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Bargaining with Voluntary Transmission of Private Information: An Experimental Analysis of Final Offer Arbitration 私人信息自愿传递的议价:最终报价仲裁的实验分析
Pub Date : 2020-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3635742
Paul Pecorino, Michael Solomon, Mark van Boening
Abstract In Final Offer Arbitration, both parties submit a proposal to an arbitrator. In the event the parties cannot reach a negotiated settlement, the arbitrator chooses the submitted proposal that is closest to her preferred settlement. In such a model, asymmetric information can lead to costly bargaining failure. Voluntary disclosure of private information has the potential to eliminate disputes which would otherwise arise. However, the timing of this information transmission is crucial, because information can be used by the previously uninformed party to submit a superior proposal to the arbitrator. Thus, there is an incentive to conceal information if it is to be revealed prior to the submission of proposals to the arbitrator. However, information transmission should occur if it takes place after the submission of these proposals. In this paper, we test this theory experimentally and find individuals with a strong case reveal their private information in 40% of negotiations when revelation comes prior to the submission of proposals and in 60% of negotiations when revelation comes after the submission of these proposals. Moreover, information disclosure by a party with favorable information increases the rate of settlement as predicted by the theory.
在终局仲裁中,双方向仲裁员提交一份提案。在双方不能达成协商解决的情况下,仲裁员选择最接近其首选解决方案的提交提案。在这样一个模型中,信息不对称可能导致代价高昂的谈判失败。自愿披露私人资料有可能消除否则可能产生的纠纷。然而,这种信息传递的时机是至关重要的,因为信息可以被先前不知情的一方用来向仲裁员提交更好的建议。因此,如果要在向仲裁员提交提案之前披露信息,就会有隐瞒信息的动机。但是,如果在提交这些建议之后进行,则应进行信息传递。在本文中,我们通过实验对这一理论进行了检验,发现在提交提案之前披露信息的谈判中,有40%的谈判个体会披露自己的私人信息,而在提交提案之后披露信息的谈判中,有60%的谈判个体会披露自己的私人信息。而且,正如理论预测的那样,拥有有利信息的一方披露信息会提高结算率。
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引用次数: 2
Moral Character in Negotiation 谈判中的道德品质
Pub Date : 2018-04-16 DOI: 10.5465/AMP.2017.0051
Lily Morse, T. Cohen
In this article, we discuss the role of moral character in negotiation and identify open questions and promising directions for future scholars to explore. We advance research in this area by introducing a dyadic model of moral character in negotiation, which highlights the joint influence of each party’s moral character on negotiation attitudes, motives, and behaviors. We discuss the implications of our model and conclude that personality science, and especially the study of moral character, has great potential to enhance research and practice in negotiations. Our hope is that this work will accelerate theoretical development and empirical studies that address the question of how moral character influences negotiation processes and outcomes—from pre-negotiation (e.g., planning, selecting negotiating partners) to actual bargaining (e.g., bargaining tactics, concessions) and finally, post-negotiation (e.g., deal implementation, long-term consequences, relationship building and maintenance, reputations)—and provide a springboard for future studies on this topic.
在本文中,我们讨论了道德品质在谈判中的作用,并确定了未来学者探索的开放性问题和有希望的方向。我们通过引入谈判中道德品质的二元模型来推进这一领域的研究,该模型突出了各方道德品质对谈判态度、动机和行为的共同影响。我们讨论了我们的模型的含义,并得出结论,人格科学,特别是对道德品质的研究,在加强谈判的研究和实践方面具有巨大的潜力。我们希望这项工作将加速理论发展和实证研究,以解决道德品质如何影响谈判过程和结果的问题-从谈判前(例如,计划,选择谈判伙伴)到实际讨价还价(例如,讨价还价策略,让步),最后,谈判后(例如,交易实施,长期后果,关系的建立和维护,声誉),并为该主题的未来研究提供了一个跳板。
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引用次数: 9
Stabilizing Unstable Outcomes in Prediction Games 稳定预测游戏中的不稳定结果
Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2937290
S. Brams, D. Kilgour
Assume in a 2-person game that one player, Predictor (P), does not have a dominant strategy but can predict with probability p > 1/2 the strategy choice of an opponent, Predictee (Q). Q chooses a strategy that maximizes her expected payoff, given that she knows p—but not P’s prediction—and that P will act according to his prediction. In all 2 2 strict ordinal games in which there is a unique Pareto-inferior Nash equilibrium (Class I) or no pure-strategy equilibrium (Class II), and which also has a Pareto-optimal non-Nash “cooperative outcome,” P can induce this outcome if p is sufficiently high. This scenario helps to explain the observed outcomes of a Class I game modeling the 1962 Cuban missile crisis between the United States and the Soviet Union, and a Class II game modeling the 2015 conflict between Iran and Israel over Iran’s possible development of nuclear weapons.
假设在一个两人博弈中,预测者(P)没有优势策略,但可以预测对手预测者(Q)的策略选择的概率为P / 1/2。Q选择一种策略,使她的预期收益最大化,因为她知道P,但不知道P的预测,并且P将根据他的预测采取行动。在所有22个严格有序博弈中,存在唯一的帕累托劣纳什均衡(第一类)或没有纯策略均衡(第二类),并且也有帕累托最优非纳什“合作结果”,如果P足够高,P可以诱导出这个结果。这一情景有助于解释一级博弈模拟1962年美国和苏联之间的古巴导弹危机的观察结果,以及二级博弈模拟2015年伊朗和以色列之间因伊朗可能发展核武器而发生的冲突的观察结果。
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引用次数: 3
Calming the Waves of Tension: An Assessment and Suggestion to Dynamic Displays Case Study 平息紧张的浪潮:对动态展示案例研究的评价与建议
Pub Date : 2015-11-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2689368
Aeron Zentner
Conflict is a common theme that occurs on a constant basis in all aspects of life and can have negative and positive implications based on the situation. Organizational conflict has been studied throughout the past century and has rendered insight and models to help foster environments to help shift behaviors towards positive outcomes. The following paper examines the case of Dynamic Displays, where the difference of perspective impacted the misuse of power to create an unstable work environment. Additionally, the paper provides suggestion for change through the use of power mechanics to foster more effective interactions.
冲突是一个常见的主题,在生活的各个方面经常发生,根据情况可以产生消极和积极的影响。在过去的一个世纪里,人们一直在研究组织冲突,并提出了一些见解和模型,以帮助营造有助于将行为转变为积极结果的环境。下面的论文检查动态显示的情况下,视角的差异影响滥用权力,创造一个不稳定的工作环境。此外,本文还提供了通过使用权力机制来促进更有效互动的变革建议。
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引用次数: 0
Two-Person Fair Division of Indivisible Items: An Efficient, Envy-Free Algorithm 不可分割物品的二人公平分割:一种高效、无嫉妒的算法
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2274167
S. Brams, D. Kilgour, Christian Klamler
Many procedures have been suggested for the venerable problem of dividing a set of indivisible items between two players. We propose a new algorithm (AL), related to one proposed by Brams and Taylor (BT), which requires only that the players strictly rank items from best to worst. Unlike BT, in which any item named by both players in the same round goes into a “contested pile", AL may reduce, or even eliminate the contested pile, allocating additional or more preferred items to the players. The allocation(s) that AL yields are Pareto-optimal, envy-free, and maximal; as the number of items (assumed even) increases, the probability that AL allocates all the items appears to approach infinity if all possible rankings are equi-probable. Although AL is potentially manipulable, strategizing under it would be difficult in practice.
对于在两个玩家之间分配一组不可分割的物品这一古老的问题,已经提出了许多方法。我们提出了一种新的算法(AL),与Brams和Taylor (BT)提出的算法相关,该算法只要求玩家严格地将项目从最好到最差排序。与BT不同的是,在同一回合中,任何由两个玩家命名的物品都进入“有争议的堆”,ai可以减少甚至消除有争议的堆,分配额外或更多的首选物品给玩家。人工智能产出是帕累托最优、无嫉妒和最大的分配;随着项目数量的增加(假设为偶数),如果所有可能的排名都是等概率的,那么ai分配所有项目的概率似乎接近无穷大。尽管人工智能具有潜在的可操纵性,但在实践中很难制定策略。
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引用次数: 41
Because I Need Somewhere to Vent: The Expression of Conflict through Work Blogs 因为我需要一个发泄的地方:通过工作博客表达冲突
Pub Date : 2008-07-28 DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-005X.2008.00205.x
J. Richards
Employee resistance has traditionally been analysed as an activity that occurs in the work organisation. In recent years, new Internet communication technologies, such as blogs, have expanded the possibilities for employees to express conflict. This paper explores how these developments can add to our understandings of employee resistance to the labour process.
员工反抗传统上被分析为工作组织中发生的一种活动。近年来,新的互联网通信技术,如博客,扩大了员工表达冲突的可能性。本文探讨了这些发展如何增加我们对员工抵抗劳动过程的理解。
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引用次数: 56
Evaluating WTO Dispute Settlement: What Results Have Been Achieved Through Consultations and Implementation of Panel Reports? 评估WTO争端解决:通过磋商和专家组报告的实施取得了哪些成果?
Pub Date : 2005-11-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.863865
W. Davey
This paper examines the operation and accomplishments of two under-studied aspects of the WTO dispute settlement system - the consultation process and the implementation results. After a brief summary of the operation of the WTO dispute settlement system - focusing on consultations and the implementation process - the paper examines in detail the results of consultations and the record on implementation. As part of that examination, it examines various proposals on consultations and implementation that have been made over the years in the ongoing dispute settlement reform negotiations.
本文考察了WTO争端解决机制的两个未被充分研究的方面——磋商过程和实施结果——的运作和成就。本文简要概述了世贸组织争端解决机制的运行情况,重点是磋商和实施过程,然后详细审查了磋商结果和实施记录。作为审查的一部分,它审查了多年来在正在进行的解决争端改革谈判中提出的关于协商和执行的各种建议。
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引用次数: 30
Copying with Bullying as an Intractable Organizational Conflict 复制与欺凌:一种棘手的组织冲突
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1111625
Herminia Munoz-Flores, Lourdes Munduate Jaca, F. Medina, J. Guerra
This study's objective is to approach bullying as an asymmetric and relational conflict. In other words, a conflict where there is a great power imbalance between the affected parties, and where emotional and relational problems exist. First, we analyse the link between relational conflict and bullying, and secondly we try to verify whether the strategies that have shown their worth for handling relational conflict may also be used to cope with bullying. Results show that the presence of high relational conflicts and high positional power are related with the presence of bullying practices. In a similar way to what occurs with management strategies in intractable conflicts, integrating behaviours with the opponent increase practices of workplace bullying, while avoiding behaviours are related to a lower presence of these practices. Findings also confirm that a climate of support within the group is related with a lower presence of bullying practices. The study analyses the implications of these findings for coping with bullying in the organisational setting.
本研究的目的是探讨欺凌作为一种不对称的关系冲突。换句话说,冲突中受影响的各方之间存在巨大的权力不平衡,存在情感和关系问题。首先,我们分析了关系冲突与欺凌之间的联系,其次,我们试图验证在处理关系冲突方面表现出价值的策略是否也可以用于应对欺凌。结果表明,高关系冲突和高职位权力的存在与欺凌行为的存在有关。与棘手冲突中的管理策略类似,将行为与对手整合会增加职场欺凌行为,而避免行为则与这些行为的发生率降低有关。研究结果还证实,群体内的支持氛围与欺凌行为的减少有关。该研究分析了这些发现对在组织环境中应对欺凌的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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