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Epidemiology of COVID-19 cases and vaccination coverage in Seremban District, Malaysia, 2021. 2021年马来西亚塞伦班县COVID-19病例流行病学和疫苗接种覆盖率
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.2.985
Khairul Hafidz Alkhair Khairul Amin, Nur Nadiatul Asyikin Bujang, Siti Aishah Abas, Nadiatul Ima Zulkifli, Syuaib Aiman Amir, Sharina Mohd Shah, Veshny Ganesan, Nurul Fazilah Aziz, Muhammad Adli Jalaluddin, Mohd Shahrol Abd Wahil, Muhamad Hazizi Muhamad Hasani, Noor Khalili Mohd Ali, Mohamad Paid Yusof

Objective: Malaysia's first case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was reported in January 2020, with the first case in the state of Negeri Sembilan diagnosed on 17 February 2020. The National COVID-19 Immunization Programme commenced in early March 2021 in Negeri Sembilan. This study describes the COVID-19 cases and vaccination coverage in Seremban District, Negeri Sembilan, during 2021.

Methods: The demographic and clinical characteristics of COVID-19 cases and the district's vaccination coverage were described. Vaccination coverage was plotted against COVID-19 cases on the epidemic curve. The χ2 test was used to examine the differences between the vaccination status of COVID-19 cases and severity category, hospitalization status and mortality.

Results: In Seremban District, there were 65 879 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in 2021. The data revealed that the 
21-30-year age group had the highest proportion of cases (16 365; 24.8%), the majority of cases were male (58.3%), and most cases were from the subdistrict of Ampangan (23.1%). The majority of cases were Malaysian. Over half (53.5%) were symptomatic, with fever (29.8%) and cough (22.8%) being the most frequently reported symptoms. COVID-19 vaccination status was significantly associated with severity category, hospitalization and mortality (P < 0.001 for all categories).

Discussion: This is the first study to describe two-dose vaccination coverage and the trend in COVID-19 cases in Seremban District. It was observed that COVID-19 cases had been reduced following more than 60.0% vaccination coverage.

目的:马来西亚首例冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例于2020年1月报告,第一例病例于2020年2月17日在森美兰州被诊断出来。国家COVID-19免疫规划于2021年3月初在森美兰州启动。本研究描述了2021年森美兰州塞伦班县的COVID-19病例和疫苗接种覆盖率。方法:描述2019冠状病毒病病例的人口学特征、临床特征及各区疫苗接种率。在流行曲线上根据COVID-19病例绘制疫苗接种覆盖率。采用χ2检验检验COVID-19病例接种情况与病情严重程度、住院情况和死亡率的差异。结果:2021年,Seremban区新冠肺炎确诊病例65879例。数据显示,
21-30岁年龄组的病例比例最高(16365;24.8%),男性居多(58.3%),安邦干街道居多(23.1%)。大多数病例是马来西亚人。超过一半(53.5%)有症状,其中发烧(29.8%)和咳嗽(22.8%)是最常报告的症状。COVID-19疫苗接种状况与严重程度类别、住院和死亡率显著相关(P讨论:这是第一个描述Seremban地区两剂疫苗接种覆盖率和COVID-19病例趋势的研究。据观察,在疫苗接种率超过60.0%后,COVID-19病例有所减少。
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引用次数: 0
A descriptive assessment of the National Institute of Public Health's contribution to the COVID-19 response in Cambodia, 
2020-2021. 对国家公共卫生研究所为柬埔寨应对COVID-19所作贡献的描述性评估,
2020-2021年。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.974
Srean Chhim, Wuddhika In Vong, Kimsorn Pa, Chanboroth Chhorn, Tambri Housen, Amy Elizabeth Parry, Wim Van Damme, Por Ir, Chhorvann Chhea

Objective: This paper examines the contributions made by the National Institute of Public Health to Cambodia's response to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic during 2020-2021.

Methods: The activities conducted by the Institute were compared with adaptations of the nine pillars of the World Health Organization's 2020 COVID-19 strategic preparedness and response plan. To gather relevant evidence, we reviewed national COVID-19 testing data, information about COVID-19-related events documented by Institute staff, and financial and technical reports of the Institute's activities.

Results: The main contributions the Institute made were to the laboratory pillar and the incident management and planning pillar. The Institute tested more than 50% of the 2 575 391 samples for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) testing and provided technical advice about establishing 18 new laboratories for SARS-CoV-2 testing in the capital city of Phnom Penh and 11 provinces. The Institute had representatives on many national committees and coauthored national guidelines for implementing rapid COVID-19 testing, preventing transmission in health-care facilities and providing treatment. The Institute contributed to six other pillars, but had no active role in risk communication and community engagement.

Discussion: The Institute's support was essential to the COVID-19 response in Cambodia, especially for laboratory services and incident management and planning. Based on the contributions made by the Institute during the COVID-19 pandemic, continued investment in it will be critical to allow it to support responses to future health emergencies in Cambodia.

目的:研究2020-2021年期间柬埔寨国家公共卫生研究所为柬埔寨应对冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行所做的贡献。方法:将研究所开展的活动与世界卫生组织2020年COVID-19战略防范和应对计划九项支柱的适应情况进行比较。为了收集相关证据,我们审查了国家COVID-19检测数据、研究所工作人员记录的COVID-19相关事件信息以及研究所活动的财务和技术报告。结果:研究所的贡献主要集中在实验室支柱和事件管理与计划支柱。该研究所对2575391份严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)检测样本中的50%以上进行了检测,并就在首都金边和11个省建立18个新的SARS-CoV-2检测实验室提供了技术咨询。该研究所在许多国家委员会中都有代表,并共同编写了关于实施COVID-19快速检测、在卫生保健设施中预防传播和提供治疗的国家指南。该研究所为其他六个支柱作出了贡献,但在风险沟通和社区参与方面没有发挥积极作用。讨论:研究所的支持对柬埔寨应对COVID-19至关重要,特别是在实验室服务和事件管理和规划方面。鉴于该研究所在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间作出的贡献,继续对其进行投资将至关重要,使其能够支持应对柬埔寨未来的突发卫生事件。
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引用次数: 0
After-action reviews for emergency preparedness and response to infectious disease outbreaks. 对传染病突发的应急准备和反应进行行动后审查。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.953
Ha-Linh Quach, Khanh Cong Nguyen, Florian Vogt
After-action reviews (AARs) are a qualitative evaluation methodology conducted after a public health event recommended by the World Health Organization. Of 86 screened articles, we identified eight using AARs to evaluate public health responses to infectious disease outbreaks. Our findings suggested the toolkit is suitable to evaluate responses to infectious disease outbreaks but needs to be adapted for use in particular settings.
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引用次数: 0
Post-COVID-19 health-care utilization: one year after the 2020 first wave in 
Brunei Darussalam. 2019冠状病毒病后的医疗保健利用:
文莱达鲁萨兰国2020年第一波医疗保健利用后一年。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.949
Muhammad Syafiq Abdullah, Rosmonaliza Asli, Pui Lin Chong, Babu Ivan Mani, Natalie Raimiza Momin, Noor Affizan Rahman, Chee Fui Chong, Vui Heng Chong

Objective: Patients who recover from coronavirus disease (COVID-19) infection are at risk of long-term health disorders and may require prolonged health care. This retrospective observational study assesses the number of health-care visits before and after COVID-19 infection in Brunei Darussalam.

Methods: COVID-19 cases from the first wave with 12 months of follow-up were included. Health-care utilization was defined as health-care visits for consultations or investigations. Post-COVID condition was defined using the World Health Organization definition.

Results: There were 132 cases; 59.1% were male and the mean age was 37.1 years. The mean number of health-care visits 12 months after recovery from COVID-19 (123 cases, 93.2%; mean 5.0 ± 5.2) was significantly higher than the prior 12 months (87 cases, 65.9%, P < 0.001; mean 3.2 ± 5.7, P < 0.001). There was no significant difference when scheduled COVID-19 visits were excluded (3.6 ± 4.9, P = 0.149). All 22 cases with moderate to critical disease recovered without additional health-care visits apart from planned post-COVID-19 visits. Six patients had symptoms of post-COVID condition, but none met the criteria for diagnosis or had alternative diagnoses.

Discussion: There were significantly more health-care visits following recovery from COVID-19. However, this was due to scheduled post-COVID-19 visits as per the national management protocol. This protocol was amended before the second wave to omit post-COVID-19 follow-up, except for complicated cases or cases with no documented radiological resolution of COVID-19 pneumonia. This will reduce unnecessary health-care visits and conserve precious resources that were stretched to the limit during the pandemic.

目的:冠状病毒病(COVID-19)感染后康复的患者存在长期健康障碍的风险,可能需要长期的医疗保健。本回顾性观察性研究评估了文莱达鲁萨兰国COVID-19感染前后的医疗保健就诊次数。方法:纳入第一波COVID-19病例,随访12个月。保健利用被定义为为咨询或调查而到保健处就诊。根据世界卫生组织的定义,对新冠肺炎后状态进行了定义。结果:132例;男性占59.1%,平均年龄37.1岁。COVID-19康复后12个月的平均就诊次数(123例,93.2%;平均5.0±5.2)显著高于前12个月(87例,65.9%,P P = 0.149)。所有22例中度至重症病例均已康复,除了计划在covid -19后就诊外,没有额外的卫生保健就诊。6例患者出现新冠肺炎后症状,但均不符合诊断标准或有替代诊断。讨论:COVID-19康复后,就诊人数明显增加。然而,这是由于根据国家管理方案安排的covid -19后访问。该方案在第二波之前进行了修订,省略了COVID-19后的随访,但复杂病例或没有记录的COVID-19肺炎放射学消退的病例除外。这将减少不必要的卫生保健访问,并节约在大流行期间捉襟见肘的宝贵资源。
{"title":"Post-COVID-19 health-care utilization: one year after the 2020 first wave in \u2028Brunei Darussalam.","authors":"Muhammad Syafiq Abdullah,&nbsp;Rosmonaliza Asli,&nbsp;Pui Lin Chong,&nbsp;Babu Ivan Mani,&nbsp;Natalie Raimiza Momin,&nbsp;Noor Affizan Rahman,&nbsp;Chee Fui Chong,&nbsp;Vui Heng Chong","doi":"10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.949","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.949","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Patients who recover from coronavirus disease (COVID-19) infection are at risk of long-term health disorders and may require prolonged health care. This retrospective observational study assesses the number of health-care visits before and after COVID-19 infection in Brunei Darussalam.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>COVID-19 cases from the first wave with 12 months of follow-up were included. Health-care utilization was defined as health-care visits for consultations or investigations. Post-COVID condition was defined using the World Health Organization definition.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 132 cases; 59.1% were male and the mean age was 37.1 years. The mean number of health-care visits 12 months after recovery from COVID-19 (123 cases, 93.2%; mean 5.0 ± 5.2) was significantly higher than the prior 12 months (87 cases, 65.9%, <i>P</i> < 0.001; mean 3.2 ± 5.7, <i>P</i> < 0.001). There was no significant difference when scheduled COVID-19 visits were excluded (3.6 ± 4.9, <i>P</i> = 0.149). All 22 cases with moderate to critical disease recovered without additional health-care visits apart from planned post-COVID-19 visits. Six patients had symptoms of post-COVID condition, but none met the criteria for diagnosis or had alternative diagnoses.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>There were significantly more health-care visits following recovery from COVID-19. However, this was due to scheduled post-COVID-19 visits as per the national management protocol. This protocol was amended before the second wave to omit post-COVID-19 follow-up, except for complicated cases or cases with no documented radiological resolution of COVID-19 pneumonia. This will reduce unnecessary health-care visits and conserve precious resources that were stretched to the limit during the pandemic.</p>","PeriodicalId":31512,"journal":{"name":"Western Pacific Surveillance and Response","volume":"14 1","pages":"1-9"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9936207/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10774647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Urgent actions to save lives when ICU bed needs approach or exceed capacity: lessons from Mongolia. 当ICU病床需求接近或超过容量时采取紧急行动挽救生命:来自蒙古的经验教训。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2022.14.5.942
Buyantogtokh Batsukh, Bund-Ochir Khishigsaikhan, Dulamragchaa Buyanbaatar, Gerelmaa Danzan, Nansalmaa Munkhtur, Ariuntuya Ochirpurev, Takeshi Nishijima, Howard Sobel, Masahiro Zakoji
At the beginning of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, Mongolia took early and stringent response measures that were considered successful until early 2021.1,2 Following the lifting of a nationwide lockdown in April 2021, there was a rapid resurgence of cases from mid-May to mid-June (Fig. 1). By early June, COVID-19 hospital bed and intensive care unit (ICU) bed occupancy in the capital of Ulaanbaatar exceeded total capacity (Fig. 2). This impacted both health-care delivery for COVID-19 and other essential health services. At its peak, 2746 new cases (18 June 2021) and 17 deaths (3 July 2021) were reported in a single day, totalling 166 145 cases and 812 deaths as of 1 August 2021.3
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiology of tuberculosis in the Pacific island countries and areas, 2000-2020. 2000-2020年太平洋岛屿国家和地区结核病流行病学。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.996
Manami Yanagawa, Fukushi Morishita, Kyung Hyun Oh, Kalpeshsinh Rahevar, Tauhidul Abm Islam, Subhash Yadav

Objective: Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the most important infectious diseases with an estimated 9.9 million people falling ill globally in 2020. We describe the epidemiology of TB in the Pacific island countries and areas (PICs) to inform potential priority actions to implement the Western Pacific Regional Framework to End TB 2021-2030.

Methods: A descriptive analysis was conducted using annual TB surveillance data submitted by national TB programmes to the World Health Organization (WHO) and TB burden estimates (incidence rates and number of deaths) generated by WHO for the PICs, for the period 2000-2020. We also analysed TB case numbers, multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant TB (MDR/RR-TB), recent risk factor indicators and treatment outcomes.

Results: The estimated TB incidence rate in the PICs increased between 2000 and 2020 from 62 to 69 per 100 000 population, with an 8% reduction observed since 2015. TB cases increased by 29% during 2000-2020, with 1746 cases in 2020 and a high proportion in children (19%). Bacteriological diagnosis was used for 58% of total TB cases, although some countries reported clinical diagnoses in over 60% of cases. From 2015 to 2019, 52 MDR/RR-TB cases were reported and there were 94 TB/HIV coinfected cases in 2015-2020. Treatment success was 74% in 2019 due to 18% of cases being unevaluated. In 2020, the estimated proportion of TB cases attributable to smoking, malnutrition, alcohol abuse and diabetes was 17%, 16%, 11% and 9%, respectively.

Discussion: There was an increasing trend in TB cases, estimated incidence and deaths between 2000 and 2020. Laboratory services were scaled up in some PICs and case-finding activities greatly contributed to the detection of cases. To end the incidence of TB, continued efforts on case finding, contact investigation and scaling up TB preventive treatment should be prioritized. At the same time, collaboration with other sectors for risk factor management and decentralized management need to be considered.

目的:结核病(TB)是最重要的传染病之一,预计到2020年全球将有990万人患病。我们描述了太平洋岛屿国家和地区(PICs)的结核病流行病学,以告知实施西太平洋区域2021-2030年终止结核病框架的潜在优先行动。方法:使用国家结核病规划向世界卫生组织(WHO)提交的年度结核病监测数据和世界卫生组织(WHO)编制的2000-2020年PICs结核病负担估计数(发病率和死亡人数)进行描述性分析。我们还分析了结核病病例数、耐多药/耐利福平结核病(MDR/RR-TB)、最近的危险因素指标和治疗结果。结果:在2000年至2020年期间,PICs的估计结核病发病率从每10万人62人增加到69人,自2015年以来下降了8%。2000-2020年期间,结核病病例增加了29%,到2020年达到1746例,儿童中所占比例很高(19%)。细菌学诊断用于结核病例总数的58%,尽管一些国家报告对60%以上的病例进行了临床诊断。2015- 2019年共报告MDR/RR-TB病例52例,2015-2020年共报告结核/艾滋病毒合并感染病例94例。由于18%的病例未经评估,2019年的治疗成功率为74%。2020年,可归因于吸烟、营养不良、酗酒和糖尿病的结核病病例的估计比例分别为17%、16%、11%和9%。讨论:2000年至2020年期间,结核病病例、估计发病率和死亡人数呈上升趋势。一些拘留中心扩大了化验室服务,病例发现活动大大有助于发现病例。为终止结核病的发病率,应优先继续努力发现病例、调查接触者和扩大结核病预防治疗。同时,需要考虑与其他部门合作进行风险因素管理和分散管理。
{"title":"Epidemiology of tuberculosis in the Pacific island countries and areas, 2000-2020.","authors":"Manami Yanagawa,&nbsp;Fukushi Morishita,&nbsp;Kyung Hyun Oh,&nbsp;Kalpeshsinh Rahevar,&nbsp;Tauhidul Abm Islam,&nbsp;Subhash Yadav","doi":"10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.996","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.996","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the most important infectious diseases with an estimated 9.9 million people falling ill globally in 2020. We describe the epidemiology of TB in the Pacific island countries and areas (PICs) to inform potential priority actions to implement the <i>Western Pacific Regional Framework to End TB 2021-2030</i>.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A descriptive analysis was conducted using annual TB surveillance data submitted by national TB programmes to the World Health Organization (WHO) and TB burden estimates (incidence rates and number of deaths) generated by WHO for the PICs, for the period 2000-2020. We also analysed TB case numbers, multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant TB (MDR/RR-TB), recent risk factor indicators and treatment outcomes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The estimated TB incidence rate in the PICs increased between 2000 and 2020 from 62 to 69 per 100 000 population, with an 8% reduction observed since 2015. TB cases increased by 29% during 2000-2020, with 1746 cases in 2020 and a high proportion in children (19%). Bacteriological diagnosis was used for 58% of total TB cases, although some countries reported clinical diagnoses in over 60% of cases. From 2015 to 2019, 52 MDR/RR-TB cases were reported and there were 94 TB/HIV coinfected cases in 2015-2020. Treatment success was 74% in 2019 due to 18% of cases being unevaluated. In 2020, the estimated proportion of TB cases attributable to smoking, malnutrition, alcohol abuse and diabetes was 17%, 16%, 11% and 9%, respectively.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>There was an increasing trend in TB cases, estimated incidence and deaths between 2000 and 2020. Laboratory services were scaled up in some PICs and case-finding activities greatly contributed to the detection of cases. To end the incidence of TB, continued efforts on case finding, contact investigation and scaling up TB preventive treatment should be prioritized. At the same time, collaboration with other sectors for risk factor management and decentralized management need to be considered.</p>","PeriodicalId":31512,"journal":{"name":"Western Pacific Surveillance and Response","volume":"14 1","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10008724/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9414660","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Implementation and use of a national electronic dashboard to guide COVID-19 clinical management in Fiji. 在斐济实施和使用国家电子仪表板,以指导COVID-19临床管理。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.5.967
Karen Hammad, Sean Casey, Rigamoto Taito, Sara W Demas, Mohita Joshi, Rashmi Rita, Anaseini Maisema

Problem: From April to September 2021, Fiji experienced a second wave of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) precipitated by the Delta variant of concern, prompting a need to strengthen existing data management of positive COVID-19 cases.

Context: With COVID-19 cases peaking at 1405 a day and many hospital admissions, the need to develop a better way to visualize data became clear.

Action: The Fiji Ministry of Health and Medical Services, the World Health Organization and the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs collaborated to develop an online clinical dashboard to support better visualization of case management data.

Outcome: The dashboard was used across Fiji at national, divisional and local levels for COVID-19 management. At the national level, it provided real-time reports describing the surge pattern, severity and management of COVID-19 cases across the country during daily incident management team meetings. At the divisional level, it gave the divisional directors access to timely information about hospital and community isolation of cases. At the hospital level, the dashboard allowed managers to monitor trends in isolated cases and use of oxygen resources.

Discussion: The dashboard replaced previous paper-based reporting of statistics with delivery of trends and real-time data. The team that developed the tool were situated in different locations and did not meet physically, demonstrating the ease of implementing this online tool in a resource-constrained setting. The dashboard is easy to use and could be used in other Pacific island countries and areas.

问题:2021年4月至9月,斐济经历了由Delta型病毒引发的第二波冠状病毒病(COVID-19),需要加强对COVID-19阳性病例的现有数据管理。背景:随着COVID-19病例达到每天1405例的峰值,以及许多住院病例,开发更好的数据可视化方法的必要性变得清晰起来。行动:斐济卫生和医疗服务部、世界卫生组织和联合国人道主义事务协调厅合作开发了一个在线临床仪表板,以支持更好地将病例管理数据可视化。成果:该仪表板在斐济全国、省和地方各级用于COVID-19管理。在国家层面,它在日常事件管理小组会议上实时报告了全国COVID-19病例的激增模式、严重程度和管理情况。在司一级,它使司主任能够及时获得关于医院和社区隔离病例的信息。在医院层面,仪表板允许管理人员监测孤立病例和氧气资源使用的趋势。讨论:仪表板用趋势和实时数据的交付取代了以前基于纸张的统计报告。开发该工具的团队位于不同的位置,并且没有实际见面,这证明了在资源受限的环境中实现该在线工具的便利性。该仪表板易于使用,可在其他太平洋岛屿国家和地区使用。
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引用次数: 0
Using an online calculator to describe excess mortality in the Philippines during the COVID-19 pandemic. 使用在线计算器描述菲律宾在COVID-19大流行期间的超额死亡率。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.984
Julius R Migriño, Ma Rosario Bernardo-Lazaro

Objective: Excess mortality is an indicator of the impact of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. This study aims to describe excess mortality in the Philippines from January 2020 to December 2021 using an online all-cause mortality and excess mortality calculator.

Methods: All-cause mortality data sets from 2015 to 2021 from the Philippine Statistics Authority were obtained and analysed using the World Health Organization Western Pacific Regional Office All-Cause Mortality Calculator. Expected mortality, excess mortality and P-scores were obtained using two models, 5-year averages and negative binomial regression, for total deaths and by administrative region.

Results: Reported national all-cause mortality exceeded the expected mortality in August 2020 and from January to November 2021, peaking in September 2021 at 104 per 100 000. Total excess mortality using negative binomial regression was -13 900 deaths in 2020 and 212 000 deaths in 2021, peaking in September 2021. P-scores were -2% in 2020 and 33% in 2021, again peaking in September 2021 at 114%. Reported COVID-19 deaths accounted for 20% of excess deaths in 2021. In 2020, consistently high P-scores were recorded in the National Capital Region from July to September and in the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao from June to July. In 2021, most regions recorded high P-scores from June to October.

Discussion: Tracking excess mortality using a robust, accessible and standardized online tool provided a comprehensive assessment of the direct and indirect impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Philippines. Furthermore, analysis by administrative region highlighted the key regions disproportionately affected by the pandemic, information that may not have been fully captured from routine COVID-19 surveillance.

目的:超额死亡率是衡量冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行影响的一个指标。本研究旨在使用在线全因死亡率和超额死亡率计算器描述2020年1月至2021年12月菲律宾的超额死亡率。方法:获取菲律宾统计局2015年至2021年的全因死亡率数据集,并使用世界卫生组织西太平洋区域办事处全因死亡率计算器进行分析。使用5年平均和负二项回归两种模型获得总死亡人数和行政区域的预期死亡率、超额死亡率和p评分。结果:报告的全国全因死亡率在2020年8月和2021年1月至11月超过预期死亡率,在2021年9月达到峰值,为每10万人104人。采用负二项回归方法计算的总超额死亡率在2020年为-13 900例,在2021年为212 000例,在2021年9月达到峰值。2020年和2021年的p得分分别为-2%和33%,在2021年9月再次达到114%的峰值。报告的COVID-19死亡人数占2021年超额死亡人数的20%。2020年,7月至9月,国家首都地区和6月至7月,棉兰老穆斯林邦萨摩罗自治区的p -得分持续较高。2021年6 ~ 10月,大部分地区的p分数都很高。讨论:使用一个强大的、可获取的和标准化的在线工具跟踪超额死亡率,提供了对2019冠状病毒病大流行在菲律宾的直接和间接影响的全面评估。此外,按行政区域进行的分析突出了受大流行影响严重的关键地区,这些信息可能未从COVID-19常规监测中充分获取。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiology of tuberculosis in Mongolia: analysis of surveillance data, 2015-2019. 蒙古国结核病流行病学:2015-2019年监测数据分析
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.931
Tsolmon Boldoo, Larissa Otero, Borgil Uranchimeg, Anuzaya Purevdagva, Temuulen Enebish, Oyunchimeg Erdenee, Tauhid Islam, Fukushi Morishita

Mongolia has a high tuberculosis (TB) burden. Data from routine paper-based surveillance were used to describe the epidemiology of TB in Mongolia; the data included testing presumptive TB cases, TB notifications, drug-resistant cases, treatment outcomes and notifications in prisoners. The proportion of the population tested for TB increased between 2015 and 2019. The number and rate per 100 000 population of TB notifications decreased between 2015 and 2018 and then increased in 2019. Most TB notifications in 2019 were in the capital, Ulaanbaatar (59.3%), followed by the central (16.8%), Khangai (10.4%), east (8.5%) and west (5.0%) regions. About half of TB notifications nationally were bacteriologically confirmed (45.4% in 2015, 48.1% in 2019), with the proportion of bacteriologically confirmed TB per province or district varying from 0% to 66%. High TB notification rates were observed in 2019 for males aged 15-54 years (202 per 100 000
population) and females aged 15-34 years (190 per 100 000 population). Treatment success for all forms of TB was 90% in 2019 but was below the 90% target for bacteriologically confirmed cases. Between 2015 and 2019, the number of RR/MDR-TB notifications ranged from 265 to 211. The Mongolian National Tuberculosis Programme needs to continue its efforts in TB control, to further increase the programmatic impact and reduce the TB burden. It is recommended that Mongolia continue to increase TB screening, the use of Xpert testing, contact investigations and preventive treatments, and targeting interventions to the high-burden areas identified in this subnational analysis.

蒙古的结核病负担很高。来自常规纸质监测的数据被用来描述蒙古的结核病流行病学;这些数据包括检测推定结核病病例、结核病通报、耐药病例、治疗结果和囚犯通报。2015年至2019年期间,接受结核病检测的人口比例有所增加。2015年至2018年期间,每10万人口中结核病通报的数量和比率有所下降,然后在2019年有所上升。2019年大多数结核病通报发生在首都乌兰巴托(59.3%),其次是中部(16.8%)、康凯(10.4%)、东部(8.5%)和西部(5.0%)地区。全国约有一半的结核病通报是细菌学确诊的(2015年为45.4%,2019年为48.1%),每个省或地区的细菌学确诊结核病比例从0%到66%不等。2019年,15-54岁男性(每10万
人口中有202人)和15-34岁女性(每10万人口中有190人)的结核病通报率较高。2019年,所有形式结核病的治疗成功率为90%,但低于细菌学确诊病例90%的目标。2015年至2019年期间,耐药性/耐多药结核病的通报数量从265例到211例不等。蒙古国家结核病规划需要继续努力控制结核病,进一步扩大规划影响并减少结核病负担。建议蒙古继续加强结核病筛查、专家检测的使用、接触调查和预防性治疗,并针对本次国家级分析中确定的高负担地区采取有针对性的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
How the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands stalled COVID-19 for 22 months and managed its first significant community transmission. 北马里亚纳群岛联邦如何将COVID-19遏制了22个月,并控制了首次重大社区传播。
IF 1 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.1.965
Dwayne Davis, Stephanie Kern-Allely, Lily Muldoon, John M Tudela, Jesse Tudela, Renea Raho, Heather S Pangelinan, Halina Palacios, John Tabaguel, Alan Hinson, Guillermo Lifoifoi, Warren Villagomez, Joseph R Fauver, Haley L Cash, Esther Muña, Sean T Casey, Ali S Khan

Objective: The Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) is a remote Pacific island territory with a population of 47 329 that successfully prevented the significant introduction of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) until late 2021. This study documents how the response to the introduction of COVID-19 in CNMI in 2021 was conducted with limited resources without overwhelming local clinical capacity or compromising health service delivery for the population.

Methods: Data from COVID-19 case investigations, contact tracing, the Commonwealth's immunization registry and whole genome sequencing were collated and analysed as part of this study.

Results: Between 26 March 2020 and 31 December 2021, 3281 cases and 14 deaths due to COVID-19 were reported in CNMI (case fatality rate, 0.4%). While notification rates were highest among younger age groups, hospitalization and mortality rates were disproportionately greater among those aged > 50 years and among the unvaccinated. The first widespread community transmission in CNMI was detected in October 2021, with genomic epidemiology and contact tracing data indicating a single introduction event involving the AY.25 lineage and subsequent rapid community spread. Vaccination coverage was high before widespread transmission occurred in October 2021 and increased further over the study period.

Discussion: Robust preparedness and strong leadership generated resilience within the public health sector such that COVID-19 did not overwhelm CNMI's health system as it did in other jurisdictions and countries around the world. At no point was hospital capacity exceeded, and all patients received adequate care without the need for health-care rationing.

目标:北马里亚纳群岛联邦(CNMI)是一个偏远的太平洋岛屿领土,人口为47329人,在2021年底之前成功防止了冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的重大传入。本研究记录了2021年CNMI如何在资源有限的情况下应对COVID-19,而没有压倒当地临床能力或影响向人口提供卫生服务。方法:作为本研究的一部分,对来自COVID-19病例调查、接触者追踪、英联邦免疫登记和全基因组测序的数据进行整理和分析。结果:2020年3月26日至2021年12月31日,CNMI共报告新冠肺炎病例3281例,死亡14例(病死率0.4%)。虽然通报率在较年轻的年龄组中最高,但50岁以上和未接种疫苗者的住院率和死亡率不成比例地高。2021年10月在CNMI发现了第一次广泛的社区传播,基因组流行病学和接触者追踪数据表明,AY.25谱系的单一引入事件和随后的快速社区传播。在2021年10月发生广泛传播之前,疫苗接种覆盖率很高,并在研究期间进一步提高。讨论:强有力的准备工作和强有力的领导在公共卫生部门内部产生了复原力,使COVID-19没有像在世界其他司法管辖区和国家那样使CNMI的卫生系统不堪重负。在任何时候都没有超出医院容量,所有病人都得到了适当的护理,而不需要实行保健配给。
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Western Pacific Surveillance and Response
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