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Response to "Letter to the editor related to the article "Trends in mortality due to ischemic heart diseases among patients with Alzheimer's disease in the United States from 1999 to 2020. International journal of cardiology. Cardiovascular risk and prevention, 25, 200390″ 对“1999年至2020年美国阿尔茨海默病患者缺血性心脏病死亡率趋势”一文致编辑的信的回复。国际心脏病学杂志。心血管风险与预防,25,200390″
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200518
Muzamil Akhtar , Rayyan Nabi , Raheel Ahmed
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引用次数: 0
Residual hypertriglyceridemia in cardiac rehabilitation: Methodological constraints and implications for generalizability 心脏康复中的残余高甘油三酯血症:方法学限制和推广意义
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200520
Amisha Kumari , Reena Kumari , Muddassir Khalid , Fred Segawa
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引用次数: 0
Hypertension control in resource-constrained settings: Bridging socioeconomic gaps with predictive insights 资源受限环境下的高血压控制:用预测性见解弥合社会经济差距
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200472
Md Abul Kalam Azad , Md Abu Sufian , Lujain Alsadder , Sadia Zaman , Wahiba Hamzi , Amira Ali , Md. Zakir Hossain , Boumediene Hamzi
<div><h3>Background:</h3><div>Hypertension continues to be a pivotal driver of global cardiovascular disease burden and adverse health outcomes, particularly in resource-constrained settings where disparities in socioeconomic status and clinical infrastructure hinder effective management. Despite medical advancements, achieving optimal blood pressure (BP) control remains a formidable challenge, necessitating a nuanced understanding of multifactorial risk determinants.</div></div><div><h3>Methods:</h3><div>A cross-sectional analysis was conducted on 1,000 hypertensive patients from a larger dataset comprising 100,000 population size. Three hundred patients were examined for personalised BP control predictors who met the inclusion criteria of being treated for at least one year at the Hypertension and Research Centre in Rangpur, Bangladesh, between January 2020 and January 2021. BP control was assessed using World Health Organisation (WHO) and National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidelines, and a comprehensive analysis of the sociodemographic and clinical variables was performed using multivariate logistic regression. Machine learning models such as K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) were utilised to predict BP control with good performance using cross-validation techniques compared to other models. Explainable AI tools like Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) provide interpretations of key variables with predictive qualities.</div></div><div><h3>Results:</h3><div>The mean age of participants was 49.37 ± 12.81 years, with 54.7% aged 40–59 years and 57.7% male. The overall BP control rate among the study population was 28%. Among those with controlled hypertension, 42% were rural residents (<span><math><mrow><mi>p</mi><mo>=</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>005</mn></mrow></math></span>) and 37% were homemakers (<span><math><mi>p</mi></math></span> <span><math><mo><</mo></math></span> 0.001), indicating better control in these subgroups. Key facilitators of BP control included higher education levels (e.g., post-graduate OR = 1.17, <span><math><mrow><mi>p</mi><mo><</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>001</mn></mrow></math></span>), lower cholesterol levels (SHAP value = 0.097), and adherence to combination therapy (75% of controlled cases). Conversely, diabetes mellitus (SHAP value = 0.069) and ischemic heart disease (OR = 0.95, <span><math><mrow><mi>p</mi><mo>=</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>004</mn></mrow></math></span>) emerged as significant impediments to BP control. Advanced machine learning models, including KNN, achieved an unparallelled predictive accuracy of 99%, underscoring precision-based interventions’ transformative potential. SHAP analysis revealed dietary habits (SHAP value = 0.077) and physical activity (SHAP value = 0.079) as modifiable predictors, highlighting the efficacy of personalised lifestyle strategies. Simulation-based interventions grounded in machine learning insigh
背景:高血压仍然是全球心血管疾病负担和不良健康结果的关键驱动因素,特别是在资源有限的环境中,社会经济地位和临床基础设施的差异阻碍了有效的管理。尽管医学进步,实现最佳血压(BP)控制仍然是一个艰巨的挑战,需要对多因素风险决定因素有细致入微的了解。方法:对来自10万人口规模的更大数据集的1000名高血压患者进行横断面分析。在2020年1月至2021年1月期间,在孟加拉国Rangpur的高血压和研究中心对300名患者进行了个性化血压控制预测检查,这些患者符合纳入标准,至少接受了一年的治疗。采用世界卫生组织(WHO)和国家临床卓越研究所(NICE)指南评估血压控制,并采用多变量logistic回归对社会人口统计学和临床变量进行综合分析。与其他模型相比,使用交叉验证技术,使用k -最近邻(KNN)等机器学习模型来预测BP控制,具有良好的性能。可解释的人工智能工具,如Shapley可加性解释(SHAP)和局部可解释模型不可知论解释(LIME),提供了对具有预测特性的关键变量的解释。结果:参与者平均年龄49.37±12.81岁,40 ~ 59岁占54.7%,男性占57.7%。研究人群的总体血压控制率为28%。在高血压得到控制的人群中,42%是农村居民(p=0.005), 37%是家庭主妇(p < 0.001),说明这些亚组控制较好。血压控制的关键促进因素包括高等教育水平(例如,研究生OR = 1.17, p<0.001)、较低胆固醇水平(SHAP值= 0.097)和坚持联合治疗(75%的对照病例)。相反,糖尿病(SHAP值= 0.069)和缺血性心脏病(OR = 0.95, p=0.004)成为血压控制的显著障碍。包括KNN在内的先进机器学习模型实现了99%的预测准确率,这凸显了基于精度的干预措施的变革潜力。SHAP分析显示饮食习惯(SHAP值= 0.077)和身体活动(SHAP值= 0.079)是可修改的预测因子,突出了个性化生活方式策略的有效性。基于机器学习见解的模拟干预将高风险分类降低了15%,进一步增强了预测分析在高血压管理中的价值。敏感性分析强调了社会经济因素的主导地位,收入水平(敏感性:0.85)和医疗可及性(敏感性:0.78)成为关键的预测因素,这加强了解决高血压管理中健康不平等问题的重要性。结论:该研究阐明了高血压管理的关键差距,强调迫切需要解决可改变的危险因素,定制治疗方案,并将社会经济因素纳入公共卫生框架。研究结果提倡采用可扩展的、数据驱动的干预措施,以弥合高血压护理差距,从而减轻心血管疾病风险,并加强服务不足地区的卫生公平。
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引用次数: 0
Circulating-free DNA and myocardial infarction: From diagnostic promise to clinical translation 无循环DNA与心肌梗死:从诊断前景到临床转化
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200517
Jeff Clyde G. Corpuz
This correspondence responds to the review by Rafiei et al. on circulating-free DNA (cfDNA) as a biomarker for early detection of myocardial infarction (MI). CfDNA shows potential for rapid diagnosis and real-time monitoring, but major barriers remain. Lack of standardized testing methods, uncertain utility in emergency care, and high costs risk delaying adoption and widening health inequities, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Key priorities include harmonizing laboratory protocols, developing point-of-care platforms, and integrating cfDNA into diagnostic algorithms with cardiac troponins and electrocardiograms (ECG). Research should focus on large, long-term cohorts that include diverse populations, and test multi-marker strategies combining cfDNA with microRNAs and DNA methylation profiles. Ensuring affordability and accessibility will be critical to translate cfDNA from experimental promise to routine cardiovascular practice.
这篇文章回应了Rafiei等人关于游离循环DNA (cfDNA)作为早期检测心肌梗死(MI)的生物标志物的综述。CfDNA显示出快速诊断和实时监测的潜力,但主要障碍仍然存在。缺乏标准化的检测方法,急诊护理的效用不确定,以及高昂的费用,有可能推迟采用和扩大卫生不公平现象,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家。关键优先事项包括协调实验室方案,开发护理点平台,以及将cfDNA整合到心脏肌钙蛋白和心电图(ECG)的诊断算法中。研究应侧重于包括不同人群的大型长期队列,并测试将cfDNA与microrna和DNA甲基化谱结合起来的多标记策略。确保可负担性和可获得性对于将cfDNA从实验承诺转化为常规心血管实践至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Cardiac rehabilitation for outpatients aged over 80 years with cardiovascular diseases 80岁以上心血管疾病门诊患者心脏康复
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200516
Ryoko Someya , Yasushi Matsuzawa , Yoshitaka Shimizu , Hidefumi Nakahashi , Masaaki Konishi , Eiichi Akiyama , Yohei Hanajima , Hisaya Kondo , Tomohiro Yoshii , Ryosuke Sato , Kazuko Hayashi , Kozo Okada , Teruyasu Sugano , Kiyoshi Hibi

Background

Japan had the highest proportion of the elderly in the world, with one in 10 individuals aged ≥80 years. Consequently, the number of patients with cardiovascular diseases is increasing. Older patients often have comorbidities such as frailty, sarcopenia, and cognitive decline that leads to a decreased quality of life (QOL). We analyzed the effects of outpatient cardiac rehabilitation (OCR) in elderly patients with cardiovascular disease.

Methods

The comprehensive OCR had been provided by a multidisciplinary team. We analyzed data from 49 patients with cardiovascular diseases, aged ≥80 years, who received cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) tests based OCR. Frailty, physical function, QOL, exercise tolerance, and vascular endothelial function were assessed before and after OCR.

Results

All 49 patients had completed the OCR program. The mean patients’ age was 84.1 ± 3.6 years and 32.7 % were male. The proportion of frailty and pre-frailty participants significantly decreased from 92 % to 67 % following OCR. The QOL (KCCQ: 76.8 ± 18.4 vs. 81.4 ± 20.4; P = 0.0196), exercise tolerance (peak VO2: 14.1 ± 4.0 vs. 15.4 ± 3.9 mL/min/kg; P = 0.0017), and vascular endothelial function (Ln-RHI: 0.48 ± 0.39 vs. 0.57 ± 0.3; P = 0.027) significantly improved after OCR.

Conclusions

The comprehensive OCR with CPX-based exercise therapy and the multidisciplinary approach significantly improved frailty, the QOL, physical function, exercise tolerance, and vascular endothelial function in patients with cardiovascular diseases aged ≥80 years.
日本是世界上老年人比例最高的国家,每10个人中就有1人的年龄≥80岁。因此,心血管疾病患者的数量正在增加。老年患者通常有合并症,如虚弱、肌肉减少症和认知能力下降,导致生活质量下降(QOL)。我们分析了门诊心脏康复(OCR)在老年心血管疾病患者中的效果。方法由多学科团队提供全面的OCR。我们分析了49例年龄≥80岁的心血管疾病患者的数据,这些患者接受了基于OCR的心肺运动(CPX)试验。在OCR前后评估虚弱、身体功能、生活质量、运动耐量和血管内皮功能。结果49例患者均完成了OCR计划。患者平均年龄84.1±3.6岁,男性占32.7%。在OCR之后,虚弱和虚弱前参与者的比例从92%显著下降到67%。QOL (KCCQ: 76.8±18.4 vs. 81.4±20.4,P = 0.0196)、运动耐量(峰值VO2: 14.1±4.0 vs. 15.4±3.9 mL/min/kg, P = 0.0017)和血管内皮功能(Ln-RHI: 0.48±0.39 vs. 0.57±0.3,P = 0.027)均显著改善。结论综合OCR结合cpx为基础的运动疗法和多学科联合治疗可显著改善≥80岁心血管疾病患者的虚弱、生活质量、身体功能、运动耐量和血管内皮功能。
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引用次数: 0
Glycemic status and left atrial structure and function in adults with metabolic syndrome and overweight-obesity 成人代谢综合征和超重肥胖患者的血糖状态与左心房结构和功能
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200513
Angel M. Alonso-Gómez , Leire Goicolea-Güemez , Dora Romaguera , Estefania Toledo , Aniqa B. Alam , Lucas Tojal-Sierra , Luis López Rodriguez , Raúl Ramallal , María Garrido Uriarte , Inés Gonzalez-Casanova , Jordi Salas-Salvadó , Montserrat Fitó , Alvaro Alonso
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引用次数: 0
Hypertension and lung cancer in China (2002–2019): A nationwide study of temporal trends, demographic disparities, and independent risk associations 中国高血压和肺癌(2002-2019):一项关于时间趋势、人口差异和独立风险关联的全国性研究
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200515
Yang Yu , Chen Jiang , Yan gao , Dingqi Li , Chongcheng Xi , Quansheng Feng , Rui He

Background

Emerging evidence suggests a potential link between hypertension and cancer, yet the relationship between elevated blood pressure and lung cancer risk remains underexplored, particularly in large, population-based settings.

Objective

To investigate temporal trends in hypertension prevalence among lung cancer patients and to assess whether hypertension is independently associated with lung cancer risk in the Chinese adult population.

Methods

We analyzed data from 2,745,893 adults aged ≥18 years who participated in the China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance (CCDRFS) program from 2002 to 2019. Trends in hypertension prevalence among lung cancer patients were assessed across demographic strata. Multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, smoking, obesity, and region were used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for lung cancer associated with hypertension.

Results

Among 168,427 lung cancer patients (6.1 % of total), 58.3 % had coexisting hypertension. Hypertension prevalence among lung cancer patients rose from 47.2 % in 2002 to 62.8 % in 2019, with sharper increases in rural (49.3 %–66.1 %) and western regions (50.4 %–66.9 %). After adjustment, hypertension was independently associated with lung cancer (aOR = 1.37; 95 % CI: 1.31–1.43), with stronger associations observed in females (aOR = 1.49), individuals aged ≥60 years (aOR = 1.54), non-smokers (aOR = 1.44), and obese participants (aOR = 1.46).

Conclusions

Hypertension is highly prevalent among lung cancer patients in China and appears to be independently associated with increased lung cancer risk. These findings suggest the need for integrated cardio-oncology surveillance and prevention strategies, particularly for high-risk subpopulations such as older adults, women, and non-smokers. Further prospective studies are warranted to explore the mechanisms underlying this association and to evaluate whether hypertension control may influence lung cancer burden.
背景:越来越多的证据表明高血压与癌症之间存在潜在联系,但血压升高与肺癌风险之间的关系仍未得到充分探讨,特别是在以人群为基础的大型环境中。目的探讨中国成年肺癌患者高血压患病率的时间趋势,并评估高血压是否与肺癌风险独立相关。方法分析2002年至2019年参加中国慢性病和危险因素监测(CCDRFS)项目的2,745,893名年龄≥18岁的成年人的数据。评估不同人口阶层肺癌患者高血压患病率的趋势。采用校正年龄、性别、吸烟、肥胖和地区的多变量logistic回归模型来估计肺癌合并高血压的校正优势比(aORs)。结果168427例肺癌患者(占总人数的6.1%)中,58.3%合并高血压。肺癌患者高血压患病率从2002年的47.2%上升到2019年的62.8%,其中农村地区(49.3% - 66.1%)和西部地区(50.4% - 66.9%)增幅较大。调整后,高血压与肺癌独立相关(aOR = 1.37; 95% CI: 1.31-1.43),在女性(aOR = 1.49)、年龄≥60岁(aOR = 1.54)、非吸烟者(aOR = 1.44)和肥胖参与者(aOR = 1.46)中观察到更强的相关性。结论高血压在中国肺癌患者中非常普遍,并可能与肺癌风险增加独立相关。这些发现表明,需要对心血管肿瘤进行综合监测和预防策略,特别是对老年人、妇女和非吸烟者等高危人群。进一步的前瞻性研究有必要探索这种关联的机制,并评估高血压控制是否可能影响肺癌负担。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of outcomes of direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonists for atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis 直接口服抗凝剂与维生素K拮抗剂治疗房颤和慢性肾病的疗效比较:一项系统综述和荟萃分析
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200511
Bing Luo, Yueyun Jiang, Minyi Tan, Jingyan Yang, Yue Fan, Yili Chen

Objective

To systematically evaluate the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA) for anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Methods

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched from their inception through May 2025 to collect relevant clinical studies comparing the use of DOAC versus VKA for the treatment of patients with AF combined with chronic kidney disease. Literature screening, data extraction, analysis, quality evaluation, and risk of bias assessment were conducted by independent reviewers. The outcomes of interest included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, intracranial bleeding, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software, with I2 statistics employed to assess heterogeneity.

Results

16 studies were included in the analysis. Compared with VKA, DOAC can significantly reduced the risks of cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.78; 95 %CI 0.70–0.87; P < 0.05), major bleeding (HR = 0.79; 95 %CI 0.64–0.97; P < 0.05), and intracranial hemorrhage (HR = 0.50; 95 %CI 0.37–0.66; P < 0.05). No significant differences were observed between the DOAC and VKA groups regarding all-cause death (HR = 0.98; 95 %CI 0.81–1.19; P = 0.82), stroke or systemic embolism (HR = 0.84; 95 %CI 0.68–1.04; P = 0.12), gastrointestinal bleeding (HR = 0.87; 95 %CI 0.61–1.24; P = 0.43), myocardial infarction (HR = 0.98; 95 %CI 0.78–1.23; P = 0.84), or stroke (HR = 0.85; 95 %CI 0.72–1.00; P = 0.06). Overall, DOACs demonstrated superior efficacy in reducing cardiovascular mortality, major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage. Among patients with end-stage renal disease, those treated with DOACs showed a tendency toward reduced major bleeding (HR = 0.58; 95 % CI 0.50–0.68; P < 0.05), gastrointestinal hemorrhage (HR = 0.65; 95 %CI 0.48–0.98 P < 0.05), and intracranial hemorrhage (HR = 0.56; 95 % CI, 0.38–0.82; P < 0.05). For patients without end-stage renal disease, the DOAC group had greater benefits in reducing the risks of all-cause death (HR = 0.91; 95 %CI 0.84–0.99; P = 0.03), cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.77; 95 %CI 0.69–0.86; P < 0.05), major bleeding (HR = 0.85; 95 %CI 0.77–0.83; P < 0.05, and intracranial hemorrhage (HR = 0.42; 95 % CI, 0.28–0.65; P < 0.05). Conversely, the VKA group was more effective in reducing the risk of gastrointestinal hemorrhage events (HR = 1.38; 95 % CI 1.13–1.68; P < 0.05).

Conclusion

In patients with non-valvular AF complicated by CKD, the use of DOAC is associated with a moderate reduction in the risks of cardiovascular mortality, major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage. Among patients with end-stage renal disease, DOACs offer more significant
目的系统评价直接口服抗凝剂(DOAC)与维生素K拮抗剂(VKA)在房颤(AF)合并慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)患者抗凝治疗中的疗效和安全性。方法检索spubmed、Embase、Web of Science和Cochrane图书馆自成立至2025年5月的相关临床研究,比较DOAC与VKA治疗房颤动合并慢性肾病患者的疗效。文献筛选、数据提取、分析、质量评价和偏倚风险评估均由独立审稿人进行。研究结果包括全因死亡率、心血管死亡、中风或全身性栓塞、大出血、胃肠道出血、颅内出血、心肌梗死和中风。采用RevMan 5.4软件进行分析,采用I2统计量评估异质性。结果共纳入16项研究。与VKA相比,DOAC可显著降低心血管死亡风险(HR = 0.78; 95% CI 0.70-0.87; P < 0.05)、大出血风险(HR = 0.79; 95% CI 0.64-0.97; P < 0.05)、颅内出血风险(HR = 0.50; 95% CI 0.37-0.66; P < 0.05)。DOAC组和VKA组在全因死亡(HR = 0.98; 95% CI 0.81-1.19; P = 0.82)、中风或全身栓塞(HR = 0.84; 95% CI 0.68-1.04; P = 0.12)、胃肠道出血(HR = 0.87; 95% CI 0.61-1.24; P = 0.43)、心肌梗死(HR = 0.98; 95% CI 0.78-1.23; P = 0.84)或中风(HR = 0.85; 95% CI 0.72-1.00; P = 0.06)方面无显著差异。总体而言,DOACs在降低心血管死亡率、大出血和颅内出血方面表现出优越的疗效。在终末期肾病患者中,经DOACs治疗的患者大出血(HR = 0.58; 95% CI 0.50-0.68; P < 0.05)、胃肠道出血(HR = 0.65; 95% CI 0.48-0.98 P < 0.05)和颅内出血(HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.38-0.82; P < 0.05)倾向减少。对于无终末期肾病的患者,DOAC组在降低全因死亡(HR = 0.91; 95% CI 0.84-0.99; P = 0.03)、心血管死亡率(HR = 0.77; 95% CI 0.69-0.86; P < 0.05)、大出血(HR = 0.85; 95% CI 0.77 - 0.83; P < 0.05)和颅内出血(HR = 0.42; 95% CI 0.28-0.65; P < 0.05)的风险方面有更大的益处。相反,VKA组在降低胃肠道出血事件的风险方面更有效(HR = 1.38; 95% CI 1.13-1.68; P < 0.05)。结论:对于合并CKD的非瓣膜性房颤患者,DOAC的使用可适度降低心血管死亡、大出血和颅内出血的风险。在终末期肾病患者中,DOACs在降低大出血、胃肠道出血和颅内出血的风险方面提供了更显著的益处。对于非终末期肾病患者,DOAC与全因死亡率、心血管死亡率、大出血和颅内出血发生率较低相关,而VKA与胃肠道出血风险增加相关。
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引用次数: 0
Shared genetic associations between CHA2DS2-VASc score and cardio-embolic stroke: Insights from mendelian randomization based bioinformatics analysis CHA2DS2-VASc评分与心脏栓塞性中风之间的共同遗传关联:孟德尔随机化生物信息学分析的见解
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200514
Kang Yuan , Xianshu Huo , Mengdi Xie , Huaiming Wang , Siyu Sun , Kejia Deng , Rui Liu , Xinfeng Liu
The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a risk assessment score to predict cardio-embolic stroke (CES), suggesting shared genetic susceptibility. This study aimed to explore the shared genetic association of genetically predicted CHA2DS2-VASc score and CES using multiple analytic frameworks. We conducted a comprehensive analysis of genetic data from 13 traits of CHA2DS2-VASc score and CES using summary statistics from large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS). We employed statistical methods such as linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC), cross-trait analysis, bidirectional Mendelian randomization, colocalization analysis and gene-based association analysis to explore genetic correlations and identify pleiotropic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and shared genes. LDSC and Mendelian randomization analysis revealed a significant genetic correlation between CHA2DS2-VASc score and CES. Cross-trait and colocalization analysis identified 9 potential loci and 13 significant independent SNPs. Gene-based association analysis reported 9 genes significant across at least three methods, with IL6R being the shared gene identified by all four methods, highlighting potential shared biological mechanisms involving immune responses and inflammatory activities. In conclusion, our study revealed shared genetic associations between the genetically predicted CHA2DS2-VASc score and CES, which was supported by causal relationship, shared loci, and genetic correlation analyses.
CHA2DS2-VASc评分是预测心源性卒中(CES)的风险评估评分,提示有共同的遗传易感性。本研究旨在通过多种分析框架探讨遗传预测CHA2DS2-VASc评分与CES之间的共同遗传关联。我们利用大规模全基因组关联研究(GWAS)的汇总统计数据,对CHA2DS2-VASc评分和CES的13个性状的遗传数据进行了综合分析。采用连锁不平衡评分回归(LDSC)、交叉性状分析、双向孟德尔随机化、共定位分析和基于基因的关联分析等统计方法探讨遗传相关性,鉴定多效单核苷酸多态性(snp)和共享基因。LDSC和孟德尔随机化分析显示,CHA2DS2-VASc评分与CES具有显著的遗传相关性。交叉性状和共定位分析鉴定出9个潜在位点和13个显著的独立snp。基于基因的关联分析报告了9个基因在至少三种方法中具有显著性,其中IL6R是所有四种方法鉴定的共享基因,突出了涉及免疫反应和炎症活动的潜在共享生物学机制。总之,我们的研究揭示了基因预测的CHA2DS2-VASc评分与CES之间存在共同的遗传关联,这得到了因果关系、共享位点和遗传相关分析的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing cardiovascular risk prediction in Asian populations: A machine learning approach integrated with digital health platforms 加强亚洲人群心血管风险预测:与数字健康平台集成的机器学习方法
IF 2.1 Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200509
Sazzli Kasim , Putri Nur Fatin Amir Rudin , Xue Ning Kiew , Nurulain Ibrahim , Nafiza Mat Nasir , Lim Bing Feng , Hanis Hamidi , Khairul Shafiq Ibrahim , Raja Ezman Raja Shariff , Suraya Abdul-Razak , Kazuaki Negishi , Sorayya Malek

Objectives

This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML)–based model for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction in a Malaysian cohort representative of the Southeast Asian population.

Methods

Data from the Responding to Increasing Cardiovascular Disease Prevalence (REDISCOVER) Study, including 10,044 participants, were analyzed, with 4,299 cases retained after exclusions. The dataset was split into training (70 %) and validation (30 %) subsets. Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models were developed using feature selection techniques such as recursive feature elimination (RFE) and sequential backward elimination (SBE). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, calibration, and Net Reclassification Index (NRI).

Findings

Among the models evaluated, the SVM model with SBE-selected features performed best, achieving an AUC of 0.800. This was higher than the Framingham Risk Score (FRS; AUC = 0.693), Revised Pooled Cohort Equations (RPCE; AUC = 0.744), and WHO CVD charts (AUC = 0.741). NRI analysis showed significant improvements compared to FRS and RPCE (17.29 % and 14.23 %, respectively; p < 0.00001). Calibration analyses indicated initial overprediction by ML models, which was mitigated by Platt scaling.

Conclusion

ML-based models incorporating regionally relevant variables demonstrated improved discrimination and reclassification compared with conventional risk scores in this Malaysian cohort. Further external validation is needed to establish their utility across broader Southeast Asian populations.
本研究旨在开发和验证一种基于机器学习(ML)的模型,用于预测东南亚人群中具有代表性的马来西亚队列的心血管疾病(CVD)风险。方法分析来自心血管疾病患病率增加(REDISCOVER)研究的数据,包括10,044名参与者,排除后保留4,299例。数据集被分成训练子集(70%)和验证子集(30%)。利用递归特征消除(RFE)和顺序向后消除(SBE)等特征选择技术,开发了逻辑回归(LR)、随机森林(RF)和支持向量机(SVM)模型。使用曲线下面积(AUC)、灵敏度、特异性、校准和净再分类指数(NRI)来评估模型的性能。在评估的模型中,sbe选择特征的SVM模型表现最好,AUC为0.800。这高于Framingham风险评分(FRS; AUC = 0.693)、修订合并队列方程(RPCE; AUC = 0.744)和WHO心血管疾病图表(AUC = 0.741)。与FRS和RPCE相比,NRI分析显示显著改善(分别为17.29%和14.23%;p < 0.00001)。校准分析表明ML模型最初的过度预测,这是通过普拉特缩放来缓解的。结论:在这个马来西亚队列中,与传统风险评分相比,纳入区域相关变量的基于ml的模型显示出更好的区分和重新分类。需要进一步的外部验证来确定它们在更广泛的东南亚人群中的效用。
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期刊
International Journal of Cardiology Cardiovascular Risk and Prevention
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