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Measuring Corporate Diversification: A New Perspective 衡量公司多元化:一个新的视角
Pub Date : 2018-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3137885
N. Nigam, Prof.C.P. Gupta
Measurement of diversification has always remained one of the critical issues in earlier studies. During the past half-century or more, many measures of corporate diversification have been suggested (and applied) by a number of authors. These ranged from qualitative to quantitative measures and the latter can be further classified as categorical and continuous. Traditionally diversification as a continuous variable was measured through “Entropy” and “Herfindahl index”. But both measures fail to capture the degree of relatedness of group firms. To address this gap, a new measure is proposed based on correlation of firm’s sales which will not only capture the degree of relatedness of group firms but also be able to decompose as directly as entropy and Herfindahl index into additive elements would vary from zero to one.
多元化的度量一直是早期研究的关键问题之一。在过去的半个多世纪里,许多作者提出(并应用)了许多公司多元化的措施。这些措施范围从定性到定量措施,后者可以进一步分类为分类和连续。传统上,多元化作为一个连续变量是通过“熵”和“赫芬达尔指数”来衡量的。但这两种方法都无法捕捉到集团公司之间的关联程度。为了解决这一差距,提出了一种基于公司销售相关性的新措施,该措施不仅可以捕捉集团公司的关联度,还可以像熵和赫芬达尔指数一样直接分解为从0到1变化的可加元素。
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引用次数: 2
Network Effects: March to the Evidence, Not to the Slogans 网络效应:向证据进发,而不是向口号进发
Pub Date : 2017-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3027691
David S. Evans, R. Schmalensee
Though network effects are important for multisided platforms, the simple winner-take-all notion that they always give larger platforms an insurmountable advantage over smaller rivals has been disproven by numerous counterexamples. It is now being argued that big data is power, so that a firm that has more customer data than its rivals has an insurmountable advantage over them. This argument has no theoretical or empirical support, and it, too, has been disproven by numerous counterexamples.
尽管网络效应对多边平台来说很重要,但简单的“赢者通吃”观念——即网络效应总是让大型平台对小型竞争对手具有不可逾越的优势——已经被许多反例所推翻。现在有一种观点认为,大数据就是力量,因此拥有比竞争对手更多客户数据的公司对竞争对手具有不可逾越的优势。这一论点没有理论或经验支持,而且也被许多反例所证伪。
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引用次数: 20
Evaluating the Role of Electricity Storage by Considering Short-Term Operation in Long-Term Planning 考虑短期运行的蓄电在长期规划中的作用评价
Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2879310
T. Brijs, Arne van Stiphout, Sauleh Siddiqui, R. Belmans
Short-term operating requirements and constraints in power systems are becoming increasingly important with the greater flexibility needed due to the integration of variable renewables. However, large problem sizes and computational barriers have limited the extent to which they are included in long-term planning models. Our objective is to understand the role of electricity storage in future renewable-based systems by including an accurate representation of short-term operation within a long-term planning framework. Specifically, we discuss the development of a long-term investment model including a continuous relaxation of the technology- clustered formulation of the short-term unit commitment problem. This model is applied to a test system having similar characteristics to the Belgian power system in a greenfield setting, i.e., assuming no pre-existing capacities, to analyze the role of storage at different renewable penetration levels. Both pumped-hydro storage and battery energy storage is considered, and their role in providing energy services and frequency control is investigated. We derive conclusions on the benefits and role of electricity storage to motivate why it may be built and operated. Results show that, in general, the integration of storage resources decreases total system cost, partially replaces flexible power plants, facilitates the integration of renewable energy sources, and allows inflexible technologies to perform better.
随着可变可再生能源的整合,电力系统的短期运行要求和限制变得越来越重要,需要更大的灵活性。然而,大的问题规模和计算障碍限制了它们被包括在长期规划模型中的程度。我们的目标是通过在长期规划框架内包括短期运行的准确表示,了解电力存储在未来可再生能源系统中的作用。具体来说,我们讨论了长期投资模型的发展,包括短期单位承诺问题的技术集群化公式的持续放宽。将该模型应用于具有与比利时电力系统相似特征的绿地环境下的测试系统,即假设没有预先存在的容量,以分析不同可再生能源渗透水平下存储的作用。考虑了抽水蓄能和电池蓄能,并研究了它们在提供能源服务和频率控制方面的作用。我们得出关于电力存储的好处和作用的结论,以激励为什么它可能被建造和运营。结果表明,总体而言,存储资源的整合降低了系统总成本,部分替代了灵活的发电厂,促进了可再生能源的整合,并使非灵活的技术能够更好地发挥作用。
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引用次数: 32
The Kauffman Index 2016: Main Street Entrepreneurship State Trends 2016年考夫曼指数:主街创业趋势
Pub Date : 2016-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2872901
Inara Tareque, Arnobio Morelix, R. Fairlie, Joshua Russell-Fritch, E. Reedy
The Kauffman Index of Main Street Entrepreneurship is a comprehensive indicator of small business activity in the United States, integrating high-quality sources of timely information into one composite indicator. The Index captures business activity in all industries and is based on both a nationally representative sample size of roughly 900,000 responses each year and on the universe of all employer businesses in the United States on a dataset covering approximately five million businesses. The focus here is on business owners based on a location, survival rates of firms, and established small businesses—employer firms five years old and older and with fewer than fifty employees. As such, we examine both the business owners and the businesses they own.Main Street entrepreneurship is an important aspect of the U.S. economy and society. Established small businesses make up almost 68 percent of all employer firms in the United States and are a source of local economic activity.This report represents trends in Main Street entrepreneurship activity of the past two decades for all fifty states of the United States. Two separate reports look at these same trends in the forty largest metros in the country and at the national level. Some Main Street Entrepreneurship Index components, when available, also are reported by demographic groups.
考夫曼大街创业指数是美国小企业活动的综合指标,将高质量的及时信息来源整合为一个综合指标。该指数涵盖了所有行业的商业活动,并基于每年约90万份具有全国代表性的样本规模,以及涵盖约500万家企业的美国所有雇主企业的数据集。这里的重点是根据地点、公司存活率和成立5年及以上、员工少于50人的小型企业雇主来评估企业主。因此,我们同时考察企业所有者和他们拥有的企业。普通企业家精神是美国经济和社会的一个重要方面。小型企业几乎占美国所有雇主公司的68%,是当地经济活动的来源。这份报告反映了过去20年美国所有50个州的主流企业家活动的趋势。两份独立的报告在全国40个最大的城市和全国范围内研究了同样的趋势。一些主要街道创业指数组成部分,如果有的话,也由人口群体报告。
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引用次数: 0
Paying Incumbents and Customers to Enter an Industry: Buying Downloads 为进入一个行业的现有企业和客户付费:购买下载
Pub Date : 2016-09-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2834564
Xing Li, T. Bresnahan, Pai-Ling Yin
Success breeds success in many mass market industries, as well known products gain further consumer acceptance because of their visibility. However, new products must struggle to gain consumer’s scarce attention and initiate that virtuous cycle. The newest mass market industry, mobile apps, has these features. Success among apps is highly concentrated, in part because the “top app lists” recommend apps based on past success as measured by downloads. Consequently, in order to introduce themselves to users, new app developers attempt to gain a position on the top app lists by “buying downloads,” i.e., paying a user to download the app onto her device. We build a model to rationalize this behavior, taking into account the impact of buying downloads on top list ranking and optimal investment in buying downloads. We leverage a private dataset from one platform for buying downloads to identify the return on this investment, as a test for the assumption of the model. $100 invested will improve the ranking by 2.2%. We provide some informal tests of the two empirical predictions of the model: (1) there are two humps in the diffusion pattern of the app, and (2) early rankings are less persistent than later rankings. We estimate an empirical analog of the model to show the relative importance of buying downloads and rich heterogeneity in the market. We simulate counterfactuals to evaluate the efficiency of top-ranking lists.
在许多大众市场行业中,成功孕育了成功,因为知名产品因其知名度而获得了进一步的消费者接受。然而,新产品必须努力获得消费者稀少的注意力,并启动这种良性循环。最新的大众市场产业——移动应用,就具有这些特点。应用之间的成功是高度集中的,部分原因是“热门应用列表”根据下载量来推荐应用。因此,为了向用户介绍自己,新应用开发者试图通过“购买下载量”(游戏邦注:即付费让用户将应用下载到自己的设备上)在应用排行榜上占据一席之地。我们建立了一个模型来合理化这种行为,考虑到购买下载对排行榜排名的影响和购买下载的最佳投资。我们利用来自一个平台的私人数据集来购买下载,以确定这种投资的回报,作为对模型假设的测试。投资100美元将使排名提高2.2%。我们对模型的两个经验预测提供了一些非正式的测试:(1)应用程序的扩散模式中存在两个峰,(2)早期排名不如后期排名持久。我们估计了该模型的经验模拟,以显示购买下载和市场丰富异质性的相对重要性。我们模拟反事实来评估排名列表的效率。
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引用次数: 17
Customer Concentration and Loan Contract Terms 客户集中度和贷款合同条款
Pub Date : 2016-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2442314
Murillo Campello, Janet Gao
We study pricing and non-pricing features of loan contracts to gauge how the credit market evaluates a firm’s customer-base profile and supply-chain relations. Higher customer concentration increases interest rate spreads and the number of restrictive covenants featured in newly initiated as well as renegotiated bank loans. Customer concentration also abbreviates the maturity of those loans as well as the relationship between firms and their banks. These effects are intensified by customers’ financial distress, the level of relationship-specific investments, and the use of trade credit in customer–supplier relations. Our evidence shows that a deeper exposure to a small set of large customers bears negative consequences for a firm’s relations with its creditors, revealing limits to integration along the supply chain.
我们研究了贷款合同的定价和非定价特征,以衡量信贷市场如何评估公司的客户基础概况和供应链关系。更高的客户集中度增加了利差和新启动的限制性契约的数量,以及重新谈判的银行贷款。客户集中化还缩短了这些贷款的期限以及公司与银行之间的关系。这些影响被客户的财务困境、关系特定投资的水平以及在客户-供应商关系中使用贸易信用所强化。我们的证据表明,与一小部分大客户的进一步接触会对公司与债权人的关系产生负面影响,揭示出沿供应链整合的局限性。
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引用次数: 284
Who Needs Credit and Who Gets Credit? Evidence from the Surveys of Small Business Finances 谁需要贷款,谁得到贷款?来自小企业财务调查的证据
Pub Date : 2016-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1131064
Rebel A. Cole, Tatyana Sokolyk
In this study, we use data from the Federal Reserve’s 1993, 1998 and 2003 Surveys of Small Business Finances to classify small businesses into four groups based upon their credit needs and to model the credit allocation process into a sequence of three steps. First, do firms need credit? We classify those that do not as “non-borrowers;” these firms have received scant attention in the literature even though they account for more than half of all small firms. Second, do firms need credit but fail to apply because they feared being turned down? We classify such firms as “discouraged borrowers.” Like non-borrowers, discouraged borrowers have received little attention in the literature and often are pooled with firms who applied for, but were denied, credit. Discouraged borrowers outnumber firms that applied for, but were denied, credit by more than two to one. Third, do firms apply for credit, but get turned down? We classify such firms as “denied borrowers.” Finally, we classify firms that applied for, and were extended, credit as “approved borrowers.” Our results reveal strong and significant differences among each of these four groups of firms. Non-borrowers look very much like approved borrowers, consistent with the Pecking-Order Theory of capital structure. Discouraged borrowers resemble denied borrowers in many respects, but are significantly different along a number of dimensions. This finding calls into question the results from previous studies that have pooled together these two groups of firms in analyzing credit allocation. Finally, we find strong evidence that denied borrowers differ from approved borrowers across numerous characteristics, as previously documented in the literature. Of particular note, minority owned-firms, and especially Black-owned firms, were denied credit at a far higher rate than firms with owners who were white.
在本研究中,我们使用美联储1993年、1998年和2003年小企业财务调查的数据,根据小企业的信贷需求将其分为四组,并将信贷分配过程建模为三个步骤的序列。首先,企业需要信贷吗?我们将那些没有贷款的公司归类为“非借款人”;这些公司在文献中很少受到关注,尽管它们占所有小企业的一半以上。第二,企业是否需要信贷,但由于担心被拒绝而未能申请?我们把这样的公司归类为“气馁的借款人”。与非借贷者一样,气馁的借贷者在文献中很少受到关注,而且经常与申请信贷但被拒绝的公司混在一起。气馁的借贷者的数量超过了申请贷款但被拒绝的公司,比例超过了2比1。第三,企业申请信贷,但被拒绝了吗?我们将这些公司归类为“被拒绝的借款人”。最后,我们将申请并获得信贷的公司归类为“批准借款人”。我们的研究结果显示,这四组公司之间存在着强烈而显著的差异。非借款人看起来非常像获得批准的借款人,这与资本结构的啄食顺序理论(Pecking-Order Theory)一致。气馁的借款者在许多方面与被拒绝的借款者相似,但在许多方面却有显著不同。这一发现对之前的研究结果提出了质疑,这些研究将这两组公司放在一起分析信贷分配。最后,我们发现强有力的证据表明,被拒绝的借款人与被批准的借款人在许多特征上不同,正如先前文献中所记载的那样。特别值得注意的是,少数族裔所有的公司,尤其是黑人所有的公司,被拒绝贷款的比例远远高于白人所有的公司。
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引用次数: 152
Successful Non-Growing Companies 成功的非成长型公司
Pub Date : 2015-06-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2623920
Andrea Liesen, C. Dietsche, Jana Gebauer
Little light has been shed on the functioning of business in potential post-growth economies. With this paper, we aim to expand discussions on post-growth economies to the company level and suggest one possible way to connect existing management practise with the fact that, in order to stay within planetary boundaries, economic growth cannot be infinite. To that end, we conceptualise Successful Non-Growing Companies (SNCs) as one possible form of post-growth companies and examine ten existing SNCs with regard to their motivations, key performance indicators and management strategies. Results of our document analysis suggest that when different approaches towards growth in qualities are given preference over traditional quantitative growth several characteristics follow that are advantageous for the transition to a post-growth economy. We postulate the concept of Successful Non-Growing Companies has potential to support the cultural shift needed on the company level for the transformation towards post-growth on the macro level.
对于潜在的后增长经济体中企业的运作情况,人们知之甚少。通过本文,我们的目标是将对后增长经济的讨论扩展到公司层面,并提出一种可能的方法,将现有的管理实践与这样一个事实联系起来,即为了保持在地球边界内,经济增长不可能是无限的。为此,我们将成功的非成长型公司(SNCs)概念化为后成长型公司的一种可能形式,并从其动机、关键绩效指标和管理策略方面考察了10个现有的SNCs。我们的文献分析结果表明,当对质量增长的不同方法优先于传统的数量增长时,会出现一些有利于向后增长经济过渡的特征。我们假设成功的非成长型公司的概念有可能支持公司层面的文化转变,从而在宏观层面上向后成长型转变。
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引用次数: 11
Firm-Specific Triggers of LBO Defaults 杠杆收购违约的企业特定触发因素
Pub Date : 2015-04-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2619821
Daniel Ilg
This study aims to provide a theoretical framework to explicate the specific attributes of leveraged buyouts, which may alter the probability of default in contrast to non-private-equity-backed firms. The author hereby suggests controlling for the asset liquidation potential as an additional source of cash flow available for servicing debt, the valuation of the investment, the strength of the negotiated covenants, the pressure of the target's refinancing need, and the stage of the fund's life cycle. In addition, the model is augmented by the capital market attractiveness, expressed by the debt capital market liquidity and the risk aversion of bond investors. Finally, industry attractiveness in terms of industry rivalry, volatility of the sector, and the historical sector default rates may provide significant insights into the probability of default.
本研究旨在提供一个理论框架来解释杠杆收购的具体属性,与非私募股权支持的公司相比,杠杆收购可能会改变违约概率。因此,作者建议控制资产清算潜力,将其作为偿债可用的额外现金流来源、投资估值、谈判契约的强度、目标再融资需求的压力以及基金生命周期的阶段。此外,资本市场吸引力增强了模型,资本市场吸引力表现为债务资本市场流动性和债券投资者的风险厌恶。最后,从行业竞争、行业波动性和历史行业违约率来看,行业吸引力可能为违约概率提供重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of Innovation Synergies 创新协同效应的证据
Pub Date : 2014-12-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2509337
K. R. Harrigan, M. DiGuardo
Patterns of patents’ backward citations were used to test a new patent-score measure that suggested whether post-acquisition synergies had been realized (based on improvements in firms’ patent scores after making acquisitions). We argue that where firms’ post-acquisition patent scores showed that a broader range of non-core knowledge had been synthesized by working together afterward than had occurred before the acquisition, multiplicative innovation synergies were realized ― which improved firms’ financial performance. Additional test results suggested that highly-diversified firms did not necessarily enjoy the type of post-acquisition innovation synergies that were found in this study; our measure indicated that less-broadly diversified firms enjoyed greater multiplicative innovation synergies (as they were defined herein) than did the more-broadly diversified firms.
专利的反向引用模式被用来测试一种新的专利得分指标,该指标表明收购后的协同效应是否已经实现(基于公司在收购后专利得分的提高)。我们认为,如果企业在收购后的专利得分表明,并购后通过合作合成的非核心知识范围比收购前更广,那么就实现了乘法创新协同效应,从而提高了企业的财务绩效。另外的测试结果表明,高度多元化的公司并不一定享有本研究中发现的收购后创新协同效应;我们的测量表明,多元化程度较低的公司比多元化程度较高的公司享有更大的倍增创新协同效应(正如本文所定义的那样)。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
ERPN: Industrial Organization (Topic)
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