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2012 2nd International Conference on Uncertainty Reasoning and Knowledge Engineering最新文献

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Basket option pricing with the algorithms of piecewise lognormal interpolation 基于分段对数正态插值算法的篮子期权定价
Xing Yu
A basket option is an option on a portfolio of multiple risky assets. There is no analytical solution for basket option pricing, because the payoff of a basket option is determined by the weighted average of the prices of the multiple underlying assets. This study presents an approximation approach for valuing basket options by the algorithms of piecewise lognormal interpolation. The idea is to partition the time axis into collection of small intervals, in which the multiple lognormal average price process is approximated by a simple lognormal with the same first and second moments at the endpoints of the time intervals. Numerical examples of basket option with two stocks illustrate the accuracy of the approach when compared with results from Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. This method can be extrapolated to other complex option pricing, such as combination of options.
一揽子期权是对多种风险资产组合的期权。由于一篮子期权的收益是由多个标的资产价格的加权平均值决定的,因此一篮子期权的定价没有解析解。本文提出了一种利用分段对数正态插值算法对篮子期权进行估值的近似方法。其思想是将时间轴划分为小间隔的集合,其中多个对数正态平均价格过程由一个简单的对数正态近似,在时间间隔的端点具有相同的第一和第二矩。两个股票篮子期权的数值例子表明,与蒙特卡罗(MC)模拟结果相比,该方法是准确的。该方法可以外推到其他复杂期权的定价,如组合期权。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid ANP: Quality attributes decision modeling of a product line architecture design 混合ANP:产品线架构设计的质量属性决策建模
I Made Murwantara
Architecture design of a software product line includes a lot of decision of how the variability component will be implemented. The decision corresponds to the requirements of the architecture specifications. Furthermore, most of the decision may have dependency between components. However, only some research devoted to address the quality attributes. In this paper, we propose a new approach that hybrid the Analytical Network Process to model the decision, which addressed the quality attributes. In our method, first, the software component derives from the feature model by the domain expert. Then, groups the components to specific quality attributes. Subsequently, models the dependency of quality attributes in the ANP model. We use a eLearning Product Line Architecture to demonstrate the feasibility of our approach.
软件产品线的体系结构设计包括如何实现可变性组件的许多决策。决策与体系结构规范的需求相对应。此外,大多数决策可能在组件之间具有依赖性。然而,只有一些研究致力于解决质量属性。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法,混合分析网络过程来建模的决策,解决了质量属性。在我们的方法中,首先由领域专家从特征模型中派生出软件组件。然后,将组件分组到特定的质量属性。随后,对ANP模型中质量属性的依赖关系进行建模。我们使用电子学习产品线架构来演示我们方法的可行性。
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引用次数: 3
Using fuzzy theories to evaluate the component reusability in the process of software evolution 应用模糊理论评价软件演化过程中组件的可重用性
Na Zhao, Jian Wang, W. Du, Yunchun Zhang, Z. Jiang, Jinzhuo Liu, Ye Qian
Centered around the model of ESDDM, a software evolution process model based on evolution behavior interface, and the knowledge of component classification and component retrieval evaluation, this paper furthered previous work by proposing a component reusability evaluation method based on fuzzy mathematics. The method provides an effective way of evaluating the reusable ability of a certain component during the process of software evolution.
本文围绕ESDDM模型,基于演化行为接口的软件演化过程模型,以及构件分类和构件检索评价知识,在前人工作的基础上,提出了一种基于模糊数学的构件可重用性评价方法。该方法为评估软件演化过程中某个组件的可重用性提供了一种有效的方法。
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引用次数: 6
An android-based uncertainty digital audio representation for frequency analyzer 基于android的频率分析仪不确定度数字音频表示
P. Purwacandra, F. W. Wibowo
The digital audio analyzer based on the smartphone is used to measure the strength of the sound frequency that is purposed in the audio field captured in the graphic bar. The fast track of frequency is to be analyzed and determined by the graphic form display. In this paper, the analog signal data captured by microphone of smartphone that is embedded operating system of android. The operating system of android is suitable for development of product to test harmony level both embedded hardware and embedded software. Feasibility errorness could be emerging in the input, filtering, arbitrary, and output processes. In this case, the good sensor and quite algorithms must have more portion to be identified and defined to get result as well. But, due to a good sensor isn't much showing in this paper. This paper shows how getting noise of digital data, glitch, can affect in the output display and which solution should be taken to counteract it by algorithm and coding. The result of processes level of digital audio is derivated by binary data from evaluating data produced by digital-to-analog converter (DAC) which is embedded in the smartphone.
基于智能手机的数字音频分析仪用于测量在图形条中捕获的音频场中用于声音频率的强度。频率的快速轨迹是通过图形形式显示来分析和确定的。本文研究了基于android操作系统的智能手机麦克风采集的模拟信号数据。android操作系统适合于产品开发,测试嵌入式硬件和嵌入式软件的和谐程度。可行性错误可能出现在输入、过滤、任意和输出过程中。在这种情况下,好的传感器和好的算法必须有更多的部分需要识别和定义才能得到结果。但是,由于良好的传感器在这篇论文中并没有太多的展示。本文阐述了数字数据的噪声、故障对输出显示的影响,以及如何通过算法和编码来抵消这些影响。数字音频处理水平的结果是由嵌入在智能手机中的数模转换器(DAC)产生的二进制数据进行评估得出的。
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引用次数: 5
Future prospects of turning processes optimization using metaheuristics methods 应用元启发式方法优化车削工艺的前景展望
A. Abbas, M. Minhat, Md. Nizam Bin Abdul Rahman, H. Akbar
In today's industries, optimization of turning processes is one of vital problems which aim to increase competitiveness and product quality. In fact, the decision of optimal machining parameters is arbitrary and complex. Traditionally, the selections is heavily relies on trial and error methods which is tedious and unreliable. To overcome these problems, metaheuristics methods has been proposed over the last decade. The results on several parameters such as cutting speed, depth of cut and feed rate indicate more effective and efficient way in comparison to traditional methods. This paper presents current development and future prospects due to metaheuristics techniques for optimizing the parameters of turning processes.
在当今的工业中,车削工艺的优化是提高竞争力和产品质量的重要问题之一。实际上,最优加工参数的确定是任意且复杂的。传统上,选择在很大程度上依赖于试验和错误的方法,这是繁琐和不可靠的。为了克服这些问题,元启发式方法在过去十年中被提出。对切削速度、切削深度和进给速度等参数的分析结果表明,该方法比传统方法更有效。本文介绍了元启发式技术在车削工艺参数优化中的应用现状和前景。
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引用次数: 0
Facial point detection based on ASMS learning from 3D models 基于asm学习三维模型的人脸点检测
Li Yuan
Detecting a set of facial points is a crucial phase for facial expression analysis and face recognition, yet the robust facial point detector is yet to be developed. In this paper we present a method based on Active Shape Model of Subsets (ASMS) learning from 3D models to drastically reduce the time needed to search for a point's location and increase the accuracy and robustness of the algorithm. Using 3D Information allows us to expand training samples and set up complete point distribution models (PDMs). On the other hand, training samples are grouped into different subsets, which makes detection of the points very fast and the algorithm robust to pose and illumination variations as well. In order to improve the accuracy of location, objective function and parameter optimization process of Active Appearance Model (AAM) will be introduced in ASMS. The proposed point detection algorithm was tested on WHU-3D-2D database, the results of which showed we outperform current state of the art point detectors.
人脸点的检测是人脸表情分析和人脸识别的关键环节,但鲁棒的人脸点检测器尚未开发出来。本文提出了一种基于主动形状子集模型(asm)的三维模型学习方法,大大减少了搜索点位置所需的时间,提高了算法的精度和鲁棒性。使用3D信息允许我们扩展训练样本并建立完整的点分布模型(pdm)。另一方面,训练样本被分成不同的子集,这使得点的检测非常快,并且算法对姿态和光照变化也具有鲁棒性。为了提高定位精度,主动外观模型(AAM)的目标函数和参数优化过程将被引入asm中。在WHU-3D-2D数据库上对所提出的点检测算法进行了测试,结果表明所提出的点检测算法优于目前先进的点检测器。
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引用次数: 0
Exponential smoothing method based on wavelet transform for slope displacement prediction 基于小波变换的指数平滑法边坡位移预测
Wei Hu, Xing-guo Yang, Fugang Xu, Ming-hui Hao
It has important significance in engineering to analyze rock slope's evolution rule and forecast its development trend based on the safety monitoring displacement data. The actual slope monitoring sequence is non-stationary time series containing a number of errors, therefore, firstly discrete stationary wavelet transform (DSWT) are used to denoising for monitoring data, then the reconstruction series are transformed into a stationary sequence by first-order difference, finally exponential smoothing method is used to prediction for the stationary differential sequence. The combination forecasting model is applied to high slope displacement prediction on the left bank of Jinping I Hydropower Station, the calculation results show that the combined model have higher forecast accuracy compared with other prediction methods, most of the relative errors of the prediction results are less than 5%, meeting engineering prediction requirements.
基于安全监测位移数据分析岩质边坡的演化规律并预测其发展趋势具有重要的工程意义。实际的边坡监测序列是非平稳的时间序列,存在一定的误差,因此首先采用离散平稳小波变换(DSWT)对监测数据进行去噪,然后将重建序列通过一阶差分变换为平稳序列,最后采用指数平滑法对平稳微分序列进行预测。
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引用次数: 1
Indonesia stock exchange liquid stocks identification using self-organizing map 印尼证券交易所流动股票识别采用自组织图
H. Widiputra, L. Christianto
Being able to gain profit is one of the main objectives of people who work in the financial area. Yet, the volatility of the stock price movement makes the task of predicting future condition of a stock market difficult to accomplish. One approach known to provide a safe strategy in stock trading is by collecting only those stocks, which are considered as liquid. The Indonesia Stock Exchange market (IDX) publishes this list of liquid stocks every six months (known as the LQ45 list). Having prior knowledge of stocks that will be in the upcoming LQ45 list would then be a great help to assist people who work in the Financial area in planning their future investment and gain profit. This study proposed the use of unsupervised data mining technique called the Self-Organizing Map algorithm (SOM) to perform early identification of liquid stocks from all listed companies in the IDX by dynamically creating a group of liquid stocks based on their historical states.
能够获得利润是在金融领域工作的人的主要目标之一。然而,股票价格运动的波动性使得预测股票市场未来状况的任务难以完成。众所周知,在股票交易中提供安全策略的一种方法是只收集那些被认为具有流动性的股票。印度尼西亚证券交易所市场(IDX)每六个月公布一次流动性股票名单(称为LQ45名单)。事先了解即将到来的LQ45名单上的股票将对在金融领域工作的人规划未来的投资和获得利润有很大的帮助。本研究提出使用无监督数据挖掘技术自组织地图算法(SOM),通过基于历史状态动态创建一组流动股票,对IDX中所有上市公司的流动股票进行早期识别。
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引用次数: 1
The Customer value of e-commerce based on the grounded theory 基于扎根理论的电子商务顾客价值研究
Pengpeng Zheng, Tianyu Ding, Yanan Fu, Shaoying Huang
Our paper studies customer value of e-commerce from two different points of view based on grounded theory and tries to conduct large amount of data in e-commerce with our model. The customer value model of e-commerce is built up through analyzing the relationship of categorizations and conceptions selected by grounded theory. After that, the evaluation value model is built up by proposing three measurements: the measurement of components, the measurement of relationship and the measurement of influential factors. Finally, we calculate the data from taobao.com utilizing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method on the first kind of measurement.
本文在扎根理论的基础上,从两个不同的角度研究了电子商务的客户价值,并试图用我们的模型对电子商务中的大量数据进行分析。通过分析分类与扎根理论选择的概念之间的关系,建立了电子商务客户价值模型。在此基础上,提出了三种度量方法:成分度量、关系度量和影响因素度量,构建了评价价值模型。最后,采用模糊综合评价法对第一类测量值进行计算。
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引用次数: 0
Concept of quality measurement system software based on standard ISO 9126 and ISO 19011 基于ISO 9126和ISO 19011标准的质量测量系统软件的概念
A. Sukoco, Marzuki, A. Cucus
Computers are being used in an increasingly wide variety of application areas, and their correct operation is often critical for business success and/or human safety. Among all the Software-related standards in the worlds, there are few that every person who practices software at least something about ISO standard [1], ISO standard established an influential vocabulary and conceptual for quality. ISO/IEC 9126 standard has been developed in order to address software quality it specifies software product quality characteristics and sub-characteristics and proposes metrics for their evaluation. The ISO 19011 about Quality Management System series of International Standards emphasize the importance of audits as a management tool for monitoring and verifying the effective implementation of an organization's quality Policy [8], include software. Audits are also an essential part of conformity assessment activities such as external, internal assessment and surveillance. In order to perform your own internal audit software, need a number of things. (a) A trained, experienced auditor is needed. In addition training, auditor should perform a regular amount of auditing, al least 2 days or more per month-in order to ensure training developed by ongoing practice; (b) written a standard against which to audit a necessary. All auditor must have a documented standard against the audit must be performed in the case of ISO 9126, this would be ISO 9126 and own written measurement Characteristic and sub characteristic; (c) that organization must wait for before conducting audits.
计算机正被用于越来越广泛的应用领域,它们的正确操作通常对商业成功和/或人类安全至关重要。在世界上所有与软件相关的标准中,很少有每个从事软件实践的人至少对ISO标准有所了解,ISO标准为质量建立了一个有影响力的词汇和概念。ISO/IEC 9126标准是为了解决软件质量问题而制定的,它规定了软件产品的质量特征和子特征,并提出了评估它们的度量标准。ISO 19011质量管理体系系列国际标准强调了审核作为监督和验证组织质量方针(包括软件)有效实施的管理工具的重要性。审核也是外部、内部评估和监督等合格评定活动的重要组成部分。为了执行自己的内部审计软件,需要一些东西。(a)需要一名训练有素、经验丰富的审计员。除培训外,审核员应定期进行审核,每月至少2天或更多,以确保培训通过持续的实践发展;(b)编写审计所需依据的标准。所有审核员必须有一个文件化的标准,针对审核必须执行的ISO 9126,这将是ISO 9126和自己的书面测量特性和子特性;(c)组织在进行审计之前必须等待的时间。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
2012 2nd International Conference on Uncertainty Reasoning and Knowledge Engineering
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