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AARN: State & Non-State Political Organization (Sub-Topic)最新文献

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Blockchains and Extra-Terrestrial Nations: Role of Blockchains in the Socio-Political Milieu of Future Extra-Terrestrial Settlements 区块链和外星国家:区块链在未来外星定居点的社会政治环境中的作用
Pub Date : 2017-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2944541
Kartik Hegadekatti
Humanity is on the cusp of a great wave of space exploration and colonization of Extra-Terrestrial Bodies (ETB). This paper deals with the socio–political issues that may arise between Earth and E.T Settlements and the possible ways to resolve them. Firstly we discuss as to how early maritime explorations compare to present day space voyages. Based on the lessons learnt, we will analyse the socio–political relation between Earth and Extra-Terrestrial Settlements (ETS) and how some possibilities of conflicts can arise. We then evaluate as to how Blockchain systems can potentially keep earth and ETS tethered to each other and provide a way for harmonious co-existence. The paper concludes by summarizing the possible Socio–Political and Economic conflicts between Earth and future ETS and ways to resolve them.
人类正处于太空探索和地外天体(ETB)殖民浪潮的风口浪尖。本文讨论了地球和外星人定居点之间可能出现的社会政治问题以及解决这些问题的可能方法。首先,我们讨论早期的海上探索与今天的太空航行的比较。根据吸取的经验教训,我们将分析地球和地外定居(ETS)之间的社会政治关系,以及如何产生一些冲突的可能性。然后,我们评估区块链系统如何可能使地球和ETS相互联系,并为和谐共存提供一种方式。本文最后总结了地球和未来ETS之间可能发生的社会政治和经济冲突以及解决这些冲突的方法。
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引用次数: 0
EU Policy Impact and Public Perception in the MENA Region 欧盟在中东和北非地区的政策影响和公众认知
Pub Date : 2017-01-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2903487
P. Abbott, A. Teti
This working paper considers relations between the region and the European Union, something on which the ArabTrans survey was specifically designed to offer information. We supplement the ArabTrans survey by drawing on data from Waves II (2010/11) and III (2013) of the Arab Barometer and from the Gallup World Poll for 2011 and 2014. The Report considers what impact the policies pursued by the EU and its member countries have had on the lives of people living in four countries in the region - Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and Tunisia - and how they view the EU and its involvement with their countries. It considers ordinary people’s attitudes to the EU and its policies but also discusses what ordinary people want and the extent to which EU policies address these concerns. In 2010-11 an unprecedented wave of popular protests and demands for regime change spread across the MENA region. In the media and in scholarly literature it was frequently explicitly or implicitly assumed that what people were demanding was Western-style democracy, understood as free and fair elections and the rule of law alone. In the wake of the ‘Arab Spring,’ many called for a ‘paradigm shift’ in the EU’s approach, to place greater priority on encouraging democratic transformations in the region rather than tacitly supporting authoritarian rulers seen as essential bulwarks against instability in the region. However, analysis of EU policy documents published in the wake of the Uprisings shows that in practice it remained much as it had been before 2011. It tends to assume that what the EU has to offer is sufficient to encourage authoritarian rules to undertake democratic reforms, while failing to acknowledge that in the past it has failed to implement conditionality clauses designed to provide incentives for reform, nor had it imposed sanctions for lack of progress on democratisation and recognising human rights. Beyond this the type of economic reforms it is clearly envisaging are the very neo-liberal reforms that created the economic conditions that drove people to revolt in 2011. The EU, along with its allies and the media, continues to misread the causes of the Uprisings as popular demands for liberal democracy rather than as a revolt against the negative social and economic impact of neoliberal economic policies. Public opinion surveys in the region, including the ArabTrans survey, show that people’s priorities were and remain decent jobs, economic security, adequate public services and the rule of law rather than solely the narrowly defined civil and political rights characteristic of ‘democracy promotion’ policies by Western governments. What the people were expressing was deep dissatisfaction with the effects of the economic policies which the EU and its Western allies had encouraged, cajoled and incentivised the MENA countries to implement from the 1980s. Given this context, it is not surprising that the EU is seen by respondents as complicit in creating the very conditions a
这份工作文件考虑了该地区与欧盟之间的关系,这也是ArabTrans调查专门为提供信息而设计的。我们利用阿拉伯晴雨表第二波(2010/11)和第三波(2013)以及盖洛普世界民意调查2011年和2014年的数据补充了ArabTrans调查。该报告考虑了欧盟及其成员国所奉行的政策对该地区四个国家(埃及、约旦、摩洛哥和突尼斯)人民生活的影响,以及他们如何看待欧盟及其与他们国家的关系。它考虑了普通民众对欧盟及其政策的态度,但也讨论了普通民众想要什么以及欧盟政策在多大程度上解决了这些问题。2010年至2011年,前所未有的民众抗议和要求政权更迭的浪潮席卷了中东和北非地区。在媒体和学术文献中,人们经常或明或暗地认为,人们所要求的是西方式的民主,即自由公正的选举和法治。在“阿拉伯之春”之后,许多人呼吁欧盟的做法发生“范式转变”,将鼓励该地区的民主转型置于更加优先的位置,而不是默认支持被视为抵御该地区不稳定的重要堡垒的专制统治者。然而,对起义后公布的欧盟政策文件的分析表明,实际上,它与2011年之前的情况大致相同。它倾向于假设,欧盟所能提供的东西足以鼓励专制政权进行民主改革,同时却没有承认,过去欧盟未能实施旨在为改革提供激励的条件条款,也没有因民主化和承认人权缺乏进展而实施制裁。除此之外,它所设想的经济改革显然是新自由主义改革,正是这种改革创造了经济条件,促使人们在2011年起义。欧盟及其盟友和媒体继续误读起义的原因,认为这是民众对自由民主的要求,而不是对新自由主义经济政策对社会和经济的负面影响的反抗。该地区的民意调查,包括ArabTrans的调查,显示人们最优先考虑的是体面的工作、经济安全、适当的公共服务和法治,而不仅仅是西方政府“民主促进”政策中狭隘定义的公民权利和政治权利。人们所表达的是对经济政策的影响的深切不满,这些政策是欧盟及其西方盟友从20世纪80年代开始鼓励、哄骗和激励中东和北非国家实施的。在这种背景下,欧盟被受访者视为同谋,创造了起义抗议者所反对的条件,也就不足为奇了。欧盟所追求的政策不承认或不适应大众的需求和要求,这可以预见地导致了对欧盟的相当大的幻灭,尤其是对欧盟自称致力于民主的“规范力量”的幻灭。很少有受访者希望欧盟推广其“单薄”的程序性民主,在这种民主中,公民和政治权利与社会和经济权利是分离的。很少有受访者认为欧盟在促进他们国家向民主过渡方面做得很好,也很少有人对欧盟的领导地位有多大兴趣。大多数答复者不知道欧盟实际向他们的国家提供了什么支持,但大多数听说过欧盟方案的人对发展援助持积极态度。但是,它们比较喜欢的发展援助目标是创造就业、经济发展和改善基本服务。
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引用次数: 1
Религиозный Фактор в Геополитике России и Турции На Северном Кавказе (Religious Factor in Geopolitics of Russia and Turkey in the North Caucasus)
Pub Date : 2016-01-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2723068
Фарман Кулиев
Russian Abstract: В статье рассматривается эволюция места религиозного фактора и влияния крупных держав, России и Турции, на внутренние проблемы северокавказского региона начиная с XVIII в. по настоящее время.English Abstract: The article describes the evolution of a place of a religious factor and influence of major powers, Russia and Turkey, on internal problems of the North Caucasian region since XVIII century to the present is considered.
俄文摘要:文章描述了自十八世纪至今宗教因素在北高加索地区的地位演变,以及大国俄罗斯和土耳其对该地区内部问题的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the Irish 'Gay Marriage' Referendum 预测爱尔兰“同性恋婚姻”公投
Pub Date : 2015-10-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2674243
N. Askitas
On February 20 2015 Irish Premier Enda Kenny confirmed that a "yes-no" referendum on same sex marriage would be held on May 22 of the same year. A yes vote would legalise same sex marriage in Ireland. As the Irish premier put it, the vote was about "tolerance, respect and sensitivity". The electoral outcome turned out to be 62.07% for the yes vote with voter turnout at 60.52% of the registered voters. Ireland thus became the first country in the world to legalise same sex marriage through a popular vote. Using hourly Google Search data one week prior to the Irish Referendum of May 22 2015 and a simple ratio of "vote yes" to "vote no" searches I demonstrate how the outcome could have been predicted on the nose. The method is used here successfully for the second time and is so far as I know the only one which forecasts popular vote with Google Search.
2015年2月20日,爱尔兰总理恩达·肯尼证实,将于同年5月22日就同性婚姻举行“是-否”公投。赞成票将使爱尔兰的同性婚姻合法化。正如爱尔兰总理所言,这次投票关乎“宽容、尊重和敏感”。投票结果显示,赞成率为62.07%,投票率为60.52%。爱尔兰因此成为世界上第一个通过全民投票将同性婚姻合法化的国家。利用2015年5月22日爱尔兰公投前一周的每小时谷歌搜索数据,以及“赞成”和“反对”搜索的简单比例,我展示了结果是如何被预测出来的。这个方法在这里成功地使用了第二次,并且是迄今为止我所知道的唯一一个用Google搜索预测大众投票的方法。
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引用次数: 1
Unexpected Lessons: The Political Economy of the Franchise in Colonial Virginia 意想不到的教训:弗吉尼亚殖民地选举权的政治经济学
Pub Date : 2015-05-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2474069
E. Nikolova
This paper studies the evolution of the suffrage in colonial Virginia from the early seventeenth century until the American Revolution, using econometric analysis of a unique data set on the number and types of franchise restrictions imposed on colonial voters, along with detailed historical evidence. We find that Virginia's representative institutions were very liberal for most of the seventeenth century, when colonial agriculture depended on English workers, but deteriorated quickly once planters were able to replace white workers with slaves in the early 1700s. Our explanation builds on the idea that by credibly constraining the power of elites, liberal representative institutions were an effective way to attract white immigrant labour. We show that our findings are not due to alternative explanations identified in the literature, such as inequality or the threat of revolution.
本文研究了从17世纪早期到美国独立战争期间弗吉尼亚州殖民地选举权的演变,使用了对殖民地选民所受选举权限制的数量和类型的独特数据集的计量经济学分析,以及详细的历史证据。我们发现,弗吉尼亚的代表性机构在17世纪的大部分时间里都是非常自由的,当时殖民地的农业依赖于英国工人,但在18世纪早期,一旦种植园主能够用奴隶取代白人工人,这些机构就迅速恶化了。我们的解释建立在这样一种观点之上,即通过可信地限制精英的权力,自由主义的代议制制度是吸引白人移民劳动力的有效途径。我们表明,我们的发现不是由于文献中确定的其他解释,如不平等或革命的威胁。
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引用次数: 1
Some Notes on the Topography of Eastern Pontos Euxeinos in Late Antiquity and Early Byzantium 古晚期和拜占庭早期东蓬托斯-欧塞诺斯地形图的若干注释
Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2543458
A. Vinogradov
This paper clarifies some issues of late antique and early Byzantine topography of Eastern Pontos Euxeinos. These questions can be divided into two large groups: the ecclesiastical topography and the locations of Byzantine fortresses. The earliest testimony of Apostolic preaching on the Eastern black sea coast—the list of the apostles by Pseudo-Epiphanius—following the ‘Chronicon’ of Hyppolitus of Rome, unsuccessfully connects South-Eastern Pontos Euxeinos to Sebastopolis the Great (modern Sukhumi), which subsequently gives rise to an itinerary of the apostle Andrew. The Early Byzantine Church in the region had a complicated arrangement: the Zekchians, Abasgians and possibly Apsilians had their own bishoprics (later archbishoprics); the Lazicans had a metropolitan in Phasis (and not in their capital Archaeopolis) with five bishop-suffragans. Byzantine fortresses, mentioned in 7th c sources, are located mostly in Apsilia and Missimiania, in the Kodori valley, which had strategic importance as a route from the Black sea to the North Caucasus
本文阐明了东蓬托斯-欧塞诺斯古晚期和拜占庭早期地形的一些问题。这些问题可以分为两大类:教会地形和拜占庭堡垒的位置。最早的使徒在东黑海海岸传教的见证——伪埃皮法尼乌斯的使徒名单——在罗马的希波利图斯的《纪事表》之后,没有成功地将东南本托斯·欧谢诺斯与塞巴斯托波利斯大帝(现代苏库米)联系起来,这后来导致了使徒安德鲁的行程。早期的拜占庭教会在该地区有一个复杂的安排:Zekchians, Abasgians,可能还有apsilian有他们自己的主教辖区(后来的大主教辖区);拉齐坎人在帕西斯有一个都城(而不是在他们的首都考古城),有五个主教参政权。公元7世纪的资料中提到的拜占庭堡垒大多位于阿普西里亚和米西米尼亚,位于科多里山谷,作为从黑海到北高加索的路线,具有重要的战略意义
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引用次数: 0
Civic Capital and Development: Italy, 1951-2001 公民资本与发展:意大利,1951-2001
Pub Date : 2014-03-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2509762
Giuseppe Albanese, G. de Blasio
We empirically investigate the role of civic capital (proxied by voter turnout) in Italy's economic development in the second half of the Twentieth century. Using a unique dataset at the city level, we show that over a fifty-year span voter turnout was steadily correlated with economic development and that this reflected some causality running from the former to the latter. We also find that the impact of civic capital was greater in the period immediately after the Second World War and gradually waned in the following decades.
我们实证研究了公民资本(以选民投票率为代表)在二十世纪下半叶意大利经济发展中的作用。利用城市层面的独特数据集,我们表明,在50年的时间跨度中,选民投票率与经济发展稳定相关,这反映了从前者到后者的一些因果关系。我们还发现,公民资本的影响在第二次世界大战后的一段时间内更大,并在随后的几十年里逐渐减弱。
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引用次数: 10
Understanding Regime Support in New and Old Democracies: The Role of Performance and Democratic Experience 理解新旧民主国家的政权支持:政绩和民主经验的作用
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2445415
Luis A. Camacho
This paper develops a comprehensive theory of support for democracy. Building on instrumental and culturalist approaches, the theory argues that experience with democracy conditions the extent to which economic and political performance inform support. Specifically, it argues that the extent to which economic performance informs support should decline as a democracy grows older, while the opposite should be true about political performance. These arguments are evaluated using multilevel models to analyse cross-national survey data for 21 Latin American countries. The evidence indicates that both economic and political performance inform support for democracy and that the extent to which economic performance informs support declines as a democracy grows older. Although the importance of political performance does not seem to be conditioned by democratic experience, its importance in relation to economic performance does increase as a democracy matures. The evidence also indicates that experience with democracy, and not level of economic development, is what conditions the importance of economic performance. Altogether, these results suggest that support for democracy and a civic culture that values the political goods that democracy can deliver are more likely to be a consequence of, rather than a prerequisite for, the survival and eventual consolidation of democracy.
本文发展了一个支持民主的综合理论。该理论以工具主义和文化主义的方法为基础,认为民主的经验决定了经济和政治表现对支持的影响程度。具体来说,它认为,随着民主制度的发展,经济表现对支持率的影响程度应该下降,而政治表现则相反。使用多层模型分析21个拉丁美洲国家的跨国调查数据,对这些论点进行了评估。有证据表明,经济和政治表现都会影响人们对民主的支持,而经济表现对支持的影响程度随着民主制度的发展而下降。虽然政治表现的重要性似乎不受民主经验的制约,但随着民主的成熟,它对经济表现的重要性确实会增加。证据还表明,决定经济表现重要性的是民主经验,而不是经济发展水平。总之,这些结果表明,对民主和重视民主所能带来的政治利益的公民文化的支持更有可能是民主生存和最终巩固的结果,而不是先决条件。
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引用次数: 19
The State in Public Administration 公共管理中的国家
Pub Date : 2011-01-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2945104
M. Hammer
What is “the state,” and what is its relevance, if any, to public administration? The concept of the state goes back for centuries but has become an increasingly more widely discussed topic within the last 30 years. This review of five important works on the subject will present the major definitions, highlight the points of debate among scholars, and argue that there are at least four ways in which the concept of “the state” can advance the field of public administration
什么是“国家”,它与公共管理的相关性(如果有的话)是什么?国家的概念可以追溯到几个世纪以前,但在过去的30年里,它已经成为一个越来越广泛讨论的话题。本文将对这一主题的五本重要著作进行回顾,介绍主要定义,突出学者之间的争论点,并认为“国家”概念至少有四种方式可以推动公共行政领域的发展
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引用次数: 2
The Political Incentive Explanation of ‘Democratic Peace’: Evidence From Experimental Research “民主和平”的政治激励解释:来自实验研究的证据
Pub Date : 1993-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/03050629308434805
N. Geva, Karl Derouen, A. Mintz
In this paper, we summarize a series of experimental studies that show that democracies don't fight each other because their leaders have very few political incentives to do so. The use of force against other democracies is perceived by the public and by leaders of democratic states as a failure of foreign policy. The reliance of democratic leaders on public support decreases therefore the likelihood of the use of force against other democracies.
在本文中,我们总结了一系列实验研究,这些研究表明民主国家不会相互争斗,因为他们的领导人很少有政治动机这样做。公众和民主国家的领导人认为,对其他民主国家使用武力是外交政策的失败。因此,民主领导人对公众支持的依赖降低了对其他民主国家使用武力的可能性。
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引用次数: 46
期刊
AARN: State & Non-State Political Organization (Sub-Topic)
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