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Difficulties in Finding Middle-Skilled Jobs under Increased Automation 在自动化程度提高的情况下,寻找中等技能工作的困难
Pub Date : 2021-10-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3943810
Hideki Nakamura
This study investigates the labor market under increased automation of middle-skilled jobs wherein worker suitability for these jobs is considered. We examine two effects of increased automation on workers. The first effect is the possibility of replacement of middle-skilled workers by machines. The second effect is the diversity in job mismatch probabilities of workers. If machines perform a worker’s suitable jobs more (or less) than the worker’s unsuitable jobs, then the worker’s job mismatch probability rises (or declines). Because workers who have larger job mismatch probabilities remain job seekers, it is more difficult for a firm to find a suitable worker. Due to these two effects, underemployment rises.
本研究调查了中等技能工作自动化程度提高下的劳动力市场,其中考虑了工人对这些工作的适应性。我们研究了自动化程度提高对工人的两种影响。第一个影响是机器可能取代中等技能工人。第二个效应是工人工作不匹配概率的多样性。如果机器执行工人适合的工作多于(或少于)工人不适合的工作,那么工人的工作不匹配概率上升(或下降)。由于工作不匹配概率较大的工人仍然是求职者,因此企业更难找到合适的工人。由于这两种影响,就业不足率上升。
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引用次数: 2
Online Shopping with Artificial Intelligence: What Role to play for Trade Marks? 网上购物与人工智能:商标扮演什么角色?
Pub Date : 2021-10-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3942770
A. Moerland, Christie Kafrouni
The debate on how artificial intelligence (AI) influences intellectual property protection has so far mainly focussed on its effects for patent and copyright protection. Not much attention has been paid to the effects of artificial intelligence technology for trade mark law. In particular, what has not yet been sufficiently investigated is the question as to whether trade marks still fulfil their role in a world in which consumers are assisted by AI technology when purchasing in the online market place. In how far do we still need trade marks to avoid consumer confusion? Or do the other functions of trade marks justify their continuous protection? In view of the fact that intellectual property rights have a market-distorting effect, it is in society’s interest to question whether trade mark protection is still justified.
迄今为止,关于人工智能如何影响知识产权保护的辩论主要集中在其对专利和版权保护的影响上。人工智能技术对商标法的影响一直没有得到足够的重视。特别是,尚未得到充分调查的问题是,在一个消费者在网上购物时得到人工智能技术帮助的世界里,商标是否仍然发挥着它们的作用。我们在多大程度上还需要商标来避免消费者混淆?还是商标的其他功能证明了其持续保护的合理性?鉴于知识产权具有扭曲市场的作用,质疑商标保护是否仍然合理符合社会利益。
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引用次数: 1
The Big Screen: Mapping the Diffusion of Foreign Investment Screening Mechanisms 大银幕:描绘外国投资筛选机制的扩散
Pub Date : 2021-08-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3913248
Sarah Bauerle Danzman, Sophie Meunier
In the decade following the 2008 financial crisis, many advanced industrialized economies engaged in a competition to attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), whose flows had plummeted following the global shock. At the same time, however, they also implemented or tightened Investment Screening Mechanisms (ISMs), which empower governments to restrict foreign takeovers, especially in strategic sectors. ISMs are an understudied phenomenon in the International Political Economy literature. This research note describes patterns in the evolution of foreign investment screening policies and suggests a research agenda for analyzing these patterns. After defining ISMs and establishing the puzzle of rising investment screening in conjunction with rising efforts to attract FDI, we present a newly coded dataset on ISMs in OECD countries from 2007-2021, examining the evolution of seven key features of investment screening over time. Next, we set an agenda for future research by suggesting three explanations for their recent evolution in the shadow of rising Chinese investment: the role of bottom-up backlashes to economic globalization; elite-driven foreign policy arguments about the increasingly blurred lines between national and economic security in the information economy; and geopolitical transformations that have challenged key features of the post-war liberal order.
在2008年金融危机之后的十年里,许多发达的工业化经济体竞相吸引外国直接投资(FDI),在全球冲击之后,FDI流量大幅下降。然而,与此同时,它们也实施或收紧了投资筛选机制(ISMs),赋予政府限制外资收购的权力,尤其是在战略部门。在国际政治经济学文献中,ISMs是一个未被充分研究的现象。本研究报告描述了外国投资审查政策演变的模式,并提出了分析这些模式的研究议程。在定义了投资审查制度,并确定了投资审查制度与吸引外国直接投资的努力相结合的增加这一难题之后,我们提出了经合组织国家2007-2021年投资审查制度的新编码数据集,研究了投资审查制度的七个关键特征随时间的演变。接下来,我们为未来的研究设定了议程,并对它们在中国投资上升的阴影下最近的演变提出了三种解释:自下而上的经济全球化反弹的作用;关于信息经济中国家安全与经济安全之间界限日益模糊的外交政策争论;地缘政治转型挑战了战后自由秩序的关键特征。
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引用次数: 6
Design Rules Volume 2: Chapter 20—Digital Exchange Platforms: The Technologies of Crowdsourcing and Peer Production 设计规则卷2:第20章数字交换平台:众包和对等生产技术
Pub Date : 2021-08-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3909022
Carliss Y. Baldwin
As digital technology evolved under the impetus of Moore’s Law, a group of new “exchange” platforms emerged that focused on facilitating transactions and/or communications between different parties. Exchange platforms are characterized by having “sides”. The simplest have two sides: buyers and sellers in the case of transaction platforms and senders and recipients of messages in the case of communication platforms. However, many exchange platforms have three, four or more sides. The purpose of this chapter is to place digital exchange platforms in the same theoretical framework as standards-based and logistical platforms. I first define exchange platforms and show how their value can be represented using value structure maps and equations. I then describe the main problem facing platform sponsors: coordinating sides to share the same flow of transactions or messages. Modern digital exchange platforms make use of five critical technologies: (1) crowdsourcing; (2) peer production; (3) search and ad placement; (4) dynamic pricing; and (5) data analysis and prediction. The first two technologies, crowdsourcing and peer production, dramatically expanded the ecosystems of exchange platforms, and are the focus of this chapter. The last three have become the key to value capture by platform sponsors and are treated in the next chapter.
随着数字技术在摩尔定律的推动下不断发展,一组新的“交换”平台出现了,这些平台专注于促进不同各方之间的交易和/或通信。交易平台的特点是有“双方”。最简单的交易有两方面:交易平台的买方和卖方以及通信平台的消息发送者和接收者。然而,许多交易平台有三个、四个或更多的方面。本章的目的是将数字交换平台置于与基于标准和物流平台相同的理论框架中。我首先定义了交易平台,并展示了如何使用价值结构映射和方程来表示它们的价值。然后,我描述了平台发起人面临的主要问题:协调各方共享相同的事务或消息流。现代数字交易平台利用了五项关键技术:(1)众包;(2)同行生产;(3)搜索和广告投放;(4)动态定价;(5)数据分析与预测。前两种技术,众包和对等生产,极大地扩展了交换平台的生态系统,也是本章的重点。后三个已成为平台赞助商获取价值的关键,将在下一章讨论。
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引用次数: 1
Design Rules Volume 2 Chapter 21—Capturing Value via Strategic Bottlenecks in Digital Exchange Platforms 设计规则第2卷第21章:通过数字交换平台的战略瓶颈获取价值
Pub Date : 2021-08-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3909098
Carliss Y. Baldwin
The purpose of this chapter is to use value structure analysis to better understand how sponsors of digital exchange platforms capture value and maintain strategic bottlenecks. I begin by describing the three core technological processes that lie at the heart of all digital exchange platforms: (1) search and ad placement; (2) dynamic pricing; and (3) data analysis and prediction. These processes are carried out automatically and at high speed by computerized algorithms. The algorithms consist of steps, all of which are essential to the successful completion of a transaction or transmission of a message. However, bottlenecks are inevitable any synchronized multi-step flow process. The platform sponsor’s first responsibility is thus to resolve bottlenecks in its core processes when and where they arise. One of an exchange platform’s critical core processes is to generate predictions as to what the user would like to see and/or purchase. Better predictions speed up the flow and reduce the unproductive time users spend on the platform. Thus to be competitive today, platform sponsors must have the ability to gather data, generate predictions and test hypotheses within time intervals measured in milliseconds. Predictions can be improved by tracking individuals’ behavior online, but only at the cost of reducing their privacy. The inevitable tension between performance and privacy has yet to be resolved. The chapter goes on to discuss how platform sponsors can “lock-in” members of an ecosystem through a combination of visible instructions, data storage, and specific inertia. It concludes by describing successful and unsuccessful attempts to disintermediate exchange platforms.
本章的目的是使用价值结构分析来更好地理解数字交易平台的赞助商如何获取价值并保持战略瓶颈。首先,我将描述所有数字交易平台的三个核心技术流程:(1)搜索和广告投放;(2)动态定价;(3)数据分析与预测。这些过程是由计算机运算法则自动、高速地进行的。算法由步骤组成,所有这些步骤对于成功完成事务或消息传输都是必不可少的。然而,在任何同步的多步流过程中,瓶颈是不可避免的。因此,平台发起人的首要责任是解决其核心流程中的瓶颈问题,无论何时何地。交易平台的关键核心流程之一是生成关于用户希望看到和/或购买什么的预测。更好的预测可以加快流程,减少用户在平台上花费的非生产性时间。因此,为了在今天具有竞争力,平台赞助商必须能够在以毫秒为单位的时间间隔内收集数据,生成预测并测试假设。通过追踪个人的在线行为,预测可以得到改进,但这是以减少个人隐私为代价的。性能和隐私之间不可避免的紧张关系尚未得到解决。本章继续讨论平台发起人如何通过可见指令、数据存储和特定惯性的组合来“锁定”生态系统的成员。文章最后描述了去中介化交换平台的成功和不成功的尝试。
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引用次数: 0
Liability regimes for creative machines. A European perspective. 创造性机器的责任制度。欧洲人的视角。
Pub Date : 2021-08-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3905324
Irina Buzu
Artificial Intelligence liability has been the subject of a lively debate on the European regulators’ agenda for quite some time, part of a larger regulatory framework discussion related to the legal status of intelligent machines and AI regulation in general. As straightforward as the answer might seem to the question on whether AI systems should be granted legal status, and as such become holders of rights and duties, contradictory regulatory loopholes exist that make it possible for machines to be aligned on the same legal frontier as humans. Namely, the recent judicial precedent in the DABUS case, where an AI was granted inventorship, has shed light on the need to harmonise and unify AI regulatory provisions regarding the legals status of AI, while creating and maintaining an ecosystem that could balance the preservation of individual safety and fundamental rights without overly inhibiting innovation in AI. This article addresses the issue of machine liability in light of the current European regulatory framework on AI, while considering machine creativity as a medium for granting legal status to AI systems.
相当长一段时间以来,人工智能责任一直是欧洲监管机构议程上激烈辩论的主题,这是与智能机器和人工智能监管的法律地位相关的更大监管框架讨论的一部分。人工智能系统是否应该被赋予法律地位,并因此成为权利和义务的持有者,这个问题的答案似乎很简单,但存在相互矛盾的监管漏洞,这使得机器有可能与人类站在同一法律前沿。也就是说,最近在DABUS案中,人工智能被授予发明权的司法先例,揭示了协调和统一人工智能法律地位的人工智能监管规定的必要性,同时创建和维护一个生态系统,既能平衡保护个人安全和基本权利,又不会过度抑制人工智能的创新。本文根据目前欧洲对人工智能的监管框架解决了机器责任问题,同时将机器创造力视为赋予人工智能系统法律地位的媒介。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Bundling of Goods and Bads in Media Markets 媒体市场中商品与商品的动态捆绑
Pub Date : 2021-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3899063
Kevin M. Murphy, Ignacio Palacios-Huerta
We develop a framework to study dynamic media consumption decisions and their tensions with the interests of advertiser-supported media. The model captures the core characteristics of how commercial media markets operate and audiences form. Media trade utility-raising goods (programs, information, and services) with audiences in exchange for utility-decreasing bads (exposure to advertisements), and goods are otherwise free to the audience except for their opportunity cost of time. Goods and bads are dynamically arranged, and as such traded in an intertemporal bundle. No monetary transfers take place between media and audiences, and this barter exchange is not contractually sustained.
我们开发了一个框架来研究动态媒体消费决策及其与广告商支持的媒体利益的紧张关系。该模型抓住了商业媒体市场运作和受众形成的核心特征。媒体用提高效用的商品(节目、信息和服务)与观众交换降低效用的商品(广告曝光率),而商品除了时间的机会成本外,对观众来说是免费的。货物和货物是动态安排的,因此在跨期捆绑中进行交易。媒体和观众之间不发生金钱转移,这种物物交换也不是合同所维持的。
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引用次数: 0
Ten Assumptions About Artificial Intelligence That Can Mislead Patent Law Analysis 关于人工智能的十个假设可能会误导专利法分析
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3910332
Daria Kim, M. Alber, Man Wai Kwok, Jelena Mitrović, Cristian Ramírez-Atencia, Jesus Rodriguez Perez, Heiner Zille
The paper examines a set of assumptions about artificial intelligence, particularly machine learning, often taken as factual premises in discussions on the future of patent law in the wake of ‘artificial ingenuity’. The objective is to draw a more realistic and nuanced picture of the human-computer interaction in solving technical problems than where AI systems autonomously generate inventions. A detailed technical perspective is presented for each assumption, followed by a discussion of specific uncertainties under patent law. Overall, it is argued that none of the posited assumptions on closer examination appears to raise fundamental uncertainty about the appropriateness of the patent system.
本文研究了一系列关于人工智能的假设,特别是机器学习,这些假设通常被视为“人工智慧”之后专利法未来讨论的事实前提。其目标是在解决技术问题时,绘制一幅更现实、更细致的人机交互图景,而不是人工智能系统自主产生发明。对每个假设都提出了详细的技术观点,然后讨论了专利法下的具体不确定性。总体而言,本文认为,经过更仔细的审查,没有任何假设似乎会对专利制度的适当性产生根本的不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiation and Segmentation 区分和分割
Pub Date : 2021-07-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3892312
J. Bátora, J. Fossum
It is widely recognized that the EU that emerged from the financial and refugee crises of the last decade has become more differentiated. Such a development brings forth important questions about the nature and character of the EU as a political system, and the kinds of processes and mechanisms that drive its development. An important problem is that neither differentiated integration nor differentiation say much about the positive character or the distinguishing features of the EU as a political system. The claim that we set forth in this paper is that the notion of the EU as a segmented political system provides a more apt and precise characterisation of the EU as a political system. In addition, the notion of segmentation helps to capture some of the distinct dynamics that propel the EU’s development.
人们普遍认为,从过去十年的金融危机和难民危机中崛起的欧盟已经变得更加分化。这种发展引发了对欧盟作为一个政治体系的性质和特征,以及推动其发展的进程和机制的重要问题。一个重要的问题是,无论是差别化一体化还是差别化,都不能说明欧盟作为一个政治体系的积极特征或显著特征。我们在本文中提出的主张是,欧盟作为一个分割的政治体系的概念为欧盟作为一个政治体系提供了一个更贴切和准确的特征。此外,细分的概念有助于捕捉推动欧盟发展的一些独特动态。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric Impact of Globalization on Economic Growth in Pakistan by Using ARDI Model 基于ARDI模型的全球化对巴基斯坦经济增长的不对称影响
Pub Date : 2021-06-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3860498
Muhammad Shaheer khan, Usman Ullah Butt
The main purpose of the present study is to examine either globalization affects economic growth or not in Pakistan. Time series data has collected from Pakistan covering the time from 1990- 2013. A time-series Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is used to establish the long run and the short run relationship between globalization and economic growth. Error Correction Model (ECM) is also used to check the short-run and long-run relationships among the globalization and economic growth. To determine the directional relationship, the Granger Causality test is being employed. To check the stability of the model CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests employed. The conclusions of this study showed a significantly negative association between Economic Globalization and Economic Growth. On the other hand, there is a significantly positive association between Political Globalization and Economic Growth. While the relationship between Social Globalization and Economic Growth has founded a significantly positive. However, our research paper provides simultaneous valuable information for policymakers to remove the red tape barriers and focus on one window operation.
本研究的主要目的是检验全球化是否影响巴基斯坦的经济增长。从巴基斯坦收集的时间序列数据涵盖1990年至2013年。利用时间序列自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型建立了全球化与经济增长之间的长期和短期关系。误差修正模型(Error Correction Model, ECM)也用于检验全球化与经济增长之间的短期和长期关系。为了确定方向关系,我们采用格兰杰因果检验。采用CUSUM和CUSUMQ试验来检验模型的稳定性。研究结果表明,经济全球化与经济增长呈显著负相关。另一方面,政治全球化与经济增长之间存在显著的正相关。而社会全球化与经济增长之间存在着显著的正相关关系。然而,我们的研究论文同时为政策制定者消除繁文缛节障碍并专注于一个窗口操作提供了有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
International Political Economy: Globalization eJournal
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