首页 > 最新文献

International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming最新文献

英文 中文
PERCEPTIONS AND ACCEPTANCE OF CCUS ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT, BY EXPERTS AND GOVERNMENT OFFICERS, IN CHINA 中国专家和政府官员对ccus环境风险评估的认知和接受程度
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534819500104
Guizhen Liu, Bofeng Cai, QI Li, G. Leamon, Libin Cao, Ying Zhou
In May 2017, Department of Science, Technology and Standards, MEP, China held the first training conference of “2017 CCUS environmental risk assessment technology”. After the conference, specially designed questionnaires were sent to the participants so as to collect the professional opinions to improve the guideline in the next revision. Basic information of participants, knowledge of capture, utilization and geological storage (CCUS), and attitude to the CCUS environmental risk are contained in the questionnaires. The 82 questionnaires were issued to the participants, and 77 valid questionnaires were collected with the response rate of 93.9%. According to the data mining, (a) nearly one third of the participants had not heard of the CCUS before the training; (b) the attitude to CCUS environmental impact and risk is influenced by the knowledge of CCUS; (c) the severities of the three aspects of capture component are medium; (d) for onshore CCUS projects, underground water, atmosphere, soil, and human health were considered the highest sensitivity receptors; (e) the enterprises were very concerned of the CCUS environmental management policies, three most important policies were conducting environmental monitoring across the whole chain, clarifying the environmental management responsibilities, and establishing emergency plans for environmental accidents. The result of this survey would provide the guidance for the improvement of the technical guideline which planned to be released during the official version in 2020.
2017年5月,中国环保部科技和标准司举办了首届“2017 CCUS环境风险评估技术”培训班。会议结束后,我们向与会者发放了专门设计的问卷,以收集专业意见,以便在下次修订中完善指南。问卷内容包括被调查者的基本信息、对捕集利用和地质封存(CCUS)的认识以及对CCUS环境风险的态度。共发放问卷82份,回收有效问卷77份,回复率为93.9%。根据数据挖掘,(a)近三分之一的参与者在培训前没有听说过CCUS;(b)对CCUS的环境影响和风险的态度受CCUS知识的影响;(c)捕获分量的三个方面的严重程度为中等;(d)对于陆上CCUS项目,地下水、大气、土壤和人类健康被认为是最敏感的受体;(五)企业非常关注CCUS的环境管理政策,其中最重要的三项政策是开展全产业链环境监测、明确环境管理责任、建立环境事故应急预案。本次调查的结果将为技术指南的改进提供指导,该技术指南计划在2020年正式版本期间发布。
{"title":"PERCEPTIONS AND ACCEPTANCE OF CCUS ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT, BY EXPERTS AND GOVERNMENT OFFICERS, IN CHINA","authors":"Guizhen Liu, Bofeng Cai, QI Li, G. Leamon, Libin Cao, Ying Zhou","doi":"10.1142/s2630534819500104","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2630534819500104","url":null,"abstract":"In May 2017, Department of Science, Technology and Standards, MEP, China held the first training conference of “2017 CCUS environmental risk assessment technology”. After the conference, specially designed questionnaires were sent to the participants so as to collect the professional opinions to improve the guideline in the next revision. Basic information of participants, knowledge of capture, utilization and geological storage (CCUS), and attitude to the CCUS environmental risk are contained in the questionnaires. The 82 questionnaires were issued to the participants, and 77 valid questionnaires were collected with the response rate of 93.9%. According to the data mining, (a) nearly one third of the participants had not heard of the CCUS before the training; (b) the attitude to CCUS environmental impact and risk is influenced by the knowledge of CCUS; (c) the severities of the three aspects of capture component are medium; (d) for onshore CCUS projects, underground water, atmosphere, soil, and human health were considered the highest sensitivity receptors; (e) the enterprises were very concerned of the CCUS environmental management policies, three most important policies were conducting environmental monitoring across the whole chain, clarifying the environmental management responsibilities, and establishing emergency plans for environmental accidents. The result of this survey would provide the guidance for the improvement of the technical guideline which planned to be released during the official version in 2020.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122206437","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
AUTHOR INDEX Volume 1 (2019) 作者索引卷1 (2019)
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2661339519990014
{"title":"AUTHOR INDEX Volume 1 (2019)","authors":"","doi":"10.1142/s2661339519990014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2661339519990014","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129566462","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
FARIMA MODELING OF SUNSPOT HALE CYCLES TIME SERIES 太阳黑子hale周期时间序列的Farima模型
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2630534819500086
Danish Hassan, Muhammad Fahim Akhter, Shaheen Abbas
The influence of solar activity on climate system at regional or global scales cannot be neglected. In this study, we will stimulate full-length sunspot time series (1932–2014) and all four Hale cycles by fractional auto regressive integrated moving average (FARIMA ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text])) model. By minimizing Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian–Schwarz information criterion (BIC) and Hannan–Quinn information criterion (HIC), the best FARIMA model for full-length sunspot time series is [Formula: see text] where [Formula: see text] is the back shift operator and [Formula: see text] is a white noise.
太阳活动对区域和全球气候系统的影响不容忽视。在本研究中,我们将采用分数阶自回归积分移动平均(FARIMA([公式:见文],[公式:见文],[公式:见文])模型来模拟完整长度的太阳黑子时间序列(1932-2014)和所有四个Hale周期。通过最小化Akaike信息准则(AIC)、Bayesian-Schwarz信息准则(BIC)和Hannan-Quinn信息准则(HIC),得到完整长度太阳黑子时间序列的最佳FARIMA模型为[公式:见文],其中[公式:见文]为倒移算子,[公式:见文]为白噪声。
{"title":"FARIMA MODELING OF SUNSPOT HALE CYCLES TIME SERIES","authors":"Danish Hassan, Muhammad Fahim Akhter, Shaheen Abbas","doi":"10.1142/s2630534819500086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2630534819500086","url":null,"abstract":"The influence of solar activity on climate system at regional or global scales cannot be neglected. In this study, we will stimulate full-length sunspot time series (1932–2014) and all four Hale cycles by fractional auto regressive integrated moving average (FARIMA ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text])) model. By minimizing Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian–Schwarz information criterion (BIC) and Hannan–Quinn information criterion (HIC), the best FARIMA model for full-length sunspot time series is [Formula: see text] where [Formula: see text] is the back shift operator and [Formula: see text] is a white noise.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116218514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PHENOLOGY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS IN RECENT 15 YEARS IN THE PASTORAL AREA OF QINGHAI, CHINA 青海牧区近15年物候、生产力与气象因子的关系
Pub Date : 2019-06-06 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819500025
Xin Ye, Xiaoyuan Yang, B. Zhou, Dang-Jun Wang, Hua-kun Zhou, Wei-Xin Xu, B. Yao, Zhen Ma, Yi‐Kang Li, Yong-sheng Yang, WEN-HUA Xu
Through studying vegetation phenology and its relation to meteorological factors in a representative region, we can get the responsiveness of vegetation phenophase in different sites to climate changes and how it affects vegetation productivity by the changes of growing season. It is crucial to enhance the accuracy of carbon sequestration estimate. We use phenological observation data and corresponding meteorological data from weather stations of six counties in Qinghai province. The conclusions are (1) In the background of global climate change, the temperature of the pastoral area of Qinghai takes a significantly increasing trend. The precipitation also takes an increasing trend, but only the site of Qumalai is significant. (2) The green-up dates of forages in every site are not significant, but the withered dates of forages are significantly put off. In the sites of Gande and Haiyan, the major forages put off in withered dates are Gramineae, in the site of Henan, Cyperaceae is significantly put off. Significantly extended growing season of representative forages of Gramineae, Cyperaceae and other broad-leaved herb exist in the pastoral area of Qinghai. (3) In terms of relations between green-up date and temperature, the influence of site scale is greater than the influence of different species, and advanced green-up dates of forages in the sites of Henan and Haiyan are longer than the dates of the same forages in the site of Gande. Overall, green-up dates of forages advanced in the site of Henan (Avg3.67 days/[Formula: see text]C) are longer than the dates in the site of Gande (Avg1.31 days/[Formula: see text]C). In terms of relations between green-up date and precipitation, divergences of sites and species exist. The green-up dates of forages in the sites of both Qumalai and Tongde have significant negative correlation with precipitation. In the site of Haiyan, the green-up dates of some forages advance, and the green-up dates of some forages put off. On the whole, Gramineae is best responded, then Cyperaceae and broad-leaved herb show hardly any responsiveness. (4) The responsiveness of temperature is less than precipitation in the pastoral area of Qinghai. Forages in Tongde and Qumalai have significantly positive correlation with the accumulation precipitation from August to September. The differences are the delayed dates of the withered dates of Cyperaceae (2.97 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) which are longer than the delayed dates of the withered dates of Gramineae (2.02 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) in the site of Qumalai. Conversely, the delayed dates of the withered dates of Gramineae (3.13 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) are longer than the delayed dates of the withered dates of Cyperaceae (1.68 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) in the site of Tongde. (5) Only parts of sites in the pastoral area of Qinghai have the tendency of significant increment of forage yield. The precipitations in the sites of Gande, Qumalai and Xinghai can significan
通过研究某代表性地区植被物候及其与气象因子的关系,可以了解不同立地植被物候对气候变化的响应性,以及它是如何通过生长季节的变化影响植被生产力的。提高固碳估算的准确性至关重要。本文利用青海省6个县气象站的物候观测资料和相应的气象资料。结果表明:(1)在全球气候变化的大背景下,青海牧区气温呈显著上升趋势。降水也呈增加趋势,但只有曲玛莱地区降水显著。(2)各试验点牧草的青期均不显著,枯期均显著推迟。甘德和海盐两地凋落日期的主要牧草是禾本科,河南地凋落日期的主要牧草是苏科。青海牧区禾本科、苏柏科等阔叶草本代表性牧草生长季节明显延长。(3)在青期与温度的关系上,立地规模的影响大于不同物种的影响,河南和海盐立地的牧草提前青期比甘德立地相同牧草提前青期要长。总体而言,河南遗址区先进牧草的青期(Avg3.67天/[公式:见文]C)比甘德遗址区先进牧草的青期(Avg1.31天/[公式:见文]C)长。在绿期与降水的关系上,存在着立地和种数上的差异。瞿玛莱和同德两处遗址的牧草青贮期与降水量呈显著负相关。在海盐遗址,有些牧草的青期提前,有些牧草的青期推迟。从总体上看,禾本科的响应效果最好,其次是苏科和阔叶草本。(4)青海牧区对温度的响应小于降水的响应。8 ~ 9月,同德、瞿麻莱地区牧草与累积降水量呈显著正相关。不同的是,在曲麻莱遗址,苏科植物的延迟枯萎日期(2.97天/10[公式:见文]mm)比禾本科植物的延迟枯萎日期(2.02天/10[公式:见文]mm)要长。相反,在同德遗址,禾本科植物(3.13天/10[公式:见文]mm)的凋落期延迟时间比苏科植物(1.68天/10[公式:见文]mm)的凋落期延迟时间要长。(5)青海牧区只有部分立地牧草产量有显著增加的趋势。甘德、曲麻莱、星海等地的降水能显著提高牧草产量。(6)主要植被物候和生产力变化受气候因子驱动。不同功能群的植被物候和不同区域的牧草产量的响应模式与不同类型植被的生物特性和气候敏感性相关的气候因子不一致。
{"title":"RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PHENOLOGY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS IN RECENT 15 YEARS IN THE PASTORAL AREA OF QINGHAI, CHINA","authors":"Xin Ye, Xiaoyuan Yang, B. Zhou, Dang-Jun Wang, Hua-kun Zhou, Wei-Xin Xu, B. Yao, Zhen Ma, Yi‐Kang Li, Yong-sheng Yang, WEN-HUA Xu","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819500025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819500025","url":null,"abstract":"Through studying vegetation phenology and its relation to meteorological factors in a representative region, we can get the responsiveness of vegetation phenophase in different sites to climate changes and how it affects vegetation productivity by the changes of growing season. It is crucial to enhance the accuracy of carbon sequestration estimate. We use phenological observation data and corresponding meteorological data from weather stations of six counties in Qinghai province. The conclusions are (1) In the background of global climate change, the temperature of the pastoral area of Qinghai takes a significantly increasing trend. The precipitation also takes an increasing trend, but only the site of Qumalai is significant. (2) The green-up dates of forages in every site are not significant, but the withered dates of forages are significantly put off. In the sites of Gande and Haiyan, the major forages put off in withered dates are Gramineae, in the site of Henan, Cyperaceae is significantly put off. Significantly extended growing season of representative forages of Gramineae, Cyperaceae and other broad-leaved herb exist in the pastoral area of Qinghai. (3) In terms of relations between green-up date and temperature, the influence of site scale is greater than the influence of different species, and advanced green-up dates of forages in the sites of Henan and Haiyan are longer than the dates of the same forages in the site of Gande. Overall, green-up dates of forages advanced in the site of Henan (Avg3.67 days/[Formula: see text]C) are longer than the dates in the site of Gande (Avg1.31 days/[Formula: see text]C). In terms of relations between green-up date and precipitation, divergences of sites and species exist. The green-up dates of forages in the sites of both Qumalai and Tongde have significant negative correlation with precipitation. In the site of Haiyan, the green-up dates of some forages advance, and the green-up dates of some forages put off. On the whole, Gramineae is best responded, then Cyperaceae and broad-leaved herb show hardly any responsiveness. (4) The responsiveness of temperature is less than precipitation in the pastoral area of Qinghai. Forages in Tongde and Qumalai have significantly positive correlation with the accumulation precipitation from August to September. The differences are the delayed dates of the withered dates of Cyperaceae (2.97 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) which are longer than the delayed dates of the withered dates of Gramineae (2.02 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) in the site of Qumalai. Conversely, the delayed dates of the withered dates of Gramineae (3.13 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) are longer than the delayed dates of the withered dates of Cyperaceae (1.68 days/10[Formula: see text]mm) in the site of Tongde. (5) Only parts of sites in the pastoral area of Qinghai have the tendency of significant increment of forage yield. The precipitations in the sites of Gande, Qumalai and Xinghai can significan","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129733422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
EDITORIAL: BIG DATA MINING APPROACHES FOR HELPING TO REDUCE AND PREVENT GLOBAL WARMING 社论:帮助减少和防止全球变暖的大数据挖掘方法
Pub Date : 2019-06-06 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819010010
D. Huisingh, Zhihua Zhang
{"title":"EDITORIAL: BIG DATA MINING APPROACHES FOR HELPING TO REDUCE AND PREVENT GLOBAL WARMING","authors":"D. Huisingh, Zhihua Zhang","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819010010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819010010","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"516 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116220346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
IMPACT OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020–2059) ON THE HYDROLOGICAL REGIME IN THE HEIHE RIVER BASIN IN SHAANXI PROVINCE, CHINA 未来气候变化(2020-2059年)对陕西黑河流域水文状况的影响
Pub Date : 2019-06-06 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819500037
A. Huo, Xiaofan Wang, Yuxiang Cheng, Chunli Zheng, Jiang Cheng
Assessing the impacts of climate change on hydrological regime and associated social and economic activities (such as farming) is important for water resources management in any river basin. In this study, we used the popular Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to evaluate the impacts of future climate change on the availability of water resources in the Heihe River basin located within Shaanxi Province, China, in terms of runoff and streamflow. The results show that over the next 40 years (starting in 2020 till 2059), changes in the averaged annual runoff ratio are approximately [Formula: see text]11.0%, [Formula: see text]6.4%, 7.2%, and 20.4% for each of the next four consecutive decades as compared to the baseline period (2010–2019). The predicted annual runoff demonstrates an increase trend after a reduction and may result in increased drought and flood risk in the Heihe River basin. To minimize or mitigate these impacts, various adaptation methods have been proposed for the study area, such as stopping irrigation, flood control operation; reasonable development and utilization of regional underground water sources should be implemented in Zhouzhi county and Huyi region in the lower reaches of Heihe River basin.
评估气候变化对水文状况和相关社会经济活动(如农业)的影响对任何流域的水资源管理都很重要。在本研究中,我们利用流行的水土评估工具(SWAT)从径流和径流两个方面评估了未来气候变化对陕西省黑河流域水资源有效性的影响。结果表明,在未来40年(从2020年开始至2059年),与基准期(2010-2019年)相比,未来连续40年平均年径流量的变化分别约为[公式:见文]11.0%、[公式:见文]6.4%、7.2%和20.4%。预测年径流量先减少后增加,可能导致黑河流域旱涝风险增加。为了尽量减少或减轻这些影响,研究区提出了各种适应方法,如停止灌溉、防洪操作;黑河流域下游周治县和虎邑地区应实施区域地下水源的合理开发利用。
{"title":"IMPACT OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020–2059) ON THE HYDROLOGICAL REGIME IN THE HEIHE RIVER BASIN IN SHAANXI PROVINCE, CHINA","authors":"A. Huo, Xiaofan Wang, Yuxiang Cheng, Chunli Zheng, Jiang Cheng","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819500037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819500037","url":null,"abstract":"Assessing the impacts of climate change on hydrological regime and associated social and economic activities (such as farming) is important for water resources management in any river basin. In this study, we used the popular Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to evaluate the impacts of future climate change on the availability of water resources in the Heihe River basin located within Shaanxi Province, China, in terms of runoff and streamflow. The results show that over the next 40 years (starting in 2020 till 2059), changes in the averaged annual runoff ratio are approximately [Formula: see text]11.0%, [Formula: see text]6.4%, 7.2%, and 20.4% for each of the next four consecutive decades as compared to the baseline period (2010–2019). The predicted annual runoff demonstrates an increase trend after a reduction and may result in increased drought and flood risk in the Heihe River basin. To minimize or mitigate these impacts, various adaptation methods have been proposed for the study area, such as stopping irrigation, flood control operation; reasonable development and utilization of regional underground water sources should be implemented in Zhouzhi county and Huyi region in the lower reaches of Heihe River basin.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129695007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
TRENDS AND VARIABILITIES IN ANNUAL PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE DURING 2006–2100 IN THE WEYB RIVER BASIN, ETHIOPIA 2006-2100年埃塞俄比亚韦布河流域年降水和气温变化趋势
Pub Date : 2019-06-06 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819500049
A. B. Serur
This study investigates on variabilities in annual precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature within the Weyb River basin during 2006–2100 under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 2.6/4.5/8.5 scenarios based on predictions of three Earth System Models (GFDL-ESM2M, CanESM2, and GFDL-ESM2G). Our results showed that precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature would rise in the near term (2011–2040), the medium term (2041–2070), and the long term (2071–2100) as compared to the baseline scenario (1981–2005). The larger increments are predicted by GFDL-ESM2M than those by GFDL-ESM2G and CanESM2 in all three time periods. The variabilities of precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature are predicted to be higher under RCP8.5 scenario than those under RCP4.5 or RCP2.6 scenario in simulations of all three ESMs. Results also revealed that there would be significant spatiotemporal variations in precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature within the Weyb River basin, which implies that the basin would possibly experience droughts or floods more frequently during the 21st century.
基于GFDL-ESM2M、CanESM2和GFDL-ESM2G地球系统模型的预测,研究了2006-2100年韦布河流域代表性浓度路径(RCP) 2.6/4.5/8.5情景下的年降水量、最高气温和最低气温的变化特征。结果表明,与基线情景(1981-2005年)相比,近期(2011-2040年)、中期(2041-2070年)和长期(2071-2100年)降水、最高气温和最低气温均将上升。在所有三个时间段内,GFDL-ESM2M预测的增量都比GFDL-ESM2G和CanESM2预测的增量大。RCP8.5情景下的降水、最高温度和最低温度的变率均高于RCP4.5和RCP2.6情景。渭河流域降水、最高气温和最低气温的时空变化特征表明,21世纪渭河流域干旱或洪涝灾害的发生频率可能会增加。
{"title":"TRENDS AND VARIABILITIES IN ANNUAL PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE DURING 2006–2100 IN THE WEYB RIVER BASIN, ETHIOPIA","authors":"A. B. Serur","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819500049","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819500049","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates on variabilities in annual precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature within the Weyb River basin during 2006–2100 under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 2.6/4.5/8.5 scenarios based on predictions of three Earth System Models (GFDL-ESM2M, CanESM2, and GFDL-ESM2G). Our results showed that precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature would rise in the near term (2011–2040), the medium term (2041–2070), and the long term (2071–2100) as compared to the baseline scenario (1981–2005). The larger increments are predicted by GFDL-ESM2M than those by GFDL-ESM2G and CanESM2 in all three time periods. The variabilities of precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature are predicted to be higher under RCP8.5 scenario than those under RCP4.5 or RCP2.6 scenario in simulations of all three ESMs. Results also revealed that there would be significant spatiotemporal variations in precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature within the Weyb River basin, which implies that the basin would possibly experience droughts or floods more frequently during the 21st century.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"80 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133584512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE IN THE CHALIYAR RIVER BASIN IN KERALA, INDIA 气候变化对印度喀拉拉邦查里亚尔河流域灌溉农业的影响
Pub Date : 2019-06-06 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819500013
Arya Soman, N. Chithra
Impact assessment of regional climate change is very important as change in climate has emerged as one of the major threats to water resource systems and would significantly affect streamflow, soil moisture and water availability. The study used output of the Regional Climate Model (RCM) Remo2009 (Max-Planck-Institute (MPI)) to analyze the potential impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the Chaliyar river basin, India. Streamflow and evapotranspiration were simulated using validated Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) model. The estimation of irrigation water requirement (IWR) was performed using Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) method for the period 2021–2030 and 2051–2060. Results show that projected streamflow increases during June to September and decreases during October to December and January to May in future. Crop water requirement and IWR showed an increase during dry season and decrease during wet season. The increase/decrease in streamflow and IWR during wet/dry season is more in the far future than near future and for RCP 8.5 scenario than RCP 4.5 scenario.
区域气候变化的影响评价是非常重要的,因为气候变化已成为水资源系统的主要威胁之一,并将显著影响河流流量、土壤湿度和水分有效性。该研究利用区域气候模型(RCM) Remo2009 (Max-Planck-Institute (MPI))的输出分析了气候变化对印度查利亚尔河流域灌溉农业的潜在影响。利用经过验证的水文工程中心水文模拟系统(HEC-HMS)模型对河流流量和蒸散发进行了模拟。采用联合国粮农组织(FAO)方法估算了2021-2030年和2051-2060年灌溉需水量(IWR)。结果表明:6 ~ 9月预测流量增大,10 ~ 12月和1 ~ 5月预测流量减小;作物需水量和内水比表现为旱季增加,雨季减少。干湿季节流量和内水蓄积的增减在远未来大于近未来,在RCP 8.5情景下大于RCP 4.5情景。
{"title":"IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE IN THE CHALIYAR RIVER BASIN IN KERALA, INDIA","authors":"Arya Soman, N. Chithra","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819500013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819500013","url":null,"abstract":"Impact assessment of regional climate change is very important as change in climate has emerged as one of the major threats to water resource systems and would significantly affect streamflow, soil moisture and water availability. The study used output of the Regional Climate Model (RCM) Remo2009 (Max-Planck-Institute (MPI)) to analyze the potential impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the Chaliyar river basin, India. Streamflow and evapotranspiration were simulated using validated Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) model. The estimation of irrigation water requirement (IWR) was performed using Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) method for the period 2021–2030 and 2051–2060. Results show that projected streamflow increases during June to September and decreases during October to December and January to May in future. Crop water requirement and IWR showed an increase during dry season and decrease during wet season. The increase/decrease in streamflow and IWR during wet/dry season is more in the far future than near future and for RCP 8.5 scenario than RCP 4.5 scenario.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133933171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS AND ENERGY TRANSITION IN PAKISTAN 巴基斯坦的温室气体排放和能源转型
Pub Date : 2019-04-17 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819500062
A. Raza, R. Gholami, M. Rabiei, V. Rasouli, R. Rezaee
Pakistan is ranked in the 7th position among the affected countries by climate changes. Although many studies have been done on the impacts of climate change in Pakistan, little attention has been given to the need for an energy transition and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in this country. This study highlights the needs of the national energy transition in Pakistan to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions. Considering the fact that natural gas has lower greenhouse gas emission than coal or oil, Pakistan needs to shift its energy system towards natural gas in the near future. Meanwhile, Pakistan government should take key measures and revise energy policies to support such energy transition by making large gas discoveries, increasing energy conversion systems, and implementing renewable and sustainable energies.
巴基斯坦在受气候变化影响的国家中排名第七。尽管对巴基斯坦气候变化的影响进行了许多研究,但很少有人关注该国能源转型和减少温室气体排放的必要性。本研究强调了巴基斯坦国家能源转型对减少温室气体排放的需求。考虑到天然气的温室气体排放量低于煤炭或石油,巴基斯坦需要在不久的将来将其能源系统转向天然气。与此同时,巴基斯坦政府应采取关键措施并修订能源政策,通过发现大型天然气、增加能源转换系统以及实施可再生和可持续能源来支持这种能源转型。
{"title":"GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS AND ENERGY TRANSITION IN PAKISTAN","authors":"A. Raza, R. Gholami, M. Rabiei, V. Rasouli, R. Rezaee","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819500062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819500062","url":null,"abstract":"Pakistan is ranked in the 7th position among the affected countries by climate changes. Although many studies have been done on the impacts of climate change in Pakistan, little attention has been given to the need for an energy transition and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in this country. This study highlights the needs of the national energy transition in Pakistan to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions. Considering the fact that natural gas has lower greenhouse gas emission than coal or oil, Pakistan needs to shift its energy system towards natural gas in the near future. Meanwhile, Pakistan government should take key measures and revise energy policies to support such energy transition by making large gas discoveries, increasing energy conversion systems, and implementing renewable and sustainable energies.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"100 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128791423","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
WEATHER AND CLIMATE AS EVENTS: CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE PUBLIC IDEA OF CLIMATE CHANGE 作为事件的天气和气候:对气候变化公众观念的贡献
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1142/S2630534819500050
A. Stewart, JungSu Oh
One aspect of the psychology of weather and climate concerns the multiple meanings that may be associated with weather and climate as event. Atmospheric scientists and journalists have increasingly described both weather and climate as event. In this paper, the authors documented the increasing use of weather and climate as events in the scholarly literature of the American Meteorological Society and in newspaper articles over time. The authors also conducted pathfinder network scaling analyses with event-related terms to assess the meanings of events in academic and journalistic writing. The analyses suggested four contexts of event meanings: (1) study of ordinary weather or climate occurrences, (2) the study and attribution of severe and extreme weather, (3) societal impacts of weather, and (4) the public lexicon. Communicating about weather and climates as event contributes to the development and evolution of the public idea of climate change. The burgeoning of event in discourse contributes to the public idea of climate change in at least three ways: (1) events contribute specificity to the more general idea of climate change; (2) events contribute experientiality of climate change, and (3) events contribute exemplification to the public idea of climate change to the extent that weather events can be attributed to climate change.
天气和气候心理学的一个方面涉及到天气和气候作为事件可能具有的多重含义。大气科学家和记者越来越多地将天气和气候都描述为事件。在这篇论文中,作者记录了随着时间的推移,在美国气象学会的学术文献和报纸文章中越来越多地使用天气和气候作为事件。作者还使用事件相关术语进行了探路者网络尺度分析,以评估学术和新闻写作中事件的意义。分析提出了事件含义的四种语境:(1)研究普通天气或气候事件,(2)研究严重和极端天气的研究和归因,(3)天气的社会影响,(4)公共词汇。将天气和气候作为事件进行交流,有助于公众对气候变化观念的发展和演变。话语中事件的迅速发展至少在三个方面有助于公众对气候变化的看法:(1)事件有助于对气候变化更普遍的看法的特异性;(2)事件有助于气候变化的体验;(3)事件有助于例证公众对气候变化的认识,在一定程度上天气事件可归因于气候变化。
{"title":"WEATHER AND CLIMATE AS EVENTS: CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE PUBLIC IDEA OF CLIMATE CHANGE","authors":"A. Stewart, JungSu Oh","doi":"10.1142/S2630534819500050","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2630534819500050","url":null,"abstract":"One aspect of the psychology of weather and climate concerns the multiple meanings that may be associated with weather and climate as event. Atmospheric scientists and journalists have increasingly described both weather and climate as event. In this paper, the authors documented the increasing use of weather and climate as events in the scholarly literature of the American Meteorological Society and in newspaper articles over time. The authors also conducted pathfinder network scaling analyses with event-related terms to assess the meanings of events in academic and journalistic writing. The analyses suggested four contexts of event meanings: (1) study of ordinary weather or climate occurrences, (2) the study and attribution of severe and extreme weather, (3) societal impacts of weather, and (4) the public lexicon. Communicating about weather and climates as event contributes to the development and evolution of the public idea of climate change. The burgeoning of event in discourse contributes to the public idea of climate change in at least three ways: (1) events contribute specificity to the more general idea of climate change; (2) events contribute experientiality of climate change, and (3) events contribute exemplification to the public idea of climate change to the extent that weather events can be attributed to climate change.","PeriodicalId":262307,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming","volume":"414 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124434902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Big Data Mining for Global Warming
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1