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Predicting declining and growing occupations using supervised machine learning 使用监督式机器学习预测衰退和增长的职业
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00211-0
Christelle Khalaf, G. Michaud, G. J. Jolley
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引用次数: 1
Centre assessment grades in 2020: a natural experiment for investigating bias in teacher judgements. 2020年中心评估成绩:调查教师判断中的偏见的自然实验。
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00206-x
Louis Magowan

The COVID-19 pandemic meant that, in 2020, students in England were unable to sit their examinations and instead received predicted grades, or "centre assessment grades" (CAGs), from their teachers to allow them to progress. Using the Grading and Admissions Data for England (GRADE) dataset for students from 2018 to 2020, this study treats the use of CAGs as a natural experiment for causally understanding how teacher judgements of academic ability may be biased according to the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of their students. A variety of machine learning models were trained on the 2018-19 data and then used to generate predictions for what the 2020 students were likely to have received had their examinations taken place as usual. The differences between these predictions and the CAGs that students received were calculated and then averaged across students' different characteristics, revealing what the treatment effects of the use of CAGs were likely to have been for different types of students. No evidence of absolute negative bias against students of any demographic or socio-economic characteristic was found, with all groups of students having received higher CAGs than the grades they were likely to have received had they sat their examinations. Some evidence for relative bias was found, with consistent, but insubstantial differences being observed in the treatment effects of certain groups. However, when higher-order interactions of student characteristics were considered, these differences became more substantial. Intersectional perspectives which emphasise interactions and sub-group differences should be used more widely within quantitative educational equalities research.

新冠肺炎大流行意味着,2020年,英格兰的学生无法参加考试,而是从老师那里获得了预测成绩或“中心评估成绩”(CAG),以使他们取得进步。本研究使用2018年至2020年英国学生的评分和录取数据(GRADE)数据集,将CAG的使用视为一项自然实验,以因果地理解教师对学术能力的判断如何根据学生的人口统计和社会经济特征而产生偏差。根据2018-19年的数据训练了各种机器学习模型,然后用于预测2020年学生在照常考试的情况下可能会得到什么。计算这些预测与学生获得的CAG之间的差异,然后根据学生的不同特征进行平均,揭示了使用CAG对不同类型学生的治疗效果。没有发现任何证据表明对任何人口统计学或社会经济特征的学生存在绝对的负面偏见,所有学生群体的CAG都高于他们参加考试时可能获得的成绩。发现了一些相对偏倚的证据,在某些组的治疗效果上观察到了一致但没有实质性的差异。然而,当考虑到学生特征的高阶相互作用时,这些差异变得更加显著。强调互动和亚群体差异的跨部门视角应在定量教育平等研究中得到更广泛的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Framing climate change in Nature and Science editorials: applications of supervised and unsupervised text categorization 《自然》和《科学》社论中的气候变化框架:监督和非监督文本分类的应用
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00199-7
Manfred Stede, Yannic Bracke, Luka Borec, Neele Charlotte Kinkel, Maria Skeppstedt
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引用次数: 0
You are how (and where) you search? Comparative analysis of web search behavior using web tracking data. 你是如何(在哪里)搜索的?使用网络跟踪数据对网络搜索行为进行比较分析。
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-05-03 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00208-9
Aleksandra Urman, Mykola Makhortykh

In this article, we conduct a comparative analysis of web search behaviors in Switzerland and Germany. For this aim, we rely on a combination of web tracking data and survey data collected over a period of 2 months from users in Germany (n = 558) and Switzerland (n = 563). We find that web search accounts for 13% of all desktop browsing, with the share being higher in Switzerland than in Germany. In over 50% of cases users clicked on the first search result, with over 97% of all clicks being made on the first page of search outputs. Most users rely on Google when conducting searches, with some differences observed in users' preferences for other engines across demographic groups. Further, we observe differences in the temporal patterns of web search use between women and men, marking the necessity of disaggregating data by gender in observational studies regarding online information seeking behaviors. Our findings highlight the contextual differences in web search behavior across countries and demographic groups that should be taken into account when examining search behavior and the potential effects of web search result quality on societies and individuals.

在这篇文章中,我们对瑞士和德国的网络搜索行为进行了比较分析。为此,我们结合了网络跟踪数据和在2个月内从德国用户那里收集的调查数据(n = 558)和瑞士(n = 563)。我们发现,网络搜索占所有桌面浏览的13%,瑞士的比例高于德国。在超过50%的情况下,用户点击了第一个搜索结果,超过97%的点击是在搜索输出的第一页上进行的。大多数用户在进行搜索时都依赖谷歌,不同人口群体的用户对其他引擎的偏好存在一些差异。此外,我们观察到女性和男性在网络搜索使用的时间模式上存在差异,这表明在关于在线信息寻求行为的观察性研究中,有必要按性别分类数据。我们的研究结果强调了不同国家和人口群体的网络搜索行为的背景差异,在研究搜索行为以及网络搜索结果质量对社会和个人的潜在影响时,应该考虑这些差异。
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引用次数: 4
Computational approach to studying media coverage of organizations 研究组织媒体报道的计算方法
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00204-z
Hyunsun Kim-Hahm
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引用次数: 0
Predicting perceived ethnicity with data on personal names in Russia 用人名数据预测俄罗斯人的种族认知
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00205-y
Alexey Bessudnov, Denis Tarasov, Viacheslav Panasovets, V. Kostenko, I. Smirnov, V. Uspenskiy
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引用次数: 1
COCO: an annotated Twitter dataset of COVID-19 conspiracy theories. COCO:新冠肺炎阴谋论的注释推特数据集。
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00200-3
Johannes Langguth, Daniel Thilo Schroeder, Petra Filkuková, Stefan Brenner, Jesper Phillips, Konstantin Pogorelov

The COVID-19 pandemic has been accompanied by a surge of misinformation on social media which covered a wide range of different topics and contained many competing narratives, including conspiracy theories. To study such conspiracy theories, we created a dataset of 3495 tweets with manual labeling of the stance of each tweet w.r.t. 12 different conspiracy topics. The dataset thus contains almost 42,000 labels, each of which determined by majority among three expert annotators. The dataset was selected from COVID-19 related Twitter data spanning from January 2020 to June 2021 using a list of 54 keywords. The dataset can be used to train machine learning based classifiers for both stance and topic detection, either individually or simultaneously. BERT was used successfully for the combined task. The dataset can also be used to further study the prevalence of different conspiracy narratives. To this end we qualitatively analyze the tweets, discussing the structure of conspiracy narratives that are frequently found in the dataset. Furthermore, we illustrate the interconnection between the conspiracy categories as well as the keywords.

新冠肺炎大流行期间,社交媒体上的错误信息激增,涵盖了广泛的不同话题,并包含了许多相互竞争的叙述,包括阴谋论。为了研究这些阴谋论,我们创建了一个由3495条推文组成的数据集,其中手动标记了每条推文的立场,涉及12个不同的阴谋主题。因此,该数据集包含近42000个标签,每个标签由三位专家注释者中的大多数决定。该数据集是从2020年1月至2021年6月的新冠肺炎相关推特数据中选择的,使用了54个关键词。该数据集可用于单独或同时训练基于机器学习的分类器,用于立场和主题检测。BERT已成功用于组合任务。该数据集还可用于进一步研究不同阴谋叙事的流行情况。为此,我们对推文进行了定性分析,讨论了数据集中经常出现的阴谋叙事的结构。此外,我们还说明了阴谋类别和关键词之间的相互联系。
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引用次数: 1
Perception of COVID-19 vaccination among Indian Twitter users: computational approach. 印度推特用户对新冠肺炎疫苗接种的认知:计算方法。
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-03-28 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00203-0
Prateeksha Dawn Davidson, Thanujah Muniandy, Dhivya Karmegam

Vaccination has been a hot topic in the present COVID-19 context. The government, public health stakeholders and media are all concerned about how to get the people vaccinated. The study was intended to explore the perception and emotions of the Indians citizens toward COVID-19 vaccine from Twitter messages. The tweets were collected for the period of 6 months, from mid-January to June, 2021 using hash-tags and keywords specific to India. Topics and emotions from the tweets were extracted using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) method and National Research Council (NRC) Lexicon, respectively. Theme, sentiment and emotion wise engagement and reachability metrics were assessed. Hash-tag frequency of COVID-19 vaccine brands were also identified and evaluated. Information regarding 'Co-WIN app and availability of vaccine' was widely discussed and also received highest engagement and reachability among Twitter users. Among the various emotions, trust was expressed the most, which highlights the acceptance of vaccines among the Indian citizens. The hash-tags frequency of vaccine brands shows that Covishield was popular in the month of March 2021, and Covaxin in April 2021. The results from the study will help stakeholders to efficiently use social media to disseminate COVID-19 vaccine information on popular concerns. This in turn will encourage citizens to be vaccinated and achieve herd immunity. Similar methodology can be adopted in future to understand the perceptions and concerns of people in emergency situations.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42001-023-00203-0.

在当前新冠肺炎背景下,疫苗接种一直是一个热门话题。政府、公共卫生利益相关者和媒体都关心如何让人们接种疫苗。这项研究旨在从推特消息中探究印度公民对新冠肺炎疫苗的看法和情绪。这些推文是在2021年1月中旬至6月的6个月内使用印度特有的哈希标签和关键词收集的。推文中的主题和情感分别使用潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)方法和国家研究委员会(NRC)词典提取。评估了主题、情感和情感方面的参与度和可达性指标。还对新冠肺炎疫苗品牌的哈希标签频率进行了识别和评估。关于“Co-WIN应用程序和疫苗可用性”的信息被广泛讨论,推特用户的参与度和可及性也最高。在各种情绪中,信任表达得最多,这突出了印度公民对疫苗的接受程度。疫苗品牌的哈希标签频率显示,Covishield在2021年3月流行,Covaxin在2021年4月流行。该研究的结果将有助于利益相关者有效利用社交媒体传播有关公众关注的新冠肺炎疫苗信息。这反过来将鼓励公民接种疫苗并实现群体免疫。未来可以采用类似的方法来了解紧急情况下人们的看法和担忧。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,网址为10.1007/s42001-023-00203-0。
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引用次数: 2
Geo-sentiment trends analysis of tweets in context of economy and employment during COVID-19. 2019冠状病毒病期间经济和就业背景下推文地缘情绪趋势分析
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00201-2
Narendranath Sukhavasi, Janardan Misra, Vikrant Kaulgud, Sanjay Podder

To effectively design policies and implement measures for addressing problems faced by people during these difficult times of pandemic, it is critical to have a clear vision of the problems people are freely talking about. One of the ways is to analyze social media feeds e.g., tweets, which has become one of the primary ways people express their views on various socioeconomic issues and on-ground effectiveness of measures adopted to address these issues. In this work, we attempt to uncover various socioeconomic issues, which are giving rise to negative and positive sentiments and their trends across geographies over a course of one year of the pandemic. We also try identifying similarities and differences in opinions as they vary across gender as the time passes through the crisis. Many previous works have analyzed sentiments in context of vaccines, fatalities, and lockdowns; however, socioeconomic issues did not receive full attention. We found that sentiments of people with respect to economy are negative across geographies during starting of pandemic. Thereafter, gradually sentiments lift towards positive direction reflecting a sense of improvement in situation. Females appeared to have slightly different concerns and hopes in comparison to males and especially across globe people expressed positive sentiments during new year time. Finally, this work, together with many other similar works on social media analysis gives ground for wide scale adoption of geo-temporal sentiments trend analysis of social media as a tool for uncovering key concerns and effectiveness of measures.

为了有效地制定政策和实施措施,解决人们在大流行的困难时期面临的问题,必须清楚地认识到人们自由谈论的问题。其中一种方法是分析社交媒体feed,例如tweets,这已经成为人们表达他们对各种社会经济问题和解决这些问题所采取措施的实际有效性的观点的主要方式之一。在这项工作中,我们试图揭示各种社会经济问题,这些问题在一年的大流行期间引起了不同地区的消极和积极情绪及其趋势。我们也试着找出在危机中不同性别观点的异同点。许多先前的作品分析了疫苗、死亡和封锁背景下的情绪;然而,社会经济问题没有得到充分重视。我们发现,在大流行开始期间,各个地区的人们对经济的看法都是消极的。此后,情绪逐渐向积极的方向提升,反映出情况的改善。与男性相比,女性的担忧和希望似乎略有不同,尤其是在全球范围内,人们在新年期间表达了积极的情绪。最后,这项工作与许多其他关于社交媒体分析的类似工作一起,为广泛采用社交媒体的时空情绪趋势分析作为揭示关键问题和措施有效性的工具奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating machine learning in dispute resolution and settlement process for financial fraud 将机器学习纳入金融欺诈纠纷解决和结算过程
IF 3.2 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-023-00202-1
M. Lokanan
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Computational Social Science
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