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Ebalance: A Stata Package for Entropy Balancing Ebalance:一个用于熵平衡的状态包
Pub Date : 2013-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1943090
Jens Hainmueller, Yiqing Xu
The Stata package ebalance implements entropy balancing, a multivariate reweighting method described in Hainmueller (2012) that allows users to reweight a dataset such that the covariate distributions in the reweighted data satisfy a set of specied moment conditions. This can be useful to create balanced samples in observational studies with a binary treatment where the control group data can be reweighted to match the covariate moments in the treatment group. Entropy balancing can also be used to reweight a survey sample to known characteristics from a target population.
Stata软件包ebalance实现了熵平衡,这是Hainmueller(2012)中描述的一种多变量重加权方法,允许用户重加权数据集,使重加权数据中的协变量分布满足一组指定的矩条件。这对于在二元治疗的观察性研究中创建平衡样本是有用的,在二元治疗中,对照组数据可以重新加权以匹配治疗组的协变量矩。熵平衡还可以用于从目标人群中重新加权调查样本的已知特征。
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引用次数: 582
Resilient Mechanism Design Foundations for Governance of Cyberspace: Exploration in Theory, Strategy, and Policy 网络空间治理的弹性机制设计基础:理论、战略与政策探索
Pub Date : 2013-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2317524
S. Micali, N. Choucri, J. Chen, Cindy Williams
Three related trends in world politics – shifting in power relations, increased diversity of actors and entities, and the growing mobilization and politicization of global constituencies are contributing to a global “tussle” which threatens to erupt in a full-fledged international confrontation. Such contests may well reinforce the potentially powerful cleavages, such as those that became evident before, during, and after the World Conference on Information Technology, WCIT-2012. If present trends continue, it is unlikely that WCIT-2013 will reduce the cleavages and resolve the contentions.
世界政治的三个相关趋势- -权力关系的转变、行动者和实体的日益多样化以及全球选民的日益动员和政治化- -正在促成一场全球“争斗”,这种争斗有可能爆发为全面的国际对抗。这种竞争很可能会加强潜在的强大分裂,比如在世界信息技术大会(WCIT-2012)之前、期间和之后变得明显的分裂。如果目前的趋势继续下去,WCIT-2013不太可能减少分歧并解决争端。
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引用次数: 1
Whither Command of the Commons? Choosing Security over Control 下议院的指挥权向何处去?选择安全胜于控制
Pub Date : 2013-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2256101
Sameer P. Lalwani, Joshua R. Shifrinson
The United States’ ability to command the global commons – the sea, air, and space domains through which goods, people, and information flow – has been a pillar of United States national security for the last thirty years. The United States has ensured its command by pursuing what we term control of the commons: preventing the emergence of plausible threats to U.S. military dominance by state and non-state actors alike, well ahead of their actual manifestation. At a time when budgets are being cut and new great powers exert increasing influence in international affairs, control of the commons is increasingly unsustainable.In its stead, this paper advocates for a new approach to retaining command of the commons, what we term “security of the commons.” Focusing on the maritime domain, we first argue that the global maritime commons is far more resilient than many recognize: potential threats to the commons are overstated as other actors lack sufficient means or incentives to severely disrupt U.S. command. As a result, there is significant room for the United States to reduce its military footprint while retaining command. Thus, the security-based approach we advocate calls for the United States to reduce its military presence around the world as part of a move towards an over-the-horizon strategic presence. This change would reduce the problem of free-riding and the risk of spirals of insecurity with other powerful actors while leaving the United States a significant capacity – on its own and in partnership with other nations – to defeat threats to the commons if and when they manifest. This approach will also allow the United States to reinvest in the sources of American power that will sustain its position in the global order.
美国指挥全球公域的能力——货物、人员和信息流动的海洋、空中和太空领域——在过去30年里一直是美国国家安全的支柱。美国通过追求我们所说的对公地的控制来确保它的指挥:防止国家和非国家行为体对美国军事主导地位的可能威胁的出现,远远早于它们的实际表现。在预算被削减、新兴大国在国际事务中发挥越来越大的影响力之际,对公地的控制越来越难以为继。取而代之的是,本文提倡一种新的方法来保持对公地的控制,我们称之为“公地的安全”。关注海洋领域,我们首先认为全球海洋公域远比许多人认识到的更有弹性:公域的潜在威胁被夸大了,因为其他行为者缺乏足够的手段或动机来严重扰乱美国的指挥。因此,美国有很大的空间在保留指挥权的同时减少其军事足迹。因此,我们提倡的基于安全的方法要求美国减少其在世界各地的军事存在,作为向超视距战略存在迈进的一部分。这一变化将减少搭便车的问题,减少与其他强国的不安全螺旋上升的风险,同时使美国拥有一种强大的能力——无论是单独行动还是与其他国家合作——在威胁显现时击败对共同利益的威胁。这种方法还将使美国能够重新投资于美国实力的来源,以维持其在全球秩序中的地位。
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引用次数: 5
Safety, Media Coverage and Provincial SOEs: Explaining Ownership Variation in Chinese Coal-Industry Restructuring 安全、媒体报道与省级国有企业:解释中国煤炭产业结构调整中的所有制变动
Pub Date : 2013-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2351473
Nicholas Martin
This paper looks at regional variation in industrial restructuring and ownership change in China’s coal industry. A growing literature exists on Chinese industrial policy, state efforts to carry out industrial restructuring, and “Chinese state capitalism”. Coal mining presents an interesting case for this research agenda. Contrary to what the literature would suggest, the industry has undergone extensive and from the Center’s perspective, successful, state-led restructuring and has also seen large-scale changes to ownership structures, at least in some provinces. I argue that three variables are key to explaining these changes. Two – geology and path-dependent legacies qua presence or absence of provincial-owned SOEs – are unsurprising. The third – political pressure over mining accidents and the Chinese media’s role in generating this pressure – is unexpected. Restructuring only happened after extensive media coverage of mining accidents converted the industry’s structural problems from a technical, industrial-policy problem into a political problem of wider significance, and restructuring went furthest and ownership changes were most drastic and conflictual where media coverage of accidents and thus political pressure thereover was greatest. In the rest of this paper I first look at the question of restructuring and private ownership in China’s strategic industries. Secondly, I lay out the structural changes coal mining underwent in the past 20 years and lay out the provincial variation. Third, I discuss the interests of local (subprovincial) governments that have led them to take a fairly protective stance towards the private mines. Fourth, I explain how media pressure over accidents reshaped these interests in the 2000s. Fifth, I lay out how these pressures and interests led to varying restructuring patterns in different provinces.
本文研究了中国煤炭产业结构调整和所有制变动的区域差异。关于中国产业政策、国家进行产业结构调整的努力以及“中国国家资本主义”的文献越来越多。煤矿开采为这一研究议程提供了一个有趣的案例。与文献所显示的相反,该行业经历了广泛的、从中心的角度来看是成功的、由国家主导的重组,并且至少在一些省份,所有权结构也发生了大规模的变化。我认为有三个变量是解释这些变化的关键。其中两点——地质和路径相关的遗留问题——即省级国有企业的存在与否——并不令人意外。第三点——矿难引发的政治压力以及中国媒体在产生这种压力中的作用——出人意料。只有在媒体对矿业事故的广泛报道将行业结构问题从技术、产业政策问题转变为具有更广泛意义的政治问题之后,重组才会发生。在媒体对事故的报道和由此带来的政治压力最大的地方,重组走得最远,所有权变化最剧烈,冲突也最激烈。在本文的其余部分,我将首先探讨中国战略性产业的重组和私有制问题。其次,对近20年来煤炭开采的结构变化进行了梳理,并对各省的变化进行了梳理。第三,我讨论了地方(副省级)政府的利益,导致他们对私人矿山采取相当保护的立场。第四,我解释了媒体对事故的压力如何在本世纪头十年重塑了这些利益。第五,我列举了这些压力和利益是如何导致不同省份不同的结构调整模式的。
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引用次数: 0
Political Fundraising Networks 政治筹款网络
Pub Date : 2012-11-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2171918
Jason Poulos
The paper uses new data on congressional fundraising networks to test whether network structure influences fundraising performance. The results are consistent with two predictions of ``middleman'' models of network formation: first, fundraising networks are characterized by high levels of inequality; second, fundraising performance and network centrality are positively related. Employing a spatial IV strategy that controls for the endogeneity of network formation and endogenous social effects, I find that a one percent increase in a legislator's centrality yields a 0.627% increase in funds raised. The IV estimate is within one standard deviation of the nonspatial OLS estimate and is robust to alternative methods of estimation.
本文采用国会筹款网络的新数据来检验网络结构是否影响筹款绩效。研究结果与网络形成“中间人”模型的两个预测相一致:第一,筹资网络具有高度不平等的特征;第二,筹资绩效与网络中心性呈正相关。采用控制网络形成内生性和内生社会效应的空间IV策略,我发现立法者的中心性每增加1%,筹集的资金就会增加0.627%。IV估计在非空间OLS估计的一个标准差内,并且对其他估计方法具有鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
The Federal Act on the Restitution of Assets of Politically Exposed Persons Obtained by Unlawful Means (RIAA) 归还以非法手段获得的政治人物资产的联邦法
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1872826
H. Elsheshtawy
The Federal Act on the Restitution of Assets of Politically Exposed Persons Obtained by Unlawful Means (RIAA). As a result of these act, Switzerland is today one of the world’s leading Countries when it comes to the restitution of the assets of politically exposed persons. In a series of well reported cases, Switzerland has shown that the measures adopted have been very effective. Switzerland has returned far more money to the countries of origin than any other financial centre, amounting to a total of CHF 1.7 billion. but the measures will be more completed after the Arabic spring. Egyptian revelation will be a much hared exam for the Switzerland financial institute creditability.
《归还以非法手段获得的政治人物资产联邦法》。由于这些法令,瑞士今天在归还政治人物财产方面是世界领先的国家之一。在一系列广为报道的案例中,瑞士表明所采取的措施是非常有效的。瑞士向原籍国返还的资金远远超过其他任何金融中心,总额达17亿瑞士法郎。但这些措施将在阿拉伯之春之后更加完善。埃及的启示将是对瑞士金融机构信誉的一次非常严峻的考验。
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引用次数: 0
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