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Efficacy of calf:cow ratios for estimating calf production of arctic caribou 小牛的功效:估算北极驯鹿小牛产量的牛比
Pub Date : 2013-04-15 DOI: 10.7557/2.33.2.2527
R. Cameron, B. Griffith, L. S. Parrett, R. White
Caribou (Rangifer tarandus granti) calf:cow ratios (CCR) computed from composition counts obtained on arctic calving grounds are biased estimators of net calf production (NCP, the product of parturition rate and early calf survival) for sexually-mature females. Sexually-immature 2-year-old females, which are indistinguishable from sexually-mature females without calves, are included in the denominator, thereby biasing the calculated ratio low. This underestimate increases with the proportion of 2-year-old females in the population. We estimated the magnitude of this error with deterministic simulations under three scenarios of calf and yearling annual survival (respectively: low, 60 and 70%; medium, 70 and 80%; high, 80 and 90%) for five levels of unbiased NCP: 20, 40, 60, 80, and 100%. We assumed a survival rate of 90% for both 2-year-old and mature females. For each NCP, we computed numbers of 2-year-old females surviving annually and increased the denominator of CCR accordingly. We then calculated a series of hypothetical “observed” CCRs, which stabilized during the last 6 years of the simulations, and documented the degree to which each 6-year mean CCR differed from the corresponding NCP. For the three calf and yearling survival scenarios, proportional underestimates of NCP by CCR ranged 0.046–0.156, 0.058–0.187, and 0.071–0.216, respectively. Unfortunately, because parturition and survival rates are typically variable (i.e., age distribution is unstable), the magnitude of the error is not predictable without substantial supporting information. We recommend maintaining a sufficient sample of known-age radiocollared females in each herd and implementing a regular relocation schedule during the calving period to obtain unbiased estimates of both parturition rate and NCP.
驯鹿(Rangifer tarandus granti)小牛:根据在北极产犊地获得的成分计数计算出的牛比(CCR)是对性成熟雌性净小牛产量(NCP,分娩率和早期小牛存活率的乘积)的有偏差估计。由于2岁性成熟雌象与性成熟雌象没有幼象的雌象无法区分,因此将其包含在分母中,从而使计算比例偏低。这种低估随着2岁雌性在种群中所占比例的增加而增加。我们通过三种情景下的确定性模拟估计了这一误差的大小:小牛和一岁的年存活率分别为低、60%和70%;中、70、80%;无偏NCP的5个水平分别为:20,40,60,80和100%。我们假设2岁和成熟雌性的存活率为90%。对于每个NCP,我们计算每年2岁雌虫的存活数量,并相应地增加CCR的分母。然后,我们计算了一系列假设的“观察到的”CCR,这些CCR在模拟的最后6年中趋于稳定,并记录了每6年平均CCR与相应的NCP的差异程度。在3种犊牛和幼崽生存情景下,CCR对NCP的比例低估范围分别为0.046 ~ 0.156、0.058 ~ 0.187和0.071 ~ 0.216。不幸的是,由于分娩和存活率通常是可变的(即,年龄分布是不稳定的),如果没有大量的支持信息,误差的大小是无法预测的。我们建议在每个象群中保留足够的已知年龄的戴了放射性项圈的母象样本,并在产犊期间实施定期搬迁计划,以获得对分娩率和新冠肺炎的无偏估计。
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引用次数: 1
Vinterkatastrofer inom renskötseln i Finland: Förluster och deras forebyggande 芬兰驯鹿放牧的冬季灾害:损失及其预防
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.437
Timo Helle
Sarskils uppmarksamhet fasts vid sambandet mellan vinterkatastrofer och betesmarkernas situation, katastrofernas inverkan pa renens populationsdynamik samt de metoder som anvands for att forebygga katatrofer.
Sarski的注意力集中在冬季灾害与牧场状况之间的关系、灾害对驯鹿种群动态的影响以及预防灾害的方法上。
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引用次数: 0
Oversikt over tapene i Norge 看看在挪威的失利。
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.438
Ansgar Kosmo
I Norge har det vaert laget offentlige utredninger om reindriften de siste 100 ar, og av naersagt alle gar det fram at risikoen for tap er store. Vi vet at tapene er store nar forholdene er ugunstige, fremdeles kan vi gjore lite for a hindre det, og fremdeles har vi problemer med a dokumentere dem.
在挪威,在过去的100年里,它一直在对驯鹿进行公开调查,当然,每个人都认为损失的风险很大。我们知道,当关系不受约束时,损失是巨大的,但我们仍然无法阻止它,而且我们在记录它们方面仍然存在问题。
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引用次数: 1
Sykdommer som tapsfaktorer innen reindriften 驯鹿体内的损失因素等疾病
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.441
Knut Kummeneje
Lederen av Statens veterinaere laboratorium for Nord-Norge gjennomgar aktuell statistikk med utgangspunt i forholdene i Vest-Finnmark som han kjenner best.
挪威北部国家兽医实验室负责人正在根据他最了解的西芬马克的关系进行最新统计。
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引用次数: 0
Grupp 1. Hjordsammansättning 第1组。羊群组成
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.451
Martin Wilhelmsson
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引用次数: 0
Gruppe 2. Næringsspørsmål 第2组。处理问题
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.453
Sven Skjenneberg
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引用次数: 0
Renförluster i Sverige. Statistik och ersättningsmetodik 瑞典的清洗损失。统计和报销方法
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.439
Hans Korak
Tabellene og diagrammene er sammenstillinger av tilgjengelig materiale fra flere statlige kilder samt fra forsikringsselskapenes opplysningstjeneste.
这些表格和图表是由几个政府来源的可用材料以及保险公司的信息服务组成的。
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引用次数: 0
Gruppe 4. Foster- og spedkalvdød 第4组。胎儿和胎儿死亡
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-App.456
Knut Kummeneje
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引用次数: 0
Photos of the conference 会议照片
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.460
B. Åhman
Birgitta  Ahman is the photographer of the series of pictures from the conference, also for the cover photo of the full paper edition showing Kongsvold Mountain Hut and Biological Station.
Birgitta Ahman是会议系列照片的摄影师,也是展示Kongsvold山小屋和生物站的完整论文版的封面照片的摄影师。
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引用次数: 0
Deltakerliste - List of participants deltakerlist -参与者列表
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.7557/2.2.1-APP.459
S. Skjenneberg
Fra de nordiske landene deltok det 30 personer tilknyttet forskning, forvaltning, administrasjon og reindriften.
来自北欧国家的30人参与了研究、管理、行政管理和驯鹿饲养。
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引用次数: 0
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Rangifer
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