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Externalities across advertising markets 广告市场的外部性
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2022.2099875
Rémi Devaux, Olivier Bomsel
ABSTRACT This paper analyzes externalities generated by offline advertising campaigns on the performance of online ads. Using advertising data on a panel of firms in the hotel industry, we estimate how a firm’s offline, display, and competing ad campaigns impact the effectiveness of Google and Facebook advertising. We find a positive effect of traditional mass-media campaigns on Google clicks. Advertising from competitors does not affect Google ad performance but it increases advertising prices, suggesting keyword poaching. Further analyses hint that Google’s monopoly power and auction system allow free-riding on advertising externalities. Although we find similar positive effects on Facebook ads, they are not significant.
本文分析了线下广告活动对在线广告效果产生的外部性。利用一组酒店行业公司的广告数据,我们估计了一家公司的线下、展示和竞争广告活动如何影响b谷歌和Facebook广告的效果。我们发现传统的大众媒体活动对谷歌点击有积极的影响。来自竞争对手的广告不会影响b谷歌的广告效果,但会提高广告价格,表明关键词挖角。进一步的分析表明,b谷歌的垄断力量和拍卖系统允许免费搭乘广告外部性。虽然我们发现Facebook广告也有类似的积极影响,但效果并不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing prerelease consumer buzz and information cascades within the film industry: are there differences by gender and age groups? 分析电影行业内上映前的消费者嗡嗡声和信息级联:性别和年龄群体是否存在差异?
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2022.2074025
Sofia Izquierdo-Sanchez, A. Shaw
ABSTRACT The concept of prerelease consumer buzz (PRCB) is a relatively new phenomenon. It is the excitement generated by consumers in anticipation of a forthcoming new product, film, song, or play. The PRCB is closely associated with information cascades because the buzz generated can be a mechanism for driving consumers to experience the said new product. Earlier research has called for scholars to test the pervasiveness of the concept, but there is also concern that current studies only adopt a national overview. We have addressed these concerns using a large original dataset, collected weekly for approximately 1 year. We analyze the determinants of information cascades and PRCB by considering films premiered in the USA and the UK. More specifically, we examine online user ratings by differing demographic clusters of the population (by sex and age) and through the qualitative characteristics of films (i.e., genre). Our results demonstrate that males between the ages of 18–29-years are more compliant to information cascades and expert reviewers are more likely to instigate herding behavior.
摘要预发布消费者热议(PRCB)是一个相对较新的现象。它是消费者对即将推出的新产品、电影、歌曲或戏剧的期待所产生的兴奋。PRCB与信息级联密切相关,因为产生的嗡嗡声可以成为驱使消费者体验所述新产品的机制。早期的研究呼吁学者们测试这一概念的普遍性,但也有人担心目前的研究只采用了全国性的概述。我们使用了一个大型原始数据集来解决这些问题,该数据集每周收集一次,为期约1年。我们通过考虑在美国和英国首映的电影来分析信息级联和PRCB的决定因素。更具体地说,我们通过不同的人口统计集群(按性别和年龄)和电影的质量特征(即类型)来检查在线用户评级。我们的研究结果表明,18-29岁的男性更容易接受信息级联,专家评审员更有可能煽动羊群行为。
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引用次数: 1
Predicting movie revenue before committing significant investments 在进行重大投资前预测电影收入
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2022.2066108
Chiranjib Paul, P. Das
ABSTRACT A movie originates at the development stage when investors evaluate multiple scripts, attach key cast and crew, and shape the budget. Investors prefer to consider various scenarios before committing a large sum of money when selecting the key cast and crew. An accurate revenue prediction at this early stage reduces the risk of investment. We use a little information available at the early stage to predict movie revenue to enhance potential investors’ decision-making before greenlighting the project. In this study, we develop a movie revenue prediction model using multiple predictors, which are essentially based on key cast and crew, the storyline (movie genre), and the distinctive characteristics of the movie, which are available at the development stage. Our study applies multiple machine learning algorithms to predict movie revenue and demonstrates significant improvement over traditional statistical regression methods. The most accurate machine learning algorithm reduces the forecast error of total and opening-week box office revenue by 10.02% and 9.20%, respectively, over the benchmark multivariate linear regression method. Our results exhibit that including a movie’s distinctive characteristics reduces the average forecast error of total and opening-week box office revenue across all algorithms by 9.22% and 8.43%, respectively.
摘要一部电影起源于发展阶段,投资者评估多个剧本,确定关键演员和工作人员,并制定预算。在选择关键演员和工作人员时,投资者更喜欢在投入大笔资金之前考虑各种场景。在这个早期阶段准确的收入预测可以降低投资风险。我们使用早期可用的一些信息来预测电影收入,以增强潜在投资者在项目批准前的决策能力。在这项研究中,我们使用多个预测因子开发了一个电影收入预测模型,这些预测因子基本上是基于关键演员和工作人员、故事情节(电影类型)和电影在开发阶段的独特特征。我们的研究应用了多种机器学习算法来预测电影收入,并证明了与传统统计回归方法相比的显著改进。与基准多元线性回归方法相比,最准确的机器学习算法将总票房和首映周票房收入的预测误差分别降低了10.02%和9.20%。我们的研究结果表明,包括电影的独特特征在内,所有算法的总票房和首映周票房收入的平均预测误差分别降低了9.22%和8.43%。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of protectionism on cultural industries: the effect of China’s film policies on imported films 保护主义对文化产业的影响:中国电影政策对进口电影的影响
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2022.2074024
Jimmyn Parc, P. Messerlin, Kyuchan Kim
ABSTRACT Hollywood studios have actively sought to export more films to China in order to benefit from its huge film market. Facing this expansion, the Chinese government has introduced quotas in order to restrict the market access of foreign films while protecting its domestic film industry and preserving Chinese values. Nonetheless, this protectionism has brought about an unexpected effect; a limited number of Hollywood films in China have been able to attract large audiences and even exert a strong influence upon society. This paper examines how this paradox has been possible. First, it compares the level of China’s overall protectionism with other countries. Second, China’s two main policy instruments in the domestic market are scrutinized: import quota (buy-out and revenue-sharing models) and screen quota. In revealing their true effects, this paper demonstrates that these instruments of protection have produced unexpected negative business practices that foster rather favorable conditions for US films in China which is contrary to what the Chinese government is seeking to achieve.
摘要好莱坞电影公司积极寻求向中国出口更多的电影,以从中国庞大的电影市场中获益。面对这种扩张,中国政府引入了配额制,以限制外国电影的市场准入,同时保护本国电影业并维护中国的价值观。尽管如此,这种保护主义带来了意想不到的效果;在中国,数量有限的好莱坞电影能够吸引大量观众,甚至对社会产生强大影响。本文探讨了这种悖论是如何产生的。首先,它比较了中国与其他国家的整体保护主义水平。其次,中国在国内市场的两个主要政策工具被仔细审查:进口配额(收购和收入共享模式)和筛选配额。在揭示其真实效果时,本文表明,这些保护手段产生了意想不到的负面商业行为,为美国电影在中国创造了相当有利的条件,这与中国政府寻求实现的目标背道而驰。
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引用次数: 0
Free lunch for all? – A path analysis on free mentality, paying intent and media budget for digital journalism 免费午餐?——数字新闻的自由心态、付费意向和媒体预算路径分析
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2022.2060241
Daniel O'Brien
ABSTRACT The advertising-based business model of journalism is under massive economic pressure. Thus, paid online content is becoming increasingly important for publishers. However, most consumers refuse to pay for online content at all. “Free mentality,” the consumer’s aversion to accept any price point other than zero, is discussed as one major reason. This paper is the first to empirically examine whether free mentality is associated with a reluctance to pay for online news. For this purpose, data of a comprehensive user survey in Germany (n = 1,004) was analyzed via ordered probit models and path analysis. Additionally, moderating effects with regards to free mentality and perceived value were examined. Results confirm low paying intent in the public and the role of free mentality therein. Beyond, free mentality significantly moderates the effect of perceived value on paying intent. The ideal of the Internet as disseminator of free ideas has a strong indirect effect on paying intent. Additionally, mandatory public service media fees in Germany pose another possible context-dependent rationale. This implies that the audience tends to perceive generic online goods akin to public goods. Thus, publishers must focus on the paying minority and the creation of added value via sufficient differentiation.
以广告为基础的新闻商业模式正面临着巨大的经济压力。因此,付费在线内容对出版商来说变得越来越重要。然而,大多数消费者根本拒绝为在线内容付费。“免费心态”,即消费者不愿意接受除零以外的任何价格点,被认为是一个主要原因。这篇论文是第一个实证研究自由心态是否与不愿为在线新闻付费有关。为此,通过有序probit模型和路径分析,对德国一项综合用户调查(n = 1004)的数据进行了分析。此外,我们还研究了自由心态和感知价值的调节效应。结果证实了公众的低薪意愿和自由心态在其中的作用。此外,自由心态显著调节了感知价值对付费意图的影响。互联网作为自由思想的传播者的理想对付费意图有很强的间接影响。此外,德国的强制性公共服务媒体费用可能是另一种情境相关的理由。这意味着用户倾向于将一般的在线商品视为公共产品。因此,发行商必须专注于少数付费用户,并通过差异化创造附加价值。
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引用次数: 6
Understanding mediators in location-based mobile marketing and why commuting hubs are so effective—a mediation analysis of a randomized field experiment 理解基于位置的移动营销中的中介以及为什么通勤中心如此有效——一个随机现场实验的中介分析
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2022.2049280
Patrick Felka, Cristina A. Mihale-Wilson, O. Hinz
ABSTRACT Due to its inexpensiveness, speed of implementation and adaptation, push location-based mobile advertising (LBMA) can constitute a powerful, cost-effective marketing tool. Thus, in theory, LBMA bears considerable potential for conducting effective marketing campaigns. However, in reality, to tap into this potential, practitioners, and academics must first understand how targeting strategies, and in particular spatial targeting – determine LBMA’s success rates. While the role of location for the effectiveness of LBMA is well understood, the underlying mechanisms through which location can influence LBMA redemption rates remain widely unexplored. Based on a field experiment with same-day LBMA coupons, this study extends the existing research and shows that location determines LBMA redemption rates via a cognitive and affective component of consumers’ ad perception. Further, this study shows that surprisingly, and contrary to the prevailing mantra that location congruency yields the best LBMA redemption rates, commuting hubs are an appealing alternative to location congruent LBMA.
基于位置的移动推送广告(LBMA)具有成本低廉、实施速度快、适应性强等特点,是一种功能强大、性价比高的营销手段。因此,从理论上讲,LBMA在开展有效的营销活动方面具有相当大的潜力。然而,在现实中,为了挖掘这一潜力,从业者和学者必须首先了解定位策略,特别是空间定位,如何决定LBMA的成功率。虽然位置对LBMA有效性的作用已被充分理解,但位置影响LBMA赎回率的潜在机制仍未被广泛探索。本研究基于当日LBMA优惠券的实地实验,扩展了已有的研究,表明位置通过消费者广告感知的认知和情感成分决定LBMA兑换率。此外,这项研究令人惊讶地表明,与位置一致性产生最佳LBMA赎回率的流行说法相反,通勤中心是位置一致性LBMA的一个有吸引力的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
Violent Video Games and Crime 暴力电子游戏与犯罪
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2021.2008409
Joost Impink, P. Kielty, Han Stice, Roger White
ABSTRACT This study examines the change in crime observed in the weeks following the release (exogenous shocks to video game play) of top-selling video games between 2006 and 2011. We find that the release of violent (Mature-rated) video games is associated with an increase in overall crime in the weeks following release. Crime increases for both youth and adults following blockbuster Mature-rated releases, but the increase in crime among youth is approximately four times greater (8%) than the increase among adults (2%). Conversely, we find that the release of best-selling nonviolent (Everyone-rated) video games is not associated with a change in crime in the weeks directly following the release. Our results suggest that the release of violent video games increases crime in the United States, at least in the short-term, especially among the under-17 population for whom Mature-rated games are explicitly labeled as not “suitable.” Interestingly, our results are completely moderated in U.S. counties that forbid alcohol sales, which suggests that alcohol is a necessary channel through which exposure to violent video games contributes to crime.
摘要本研究考察了2006年至2011年间畅销电子游戏发布后几周内犯罪率的变化。我们发现,暴力(成熟级)电子游戏的发布与发布后几周内整体犯罪率的增加有关。大片《成熟》上映后,青少年和成年人的犯罪率都有所上升,但青少年犯罪率的上升幅度(8%)大约是成年人犯罪率上升幅度(2%)的四倍。相反,我们发现最畅销的非暴力(Everyone分级)电子游戏的发布与发布后几周内犯罪率的变化无关。我们的研究结果表明,暴力视频游戏的发布增加了美国的犯罪率,至少在短期内是这样,尤其是在17岁以下的人群中,成熟级游戏被明确标记为不“适合”。有趣的是,我们的研究结果在禁止酒类销售的美国县完全得到了控制,这表明酒精是接触暴力电子游戏导致犯罪的必要渠道。
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引用次数: 1
Cultural dimensions of online vs. offline media competition: an application of niche theory 线上与线下媒体竞争的文化维度:小众理论的应用
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2021.1918698
Sung Wook Ji, Junwon Lee
ABSTRACT Using 50 countries’ media-market panel data from 2012 to 2016, this study examines changes in the global media industry caused by the development of the Internet and assesses the influence of cultural factors on these changes. In the light of niche theory, an analytical method of measuring the competition among media, this study analyzes gradual changes in the online and offline media markets. By using Hofstede’s cultural dimensions as a lens for analyzing cultural factors affecting Internet displacement effects, this study finds that culture is one of the critical factors affecting online vs. offline competition.
摘要本研究利用2012-2016年50个国家的媒体市场面板数据,考察了互联网发展导致的全球媒体行业的变化,并评估了文化因素对这些变化的影响。本研究运用小众理论(一种衡量媒体竞争的分析方法),分析了线上和线下媒体市场的渐进变化。本研究以霍夫斯泰德的文化维度为视角,分析了影响网络位移效应的文化因素,发现文化是影响线上线下竞争的关键因素之一。
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引用次数: 0
Media corruption perceptions and US foreign direct investment 媒体腐败观念与美国外国直接投资
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2021.1906689
Mohammad Refakar, Jean-Pierre Gueyié
ABSTRACT Media play an important role in shaping people’s beliefs and ideas. More specifically, media have a great influence on what we think about foreign countries. The media influence the way a country’s citizens view the people and governments of other countries and shape our image of them. All types of articles about foreign countries are covered in the media. Investors looking to invest abroad certainly pay attention to what is reported in the media about corruption in other countries. Since corruption plays a huge role in investment decisions, this paper investigates the role of corruption coverage in Wall Street journal on US foreign direct investment outflows. We find that an abundance of corruption stories about a specific country in The Wall Street Journal can demotivate investors and reduce the amount of US foreign direct investment outflows to that country.
摘要媒体在塑造人们的信仰和观念方面发挥着重要作用。更具体地说,媒体对我们对外国的看法有很大的影响。媒体影响一个国家公民看待其他国家人民和政府的方式,并塑造我们对他们的形象。关于外国的各种文章都被媒体报道了。希望在国外投资的投资者肯定会关注媒体对其他国家腐败的报道。鉴于腐败在投资决策中发挥着巨大作用,本文研究了《华尔街日报》的腐败报道对美国外国直接投资外流的影响。我们发现,《华尔街日报》上大量关于某个特定国家的腐败报道会削弱投资者的积极性,并减少美国对该国的外国直接投资外流。
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引用次数: 0
Packaging deals in the entertainment industry: a bargaining approach 娱乐业的包装交易:一种讨价还价的方法
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q4 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/08997764.2021.1922836
Thomas J. Miceli
ABSTRACT Creation of a television or movie project requires the bundling of inputs – writers, actors, directors – into a coherent package that can be produced and distributed. Traditionally this bundling was done by studios, which then negotiated compensation deals with input suppliers via their agents. However, large talent agencies have increasingly engaged in the practice of “packaging,” which involves creating vehicles for their clients and selling the bundled projects to studios. The union for screenwriters has challenged this activity as constituting an unfair business practice, arguing that it creates a conflict of interest on the part of agencies. This paper evaluates this claim in a bargaining framework with transaction-specific investments and a possible holdup problem.
摘要电视或电影项目的创作需要将编剧、演员、导演等投入捆绑在一个可以制作和分发的连贯包中。传统上,这种捆绑是由工作室完成的,然后工作室通过其代理与投入供应商协商补偿协议。然而,大型人才中介越来越多地从事“打包”实践,包括为客户创建工具,并将捆绑项目出售给工作室。编剧工会质疑这一活动构成了不公平的商业行为,认为这会造成经纪公司的利益冲突。本文在具有特定交易投资和可能的滞留问题的谈判框架中评估了这一主张。
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引用次数: 0
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JOURNAL OF MEDIA ECONOMICS
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