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Supplementary Material of On the Estimation of Jump-Diffusion Models Using Intraday Data: A Filtering-Based Approach 利用日内数据估计跳跃扩散模型:一种基于滤波的方法
Pub Date : 2020-11-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3737708
Jean‐François Bégin, Diego Amaya, Geneviève Gauthier, Marie-Ève Malette
We adopt a flexible filtering procedure to extract information from high-frequency data. Specifically, we provide a parsimonious framework to integrate realized measures from high frequency index and derivative prices. In a simulation study, we document the incremental information offered by realized measures and show that even though high-frequency index prices help identify spot variance and jump price dynamics, it is the addition of high-frequency option prices that enables variance jumps to be identified. A series of empirical studies based on the S&P 500 index and options show that estimation precision improves with the addition of information from intraday option prices.
我们采用一种灵活的滤波方法从高频数据中提取信息。具体来说,我们提供了一个简洁的框架来整合高频指数和衍生品价格的实现措施。在一项模拟研究中,我们记录了已实现指标提供的增量信息,并表明即使高频指数价格有助于识别现货方差和跳跃价格动态,但高频期权价格的加入使方差跳跃得以识别。一系列基于标准普尔500指数和期权的实证研究表明,随着日内期权价格信息的加入,估计精度有所提高。
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引用次数: 0
Disproportionate Costs of Uncertainty: Small Bank Hedging and Dodd-Frank 不确定性的不成比例成本:小银行对冲和多德-弗兰克法案
Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3320224
R. Kim
Uncertainty in banking regulation may impose widespread economic costs by increasing financial constraints on credit availability. Four years of Dodd Frank uncertainty over undecided risk weightings increased regulatory uncertainty for smaller banks, restricting "vanilla" interest rate hedging activities. This paper uses newly reported mortgage banking data as an identification strategy and finds that when costs of uncertainty are removed, small banks hedge 97-120% more interest rate risk while mortgage securitization income increases by 65.2% compared to large banks. These findings support the need for tailored regulations that considers the higher costs of regulatory uncertainty for smaller banks.
银行监管的不确定性可能会增加对信贷可得性的财务限制,从而造成广泛的经济成本。《多德•弗兰克法案》(Dodd Frank)对未确定的风险权重的四年不确定性,加大了小型银行的监管不确定性,限制了“普通的”利率对冲活动。本文使用新报告的抵押贷款银行数据作为识别策略,发现当不确定性成本被剔除后,小银行对冲利率风险的能力比大银行高出97-120%,而抵押贷款证券化收入则比大银行高出65.2%。这些发现支持有必要制定有针对性的监管规定,考虑到监管不确定性给小银行带来的更高成本。
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引用次数: 1
Dynamic Sensitivities and Initial Margin via Chebyshev Tensors 基于切比雪夫张量的动态灵敏度和初始裕度
Pub Date : 2020-11-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3727479
Mariano Zeron Medina Laris, I. Ruiz
This paper presents how to use Chebyshev Tensors to compute dynamic sensitivities of financial instruments within a Monte Carlo simulation. Dynamic sensitivities are then used to compute Dynamic Initial Margin as defined by ISDA (SIMM). The technique is benchmarked against the computation of dynamic sensitivities obtained by using pricing functions like the ones found in risk engines. We obtain high accuracy and computational gains for FX swaps and Spread Options.
本文介绍了如何使用切比雪夫张量在蒙特卡罗模拟中计算金融工具的动态灵敏度。然后利用动态灵敏度计算ISDA (SIMM)定义的动态初始裕量。该技术是通过使用定价函数(如风险引擎中的定价函数)获得的动态灵敏度计算进行基准测试的。我们在外汇掉期和点差期权交易中获得了很高的准确性和计算收益。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid multifactor scheme for stochastic Volterra equations 随机Volterra方程的混合多因素格式
Pub Date : 2020-10-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3706253
Sigurd Emil Rømer
We present the hybrid-exponential scheme for simulating stochastic Volterra equations. The scheme is based on an exact approximation of the kernel function near the origin and an approximation by a sum of exponentials across the rest of the domain. The first part is similar to the hybrid scheme introduced in and is needed to capture any singular behavior of the kernel. The second part follows the ideas of where rough volatility models are under consideration and results in a number of stochastic factors to be simulated, one for each exponential term, and all with linear complexity in time. Since the efficiency of our scheme relies heavily on ensuring a low number of factors, we include also a review of various methods for finding the exponential terms. We here discover the method of and show that many fewer terms are needed for the rough fractional kernel than previously established in. Lastly, we provide a proof of convergence and also numerically demonstrate the efficiency of the scheme by example on the rough Bergomi model from.
提出了模拟随机Volterra方程的混合指数格式。该方案是基于核函数在原点附近的精确近似值和在其余区域的指数和近似值。第一部分与前面介绍的混合方案类似,用于捕获内核的任何单一行为。第二部分遵循了考虑粗糙波动率模型的思想,并得出了许多要模拟的随机因素,每个指数项一个,并且都具有线性时间复杂度。由于我们方案的效率在很大程度上依赖于确保低数量的因子,我们还包括对寻找指数项的各种方法的回顾。我们在这里发现了的方法,并证明了粗糙分数核所需的项比先前建立的要少得多。最后,我们给出了收敛性的证明,并通过实例在粗糙的Bergomi模型上数值验证了该方案的有效性。
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引用次数: 4
Credit Volatility Indexes 信贷波动指数
Pub Date : 2020-10-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3714671
A. Melé, Yoshiki Obayashi
This paper contains details for implementing credit spread variance pricing methodologies based on credit default swap (CDS) options. A model independent formula for expected volatility is available, based on the prices of vanilla CDS options (VCOs). However, VCOs are currently not traded, and their prices must be inferred from those of actively traded CDS options with exotic payoffs (ECOs). Plugging ECO prices directly into the index formula is not theoretically justified, and the economic significance in the context of variance pricing of the difference in options contract specifications must be examined empirically. The paper develops methodology for converting observed ECO prices into hypothetical VCO prices for the purpose of index calculation, and assesses the economic impact of using ECOs and VCOs on index values under realistic market conditions.
本文包含了基于信用违约互换(CDS)期权的信用价差方差定价方法的实现细节。基于普通CDS期权(VCOs)的价格,可以得到一个独立于模型的预期波动率公式。然而,vco目前没有交易,它们的价格必须从交易活跃的带有额外收益的CDS期权(ECOs)中推断出来。将ECO价格直接插入指数公式在理论上是不合理的,在期权合约规格差异的方差定价背景下的经济意义必须经过实证检验。本文开发了将观察到的ECO价格转换为假设的VCO价格以用于指数计算的方法,并评估了在现实市场条件下使用ECO和VCO对指数值的经济影响。
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引用次数: 0
Information and the Arrival Rate of Option Trading Volume 信息和期权交易量到达率
Pub Date : 2020-10-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3707991
Mengyu Zhang, Thanos Verousis, I. Kalaitzoglou
Prior literature recognizes that liquidity is essential in understanding the information content of option trades. In this paper, we model the duration and volume jointly, for the first time, as a natural measure of options’ trading intensity and we associate it with differential degrees of information present in option trades. We report a highly significant association between option trading intensity with contemporaneous and future underlying volatility and returns, which is distinct from the effects of option duration and option trading volume and the O/S ratio. Finally, we show that our trading intensity measure and the O/S ratio are complementary in capturing informed trading in the option market.
先前的文献认识到流动性对于理解期权交易的信息内容至关重要。在本文中,我们首次将久期和成交量作为期权交易强度的自然度量,并将其与期权交易中存在的不同程度的信息联系起来。我们报告了期权交易强度与当前和未来潜在波动率和回报之间的高度显著关联,这与期权持续时间、期权交易量和O/S比率的影响不同。最后,我们证明了我们的交易强度度量和O/S比率在捕获期权市场中的知情交易方面是互补的。
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引用次数: 1
Supporting Operations with Financial Hedging: Cash Hedging Versus Cost Hedging in an Automotive Industry 财务套期保值的支持业务:汽车行业的现金套期保值与成本套期保值
Pub Date : 2020-10-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3705691
Panos Kouvelis, Danko Turcic
Financial hedging of raw material prices and exchange rates has become an integral part of many manufacturers’ operating practices. Previous empirical research suggests that a desire to avoid financial distress and the affiliated curtailment in operations is one of the strongest hedge motivations. Taking the hedging motivation as given, we test two data-driven hedging policies to see how effective they are at mitigating financial distress in the car manufacturing industry. The first policy is the cost hedging policy, under which the carmaker hedges raw material and production input purchases. This policy appears to be widely in use. The car manufacturer needs to trade in aluminum, steel, zinc, and plastic to achieve the cost hedge. The second policy is a cash hedging policy under which the firm hedges its net cash flow. The firm solves a stochastic program with a min hedge cost objective and cash flow constraints to construct the cash hedge. Its solution suggests that the firm needs to trade S&P500, aluminum, and zinc to implement the hedge. Our results further reveal the relative importance of different market factors on the automaker’s hedging policy. The most critical drivers of hedging decisions appear to be demand shifts, especially demand elasticity shifts. The least important drivers are car design updates, which change the car’s raw material requirements. This finding sheds light on why cost hedging, which focuses on hedging raw materials, is less effective than the cash hedging technique, which hedges both costs and demand.
对原材料价格和汇率进行财务对冲已成为许多制造商经营实践中不可或缺的一部分。先前的实证研究表明,避免财务困境和相关业务缩减的愿望是最强烈的对冲动机之一。假设对冲动机是给定的,我们测试了两种数据驱动的对冲政策,以了解它们在缓解汽车制造业财务困境方面的有效性。第一项政策是成本套期保值政策,即汽车制造商对原材料和生产投入采购进行套期保值。这一政策似乎被广泛使用。汽车制造商需要进行铝、钢、锌和塑料的交易,以实现成本对冲。第二项政策是现金套期保值政策,根据该政策,公司对冲其净现金流量。企业通过求解一个具有最小套期成本目标和现金流量约束的随机方案来构建现金套期。它的解决方案表明,该公司需要交易标准普尔500指数、铝和锌来实施对冲。我们的研究结果进一步揭示了不同市场因素对汽车制造商对冲政策的相对重要性。对冲决策最关键的驱动因素似乎是需求变化,尤其是需求弹性变化。最不重要的驱动因素是汽车设计的更新,它改变了汽车的原材料要求。这一发现揭示了为什么侧重于对冲原材料的成本套期保值不如同时对冲成本和需求的现金套期保值有效。
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引用次数: 2
Common Factors in Equity Option Returns 股票期权收益的共同因素
Pub Date : 2020-09-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3290363
A. Horenstein, Aurelio Vasquez, Xiao Xiao
This paper studies the factor structure of the cross-section of delta-hedged equity option returns. We find that a four-factor model explains the cross-section and time-series of equity option returns. Out of the four factors, three are characteristic based factors from the long-short option portfolios based on firm size, idiosyncratic volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatilities. The fourth factor is the market volatility risk factor proxied by the delta-hedged option return of the the S&P 500 index.
本文研究了delta套期股票期权收益横截面的因子结构。我们发现一个四因素模型解释了股票期权收益的横截面和时间序列。在这四个因素中,三个是基于多空期权组合的特征因素,这些因素基于公司规模、特殊波动率以及隐含波动率和历史波动率之间的差异。第四个因素是由标普500指数的delta对冲期权收益所代表的市场波动风险因素。
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引用次数: 6
Issues Involving Close-out Netting and Collateral for OTC Derivatives Transactions – A Japanese and International Finance Law Perspective 涉及场外衍生品交易结算净额和抵押品的问题——日本和国际金融法视角
Pub Date : 2020-09-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3687596
Hiroyuki Watanabe
This paper looks into recent issues involving close-out netting and collateralization for over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives transactions from the point of Japanese and international financial law.

In Japan, collateralization of OTC derivatives transactions is generally structured using the loan and set-off method, rather than as a security interest (pledge). The problem with this loan and set-off scheme is that the collateral provider is not entitled to restore the portion of the collateral that exceeds the amount of secured obligation when the collateral receiver becomes insolvent (Tokyo High Court judgement dated 27 October 2010). Japan might be able to address this problem by creating a new legislation on financial collateral in line with the EU Directive on Financial Collateral Arrangements. Another option could be the use of a trust scheme, enabling the asset receiver to use or dispose of the deposited asset while managing it separately from its own assets, including the ‘trusts for customer's deposits for securities transactions’ under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act of Japan (FIEA) primarily designed for retail customers. However, due to various practical hurdles, parties to OTC derivatives transactions are often unwilling to use the trust scheme for collateral management (eg, because the amount of required collateral changes from time to time depending on the market value of the underlying assets). At present, the most effective way to minimize the counterparty risk of derivative transactions is centralized clearing at the clearing house. Most categories of OTC derivative transactions are eligible for such centralized clearing.
For non-cleared OTC derivatives, a solution would be to accumulate collateral (margin) in just proportion at the start of the transaction and to frequently evaluate and adjust the amount of collateral (margin) required as the market value of the derivative transaction fluctuates. This method complicates the procedure but enables a very stable operation. Indeed, international regulations have moved in this direction. Japan also implemented the margin requirements for non-cleared OTC derivatives that required posting or collection of the amount equivalent to market value fluctuations as variable margin, and initial margins to be made by way of either loans, or deposits, for consumption.

In March 2016, the Financial Services Agency of Japan revised the Cabinet Office Ordinance and introduced the new margin requirements to prohibit securities firms and registered financial institutions from conducting certain non-cleared OTC derivative transactions without taking prescribed measures such as depositing margins. With regard to margin for non-centrally cleared derivative transactions, these requirements were agreed upon twice, in September 2013 and March 2015, by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) and the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO). The final
因此,就像日本和美国所做的那样,授权政府机构在短时间内暂时停止场外衍生品交易的净额结算,将是确保破产金融机构有序清算的有效机制。考虑到日本清算所目前的一般规则,即失败参与者的头寸转移给其他清算参与者,以及代表场外衍生品交易名义本金70-80%的交易类别在清算所集中清算,暂时停止结算的衍生品交易类型,除私下协商的衍生品交易外,宜将触发提前终止(平仓净额)条款的限制扩大至在结算所结算的上市衍生品交易和场外衍生品交易。[本文是我在2013年8月发表的一篇日文文章(《金融法杂志》1976年第6-17页)的主要英文修订,并基于随后的法律修订和趋势。]
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引用次数: 0
Taking Money Off the Table: Suboptimal Early Exercises, Risky Arbitrage, and American Put Returns 把钱从桌上拿走:次优的早期操作、风险套利和美式看跌期权回报
Pub Date : 2020-08-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3677041
K. Aretz, I. Garrett, A. Gazi
Many studies report that American option investors often exercise their positions suboptimally late. Yet, when that can happen in case of puts, there is an arbitrage opportunity in perfect markets, exploitable by longing the asset-and-riskfree-asset portfolio replicating the put and shorting the put. Using early exercise data, we show that the arbitrage strategy also earns a highly significant mean return with low risk in real single-stock put markets, in which exactly replicating options is impossible. In line with theory, the strategy performs particularly well on high strike-price puts in high interest-rate regimes. It further performs well on short time-to-maturity puts on low volatility stocks, consistent with evidence that investors do not correctly incorporate those characteristics into their exercise decisions. The strategy survives accounting for trading and short-selling costs, at least when executed on liquid assets.
许多研究报告称,美国期权投资者经常在较晚的时候执行他们的头寸。然而,当这种情况发生在看跌期权上时,在完美市场中就存在套利机会,可以通过长期持有复制看跌期权的资产和无风险资产组合并做空看跌期权来利用。利用早期行权数据,我们表明,在真实的单股看跌期权市场中,套利策略也获得了非常显著的平均回报和低风险,在这种情况下,完全复制期权是不可能的。与理论一致的是,该策略在高利率体制下的高执行价看跌期权中表现尤为出色。它在低波动性股票的短期到期看跌期权上也表现良好,这与投资者没有正确地将这些特征纳入行使决策的证据相一致。这种策略在计入交易和卖空成本后仍然存在,至少在对流动资产执行时是这样。
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引用次数: 0
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Econometric Modeling: Derivatives eJournal
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