) climatic zone was lower than average, with fluctuating levels noted throughout the year. The average annual precipitation has been decreasing at a rate of 0.146[Formula: see text]mm per year over the past 33 years, indicating that only the winter season has shown a downward (decreasing) trend, while the other three seasons, such as summer, spring, and autumn, have shown growing trends. Furthermore, Ethiopia’s average annual rainfall continues to be on a downward trend (decreasing).
世界上最严峻的挑战之一是气候变化。本研究利用位于不同气候带的36个气象站,考察了1987年至2020年埃塞俄比亚极端温度和降水的季节性和年度波动变化。研究结果显示,年平均最高气温和最低气温呈增加趋势,分别为0.094°C和0.052°C。尽管夏季气温呈下降趋势,但大多数监测站的冬季气温都高于夏季。夏季降水台站数量呈增加趋势,冬季降水台站数量呈减少趋势;否则,在夏季,dega(冷)、woina dega(冷)和kola(暖)气候带没有发生预期的大变化。在过去的33年里,大多数dega(寒冷)、woina dega(凉爽)和kola(温暖)气候带的降水活动接近正常。但是,热气候带的降水量低于平均水平,全年都有波动。近33年来,年平均降水量以每年0.146毫米的速度减少,表明只有冬季呈现下降(减少)趋势,而夏、春、秋等三个季节呈现增长趋势。此外,埃塞俄比亚的年平均降雨量继续呈下降趋势(减少)。
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引用次数: 0
Deep Sea Mining for Renewable Technologies; a Case Study for using Big Data 深海可再生采矿技术;使用大数据的案例研究
Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534822720019
M. Crabbe
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming
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