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Human resource management within the framework of realisation of national development goals and strategic objectives最新文献

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The impact of the pandemic on the territory development in terms of the quality of life of the youth environment 大流行病对领土发展在青年环境生活质量方面的影响
S. Zakharova, P. Walentynowicz, S. Tumanov, Tatyana Gladina, Ruslan Kostrigin
The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the national development processes is under study. The article considers methods for assessing changes that affect the territory development prepared by Russian and Polish researchers. A comparative characteristic of methodological approaches is given. The discussion made it possible to establish that the result of the development of any territory, of course, should be considered in terms of changes in the quality of life of the population. In this regard, the methodology developed by Russian authors, which provides for the gradation of influencing factors by groups of influence, was taken as the basis. In total, four special interest groups on changes in the quality of life of the population were identified, such as factors associated with the population itself; business structure development factors; infrastructural factors, which are the responsibility of the municipalities; and institutional factors providing for the activities of public institutions. The study presented in the article is based on the sociological survey data among young population conducted on the basis of several universities in the two countries of Russia and Poland in the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods, since the youth student environment determines the potential for future development of territories. The main changes (positive and negative) in the assessments of the impact of various factors on the quality of life of the population caused by the Covid-19 pandemic have been established.
正在研究Covid-19大流行对国家发展进程的影响。本文考虑了俄罗斯和波兰研究人员编制的评估影响领土发展的变化的方法。给出了方法论方法的比较特点。讨论使人们能够确定,当然,任何领土发展的结果都应该从人口生活质量的变化的角度来考虑。在这方面,以俄罗斯作者制定的按影响群体对影响因素进行分级的方法为基础。总共确定了关于人口生活素质变化的四个特别关心小组,例如与人口本身有关的因素;业务结构发展因素;基础设施因素,这是市政当局的责任;以及为公共机构的活动提供条件的制度因素。文章中提出的研究是基于在大流行前和大流行时期在俄罗斯和波兰两国的几所大学对青年人口进行的社会学调查数据,因为青年学生环境决定了领土未来发展的潜力。在评估Covid-19大流行造成的各种因素对人口生活质量的影响方面,已确定了主要变化(积极和消极)。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of factors of regional economic stability using the XGBoost algorithm 基于XGBoost算法的区域经济稳定因素评估
Y. Granitsa
In modern conditions, the regions of Russia acquire a special role and are evaluated as independent economic entities. In a pandemic, the key factor for successful development at the meso-level is not so much the growth of well-being, the quality of life, but the preservation of the stability of economic systems, their ability to withstand external influences. Thus, in our study, we equate the economic stability and economic security of the regions. To assess economic stability, it is advisable, in our opinion, to use a group of indicators characterising resource provision, investment climate and the efficiency of functioning of regions. We assigned the rank of economic security to all regions, on the basis of which the regions were divided into two classes – economically safe and economically unsafe. The ensemble machine learning algorithm XGBoost was chosen as a method for factor analysis of economic security. The constructed classification model was interpreted by us using the Shap algorithm, which assumes the analysis of Shapley values for each economic determinant. The applied algorithms allowed us to identify significant factors that determine stable regions. These factors include investment risk, human development index and the ratio of the balanced financial result to the gross regional product.
在现代条件下,俄罗斯的地区获得了特殊的作用,并被评价为独立的经济实体。在大流行病中,中观层面成功发展的关键因素与其说是福祉的增长,生活质量的提高,不如说是保持经济系统的稳定,以及它们抵御外部影响的能力。因此,在我们的研究中,我们把各区域的经济稳定和经济安全等同起来。我们认为,为了评估经济稳定性,明智的做法是使用一组指标来描述资源供应、投资环境和各地区的运作效率。我们给所有地区分配了经济安全等级,并在此基础上将这些地区分为经济安全与经济不安全两类。选择集成机器学习算法XGBoost作为经济安全因素分析的方法。我们使用Shapley算法解释构建的分类模型,该算法假设对每个经济决定因素进行Shapley值分析。应用的算法使我们能够确定决定稳定区域的重要因素。这些因素包括投资风险、人的发展指数和平衡的财务结果与地区生产总值的比率。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnolinguistic contacts as a factor in the formation of a human resource (on the example of a toponymic world picture of a multicultural region) 民族语言接触作为人力资源形成的一个因素(以多元文化地区的地名世界图景为例)
Elena F. Kovlakas
While the studying of the Krasnodar Territory and the Republic of Adygea toponymy, different academic researchers state two groups of problems: on the one hand, historical and ethnographic in nature, and on the other hand, purely linguistic – the problem of translation. This article presents the author’s own approach to the study of toponymy of the Krasnodar Territory and the Republic of Adygea. The intensity of the settlement of the southern region made it attractive for the study of toponymic names. The departure or complete disappearance of ethnic groups was fixed in toponyms: the names either disappeared completely or were assimilated into the language of the conquering people. The conceptualization of reality, fixed in the language and transmitted from generation to generation, is reflected in the national picture of the world. If conceptualization occurs through toponymic material, it makes sense to talk about a toponymic picture of the world. Exploring the toponymic picture of the world, the author came to the conclusion that the toponymic world picture itself is a concept, and its plan of expression (signs) includes toponyms (toponymic concepts) that consolidate knowledge about the surrounding world in the minds of ethnic groups. The system of toponyms’ meanings itself is in direct interaction with the culture of the nominating people and the mentality of the people. In this particular article, the author sets the task of analyzing toponymic studies of a multicultural region. In order to implement the task, general scientific methods of linguistic analysis were used: descriptive and comparative.
在克拉斯诺达尔地区和Adygea共和国地名的研究中,不同的学者提出了两组问题:一方面是历史和民族志性质的问题,另一方面是纯语言的问题——翻译问题。本文介绍了作者自己对克拉斯诺达尔地区和亚的亚共和国地名研究的方法。南方地区聚落的密集程度使其对地名的研究具有吸引力。民族的离开或完全消失是固定在地名上的:这些名字要么完全消失,要么被征服民族的语言同化。现实的概念化,固定在语言中,代代相传,反映在世界的民族图景中。如果概念化是通过地名材料发生的,那么谈论一个地名的世界图景是有意义的。通过对世界的地名图景的探索,作者得出结论:地名世界图景本身就是一个概念,其表达图式(符号)中包含着巩固民族头脑中关于周围世界的知识的地名(地名概念)。地名意义系统本身与命名人的文化和人们的心理直接互动。在这篇特别的文章中,作者的任务是分析一个多元文化地区的地名研究。为了完成这项任务,我们使用了语言分析的一般科学方法:描述和比较。
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引用次数: 0
Problems of social and psychological adaptation of university graduates to professional activities 大学毕业生对职业活动的社会心理适应问题
V. Borisova, O. Kolosova
The study raised and considered the issues of social and psychological adaptation of university graduates to professional activities in the context of growing competition in the labor market and the increasing demands of employers for young professionals who are looking not just for candidates for vacant positions, but for employees who would have the ability to quickly immerse into a professional environment and selfrealization in it. In their conclusions, the authors rely on the empirical data obtained during the questionnaire and online survey, indicating that university graduates when entering the labor market are poorly adapted to the employment process, experience difficulties and discomfort when establishing interpersonal relationships in teams and processing a significant amount of professional information. In the model of the stage-by-stage implementation of education and training of a young specialist proposed by the authors, it is noted that the issues of socio-psychological adaptation are associated with the development of the graduate’s competence and require certain adaptation mechanisms. Given the fact that the adaptation process is dependent on the psychophysical properties of the graduate, the time of its implementation and can be repeated at a new place of work, the authors propose to consider it step by step, in relation to the levels of adaptation (adaptation, partial adaptation, full adaptation) and the criteria for achieving adaptation goals by defining the role of the mentor at each stage of the process. The authors believe that the role of mentoring is related to overcoming the social and psychological adaptation problems of graduates and is a mutually beneficial form of cooperation for the employer, mentor, and young specialist.
该研究提出并考虑了在劳动力市场竞争日益激烈的背景下,大学毕业生对专业活动的社会和心理适应问题,以及雇主对年轻专业人士的需求不断增加的背景下,雇主不仅在寻找空缺职位的候选人,而且在寻找能够迅速融入专业环境并在其中实现自我实现的员工。在他们的结论中,作者依靠问卷调查和在线调查中获得的实证数据,表明大学毕业生在进入劳动力市场时对就业过程的适应程度较差,在建立团队人际关系和处理大量专业信息时遇到困难和不适。在作者提出的分阶段实施青年专家教育和培训的模式中,指出社会心理适应问题与毕业生能力的发展有关,需要一定的适应机制。鉴于适应过程取决于毕业生的心理物理特性、实施时间,并可以在新的工作场所重复,作者建议通过在过程的每个阶段定义导师的角色,逐步考虑与适应水平(适应、部分适应、完全适应)和实现适应目标的标准相关的适应过程。作者认为,师徒的作用与克服毕业生的社会和心理适应问题有关,是雇主、导师和青年专家的一种互利合作形式。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the structure of the regional labor market and its impact on the gross regional product 分析区域劳动力市场结构及其对区域生产总值的影响
M. Dubovik, S. Dmitriev, Natalya Obidovskaya
We have been conducting research to determine the impact of the structure of the regional labour market on regional development. We have studied the entities of the Central Federal District in general and the Bryansk region in particular. We have limited our labour market study to the research and development sector. We have used statistical analysis to test our hypothesis that there is no statistically significant correlation between regional enterprise expenditure and the movement of regional gross product. We have found that the structure of the regional labour market in the field of research and development is characterized by a steady downward trend of personnel engaged in research and development. The Pearson coefficient obtained for the analysis of the correlation between research and development expenditure and the gross regional product of companies in the Central Federal District does not suggest a significant correlation between the indicators. In general, we do not believe that it is possible to assert a stable trend in innovative development of the regions of the Central Federal District. What can be said with confidence is the inconsistency of the statistical information that served as the basis for the study, which in turn led to rather contradictory analyzes.
我们一直在进行研究,以确定区域劳动力市场结构对区域发展的影响。我们研究了中央联邦区的实体,特别是布良斯克地区。我们的劳动力市场研究仅限于研发部门。我们使用统计分析来检验我们的假设,即区域企业支出与区域生产总值的变动之间没有统计学上显著的相关性。我们发现,研究与发展领域的区域劳动力市场结构的特点是从事研究与发展的人员呈稳步下降的趋势。为分析中央联邦区公司的研发支出与区域生产总值之间的相关性而获得的皮尔逊系数并未表明指标之间存在显著相关性。总的来说,我们认为中央联邦区各地区的创新发展不可能保持稳定的趋势。可以肯定的是,作为这项研究基础的统计信息不一致,这反过来又导致了相当矛盾的分析。
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引用次数: 0
Unemployment and employment management in the context of digitalization of anti-crisis regulation 数字化背景下的失业与就业管理的反危机监管
Larysa Ziankova, S. Yashin, V. Frolov, Y. Popova, Yuliya Chemodanova
The article is devoted to the study of the relationship between the level of employment, unemployment and the dynamics of GDP in the framework of cyclical nature studies of the Belarus national economy, the possibility of digitalization within economic cycle crisis phase anticipation and hence forecasting the unemployment dynamics. The study used a comparative analysis of the employment level statistical base and the dynamics of real GDP growth rates over the last 2 crises based on STATISTICA 10. The non-linear forecast of the employment level in Belarus for 2022 was also made using the Eviews 10 application software packages. The methodological basis for the choice of IT tools was the need to take into account cyclical, seasonal, delayed and prolonged reaction of the labor market to changes in the commodity market. Therefore, polynomial autoregression with distributed lag (PDL) was chosen from econometric methods. The comparative analysis of the employment level statistical base and the dynamics of real GDP growth rates over the last 2 crises showed that the dynamics of the employment level behaves as an acyclic indicator. As a result, an algorithm is proposed for setting a task for programmers when creating a management platform for the labor market and linking it with other parameters of public administration system digitization. The actions proposed will allow to plan the item of consolidated state budget expenditures for the payment of unemployment benefits more accurately and to form the targets of state employment assistance programs.
本文致力于在白俄罗斯国民经济周期性研究的框架内研究就业水平、失业率与GDP动态之间的关系,在经济周期危机阶段预测中数字化的可能性,从而预测失业动态。该研究使用了基于STATISTICA 10的就业水平统计基础和过去两次危机中实际GDP增长率动态的比较分析。利用Eviews 10应用软件包对白俄罗斯2022年的就业水平进行了非线性预测。选择信息技术工具的方法基础是需要考虑到劳动力市场对商品市场变化的周期性、季节性、延迟性和长期性反应。因此,计量经济学方法选择了分布滞后多项式自回归(PDL)。对过去两次危机中就业水平统计基数和实际GDP增长率动态的比较分析表明,就业水平动态表现为一个非循环指标。因此,提出了一种算法,用于在创建劳动力市场管理平台时为程序员设置任务,并将其与公共管理系统数字化的其他参数联系起来。建议的行动将有助于更准确地规划失业救济金支付的国家综合预算支出项目,并形成国家就业援助计划的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiation of Russian regions by the level of economic growth and the life quality 俄罗斯地区经济增长水平和生活质量的差异
O. Kapitanova, Iurii Kuznetsov, A. Semenov, V. Kisova, I. Koneva
The paper analyzes three key indicators of economic growth and life quality from the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation. The following equivalents of these indicators were identified to form regions into clusters and highlight the main trends in their development: the growth rate of gross regional product (GRP), life expectancy, and poverty level. We studied the nationwide data based on the indicators, analyzed the distribution of regions, and carried out a cluster analysis according to 2017-2019 data. Our results suggest expanding the list of the Russian Federation subjects that require additional support in their development. More than one-third of the regions of the Russian Federation have been developing at a rate of less than one percent per year in the last three years. Considering the consequences of the pandemic, it can lead to serious problems in achieving the declared growth rates. Plans to increase life expectancy have already been adjusted. Considering the little-studied consequences of coronavirus infection, additional measures in the medical field will be required. The level of poverty of the population also demonstrates a significant degree of differentiation of the Russian Federation regions.
本文从俄罗斯联邦国家发展目标出发,分析了经济增长和生活质量的三个关键指标。确定了下列与这些指标相当的指标,以便将各区域形成集群并突出其发展的主要趋势:区域生产总值增长率、预期寿命和贫困水平。基于指标对全国数据进行研究,对区域分布进行分析,并根据2017-2019年数据进行聚类分析。我们的研究结果建议扩大在发展过程中需要额外支持的俄罗斯联邦科目清单。在过去三年中,俄罗斯联邦三分之一以上的地区以每年不到1%的速度发展。考虑到大流行病的后果,它可能导致在实现宣布的增长率方面出现严重问题。提高预期寿命的计划已经有所调整。考虑到冠状病毒感染的后果研究很少,需要在医疗领域采取额外措施。人口的贫穷程度也表明俄罗斯联邦各地区的差别很大。
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引用次数: 0
Health as an enduring value asset and resource factor of social wealth 健康作为一种持久的价值资产和社会财富的资源要素
M. Chistyakov, A. Gubernatorov, A. Krasnov, I. Trifonov, L. Shmeleva
This study is devoted to current health issues as an individual and public good to identify the dependence and correlation of the individual’s quality of life and health in the general concept of valuable goods of global civilizational development in increasing threats to the individual and humanity. The indicator of the well-being of society – life expectancy, which directly depends on the institutional factors of the state policy of health as a resource factor and value asset of society. Statistical data of the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, characterizing mortality from various causes, and life expectancy in chronological dynamics in different age groups are given. The article reveals cause-and-effect relations of the necessity of constructive consolidation of power, business, and society to responsible attitude to own personal health while considering external and implemented environmental background factors in raising the economic status of health as public wealth. The authors are unanimous that the social significance and economic effect of health preservation as a basic value resource is the convergence of lifestyle, environmental conditions, family and upbringing, harmful factors of a person’s harmful lifestyle (bad habits).
本研究致力于当前作为个人和公共利益的健康问题,以确定个人生活质量和健康在全球文明发展的有价值商品的一般概念中对个人和人类的威胁日益增加。社会福利的指标——预期寿命,这直接取决于作为社会资源因素和价值资产的健康国家政策的制度因素。提供了俄罗斯联邦国家统计局的统计数据,说明了各种原因造成的死亡率的特点,以及不同年龄组按时间动态排列的预期寿命。本文揭示了权力、企业和社会在提高健康作为公共财富的经济地位时,对自身健康负责态度的必要性进行建设性巩固的因果关系,同时考虑了外部和实施的环境背景因素。作者一致认为,养生作为一种基本价值资源,其社会意义和经济效应是生活方式、环境条件、家庭和教养、个人不良生活方式(不良习惯)的有害因素的集合。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the social and economic effects of COVID-19 on the labour market 分析COVID-19对劳动力市场的社会和经济影响
Natalia Glushich, Elena Liadova, I. Polushkina, N. Udalova
Contemporary trends in the labour market development are manifested in the context of the COVID-19 epidemic, which has become a trigger for new processes in almost all areas of life around the world. On that basis, the purpose of the work is to identify modern socio-economic effects in the context of a pandemic crisis, to reveal in action the ‘structural effect of wage differentiation’. The methodological basis of the research is the methods of structural and statistical analysis, systematic, comparative and interdisciplinary approaches, graphic modelling. The article highlights the ‘shocks’ of supply and demand, which increase structural imbalances in the labour market in the pandemic. Specific socio-economic effects are identified (the structural effect of wage differentiation, the effect of hybrid jobs, the effect of washing out generations, the effect of the collapse of professions, the effect of staff burnout, the effect of dissatisfaction with personnel, the effect of profession change mobility and effect of gender inequality), which in synergy lead to an increasing imbalance in the labour market. Based on statistical data for 2019-2021, presented is an assessment of the ‘structural effect of wage differentiation’, which indicates a faster decrease in the pace of working hours compared to the reduction in the total wage bill due to rising unemployment in the economy during the pandemic.
当前劳动力市场发展的趋势体现在COVID-19疫情背景下,疫情已成为世界各地几乎所有生活领域新进程的触发器。在此基础上,这项工作的目的是确定在大流行病危机背景下的现代社会经济影响,在行动中揭示"工资差别的结构性影响"。研究的方法论基础是结构和统计分析方法,系统,比较和跨学科的方法,图形建模。这篇文章强调了供应和需求的“冲击”,在大流行期间加剧了劳动力市场的结构性失衡。确定了具体的社会经济影响(工资分化的结构性影响、混合工作的影响、世代淘汰的影响、职业崩溃的影响、员工倦怠的影响、对人员不满的影响、职业变化流动性的影响和性别不平等的影响),这些协同作用导致劳动力市场的不平衡日益加剧。根据2019-2021年的统计数据,对“工资差异的结构性影响”进行了评估,结果表明,与疫情期间经济中失业率上升导致的工资总额减少相比,工作时间的减少速度更快。
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引用次数: 0
Methodological problems of studying the living standard and life quality in international practice 生活水平与生活质量研究在国际实践中的方法论问题
E. Nikitskaya, M. Valishvili, L. Ivanova-Shvets
Assessment of living conditions and welfare of the population in modern conditions is associated with the categories of “life quality”, “working life quality”, “living standard”. In the course of the study, it was found that these concepts still do not have a generally accepted interpretation, and their interpretations are subjective-objective. Consequently, there is an inconsistency in experts’ positions on the system of quantitative and qualitative parameters and methods of assessment corresponding to each of the categories. Nevertheless, there is no doubt that the essence of the concept of life quality is much broader than the concept of living standard and goes beyond the minimum essential needs of society. The article summarizes the conceptual and methodological approaches to assessing life quality. The study revealed that the information sources for implementing the objective approach are indicators published by statistical authorities, while the subjective approach is based on expert evaluations, public opinion polls, social ratings. The authors present an analytical review, confirming the need for further scientific research in assessing the level and quality of life, aimed at eliminating the methodological differences in the interpretation of their essence and content.
对现代条件下人口的生活条件和福利的评估与“生活质量”、“工作生活质量”、“生活水平”等类别有关。在研究过程中发现,这些概念仍然没有一个普遍接受的解释,它们的解释是主观客观的。因此,专家们对每个类别对应的定量和定性参数体系和评估方法的立场不一致。然而,毫无疑问,生活质量概念的本质比生活水平的概念要广泛得多,而且超出了社会的最低基本需要。本文总结了评估生活质量的概念和方法方法。研究表明,实施客观方法的信息来源是统计当局公布的指标,而主观方法是基于专家评价、民意调查、社会评级。作者提出了一项分析性审查,确认在评估生活水平和质量方面需要进一步的科学研究,目的是消除在解释其本质和内容方面的方法差异。
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引用次数: 0
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Human resource management within the framework of realisation of national development goals and strategic objectives
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